NFL Elo Power Rankings 2025

This is the 2025-ONLY "Blank Slate" page

The ratings and rankings on this page do not reflect season-ending ratings from the previous year. This page uses a new model for the 2025 season optimized for all teams starting each season at a 1500 rating. See this blog post for a comparison between this "blank slate" model and the regular model.

These ratings are likely to be less accurate for predicting future game outcomes than the regular model, especially toward the beginning of the season, but some people wanted to see them so here they are. Over the 1994-2024 seasons, this model picked 5,286 of 8,230 game winners correctly (64.2%), while the regular model picked 5,419 game winners (65.8%).

All available 2025 season pages:

Weekly NFL power rankings based on the Elo rating system. Read more here.

After Super Bowl
After Championship
After Divisional
After Wildcard
After Week 18
After Week 17
After Week 16
After Week 15
After Week 14
After Week 13
After Week 12
After Week 11
After Week 10
After Week 9
After Week 8
After Week 7
After Week 6
After Week 5
After Week 4
After Week 3
After Week 2
After Week 1
Before Week 1
2025 Summaries by Team
2025 Stats and Tidbits
2025 Model Accuracy

← 2024 Season NFL Elo Home

↑ Power Rankings After Super Bowl, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1618	17-3
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1586): W 29-13: 1618-0→1618
2	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1603	14-6
3	New England PatriotsNE	1586	17-4
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1618): L 13-29: 1586+0→1586
4	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1566	13-5
5	Houston TexansHOU	1563	13-6
6	Buffalo BillsBUF	1563	13-6
7	Denver BroncosDEN	1555	15-4
8	San Francisco 49ersSF	1548	13-6
9	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1532	11-7
10	Green Bay PackersGB	1532	9-8-1
11	Detroit LionsDET	1529	9-8
12	Baltimore RavensBAL	1520	8-9
13	Chicago BearsCHI	1519	12-7
14	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1518	11-7
15	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1517	6-11
16	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1517	8-9
17	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1502	10-8
18	Atlanta FalconsATL	1487	8-9
19	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1485	9-8
20	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1480	8-9
21	Dallas CowboysDAL	1478	7-9-1
22	Carolina PanthersCAR	1463	8-10
23	Miami DolphinsMIA	1462	7-10
24	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1455	6-11
25	New Orleans SaintsNO	1454	6-11
26	New York GiantsNYG	1447	4-13
27	Washington CommandersWAS	1442	5-12
28	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1437	5-12
29	Arizona CardinalsARI	1432	3-14
30	Tennessee TitansTEN	1402	3-14
31	New York JetsNYJ	1394	3-14
32	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1394	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Championship, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1618	16-3	at NE (1586): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1603): W 31-27: 1618+0→1618
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1586): Slight favorite
2	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1603	14-6
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1618): L 27-31: 1603-0→1603
3	New England PatriotsNE	1586 (+1)	17-3	at SEA (1618): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1555): W 10-7: 1585+1→1586
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1618): Slight underdog
4	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1566	13-5
5	Houston TexansHOU	1563	13-6
6	Buffalo BillsBUF	1563	13-6
7	Denver BroncosDEN	1555	15-4
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1585): L 7-10: 1555-0→1555
8	San Francisco 49ersSF	1548	13-6
9	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1532	11-7
10	Green Bay PackersGB	1532	9-8-1
11	Detroit LionsDET	1529	9-8
12	Baltimore RavensBAL	1520	8-9
13	Chicago BearsCHI	1519	12-7
14	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1518	11-7
15	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1517	6-11
16	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1517	8-9
17	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1502	10-8
18	Atlanta FalconsATL	1487	8-9
19	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1485	9-8
20	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1480	8-9
21	Dallas CowboysDAL	1478	7-9-1
22	Carolina PanthersCAR	1463	8-10
23	Miami DolphinsMIA	1462	7-10
24	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1455	6-11
25	New Orleans SaintsNO	1454	6-11
26	New York GiantsNYG	1447	4-13
27	Washington CommandersWAS	1442	5-12
28	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1437	5-12
29	Arizona CardinalsARI	1432	3-14
30	Tennessee TitansTEN	1402	3-14
31	New York JetsNYJ	1394	3-14
32	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1394	3-14
Favorites:
SEA

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Divisional, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1618 (+3)	15-3	vs LAR (1603): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1551): W 41-6: 1615+3→1618
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1603): Slight favorite
2	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1603	14-5	at SEA (1618): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1519): W 20-17(OT): 1603+0→1603
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1618): Slight underdog
3	New England PatriotsNE	1585 (+2)	16-3	at DEN (1555): Tossup
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1566): W 28-16: 1583+2→1585
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1555): Tossup
4	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1566	13-5
5	Houston TexansHOU	1563 (-3)	13-6
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1583): L 16-28: 1566-3→1563
6	Buffalo BillsBUF	1563	13-6
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1555): L 30-33(OT): 1563-0→1563
7	Denver BroncosDEN	1555	15-3	vs NE (1585): Tossup
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1563): W 33-30(OT): 1555+0→1555
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1585): Tossup
8	San Francisco 49ersSF	1548 (-3)	13-6
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1615): L 6-41: 1551-3→1548
9	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1532	11-7
10	Green Bay PackersGB	1532	9-8-1
11	Detroit LionsDET	1529	9-8
12	Baltimore RavensBAL	1520	8-9
13	Chicago BearsCHI	1519	12-7
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1603): L 17-20(OT): 1519-0→1519
14	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1518	11-7
15	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1517	6-11
16	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1517	8-9
17	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1502	10-8
18	Atlanta FalconsATL	1487	8-9
19	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1485	9-8
20	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1480	8-9
21	Dallas CowboysDAL	1478	7-9-1
22	Carolina PanthersCAR	1463	8-10
23	Miami DolphinsMIA	1462	7-10
24	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1455	6-11
25	New Orleans SaintsNO	1454	6-11
26	New York GiantsNYG	1447	4-13
27	Washington CommandersWAS	1442	5-12
28	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1437	5-12
29	Arizona CardinalsARI	1432	3-14
30	Tennessee TitansTEN	1402	3-14
31	New York JetsNYJ	1394	3-14
32	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1394	3-14
Favorites:
DEN, SEA

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Wildcard, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1615	14-3	vs SF (1551): Win by 5
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1551): Win by 5 points
2	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1603	13-5	at CHI (1519): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1462): W 34-31: 1603-0→1603
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1519): Slight favorite
3	New England PatriotsNE	1583 (+3)	15-3	vs HOU (1566): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1521): W 16-3: 1580+3→1583
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1566): Slight favorite
4	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1566 (-1)	13-5
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1562): L 24-27: 1567-1→1566
5 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1566 (+6)	13-5	at NE (1583): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1507): W 30-6: 1560+6→1566
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1583): Slight underdog
6 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1563 (+1)	13-5	at DEN (1555): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1567): W 27-24: 1562+1→1563
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1555): Slight underdog
7	Denver BroncosDEN	1555	14-3	vs BUF (1563): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1563): Slight favorite
8	San Francisco 49ersSF	1551 (+1)	13-5	at SEA (1615): Lose by 5
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1533): W 23-19: 1550+1→1551
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1615): Lose by 5 points
9	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1532 (-1)	11-7
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1550): L 19-23: 1533-1→1532
10	Green Bay PackersGB	1532	9-8-1
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1519): L 27-31: 1532-0→1532
11	Detroit LionsDET	1529	9-8
12 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1520	8-9
13 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1519	12-6	vs LAR (1603): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1532): W 31-27: 1519+0→1519
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1603): Slight underdog
14 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1518 (-3)	11-7
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1580): L 3-16: 1521-3→1518
15	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1517	6-11
16	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1517	8-9
17	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1502 (-5)	10-8
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1560): L 6-30: 1507-5→1502
18	Atlanta FalconsATL	1487	8-9
19	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1485	9-8
20	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1480	8-9
21	Dallas CowboysDAL	1478	7-9-1
22	Carolina PanthersCAR	1463 (+1)	8-10
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1603): L 31-34: 1462+1→1463
23	Miami DolphinsMIA	1462	7-10
24	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1455	6-11
25	New Orleans SaintsNO	1454	6-11
26	New York GiantsNYG	1447	4-13
27	Washington CommandersWAS	1442	5-12
28	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1437	5-12
29	Arizona CardinalsARI	1432	3-14
30	Tennessee TitansTEN	1402	3-14
31	New York JetsNYJ	1394	3-14
32	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1394	3-14
Favorites:
DEN, LAR, NE, SEA

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1615 (+4)	14-3	bye
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1554): W 13-3: 1611+4→1615
next: (bye)
2	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1603 (+3)	12-5	at CAR (1462): Win by 5
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1436): W 37-20: 1600+3→1603
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1462): Win by 5 points
3	New England PatriotsNE	1580 (+6)	14-3	vs LAC (1521): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1468): W 38-10: 1574+6→1580
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1521): Slight favorite
4	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1567 (+5)	13-4	vs BUF (1562): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1407): W 41-7: 1562+5→1567
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1562): Slight favorite
5 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1562 (+5)	12-5	at JAX (1567): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1399): W 35-8: 1557+5→1562
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1567): Slight underdog
6 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1560 (+2)	12-5	at PIT (1507): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1519): W 38-30: 1558+2→1560
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1507): Slight favorite
7 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1555 (+5)	14-3	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1526): W 19-3: 1550+5→1555
next: (bye)
8 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1550 (-4)	12-5	at PHI (1533): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1611): L 3-13: 1554-4→1550
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1533): Slight underdog
9 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1533 (-5)	11-6	vs SF (1550): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1437): L 17-24: 1538-5→1533
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1550): Slight favorite
10 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1532 (-6)	9-7-1	at CHI (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1479): L 3-16: 1538-6→1532
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1519): Slight underdog
11	Detroit LionsDET	1529 (+1)	9-8
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1520): W 19-16: 1528+1→1529
12	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1521 (-5)	11-6	at NE (1580): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1550): L 3-19: 1526-5→1521
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1580): Slight underdog
13	Baltimore RavensBAL	1520 (-1)	8-9
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1506): L 24-26: 1521-1→1520
14	Chicago BearsCHI	1519 (-1)	11-6	vs GB (1532): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1528): L 16-19: 1520-1→1519
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1532): Slight favorite
15	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1517 (-3)	6-11
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1391): L 12-14: 1520-3→1517
16	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1517 (-2)	8-9
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1558): L 30-38: 1519-2→1517
17	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1507 (+1)	10-7	vs HOU (1560): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1521): W 26-24: 1506+1→1507
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1560): Slight underdog
18	Atlanta FalconsATL	1487 (+1)	8-9
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1455): W 19-17: 1486+1→1487
19 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1485 (+6)	9-8
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1538): W 16-3: 1479+6→1485
20 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1480 (+1)	8-9
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1463): W 16-14: 1479+1→1480
21 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1478 (-6)	7-9-1
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1440): L 17-34: 1484-6→1478
22 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1462 (-1)	8-9	vs LAR (1603): Lose by 5
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1479): L 14-16: 1463-1→1462
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1603): Lose by 5 points
23 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1462 (-6)	7-10
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1574): L 10-38: 1468-6→1462
24	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1455 (-2)	6-11
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1435): L 18-20: 1457-2→1455
25	New Orleans SaintsNO	1454 (-1)	6-11
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1486): L 17-19: 1455-1→1454
26	New York GiantsNYG	1447 (+7)	4-13
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1484): W 34-17: 1440+7→1447
27	Washington CommandersWAS	1442 (+5)	5-12
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1538): W 24-17: 1437+5→1442
28 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1437 (+2)	5-12
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1457): W 20-18: 1435+2→1437
29 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1432 (-4)	3-14
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1600): L 20-37: 1436-4→1432
30	Tennessee TitansTEN	1402 (-5)	3-14
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1562): L 7-41: 1407-5→1402
31	New York JetsNYJ	1394 (-5)	3-14
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1557): L 8-35: 1399-5→1394
32	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1394 (+3)	3-14
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1520): W 14-12: 1391+3→1394
Favorites:
CHI, HOU, JAX, LAR, NE, PHI

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1611 (+6)	13-3	at SF (1554): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1469): W 27-10: 1605+6→1611
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1554): Slight favorite
2	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1600 (-3)	11-5	vs ARI (1436): Win by 6
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1483): L 24-27: 1603-3→1600
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1436): Win by 6 points
3	New England PatriotsNE	1574 (+7)	13-3	vs MIA (1468): Win by 5
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1407): W 42-10: 1567+7→1574
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1468): Win by 5 points
4 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1562 (+3)	12-4	vs TEN (1407): Win by 6
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1522): W 23-17: 1559+3→1562
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1407): Win by 6 points
5 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1558 (+2)	11-5	vs IND (1519): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1528): W 20-16: 1556+2→1558
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1519): Slight favorite
6 (-2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1557 (-3)	11-5	vs NYJ (1399): Win by 6
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1535): L 12-13: 1560-3→1557
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1399): Win by 6 points
7	San Francisco 49ersSF	1554 (+1)	12-4	vs SEA (1611): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1520): W 42-38: 1553+1→1554
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1611): Slight underdog
8 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1550 (+4)	13-3	vs LAC (1526): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1524): W 20-13: 1546+4→1550
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1526): Slight favorite
9 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1538 (-9)	9-6-1	at MIN (1479): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1511): L 24-41: 1547-9→1538
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1479): Slight favorite
10 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1538 (+3)	11-5	vs WAS (1437): Win by 5
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1560): W 13-12: 1535+3→1538
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1437): Win by 5 points
11 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1528 (-8)	8-8	at CHI (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1472): L 10-23: 1536-8→1528
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1520): Slight underdog
12	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1526 (-2)	11-5	at DEN (1550): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1556): L 16-20: 1528-2→1526
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1550): Slight underdog
13 (+3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1521 (+10)	8-8	at PIT (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1547): W 41-24: 1511+10→1521
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1506): Slight underdog
14 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1520	11-5	vs DET (1528): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1553): L 38-42: 1520-0→1520
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1528): Slight favorite
15 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1520 (-4)	6-10	at LV (1391): Win by 4
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1546): L 13-20: 1524-4→1520
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1391): Win by 4 points
16 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1519 (-3)	8-8	at HOU (1558): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1559): L 17-23: 1522-3→1519
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1558): Slight underdog
17	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1506 (-5)	9-7	vs BAL (1521): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1430): L 6-13: 1511-5→1506
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1521): Slight favorite
18	Atlanta FalconsATL	1486 (+3)	7-9	vs NO (1455): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1603): W 27-24: 1483+3→1486
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1455): Slight favorite
19	Dallas CowboysDAL	1484 (+3)	7-8-1	at NYG (1440): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1441): W 30-23: 1481+3→1484
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1440): Slight favorite
20 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1479 (+7)	8-8	vs GB (1538): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1536): W 23-10: 1472+7→1479
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1538): Slight underdog
21 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1479 (-1)	7-9	vs CAR (1463): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1466): L 17-20: 1480-1→1479
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1463): Slight favorite
22 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1468 (+2)	7-9	at NE (1574): Lose by 5
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1480): W 20-17: 1466+2→1468
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1574): Lose by 5 points
23 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1463 (-6)	8-8	at TB (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1605): L 10-27: 1469-6→1463
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1479): Slight underdog
24 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1457 (+8)	6-10	vs CLE (1435): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1444): W 37-14: 1449+8→1457
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1435): Slight favorite
25 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1455 (+4)	6-10	at ATL (1486): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1412): W 34-26: 1451+4→1455
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1486): Slight underdog
26 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1440 (+9)	3-13	vs DAL (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1401): W 34-10: 1431+9→1440
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1484): Slight underdog
27	Washington CommandersWAS	1437 (-4)	4-12	at PHI (1538): Lose by 5
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1481): L 23-30: 1441-4→1437
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1538): Lose by 5 points
28 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1436 (-8)	3-13	at LAR (1600): Lose by 6
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1449): L 14-37: 1444-8→1436
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1600): Lose by 6 points
29	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1435 (+5)	4-12	at CIN (1457): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1511): W 13-6: 1430+5→1435
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1457): Slight underdog
30	Tennessee TitansTEN	1407 (-5)	3-13	at JAX (1562): Lose by 6
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1451): L 26-34: 1412-5→1407
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1562): Lose by 6 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1399 (-8)	3-13	at BUF (1557): Lose by 6
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1567): L 10-42: 1407-8→1399
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1557): Lose by 6 points
32	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1391 (-10)	2-14	vs KC (1520): Lose by 4
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1431): L 10-34: 1401-10→1391
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1520): Lose by 4 points
Favorites:
ATL, BUF, CHI, CIN, DAL, DEN, GB, HOU,
JAX, KC, LAR, NE, PHI, PIT, SEA, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1605 (+1)	12-3	at CAR (1469): Win by 5
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1603): W 38-37(OT): 1604+1→1605
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1469): Win by 5 points
2	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1603	11-4	at ATL (1483): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1604): L 37-38(OT): 1603-0→1603
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1483): Slight favorite
3	New England PatriotsNE	1567 (+2)	12-3	at NYJ (1407): Win by 5
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1513): W 28-24: 1565+2→1567
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1407): Win by 5 points
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1560	11-4	vs PHI (1535): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1430): W 23-20: 1560-0→1560
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1535): Slight favorite
5 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1559 (+9)	11-4	at IND (1522): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1555): W 34-20: 1550+9→1559
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1522): Slight favorite
6 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1556 (-2)	10-5	at LAC (1528): Tossup
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1399): W 23-21: 1558-2→1556
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1528): Tossup
7 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1553 (+11)	11-4	vs CHI (1520): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1533): W 48-27: 1542+11→1553
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1520): Slight favorite
8	Green Bay PackersGB	1547 (-2)	9-5-1	vs BAL (1511): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1519): L 16-22(OT): 1549-2→1547
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1511): Slight favorite
9 (-3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1546 (-9)	12-3	at KC (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1550): L 20-34: 1555-9→1546
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1524): Slight underdog
10	Detroit LionsDET	1536 (-4)	8-7	at MIN (1472): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1507): L 24-29: 1540-4→1536
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1472): Slight favorite
11 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1535 (+6)	10-5	at BUF (1560): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1448): W 29-18: 1529+6→1535
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1560): Slight underdog
12 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1528 (+10)	11-4	vs HOU (1556): Tossup
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1490): W 34-17: 1518+10→1528
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1556): Tossup
13 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1524 (-12)	6-9	vs DEN (1546): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1400): L 9-26: 1536-12→1524
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1546): Slight favorite
14 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1522 (-11)	8-7	vs JAX (1559): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1542): L 27-48: 1533-11→1522
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1559): Slight underdog
15 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1520 (+1)	11-4	at SF (1553): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1549): W 22-16(OT): 1519+1→1520
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1553): Slight underdog
16	Baltimore RavensBAL	1511 (-2)	7-8	at GB (1547): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1565): L 24-28: 1513-2→1511
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1547): Slight underdog
17	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1511 (+4)	9-6	at CLE (1430): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1540): W 29-24: 1507+4→1511
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1430): Slight favorite
18 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1483 (+4)	6-9	vs LAR (1603): Slight 'dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1449): W 26-19: 1479+4→1483
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1603): Slight underdog
19 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1481 (-9)	6-8-1	at WAS (1441): Tossup
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1518): L 17-34: 1490-9→1481
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1441): Tossup
20 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1480 (-2)	7-8	at MIA (1466): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1467): L 20-23: 1482-2→1480
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1466): Slight underdog
21 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1472 (+2)	7-8	vs DET (1536): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1433): W 16-13: 1470+2→1472
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1536): Slight underdog
22 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1469 (+2)	8-7	vs SEA (1605): Lose by 5
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1482): W 23-20: 1467+2→1469
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1605): Lose by 5 points
23 (-3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1466 (-13)	6-9	vs TB (1480): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1436): L 21-45: 1479-13→1466
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1480): Slight favorite
24 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1451 (+10)	5-10	at TEN (1412): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1417): W 29-6: 1441+10→1451
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1412): Slight favorite
25 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1449 (+13)	5-10	vs ARI (1444): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1479): W 45-21: 1436+13→1449
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1444): Slight favorite
26 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1444 (-5)	3-12	at CIN (1449): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1479): L 19-26: 1449-5→1444
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1449): Slight underdog
27 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1441 (-7)	4-11	vs DAL (1481): Tossup
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1529): L 18-29: 1448-7→1441
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1481): Tossup
28	New York GiantsNYG	1431 (-2)	2-13	at LV (1401): Tossup
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1470): L 13-16: 1433-2→1431
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1401): Tossup
29	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1430	3-12	vs PIT (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1560): L 20-23: 1430+0→1430
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1511): Slight underdog
30 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1412 (+12)	3-12	vs NO (1451): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1536): W 26-9: 1400+12→1412
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1451): Slight underdog
31 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1407 (-10)	3-12	vs NE (1567): Lose by 5
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1441): L 6-29: 1417-10→1407
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1567): Lose by 5 points
32	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1401 (+2)	2-13	vs NYG (1431): Tossup
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1558): L 21-23: 1399+2→1401
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1431): Tossup
Favorites:
BUF, CIN, DAL, DET, GB, JAX, KC, LAC,
LAR, LV, MIA, NE, NO, PIT, SEA, SF

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1604	11-3	vs LAR (1603): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1533): W 18-16: 1604-0→1604
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1603): Slight favorite
2	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1603 (+3)	11-3	at SEA (1604): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1543): W 41-34: 1600+3→1603
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1604): Slight underdog
3	New England PatriotsNE	1565 (-4)	11-3	at BAL (1513): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1556): L 31-35: 1569-4→1565
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1513): Slight favorite
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1560 (+4)	10-4	at CLE (1430): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1569): W 35-31: 1556+4→1560
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1430): Slight favorite
5 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1558 (+9)	9-5	vs LV (1399): Win by 6
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1458): W 40-20: 1549+9→1558
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1399): Win by 6 points
6	Denver BroncosDEN	1555 (+5)	12-2	vs JAX (1550): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1554): W 34-26: 1550+5→1555
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1550): Slight favorite
7 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1550 (+10)	10-4	at DEN (1555): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1427): W 48-20: 1540+10→1550
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1555): Slight underdog
8 (-3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1549 (-5)	9-4-1	at CHI (1519): Tossup
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1550): L 26-34: 1554-5→1549
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1519): Tossup
9 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1542 (+5)	10-4	at IND (1533): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1406): W 37-24: 1537+5→1542
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1533): Slight underdog
10 (-2)	Detroit LionsDET	1540 (-3)	8-6	vs PIT (1507): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1600): L 34-41: 1543-3→1540
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1507): Slight favorite
11 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1536 (-3)	6-8	at TEN (1400): Win by 4
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1514): L 13-16: 1539-3→1536
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1400): Win by 4 points
12	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1533	8-6	vs SF (1542): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1604): L 16-18: 1533+0→1533
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1542): Slight favorite
13	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1529 (+11)	9-5	at WAS (1448): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1409): W 31-0: 1518+11→1529
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1448): Slight favorite
14 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1519 (+11)	10-4	vs GB (1549): Tossup
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1441): W 31-3: 1508+11→1519
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1549): Tossup
15 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1518 (+4)	10-4	at DAL (1490): Tossup
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1539): W 16-13: 1514+4→1518
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1490): Tossup
16	Baltimore RavensBAL	1513 (+13)	7-7	vs NE (1565): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1449): W 24-0: 1500+13→1513
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1565): Slight underdog
17 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1507 (+9)	8-6	at DET (1540): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1488): W 28-15: 1498+9→1507
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1540): Slight underdog
18 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1490 (-9)	6-7-1	vs LAC (1518): Tossup
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1462): L 26-34: 1499-9→1490
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1518): Tossup
19 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1482 (-3)	7-7	at CAR (1467): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1475): L 28-29: 1485-3→1482
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1467): Slight underdog
20 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1479 (-9)	6-8	vs CIN (1436): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1498): L 15-28: 1488-9→1479
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1436): Slight favorite
21	Atlanta FalconsATL	1479 (+4)	5-9	at ARI (1449): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1485): W 29-28: 1475+4→1479
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1449): Slight favorite
22 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1470 (+8)	6-8	at NYG (1433): Tossup
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1499): W 34-26: 1462+8→1470
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1433): Tossup
23 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1467 (-3)	7-7	vs TB (1482): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1438): L 17-20: 1470-3→1467
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1482): Slight favorite
24	Arizona CardinalsARI	1449 (-9)	3-11	vs ATL (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1549): L 20-40: 1458-9→1449
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1479): Slight underdog
25 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1448 (+8)	4-10	vs PHI (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1440): W 29-21: 1440+8→1448
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1529): Slight underdog
26 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1441 (+3)	4-10	vs NYJ (1417): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1470): W 20-17: 1438+3→1441
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1417): Slight favorite
27 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1436 (-13)	4-10	at MIA (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): L 0-24: 1449-13→1436
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1479): Slight underdog
28	New York GiantsNYG	1433 (-7)	2-12	vs MIN (1470): Tossup
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1440): L 21-29: 1440-7→1433
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1470): Tossup
29 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1430 (-11)	3-11	vs BUF (1560): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1508): L 3-31: 1441-11→1430
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1560): Slight underdog
30	New York JetsNYJ	1417 (-10)	3-11	at NO (1441): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1540): L 20-48: 1427-10→1417
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1441): Slight underdog
31 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1400 (-6)	2-12	vs KC (1536): Lose by 4
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1537): L 24-37: 1406-6→1400
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1536): Lose by 4 points
32 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1399 (-10)	2-12	at HOU (1558): Lose by 6
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1518): L 0-31: 1409-10→1399
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1558): Lose by 6 points
Favorites:
ATL, BUF, CAR, CHI, DAL, DEN, DET, HOU,
IND, KC, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, PHI, SEA

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1604 (+13)	10-3	vs IND (1533): Win by 4
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1489): W 37-9: 1591+13→1604
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1533): Win by 4 points
2	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1600 (+13)	10-3	vs DET (1543): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1471): W 45-17: 1587+13→1600
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1543): Slight favorite
3	New England PatriotsNE	1569	11-2	vs BUF (1556): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1556): Slight favorite
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1556	9-4	at NE (1569): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1449): W 39-34: 1556+0→1556
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1569): Slight underdog
5	Green Bay PackersGB	1554 (+4)	9-3-1	at DEN (1550): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1512): W 28-21: 1550+4→1554
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1550): Slight underdog
6 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1550 (+4)	11-2	vs GB (1554): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1412): W 24-17: 1546+4→1550
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1554): Slight favorite
7 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1549 (+10)	8-5	vs ARI (1458): Win by 5
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1550): W 20-10: 1539+10→1549
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1458): Win by 5 points
8 (+3)	Detroit LionsDET	1543 (+10)	8-5	at LAR (1600): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1509): W 44-30: 1533+10→1543
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1600): Slight underdog
9 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1540 (+13)	9-4	vs NYJ (1427): Win by 5
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1546): W 36-19: 1527+13→1540
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1427): Win by 5 points
10 (-4)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1539 (-11)	6-7	vs LAC (1514): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1539): L 10-20: 1550-11→1539
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1514): Slight favorite
11 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1537	9-4	vs TEN (1406): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1406): Win by 6 points
12 (-4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1533 (-13)	8-5	at SEA (1604): Lose by 4
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1527): L 19-36: 1546-13→1533
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1604): Lose by 4 points
13	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1518 (-1)	8-5	vs LV (1409): Win by 5
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1513): L 19-22(OT): 1519-1→1518
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1409): Win by 5 points
14	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1514 (+1)	9-4	at KC (1539): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1519): W 22-19(OT): 1513+1→1514
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1539): Slight underdog
15	Chicago BearsCHI	1508 (-4)	9-4	vs CLE (1441): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1550): L 21-28: 1512-4→1508
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1441): Slight favorite
16 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1500 (-5)	6-7	at CIN (1449): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1493): L 22-27: 1505-5→1500
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1449): Slight favorite
17 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1499 (-10)	6-6-1	vs MIN (1462): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1533): L 30-44: 1509-10→1499
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1462): Slight favorite
18	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1498 (+5)	7-6	vs MIA (1488): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1505): W 27-22: 1493+5→1498
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1488): Slight favorite
19 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1488 (+15)	6-7	at PIT (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1441): W 34-10: 1473+15→1488
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1498): Slight underdog
20 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1485 (-5)	7-6	vs ATL (1475): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1434): L 20-24: 1490-5→1485
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1475): Slight favorite
21 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1475 (-14)	4-9	at TB (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1591): L 9-37: 1489-14→1475
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1485): Slight underdog
22 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1470	7-6	at NO (1438): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1438): Slight favorite
23 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1462 (+15)	5-8	at DAL (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1455): W 31-0: 1447+15→1462
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1499): Slight underdog
24 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1458 (-13)	3-10	at HOU (1549): Lose by 5
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1587): L 17-45: 1471-13→1458
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1549): Lose by 5 points
25	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1449	4-9	vs BAL (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1556): L 34-39: 1449-0→1449
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): Slight underdog
26 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1441 (-5)	3-10	at CHI (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1401): L 29-31: 1446-5→1441
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1508): Slight underdog
27 (-3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1440 (-15)	3-10	at NYG (1440): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1447): L 0-31: 1455-15→1440
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1440): Slight underdog
28 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1440	2-11	vs WAS (1440): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1440): Slight favorite
29 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1438 (+4)	3-10	vs CAR (1470): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1490): W 24-20: 1434+4→1438
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1470): Slight underdog
30 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1427 (-14)	3-10	at JAX (1540): Lose by 5
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1473): L 10-34: 1441-14→1427
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1540): Lose by 5 points
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1409 (-3)	2-11	at PHI (1518): Lose by 5
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1546): L 17-24: 1412-3→1409
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1518): Lose by 5 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1406 (+5)	2-11	at SF (1537): Lose by 6
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1446): W 31-29: 1401+5→1406
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1537): Lose by 6 points
Favorites:
BAL, CAR, CHI, DAL, DEN, HOU, JAX, KC,
LAR, NE, NYG, PHI, PIT, SEA, SF, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1591 (+12)	9-3	at ATL (1489): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1460): W 26-0: 1579+12→1591
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1489): Slight favorite
2 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1587 (-6)	9-3	at ARI (1471): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1464): L 28-31: 1593-6→1587
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1471): Slight favorite
3	New England PatriotsNE	1569 (+11)	11-2	bye
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1451): W 33-15: 1558+11→1569
next: (bye)
4 (+4)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1556 (+15)	8-4	vs CIN (1449): Win by 5
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1508): W 26-7: 1541+15→1556
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1449): Win by 5 points
5 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1550 (+8)	8-3-1	vs CHI (1512): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1541): W 31-24: 1542+8→1550
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1512): Slight favorite
6 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1550 (-3)	6-6	vs HOU (1539): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1505): L 28-31: 1553-3→1550
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1539): Slight favorite
7 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1546	10-2	at LV (1412): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1455): W 27-26(OT): 1546+0→1546
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1412): Slight favorite
8 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1546 (-3)	8-4	at JAX (1527): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1535): L 16-20: 1549-3→1546
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1527): Slight underdog
9 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1539 (+4)	7-5	at KC (1550): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1549): W 20-16: 1535+4→1539
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1550): Slight underdog
10 (+3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1537 (+14)	9-4	bye
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1460): W 26-8: 1523+14→1537
next: (bye)
11 (-2)	Detroit LionsDET	1533 (-8)	7-5	vs DAL (1509): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1542): L 24-31: 1541-8→1533
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1509): Slight favorite
12 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1527 (+14)	8-4	vs IND (1546): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1415): W 25-3: 1513+14→1527
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1546): Slight favorite
13 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1519 (-11)	8-4	at LAC (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1501): L 15-24: 1530-11→1519
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1513): Slight underdog
14 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1513 (+11)	8-4	vs PHI (1519): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1423): W 31-14: 1502+11→1513
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1519): Slight favorite
15 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1512 (+11)	9-3	at GB (1550): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1530): W 24-15: 1501+11→1512
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1550): Slight underdog
16	Dallas CowboysDAL	1509 (+4)	6-5-1	at DET (1533): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1553): W 31-28: 1505+4→1509
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1533): Slight underdog
17 (-5)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1505 (-19)	6-6	vs PIT (1493): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1430): L 14-32: 1524-19→1505
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1493): Slight favorite
18 (-3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1493 (-15)	6-6	at BAL (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1541): L 7-26: 1508-15→1493
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1505): Slight underdog
19 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1490 (+1)	7-5	vs NO (1434): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1472): W 20-17: 1489+1→1490
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1434): Slight favorite
20 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1489 (-3)	4-8	vs SEA (1591): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1438): L 24-27: 1492-3→1489
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1591): Slight underdog
21	Miami DolphinsMIA	1473	5-7	at NYJ (1441): Tossup
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1434): W 21-17: 1473+0→1473
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1441): Tossup
22	Arizona CardinalsARI	1471 (-1)	3-9	vs LAR (1587): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1489): L 17-20: 1472-1→1471
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1587): Slight underdog
23	Carolina PanthersCAR	1470 (+6)	7-6	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1593): W 31-28: 1464+6→1470
next: (bye)
24 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1455	3-9	at MIN (1447): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1546): L 26-27(OT): 1455-0→1455
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1447): Slight underdog
25 (+5)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1449 (+19)	4-8	at BUF (1556): Lose by 5
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1524): W 32-14: 1430+19→1449
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1556): Lose by 5 points
26 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1447 (-13)	4-8	vs WAS (1455): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1579): L 0-26: 1460-13→1447
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1455): Slight favorite
27 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1446 (-14)	3-9	vs TEN (1401): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1523): L 8-26: 1460-14→1446
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1401): Slight favorite
28	New York JetsNYJ	1441 (+3)	3-9	vs MIA (1473): Tossup
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1492): W 27-24: 1438+3→1441
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1473): Tossup
29 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1440 (-11)	2-11	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1558): L 15-33: 1451-11→1440
next: (bye)
30 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1434	2-10	at TB (1490): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1473): L 17-21: 1434-0→1434
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1490): Slight underdog
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1412 (-11)	2-10	vs DEN (1546): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1502): L 14-31: 1423-11→1412
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1546): Slight underdog
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1401 (-14)	1-11	at CLE (1446): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1513): L 3-25: 1415-14→1401
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1446): Slight underdog
Favorites:
BAL, BUF, CLE, DEN, DET, GB, JAX, KC,
LAC, LAR, MIN, NYJ, SEA, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2025 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1593 (+16)	9-2	at CAR (1464): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1504): W 34-7: 1577+16→1593
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1464): Slight favorite
2	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1579 (+3)	8-3	vs MIN (1460): Win by 5
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1417): W 30-24: 1576+3→1579
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1460): Win by 5 points
3	New England PatriotsNE	1558 (+3)	10-2	vs NYG (1451): Win by 5
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1433): W 26-20: 1555+3→1558
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1451): Win by 5 points
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1553 (+1)	6-5	at DAL (1505): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1550): W 23-20(OT): 1552+1→1553
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1505): Slight favorite
5	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1549 (-1)	8-3	vs HOU (1535): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1552): L 20-23(OT): 1550-1→1549
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1535): Slight favorite
6	Denver BroncosDEN	1546	9-2	at WAS (1455): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1455): Slight favorite
7 (+4)	Green Bay PackersGB	1542 (+13)	7-3-1	at DET (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1473): W 23-6: 1529+13→1542
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1541): Slight underdog
8	Buffalo BillsBUF	1541 (-2)	7-4	at PIT (1508): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1533): L 19-23: 1543-2→1541
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1508): Slight favorite
9 (-2)	Detroit LionsDET	1541 (-2)	7-4	vs GB (1542): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1448): W 34-27(OT): 1543-2→1541
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1542): Slight favorite
10	Houston TexansHOU	1535 (+2)	6-5	at IND (1549): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1543): W 23-19: 1533+2→1535
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1549): Slight underdog
11 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1530 (-4)	8-3	vs CHI (1501): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1502): L 21-24: 1534-4→1530
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1501): Slight favorite
12	Baltimore RavensBAL	1524 (+11)	6-5	vs CIN (1430): Win by 5
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1449): W 23-10: 1513+11→1524
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1430): Win by 5 points
13	San Francisco 49ersSF	1523 (+10)	8-4	at CLE (1460): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1474): W 20-9: 1513+10→1523
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1460): Slight favorite
14	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1513 (+2)	7-4	at TEN (1415): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1474): W 27-24(OT): 1511+2→1513
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1415): Slight favorite
15	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1508 (-2)	6-5	vs BUF (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1499): L 28-31: 1510-2→1508
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1541): Slight underdog
16 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1505 (+3)	5-5-1	vs KC (1553): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1534): W 24-21: 1502+3→1505
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1553): Slight underdog
17	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1502	7-4	vs LV (1423): Win by 5
prev: (bye)
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1423): Win by 5 points
18 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1501 (+2)	8-3	at PHI (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1510): W 31-28: 1499+2→1501
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1530): Slight underdog
19 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1492 (+15)	4-7	at NYJ (1438): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1449): W 24-10: 1477+15→1492
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1438): Slight favorite
20 (-4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1489 (-15)	6-5	vs ARI (1472): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1577): L 7-34: 1504-15→1489
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1472): Slight favorite
21 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1473	4-7	vs NO (1434): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1434): Slight favorite
22 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1472 (-2)	3-8	at TB (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1511): L 24-27(OT): 1474-2→1472
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1489): Slight underdog
23 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1464 (-10)	6-6	vs LAR (1593): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1513): L 9-20: 1474-10→1464
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1593): Slight underdog
24 (+5)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1460 (+15)	3-8	vs SF (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1439): W 24-10: 1445+15→1460
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1523): Slight underdog
25 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1460 (-13)	4-7	at SEA (1579): Lose by 5
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1529): L 6-23: 1473-13→1460
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1579): Lose by 5 points
26 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1455	3-8	vs DEN (1546): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1546): Slight underdog
27 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1451 (+3)	2-10	at NE (1558): Lose by 5
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1543): L 27-34(OT): 1448+3→1451
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1558): Lose by 5 points
28 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1438 (-11)	2-9	vs ATL (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1513): L 10-23: 1449-11→1438
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1492): Slight underdog
29 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1434 (-15)	2-9	at MIA (1473): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1477): L 10-24: 1449-15→1434
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1473): Slight underdog
30 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1430 (-3)	3-8	at BAL (1524): Lose by 5
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1555): L 20-26: 1433-3→1430
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1524): Lose by 5 points
31 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1423 (-16)	2-9	at LAC (1502): Lose by 5
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1445): L 10-24: 1439-16→1423
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1502): Lose by 5 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1415 (-2)	1-10	vs JAX (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1576): L 24-30: 1417-2→1415
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1513): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ATL, BAL, BUF, DEN, DET, IND, JAX, KC,
LAC, LAR, MIA, NE, PHI, SEA, SF, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2025 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1577 (+2)	8-2	vs TB (1504): Win by 4
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1579): W 21-19: 1575+2→1577
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1504): Win by 4 points
2 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1576 (-3)	7-3	at TEN (1417): Win by 5
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1575): L 19-21: 1579-3→1576
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1417): Win by 5 points
3 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1555 (+11)	9-2	at CIN (1433): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1460): W 27-14: 1544+11→1555
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1433): Slight favorite
4 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1552 (-2)	5-5	vs IND (1550): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1544): L 19-22: 1554-2→1552
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1550): Slight favorite
5	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1550	8-2	at KC (1552): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1552): Slight underdog
6 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1546 (+2)	9-2	bye
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1554): W 22-19: 1544+2→1546
next: (bye)
7 (-3)	Detroit LionsDET	1543 (-9)	6-4	vs NYG (1448): Win by 5
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1525): L 9-16: 1552-9→1543
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1448): Win by 5 points
8 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1543 (+12)	7-3	at HOU (1533): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1517): W 44-32: 1531+12→1543
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1533): Slight underdog
9 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1534 (+9)	8-2	at DAL (1502): Tossup
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1552): W 16-9: 1525+9→1534
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1502): Tossup
10 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1533 (+1)	5-5	vs BUF (1543): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1418): W 16-13: 1532+1→1533
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1543): Slight favorite
11 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1529 (+8)	6-3-1	vs MIN (1473): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1456): W 27-20: 1521+8→1529
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1473): Slight favorite
12 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1513 (+7)	5-5	vs NYJ (1449): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1453): W 23-16: 1506+7→1513
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1449): Slight favorite
13 (+5)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1513 (+20)	7-4	vs CAR (1474): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1494): W 41-22: 1493+20→1513
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1474): Slight favorite
14 (+5)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1511 (+21)	6-4	at ARI (1474): Tossup
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1524): W 35-6: 1490+21→1511
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1474): Tossup
15 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1510 (+17)	6-4	at CHI (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1450): W 34-12: 1493+17→1510
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1499): Slight underdog
16 (-3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1504 (-13)	6-4	at LAR (1577): Lose by 4
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1531): L 32-44: 1517-13→1504
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1577): Lose by 4 points
17 (-6)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1502 (-22)	7-4	bye
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1490): L 6-35: 1524-22→1502
next: (bye)
18 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1502 (+18)	4-5-1	vs PHI (1534): Tossup
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1457): W 33-16: 1484+18→1502
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1534): Tossup
19 (-4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1499 (+4)	7-3	vs PIT (1510): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1477): W 19-17: 1495+4→1499
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1510): Slight favorite
20 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1477 (-4)	3-7	at NO (1449): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1470): L 27-30(OT): 1481-4→1477
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1449): Slight underdog
21 (-5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1474 (-20)	3-7	vs JAX (1511): Tossup
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1493): L 22-41: 1494-20→1474
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1511): Tossup
22 (+2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1474 (+4)	6-5	at SF (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1481): W 30-27(OT): 1470+4→1474
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1513): Slight underdog
23	Miami DolphinsMIA	1473 (+2)	4-7	bye
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1457): W 16-13(OT): 1471+2→1473
next: (bye)
24 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1473 (-4)	4-6	at GB (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1495): L 17-19: 1477-4→1473
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1529): Slight underdog
25 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1455 (-2)	3-8	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1471): L 13-16(OT): 1457-2→1455
next: (bye)
26 (+5)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1449	2-8	vs ATL (1477): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1477): Slight favorite
27 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1449 (-11)	2-8	at BAL (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1544): L 14-27: 1460-11→1449
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1513): Slight underdog
28	New York GiantsNYG	1448 (-8)	2-9	at DET (1543): Lose by 5
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1521): L 20-27: 1456-8→1448
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1543): Lose by 5 points
29	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1445 (-8)	2-8	at LV (1439): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1506): L 16-23: 1453-8→1445
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1439): Slight underdog
30 (-3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1439 (-18)	2-8	vs CLE (1445): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1484): L 16-33: 1457-18→1439
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1445): Slight favorite
31 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1433 (-17)	3-7	vs NE (1555): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1493): L 12-34: 1450-17→1433
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1555): Slight underdog
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1417 (-1)	1-9	vs SEA (1576): Lose by 5
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1532): L 13-16: 1418-1→1417
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1576): Lose by 5 points
Favorites:
BAL, CHI, DET, GB, HOU, JAX, KC, LAR,
LV, NE, NO, PHI, SEA, SF

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2025 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1579 (+16)	7-2	at LAR (1575): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1511): W 44-22: 1563+16→1579
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1575): Slight underdog
2	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1575 (+17)	7-2	vs SEA (1579): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1510): W 42-26: 1558+17→1575
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1579): Slight favorite
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1554	5-4	at DEN (1544): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1544): Slight underdog
4 (+4)	Detroit LionsDET	1552 (+19)	6-3	at PHI (1525): Tossup
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1476): W 44-22: 1533+19→1552
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1525): Tossup
5 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1550 (-1)	8-2	bye
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1481): W 31-25(OT): 1551-1→1550
next: (bye)
6 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1544 (+6)	8-2	vs NYJ (1460): Win by 5
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1523): W 28-23: 1538+6→1544
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1460): Win by 5 points
7 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1544 (-1)	8-2	vs KC (1554): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1455): W 10-7: 1545-1→1544
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1554): Slight favorite
8 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1532 (+6)	4-5	at TEN (1418): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1496): W 36-29: 1526+6→1532
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1418): Slight favorite
9 (-4)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1531 (-20)	6-3	vs TB (1517): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1451): L 13-30: 1551-20→1531
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1517): Slight favorite
10 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1525 (+4)	7-2	vs DET (1552): Tossup
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1526): W 10-7: 1521+4→1525
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1552): Tossup
11 (+5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1524 (+16)	7-3	at JAX (1490): Tossup
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1508): W 25-10: 1508+16→1524
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1490): Tossup
12 (-3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1521 (-5)	5-3-1	at NYG (1456): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1521): L 7-10: 1526-5→1521
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1456): Slight favorite
13 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1517 (-6)	6-3	at BUF (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1538): L 23-28: 1523-6→1517
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1531): Slight underdog
14 (+4)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1506 (+11)	4-5	at CLE (1453): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1487): W 27-19: 1495+11→1506
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1453): Slight favorite
15 (+4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1495 (+1)	6-3	at MIN (1477): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1456): W 24-20: 1494+1→1495
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1477): Slight underdog
16 (-3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1494 (-17)	3-6	vs SF (1493): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1563): L 22-44: 1511-17→1494
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1493): Slight favorite
17 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1493 (-15)	5-4	vs CIN (1450): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1508): L 10-25: 1508-15→1493
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1450): Slight favorite
18 (-4)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1493 (-17)	6-4	at ARI (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1558): L 26-42: 1510-17→1493
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1494): Slight underdog
19 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1490 (-6)	5-4	vs LAC (1524): Tossup
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1526): L 29-36: 1496-6→1490
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1524): Tossup
20 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1484	3-5-1	at LV (1457): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1457): Tossup
21 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1481	3-6	vs CAR (1470): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1551): L 25-31(OT): 1481+0→1481
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1470): Slight favorite
22 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1477 (-10)	4-5	vs CHI (1495): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1495): L 19-27: 1487-10→1477
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1495): Slight favorite
23 (+6)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1471 (+20)	3-7	at WAS (1457): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1551): W 30-13: 1451+20→1471
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1457): Slight favorite
24 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1470 (-16)	5-5	at ATL (1481): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1433): L 7-17: 1486-16→1470
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1481): Slight underdog
25 (+3)	New York JetsNYJ	1460 (+8)	2-7	at NE (1544): Lose by 5
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1460): W 27-20: 1452+8→1460
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1544): Lose by 5 points
26 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1457 (-19)	3-7	at MIA (1471): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1533): L 22-44: 1476-19→1457
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1471): Slight underdog
27	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1457 (+2)	2-7	vs DAL (1484): Tossup
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1545): L 7-10: 1455+2→1457
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1484): Tossup
28 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1456	2-8	vs GB (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1494): L 20-24: 1456-0→1456
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1521): Slight underdog
29 (-4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1453 (-7)	2-7	vs BAL (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1452): L 20-27: 1460-7→1453
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1506): Slight underdog
30	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1450	3-6	at PIT (1493): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1493): Slight underdog
31	New Orleans SaintsNO	1449 (+16)	2-8	bye
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1486): W 17-7: 1433+16→1449
next: (bye)
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1418	1-8	vs HOU (1532): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1532): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, DEN, GB, HOU, LAC,
LAR, LV, MIA, MIN, NE, PHI, PIT

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2025 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1563 (+15)	6-2	vs ARI (1511): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1490): W 38-14: 1548+15→1563
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1511): Slight favorite
2 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1558 (+7)	6-2	at SF (1510): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1440): W 34-10: 1551+7→1558
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1510): Slight favorite
3 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1554 (-10)	5-4	bye
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1541): L 21-28: 1564-10→1554
next: (bye)
4 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1551 (-16)	7-2	at ATL (1481): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1493): L 20-27: 1567-16→1551
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1481): Slight favorite
5 (+3)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1551 (+10)	6-2	at MIA (1451): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1564): W 28-21: 1541+10→1551
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1451): Slight favorite
6 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1545 (+3)	7-2	vs LV (1455): Win by 5
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1529): W 18-15: 1542+3→1545
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1455): Win by 5 points
7 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1538 (-5)	7-2	at TB (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1475): W 24-23: 1543-5→1538
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1523): Slight underdog
8 (-3)	Detroit LionsDET	1533 (-13)	5-3	at WAS (1476): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1475): L 24-27: 1546-13→1533
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1476): Slight favorite
9	Green Bay PackersGB	1526 (-12)	5-2-1	vs PHI (1521): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1473): L 13-16: 1538-12→1526
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1521): Slight favorite
10	Houston TexansHOU	1526 (-3)	3-5	vs JAX (1496): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1542): L 15-18: 1529-3→1526
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1496): Slight favorite
11	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1523	6-2	vs NE (1538): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1538): Slight favorite
12	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1521	6-2	at GB (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1526): Slight underdog
13 (+4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1511 (+14)	3-5	at SEA (1563): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1498): W 27-17: 1497+14→1511
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1563): Slight underdog
14	San Francisco 49ersSF	1510 (+10)	6-3	vs LAR (1558): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1466): W 34-24: 1500+10→1510
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1558): Slight underdog
15 (+4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1508 (+15)	5-3	at LAC (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1567): W 27-20: 1493+15→1508
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1508): Slight underdog
16 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1508 (-1)	6-3	vs PIT (1508): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1417): W 27-20: 1509-1→1508
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1508): Slight favorite
17 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1496 (-2)	5-3	at HOU (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1454): W 30-29(OT): 1498-2→1496
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1526): Slight underdog
18 (+5)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1495 (+21)	3-5	at MIN (1487): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1472): W 28-6: 1474+21→1495
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1487): Slight underdog
19 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1494 (+1)	5-3	vs NYG (1456): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1452): W 47-42: 1493+1→1494
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1456): Slight favorite
20 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1487 (+12)	4-4	vs BAL (1495): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1546): W 27-24: 1475+12→1487
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1495): Slight favorite
21 (+3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1486 (+13)	5-4	vs NO (1433): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1538): W 16-13: 1473+13→1486
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1433): Slight favorite
22 (-7)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1484 (-14)	3-5-1	bye
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1497): L 17-27: 1498-14→1484
next: (bye)
23 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1481 (+6)	3-5	at IND (1551): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1543): L 23-24: 1475+6→1481
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1551): Slight underdog
24 (-4)	Washington CommandersWAS	1476 (-14)	3-6	vs DET (1533): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1548): L 14-38: 1490-14→1476
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1533): Slight underdog
25 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1460	2-6	at NYJ (1452): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1452): Slight underdog
26	New York GiantsNYG	1456 (-10)	2-7	at CHI (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): L 24-34: 1466-10→1456
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1494): Slight underdog
27 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1455 (+1)	2-6	at DEN (1545): Lose by 5
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1498): L 29-30(OT): 1454+1→1455
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1545): Lose by 5 points
28 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1452	1-7	vs CLE (1460): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1460): Slight favorite
29 (-4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1451 (-21)	2-7	vs BUF (1551): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1474): L 6-28: 1472-21→1451
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1551): Slight underdog
30	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1450 (-2)	3-6	bye
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1493): L 42-47: 1452-2→1450
next: (bye)
31	New Orleans SaintsNO	1433 (-7)	1-8	at CAR (1486): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1551): L 10-34: 1440-7→1433
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1486): Slight underdog
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1418 (+1)	1-8	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1509): L 20-27: 1417+1→1418
next: (bye)
Favorites:
BUF, CAR, CHI, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND,
LAC, LAR, MIN, NYJ, SEA, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2025 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1567 (+7)	7-1	at PIT (1493): Win by 6
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1424): W 38-14: 1560+7→1567
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1493): Win by 6 points
2 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1564 (+13)	5-3	at BUF (1541): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1503): W 28-7: 1551+13→1564
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1541): Slight favorite
3 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1551	5-2	vs NO (1440): Win by 11
prev: (bye)
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1440): Win by 11 points
4	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1548	5-2	at WAS (1490): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1490): Win by 6 points
5	Detroit LionsDET	1546	5-2	vs MIN (1475): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1475): Win by 8 points
6	New England PatriotsNE	1543 (+11)	6-2	vs ATL (1475): Win by 7
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1472): W 32-13: 1532+11→1543
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1475): Win by 7 points
7 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1542 (+17)	6-2	at HOU (1529): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1515): W 44-24: 1525+17→1542
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1529): Slight favorite
8 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1541 (+20)	5-2	vs KC (1564): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1493): W 40-9: 1521+20→1541
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1564): Slight underdog
9 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1538 (+12)	5-1-1	vs CAR (1473): Win by 7
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1504): W 35-25: 1526+12→1538
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1473): Win by 7 points
10	Houston TexansHOU	1529 (+12)	3-4	vs DEN (1542): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1512): W 26-15: 1517+12→1529
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1542): Slight underdog
11 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1523 (+15)	6-2	bye
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1455): W 23-3: 1508+15→1523
next: (bye)
12 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1521 (+15)	6-2	bye
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1480): W 38-20: 1506+15→1521
next: (bye)
13 (+10)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1509 (+20)	5-3	at TEN (1417): Win by 8
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1495): W 37-10: 1489+20→1509
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1417): Win by 8 points
14 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1500 (-12)	5-3	at NYG (1466): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1517): L 15-26: 1512-12→1500
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1466): Slight favorite
15 (-4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1498 (-17)	3-4-1	vs ARI (1497): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1525): L 24-44: 1515-17→1498
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1497): Slight favorite
16 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1498	4-3	at LV (1454): Win by 4
prev: (bye)
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1454): Win by 4 points
17 (+3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1497	2-5	at DAL (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1498): Slight underdog
18 (-6)	Chicago BearsCHI	1493 (-20)	4-3	at CIN (1452): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1454): L 16-30: 1513-20→1493
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1452): Slight favorite
19 (-3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1493 (-11)	4-3	vs IND (1567): Lose by 6
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1526): L 25-35: 1504-11→1493
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1567): Lose by 6 points
20 (-3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1490 (-13)	3-5	vs SEA (1548): Lose by 6
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1551): L 7-28: 1503-13→1490
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1548): Lose by 6 points
21 (-3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1475 (-28)	3-4	at NE (1543): Lose by 7
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1445): L 10-34: 1503-28→1475
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1543): Lose by 7 points
22 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1475 (-20)	3-4	at DET (1546): Lose by 8
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1489): L 10-37: 1495-20→1475
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1546): Lose by 8 points
23 (+5)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1474 (+20)	2-5	at MIA (1472): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1513): W 30-16: 1454+20→1474
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1472): Slight underdog
24 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1473 (-20)	4-4	at GB (1538): Lose by 7
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1521): L 9-40: 1493-20→1473
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1538): Lose by 7 points
25 (+6)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1472 (+27)	2-6	vs BAL (1474): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1503): W 34-10: 1445+27→1472
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1474): Slight favorite
26 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1466 (-14)	2-6	vs SF (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1506): L 20-38: 1480-14→1466
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): Slight underdog
27 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1460 (-12)	2-6	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1532): L 13-32: 1472-12→1460
next: (bye)
28 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1454	2-5	vs JAX (1498): Lose by 4
prev: (bye)
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1498): Lose by 4 points
29 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1452 (+7)	1-7	bye
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1458): W 39-38: 1445+7→1452
next: (bye)
30 (-4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1452 (-6)	3-5	vs CHI (1493): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1445): L 38-39: 1458-6→1452
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1493): Slight underdog
31 (-4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1440 (-15)	1-7	at LAR (1551): Lose by 11
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1508): L 3-23: 1455-15→1440
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1551): Lose by 11 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1417 (-7)	1-7	vs LAC (1509): Lose by 8
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1560): L 14-38: 1424-7→1417
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1509): Lose by 8 points
Favorites:
CHI, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, IND, JAX, KC,
LAC, LAR, MIA, NE, SEA, SF

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2025 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1560 (+13)	6-1	vs TEN (1424): Win by 11
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1502): W 38-24: 1547+13→1560
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1424): Win by 11 points
2 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1551 (+20)	5-2	bye
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1518): W 35-7: 1531+20→1551
next: (bye)
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1551 (+14)	4-3	vs WAS (1503): Win by 6
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1468): W 31-0: 1537+14→1551
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1503): Win by 6 points
4 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1548 (+7)	5-2	bye
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1525): W 27-19: 1541+7→1548
next: (bye)
5 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1546 (+15)	5-2	bye
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1523): W 24-9: 1531+15→1546
next: (bye)
6 (+6)	New England PatriotsNE	1532 (+12)	5-2	vs CLE (1472): Win by 6
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1436): W 31-13: 1520+12→1532
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1472): Win by 6 points
7 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1526 (+2)	4-1-1	at PIT (1504): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1499): W 27-23: 1524+2→1526
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1504): Slight favorite
8 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1525 (-1)	5-2	vs DAL (1515): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1479): W 33-32: 1526-1→1525
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1515): Slight favorite
9 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1521	4-2	at CAR (1493): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1493): Slight favorite
10 (-3)	Houston TexansHOU	1517 (-8)	2-4	vs SF (1512): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1541): L 19-27: 1525-8→1517
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1512): Slight favorite
11 (+11)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1515 (+21)	3-3-1	at DEN (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1524): W 44-22: 1494+21→1515
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1525): Slight underdog
12 (+5)	Chicago BearsCHI	1513 (+10)	4-2	at BAL (1454): Win by 5
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1465): W 26-14: 1503+10→1513
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1454): Win by 5 points
13 (+6)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1512 (+13)	5-2	at HOU (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1515): W 20-10: 1499+13→1512
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1517): Slight underdog
14 (-4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1508 (-15)	5-2	at NO (1455): Win by 4
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1531): L 9-24: 1523-15→1508
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1455): Win by 4 points
15 (+6)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1506 (+9)	5-2	vs NYG (1480): Win by 4
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1504): W 28-22: 1497+9→1506
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1480): Win by 4 points
16 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1504 (-8)	4-2	vs GB (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1451): L 31-33: 1512-8→1504
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1526): Slight underdog
17 (-9)	Washington CommandersWAS	1503 (-21)	3-4	at KC (1551): Lose by 6
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1494): L 22-44: 1524-21→1503
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1551): Lose by 6 points
18 (-4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1503 (-12)	3-3	vs MIA (1445): Win by 6
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1499): L 10-20: 1515-12→1503
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1445): Win by 6 points
19 (-6)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1498 (-20)	4-3	bye
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1531): L 7-35: 1518-20→1498
next: (bye)
20	Arizona CardinalsARI	1497 (-2)	2-5	bye
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1524): L 23-27: 1499-2→1497
next: (bye)
21 (-5)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1495 (-9)	3-3	at LAC (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1497): L 22-28: 1504-9→1495
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1489): Slight underdog
22 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1493 (+7)	4-3	vs BUF (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1452): W 13-6: 1486+7→1493
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1521): Slight underdog
23 (-5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1489 (-13)	4-3	vs MIN (1495): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1547): L 24-38: 1502-13→1489
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1495): Slight favorite
24	New York GiantsNYG	1480 (+1)	2-5	at PHI (1506): Lose by 4
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1526): L 32-33: 1479+1→1480
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1506): Lose by 4 points
25 (+5)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1472 (+21)	2-5	at NE (1532): Lose by 6
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1465): W 31-6: 1451+21→1472
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1532): Lose by 6 points
26 (+5)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1458 (+7)	3-4	vs NYJ (1445): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1512): W 33-31: 1451+7→1458
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1445): Slight favorite
27	New Orleans SaintsNO	1455 (-10)	1-6	vs TB (1508): Lose by 4
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1503): L 14-26: 1465-10→1455
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1508): Lose by 4 points
28	Baltimore RavensBAL	1454	1-5	vs CHI (1513): Lose by 5
prev: (bye)
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1513): Lose by 5 points
29 (-4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1454 (-14)	2-5	bye
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1537): L 0-31: 1468-14→1454
next: (bye)
30 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1445 (-7)	0-7	at CIN (1458): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1486): L 6-13: 1452-7→1445
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1458): Slight underdog
31 (-5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1445 (-20)	1-6	at ATL (1503): Lose by 6
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1451): L 6-31: 1465-20→1445
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1503): Lose by 6 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1424 (-12)	1-6	at IND (1560): Lose by 11
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1520): L 13-31: 1436-12→1424
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1560): Lose by 11 points
Favorites:
ATL, BUF, CHI, CIN, DEN, GB, HOU, IND,
KC, LAC, NE, PHI, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2025 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1547 (-2)	5-1	at LAC (1502): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1497): W 31-27: 1549-2→1547
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1502): Slight favorite
2 (+3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1541 (+11)	4-2	vs HOU (1525): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1529): W 20-12: 1530+11→1541
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1525): Slight favorite
3 (+6)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1537 (+17)	3-3	vs LV (1468): Win by 6
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1548): W 30-17: 1520+17→1537
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1468): Win by 6 points
4 (-2)	Detroit LionsDET	1531 (-17)	4-2	vs TB (1523): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1520): L 17-30: 1548-17→1531
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1523): Slight favorite
5 (+7)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1531 (+13)	4-2	at JAX (1518): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1467): W 17-3: 1518+13→1531
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1518): Slight favorite
6	Denver BroncosDEN	1526 (-3)	4-2	vs NYG (1479): Win by 5
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1449): W 13-11: 1529-3→1526
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1479): Win by 5 points
7 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1525	2-3	at SEA (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1541): Slight underdog
8 (-4)	Washington CommandersWAS	1524 (-8)	3-3	at DAL (1494): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1496): L 24-25: 1532-8→1524
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1494): Slight favorite
9 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1524 (+4)	3-1-1	at ARI (1499): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1455): W 27-18: 1520+4→1524
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1499): Slight favorite
10 (+5)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1523 (+13)	5-1	at DET (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1512): W 30-19: 1510+13→1523
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1531): Slight underdog
11 (-8)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1521 (-14)	4-2	bye
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1502): L 14-24: 1535-14→1521
next: (bye)
12 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1520 (+5)	4-2	at TEN (1436): Win by 6
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1470): W 25-19: 1515+5→1520
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1436): Win by 6 points
13 (-6)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1518 (-11)	4-2	at LAR (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1530): L 12-20: 1529-11→1518
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1531): Slight underdog
14 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1515 (+13)	3-2	at SF (1499): Tossup
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1535): W 24-14: 1502+13→1515
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1499): Tossup
15 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1512 (+11)	4-1	at CIN (1451): Win by 5
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1462): W 23-9: 1501+11→1512
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1451): Win by 5 points
16	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1504	3-2	vs PHI (1497): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1497): Slight favorite
17 (+5)	Chicago BearsCHI	1503 (+7)	3-2	vs NO (1465): Win by 5
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1532): W 25-24: 1496+7→1503
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1465): Win by 5 points
18 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1502 (+2)	4-2	vs IND (1547): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1467): W 29-27: 1500+2→1502
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1547): Slight underdog
19 (-5)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1499 (-13)	4-2	vs ATL (1515): Tossup
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1510): L 19-30: 1512-13→1499
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1515): Tossup
20 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1499 (+2)	2-4	vs GB (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1549): L 27-31: 1497+2→1499
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1524): Slight underdog
21 (-10)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1497 (-22)	4-2	at MIN (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1458): L 17-34: 1519-22→1497
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1504): Slight underdog
22 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1494 (-3)	2-3-1	vs WAS (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1483): L 27-30: 1497-3→1494
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1524): Slight underdog
23	Carolina PanthersCAR	1486 (+3)	3-3	at NYJ (1452): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1497): W 30-27: 1483+3→1486
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1452): Slight favorite
24 (+4)	New York GiantsNYG	1479 (+21)	2-4	at DEN (1526): Lose by 5
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1519): W 34-17: 1458+21→1479
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1526): Lose by 5 points
25 (+4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1468 (+11)	2-4	at KC (1537): Lose by 6
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1446): W 20-10: 1457+11→1468
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1537): Lose by 6 points
26 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1465 (-2)	1-5	at CLE (1451): Tossup
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): L 27-29: 1467-2→1465
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1451): Tossup
27 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1465 (-5)	1-5	at CHI (1503): Lose by 5
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1515): L 19-25: 1470-5→1465
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1503): Lose by 5 points
28 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1454 (-13)	1-5	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1518): L 3-17: 1467-13→1454
next: (bye)
29 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1452 (+3)	0-6	vs CAR (1486): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1529): L 11-13: 1449+3→1452
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1486): Slight underdog
30 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1451 (-11)	1-5	vs MIA (1465): Tossup
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1501): L 9-23: 1462-11→1451
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1465): Tossup
31 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1451 (-4)	2-4	vs PIT (1512): Lose by 5
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1520): L 18-27: 1455-4→1451
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1512): Lose by 5 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1436 (-10)	1-5	vs NE (1520): Lose by 6
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1457): L 10-20: 1446-10→1436
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1520): Lose by 6 points
Favorites:
CAR, CHI, DEN, DET, GB, IND, KC, LAR,
MIA, MIN, NE, PIT, SEA, SF, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1549 (+16)	4-1	vs ARI (1497): Win by 5
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1474): W 40-6: 1533+16→1549
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1497): Win by 5 points
2 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1548 (+12)	4-1	at KC (1520): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1467): W 37-24: 1536+12→1548
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1520): Slight favorite
3 (-2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1535 (-7)	4-1	at ATL (1502): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1508): L 20-23: 1542-7→1535
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1502): Slight favorite
4 (+8)	Washington CommandersWAS	1532 (+19)	3-2	vs CHI (1496): Win by 4
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1519): W 27-10: 1513+19→1532
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1496): Win by 4 points
5 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1530 (-7)	3-2	at JAX (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1502): L 35-38: 1537-7→1530
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1529): Slight underdog
6	Denver BroncosDEN	1529 (+5)	3-2	at NYJ (1449): Win by 6
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1523): W 21-17: 1524+5→1529
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1449): Win by 6 points
7 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1529 (+2)	4-1	vs SEA (1530): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1522): W 31-28: 1527+2→1529
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1530): Slight favorite
8 (+9)	Houston TexansHOU	1525 (+22)	2-3	bye
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1489): W 44-10: 1503+22→1525
next: (bye)
9	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1520 (-2)	2-3	vs DET (1548): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1527): L 28-31: 1522-2→1520
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1548): Slight underdog
10	Green Bay PackersGB	1520	2-1-1	vs CIN (1455): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1455): Win by 6 points
11 (-4)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1519 (-4)	4-1	at NYG (1458): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1524): L 17-21: 1523-4→1519
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1458): Slight favorite
12 (-4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1518 (-5)	3-2	at BAL (1467): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1508): L 23-26(OT): 1523-5→1518
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1467): Slight favorite
13	New England PatriotsNE	1515 (+7)	3-2	at NO (1470): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1542): W 23-20: 1508+7→1515
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1470): Slight favorite
14	San Francisco 49ersSF	1512 (+4)	4-1	at TB (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1523): W 26-23(OT): 1508+4→1512
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1510): Slight underdog
15 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1510 (+8)	4-1	vs SF (1512): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1537): W 38-35: 1502+8→1510
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1512): Slight favorite
16	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1504 (+1)	3-2	bye
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1463): W 21-17: 1503+1→1504
next: (bye)
17 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1502	2-2	vs BUF (1535): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1535): Slight underdog
18 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1501	3-1	vs CLE (1462): Win by 5
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1462): Win by 5 points
19 (-8)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1500 (-19)	3-2	at MIA (1467): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1513): L 10-27: 1519-19→1500
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1467): Slight favorite
20 (+4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1497 (+17)	2-2-1	at CAR (1483): Tossup
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1466): W 37-22: 1480+17→1497
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1483): Tossup
21 (-6)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1497 (-10)	2-3	at IND (1549): Lose by 5
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1436): L 21-22: 1507-10→1497
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1549): Lose by 5 points
22 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1496	2-2	at WAS (1532): Lose by 4
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1532): Lose by 4 points
23	Carolina PanthersCAR	1483 (+1)	2-3	vs DAL (1497): Tossup
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1468): W 27-24: 1482+1→1483
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1497): Tossup
24 (+7)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1470 (+15)	1-4	vs NE (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1472): W 26-14: 1455+15→1470
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1515): Slight underdog
25 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1467 (-1)	1-4	vs LAC (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1482): L 24-27: 1468-1→1467
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): Slight underdog
26 (-4)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1467 (-22)	1-4	vs LAR (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1503): L 10-44: 1489-22→1467
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1518): Slight underdog
27 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1462 (-1)	1-4	at PIT (1501): Lose by 5
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1503): L 17-21: 1463-1→1462
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1501): Lose by 5 points
28 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1458 (-14)	1-4	vs PHI (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1455): L 14-26: 1472-14→1458
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1519): Slight underdog
29 (-4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1457 (-17)	1-4	vs TEN (1446): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1533): L 6-40: 1474-17→1457
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1446): Slight favorite
30 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1455 (-12)	2-3	at GB (1520): Lose by 6
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1536): L 24-37: 1467-12→1455
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1520): Lose by 6 points
31 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1449 (-17)	0-5	at DEN (1529): Lose by 6
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1480): L 22-37: 1466-17→1449
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1529): Lose by 6 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1446 (+10)	1-4	at LV (1457): Slight 'dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1507): W 22-21: 1436+10→1446
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1457): Slight underdog
Favorites:
BUF, CAR, DEN, DET, GB, IND, JAX, LAC,
LAR, LV, NE, PHI, PIT, TB, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1542 (+9)	4-0	vs NE (1508): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1464): W 31-19: 1533+9→1542
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1508): Slight favorite
2	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1537 (+3)	3-1	vs TB (1502): Win by 4
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1510): W 23-20: 1534+3→1537
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1502): Win by 4 points
3 (+5)	Detroit LionsDET	1536 (+17)	3-1	at CIN (1467): Win by 4
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1480): W 34-10: 1519+17→1536
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1467): Win by 4 points
4 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1533 (-9)	3-1	vs LV (1474): Win by 5
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1514): L 20-27: 1542-9→1533
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1474): Win by 5 points
5 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1527 (+6)	3-1	vs KC (1522): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1514): W 26-21: 1521+6→1527
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1522): Slight favorite
6 (+9)	Denver BroncosDEN	1524 (+18)	2-2	at PHI (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1485): W 28-3: 1506+18→1524
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1523): Slight underdog
7 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1523 (+8)	4-0	vs DEN (1524): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1510): W 31-25: 1515+8→1523
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1524): Slight favorite
8 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1523 (+9)	3-1	vs SF (1508): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1542): W 27-20: 1514+9→1523
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1508): Slight favorite
9 (+8)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1522 (+17)	2-2	at JAX (1527): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1505): W 37-20: 1505+17→1522
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1527): Slight underdog
10 (-4)	Green Bay PackersGB	1520 (-1)	2-1-1	bye
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1478): T 40-40(OT): 1521-1→1520
next: (bye)
11 (-7)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1519 (-6)	3-1	vs WAS (1513): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1466): L 18-21: 1525-6→1519
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1513): Slight favorite
12 (-7)	Washington CommandersWAS	1513 (-9)	2-2	at LAC (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1492): L 27-34: 1522-9→1513
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1519): Slight underdog
13 (+9)	New England PatriotsNE	1508 (+21)	2-2	at BUF (1542): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1504): W 42-13: 1487+21→1508
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1542): Slight underdog
14 (-4)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1508 (-6)	3-1	at LAR (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1521): L 21-26: 1514-6→1508
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1523): Slight underdog
15 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1507 (-3)	2-2	vs TEN (1436): Win by 6
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1534): L 20-23: 1510-3→1507
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1436): Win by 6 points
16 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1503 (-5)	2-2	at CLE (1463): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1497): L 21-24: 1508-5→1503
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1463): Slight favorite
17 (+7)	Houston TexansHOU	1503 (+18)	1-3	at BAL (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1453): W 26-0: 1485+18→1503
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1489): Slight underdog
18 (-6)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1502 (-8)	3-1	at SEA (1537): Lose by 4
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1515): L 25-31: 1510-8→1502
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1537): Lose by 4 points
19 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1502 (+10)	2-2	bye
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1522): W 34-27: 1492+10→1502
next: (bye)
20 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1501 (+4)	3-1	bye
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1508): W 24-21: 1497+4→1501
next: (bye)
21	Chicago BearsCHI	1496 (+5)	2-2	bye
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1478): W 25-24: 1491+5→1496
next: (bye)
22 (-6)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1489 (-16)	1-3	vs HOU (1503): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1505): L 20-37: 1505-16→1489
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1503): Slight favorite
23 (-5)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1482 (-22)	1-3	vs MIA (1468): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1487): L 13-42: 1504-22→1482
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1468): Slight favorite
24 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1480 (+2)	1-2-1	at NYJ (1466): Tossup
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1521): T 40-40(OT): 1478+2→1480
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1466): Tossup
25 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1474 (-4)	1-3	at IND (1533): Lose by 5
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1491): L 24-25: 1478-4→1474
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1533): Lose by 5 points
26 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1472 (+6)	1-3	at NO (1455): Tossup
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1525): W 21-18: 1466+6→1472
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1455): Tossup
27 (+4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1468 (+6)	1-3	at CAR (1482): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1472): W 27-21: 1462+6→1468
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1482): Slight underdog
28 (-5)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1467 (-18)	2-2	vs DET (1536): Lose by 4
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1506): L 3-28: 1485-18→1467
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1536): Lose by 4 points
29 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1466 (-6)	0-4	vs DAL (1480): Tossup
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1462): L 21-27: 1472-6→1466
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1480): Tossup
30 (-5)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1463 (-17)	1-3	at MIN (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1519): L 10-34: 1480-17→1463
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1503): Slight underdog
31 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1455 (-9)	0-4	vs NYG (1472): Tossup
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1533): L 19-31: 1464-9→1455
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1472): Tossup
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1436 (-17)	0-4	at ARI (1507): Lose by 6
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1485): L 0-26: 1453-17→1436
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1507): Lose by 6 points
Favorites:
ARI, BAL, BUF, CAR, DET, IND, JAX, LAC,
LAR, MIN, NO, NYJ, PHI, SEA

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2025 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1542 (+19)	3-0	at LAR (1514): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1472): W 41-20: 1523+19→1542
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1514): Slight favorite
2 (+6)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1534 (+19)	2-1	at ARI (1510): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1483): W 44-13: 1515+19→1534
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1510): Slight favorite
3 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1533 (+8)	3-0	vs NO (1464): Win by 6
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1471): W 31-21: 1525+8→1533
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1464): Win by 6 points
4 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1525 (+1)	3-0	at NYG (1466): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1507): W 23-20: 1524+1→1525
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1466): Slight favorite
5 (+12)	Washington CommandersWAS	1522 (+16)	2-1	at ATL (1492): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1494): W 41-24: 1506+16→1522
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1492): Slight favorite
6 (-5)	Green Bay PackersGB	1521 (-6)	2-1	at DAL (1478): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1474): L 10-13: 1527-6→1521
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1478): Slight favorite
7 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1521 (+6)	2-1	at SF (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1491): W 17-10: 1515+6→1521
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1514): Slight underdog
8 (+7)	Detroit LionsDET	1519 (+12)	2-1	vs CLE (1480): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1518): W 38-30: 1507+12→1519
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1480): Slight favorite
9 (+7)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1515 (+9)	3-0	at TB (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1522): W 33-26: 1506+9→1515
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1510): Slight underdog
10 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1514 (+3)	3-0	vs JAX (1521): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1513): W 16-15: 1511+3→1514
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1521): Slight favorite
11 (-6)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1514 (-8)	2-1	vs IND (1542): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1506): L 26-33: 1522-8→1514
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1542): Slight underdog
12	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1510	3-0	vs PHI (1515): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1473): W 29-27: 1510+0→1510
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1515): Slight favorite
13 (-3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1510 (-3)	2-1	vs SEA (1534): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1511): L 15-16: 1513-3→1510
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1534): Slight underdog
14 (+10)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1508 (+24)	2-1	at PIT (1497): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1508): W 48-10: 1484+24→1508
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1497): Slight favorite
15 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1506 (-1)	1-2	vs CIN (1485): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1524): L 20-23: 1507-1→1506
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1485): Slight favorite
16 (-10)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1505 (-13)	1-2	at KC (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1507): L 30-38: 1518-13→1505
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1505): Slight underdog
17 (+5)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1505 (+17)	1-2	vs BAL (1505): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1483): W 22-9: 1488+17→1505
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1505): Slight favorite
18 (+9)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1504 (+24)	1-2	at NE (1487): Tossup
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1516): W 30-0: 1480+24→1504
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1487): Tossup
19 (+4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1497 (+11)	2-1	at MIN (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1498): W 21-14: 1486+11→1497
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1508): Slight underdog
20 (-13)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1492 (-24)	1-2	vs WAS (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1480): L 0-30: 1516-24→1492
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1522): Slight underdog
21 (+10)	Chicago BearsCHI	1491 (+19)	1-2	at LV (1478): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1498): W 31-14: 1472+19→1491
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1478): Slight underdog
22 (-3)	New England PatriotsNE	1487 (-11)	1-2	vs CAR (1504): Tossup
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1486): L 14-21: 1498-11→1487
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1504): Tossup
23 (-10)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1485 (-23)	2-1	at DEN (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1484): L 10-48: 1508-23→1485
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1506): Slight underdog
24 (-3)	Houston TexansHOU	1485 (-6)	0-3	vs TEN (1453): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1515): L 10-17: 1491-6→1485
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1453): Slight favorite
25 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1480 (+6)	1-2	at DET (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1527): W 13-10: 1474+6→1480
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1519): Slight underdog
26 (-8)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1478 (-20)	1-2	vs GB (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1472): L 14-31: 1498-20→1478
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1521): Slight underdog
27 (-7)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1478 (-16)	1-2	vs CHI (1491): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1506): L 24-41: 1494-16→1478
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1491): Slight favorite
28 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1472 (-1)	0-3	at MIA (1462): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1510): L 27-29: 1473-1→1472
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1462): Slight underdog
29 (-4)	New York GiantsNYG	1466 (-17)	0-3	vs LAC (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1488): L 9-22: 1483-17→1466
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1525): Slight underdog
30 (-4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1464 (-19)	0-3	at BUF (1533): Lose by 6
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1515): L 13-44: 1483-19→1464
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1533): Lose by 6 points
31 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1462 (-9)	0-3	vs NYJ (1472): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1525): L 21-31: 1471-9→1462
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1472): Slight favorite
32 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1453 (-19)	0-3	at HOU (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1523): L 20-41: 1472-19→1453
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1485): Slight underdog
Favorites:
BUF, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, KC, LAC,
LV, MIA, MIN, NE, SEA, SF, TB, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2025 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1527 (+11)	2-0	at CLE (1474): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1517): W 27-18: 1516+11→1527
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1474): Slight favorite
2 (+13)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1525 (+22)	2-0	vs MIA (1471): Win by 5
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1495): W 30-10: 1503+22→1525
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1471): Win by 5 points
3 (+5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1524 (+16)	2-0	vs DEN (1507): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1511): W 20-9: 1508+16→1524
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1507): Slight favorite
4 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1523 (+2)	2-0	at TEN (1472): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1510): W 29-28: 1521+2→1523
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1472): Slight favorite
5 (+9)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1522 (+18)	2-0	at PHI (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1490): W 33-19: 1504+18→1522
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1506): Slight underdog
6 (+12)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1518 (+21)	1-1	vs DET (1507): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1494): W 41-17: 1497+21→1518
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1507): Slight favorite
7 (+14)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1516 (+21)	1-1	at CAR (1480): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): W 22-6: 1495+21→1516
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1480): Slight favorite
8 (+12)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1515 (+20)	1-1	vs NO (1483): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1505): W 31-17: 1495+20→1515
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1483): Slight favorite
9 (-7)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1515 (-3)	1-1	vs HOU (1491): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1506): L 27-31: 1518-3→1515
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1491): Slight favorite
10 (-5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1513 (+2)	2-0	at SF (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1482): W 27-22: 1511+2→1513
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1511): Slight underdog
11 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1511 (+6)	2-0	vs ARI (1513): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1489): W 26-21: 1505+6→1511
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1513): Slight favorite
12	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1510 (+5)	2-0	vs NYJ (1473): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1496): W 20-19: 1505+5→1510
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1473): Slight favorite
13 (-4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1508 (+2)	2-0	at MIN (1484): Tossup
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1518): W 31-27: 1506+2→1508
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1484): Tossup
14 (-7)	Denver BroncosDEN	1507 (-3)	1-1	at LAC (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1521): L 28-29: 1510-3→1507
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1524): Slight underdog
15 (+14)	Detroit LionsDET	1507 (+23)	1-1	at BAL (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1495): W 52-21: 1484+23→1507
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1518): Slight underdog
16	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1506 (+4)	2-0	vs LAR (1522): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1492): W 20-17: 1502+4→1506
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1522): Slight favorite
17 (-14)	Washington CommandersWAS	1506 (-11)	1-1	vs LV (1494): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1516): L 18-27: 1517-11→1506
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1494): Slight favorite
18 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1498	1-1	at CHI (1472): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1483): W 40-37(OT): 1498-0→1498
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1472): Slight favorite
19 (+8)	New England PatriotsNE	1498 (+9)	1-1	vs PIT (1486): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1479): W 33-27: 1489+9→1498
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1486): Slight favorite
20 (-14)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1494 (-17)	1-1	at WAS (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1508): L 9-20: 1511-17→1494
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1506): Slight underdog
21 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1491 (-5)	0-2	at JAX (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1505): L 19-20: 1496-5→1491
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1515): Slight underdog
22 (+3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1488 (-4)	0-2	at NYG (1483): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1502): L 17-20: 1492-4→1488
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1483): Slight underdog
23 (-13)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1486 (-19)	1-1	at NE (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1495): L 17-31: 1505-19→1486
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1498): Slight underdog
24 (-13)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1484 (-21)	1-1	vs CIN (1508): Tossup
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1495): L 6-22: 1505-21→1484
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1508): Tossup
25 (+5)	New York GiantsNYG	1483	0-2	vs KC (1488): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1498): L 37-40(OT): 1483+0→1483
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1488): Slight favorite
26 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1483 (-6)	0-2	at SEA (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1505): L 21-26: 1489-6→1483
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1515): Slight underdog
27 (+4)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1480 (-2)	0-2	vs ATL (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1511): L 22-27: 1482-2→1480
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1516): Slight underdog
28 (-4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1474 (-20)	0-2	vs GB (1527): Slight 'dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1497): L 17-41: 1494-20→1474
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1527): Slight underdog
29 (-6)	New York JetsNYJ	1473 (-22)	0-2	at TB (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1503): L 10-30: 1495-22→1473
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1510): Slight underdog
30 (-4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1472 (-18)	0-2	vs IND (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1504): L 19-33: 1490-18→1472
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1523): Slight underdog
31 (-9)	Chicago BearsCHI	1472 (-23)	0-2	vs DAL (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1484): L 21-52: 1495-23→1472
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1498): Slight underdog
32	Miami DolphinsMIA	1471 (-8)	0-2	at BUF (1525): Lose by 5
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1489): L 27-33: 1479-8→1471
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1525): Lose by 5 points
Favorites:
ATL, BAL, BUF, CIN, DAL, GB, IND, JAX,
LAC, NE, NYG, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2025 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+13)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1521 (+21)	1-0	vs DEN (1510): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): W 33-8: 1500+21→1521
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1510): Slight favorite
2 (+13)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1518 (+18)	1-0	at CIN (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1500): W 26-10: 1500+18→1518
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1506): Slight underdog
3 (+29)	Washington CommandersWAS	1517 (+17)	1-0	at GB (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1500): W 21-6: 1500+17→1517
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1516): Slight underdog
4 (+8)	Green Bay PackersGB	1516 (+16)	1-0	vs WAS (1517): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1500): W 27-13: 1500+16→1516
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1517): Slight favorite
5 (-4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1511 (+11)	1-0	vs CAR (1482): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): W 20-13: 1500+11→1511
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1482): Slight favorite
6 (+11)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1511 (+11)	1-0	vs LAC (1508): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1500): W 20-13: 1500+11→1511
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1508): Slight favorite
7 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1510 (+10)	1-0	at IND (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): W 20-12: 1500+10→1510
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1521): Slight underdog
8 (+10)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1508 (+8)	1-0	at LV (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1500): W 27-21: 1500+8→1508
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1511): Slight underdog
9 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1506 (+6)	1-0	vs JAX (1518): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1500): W 17-16: 1500+6→1506
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1518): Slight favorite
10 (+17)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1505 (+5)	1-0	vs SEA (1495): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1500): W 34-32: 1500+5→1505
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1495): Slight favorite
11 (+10)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1505 (+5)	1-0	vs ATL (1495): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1500): W 27-24: 1500+5→1505
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1495): Slight favorite
12 (+18)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1505 (+5)	1-0	at HOU (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): W 23-20: 1500+5→1505
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1496): Slight underdog
13 (+15)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1505 (+5)	1-0	at NO (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): W 17-13: 1500+5→1505
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1489): Slight underdog
14 (+5)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1504 (+4)	1-0	at TEN (1490): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1500): W 14-9: 1500+4→1504
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1490): Slight underdog
15 (-11)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1503 (+3)	1-0	at NYJ (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): W 41-40: 1500+3→1503
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1495): Slight underdog
16 (+10)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1502 (+2)	1-0	at KC (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1500): W 24-20: 1500+2→1502
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1492): Slight underdog
17 (-8)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1498 (-2)	0-1	vs NYG (1483): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): L 20-24: 1500-2→1498
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1483): Slight favorite
18 (-15)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1497 (-3)	0-1	vs CLE (1494): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1500): L 40-41: 1500-3→1497
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1494): Slight favorite
19 (-6)	Houston TexansHOU	1496 (-4)	0-1	vs TB (1505): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1500): L 9-14: 1500-4→1496
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1505): Slight favorite
20 (+9)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1495 (-5)	0-1	at PIT (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): L 13-17: 1500-5→1495
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1505): Slight underdog
21 (-19)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1495 (-5)	0-1	at MIN (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1500): L 20-23: 1500-5→1495
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): Slight underdog
22 (-16)	Chicago BearsCHI	1495 (-5)	0-1	at DET (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): L 24-27: 1500-5→1495
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1484): Slight underdog
23 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1495 (-5)	0-1	vs BUF (1503): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): L 32-34: 1500-5→1495
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1503): Slight favorite
24 (-16)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1494 (-6)	0-1	at BAL (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1500): L 16-17: 1500-6→1494
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1497): Slight underdog
25 (-9)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1492 (-8)	0-1	vs PHI (1502): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): L 21-27: 1500-8→1492
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1502): Slight favorite
26 (+5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1490 (-10)	0-1	vs LAR (1504): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1500): L 12-20: 1500-10→1490
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1504): Slight favorite
27 (-5)	New England PatriotsNE	1489 (-11)	0-1	at MIA (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1500): L 13-20: 1500-11→1489
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1479): Slight underdog
28 (-5)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1489 (-11)	0-1	vs SF (1505): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): L 13-20: 1500-11→1489
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1505): Slight favorite
29 (-18)	Detroit LionsDET	1484 (-16)	0-1	vs CHI (1495): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1500): L 13-27: 1500-16→1484
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1495): Slight favorite
30 (-6)	New York GiantsNYG	1483 (-17)	0-1	at DAL (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1500): L 6-21: 1500-17→1483
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1498): Slight underdog
31 (-26)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1482 (-18)	0-1	at ARI (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1500): L 10-26: 1500-18→1482
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1511): Slight underdog
32 (-12)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1479 (-21)	0-1	vs NE (1489): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): L 8-33: 1500-21→1479
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1489): Slight favorite
Favorites:
ARI, BAL, CIN, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND,
KC, LV, MIA, MIN, NO, NYJ, PIT, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2025 season:

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Arizona CardinalsARI	1500	0-0	at NO (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): Slight underdog
2	Atlanta FalconsATL	1500	0-0	vs TB (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1500): Slight favorite
3	Baltimore RavensBAL	1500	0-0	at BUF (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1500): Slight underdog
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1500	0-0	vs BAL (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): Slight favorite
5	Carolina PanthersCAR	1500	0-0	at JAX (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1500): Slight underdog
6	Chicago BearsCHI	1500	0-0	vs MIN (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): Slight favorite
7	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1500	0-0	at CLE (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1500): Slight underdog
8	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1500	0-0	vs CIN (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1500): Slight favorite
9	Dallas CowboysDAL	1500	0-0	at PHI (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): Slight underdog
10	Denver BroncosDEN	1500	0-0	vs TEN (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): Slight favorite
11	Detroit LionsDET	1500	0-0	at GB (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1500): Slight underdog
12	Green Bay PackersGB	1500	0-0	vs DET (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1500): Slight favorite
13	Houston TexansHOU	1500	0-0	at LAR (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1500): Slight underdog
14	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1500	0-0	vs MIA (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): Slight favorite
15	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1500	0-0	vs CAR (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1500): Slight favorite
16	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1500	0-0	at LAC (1500): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): Tossup
17	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1500	0-0	at NE (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1500): Slight underdog
18	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1500	0-0	at KC (1500): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1500): Tossup
19	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1500	0-0	vs HOU (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1500): Slight favorite
20	Miami DolphinsMIA	1500	0-0	at IND (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): Slight underdog
21	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1500	0-0	at CHI (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1500): Slight underdog
22	New England PatriotsNE	1500	0-0	vs LV (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1500): Slight favorite
23	New Orleans SaintsNO	1500	0-0	vs ARI (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): Slight favorite
24	New York GiantsNYG	1500	0-0	at WAS (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1500): Slight underdog
25	New York JetsNYJ	1500	0-0	vs PIT (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): Slight favorite
26	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1500	0-0	vs DAL (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1500): Slight favorite
27	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1500	0-0	at NYJ (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1500): Slight underdog
28	San Francisco 49ersSF	1500	0-0	at SEA (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): Slight underdog
29	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1500	0-0	vs SF (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): Slight favorite
30	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1500	0-0	at ATL (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): Slight underdog
31	Tennessee TitansTEN	1500	0-0	at DEN (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1500): Slight underdog
32	Washington CommandersWAS	1500	0-0	vs NYG (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1500): Slight favorite
Favorites:
ATL, BUF, CHI, CLE, DEN, GB, IND, JAX,
LAR, NE, NO, NYJ, PHI, SEA, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2025 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1515 (+30 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1493 \| avg. lost to rating: 1519 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	5	at NO(1500) W 20-13: +11→1511	9	13	at DAL(1498) W 27-17: +14→1511	17	28	at CIN(1449) L 14-37: -8→1436
2	10	vs CAR(1482) W 27-22: +2→1513	10	16	at SEA(1563) L 22-44: -17→1494	18	29	at LAR(1600) L 20-37: -4→1432
3	13	at SF(1511) L 15-16: -3→1510	11	21	vs SF(1493) L 22-41: -20→1474	W	29
4	15	vs SEA(1534) L 20-23: -3→1507	12	22	vs JAX(1511) L 24-27: -2→1472	D	29
5	21	vs TEN(1436) L 21-22: -10→1497	13	22	at TB(1489) L 17-20: -1→1471	C	29
6	20	at IND(1549) L 27-31: +2→1499	14	24	vs LAR(1587) L 17-45: -13→1458	S	29
7	20	vs GB(1524) L 23-27: -2→1497	15	24	at HOU(1549) L 20-40: -9→1449
8	17	(bye)	16	26	vs ATL(1479) L 19-26: -5→1444

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (+10 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1500 \| avg. lost to rating: 1502 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	21	vs TB(1500) L 20-23: -5→1495	9	23	at NE(1543) L 23-24: +6→1481	17	18	vs LAR(1603) W 27-24: +3→1486
2	7	at MIN(1505) W 22-6: +21→1516	10	21	at IND(1551) L 25-31: +0→1481	18	18	vs NO(1455) W 19-17: +1→1487
3	20	at CAR(1480) L 0-30: -24→1492	11	20	vs CAR(1470) L 27-30: -4→1477	W	18
4	19	vs WAS(1522) W 34-27: +10→1502	12	19	at NO(1449) W 24-10: +15→1492	D	18
5	17	(bye)	13	20	at NYJ(1438) L 24-27: -3→1489	C	18
6	14	vs BUF(1535) W 24-14: +13→1515	14	21	vs SEA(1591) L 9-37: -14→1475	S	18
7	18	at SF(1499) L 10-20: -12→1503	15	21	at TB(1485) W 29-28: +4→1479
8	21	vs MIA(1445) L 10-34: -28→1475	16	18	at ARI(1449) W 26-19: +4→1483

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1494 (-6 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1483 \| avg. lost to rating: 1503 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	18	at BUF(1500) L 40-41: -3→1497	9	18	at MIA(1472) W 28-6: +21→1495	17	13	at GB(1547) W 41-24: +10→1521
2	6	vs CLE(1494) W 41-17: +21→1518	10	14	at MIN(1487) W 27-19: +11→1506	18	13	at PIT(1506) L 24-26: -1→1520
3	16	vs DET(1507) L 30-38: -13→1505	11	12	at CLE(1453) W 23-16: +7→1513	W	12
4	22	at KC(1505) L 20-37: -16→1489	12	12	vs NYJ(1449) W 23-10: +11→1524	D	12
5	26	vs HOU(1503) L 10-44: -22→1467	13	17	vs CIN(1430) L 14-32: -19→1505	C	12
6	28	vs LAR(1518) L 3-17: -13→1454	14	16	vs PIT(1493) L 22-27: -5→1500	S	12
7	28	(bye)	15	16	at CIN(1449) W 24-0: +13→1513
8	23	vs CHI(1513) W 30-16: +20→1474	16	16	vs NE(1565) L 24-28: -2→1511

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1493 (-45 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1488 \| avg. lost to rating: 1506 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	15	vs BAL(1500) W 41-40: +3→1503	9	5	vs KC(1564) W 28-21: +10→1551	17	6	vs PHI(1535) L 12-13: -3→1557
2	2	at NYJ(1495) W 30-10: +22→1525	10	9	at MIA(1451) L 13-30: -20→1531	18	5	vs NYJ(1399) W 35-8: +5→1562
3	3	vs MIA(1471) W 31-21: +8→1533	11	8	vs TB(1517) W 44-32: +12→1543	W	6	at JAX(1567) W 27-24: +1→1563
4	1	vs NO(1464) W 31-19: +9→1542	12	8	at HOU(1533) L 19-23: -2→1541	D	6	at DEN(1555) L 30-33: -0→1563
5	3	vs NE(1508) L 20-23: -7→1535	13	4	at PIT(1508) W 26-7: +15→1556	C	6
6	11	at ATL(1502) L 14-24: -14→1521	14	4	vs CIN(1449) W 39-34: +0→1556	S	6
7	9	(bye)	15	4	at NE(1569) W 35-31: +4→1560
8	8	at CAR(1493) W 40-9: +20→1541	16	4	at CLE(1430) W 23-20: -0→1560

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (+22 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1503 \| avg. lost to rating: 1499 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	31	at JAX(1500) L 10-26: -18→1482	9	21	at GB(1538) W 16-13: +13→1486	17	23	vs SEA(1605) L 10-27: -6→1463
2	27	at ARI(1511) L 22-27: -2→1480	10	24	vs NO(1433) L 7-17: -16→1470	18	22	at TB(1479) L 14-16: -1→1462
3	18	vs ATL(1516) W 30-0: +24→1504	11	22	at ATL(1481) W 30-27: +4→1474	W	22	vs LAR(1603) L 31-34: +1→1463
4	23	at NE(1487) L 13-42: -22→1482	12	23	at SF(1513) L 9-20: -10→1464	D	22
5	23	vs MIA(1468) W 27-24: +1→1483	13	23	vs LAR(1593) W 31-28: +6→1470	C	22
6	23	vs DAL(1497) W 30-27: +3→1486	14	22	(bye)	S	22
7	22	at NYJ(1452) W 13-6: +7→1493	15	23	at NO(1438) L 17-20: -3→1467
8	24	vs BUF(1521) L 9-40: -20→1473	16	22	vs TB(1482) W 23-20: +2→1469

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (-4 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1490 \| avg. lost to rating: 1512 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	22	vs MIN(1500) L 24-27: -5→1495	9	19	at CIN(1452) W 47-42: +1→1494	17	14	at SF(1553) L 38-42: -0→1520
2	31	at DET(1484) L 21-52: -23→1472	10	15	vs NYG(1456) W 24-20: +1→1495	18	14	vs DET(1528) L 16-19: -1→1519
3	21	vs DAL(1498) W 31-14: +19→1491	11	19	at MIN(1477) W 19-17: +4→1499	W	13	vs GB(1532) W 31-27: +0→1519
4	21	at LV(1478) W 25-24: +5→1496	12	18	vs PIT(1510) W 31-28: +2→1501	D	13	vs LAR(1603) L 17-20: -0→1519
5	22	(bye)	13	15	at PHI(1530) W 24-15: +11→1512	C	13
6	17	at WAS(1532) W 25-24: +7→1503	14	15	at GB(1550) L 21-28: -4→1508	S	13
7	12	vs NO(1465) W 26-14: +10→1513	15	14	vs CLE(1441) W 31-3: +11→1519
8	18	at BAL(1454) L 16-30: -20→1493	16	15	vs GB(1549) W 22-16: +1→1520

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (+39 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1496 \| avg. lost to rating: 1502 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	9	at CLE(1500) W 17-16: +6→1506	9	30	vs CHI(1493) L 42-47: -2→1450	17	24	vs ARI(1444) W 37-14: +8→1457
2	13	vs JAX(1518) W 31-27: +2→1508	10	30	(bye)	18	24	vs CLE(1435) L 18-20: -2→1455
3	23	at MIN(1484) L 10-48: -23→1485	11	31	at PIT(1493) L 12-34: -17→1433	W	24
4	28	at DEN(1506) L 3-28: -18→1467	12	30	vs NE(1555) L 20-26: -3→1430	D	24
5	30	vs DET(1536) L 24-37: -12→1455	13	25	at BAL(1524) W 32-14: +19→1449	C	24
6	31	at GB(1520) L 18-27: -4→1451	14	25	at BUF(1556) L 34-39: -0→1449	S	24
7	26	vs PIT(1512) W 33-31: +7→1458	15	27	vs BAL(1500) L 0-24: -13→1436
8	30	vs NYJ(1445) L 38-39: -6→1452	16	25	at MIA(1479) W 45-21: +13→1449

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1494 (+36 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1480 \| avg. lost to rating: 1500 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	24	vs CIN(1500) L 16-17: -6→1494	9	25	(bye)	17	29	vs PIT(1511) W 13-6: +5→1435
2	28	at BAL(1497) L 17-41: -20→1474	10	29	at NYJ(1452) L 20-27: -7→1453	18	28	at CIN(1457) W 20-18: +2→1437
3	25	vs GB(1527) W 13-10: +6→1480	11	29	vs BAL(1506) L 16-23: -8→1445	W	28
4	30	at DET(1519) L 10-34: -17→1463	12	24	at LV(1439) W 24-10: +15→1460	D	28
5	27	at MIN(1503) L 17-21: -1→1462	13	27	vs SF(1523) L 8-26: -14→1446	C	28
6	30	at PIT(1501) L 9-23: -11→1451	14	26	vs TEN(1401) L 29-31: -5→1441	S	28
7	25	vs MIA(1465) W 31-6: +21→1472	15	29	at CHI(1508) L 3-31: -11→1430
8	27	at NE(1532) L 13-32: -12→1460	16	29	vs BUF(1560) L 20-23: +0→1430

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (0 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1494 \| avg. lost to rating: 1492 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	17	at PHI(1500) L 20-24: -2→1498	9	22	vs ARI(1497) L 17-27: -14→1484	17	19	at WAS(1441) W 30-23: +3→1484
2	18	vs NYG(1483) W 40-37: -0→1498	10	20	(bye)	18	21	at NYG(1440) L 17-34: -6→1478
3	26	at CHI(1472) L 14-31: -20→1478	11	18	at LV(1457) W 33-16: +18→1502	W	21
4	24	vs GB(1521) T 40-40: +2→1480	12	16	vs PHI(1534) W 24-21: +3→1505	D	21
5	20	at NYJ(1466) W 37-22: +17→1497	13	16	vs KC(1553) W 31-28: +4→1509	C	21
6	22	at CAR(1483) L 27-30: -3→1494	14	17	at DET(1533) L 30-44: -10→1499	S	21
7	11	vs WAS(1524) W 44-22: +21→1515	15	18	vs MIN(1462) L 26-34: -9→1490
8	15	at DEN(1525) L 24-44: -17→1498	16	19	vs LAC(1518) L 17-34: -9→1481

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (-29 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1497 \| avg. lost to rating: 1531 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	7	vs TEN(1500) W 20-12: +10→1510	9	6	at HOU(1529) W 18-15: +3→1545	17	8	at KC(1524) W 20-13: +4→1550
2	14	at IND(1521) L 28-29: -3→1507	10	7	vs LV(1455) W 10-7: -1→1544	18	7	vs LAC(1526) W 19-3: +5→1555
3	15	at LAC(1524) L 20-23: -1→1506	11	6	vs KC(1554) W 22-19: +2→1546	W	7	(bye)
4	6	vs CIN(1485) W 28-3: +18→1524	12	6	(bye)	D	7	vs BUF(1563) W 33-30: +0→1555
5	6	at PHI(1523) W 21-17: +5→1529	13	7	at WAS(1455) W 27-26: +0→1546	C	7	vs NE(1585) L 7-10: -0→1555
6	6	at NYJ(1449) W 13-11: -3→1526	14	6	at LV(1412) W 24-17: +4→1550	S	7
7	8	vs NYG(1479) W 33-32: -1→1525	15	6	vs GB(1554) W 34-26: +5→1555
8	7	vs DAL(1515) W 44-24: +17→1542	16	9	vs JAX(1550) L 20-34: -9→1546

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (-26 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1493 \| avg. lost to rating: 1518 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	29	at GB(1500) L 13-27: -16→1484	9	8	vs MIN(1475) L 24-27: -13→1533	17	11	at MIN(1472) L 10-23: -8→1528
2	15	vs CHI(1495) W 52-21: +23→1507	10	4	at WAS(1476) W 44-22: +19→1552	18	11	at CHI(1520) W 19-16: +1→1529
3	8	at BAL(1518) W 38-30: +12→1519	11	7	at PHI(1525) L 9-16: -9→1543	W	11
4	3	vs CLE(1480) W 34-10: +17→1536	12	9	vs NYG(1448) W 34-27: -2→1541	D	11
5	2	at CIN(1467) W 37-24: +12→1548	13	11	vs GB(1542) L 24-31: -8→1533	C	11
6	4	at KC(1520) L 17-30: -17→1531	14	8	vs DAL(1509) W 44-30: +10→1543	S	11
7	5	vs TB(1523) W 24-9: +15→1546	15	10	at LAR(1600) L 34-41: -3→1540
8	5	(bye)	16	10	vs PIT(1507) L 24-29: -4→1536

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (-33 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1495 \| avg. lost to rating: 1504 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	4	vs DET(1500) W 27-13: +16→1516	9	9	vs CAR(1473) L 13-16: -12→1526	17	9	vs BAL(1511) L 24-41: -9→1538
2	1	vs WAS(1517) W 27-18: +11→1527	10	12	vs PHI(1521) L 7-10: -5→1521	18	10	at MIN(1479) L 3-16: -6→1532
3	6	at CLE(1474) L 10-13: -6→1521	11	11	at NYG(1456) W 27-20: +8→1529	W	10	at CHI(1519) L 27-31: -0→1532
4	10	at DAL(1478) T 40-40: -1→1520	12	7	vs MIN(1473) W 23-6: +13→1542	D	10
5	10	(bye)	13	5	at DET(1541) W 31-24: +8→1550	C	10
6	9	vs CIN(1455) W 27-18: +4→1524	14	5	vs CHI(1512) W 28-21: +4→1554	S	10
7	7	at ARI(1499) W 27-23: +2→1526	15	8	at DEN(1550) L 26-34: -5→1549
8	9	at PIT(1504) W 35-25: +12→1538	16	8	at CHI(1519) L 16-22: -2→1547

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (-24 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1493 \| avg. lost to rating: 1520 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	19	at LAR(1500) L 9-14: -4→1496	9	10	vs DEN(1542) L 15-18: -3→1526	17	5	at LAC(1528) W 20-16: +2→1558
2	21	vs TB(1505) L 19-20: -5→1491	10	8	vs JAX(1496) W 36-29: +6→1532	18	6	vs IND(1519) W 38-30: +2→1560
3	24	at JAX(1515) L 10-17: -6→1485	11	10	at TEN(1418) W 16-13: +1→1533	W	5	at PIT(1507) W 30-6: +6→1566
4	17	vs TEN(1453) W 26-0: +18→1503	12	10	vs BUF(1543) W 23-19: +2→1535	D	5	at NE(1583) L 16-28: -3→1563
5	8	at BAL(1489) W 44-10: +22→1525	13	9	at IND(1549) W 20-16: +4→1539	C	5
6	7	(bye)	14	7	at KC(1550) W 20-10: +10→1549	S	5
7	10	at SEA(1541) L 19-27: -8→1517	15	5	vs ARI(1458) W 40-20: +9→1558
8	10	vs SF(1512) W 26-15: +12→1529	16	6	vs LV(1399) W 23-21: -2→1556

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1514 (-24 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1482 \| avg. lost to rating: 1543 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	1	vs MIA(1500) W 33-8: +21→1521	9	4	at PIT(1493) L 20-27: -16→1551	17	16	vs JAX(1559) L 17-23: -3→1519
2	4	vs DEN(1510) W 29-28: +2→1523	10	5	at ATL(1481) W 31-25: -1→1550	18	16	at HOU(1558) L 30-38: -2→1517
3	1	at TEN(1472) W 41-20: +19→1542	11	5	(bye)	W	16
4	4	at LAR(1514) L 20-27: -9→1533	12	5	at KC(1552) L 20-23: -1→1549	D	16
5	1	vs LV(1474) W 40-6: +16→1549	13	8	vs HOU(1535) L 16-20: -3→1546	C	16
6	1	vs ARI(1497) W 31-27: -2→1547	14	12	at JAX(1527) L 19-36: -13→1533	S	16
7	1	at LAC(1502) W 38-24: +13→1560	15	12	at SEA(1604) L 16-18: +0→1533
8	1	vs TEN(1424) W 38-14: +7→1567	16	14	vs SF(1542) L 27-48: -11→1522

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-25 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1488 \| avg. lost to rating: 1523 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	2	vs CAR(1500) W 26-10: +18→1518	9	17	at LV(1454) W 30-29: -2→1496	17	4	at IND(1522) W 23-17: +3→1562
2	9	at CIN(1506) L 27-31: -3→1515	10	19	at HOU(1526) L 29-36: -6→1490	18	4	vs TEN(1407) W 41-7: +5→1567
3	7	vs HOU(1491) W 17-10: +6→1521	11	14	vs LAC(1524) W 35-6: +21→1511	W	4	vs BUF(1562) L 24-27: -1→1566
4	5	at SF(1514) W 26-21: +6→1527	12	14	at ARI(1474) W 27-24: +2→1513	D	4
5	7	vs KC(1522) W 31-28: +2→1529	13	12	at TEN(1415) W 25-3: +14→1527	C	4
6	13	vs SEA(1530) L 12-20: -11→1518	14	9	vs IND(1546) W 36-19: +13→1540	S	4
7	19	at LAR(1531) L 7-35: -20→1498	15	7	vs NYJ(1427) W 48-20: +10→1550
8	16	(bye)	16	5	at DEN(1555) W 34-20: +9→1559

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (-26 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1510 \| avg. lost to rating: 1501 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	25	at LAC(1500) L 21-27: -8→1492	9	3	at BUF(1541) L 21-28: -10→1554	17	15	vs DEN(1546) L 13-20: -4→1520
2	22	vs PHI(1502) L 17-20: -4→1488	10	3	(bye)	18	15	at LV(1391) L 12-14: -3→1517
3	17	at NYG(1483) W 22-9: +17→1505	11	4	at DEN(1544) L 19-22: -2→1552	W	15
4	9	vs BAL(1505) W 37-20: +17→1522	12	4	vs IND(1550) W 23-20: +1→1553	D	15
5	9	at JAX(1527) L 28-31: -2→1520	13	6	at DAL(1505) L 28-31: -3→1550	C	15
6	3	vs DET(1548) W 30-17: +17→1537	14	10	vs HOU(1539) L 10-20: -11→1539	S	15
7	3	vs LV(1468) W 31-0: +14→1551	15	11	vs LAC(1514) L 13-16: -3→1536
8	2	vs WAS(1503) W 28-7: +13→1564	16	13	at TEN(1400) L 9-26: -12→1524

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (+56 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1489 \| avg. lost to rating: 1507 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	6	at NE(1500) W 20-13: +11→1511	9	27	vs JAX(1498) L 29-30: +1→1455	17	32	vs NYG(1431) L 10-34: -10→1391
2	20	vs LAC(1508) L 9-20: -17→1494	10	27	at DEN(1545) L 7-10: +2→1457	18	32	vs KC(1520) W 14-12: +3→1394
3	27	at WAS(1506) L 24-41: -16→1478	11	30	vs DAL(1484) L 16-33: -18→1439	W	32
4	25	vs CHI(1491) L 24-25: -4→1474	12	31	vs CLE(1445) L 10-24: -16→1423	D	32
5	29	at IND(1533) L 6-40: -17→1457	13	31	at LAC(1502) L 14-31: -11→1412	C	32
6	25	vs TEN(1446) W 20-10: +11→1468	14	31	vs DEN(1546) L 17-24: -3→1409	S	32
7	29	at KC(1537) L 0-31: -14→1454	15	32	at PHI(1518) L 0-31: -10→1399
8	28	(bye)	16	32	at HOU(1558) L 21-23: +2→1401

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (-12 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1489 \| avg. lost to rating: 1520 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	8	at KC(1500) W 27-21: +8→1508	9	16	at TEN(1417) W 27-20: -1→1508	17	12	vs HOU(1556) L 16-20: -2→1526
2	3	at LV(1511) W 20-9: +16→1524	10	11	vs PIT(1508) W 25-10: +16→1524	18	12	at DEN(1550) L 3-19: -5→1521
3	4	vs DEN(1507) W 23-20: +1→1525	11	17	at JAX(1490) L 6-35: -22→1502	W	14	at NE(1580) L 3-16: -3→1518
4	11	at NYG(1466) L 18-21: -6→1519	12	17	(bye)	D	14
5	19	vs WAS(1513) L 10-27: -19→1500	13	14	vs LV(1423) W 31-14: +11→1513	C	14
6	18	at MIA(1467) W 29-27: +2→1502	14	14	vs PHI(1519) W 22-19: +1→1514	S	14
7	23	vs IND(1547) L 24-38: -13→1489	15	15	at KC(1539) W 16-13: +4→1518
8	13	vs MIN(1495) W 37-10: +20→1509	16	12	at DAL(1490) W 34-17: +10→1528

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (-53 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1500 \| avg. lost to rating: 1513 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	14	vs HOU(1500) W 14-9: +4→1504	9	2	vs NO(1440) W 34-10: +7→1558	17	2	at ATL(1483) L 24-27: -3→1600
2	5	at TEN(1490) W 33-19: +18→1522	10	2	at SF(1510) W 42-26: +17→1575	18	2	vs ARI(1436) W 37-20: +3→1603
3	11	at PHI(1506) L 26-33: -8→1514	11	1	vs SEA(1579) W 21-19: +2→1577	W	2	at CAR(1462) W 34-31: -0→1603
4	8	vs IND(1542) W 27-20: +9→1523	12	1	vs TB(1504) W 34-7: +16→1593	D	2	at CHI(1519) W 20-17: +0→1603
5	12	vs SF(1508) L 23-26: -5→1518	13	2	at CAR(1464) L 28-31: -6→1587	C	2	at SEA(1618) L 27-31: -0→1603
6	5	at BAL(1467) W 17-3: +13→1531	14	2	at ARI(1471) W 45-17: +13→1600	S	2
7	2	at JAX(1518) W 35-7: +20→1551	15	2	vs DET(1543) W 41-34: +3→1603
8	3	(bye)	16	2	at SEA(1604) L 37-38: -0→1603

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1486 (+16 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1477 \| avg. lost to rating: 1493 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	32	at IND(1500) L 8-33: -21→1479	9	29	vs BAL(1474) L 6-28: -21→1451	17	22	vs TB(1480) W 20-17: +2→1468
2	32	vs NE(1489) L 27-33: -8→1471	10	23	vs BUF(1551) W 30-13: +20→1471	18	23	at NE(1574) L 10-38: -6→1462
3	31	at BUF(1525) L 21-31: -9→1462	11	23	at WAS(1457) W 16-13: +2→1473	W	23
4	27	vs NYJ(1472) W 27-21: +6→1468	12	21	(bye)	D	23
5	25	at CAR(1482) L 24-27: -1→1467	13	21	vs NO(1434) W 21-17: +0→1473	C	23
6	26	vs LAC(1500) L 27-29: -2→1465	14	19	at NYJ(1441) W 34-10: +15→1488	S	23
7	31	at CLE(1451) L 6-31: -20→1445	15	20	at PIT(1498) L 15-28: -9→1479
8	25	at ATL(1503) W 34-10: +27→1472	16	23	vs CIN(1436) L 21-45: -13→1466

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+21 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1497 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	11	at CHI(1500) W 27-24: +5→1505	9	20	at DET(1546) W 27-24: +12→1487	17	20	vs DET(1536) W 23-10: +7→1479
2	24	vs ATL(1495) L 6-22: -21→1484	10	22	vs BAL(1495) L 19-27: -10→1477	18	19	vs GB(1538) W 16-3: +6→1485
3	14	vs CIN(1508) W 48-10: +24→1508	11	24	vs CHI(1495) L 17-19: -4→1473	W	19
4	16	at PIT(1497) L 21-24: -5→1503	12	25	at GB(1529) L 6-23: -13→1460	D	19
5	16	at CLE(1463) W 21-17: +1→1504	13	26	at SEA(1579) L 0-26: -13→1447	C	19
6	16	(bye)	14	23	vs WAS(1455) W 31-0: +15→1462	S	19
7	21	vs PHI(1497) L 22-28: -9→1495	15	22	at DAL(1499) W 34-26: +8→1470
8	22	at LAC(1489) L 10-37: -20→1475	16	21	at NYG(1433) W 16-13: +2→1472

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1481 (-52 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1474 \| avg. lost to rating: 1514 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	27	vs LV(1500) L 13-20: -11→1489	9	7	vs ATL(1475) W 24-23: -5→1538	17	3	at NYJ(1407) W 42-10: +7→1574
2	19	at MIA(1479) W 33-27: +9→1498	10	6	at TB(1523) W 28-23: +6→1544	18	3	vs MIA(1468) W 38-10: +6→1580
3	22	vs PIT(1486) L 14-21: -11→1487	11	3	vs NYJ(1460) W 27-14: +11→1555	W	3	vs LAC(1521) W 16-3: +3→1583
4	13	vs CAR(1504) W 42-13: +21→1508	12	3	at CIN(1433) W 26-20: +3→1558	D	3	vs HOU(1566) W 28-16: +2→1585
5	13	at BUF(1542) W 23-20: +7→1515	13	3	vs NYG(1451) W 33-15: +11→1569	C	3	at DEN(1555) W 10-7: +1→1586
6	12	at NO(1470) W 25-19: +5→1520	14	3	(bye)	S	3	at SEA(1618) L 13-29: +0→1586
7	6	at TEN(1436) W 31-13: +12→1532	15	3	vs BUF(1556) L 31-35: -4→1565
8	6	vs CLE(1472) W 32-13: +11→1543	16	3	at BAL(1513) W 28-24: +2→1567

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1489 (+33 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1458 \| avg. lost to rating: 1506 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	28	vs ARI(1500) L 13-20: -11→1489	9	31	at LAR(1551) L 10-34: -7→1433	17	25	at TEN(1412) W 34-26: +4→1455
2	26	vs SF(1505) L 21-26: -6→1483	10	31	at CAR(1486) W 17-7: +16→1449	18	25	at ATL(1486) L 17-19: -1→1454
3	30	at SEA(1515) L 13-44: -19→1464	11	26	(bye)	W	25
4	31	at BUF(1533) L 19-31: -9→1455	12	29	vs ATL(1477) L 10-24: -15→1434	D	25
5	24	vs NYG(1472) W 26-14: +15→1470	13	30	at MIA(1473) L 17-21: -0→1434	C	25
6	27	vs NE(1515) L 19-25: -5→1465	14	29	at TB(1490) W 24-20: +4→1438	S	25
7	27	at CHI(1503) L 14-26: -10→1455	15	26	vs CAR(1470) W 20-17: +3→1441
8	31	vs TB(1508) L 3-23: -15→1440	16	24	vs NYJ(1417) W 29-6: +10→1451

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1496 (+35 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1482 \| avg. lost to rating: 1500 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	30	at WAS(1500) L 6-21: -17→1483	9	26	vs SF(1500) L 24-34: -10→1456	17	26	at LV(1401) W 34-10: +9→1440
2	25	at DAL(1498) L 37-40: +0→1483	10	28	at CHI(1494) L 20-24: -0→1456	18	26	vs DAL(1484) W 34-17: +7→1447
3	29	vs KC(1488) L 9-22: -17→1466	11	28	vs GB(1521) L 20-27: -8→1448	W	26
4	26	vs LAC(1525) W 21-18: +6→1472	12	27	at DET(1543) L 27-34: +3→1451	D	26
5	28	at NO(1455) L 14-26: -14→1458	13	29	at NE(1558) L 15-33: -11→1440	C	26
6	24	vs PHI(1519) W 34-17: +21→1479	14	28	(bye)	S	26
7	24	at DEN(1526) L 32-33: +1→1480	15	28	vs WAS(1440) L 21-29: -7→1433
8	26	at PHI(1506) L 20-38: -14→1466	16	28	vs MIN(1470) L 13-16: -2→1431

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (+51 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1470 \| avg. lost to rating: 1507 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	23	vs PIT(1500) L 32-34: -5→1495	9	28	(bye)	17	31	vs NE(1567) L 10-42: -8→1399
2	29	vs BUF(1503) L 10-30: -22→1473	10	25	vs CLE(1460) W 27-20: +8→1460	18	31	at BUF(1557) L 8-35: -5→1394
3	28	at TB(1510) L 27-29: -1→1472	11	27	at NE(1544) L 14-27: -11→1449	W	31
4	29	at MIA(1462) L 21-27: -6→1466	12	28	at BAL(1513) L 10-23: -11→1438	D	31
5	31	vs DAL(1480) L 22-37: -17→1449	13	28	vs ATL(1492) W 27-24: +3→1441	C	31
6	29	at DEN(1529) L 11-13: +3→1452	14	30	vs MIA(1473) L 10-34: -14→1427	S	31
7	30	vs CAR(1486) L 6-13: -7→1445	15	30	at JAX(1540) L 20-48: -10→1417
8	29	at CIN(1458) W 39-38: +7→1452	16	31	at NO(1441) L 6-29: -10→1407

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1496 (-22 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1500 \| avg. lost to rating: 1489 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	16	vs DAL(1500) W 24-20: +2→1502	9	12	(bye)	17	10	at BUF(1560) W 13-12: +3→1538
2	16	at KC(1492) W 20-17: +4→1506	10	10	at GB(1526) W 10-7: +4→1525	18	9	vs WAS(1437) L 17-24: -5→1533
3	9	vs LAR(1522) W 33-26: +9→1515	11	9	vs DET(1552) W 16-9: +9→1534	W	9	vs SF(1550) L 19-23: -1→1532
4	7	at TB(1510) W 31-25: +8→1523	12	11	at DAL(1502) L 21-24: -4→1530	D	9
5	11	vs DEN(1524) L 17-21: -4→1519	13	13	vs CHI(1501) L 15-24: -11→1519	C	9
6	21	at NYG(1458) L 17-34: -22→1497	14	13	at LAC(1513) L 19-22: -1→1518	S	9
7	15	at MIN(1504) W 28-22: +9→1506	15	13	vs LV(1409) W 31-0: +11→1529
8	12	vs NYG(1480) W 38-20: +15→1521	16	11	at WAS(1448) W 29-18: +6→1535

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (-3 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1504 \| avg. lost to rating: 1493 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	10	at NYJ(1500) W 34-32: +5→1505	9	15	vs IND(1567) W 27-20: +15→1508	17	17	at CLE(1430) L 6-13: -5→1506
2	23	vs SEA(1495) L 17-31: -19→1486	10	17	at LAC(1508) L 10-25: -15→1493	18	17	vs BAL(1521) W 26-24: +1→1507
3	19	at NE(1498) W 21-14: +11→1497	11	15	vs CIN(1450) W 34-12: +17→1510	W	17	vs HOU(1560) L 6-30: -5→1502
4	20	at MIN(1508) W 24-21: +4→1501	12	15	at CHI(1499) L 28-31: -2→1508	D	17
5	18	(bye)	13	18	vs BUF(1541) L 7-26: -15→1493	C	17
6	15	vs CLE(1462) W 23-9: +11→1512	14	18	at BAL(1505) W 27-22: +5→1498	S	17
7	16	at CIN(1451) L 31-33: -8→1504	15	17	vs MIA(1488) W 28-15: +9→1507
8	19	vs GB(1526) L 25-35: -11→1493	16	17	at DET(1540) W 29-24: +4→1511

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (-10 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1491 \| avg. lost to rating: 1543 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	13	at SEA(1500) W 17-13: +5→1505	9	14	at NYG(1466) W 34-24: +10→1510	17	7	vs CHI(1520) W 42-38: +1→1554
2	11	at NO(1489) W 26-21: +6→1511	10	18	vs LAR(1558) L 26-42: -17→1493	18	8	vs SEA(1611) L 3-13: -4→1550
3	10	vs ARI(1513) W 16-15: +3→1514	11	13	at ARI(1494) W 41-22: +20→1513	W	8	at PHI(1533) W 23-19: +1→1551
4	14	vs JAX(1521) L 21-26: -6→1508	12	13	vs CAR(1474) W 20-9: +10→1523	D	8	at SEA(1615) L 6-41: -3→1548
5	14	at LAR(1523) W 26-23: +4→1512	13	10	at CLE(1460) W 26-8: +14→1537	C	8
6	19	at TB(1510) L 19-30: -13→1499	14	11	(bye)	S	8
7	13	vs ATL(1515) W 20-10: +13→1512	15	9	vs TEN(1406) W 37-24: +5→1542
8	14	at HOU(1517) L 15-26: -12→1500	16	7	at IND(1533) W 48-27: +11→1553

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1509 (-50 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1506 \| avg. lost to rating: 1526 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	20	vs SF(1500) L 13-17: -5→1495	9	1	at WAS(1490) W 38-14: +15→1563	17	1	at CAR(1469) W 27-10: +6→1611
2	8	at PIT(1505) W 31-17: +20→1515	10	1	vs ARI(1511) W 44-22: +16→1579	18	1	at SF(1554) W 13-3: +4→1615
3	2	vs NO(1483) W 44-13: +19→1534	11	2	at LAR(1575) L 19-21: -3→1576	W	1	(bye)
4	2	at ARI(1510) W 23-20: +3→1537	12	2	at TEN(1417) W 30-24: +3→1579	D	1	vs SF(1551) W 41-6: +3→1618
5	5	vs TB(1502) L 35-38: -7→1530	13	1	vs MIN(1460) W 26-0: +12→1591	C	1	vs LAR(1603) W 31-27: +0→1618
6	2	at JAX(1529) W 20-12: +11→1541	14	1	at ATL(1489) W 37-9: +13→1604	S	1	at NE(1586) W 29-13: -0→1618
7	4	vs HOU(1525) W 27-19: +7→1548	15	1	vs IND(1533) W 18-16: -0→1604
8	4	(bye)	16	1	vs LAR(1603) W 38-37: +1→1605

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-4 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1489 \| avg. lost to rating: 1504 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	12	at ATL(1500) W 23-20: +5→1505	9	11	(bye)	17	21	at MIA(1466) L 17-20: -1→1479
2	12	at HOU(1496) W 20-19: +5→1510	10	13	vs NE(1538) L 23-28: -6→1517	18	20	vs CAR(1463) W 16-14: +1→1480
3	12	vs NYJ(1473) W 29-27: +0→1510	11	16	at BUF(1531) L 32-44: -13→1504	W	20
4	18	vs PHI(1515) L 25-31: -8→1502	12	20	at LAR(1577) L 7-34: -15→1489	D	20
5	15	at SEA(1537) W 38-35: +8→1510	13	19	vs ARI(1472) W 20-17: +1→1490	C	20
6	10	vs SF(1512) W 30-19: +13→1523	14	20	vs NO(1434) L 20-24: -5→1485	S	20
7	14	at DET(1531) L 9-24: -15→1508	15	19	vs ATL(1475) L 28-29: -3→1482
8	11	at NO(1455) W 23-3: +15→1523	16	20	at CAR(1467) L 20-23: -2→1480

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1513 (+80 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1496 \| avg. lost to rating: 1516 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	26	at DEN(1500) L 12-20: -10→1490	9	32	vs LAC(1509) L 20-27: +1→1418	17	30	vs NO(1451) L 26-34: -5→1407
2	30	vs LAR(1504) L 19-33: -18→1472	10	32	(bye)	18	30	at JAX(1562) L 7-41: -5→1402
3	32	vs IND(1523) L 20-41: -19→1453	11	32	vs HOU(1532) L 13-16: -1→1417	W	30
4	32	at HOU(1485) L 0-26: -17→1436	12	32	vs SEA(1576) L 24-30: -2→1415	D	30
5	32	at ARI(1507) W 22-21: +10→1446	13	32	vs JAX(1513) L 3-25: -14→1401	C	30
6	32	at LV(1457) L 10-20: -10→1436	14	32	at CLE(1446) W 31-29: +5→1406	S	30
7	32	vs NE(1520) L 13-31: -12→1424	15	31	at SF(1537) L 24-37: -6→1400
8	32	at IND(1560) L 14-38: -7→1417	16	30	vs KC(1536) W 26-9: +12→1412

↑ Washington Commanders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (+22 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1498 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	3	vs NYG(1500) W 21-6: +17→1517	9	24	vs SEA(1548) L 14-38: -14→1476	17	27	vs DAL(1481) L 23-30: -4→1437
2	17	at GB(1516) L 18-27: -11→1506	10	26	vs DET(1533) L 22-44: -19→1457	18	27	at PHI(1538) W 24-17: +5→1442
3	5	vs LV(1494) W 41-24: +16→1522	11	25	at MIA(1471) L 13-16: -2→1455	W	27
4	12	at ATL(1492) L 27-34: -9→1513	12	26	(bye)	D	27
5	4	at LAC(1519) W 27-10: +19→1532	13	24	vs DEN(1546) L 26-27: -0→1455	C	27
6	8	vs CHI(1496) L 24-25: -8→1524	14	27	at MIN(1447) L 0-31: -15→1440	S	27
7	17	at DAL(1494) L 22-44: -21→1503	15	25	at NYG(1440) W 29-21: +8→1448
8	20	at KC(1551) L 7-28: -13→1490	16	27	vs PHI(1529) L 18-29: -7→1441

↑ 2025 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 7 games (weeks 16-22) New England Patriots: +20 total Elo rating
2. 5 games (weeks 14-18) Minnesota Vikings: +38 total Elo rating
3. 4 games (weeks 15-18) Atlanta Falcons: +12 total Elo rating
4. 3 games (weeks 16-18) Cleveland Browns: +7 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 17-18) New York Giants: +16 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 9 games (weeks 10-18) Arizona Cardinals: -79 total Elo rating
2. 6 games (weeks 13-18) Kansas City Chiefs: -36 total Elo rating
3. 5 games (weeks 14-18) New York Jets: -47 total Elo rating
4. 5 games (weeks 15-19) Green Bay Packers: -23 total Elo rating
5. 3 games (weeks 16-18) Indianapolis Colts: -17 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 16, 136-Elo upset: Kansas City Chiefs (1536) 4-point favorites at Tennessee Titans (1400): Titans win 26-9
2. Week 13, 129-Elo upset: Los Angeles Rams (1593) Tossup favorites at Carolina Panthers (1464): Panthers win 31-28
3. Week 18, 129-Elo upset: Kansas City Chiefs (1520) 4-point favorites at Las Vegas Raiders (1391): Raiders win 14-12
4. Week 17, 120-Elo upset: Los Angeles Rams (1603) Tossup favorites at Atlanta Falcons (1483): Falcons win 27-24
5. Week 18, 101-Elo upset: Philadelphia Eagles (1538) 5-point favorites vs Washington Commanders (1437): Commanders win 24-17
6. Week 10, 100-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1551) Tossup favorites at Miami Dolphins (1451): Dolphins win 30-13
7. Week 13, 94-Elo upset: Baltimore Ravens (1524) 5-point favorites vs Cincinnati Bengals (1430): Bengals win 32-14
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week 8, 30-point differential: Atlanta Falcons (1503) 6-point favorites vs Miami Dolphins (1445): Dolphins win 34-10
2. Week 13, 23-point differential: Baltimore Ravens (1524) 5-point favorites vs Cincinnati Bengals (1430): Bengals win 32-14
3. Week 16, 24-point differential: Miami Dolphins (1479) Tossup favorites vs Cincinnati Bengals (1436): Bengals win 45-21
4. Week 3, 30-point differential: Atlanta Falcons (1516) Tossup favorites at Carolina Panthers (1480): Panthers win 30-0
5. Week 3, 38-point differential: Cincinnati Bengals (1508) Tossup favorites vs Minnesota Vikings (1484): Vikings win 48-10
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +118: Seattle Seahawks (1500) before week 1 → (1618) thru week 22
2. +103: Los Angeles Rams (1500) before week 1 → (1603) thru week 21
3. +86: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1586) thru week 22
4. +66: Jacksonville Jaguars (1500) before week 1 → (1566) thru week 19
5. +63: Houston Texans (1500) before week 1 → (1563) thru week 20
more...
1. +63: Buffalo Bills (1500) before week 1 → (1563) thru week 20
2. +55: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1555) thru week 21
3. +48: San Francisco 49ers (1500) before week 1 → (1548) thru week 20
4. +32: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1532) thru week 19
5. +32: Green Bay Packers (1500) before week 1 → (1532) thru week 19
6. +29: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 1 → (1529) thru week 18
7. +20: Baltimore Ravens (1500) before week 1 → (1520) thru week 18
8. +19: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1519) thru week 20
9. +18: Los Angeles Chargers (1500) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 19
10. +17: Kansas City Chiefs (1500) before week 1 → (1517) thru week 18
11. +17: Indianapolis Colts (1500) before week 1 → (1517) thru week 18
12. +2: Pittsburgh Steelers (1500) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 19
13. -13: Atlanta Falcons (1500) before week 1 → (1487) thru week 18
14. -15: Minnesota Vikings (1500) before week 1 → (1485) thru week 18
15. -20: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1480) thru week 18
16. -22: Dallas Cowboys (1500) before week 1 → (1478) thru week 18
17. -37: Carolina Panthers (1500) before week 1 → (1463) thru week 19
18. -38: Miami Dolphins (1500) before week 1 → (1462) thru week 18
19. -45: Cincinnati Bengals (1500) before week 1 → (1455) thru week 18
20. -46: New Orleans Saints (1500) before week 1 → (1454) thru week 18
21. -53: New York Giants (1500) before week 1 → (1447) thru week 18
22. -58: Washington Commanders (1500) before week 1 → (1442) thru week 18
23. -63: Cleveland Browns (1500) before week 1 → (1437) thru week 18
24. -68: Arizona Cardinals (1500) before week 1 → (1432) thru week 18
25. -98: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 1 → (1402) thru week 18
26. -106: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1394) thru week 18
27. -106: Las Vegas Raiders (1500) before week 1 → (1394) thru week 18
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -106: Las Vegas Raiders (1500) before week 1 → (1394) thru week 18
2. -106: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1394) thru week 18
3. -98: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 1 → (1402) thru week 18
4. -68: Arizona Cardinals (1500) before week 1 → (1432) thru week 18
5. -63: Cleveland Browns (1500) before week 1 → (1437) thru week 18
more...
1. -58: Washington Commanders (1500) before week 1 → (1442) thru week 18
2. -53: New York Giants (1500) before week 1 → (1447) thru week 18
3. -46: New Orleans Saints (1500) before week 1 → (1454) thru week 18
4. -45: Cincinnati Bengals (1500) before week 1 → (1455) thru week 18
5. -38: Miami Dolphins (1500) before week 1 → (1462) thru week 18
6. -37: Carolina Panthers (1500) before week 1 → (1463) thru week 19
7. -22: Dallas Cowboys (1500) before week 1 → (1478) thru week 18
8. -20: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1480) thru week 18
9. -15: Minnesota Vikings (1500) before week 1 → (1485) thru week 18
10. -13: Atlanta Falcons (1500) before week 1 → (1487) thru week 18
11. +2: Pittsburgh Steelers (1500) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 19
12. +17: Indianapolis Colts (1500) before week 1 → (1517) thru week 18
13. +17: Kansas City Chiefs (1500) before week 1 → (1517) thru week 18
14. +18: Los Angeles Chargers (1500) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 19
15. +19: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1519) thru week 20
16. +20: Baltimore Ravens (1500) before week 1 → (1520) thru week 18
17. +29: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 1 → (1529) thru week 18
18. +32: Green Bay Packers (1500) before week 1 → (1532) thru week 19
19. +32: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1532) thru week 19
20. +48: San Francisco 49ers (1500) before week 1 → (1548) thru week 20
21. +55: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1555) thru week 21
22. +63: Buffalo Bills (1500) before week 1 → (1563) thru week 20
23. +63: Houston Texans (1500) before week 1 → (1563) thru week 20
24. +66: Jacksonville Jaguars (1500) before week 1 → (1566) thru week 19
25. +86: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1586) thru week 22
26. +103: Los Angeles Rams (1500) before week 1 → (1603) thru week 21
27. +118: Seattle Seahawks (1500) before week 1 → (1618) thru week 22
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +78: Jacksonville Jaguars (1490) before week 11 → (1567) thru week 18
2. +76: Kansas City Chiefs (1488) before week 3 → (1564) thru week 8
3. +74: Los Angeles Rams (1518) before week 6 → (1593) thru week 12
4. +70: Baltimore Ravens (1454) before week 7 → (1524) thru week 12
5. +69: New England Patriots (1487) before week 4 → (1555) thru week 11
more...
1. +67: Seattle Seahawks (1495) before week 2 → (1563) thru week 9
2. +67: Indianapolis Colts (1500) before week 1 → (1567) thru week 8
3. +64: Detroit Lions (1484) before week 2 → (1548) thru week 5
4. +61: San Francisco 49ers (1493) before week 11 → (1553) thru week 16
5. +48: Houston Texans (1485) before week 4 → (1533) thru week 11
6. +48: Buffalo Bills (1503) before week 2 → (1551) thru week 9
7. +43: Miami Dolphins (1445) before week 8 → (1488) thru week 14
8. +42: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1542) thru week 8
9. +41: Chicago Bears (1472) before week 3 → (1513) thru week 7
10. +38: Minnesota Vikings (1447) before week 14 → (1485) thru week 18
11. +38: Green Bay Packers (1500) before week 1 → (1538) thru week 8
12. +36: Dallas Cowboys (1478) before week 4 → (1515) thru week 7
13. +36: Philadelphia Eagles (1497) before week 7 → (1534) thru week 11
14. +35: Los Angeles Chargers (1489) before week 8 → (1524) thru week 10
15. +32: Washington Commanders (1500) before week 1 → (1532) thru week 5
16. +27: Pittsburgh Steelers (1486) before week 3 → (1512) thru week 6
17. +27: Cincinnati Bengals (1430) before week 13 → (1457) thru week 17
18. +23: New York Giants (1458) before week 6 → (1480) thru week 7
19. +23: Atlanta Falcons (1492) before week 4 → (1515) thru week 6
20. +23: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1523) thru week 6
21. +22: New Orleans Saints (1433) before week 10 → (1455) thru week 17
22. +21: Carolina Panthers (1482) before week 2 → (1504) thru week 3
23. +14: New York Jets (1445) before week 8 → (1460) thru week 10
24. +14: Arizona Cardinals (1497) before week 6 → (1511) thru week 9
25. +11: Tennessee Titans (1401) before week 14 → (1412) thru week 16
26. +9: Cleveland Browns (1451) before week 7 → (1460) thru week 8
27. +3: Las Vegas Raiders (1454) before week 8 → (1457) thru week 10
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -84: Washington Commanders (1524) before week 7 → (1440) thru week 14
2. -83: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 1 → (1417) thru week 8
3. -75: Arizona Cardinals (1511) before week 10 → (1436) thru week 17
4. -65: Las Vegas Raiders (1457) before week 11 → (1391) thru week 17
5. -65: New York Jets (1460) before week 11 → (1394) thru week 18
more...
1. -64: Baltimore Ravens (1518) before week 3 → (1454) thru week 6
2. -60: New Orleans Saints (1500) before week 1 → (1440) thru week 8
3. -58: Cincinnati Bengals (1508) before week 3 → (1451) thru week 6
4. -56: Minnesota Vikings (1504) before week 6 → (1447) thru week 13
5. -55: Miami Dolphins (1500) before week 1 → (1445) thru week 7
6. -49: Cleveland Browns (1500) before week 1 → (1451) thru week 6
7. -48: New York Giants (1480) before week 8 → (1433) thru week 15
8. -45: Indianapolis Colts (1567) before week 9 → (1522) thru week 16
9. -43: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1523) before week 9 → (1480) thru week 16
10. -40: Atlanta Falcons (1515) before week 7 → (1475) thru week 8
11. -40: Kansas City Chiefs (1564) before week 9 → (1524) thru week 16
12. -39: Jacksonville Jaguars (1529) before week 6 → (1490) thru week 10
13. -37: Los Angeles Chargers (1525) before week 4 → (1489) thru week 7
14. -34: Carolina Panthers (1504) before week 4 → (1470) thru week 10
15. -31: Dallas Cowboys (1509) before week 14 → (1478) thru week 18
16. -28: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1472) thru week 2
17. -26: Philadelphia Eagles (1523) before week 5 → (1497) thru week 6
18. -24: Detroit Lions (1552) before week 11 → (1528) thru week 17
19. -23: Green Bay Packers (1554) before week 15 → (1532) thru week 19
20. -21: Buffalo Bills (1542) before week 5 → (1521) thru week 6
21. -21: San Francisco 49ers (1514) before week 4 → (1493) thru week 10
22. -20: Pittsburgh Steelers (1512) before week 7 → (1493) thru week 8
23. -15: Houston Texans (1500) before week 1 → (1485) thru week 3
24. -13: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1487) thru week 3
25. -5: Denver Broncos (1555) before week 16 → (1550) thru week 17
26. -4: Seattle Seahawks (1534) before week 4 → (1530) thru week 5
27. -4: Los Angeles Rams (1603) before week 16 → (1600) thru week 17
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Arizona Cardinals: 1515
2. Indianapolis Colts: 1514
3. Tennessee Titans: 1513
4. Seattle Seahawks: 1509
5. San Francisco 49ers: 1506
more...
1. Washington Commanders: 1506
2. Detroit Lions: 1504
3. Las Vegas Raiders: 1504
4. Kansas City Chiefs: 1504
5. Los Angeles Rams: 1504
6. Denver Broncos: 1503
7. Minnesota Vikings: 1503
8. Atlanta Falcons: 1501
9. Houston Texans: 1501
10. New York Jets: 1501
11. Carolina Panthers: 1501
12. Cincinnati Bengals: 1500
13. Los Angeles Chargers: 1500
14. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1499
15. Green Bay Packers: 1498
16. Chicago Bears: 1498
17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1497
18. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1497
19. Philadelphia Eagles: 1496
20. New York Giants: 1496
21. Dallas Cowboys: 1495
22. Cleveland Browns: 1494
23. Baltimore Ravens: 1494
24. Buffalo Bills: 1493
25. New Orleans Saints: 1489
26. Miami Dolphins: 1486
27. New England Patriots: 1481
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. New England Patriots: 1481
2. Miami Dolphins: 1486
3. New Orleans Saints: 1489
4. Buffalo Bills: 1493
5. Baltimore Ravens: 1494
more...
1. Cleveland Browns: 1494
2. Dallas Cowboys: 1495
3. New York Giants: 1496
4. Philadelphia Eagles: 1496
5. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1497
6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1497
7. Chicago Bears: 1498
8. Green Bay Packers: 1498
9. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1499
10. Los Angeles Chargers: 1500
11. Cincinnati Bengals: 1500
12. Carolina Panthers: 1501
13. New York Jets: 1501
14. Houston Texans: 1501
15. Atlanta Falcons: 1501
16. Minnesota Vikings: 1503
17. Denver Broncos: 1503
18. Los Angeles Rams: 1504
19. Kansas City Chiefs: 1504
20. Las Vegas Raiders: 1504
21. Detroit Lions: 1504
22. Washington Commanders: 1506
23. San Francisco 49ers: 1506
24. Seattle Seahawks: 1509
25. Tennessee Titans: 1513
26. Indianapolis Colts: 1514
27. Arizona Cardinals: 1515
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Kansas City Chiefs: 1510
2. Seattle Seahawks: 1506
3. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1504
4. Carolina Panthers: 1503
5. Atlanta Falcons: 1500
more...
1. Philadelphia Eagles: 1500
2. Los Angeles Rams: 1500
3. Washington Commanders: 1498
4. Minnesota Vikings: 1497
5. Denver Broncos: 1497
6. Tennessee Titans: 1496
7. Cincinnati Bengals: 1496
8. Green Bay Packers: 1495
9. Dallas Cowboys: 1494
10. Arizona Cardinals: 1493
11. Houston Texans: 1493
12. Detroit Lions: 1493
13. San Francisco 49ers: 1491
14. Chicago Bears: 1490
15. Los Angeles Chargers: 1489
16. Las Vegas Raiders: 1489
17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1489
18. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1488
19. Buffalo Bills: 1488
20. Baltimore Ravens: 1483
21. Indianapolis Colts: 1482
22. New York Giants: 1482
23. Cleveland Browns: 1480
24. Miami Dolphins: 1477
25. New England Patriots: 1474
26. New York Jets: 1470
27. New Orleans Saints: 1458
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. New Orleans Saints: 1458
2. New York Jets: 1470
3. New England Patriots: 1474
4. Miami Dolphins: 1477
5. Cleveland Browns: 1480
more...
1. New York Giants: 1482
2. Indianapolis Colts: 1482
3. Baltimore Ravens: 1483
4. Buffalo Bills: 1488
5. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1488
6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1489
7. Las Vegas Raiders: 1489
8. Los Angeles Chargers: 1489
9. Chicago Bears: 1490
10. San Francisco 49ers: 1491
11. Detroit Lions: 1493
12. Houston Texans: 1493
13. Arizona Cardinals: 1493
14. Dallas Cowboys: 1494
15. Green Bay Packers: 1495
16. Cincinnati Bengals: 1496
17. Tennessee Titans: 1496
18. Denver Broncos: 1497
19. Minnesota Vikings: 1497
20. Washington Commanders: 1498
21. Los Angeles Rams: 1500
22. Philadelphia Eagles: 1500
23. Atlanta Falcons: 1500
24. Carolina Panthers: 1503
25. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1504
26. Seattle Seahawks: 1506
27. Kansas City Chiefs: 1510

↑ 2025 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	8-8 (8/16, 50.0%)	8-8 (8/16, 50.0%)
2	7-9 (7/16, 43.75%)	15-17 (15/32, 46.88%)
3	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	24-24 (24/48, 50.0%)
4	8-7 (8/15, 53.33%)	32-31 (32/63, 50.79%)
5	6-8 (6/14, 42.86%)	38-39 (38/77, 49.35%)
6	10-5 (10/15, 66.67%)	48-44 (48/92, 52.17%)
7	11-4 (11/15, 73.33%)	59-48 (59/107, 55.14%)
8	10-3 (10/13, 76.92%)	69-51 (69/120, 57.5%)
9	8-6 (8/14, 57.14%)	77-57 (77/134, 57.46%)
10	9-5 (9/14, 64.29%)	86-62 (86/148, 58.11%)
11	10-5 (10/15, 66.67%)	96-67 (96/163, 58.9%)
12	11-3 (11/14, 78.57%)	107-70 (107/177, 60.45%)
13	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	116-77 (116/193, 60.1%)
14	9-5 (9/14, 64.29%)	125-82 (125/207, 60.39%)
15	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	135-88 (135/223, 60.54%)
16	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	145-94 (145/239, 60.67%)
17	8-8 (8/16, 50.0%)	153-102 (153/255, 60.0%)
18	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	163-108 (163/271, 60.15%)
W	4-2 (4/6, 66.67%)	167-110 (167/277, 60.29%)
D	4-0 (4/4, 100.0%)	171-110 (171/281, 60.85%)
C	1-1 (1/2, 50.0%)	172-111 (172/283, 60.78%)
S	1-0 (1/1, 100.0%)	173-111 (173/284, 60.92%)

↑ Introduction and Background

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we can consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the FAQ page for more background.

This Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from several recent NFL seasons, and compares favorably to the straight-up pick rates of the Vegas betting markets. This model also does well compared to the average picker at NFL Picks Page. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

Have more questions? See the FAQ page.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- division alignment (whether a game is a division matchup),
- whether a game is meaningless with respect to playoff seeding,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team can gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team can lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 1992 season — although only the last ~20 games have any real impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 1992 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 1992 and 1993 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 1994 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 1991 or older seasons in the model search process, nor to publish 2019 or older seasons.
If you see an unequal number of Elo rating points moved from one team to another after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2026 Updates

2026 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- A new "v4.2026.04" model was found, and it's the most accurate model yet. It also fixes the misbehavior of last year's "v3.2025.06" model. See more details in the 2026 preseason blog post.

2025 Updates

2026-01-03 - Reverted to last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See the 2025 blog post for more details. The "v3.2025.06" 2025 rankings are available here.
2025 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- An improved "v3.2025.06" model was found after a much bigger automated model search where 10 million models were evaluated for each of the regular, "never lose Elo for a win," and "blank slate" model types. The new "v3.2025.06" model is a "regular" model, and was more accurate than the new best found "never lose Elo for a win" and "blank slate" models. It picks a net 2.3 more game winners correctly per season from 1994 through 2024 than last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See more details in the 2025 preseason blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2025. There are links to the frozen pages near the top of the above linked blog post.

2024 Updates

2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

The schedule on this page is derived from Pro-Football-Reference.com, with weekly scores data from nflverse and some hand-entered scores.

The data on these pages was at one point derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages. I donate to Wikipedia annually. If you value free access to information on the web, or have recently found Wikipedia useful, I encourage you to do so as well.

If you enjoy reading these power rankings, check out the discussion in my weekly posts in the r/nfl subreddit or leave a small tip. Thanks!

NFL Elo Power Rankings 2025

This is the 2025-ONLY "Blank Slate" page

Contents

↑ Power Rankings After Super Bowl, 2025 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Championship, 2025 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Divisional, 2025 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Wildcard, 2025 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2025 Season

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↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2025 Season

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↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2025 Season

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↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2025 Season

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↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2025 Season

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↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2025 Season

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↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2025 Season

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↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2025 Season

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↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2025 Season

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↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2025 Season

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↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2025 Season

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↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2025 Season

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↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2025 Season

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↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2025 Season

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↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2025 Season

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↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2025 Season

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↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2025 Season

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↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2025 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2025 season:

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2025 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

↑ Atlanta Falcons

↑ Baltimore Ravens

↑ Buffalo Bills

↑ Carolina Panthers

↑ Chicago Bears

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

↑ Cleveland Browns

↑ Dallas Cowboys

↑ Denver Broncos

↑ Detroit Lions

↑ Green Bay Packers

↑ Houston Texans

↑ Indianapolis Colts

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

↑ Los Angeles Rams

↑ Miami Dolphins

↑ Minnesota Vikings

↑ New England Patriots

↑ New Orleans Saints

↑ New York Giants

↑ New York Jets

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

↑ San Francisco 49ers

↑ Seattle Seahawks

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers