NFL Elo Power Rankings 2025
Weekly NFL power rankings based on the Elo rating system. Read more here.
Contents
- After Super Bowl
- After Championship
- After Divisional
- After Wildcard
- After Week 18
- After Week 17
- After Week 16
- After Week 15
- After Week 14
- After Week 13
- After Week 12
- After Week 11
- After Week 10
- After Week 9
- After Week 8
- After Week 7
- After Week 6
- After Week 5
- After Week 4
- After Week 3
- After Week 2
- After Week 1
- Before Week 1
- 2025 Summaries by Team
- 2025 Stats and Tidbits
- 2025 Model Accuracy
↑ Power Rankings After Super Bowl, 2025 Season
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Championship, 2025 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1672 (-14) | 16-3 | at NE (1634): Win by 3 |
| prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1613): W 31-27: 1686-14→1672 | ||||
| next: at New England PatriotsNE (1634): Win by 3 points | ||||
| 2 | New England PatriotsNE | 1634 (+14) | 17-3 | at SEA (1672): Lose by 3 |
| prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1589): W 10-7: 1620+14→1634 | ||||
| next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1672): Lose by 3 points | ||||
| 3 (+1) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1627 (+14) | 14-6 | |
| prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1686): L 27-31: 1613+14→1627 | ||||
| 4 (-1) | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1614 | 13-6 | |
| 5 | Houston TexansHOU | 1604 | 13-6 | |
| 6 (+1) | Detroit LionsDET | 1577 | 9-8 | |
| 7 (-1) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1574 (-15) | 15-4 | |
| prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1620): L 7-10: 1589-15→1574 | ||||
| 8 | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1572 | 13-5 | |
| 9 | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1545 | 11-7 | |
| 10 | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1539 | 13-6 | |
| 11 | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1535 | 8-9 | |
| 12 | Green Bay PackersGB | 1535 | 9-8-1 | |
| 13 | Chicago BearsCHI | 1528 | 12-7 | |
| 14 | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1524 | 9-8 | |
| 15 | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1518 | 6-11 | |
| 16 | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1514 | 11-7 | |
| 17 | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1512 | 8-9 | |
| 18 | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1483 | 10-8 | |
| 19 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1482 | 8-9 | |
| 20 | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1473 | 8-9 | |
| 21 | New York GiantsNYG | 1463 | 4-13 | |
| 22 | Washington CommandersWAS | 1453 | 5-12 | |
| 23 | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1452 | 8-10 | |
| 24 | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1449 | 7-9-1 | |
| 25 | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1446 | 6-11 | |
| 26 | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1426 | 5-12 | |
| 27 | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1424 | 6-11 | |
| 28 | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1419 | 7-10 | |
| 29 | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1396 | 3-14 | |
| 30 | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1341 | 3-14 | |
| 31 | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1334 | 3-14 | |
| 32 | New York JetsNYJ | 1334 | 3-14 | |
Favorites: | ||||
| SEA | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Divisional, 2025 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1686 (+26) | 15-3 | vs LAR (1613): Win by 10 |
| prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1565): W 41-6: 1660+26→1686 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1613): Win by 10 points | ||||
| 2 (+3) | New England PatriotsNE | 1620 (+20) | 16-3 | at DEN (1589): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1624): W 28-16: 1600+20→1620 | ||||
| next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1589): Slight underdog | ||||
| 3 (+1) | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1614 (+5) | 13-6 | |
| prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1594): L 30-33(OT): 1609+5→1614 | ||||
| 4 (-1) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1613 (-2) | 14-5 | at SEA (1686): Lose by 10 |
| prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1526): W 20-17(OT): 1615-2→1613 | ||||
| next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1686): Lose by 10 points | ||||
| 5 (-3) | Houston TexansHOU | 1604 (-20) | 13-6 | |
| prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1600): L 16-28: 1624-20→1604 | ||||
| 6 | Denver BroncosDEN | 1589 (-5) | 15-3 | vs NE (1620): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1609): W 33-30(OT): 1594-5→1589 | ||||
| next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1620): Slight favorite | ||||
| 7 | Detroit LionsDET | 1577 | 9-8 | |
| 8 | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1572 | 13-5 | |
| 9 (+1) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1545 | 11-7 | |
| 10 (-1) | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1539 (-26) | 13-6 | |
| prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1660): L 6-41: 1565-26→1539 | ||||
| 11 | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1535 | 8-9 | |
| 12 | Green Bay PackersGB | 1535 | 9-8-1 | |
| 13 | Chicago BearsCHI | 1528 (+2) | 12-7 | |
| prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1615): L 17-20(OT): 1526+2→1528 | ||||
| 14 | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1524 | 9-8 | |
| 15 | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1518 | 6-11 | |
| 16 | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1514 | 11-7 | |
| 17 | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1512 | 8-9 | |
| 18 | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1483 | 10-8 | |
| 19 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1482 | 8-9 | |
| 20 | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1473 | 8-9 | |
| 21 | New York GiantsNYG | 1463 | 4-13 | |
| 22 | Washington CommandersWAS | 1453 | 5-12 | |
| 23 | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1452 | 8-10 | |
| 24 | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1449 | 7-9-1 | |
| 25 | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1446 | 6-11 | |
| 26 | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1426 | 5-12 | |
| 27 | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1424 | 6-11 | |
| 28 | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1419 | 7-10 | |
| 29 | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1396 | 3-14 | |
| 30 | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1341 | 3-14 | |
| 31 | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1334 | 3-14 | |
| 32 | New York JetsNYJ | 1334 | 3-14 | |
Favorites: | ||||
| DEN, SEA | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Wildcard, 2025 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1660 | 14-3 | vs SF (1565): Win by 13 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1565): Win by 13 points | ||||
| 2 (+4) | Houston TexansHOU | 1624 (+33) | 13-5 | at NE (1600): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1516): W 30-6: 1591+33→1624 | ||||
| next: at New England PatriotsNE (1600): Slight underdog | ||||
| 3 (-1) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1615 (-16) | 13-5 | at CHI (1526): Slight fav |
| prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1435): W 34-31: 1631-16→1615 | ||||
| next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1526): Slight favorite | ||||
| 4 | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1609 (+14) | 13-5 | at DEN (1594): Lose by 5 |
| prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1586): W 27-24: 1595+14→1609 | ||||
| next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1594): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 5 (-2) | New England PatriotsNE | 1600 (+4) | 15-3 | vs HOU (1624): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1518): W 16-3: 1596+4→1600 | ||||
| next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1624): Slight favorite | ||||
| 6 (-1) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1594 | 14-3 | vs BUF (1609): Win by 5 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1609): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 7 (+1) | Detroit LionsDET | 1577 | 9-8 | |
| 8 (-1) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1572 (-14) | 13-5 | |
| prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1595): L 24-27: 1586-14→1572 | ||||
| 9 (+1) | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1565 (+20) | 13-5 | at SEA (1660): Lose by 13 |
| prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1565): W 23-19: 1545+20→1565 | ||||
| next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1660): Lose by 13 points | ||||
| 10 (-1) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1545 (-20) | 11-7 | |
| prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1545): L 19-23: 1565-20→1545 | ||||
| 11 (+1) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1535 | 8-9 | |
| 12 (-1) | Green Bay PackersGB | 1535 (-3) | 9-8-1 | |
| prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1523): L 27-31: 1538-3→1535 | ||||
| 13 (+1) | Chicago BearsCHI | 1526 (+3) | 12-6 | vs LAR (1615): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1538): W 31-27: 1523+3→1526 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1615): Slight underdog | ||||
| 14 (-1) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1524 | 9-8 | |
| 15 | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1518 | 6-11 | |
| 16 | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1514 (-4) | 11-7 | |
| prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1596): L 3-16: 1518-4→1514 | ||||
| 17 (+1) | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1512 | 8-9 | |
| 18 (-1) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1483 (-33) | 10-8 | |
| prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1591): L 6-30: 1516-33→1483 | ||||
| 19 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1482 | 8-9 | |
| 20 | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1473 | 8-9 | |
| 21 | New York GiantsNYG | 1463 | 4-13 | |
| 22 | Washington CommandersWAS | 1453 | 5-12 | |
| 23 (+2) | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1452 (+17) | 8-10 | |
| prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1631): L 31-34: 1435+17→1452 | ||||
| 24 (-1) | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1449 | 7-9-1 | |
| 25 (-1) | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1446 | 6-11 | |
| 26 | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1426 | 5-12 | |
| 27 | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1424 | 6-11 | |
| 28 | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1419 | 7-10 | |
| 29 | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1396 | 3-14 | |
| 30 | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1341 | 3-14 | |
| 31 | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1334 | 3-14 | |
| 32 | New York JetsNYJ | 1334 | 3-14 | |
Favorites: | ||||
| DEN, LAR, NE, SEA | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2025 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1660 (+15) | 14-3 | bye |
| prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1559): W 13-3: 1645+15→1660 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 2 | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1631 (-1) | 12-5 | at CAR (1435): Win by 13 |
| prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1395): W 37-20: 1632-1→1631 | ||||
| next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1435): Win by 13 points | ||||
| 3 (+4) | New England PatriotsNE | 1596 (+16) | 14-3 | vs LAC (1518): Win by 10 |
| prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1435): W 38-10: 1580+16→1596 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1518): Win by 10 points | ||||
| 4 (+1) | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1595 (+7) | 12-5 | at JAX (1586): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1341): W 35-8: 1588+7→1595 | ||||
| next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1586): Slight underdog | ||||
| 5 (+1) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1594 (+11) | 14-3 | bye |
| prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1529): W 19-3: 1583+11→1594 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 6 (-2) | Houston TexansHOU | 1591 | 12-5 | at PIT (1516): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1512): W 38-30: 1591-0→1591 | ||||
| next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1516): Slight favorite | ||||
| 7 (+1) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1586 (+15) | 13-4 | vs BUF (1595): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1349): W 41-7: 1571+15→1586 | ||||
| next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1595): Slight favorite | ||||
| 8 (+1) | Detroit LionsDET | 1577 (+6) | 9-8 | |
| prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1530): W 19-16: 1571+6→1577 | ||||
| 9 (-6) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1565 (-34) | 11-6 | vs SF (1545): Win by 5 |
| prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1419): L 17-24: 1599-34→1565 | ||||
| next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1545): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 10 | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1545 (-14) | 12-5 | at PHI (1565): Lose by 5 |
| prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1645): L 3-13: 1559-14→1545 | ||||
| next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1565): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 11 | Green Bay PackersGB | 1538 (-17) | 9-7-1 | at CHI (1523): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1507): L 3-16: 1555-17→1538 | ||||
| next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1523): Slight underdog | ||||
| 12 (+1) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1535 (-2) | 8-9 | |
| prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1513): L 24-26: 1537-2→1535 | ||||
| 13 (+5) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1524 (+17) | 9-8 | |
| prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1555): W 16-3: 1507+17→1524 | ||||
| 14 | Chicago BearsCHI | 1523 (-7) | 11-6 | vs GB (1538): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1571): L 16-19: 1530-7→1523 | ||||
| next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1538): Slight favorite | ||||
| 15 (-3) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1518 (-25) | 6-11 | |
| prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1317): L 12-14: 1543-25→1518 | ||||
| 16 (-1) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1518 (-11) | 11-6 | at NE (1596): Lose by 10 |
| prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1583): L 3-19: 1529-11→1518 | ||||
| next: at New England PatriotsNE (1596): Lose by 10 points | ||||
| 17 (-1) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1516 (+3) | 10-7 | vs HOU (1591): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1537): W 26-24: 1513+3→1516 | ||||
| next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1591): Slight underdog | ||||
| 18 (-1) | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1512 | 8-9 | |
| prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1591): L 30-38: 1512+0→1512 | ||||
| 19 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1482 (-6) | 8-9 | |
| prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1429): W 16-14: 1488-6→1482 | ||||
| 20 | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1473 (-6) | 8-9 | |
| prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1419): W 19-17: 1479-6→1473 | ||||
| 21 (+2) | New York GiantsNYG | 1463 (+25) | 4-13 | |
| prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1474): W 34-17: 1438+25→1463 | ||||
| 22 (+4) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1453 (+34) | 5-12 | |
| prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1599): W 24-17: 1419+34→1453 | ||||
| 23 (-2) | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1449 (-25) | 7-9-1 | |
| prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1438): L 17-34: 1474-25→1449 | ||||
| 24 (-2) | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1446 (-19) | 6-11 | |
| prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1407): L 18-20: 1465-19→1446 | ||||
| 25 | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1435 (+6) | 8-9 | vs LAR (1631): Lose by 13 |
| prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1488): L 14-16: 1429+6→1435 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1631): Lose by 13 points | ||||
| 26 (+2) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1426 (+19) | 5-12 | |
| prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1465): W 20-18: 1407+19→1426 | ||||
| 27 | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1424 (+5) | 6-11 | |
| prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1479): L 17-19: 1419+5→1424 | ||||
| 28 (-4) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1419 (-16) | 7-10 | |
| prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1580): L 10-38: 1435-16→1419 | ||||
| 29 | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1396 (+1) | 3-14 | |
| prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1632): L 20-37: 1395+1→1396 | ||||
| 30 (+2) | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1341 (+24) | 3-14 | |
| prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1543): W 14-12: 1317+24→1341 | ||||
| 31 (-1) | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1334 (-15) | 3-14 | |
| prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1571): L 7-41: 1349-15→1334 | ||||
| 32 (-1) | New York JetsNYJ | 1334 (-7) | 3-14 | |
| prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1588): L 8-35: 1341-7→1334 | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| CHI, HOU, JAX, LAR, NE, PHI | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2025 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (+1) | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1645 (+3) | 13-3 | at SF (1559): Slight fav |
| prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1433): W 27-10: 1642+3→1645 | ||||
| next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1559): Slight favorite | ||||
| 2 (-1) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1632 (-23) | 11-5 | vs ARI (1395): Win by 18 |
| prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1456): L 24-27: 1655-23→1632 | ||||
| next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1395): Win by 18 points | ||||
| 3 (+1) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1599 (+7) | 11-5 | vs WAS (1419): Win by 13 |
| prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1595): W 13-12: 1592+7→1599 | ||||
| next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1419): Win by 13 points | ||||
| 4 (+2) | Houston TexansHOU | 1591 (+4) | 11-5 | vs IND (1512): Win by 8 |
| prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1532): W 20-16: 1587+4→1591 | ||||
| next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1512): Win by 8 points | ||||
| 5 (-2) | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1588 (-7) | 11-5 | vs NYJ (1341): Win by 19 |
| prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1592): L 12-13: 1595-7→1588 | ||||
| next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1341): Win by 19 points | ||||
| 6 (+2) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1583 (+15) | 13-3 | vs LAC (1529): Win by 8 |
| prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1558): W 20-13: 1568+15→1583 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1529): Win by 8 points | ||||
| 7 (+4) | New England PatriotsNE | 1580 (+22) | 13-3 | vs MIA (1435): Win by 12 |
| prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1363): W 42-10: 1558+22→1580 | ||||
| next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1435): Win by 12 points | ||||
| 8 (+1) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1571 (+10) | 12-4 | vs TEN (1349): Win by 17 |
| prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1523): W 23-17: 1561+10→1571 | ||||
| next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1349): Win by 17 points | ||||
| 9 (-4) | Detroit LionsDET | 1571 (-21) | 8-8 | at CHI (1530): Tossup |
| prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1485): L 10-23: 1592-21→1571 | ||||
| next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1530): Tossup | ||||
| 10 | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1559 | 12-4 | vs SEA (1645): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1529): W 42-38: 1559-0→1559 | ||||
| next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1645): Slight underdog | ||||
| 11 (-4) | Green Bay PackersGB | 1555 (-14) | 9-6-1 | at MIN (1507): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1523): L 24-41: 1569-14→1555 | ||||
| next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1507): Slight underdog | ||||
| 12 | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1543 (-15) | 6-10 | at LV (1317): Win by 11 |
| prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1568): L 13-20: 1558-15→1543 | ||||
| next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1317): Win by 11 points | ||||
| 13 (+4) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1537 (+14) | 8-8 | at PIT (1513): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1569): W 41-24: 1523+14→1537 | ||||
| next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1513): Slight underdog | ||||
| 14 (+1) | Chicago BearsCHI | 1530 (+1) | 11-5 | vs DET (1571): Tossup |
| prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1559): L 38-42: 1529+1→1530 | ||||
| next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1571): Tossup | ||||
| 15 (-2) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1529 (-3) | 11-5 | at DEN (1583): Lose by 8 |
| prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1587): L 16-20: 1532-3→1529 | ||||
| next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1583): Lose by 8 points | ||||
| 16 (-2) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1513 (-17) | 9-7 | vs BAL (1537): Slight fav |
| prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1390): L 6-13: 1530-17→1513 | ||||
| next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1537): Slight favorite | ||||
| 17 (-1) | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1512 (-11) | 8-8 | at HOU (1591): Lose by 8 |
| prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1561): L 17-23: 1523-11→1512 | ||||
| next: at Houston TexansHOU (1591): Lose by 8 points | ||||
| 18 (+1) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1507 (+22) | 8-8 | vs GB (1555): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1592): W 23-10: 1485+22→1507 | ||||
| next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1555): Slight favorite | ||||
| 19 (-1) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1488 (-8) | 7-9 | vs CAR (1429): Win by 7 |
| prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1427): L 17-20: 1496-8→1488 | ||||
| next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1429): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 20 (+1) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1479 (+23) | 7-9 | vs NO (1419): Win by 6 |
| prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1655): W 27-24: 1456+23→1479 | ||||
| next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1419): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 21 (-1) | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1474 (+15) | 7-8-1 | at NYG (1438): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1434): W 30-23: 1459+15→1474 | ||||
| next: at New York GiantsNYG (1438): Slight underdog | ||||
| 22 | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1465 (+18) | 6-10 | vs CLE (1407): Win by 7 |
| prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1412): W 37-14: 1447+18→1465 | ||||
| next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1407): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 23 (+3) | New York GiantsNYG | 1438 (+24) | 3-13 | vs DAL (1474): Slight fav |
| prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1341): W 34-10: 1414+24→1438 | ||||
| next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1474): Slight favorite | ||||
| 24 (+1) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1435 (+8) | 7-9 | at NE (1580): Lose by 12 |
| prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1496): W 20-17: 1427+8→1435 | ||||
| next: at New England PatriotsNE (1580): Lose by 12 points | ||||
| 25 (-1) | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1429 (-4) | 8-8 | at TB (1488): Lose by 7 |
| prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1642): L 10-27: 1433-4→1429 | ||||
| next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1488): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 26 (-3) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1419 (-15) | 4-12 | at PHI (1599): Lose by 13 |
| prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1459): L 23-30: 1434-15→1419 | ||||
| next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1599): Lose by 13 points | ||||
| 27 (+1) | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1419 (+12) | 6-10 | at ATL (1479): Lose by 6 |
| prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1360): W 34-26: 1407+12→1419 | ||||
| next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1479): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 28 (+1) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1407 (+17) | 4-12 | at CIN (1465): Lose by 7 |
| prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1530): W 13-6: 1390+17→1407 | ||||
| next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1465): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 29 (-2) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1395 (-17) | 3-13 | at LAR (1632): Lose by 18 |
| prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1447): L 14-37: 1412-17→1395 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1632): Lose by 18 points | ||||
| 30 (+1) | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1349 (-11) | 3-13 | at JAX (1571): Lose by 17 |
| prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1407): L 26-34: 1360-11→1349 | ||||
| next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1571): Lose by 17 points | ||||
| 31 (-1) | New York JetsNYJ | 1341 (-22) | 3-13 | at BUF (1588): Lose by 19 |
| prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1558): L 10-42: 1363-22→1341 | ||||
| next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1588): Lose by 19 points | ||||
| 32 | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1317 (-24) | 2-14 | vs KC (1543): Lose by 11 |
| prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1414): L 10-34: 1341-24→1317 | ||||
| next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1543): Lose by 11 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| ATL, BUF, CIN, DEN, DET, HOU, JAX, KC, | ||||
| LAR, MIN, NE, NYG, PHI, PIT, SEA, TB | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2025 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1655 | 11-4 | at ATL (1456): Win by 13 |
| prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1641): L 37-38(OT): 1655-0→1655 | ||||
| next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1456): Win by 13 points | ||||
| 2 | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1642 (+1) | 12-3 | at CAR (1433): Win by 14 |
| prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1655): W 38-37(OT): 1641+1→1642 | ||||
| next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1433): Win by 14 points | ||||
| 3 (+1) | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1595 (-10) | 11-4 | vs PHI (1592): Slight fav |
| prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1380): W 23-20: 1605-10→1595 | ||||
| next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1592): Slight favorite | ||||
| 4 (+4) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1592 (+7) | 10-5 | at BUF (1595): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1441): W 29-18: 1585+7→1592 | ||||
| next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1595): Slight underdog | ||||
| 5 (-2) | Detroit LionsDET | 1592 (-19) | 8-7 | at MIN (1485): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1511): L 24-29: 1611-19→1592 | ||||
| next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1485): Slight favorite | ||||
| 6 (-1) | Houston TexansHOU | 1587 (-18) | 10-5 | at LAC (1532): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1323): W 23-21: 1605-18→1587 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1532): Slight favorite | ||||
| 7 (+2) | Green Bay PackersGB | 1569 (-3) | 9-5-1 | vs BAL (1523): Win by 7 |
| prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1526): L 16-22(OT): 1572-3→1569 | ||||
| next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1523): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 8 (-1) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1568 (-24) | 12-3 | at KC (1558): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1537): L 20-34: 1592-24→1568 | ||||
| next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1558): Slight underdog | ||||
| 9 (+3) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1561 (+24) | 11-4 | at IND (1523): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1592): W 34-20: 1537+24→1561 | ||||
| next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1523): Slight underdog | ||||
| 10 (+3) | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1559 (+25) | 11-4 | vs CHI (1529): Win by 4 |
| prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1549): W 48-27: 1534+25→1559 | ||||
| next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1529): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 11 (-1) | New England PatriotsNE | 1558 (+7) | 12-3 | at NYJ (1363): Win by 7 |
| prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1531): W 28-24: 1551+7→1558 | ||||
| next: at New York JetsNYJ (1363): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 12 (-6) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1558 (-35) | 6-9 | vs DEN (1568): Slight fav |
| prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1326): L 9-26: 1593-35→1558 | ||||
| next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1568): Slight favorite | ||||
| 13 (+3) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1532 (+18) | 11-4 | vs HOU (1587): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1478): W 34-17: 1514+18→1532 | ||||
| next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1587): Slight underdog | ||||
| 14 (+3) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1530 (+19) | 9-6 | at CLE (1390): Win by 4 |
| prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1611): W 29-24: 1511+19→1530 | ||||
| next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1390): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 15 | Chicago BearsCHI | 1529 (+3) | 11-4 | at SF (1559): Lose by 4 |
| prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1572): W 22-16(OT): 1526+3→1529 | ||||
| next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1559): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 16 (-5) | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1523 (-26) | 8-7 | vs JAX (1561): Slight fav |
| prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1534): L 27-48: 1549-26→1523 | ||||
| next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1561): Slight favorite | ||||
| 17 (-3) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1523 (-8) | 7-8 | at GB (1569): Lose by 7 |
| prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1551): L 24-28: 1531-8→1523 | ||||
| next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1569): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 18 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1496 (-7) | 7-8 | at MIA (1427): Slight fav |
| prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1426): L 20-23: 1503-7→1496 | ||||
| next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1427): Slight favorite | ||||
| 19 | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1485 (+2) | 7-8 | vs DET (1592): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1416): W 16-13: 1483+2→1485 | ||||
| next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1592): Slight underdog | ||||
| 20 | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1459 (-19) | 6-8-1 | at WAS (1434): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1514): L 17-34: 1478-19→1459 | ||||
| next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1434): Slight underdog | ||||
| 21 (+1) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1456 (+9) | 6-9 | vs LAR (1655): Lose by 13 |
| prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1421): W 26-19: 1447+9→1456 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1655): Lose by 13 points | ||||
| 22 (+4) | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1447 (+29) | 5-10 | vs ARI (1412): Win by 6 |
| prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1456): W 45-21: 1418+29→1447 | ||||
| next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1412): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 23 | Washington CommandersWAS | 1434 (-7) | 4-11 | vs DAL (1459): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1585): L 18-29: 1441-7→1434 | ||||
| next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1459): Slight favorite | ||||
| 24 | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1433 (+7) | 8-7 | vs SEA (1642): Lose by 14 |
| prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1503): W 23-20: 1426+7→1433 | ||||
| next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1642): Lose by 14 points | ||||
| 25 (-4) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1427 (-29) | 6-9 | vs TB (1496): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1418): L 21-45: 1456-29→1427 | ||||
| next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1496): Slight underdog | ||||
| 26 (+1) | New York GiantsNYG | 1414 (-2) | 2-13 | at LV (1341): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1483): L 13-16: 1416-2→1414 | ||||
| next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1341): Slight favorite | ||||
| 27 (-2) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1412 (-9) | 3-12 | at CIN (1447): Lose by 6 |
| prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1447): L 19-26: 1421-9→1412 | ||||
| next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1447): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 28 | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1407 (+16) | 5-10 | at TEN (1360): Tossup |
| prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1379): W 29-6: 1391+16→1407 | ||||
| next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1360): Tossup | ||||
| 29 | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1390 (+10) | 3-12 | vs PIT (1530): Lose by 4 |
| prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1605): L 20-23: 1380+10→1390 | ||||
| next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1530): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 30 | New York JetsNYJ | 1363 (-16) | 3-12 | vs NE (1558): Lose by 7 |
| prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1391): L 6-29: 1379-16→1363 | ||||
| next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1558): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 31 | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1360 (+34) | 3-12 | vs NO (1407): Tossup |
| prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1593): W 26-9: 1326+34→1360 | ||||
| next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1407): Tossup | ||||
| 32 | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1341 (+18) | 2-13 | vs NYG (1414): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1605): L 21-23: 1323+18→1341 | ||||
| next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1414): Slight underdog | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| BUF, CIN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, KC, LAR, | ||||
| NE, NO, NYG, PIT, SEA, SF, TB, WAS | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2025 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1655 (+2) | 11-3 | at SEA (1641): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1613): W 41-34: 1653+2→1655 | ||||
| next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1641): Slight underdog | ||||
| 2 | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1641 (-6) | 11-3 | vs LAR (1655): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1543): W 18-16: 1647-6→1641 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1655): Slight favorite | ||||
| 3 | Detroit LionsDET | 1611 (-2) | 8-6 | vs PIT (1511): Win by 11 |
| prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1653): L 34-41: 1613-2→1611 | ||||
| next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1511): Win by 11 points | ||||
| 4 (+2) | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1605 (+7) | 10-4 | at CLE (1380): Win by 13 |
| prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1557): W 35-31: 1598+7→1605 | ||||
| next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1380): Win by 13 points | ||||
| 5 | Houston TexansHOU | 1605 (+2) | 9-5 | vs LV (1323): Win by 24 |
| prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1424): W 40-20: 1603+2→1605 | ||||
| next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1323): Win by 24 points | ||||
| 6 (-2) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1593 (-11) | 6-8 | at TEN (1326): Win by 16 |
| prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1503): L 13-16: 1604-11→1593 | ||||
| next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1326): Win by 16 points | ||||
| 7 | Denver BroncosDEN | 1592 (+4) | 12-2 | vs JAX (1537): Win by 7 |
| prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1576): W 34-26: 1588+4→1592 | ||||
| next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1537): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 8 | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1585 (+5) | 9-5 | at WAS (1441): Win by 4 |
| prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1328): W 31-0: 1580+5→1585 | ||||
| next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1441): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 9 | Green Bay PackersGB | 1572 (-4) | 9-4-1 | at CHI (1526): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1588): L 26-34: 1576-4→1572 | ||||
| next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1526): Slight underdog | ||||
| 10 | New England PatriotsNE | 1551 (-6) | 11-3 | at BAL (1531): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1598): L 31-35: 1557-6→1551 | ||||
| next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1531): Slight underdog | ||||
| 11 | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1549 (+6) | 8-6 | vs SF (1534): Win by 4 |
| prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1647): L 16-18: 1543+6→1549 | ||||
| next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1534): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 12 (+1) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1537 (+8) | 10-4 | at DEN (1592): Lose by 7 |
| prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1387): W 48-20: 1529+8→1537 | ||||
| next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1592): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 13 (-1) | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1534 (-4) | 10-4 | at IND (1549): Lose by 4 |
| prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1322): W 37-24: 1538-4→1534 | ||||
| next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1549): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 14 (+1) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1531 (+17) | 7-7 | vs NE (1551): Slight fav |
| prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1434): W 24-0: 1514+17→1531 | ||||
| next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1551): Slight favorite | ||||
| 15 (-1) | Chicago BearsCHI | 1526 (+8) | 10-4 | vs GB (1572): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1389): W 31-3: 1518+8→1526 | ||||
| next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1572): Slight favorite | ||||
| 16 (+2) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1514 (+11) | 10-4 | at DAL (1478): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1604): W 16-13: 1503+11→1514 | ||||
| next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1478): Slight underdog | ||||
| 17 | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1511 (+5) | 8-6 | at DET (1611): Lose by 11 |
| prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1461): W 28-15: 1506+5→1511 | ||||
| next: at Detroit LionsDET (1611): Lose by 11 points | ||||
| 18 (-2) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1503 (-10) | 7-7 | at CAR (1426): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1437): L 28-29: 1513-10→1503 | ||||
| next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1426): Slight favorite | ||||
| 19 (+1) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1483 (+13) | 6-8 | at NYG (1416): Slight fav |
| prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1490): W 34-26: 1470+13→1483 | ||||
| next: at New York GiantsNYG (1416): Slight favorite | ||||
| 20 (-1) | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1478 (-12) | 6-7-1 | vs LAC (1514): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1470): L 26-34: 1490-12→1478 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1514): Slight favorite | ||||
| 21 | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1456 (-5) | 6-8 | vs CIN (1418): Win by 5 |
| prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1506): L 15-28: 1461-5→1456 | ||||
| next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1418): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 22 | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1447 (+10) | 5-9 | at ARI (1421): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1513): W 29-28: 1437+10→1447 | ||||
| next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1421): Slight underdog | ||||
| 23 (+2) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1441 (+11) | 4-10 | vs PHI (1585): Lose by 4 |
| prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1428): W 29-21: 1430+11→1441 | ||||
| next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1585): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 24 | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1426 (-4) | 7-7 | vs TB (1503): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1387): L 17-20: 1430-4→1426 | ||||
| next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1503): Slight underdog | ||||
| 25 (+2) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1421 (-3) | 3-11 | vs ATL (1447): Slight fav |
| prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1603): L 20-40: 1424-3→1421 | ||||
| next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1447): Slight favorite | ||||
| 26 (-3) | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1418 (-16) | 4-10 | at MIA (1456): Lose by 5 |
| prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1514): L 0-24: 1434-16→1418 | ||||
| next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1456): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 27 (-1) | New York GiantsNYG | 1416 (-12) | 2-12 | vs MIN (1483): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1430): L 21-29: 1428-12→1416 | ||||
| next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1483): Slight underdog | ||||
| 28 (+2) | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1391 (+4) | 4-10 | vs NYJ (1379): Win by 4 |
| prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1430): W 20-17: 1387+4→1391 | ||||
| next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1379): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 29 (-1) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1380 (-9) | 3-11 | vs BUF (1605): Lose by 13 |
| prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1518): L 3-31: 1389-9→1380 | ||||
| next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1605): Lose by 13 points | ||||
| 30 (-1) | New York JetsNYJ | 1379 (-8) | 3-11 | at NO (1391): Lose by 4 |
| prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1529): L 20-48: 1387-8→1379 | ||||
| next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1391): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 31 (+1) | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1326 (+4) | 2-12 | vs KC (1593): Lose by 16 |
| prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1538): L 24-37: 1322+4→1326 | ||||
| next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1593): Lose by 16 points | ||||
| 32 (-1) | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1323 (-5) | 2-12 | at HOU (1605): Lose by 24 |
| prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1580): L 0-31: 1328-5→1323 | ||||
| next: at Houston TexansHOU (1605): Lose by 24 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| ARI, BAL, BUF, CHI, DAL, DEN, DET, HOU, | ||||
| IND, KC, MIA, MIN, NO, PHI, SEA, TB | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2025 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1653 (+15) | 10-3 | vs DET (1613): Win by 4 |
| prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1439): W 45-17: 1638+15→1653 | ||||
| next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1613): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 2 | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1647 (+12) | 10-3 | vs IND (1543): Win by 10 |
| prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1450): W 37-9: 1635+12→1647 | ||||
| next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1543): Win by 10 points | ||||
| 3 (+1) | Detroit LionsDET | 1613 (+3) | 8-5 | at LAR (1653): Lose by 4 |
| prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1493): W 44-30: 1610+3→1613 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1653): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 4 (-1) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1604 (-17) | 6-7 | vs LAC (1503): Win by 8 |
| prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1585): L 10-20: 1621-17→1604 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1503): Win by 8 points | ||||
| 5 (+3) | Houston TexansHOU | 1603 (+18) | 8-5 | vs ARI (1424): Win by 16 |
| prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1621): W 20-10: 1585+18→1603 | ||||
| next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1424): Win by 16 points | ||||
| 6 (-1) | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1598 (-8) | 9-4 | at NE (1557): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1427): W 39-34: 1606-8→1598 | ||||
| next: at New England PatriotsNE (1557): Slight underdog | ||||
| 7 (-1) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1588 (-2) | 11-2 | vs GB (1576): Win by 3 |
| prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1325): W 24-17: 1590-2→1588 | ||||
| next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1576): Win by 3 points | ||||
| 8 (-1) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1580 (-8) | 8-5 | vs LV (1328): Win by 21 |
| prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): L 19-22(OT): 1588-8→1580 | ||||
| next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1328): Win by 21 points | ||||
| 9 | Green Bay PackersGB | 1576 (+2) | 9-3-1 | at DEN (1588): Lose by 3 |
| prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1519): W 28-21: 1574+2→1576 | ||||
| next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1588): Lose by 3 points | ||||
| 10 (+1) | New England PatriotsNE | 1557 | 11-2 | vs BUF (1598): Slight fav |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1598): Slight favorite | ||||
| 11 (-1) | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1543 (-15) | 8-5 | at SEA (1647): Lose by 10 |
| prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1515): L 19-36: 1558-15→1543 | ||||
| next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1647): Lose by 10 points | ||||
| 12 | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1538 | 9-4 | vs TEN (1322): Win by 20 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1322): Win by 20 points | ||||
| 13 (+3) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1529 (+14) | 9-4 | vs NYJ (1387): Win by 13 |
| prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1558): W 36-19: 1515+14→1529 | ||||
| next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1387): Win by 13 points | ||||
| 14 (+1) | Chicago BearsCHI | 1518 (-1) | 9-4 | vs CLE (1389): Win by 12 |
| prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1574): L 21-28: 1519-1→1518 | ||||
| next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1389): Win by 12 points | ||||
| 15 (-1) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1514 (-12) | 6-7 | at CIN (1434): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1494): L 22-27: 1526-12→1514 | ||||
| next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1434): Slight favorite | ||||
| 16 (-3) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1513 (-15) | 7-6 | vs ATL (1437): Win by 7 |
| prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1371): L 20-24: 1528-15→1513 | ||||
| next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1437): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 17 (+1) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1506 (+12) | 7-6 | vs MIA (1461): Win by 6 |
| prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1526): W 27-22: 1494+12→1506 | ||||
| next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1461): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 18 (-1) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1503 (+7) | 9-4 | at KC (1604): Lose by 8 |
| prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1588): W 22-19(OT): 1496+7→1503 | ||||
| next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1604): Lose by 8 points | ||||
| 19 | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1490 (-3) | 6-6-1 | vs MIN (1470): Win by 5 |
| prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1610): L 30-44: 1493-3→1490 | ||||
| next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1470): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 20 | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1470 (+20) | 5-8 | at DAL (1490): Lose by 5 |
| prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1450): W 31-0: 1450+20→1470 | ||||
| next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1490): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 21 (+2) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1461 (+22) | 6-7 | at PIT (1506): Lose by 6 |
| prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1409): W 34-10: 1439+22→1461 | ||||
| next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1506): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 22 (-1) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1437 (-13) | 4-9 | at TB (1513): Lose by 7 |
| prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1635): L 9-37: 1450-13→1437 | ||||
| next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1513): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 23 (+4) | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1434 (+7) | 4-9 | vs BAL (1514): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1606): L 34-39: 1427+7→1434 | ||||
| next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1514): Slight underdog | ||||
| 24 (+1) | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1430 | 7-6 | at NO (1387): Slight fav |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1387): Slight favorite | ||||
| 25 (-3) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1430 (-20) | 3-10 | at NYG (1428): Lose by 4 |
| prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1450): L 0-31: 1450-20→1430 | ||||
| next: at New York GiantsNYG (1428): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 26 | New York GiantsNYG | 1428 | 2-11 | vs WAS (1430): Win by 4 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1430): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 27 (-3) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1424 (-15) | 3-10 | at HOU (1603): Lose by 16 |
| prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1638): L 17-45: 1439-15→1424 | ||||
| next: at Houston TexansHOU (1603): Lose by 16 points | ||||
| 28 (+1) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1389 (-13) | 3-10 | at CHI (1518): Lose by 12 |
| prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1308): L 29-31: 1402-13→1389 | ||||
| next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1518): Lose by 12 points | ||||
| 29 (-1) | New York JetsNYJ | 1387 (-22) | 3-10 | at JAX (1529): Lose by 13 |
| prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1439): L 10-34: 1409-22→1387 | ||||
| next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1529): Lose by 13 points | ||||
| 30 | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1387 (+16) | 3-10 | vs CAR (1430): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1528): W 24-20: 1371+16→1387 | ||||
| next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1430): Slight underdog | ||||
| 31 | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1328 (+3) | 2-11 | at PHI (1580): Lose by 21 |
| prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1590): L 17-24: 1325+3→1328 | ||||
| next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1580): Lose by 21 points | ||||
| 32 | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1322 (+14) | 2-11 | at SF (1538): Lose by 20 |
| prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1402): W 31-29: 1308+14→1322 | ||||
| next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1538): Lose by 20 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| BAL, CAR, CHI, DAL, DEN, HOU, JAX, KC, | ||||
| LAR, NE, NYG, PHI, PIT, SEA, SF, TB | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2025 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1638 (-19) | 9-3 | at ARI (1439): Win by 6 |
| prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1411): L 28-31: 1657-19→1638 | ||||
| next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1439): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 2 (+2) | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1635 (+9) | 9-3 | at ATL (1450): Win by 9 |
| prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1459): W 26-0: 1626+9→1635 | ||||
| next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1450): Win by 9 points | ||||
| 3 (-1) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1621 (-12) | 6-6 | vs HOU (1585): Win by 6 |
| prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1481): L 28-31: 1633-12→1621 | ||||
| next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1585): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 4 (-1) | Detroit LionsDET | 1610 (-17) | 7-5 | vs DAL (1493): Win by 11 |
| prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1558): L 24-31: 1627-17→1610 | ||||
| next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1493): Win by 11 points | ||||
| 5 (+2) | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1606 (+15) | 8-4 | vs CIN (1427): Win by 14 |
| prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1510): W 26-7: 1591+15→1606 | ||||
| next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1427): Win by 14 points | ||||
| 6 | Denver BroncosDEN | 1590 (-4) | 10-2 | at LV (1325): Win by 10 |
| prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1446): W 27-26(OT): 1594-4→1590 | ||||
| next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1325): Win by 10 points | ||||
| 7 (-2) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1588 (-22) | 8-4 | at LAC (1496): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1497): L 15-24: 1610-22→1588 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): Slight favorite | ||||
| 8 | Houston TexansHOU | 1585 (+7) | 7-5 | at KC (1621): Lose by 6 |
| prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1565): W 20-16: 1578+7→1585 | ||||
| next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1621): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 9 (+1) | Green Bay PackersGB | 1574 (+16) | 8-3-1 | vs CHI (1519): Win by 5 |
| prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1627): W 31-24: 1558+16→1574 | ||||
| next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1519): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 10 (-1) | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1558 (-7) | 8-4 | at JAX (1515): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1578): L 16-20: 1565-7→1558 | ||||
| next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1515): Slight underdog | ||||
| 11 (+1) | New England PatriotsNE | 1557 (+7) | 11-2 | bye |
| prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1435): W 33-15: 1550+7→1557 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 12 (+2) | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1538 (+14) | 9-4 | bye |
| prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1417): W 26-8: 1524+14→1538 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 13 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1528 (-7) | 7-5 | vs NO (1371): Win by 11 |
| prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1432): W 20-17: 1535-7→1528 | ||||
| next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1371): Win by 11 points | ||||
| 14 (-3) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1526 (-31) | 6-6 | vs PIT (1494): Win by 5 |
| prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1396): L 14-32: 1557-31→1526 | ||||
| next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1494): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 15 (+2) | Chicago BearsCHI | 1519 (+22) | 9-3 | at GB (1574): Lose by 5 |
| prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1610): W 24-15: 1497+22→1519 | ||||
| next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1574): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 16 | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1515 (+16) | 8-4 | vs IND (1558): Slight fav |
| prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1323): W 25-3: 1499+16→1515 | ||||
| next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1558): Slight favorite | ||||
| 17 (+1) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1496 (+5) | 8-4 | vs PHI (1588): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1330): W 31-14: 1491+5→1496 | ||||
| next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1588): Slight underdog | ||||
| 18 (-3) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1494 (-16) | 6-6 | at BAL (1526): Lose by 5 |
| prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1591): L 7-26: 1510-16→1494 | ||||
| next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1526): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 19 | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1493 (+12) | 6-5-1 | at DET (1610): Lose by 11 |
| prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1633): W 31-28: 1481+12→1493 | ||||
| next: at Detroit LionsDET (1610): Lose by 11 points | ||||
| 20 | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1450 (-9) | 4-8 | vs WAS (1450): Slight fav |
| prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1626): L 0-26: 1459-9→1450 | ||||
| next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1450): Slight favorite | ||||
| 21 | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1450 (-4) | 4-8 | vs SEA (1635): Lose by 9 |
| prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1404): L 24-27: 1454-4→1450 | ||||
| next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1635): Lose by 9 points | ||||
| 22 | Washington CommandersWAS | 1450 (+4) | 3-9 | at MIN (1450): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1594): L 26-27(OT): 1446+4→1450 | ||||
| next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1450): Slight underdog | ||||
| 23 | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1439 (-5) | 5-7 | at NYJ (1409): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1366): W 21-17: 1444-5→1439 | ||||
| next: at New York JetsNYJ (1409): Slight underdog | ||||
| 24 (+1) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1439 (+7) | 3-9 | vs LAR (1638): Lose by 6 |
| prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1535): L 17-20: 1432+7→1439 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1638): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 25 (+2) | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1430 (+19) | 7-6 | bye |
| prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1657): W 31-28: 1411+19→1430 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 26 (-2) | New York GiantsNYG | 1428 (-7) | 2-11 | bye |
| prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1550): L 15-33: 1435-7→1428 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 27 (+2) | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1427 (+31) | 4-8 | at BUF (1606): Lose by 14 |
| prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1557): W 32-14: 1396+31→1427 | ||||
| next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1606): Lose by 14 points | ||||
| 28 | New York JetsNYJ | 1409 (+5) | 3-9 | vs MIA (1439): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1454): W 27-24: 1404+5→1409 | ||||
| next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1439): Slight favorite | ||||
| 29 (-3) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1402 (-15) | 3-9 | vs TEN (1308): Win by 9 |
| prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1524): L 8-26: 1417-15→1402 | ||||
| next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1308): Win by 9 points | ||||
| 30 | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1371 (+5) | 2-10 | at TB (1528): Lose by 11 |
| prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1444): L 17-21: 1366+5→1371 | ||||
| next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1528): Lose by 11 points | ||||
| 31 | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1325 (-5) | 2-10 | vs DEN (1590): Lose by 10 |
| prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1491): L 14-31: 1330-5→1325 | ||||
| next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1590): Lose by 10 points | ||||
| 32 | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1308 (-15) | 1-11 | at CLE (1402): Lose by 9 |
| prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1499): L 3-25: 1323-15→1308 | ||||
| next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1402): Lose by 9 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| BAL, BUF, CLE, DEN, DET, GB, JAX, KC, | ||||
| LAR, MIN, NYJ, PHI, SEA, TB | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2025 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (+1) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1657 (+17) | 9-2 | at CAR (1411): Win by 13 |
| prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1552): W 34-7: 1640+17→1657 | ||||
| next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1411): Win by 13 points | ||||
| 2 (+2) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1633 (-4) | 6-5 | at DAL (1481): Win by 6 |
| prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1561): W 23-20(OT): 1637-4→1633 | ||||
| next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1481): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 3 (-2) | Detroit LionsDET | 1627 (-15) | 7-4 | vs GB (1558): Win by 6 |
| prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1420): W 34-27(OT): 1642-15→1627 | ||||
| next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1558): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 4 (-1) | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1626 (-11) | 8-3 | vs MIN (1459): Win by 13 |
| prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1312): W 30-24: 1637-11→1626 | ||||
| next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1459): Win by 13 points | ||||
| 5 | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1610 (-11) | 8-3 | vs CHI (1497): Win by 10 |
| prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1470): L 21-24: 1621-11→1610 | ||||
| next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1497): Win by 10 points | ||||
| 6 (+1) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1594 | 9-2 | at WAS (1446): Win by 6 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1446): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 7 (-1) | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1591 (-4) | 7-4 | at PIT (1510): Slight fav |
| prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1574): L 19-23: 1595-4→1591 | ||||
| next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1510): Slight favorite | ||||
| 8 | Houston TexansHOU | 1578 (+4) | 6-5 | at IND (1565): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1595): W 23-19: 1574+4→1578 | ||||
| next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1565): Slight underdog | ||||
| 9 | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1565 (+4) | 8-3 | vs HOU (1578): Slight fav |
| prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1637): L 20-23(OT): 1561+4→1565 | ||||
| next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1578): Slight favorite | ||||
| 10 (+3) | Green Bay PackersGB | 1558 (+12) | 7-3-1 | at DET (1627): Lose by 6 |
| prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1471): W 23-6: 1546+12→1558 | ||||
| next: at Detroit LionsDET (1627): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 11 (-1) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1557 (+3) | 6-5 | vs CIN (1396): Win by 10 |
| prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1407): W 23-10: 1554+3→1557 | ||||
| next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1396): Win by 10 points | ||||
| 12 (-1) | New England PatriotsNE | 1550 (-2) | 10-2 | vs NYG (1435): Win by 10 |
| prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1394): W 26-20: 1552-2→1550 | ||||
| next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1435): Win by 10 points | ||||
| 13 (-1) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1535 (-17) | 6-5 | vs ARI (1432): Win by 9 |
| prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1640): L 7-34: 1552-17→1535 | ||||
| next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1432): Win by 9 points | ||||
| 14 | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1524 (+2) | 8-4 | at CLE (1417): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1413): W 20-9: 1522+2→1524 | ||||
| next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1417): Slight favorite | ||||
| 15 | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1510 (-2) | 6-5 | vs BUF (1591): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1494): L 28-31: 1512-2→1510 | ||||
| next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1591): Slight underdog | ||||
| 16 | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1499 (+3) | 7-4 | at TEN (1323): Win by 5 |
| prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1435): W 27-24(OT): 1496+3→1499 | ||||
| next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1323): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 17 | Chicago BearsCHI | 1497 (+3) | 8-3 | at PHI (1610): Lose by 10 |
| prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1512): W 31-28: 1494+3→1497 | ||||
| next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1610): Lose by 10 points | ||||
| 18 | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1491 | 7-4 | vs LV (1330): Win by 12 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1330): Win by 12 points | ||||
| 19 (+1) | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1481 (+11) | 5-5-1 | vs KC (1633): Lose by 6 |
| prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1621): W 24-21: 1470+11→1481 | ||||
| next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1633): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 20 (-1) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1459 (-12) | 4-7 | at SEA (1626): Lose by 13 |
| prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1546): L 6-23: 1471-12→1459 | ||||
| next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1626): Lose by 13 points | ||||
| 21 (+3) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1454 (+20) | 4-7 | at NYJ (1404): Slight fav |
| prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1386): W 24-10: 1434+20→1454 | ||||
| next: at New York JetsNYJ (1404): Slight favorite | ||||
| 22 (-1) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1446 | 3-8 | vs DEN (1594): Lose by 6 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1594): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 23 (-1) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1444 | 4-7 | vs NO (1366): Win by 9 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1366): Win by 9 points | ||||
| 24 (+1) | New York GiantsNYG | 1435 (+15) | 2-10 | at NE (1550): Lose by 10 |
| prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1642): L 27-34(OT): 1420+15→1435 | ||||
| next: at New England PatriotsNE (1550): Lose by 10 points | ||||
| 25 (-2) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1432 (-3) | 3-8 | at TB (1535): Lose by 9 |
| prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1496): L 24-27(OT): 1435-3→1432 | ||||
| next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1535): Lose by 9 points | ||||
| 26 (+2) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1417 (+17) | 3-8 | vs SF (1524): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1346): W 24-10: 1400+17→1417 | ||||
| next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1524): Slight underdog | ||||
| 27 (-1) | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1411 (-2) | 6-6 | vs LAR (1657): Lose by 13 |
| prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1522): L 9-20: 1413-2→1411 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1657): Lose by 13 points | ||||
| 28 (-1) | New York JetsNYJ | 1404 (-3) | 2-9 | vs ATL (1454): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1554): L 10-23: 1407-3→1404 | ||||
| next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1454): Slight underdog | ||||
| 29 | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1396 (+2) | 3-8 | at BAL (1557): Lose by 10 |
| prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1552): L 20-26: 1394+2→1396 | ||||
| next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1557): Lose by 10 points | ||||
| 30 | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1366 (-20) | 2-9 | at MIA (1444): Lose by 9 |
| prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1434): L 10-24: 1386-20→1366 | ||||
| next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1444): Lose by 9 points | ||||
| 31 | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1330 (-16) | 2-9 | at LAC (1491): Lose by 12 |
| prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1400): L 10-24: 1346-16→1330 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1491): Lose by 12 points | ||||
| 32 | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1323 (+11) | 1-10 | vs JAX (1499): Lose by 5 |
| prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1637): L 24-30: 1312+11→1323 | ||||
| next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1499): Lose by 5 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| ATL, BAL, BUF, DEN, DET, IND, JAX, KC, | ||||
| LAC, LAR, MIA, NE, PHI, SEA, SF, TB | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2025 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detroit LionsDET | 1642 (-11) | 6-4 | vs NYG (1420): Win by 16 |
| prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1610): L 9-16: 1653-11→1642 | ||||
| next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1420): Win by 16 points | ||||
| 2 (+1) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1640 (+1) | 8-2 | vs TB (1552): Win by 8 |
| prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1639): W 21-19: 1639+1→1640 | ||||
| next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1552): Win by 8 points | ||||
| 3 (+1) | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1637 (-2) | 7-3 | at TEN (1312): Win by 17 |
| prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1639): L 19-21: 1639-2→1637 | ||||
| next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1312): Win by 17 points | ||||
| 4 (-2) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1637 (-5) | 5-5 | vs IND (1561): Win by 6 |
| prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1589): L 19-22: 1642-5→1637 | ||||
| next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1561): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 5 | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1621 (+11) | 8-2 | at DAL (1470): Win by 4 |
| prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1653): W 16-9: 1610+11→1621 | ||||
| next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1470): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 6 (+1) | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1595 (+11) | 7-3 | at HOU (1574): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1563): W 44-32: 1584+11→1595 | ||||
| next: at Houston TexansHOU (1574): Slight underdog | ||||
| 7 (-1) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1594 (+5) | 9-2 | bye |
| prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1642): W 22-19: 1589+5→1594 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 8 | Houston TexansHOU | 1574 (-6) | 5-5 | vs BUF (1595): Slight fav |
| prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1306): W 16-13: 1580-6→1574 | ||||
| next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1595): Slight favorite | ||||
| 9 (+1) | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1561 | 8-2 | at KC (1637): Lose by 6 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1637): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 10 (+1) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1554 (+5) | 5-5 | vs NYJ (1407): Win by 11 |
| prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1406): W 23-16: 1549+5→1554 | ||||
| next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1407): Win by 11 points | ||||
| 11 (+1) | New England PatriotsNE | 1552 (+6) | 9-2 | at CIN (1394): Win by 7 |
| prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1412): W 27-14: 1546+6→1552 | ||||
| next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1394): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 12 (-3) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1552 (-11) | 6-4 | at LAR (1640): Lose by 8 |
| prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1584): L 32-44: 1563-11→1552 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1640): Lose by 8 points | ||||
| 13 | Green Bay PackersGB | 1546 (+5) | 6-3-1 | vs MIN (1471): Win by 6 |
| prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1425): W 27-20: 1541+5→1546 | ||||
| next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1471): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 14 (+1) | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1522 (+27) | 7-4 | vs CAR (1413): Win by 9 |
| prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1461): W 41-22: 1495+27→1522 | ||||
| next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1413): Win by 9 points | ||||
| 15 (+1) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1512 (+19) | 6-4 | at CHI (1494): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1414): W 34-12: 1493+19→1512 | ||||
| next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1494): Slight underdog | ||||
| 16 (+3) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1496 (+33) | 6-4 | at ARI (1435): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1524): W 35-6: 1463+33→1496 | ||||
| next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1435): Slight favorite | ||||
| 17 | Chicago BearsCHI | 1494 (+9) | 7-3 | vs PIT (1512): Slight fav |
| prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1481): W 19-17: 1485+9→1494 | ||||
| next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1512): Slight favorite | ||||
| 18 (-4) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1491 (-33) | 7-4 | bye |
| prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1463): L 6-35: 1524-33→1491 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 19 (-1) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1471 (-10) | 4-6 | at GB (1546): Lose by 6 |
| prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1485): L 17-19: 1481-10→1471 | ||||
| next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1546): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 20 (+2) | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1470 (+19) | 4-5-1 | vs PHI (1621): Lose by 4 |
| prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1365): W 33-16: 1451+19→1470 | ||||
| next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1621): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 21 | Washington CommandersWAS | 1446 (-6) | 3-8 | bye |
| prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1438): L 13-16(OT): 1452-6→1446 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 22 (+2) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1444 (+6) | 4-7 | bye |
| prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1452): W 16-13(OT): 1438+6→1444 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 23 (-3) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1435 (-26) | 3-7 | vs JAX (1496): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1495): L 22-41: 1461-26→1435 | ||||
| next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1496): Slight underdog | ||||
| 24 (-1) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1434 (-12) | 3-7 | at NO (1386): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1401): L 27-30(OT): 1446-12→1434 | ||||
| next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1386): Slight underdog | ||||
| 25 | New York GiantsNYG | 1420 (-5) | 2-9 | at DET (1642): Lose by 16 |
| prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1541): L 20-27: 1425-5→1420 | ||||
| next: at Detroit LionsDET (1642): Lose by 16 points | ||||
| 26 (+3) | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1413 (+12) | 6-5 | at SF (1522): Lose by 9 |
| prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1446): W 30-27(OT): 1401+12→1413 | ||||
| next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1522): Lose by 9 points | ||||
| 27 | New York JetsNYJ | 1407 (-5) | 2-8 | at BAL (1554): Lose by 11 |
| prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1546): L 14-27: 1412-5→1407 | ||||
| next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1554): Lose by 11 points | ||||
| 28 | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1400 (-6) | 2-8 | at LV (1346): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1549): L 16-23: 1406-6→1400 | ||||
| next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1346): Slight favorite | ||||
| 29 (-3) | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1394 (-20) | 3-7 | vs NE (1552): Lose by 7 |
| prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1493): L 12-34: 1414-20→1394 | ||||
| next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1552): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 30 | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1386 | 2-8 | vs ATL (1434): Slight fav |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1434): Slight favorite | ||||
| 31 | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1346 (-19) | 2-8 | vs CLE (1400): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1451): L 16-33: 1365-19→1346 | ||||
| next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1400): Slight underdog | ||||
| 32 | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1312 (+6) | 1-9 | vs SEA (1637): Lose by 17 |
| prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1580): L 13-16: 1306+6→1312 | ||||
| next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1637): Lose by 17 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| BAL, CHI, CLE, DET, GB, HOU, JAX, KC, | ||||
| LAR, NE, NO, PHI, SEA, SF | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2025 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (+1) | Detroit LionsDET | 1653 (+18) | 6-3 | at PHI (1610): Tossup |
| prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1470): W 44-22: 1635+18→1653 | ||||
| next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1610): Tossup | ||||
| 2 (-1) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1642 | 5-4 | at DEN (1589): Tossup |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1589): Tossup | ||||
| 3 (+1) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1639 (+21) | 7-2 | vs SEA (1639): Slight fav |
| prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1516): W 42-26: 1618+21→1639 | ||||
| next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1639): Slight favorite | ||||
| 4 (-1) | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1639 (+15) | 7-2 | at LAR (1639): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1476): W 44-22: 1624+15→1639 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1639): Slight underdog | ||||
| 5 (+1) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1610 (+3) | 7-2 | vs DET (1653): Tossup |
| prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1544): W 10-7: 1607+3→1610 | ||||
| next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1653): Tossup | ||||
| 6 (+1) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1589 (-15) | 8-2 | vs KC (1642): Tossup |
| prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1350): W 10-7: 1604-15→1589 | ||||
| next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1642): Tossup | ||||
| 7 (-2) | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1584 (-33) | 6-3 | vs TB (1563): Win by 3 |
| prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1405): L 13-30: 1617-33→1584 | ||||
| next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1563): Win by 3 points | ||||
| 8 (+1) | Houston TexansHOU | 1580 (-1) | 4-5 | at TEN (1306): Win by 7 |
| prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1462): W 36-29: 1581-1→1580 | ||||
| next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1306): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 9 (-1) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1563 (-21) | 6-3 | at BUF (1584): Lose by 3 |
| prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1525): L 23-28: 1584-21→1563 | ||||
| next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1584): Lose by 3 points | ||||
| 10 | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1561 (-7) | 8-2 | bye |
| prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1439): W 31-25(OT): 1568-7→1561 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 11 (+1) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1549 (+13) | 4-5 | at CLE (1406): Slight fav |
| prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1493): W 27-19: 1536+13→1549 | ||||
| next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1406): Slight favorite | ||||
| 12 (+1) | New England PatriotsNE | 1546 (+21) | 8-2 | vs NYJ (1412): Win by 8 |
| prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1584): W 28-23: 1525+21→1546 | ||||
| next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1412): Win by 8 points | ||||
| 13 (-2) | Green Bay PackersGB | 1541 (-3) | 5-3-1 | at NYG (1425): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1607): L 7-10: 1544-3→1541 | ||||
| next: at New York GiantsNYG (1425): Slight favorite | ||||
| 14 (+2) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1524 (+18) | 7-3 | at JAX (1463): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1511): W 25-10: 1506+18→1524 | ||||
| next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1463): Slight favorite | ||||
| 15 (-1) | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1495 (-21) | 6-4 | at ARI (1461): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1618): L 26-42: 1516-21→1495 | ||||
| next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1461): Slight underdog | ||||
| 16 (-1) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1493 (-18) | 5-4 | vs CIN (1414): Win by 4 |
| prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): L 10-25: 1511-18→1493 | ||||
| next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1414): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 17 (+1) | Chicago BearsCHI | 1485 (-3) | 6-3 | at MIN (1481): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1422): W 24-20: 1488-3→1485 | ||||
| next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1481): Slight underdog | ||||
| 18 (-1) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1481 (-12) | 4-5 | vs CHI (1485): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1536): L 19-27: 1493-12→1481 | ||||
| next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1485): Slight favorite | ||||
| 19 (+2) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1463 (+1) | 5-4 | vs LAC (1524): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1581): L 29-36: 1462+1→1463 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1524): Slight underdog | ||||
| 20 (-1) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1461 (-15) | 3-6 | vs SF (1495): Slight fav |
| prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1624): L 22-44: 1476-15→1461 | ||||
| next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1495): Slight favorite | ||||
| 21 (-1) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1452 (-18) | 3-7 | at MIA (1438): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1635): L 22-44: 1470-18→1452 | ||||
| next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1438): Slight favorite | ||||
| 22 | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1451 | 3-5-1 | at LV (1365): Slight fav |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1365): Slight favorite | ||||
| 23 | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1446 (+7) | 3-6 | vs CAR (1401): Win by 4 |
| prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1568): L 25-31(OT): 1439+7→1446 | ||||
| next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1401): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 24 (+4) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1438 (+33) | 3-7 | at WAS (1452): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1617): W 30-13: 1405+33→1438 | ||||
| next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1452): Slight underdog | ||||
| 25 | New York GiantsNYG | 1425 (+3) | 2-8 | vs GB (1541): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1488): L 20-24: 1422+3→1425 | ||||
| next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1541): Slight underdog | ||||
| 26 (+1) | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1414 | 3-6 | at PIT (1493): Lose by 4 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1493): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 27 (+2) | New York JetsNYJ | 1412 (+8) | 2-7 | at NE (1546): Lose by 8 |
| prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1415): W 27-20: 1404+8→1412 | ||||
| next: at New England PatriotsNE (1546): Lose by 8 points | ||||
| 28 (-2) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1406 (-9) | 2-7 | vs BAL (1549): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1404): L 20-27: 1415-9→1406 | ||||
| next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1549): Slight underdog | ||||
| 29 (-5) | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1401 (-25) | 5-5 | at ATL (1446): Lose by 4 |
| prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1361): L 7-17: 1426-25→1401 | ||||
| next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1446): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 30 | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1386 (+25) | 2-8 | bye |
| prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1426): W 17-7: 1361+25→1386 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 31 | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1365 (+15) | 2-7 | vs DAL (1451): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1604): L 7-10: 1350+15→1365 | ||||
| next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1451): Slight underdog | ||||
| 32 | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1306 | 1-8 | vs HOU (1580): Lose by 7 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1580): Lose by 7 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, | ||||
| HOU, LAC, LAR, MIN, NE, PIT, WAS | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2025 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (+1) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1642 (-14) | 5-4 | bye |
| prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1604): L 21-28: 1656-14→1642 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 2 (-1) | Detroit LionsDET | 1635 (-26) | 5-3 | at WAS (1470): Win by 6 |
| prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1467): L 24-27: 1661-26→1635 | ||||
| next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1470): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 3 (+3) | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1624 (+25) | 6-2 | vs ARI (1476): Win by 9 |
| prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1495): W 38-14: 1599+25→1624 | ||||
| next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1476): Win by 9 points | ||||
| 4 (-1) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1618 (+5) | 6-2 | at SF (1516): Slight fav |
| prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1366): W 34-10: 1613+5→1618 | ||||
| next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1516): Slight favorite | ||||
| 5 | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1617 (+13) | 6-2 | at MIA (1405): Win by 5 |
| prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1656): W 28-21: 1604+13→1617 | ||||
| next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1405): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 6 (-2) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1607 | 6-2 | at GB (1544): Slight fav |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1544): Slight favorite | ||||
| 7 (+1) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1604 (+12) | 7-2 | vs LV (1350): Win by 14 |
| prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1592): W 18-15: 1592+12→1604 | ||||
| next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1350): Win by 14 points | ||||
| 8 (+2) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1584 | 6-2 | vs NE (1525): Win by 7 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1525): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 9 (-2) | Houston TexansHOU | 1581 (-11) | 3-5 | vs JAX (1462): Win by 7 |
| prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1592): L 15-18: 1592-11→1581 | ||||
| next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1462): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 10 (-1) | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1568 (-18) | 7-2 | at ATL (1439): Win by 7 |
| prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1493): L 20-27: 1586-18→1568 | ||||
| next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1439): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 11 | Green Bay PackersGB | 1544 (-28) | 5-2-1 | vs PHI (1607): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1398): L 13-16: 1572-28→1544 | ||||
| next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1607): Slight underdog | ||||
| 12 (+2) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1536 (+29) | 3-5 | at MIN (1493): Slight fav |
| prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1434): W 28-6: 1507+29→1536 | ||||
| next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1493): Slight favorite | ||||
| 13 (-1) | New England PatriotsNE | 1525 (-8) | 7-2 | at TB (1584): Lose by 7 |
| prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1431): W 24-23: 1533-8→1525 | ||||
| next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1584): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 14 (+1) | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1516 (+16) | 6-3 | vs LAR (1618): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1438): W 34-24: 1500+16→1516 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1618): Slight underdog | ||||
| 15 (+2) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1511 (+18) | 5-3 | at LAC (1506): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1586): W 27-20: 1493+18→1511 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): Slight underdog | ||||
| 16 (-3) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1506 (-5) | 6-3 | vs PIT (1511): Slight fav |
| prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1301): W 27-20: 1511-5→1506 | ||||
| next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1511): Slight favorite | ||||
| 17 (+3) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1493 (+26) | 4-4 | vs BAL (1536): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1661): W 27-24: 1467+26→1493 | ||||
| next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1536): Slight underdog | ||||
| 18 | Chicago BearsCHI | 1488 (+9) | 5-3 | vs NYG (1422): Win by 6 |
| prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1423): W 47-42: 1479+9→1488 | ||||
| next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1422): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 19 (+3) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1476 (+24) | 3-5 | at SEA (1624): Lose by 9 |
| prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1475): W 27-17: 1452+24→1476 | ||||
| next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1624): Lose by 9 points | ||||
| 20 (-4) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1470 (-25) | 3-6 | vs DET (1635): Lose by 6 |
| prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1599): L 14-38: 1495-25→1470 | ||||
| next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1635): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 21 | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1462 (-2) | 5-3 | at HOU (1581): Lose by 7 |
| prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1348): W 30-29(OT): 1464-2→1462 | ||||
| next: at Houston TexansHOU (1581): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 22 (-3) | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1451 (-24) | 3-5-1 | bye |
| prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1452): L 17-27: 1475-24→1451 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 23 (+2) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1439 (+8) | 3-5 | at IND (1568): Lose by 7 |
| prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1533): L 23-24: 1431+8→1439 | ||||
| next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1568): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 24 (+5) | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1426 (+28) | 5-4 | vs NO (1361): Win by 5 |
| prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1572): W 16-13: 1398+28→1426 | ||||
| next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1361): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 25 (-2) | New York GiantsNYG | 1422 (-16) | 2-7 | at CHI (1488): Lose by 6 |
| prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): L 24-34: 1438-16→1422 | ||||
| next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1488): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 26 (+1) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1415 | 2-6 | at NYJ (1404): Slight 'dog |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at New York JetsNYJ (1404): Slight underdog | ||||
| 27 (-1) | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1414 (-9) | 3-6 | bye |
| prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1479): L 42-47: 1423-9→1414 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 28 (-4) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1405 (-29) | 2-7 | vs BUF (1617): Lose by 5 |
| prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1507): L 6-28: 1434-29→1405 | ||||
| next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1617): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 29 (-1) | New York JetsNYJ | 1404 | 1-7 | vs CLE (1415): Slight fav |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1415): Slight favorite | ||||
| 30 | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1361 (-5) | 1-8 | at CAR (1426): Lose by 5 |
| prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1613): L 10-34: 1366-5→1361 | ||||
| next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1426): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 31 | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1350 (+2) | 2-6 | at DEN (1604): Lose by 14 |
| prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1464): L 29-30(OT): 1348+2→1350 | ||||
| next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1604): Lose by 14 points | ||||
| 32 | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1306 (+5) | 1-8 | bye |
| prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1511): L 20-27: 1301+5→1306 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, DEN, DET, HOU, IND, | ||||
| LAC, LAR, NYJ, PHI, SEA, TB | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2025 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detroit LionsDET | 1661 | 5-2 | vs MIN (1467): Win by 11 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1467): Win by 11 points | ||||
| 2 | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1656 (+14) | 5-3 | at BUF (1604): Tossup |
| prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1509): W 28-7: 1642+14→1656 | ||||
| next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1604): Tossup | ||||
| 3 | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1613 | 5-2 | vs NO (1366): Win by 19 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1366): Win by 19 points | ||||
| 4 (+1) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1607 (+13) | 6-2 | bye |
| prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1451): W 38-20: 1594+13→1607 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 5 (+2) | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1604 (+29) | 5-2 | vs KC (1656): Tossup |
| prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1427): W 40-9: 1575+29→1604 | ||||
| next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1656): Tossup | ||||
| 6 (-2) | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1599 | 5-2 | at WAS (1495): Win by 4 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1495): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 7 (-1) | Houston TexansHOU | 1592 (+7) | 3-4 | vs DEN (1592): Slight fav |
| prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1507): W 26-15: 1585+7→1592 | ||||
| next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1592): Slight favorite | ||||
| 8 (+1) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1592 (+18) | 6-2 | at HOU (1592): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1493): W 44-24: 1574+18→1592 | ||||
| next: at Houston TexansHOU (1592): Slight underdog | ||||
| 9 (-1) | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1586 (+12) | 7-1 | at PIT (1493): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1312): W 38-14: 1574+12→1586 | ||||
| next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1493): Slight favorite | ||||
| 10 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1584 (+24) | 6-2 | bye |
| prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1390): W 23-3: 1560+24→1584 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 11 | Green Bay PackersGB | 1572 (+23) | 5-1-1 | vs CAR (1398): Win by 13 |
| prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1515): W 35-25: 1549+23→1572 | ||||
| next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1398): Win by 13 points | ||||
| 12 | New England PatriotsNE | 1533 (+16) | 6-2 | vs ATL (1431): Win by 8 |
| prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1431): W 32-13: 1517+16→1533 | ||||
| next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1431): Win by 8 points | ||||
| 13 (+8) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1511 (+38) | 5-3 | at TEN (1301): Win by 10 |
| prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): W 37-10: 1473+38→1511 | ||||
| next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1301): Win by 10 points | ||||
| 14 (+5) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1507 (+18) | 2-5 | at MIA (1434): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1497): W 30-16: 1489+18→1507 | ||||
| next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1434): Slight favorite | ||||
| 15 | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1500 (-7) | 5-3 | at NYG (1438): Slight fav |
| prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1585): L 15-26: 1507-7→1500 | ||||
| next: at New York GiantsNYG (1438): Slight favorite | ||||
| 16 (-2) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1495 (-14) | 3-5 | vs SEA (1599): Lose by 4 |
| prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1642): L 7-28: 1509-14→1495 | ||||
| next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1599): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 17 (-4) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1493 (-22) | 4-3 | vs IND (1586): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1549): L 25-35: 1515-22→1493 | ||||
| next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1586): Slight underdog | ||||
| 18 (-1) | Chicago BearsCHI | 1479 (-18) | 4-3 | at CIN (1423): Slight fav |
| prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1489): L 16-30: 1497-18→1479 | ||||
| next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1423): Slight favorite | ||||
| 19 (-1) | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1475 (-18) | 3-4-1 | vs ARI (1452): Slight fav |
| prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1574): L 24-44: 1493-18→1475 | ||||
| next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1452): Slight favorite | ||||
| 20 (-4) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1467 (-38) | 3-4 | at DET (1661): Lose by 11 |
| prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1473): L 10-37: 1505-38→1467 | ||||
| next: at Detroit LionsDET (1661): Lose by 11 points | ||||
| 21 (+1) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1464 | 4-3 | at LV (1348): Win by 3 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1348): Win by 3 points | ||||
| 22 (+1) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1452 | 2-5 | at DAL (1475): Slight 'dog |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1475): Slight underdog | ||||
| 23 (+1) | New York GiantsNYG | 1438 (-13) | 2-6 | vs SF (1500): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1594): L 20-38: 1451-13→1438 | ||||
| next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): Slight underdog | ||||
| 24 (+6) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1434 (+54) | 2-6 | vs BAL (1507): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1485): W 34-10: 1380+54→1434 | ||||
| next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1507): Slight underdog | ||||
| 25 (-5) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1431 (-54) | 3-4 | at NE (1533): Lose by 8 |
| prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1380): L 10-34: 1485-54→1431 | ||||
| next: at New England PatriotsNE (1533): Lose by 8 points | ||||
| 26 (-1) | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1423 (-22) | 3-5 | vs CHI (1479): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1382): L 38-39: 1445-22→1423 | ||||
| next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1479): Slight underdog | ||||
| 27 (-1) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1415 (-16) | 2-6 | bye |
| prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1517): L 13-32: 1431-16→1415 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 28 (+1) | New York JetsNYJ | 1404 (+22) | 1-7 | bye |
| prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1445): W 39-38: 1382+22→1404 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 29 (-2) | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1398 (-29) | 4-4 | at GB (1572): Lose by 13 |
| prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1575): L 9-40: 1427-29→1398 | ||||
| next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1572): Lose by 13 points | ||||
| 30 (-2) | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1366 (-24) | 1-7 | at LAR (1613): Lose by 19 |
| prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1560): L 3-23: 1390-24→1366 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1613): Lose by 19 points | ||||
| 31 | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1348 | 2-5 | vs JAX (1464): Lose by 3 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1464): Lose by 3 points | ||||
| 32 | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1301 (-11) | 1-7 | vs LAC (1511): Lose by 10 |
| prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1574): L 14-38: 1312-11→1301 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1511): Lose by 10 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| BAL, BUF, CHI, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, | ||||
| JAX, LAC, LAR, NE, SEA, SF | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2025 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detroit LionsDET | 1661 (+14) | 5-2 | bye |
| prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1574): W 24-9: 1647+14→1661 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 2 | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1642 (+20) | 4-3 | vs WAS (1509): Win by 10 |
| prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1368): W 31-0: 1622+20→1642 | ||||
| next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1509): Win by 10 points | ||||
| 3 (+4) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1613 (+34) | 5-2 | bye |
| prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1498): W 35-7: 1579+34→1613 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 4 (+1) | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1599 (+15) | 5-2 | bye |
| prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1601): W 27-19: 1584+15→1599 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 5 (+1) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1594 (+12) | 5-2 | vs NYG (1451): Win by 9 |
| prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1516): W 28-22: 1582+12→1594 | ||||
| next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1451): Win by 9 points | ||||
| 6 (-3) | Houston TexansHOU | 1585 (-16) | 2-4 | vs SF (1507): Win by 6 |
| prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1584): L 19-27: 1601-16→1585 | ||||
| next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1507): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 7 (+1) | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1575 | 4-2 | at CAR (1427): Win by 7 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1427): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 8 (+3) | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1574 (+26) | 6-1 | vs TEN (1312): Win by 14 |
| prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): W 38-24: 1548+26→1574 | ||||
| next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1312): Win by 14 points | ||||
| 9 (-5) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1574 (-13) | 5-2 | vs DAL (1493): Win by 7 |
| prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1438): W 33-32: 1587-13→1574 | ||||
| next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1493): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 10 (-1) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1560 (-14) | 5-2 | at NO (1390): Win by 4 |
| prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1647): L 9-24: 1574-14→1560 | ||||
| next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1390): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 11 (+1) | Green Bay PackersGB | 1549 (+4) | 4-1-1 | at PIT (1515): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1457): W 27-23: 1545+4→1549 | ||||
| next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1515): Slight underdog | ||||
| 12 (+5) | New England PatriotsNE | 1517 (+18) | 5-2 | vs CLE (1431): Win by 7 |
| prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1330): W 31-13: 1499+18→1517 | ||||
| next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1431): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 13 | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1515 (-11) | 4-2 | vs GB (1549): Slight fav |
| prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1434): L 31-33: 1526-11→1515 | ||||
| next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1549): Slight favorite | ||||
| 14 (-4) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1509 (-39) | 3-4 | at KC (1642): Lose by 10 |
| prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1453): L 22-44: 1548-39→1509 | ||||
| next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1642): Lose by 10 points | ||||
| 15 (+4) | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1507 (+15) | 5-2 | at HOU (1585): Lose by 6 |
| prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): W 20-10: 1492+15→1507 | ||||
| next: at Houston TexansHOU (1585): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 16 (-2) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1505 (-11) | 3-3 | at LAC (1473): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1582): L 22-28: 1516-11→1505 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1473): Slight underdog | ||||
| 17 (+3) | Chicago BearsCHI | 1497 (+8) | 4-2 | at BAL (1489): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1398): W 26-14: 1489+8→1497 | ||||
| next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1489): Slight underdog | ||||
| 18 (+5) | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1493 (+40) | 3-3-1 | at DEN (1574): Lose by 7 |
| prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1548): W 44-22: 1453+40→1493 | ||||
| next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1574): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 19 (+2) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1489 | 1-5 | vs CHI (1497): Slight fav |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1497): Slight favorite | ||||
| 20 (-5) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1485 (-15) | 3-3 | vs MIA (1380): Win by 9 |
| prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1492): L 10-20: 1500-15→1485 | ||||
| next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1380): Win by 9 points | ||||
| 21 (-5) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1473 (-27) | 4-3 | vs MIN (1505): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1548): L 24-38: 1500-27→1473 | ||||
| next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): Slight favorite | ||||
| 22 (-4) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1464 (-34) | 4-3 | bye |
| prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1579): L 7-35: 1498-34→1464 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 23 (-1) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1452 (-5) | 2-5 | bye |
| prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1545): L 23-27: 1457-5→1452 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 24 | New York GiantsNYG | 1451 (+13) | 2-5 | at PHI (1594): Lose by 9 |
| prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1587): L 32-33: 1438+13→1451 | ||||
| next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1594): Lose by 9 points | ||||
| 25 | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1445 (+11) | 3-4 | vs NYJ (1382): Win by 7 |
| prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1526): W 33-31: 1434+11→1445 | ||||
| next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1382): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 26 (+4) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1431 (+38) | 2-5 | at NE (1517): Lose by 7 |
| prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1418): W 31-6: 1393+38→1431 | ||||
| next: at New England PatriotsNE (1517): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 27 | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1427 (+21) | 4-3 | vs BUF (1575): Lose by 7 |
| prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1403): W 13-6: 1406+21→1427 | ||||
| next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1575): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 28 (+1) | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1390 (-8) | 1-6 | vs TB (1560): Lose by 4 |
| prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1489): L 14-26: 1398-8→1390 | ||||
| next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1560): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 29 (-1) | New York JetsNYJ | 1382 (-21) | 0-7 | at CIN (1445): Lose by 7 |
| prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1406): L 6-13: 1403-21→1382 | ||||
| next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1445): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 30 (-4) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1380 (-38) | 1-6 | at ATL (1485): Lose by 9 |
| prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1393): L 6-31: 1418-38→1380 | ||||
| next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1485): Lose by 9 points | ||||
| 31 | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1348 (-20) | 2-5 | bye |
| prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1622): L 0-31: 1368-20→1348 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 32 | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1312 (-18) | 1-6 | at IND (1574): Lose by 14 |
| prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1499): L 13-31: 1330-18→1312 | ||||
| next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1574): Lose by 14 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| ATL, BAL, BUF, CIN, DEN, HOU, IND, KC, | ||||
| LAC, NE, PHI, PIT, TB | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2025 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detroit LionsDET | 1647 (-35) | 4-2 | vs TB (1574): Win by 6 |
| prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1588): L 17-30: 1682-35→1647 | ||||
| next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1574): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 2 (+4) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1622 (+34) | 3-3 | vs LV (1368): Win by 14 |
| prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1682): W 30-17: 1588+34→1622 | ||||
| next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1368): Win by 14 points | ||||
| 3 (+2) | Houston TexansHOU | 1601 | 2-3 | at SEA (1584): Slight 'dog |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1584): Slight underdog | ||||
| 4 | Denver BroncosDEN | 1587 (-19) | 4-2 | vs NYG (1438): Win by 10 |
| prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1384): W 13-11: 1606-19→1587 | ||||
| next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1438): Win by 10 points | ||||
| 5 (+3) | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1584 (+17) | 4-2 | vs HOU (1601): Slight fav |
| prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1514): W 20-12: 1567+17→1584 | ||||
| next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1601): Slight favorite | ||||
| 6 (-4) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1582 (-51) | 4-2 | at MIN (1516): Slight fav |
| prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1388): L 17-34: 1633-51→1582 | ||||
| next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1516): Slight favorite | ||||
| 7 (+4) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1579 (+28) | 4-2 | at JAX (1498): Win by 4 |
| prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1517): W 17-3: 1551+28→1579 | ||||
| next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1498): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 8 (-5) | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1575 (-32) | 4-2 | bye |
| prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1468): L 14-24: 1607-32→1575 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 9 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1574 (+12) | 5-1 | at DET (1647): Lose by 6 |
| prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1505): W 30-19: 1562+12→1574 | ||||
| next: at Detroit LionsDET (1647): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 10 (-3) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1548 (-28) | 3-3 | at DAL (1453): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1462): L 24-25: 1576-28→1548 | ||||
| next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1453): Slight favorite | ||||
| 11 (-1) | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1548 (-9) | 5-1 | at LAC (1500): Tossup |
| prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1447): W 31-27: 1557-9→1548 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): Tossup | ||||
| 12 | Green Bay PackersGB | 1545 (-2) | 3-1-1 | at ARI (1457): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1431): W 27-18: 1547-2→1545 | ||||
| next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1457): Slight favorite | ||||
| 13 (+1) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1526 (+10) | 4-1 | at CIN (1434): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1403): W 23-9: 1516+10→1526 | ||||
| next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1434): Slight favorite | ||||
| 14 (+1) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1516 | 3-2 | vs PHI (1582): Slight 'dog |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1582): Slight underdog | ||||
| 15 (+5) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1500 (+32) | 3-2 | at SF (1492): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1607): W 24-14: 1468+32→1500 | ||||
| next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1492): Slight underdog | ||||
| 16 (+2) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1500 (+5) | 4-2 | vs IND (1548): Tossup |
| prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1423): W 29-27: 1495+5→1500 | ||||
| next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1548): Tossup | ||||
| 17 (+2) | New England PatriotsNE | 1499 (+10) | 4-2 | at TEN (1330): Win by 7 |
| prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1408): W 25-19: 1489+10→1499 | ||||
| next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1330): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 18 (-2) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1498 (-16) | 4-2 | at LAR (1579): Lose by 4 |
| prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1567): L 12-20: 1514-16→1498 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1579): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 19 (-2) | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1492 (-13) | 4-2 | vs ATL (1500): Slight fav |
| prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1562): L 19-30: 1505-13→1492 | ||||
| next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): Slight favorite | ||||
| 20 (+2) | Chicago BearsCHI | 1489 (+27) | 3-2 | vs NO (1398): Win by 7 |
| prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1576): W 25-24: 1462+27→1489 | ||||
| next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1398): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 21 (-8) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1489 (-28) | 1-5 | bye |
| prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1551): L 3-17: 1517-28→1489 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 22 (+1) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1457 (+10) | 2-4 | vs GB (1545): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1557): L 27-31: 1447+10→1457 | ||||
| next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1545): Slight underdog | ||||
| 23 (-2) | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1453 (-11) | 2-3-1 | vs WAS (1548): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1395): L 27-30: 1464-11→1453 | ||||
| next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1548): Slight underdog | ||||
| 24 (+5) | New York GiantsNYG | 1438 (+50) | 2-4 | at DEN (1587): Lose by 10 |
| prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1633): W 34-17: 1388+50→1438 | ||||
| next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1587): Lose by 10 points | ||||
| 25 (-1) | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1434 (+3) | 2-4 | vs PIT (1526): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1547): L 18-27: 1431+3→1434 | ||||
| next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1526): Slight underdog | ||||
| 26 (-1) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1418 (-5) | 1-5 | at CLE (1393): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1495): L 27-29: 1423-5→1418 | ||||
| next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1393): Slight underdog | ||||
| 27 (+1) | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1406 (+11) | 3-3 | at NYJ (1403): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1464): W 30-27: 1395+11→1406 | ||||
| next: at New York JetsNYJ (1403): Slight underdog | ||||
| 28 (+2) | New York JetsNYJ | 1403 (+19) | 0-6 | vs CAR (1406): Slight fav |
| prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1606): L 11-13: 1384+19→1403 | ||||
| next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1406): Slight favorite | ||||
| 29 (-3) | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1398 (-10) | 1-5 | at CHI (1489): Lose by 7 |
| prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1489): L 19-25: 1408-10→1398 | ||||
| next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1489): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 30 (-3) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1393 (-10) | 1-5 | vs MIA (1418): Slight fav |
| prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1516): L 9-23: 1403-10→1393 | ||||
| next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1418): Slight favorite | ||||
| 31 | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1368 (+15) | 2-4 | at KC (1622): Lose by 14 |
| prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1345): W 20-10: 1353+15→1368 | ||||
| next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1622): Lose by 14 points | ||||
| 32 | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1330 (-15) | 1-5 | vs NE (1499): Lose by 7 |
| prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1353): L 10-20: 1345-15→1330 | ||||
| next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1499): Lose by 7 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| CHI, CLE, DEN, DET, GB, IND, KC, LAR, | ||||
| NE, NYJ, PHI, PIT, SEA, SF, WAS | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2025 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detroit LionsDET | 1682 (+3) | 4-1 | at KC (1588): Slight fav |
| prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1434): W 37-24: 1679+3→1682 | ||||
| next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1588): Slight favorite | ||||
| 2 | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1633 (-29) | 4-1 | at NYG (1388): Win by 7 |
| prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1576): L 17-21: 1662-29→1633 | ||||
| next: at New York GiantsNYG (1388): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 3 | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1607 (-33) | 4-1 | at ATL (1468): Win by 4 |
| prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1456): L 20-23: 1640-33→1607 | ||||
| next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1468): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 4 (+3) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1606 (+30) | 3-2 | at NYJ (1384): Win by 13 |
| prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1662): W 21-17: 1576+30→1606 | ||||
| next: at New York JetsNYJ (1384): Win by 13 points | ||||
| 5 (+8) | Houston TexansHOU | 1601 (+70) | 2-3 | bye |
| prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1587): W 44-10: 1531+70→1601 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 6 (-2) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1588 (-17) | 2-3 | vs DET (1682): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1497): L 28-31: 1605-17→1588 | ||||
| next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1682): Slight underdog | ||||
| 7 (+5) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1576 (+43) | 3-2 | vs CHI (1462): Win by 8 |
| prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1538): W 27-10: 1533+43→1576 | ||||
| next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1462): Win by 8 points | ||||
| 8 (-3) | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1567 (-25) | 3-2 | at JAX (1514): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1537): L 35-38: 1592-25→1567 | ||||
| next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1514): Slight favorite | ||||
| 9 (+2) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1562 (+25) | 4-1 | vs SF (1505): Win by 4 |
| prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1592): W 38-35: 1537+25→1562 | ||||
| next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1505): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 10 (+4) | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1557 (+31) | 4-1 | vs ARI (1447): Win by 9 |
| prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1384): W 40-6: 1526+31→1557 | ||||
| next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1447): Win by 9 points | ||||
| 11 (-3) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1551 (-23) | 3-2 | at BAL (1517): Tossup |
| prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1481): L 23-26(OT): 1574-23→1551 | ||||
| next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1517): Tossup | ||||
| 12 (-3) | Green Bay PackersGB | 1547 | 2-1-1 | vs CIN (1431): Win by 10 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1431): Win by 10 points | ||||
| 13 (-7) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1517 (-70) | 1-4 | vs LAR (1551): Tossup |
| prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1531): L 10-44: 1587-70→1517 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1551): Tossup | ||||
| 14 (+2) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1516 | 3-1 | vs CLE (1403): Win by 8 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1403): Win by 8 points | ||||
| 15 | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1516 (-6) | 3-2 | bye |
| prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1397): W 21-17: 1522-6→1516 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 16 (+1) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1514 (+17) | 4-1 | vs SEA (1567): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1605): W 31-28: 1497+17→1514 | ||||
| next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1567): Slight underdog | ||||
| 17 (+2) | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1505 (+24) | 4-1 | at TB (1562): Lose by 4 |
| prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1574): W 26-23(OT): 1481+24→1505 | ||||
| next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1562): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 18 (-8) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1495 (-43) | 3-2 | at MIA (1423): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1533): L 10-27: 1538-43→1495 | ||||
| next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1423): Slight favorite | ||||
| 19 (+3) | New England PatriotsNE | 1489 (+33) | 3-2 | at NO (1408): Slight fav |
| prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1640): W 23-20: 1456+33→1489 | ||||
| next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1408): Slight favorite | ||||
| 20 | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1468 | 2-2 | vs BUF (1607): Lose by 4 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1607): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 21 (+4) | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1464 (+37) | 2-2-1 | at CAR (1395): Slight fav |
| prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1422): W 37-22: 1427+37→1464 | ||||
| next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1395): Slight favorite | ||||
| 22 (-1) | Chicago BearsCHI | 1462 | 2-2 | at WAS (1576): Lose by 8 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1576): Lose by 8 points | ||||
| 23 (-5) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1447 (-41) | 2-3 | at IND (1557): Lose by 9 |
| prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1305): L 21-22: 1488-41→1447 | ||||
| next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1557): Lose by 9 points | ||||
| 24 (-1) | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1431 (-3) | 2-3 | at GB (1547): Lose by 10 |
| prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1679): L 24-37: 1434-3→1431 | ||||
| next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1547): Lose by 10 points | ||||
| 25 (-1) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1423 (-8) | 1-4 | vs LAC (1495): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1388): L 24-27: 1431-8→1423 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1495): Slight underdog | ||||
| 26 (+5) | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1408 (+25) | 1-4 | vs NE (1489): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1413): W 26-14: 1383+25→1408 | ||||
| next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1489): Slight underdog | ||||
| 27 (+1) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1403 (+6) | 1-4 | at PIT (1516): Lose by 8 |
| prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1522): L 17-21: 1397+6→1403 | ||||
| next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1516): Lose by 8 points | ||||
| 28 (+1) | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1395 (+7) | 2-3 | vs DAL (1464): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1431): W 27-24: 1388+7→1395 | ||||
| next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1464): Slight underdog | ||||
| 29 (-2) | New York GiantsNYG | 1388 (-25) | 1-4 | vs PHI (1633): Lose by 7 |
| prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1383): L 14-26: 1413-25→1388 | ||||
| next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1633): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 30 (-4) | New York JetsNYJ | 1384 (-38) | 0-5 | at DEN (1606): Lose by 13 |
| prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1427): L 22-37: 1422-38→1384 | ||||
| next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1606): Lose by 13 points | ||||
| 31 (-1) | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1353 (-31) | 1-4 | vs TEN (1345): Slight fav |
| prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1526): L 6-40: 1384-31→1353 | ||||
| next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1345): Slight favorite | ||||
| 32 | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1345 (+40) | 1-4 | at LV (1353): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1488): W 22-21: 1305+40→1345 | ||||
| next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1353): Slight underdog | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| BUF, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, IND, LAC, LAR, | ||||
| LV, NE, PHI, PIT, SEA, TB, WAS | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2025 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detroit LionsDET | 1679 (+10) | 3-1 | at CIN (1434): Win by 12 |
| prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1407): W 34-10: 1669+10→1679 | ||||
| next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1434): Win by 12 points | ||||
| 2 | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1662 (+7) | 4-0 | vs DEN (1576): Win by 7 |
| prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1544): W 31-25: 1655+7→1662 | ||||
| next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1576): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 3 | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1640 (-13) | 4-0 | vs NE (1456): Win by 10 |
| prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1370): W 31-19: 1653-13→1640 | ||||
| next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1456): Win by 10 points | ||||
| 4 (+4) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1605 (+39) | 2-2 | at JAX (1497): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1627): W 37-20: 1566+39→1605 | ||||
| next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1497): Slight favorite | ||||
| 5 | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1592 (+6) | 3-1 | vs TB (1537): Win by 6 |
| prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1494): W 23-20: 1586+6→1592 | ||||
| next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1537): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 6 (-2) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1587 (-40) | 1-3 | vs HOU (1531): Win by 5 |
| prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1566): L 20-37: 1627-40→1587 | ||||
| next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1531): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 7 (+4) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1576 (+32) | 2-2 | at PHI (1662): Lose by 7 |
| prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1466): W 28-3: 1544+32→1576 | ||||
| next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1662): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 8 (-2) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1574 (+7) | 3-1 | vs SF (1481): Win by 6 |
| prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1533): W 27-20: 1567+7→1574 | ||||
| next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1481): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 9 (+1) | Green Bay PackersGB | 1547 (-15) | 2-1-1 | bye |
| prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1412): T 40-40(OT): 1562-15→1547 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 10 (-3) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1538 (-28) | 3-1 | vs WAS (1533): Slight fav |
| prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1384): L 18-21: 1566-28→1538 | ||||
| next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1533): Slight favorite | ||||
| 11 (+1) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1537 (-7) | 3-1 | at SEA (1592): Lose by 6 |
| prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1655): L 25-31: 1544-7→1537 | ||||
| next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1592): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 12 (-3) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1533 (-30) | 2-2 | at LAC (1538): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1438): L 27-34: 1563-30→1533 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1538): Slight underdog | ||||
| 13 (+3) | Houston TexansHOU | 1531 (+27) | 1-3 | at BAL (1587): Lose by 5 |
| prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1331): W 26-0: 1504+27→1531 | ||||
| next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1587): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 14 | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1526 (-7) | 3-1 | vs LV (1384): Win by 11 |
| prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1567): L 20-27: 1533-7→1526 | ||||
| next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1384): Win by 11 points | ||||
| 15 (-2) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1522 (-15) | 2-2 | at CLE (1397): Win by 7 |
| prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1502): L 21-24: 1537-15→1522 | ||||
| next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1397): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 16 (+1) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1516 (+14) | 3-1 | bye |
| prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1537): W 24-21: 1502+14→1516 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 17 (+2) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1497 (+26) | 3-1 | vs KC (1605): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1507): W 26-21: 1471+26→1497 | ||||
| next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1605): Slight underdog | ||||
| 18 | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1488 (-6) | 2-2 | vs TEN (1305): Win by 14 |
| prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1586): L 20-23: 1494-6→1488 | ||||
| next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1305): Win by 14 points | ||||
| 19 (-4) | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1481 (-26) | 3-1 | at LAR (1574): Lose by 6 |
| prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1471): L 21-26: 1507-26→1481 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1574): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 20 (+3) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1468 (+30) | 2-2 | bye |
| prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1563): W 34-27: 1438+30→1468 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 21 | Chicago BearsCHI | 1462 (+7) | 2-2 | bye |
| prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1392): W 25-24: 1455+7→1462 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 22 (+6) | New England PatriotsNE | 1456 (+52) | 2-2 | at BUF (1640): Lose by 10 |
| prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1440): W 42-13: 1404+52→1456 | ||||
| next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1640): Lose by 10 points | ||||
| 23 (-3) | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1434 (-32) | 2-2 | vs DET (1679): Lose by 12 |
| prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1544): L 3-28: 1466-32→1434 | ||||
| next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1679): Lose by 12 points | ||||
| 24 (+1) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1431 (+9) | 1-3 | at CAR (1388): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1430): W 27-21: 1422+9→1431 | ||||
| next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1388): Slight underdog | ||||
| 25 (+1) | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1427 (+15) | 1-2-1 | at NYJ (1422): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1562): T 40-40(OT): 1412+15→1427 | ||||
| next: at New York JetsNYJ (1422): Slight underdog | ||||
| 26 (-2) | New York JetsNYJ | 1422 (-8) | 0-4 | vs DAL (1427): Slight fav |
| prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1422): L 21-27: 1430-8→1422 | ||||
| next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1427): Slight favorite | ||||
| 27 (+3) | New York GiantsNYG | 1413 (+29) | 1-3 | at NO (1383): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1566): W 21-18: 1384+29→1413 | ||||
| next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1383): Slight underdog | ||||
| 28 (-1) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1397 (-10) | 1-3 | at MIN (1522): Lose by 7 |
| prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1669): L 10-34: 1407-10→1397 | ||||
| next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1522): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 29 (-7) | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1388 (-52) | 1-3 | vs MIA (1431): Slight fav |
| prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1404): L 13-42: 1440-52→1388 | ||||
| next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1431): Slight favorite | ||||
| 30 (-1) | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1384 (-8) | 1-3 | at IND (1526): Lose by 11 |
| prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1455): L 24-25: 1392-8→1384 | ||||
| next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1526): Lose by 11 points | ||||
| 31 | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1383 (+13) | 0-4 | vs NYG (1413): Slight fav |
| prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1653): L 19-31: 1370+13→1383 | ||||
| next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1413): Slight favorite | ||||
| 32 | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1305 (-26) | 0-4 | at ARI (1488): Lose by 14 |
| prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1504): L 0-26: 1331-26→1305 | ||||
| next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1488): Lose by 14 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| ARI, BAL, BUF, CAR, DET, IND, KC, LAC, | ||||
| LAR, MIN, NO, NYJ, PHI, SEA | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2025 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (+3) | Detroit LionsDET | 1669 (+32) | 2-1 | vs CLE (1407): Win by 17 |
| prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1659): W 38-30: 1637+32→1669 | ||||
| next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1407): Win by 17 points | ||||
| 2 (+1) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1655 | 3-0 | at TB (1544): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1567): W 33-26: 1655-0→1655 | ||||
| next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1544): Slight favorite | ||||
| 3 (-1) | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1653 (-5) | 3-0 | vs NO (1370): Win by 20 |
| prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1417): W 31-21: 1658-5→1653 | ||||
| next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1370): Win by 20 points | ||||
| 4 (-3) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1627 (-32) | 1-2 | at KC (1566): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1637): L 30-38: 1659-32→1627 | ||||
| next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1566): Slight favorite | ||||
| 5 (+4) | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1586 (+31) | 2-1 | at ARI (1494): Slight fav |
| prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1401): W 44-13: 1555+31→1586 | ||||
| next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1494): Slight favorite | ||||
| 6 | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1567 | 2-1 | vs IND (1533): Win by 4 |
| prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1655): L 26-33: 1567+0→1567 | ||||
| next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1533): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 7 | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1566 (+1) | 3-0 | at NYG (1384): Win by 7 |
| prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1546): W 23-20: 1565+1→1566 | ||||
| next: at New York GiantsNYG (1384): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 8 (+3) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1566 (+18) | 1-2 | vs BAL (1627): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1402): W 22-9: 1548+18→1566 | ||||
| next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1627): Slight underdog | ||||
| 9 (+1) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1563 (+9) | 2-1 | at ATL (1438): Win by 4 |
| prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1400): W 41-24: 1554+9→1563 | ||||
| next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1438): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 10 (-5) | Green Bay PackersGB | 1562 (-39) | 2-1 | at DAL (1412): Win by 5 |
| prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1368): L 10-13: 1601-39→1562 | ||||
| next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1412): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 11 (+1) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1544 (-2) | 1-2 | vs CIN (1466): Win by 7 |
| prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1565): L 20-23: 1546-2→1544 | ||||
| next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1466): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 12 (-4) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1544 (-17) | 3-0 | vs PHI (1655): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1413): W 29-27: 1561-17→1544 | ||||
| next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1655): Slight underdog | ||||
| 13 (+7) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1537 (+71) | 2-1 | at PIT (1502): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1536): W 48-10: 1466+71→1537 | ||||
| next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1502): Slight favorite | ||||
| 14 (+4) | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1533 (+40) | 3-0 | at LAR (1567): Lose by 4 |
| prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1371): W 41-20: 1493+40→1533 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1567): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 15 | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1507 (+2) | 3-0 | vs JAX (1471): Win by 4 |
| prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1496): W 16-15: 1505+2→1507 | ||||
| next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1471): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 16 (-2) | Houston TexansHOU | 1504 (-21) | 0-3 | vs TEN (1331): Win by 10 |
| prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1451): L 10-17: 1525-21→1504 | ||||
| next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1331): Win by 10 points | ||||
| 17 (+2) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1502 (+17) | 2-1 | at MIN (1537): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1421): W 21-14: 1485+17→1502 | ||||
| next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1537): Slight underdog | ||||
| 18 (-1) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1494 (-2) | 2-1 | vs SEA (1586): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1505): L 15-16: 1496-2→1494 | ||||
| next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1586): Slight underdog | ||||
| 19 (+2) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1471 (+20) | 2-1 | at SF (1507): Lose by 4 |
| prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1525): W 17-10: 1451+20→1471 | ||||
| next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1507): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 20 (-7) | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1466 (-70) | 2-1 | at DEN (1544): Lose by 7 |
| prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1466): L 10-48: 1536-70→1466 | ||||
| next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1544): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 21 (+4) | Chicago BearsCHI | 1455 (+39) | 1-2 | at LV (1392): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1450): W 31-14: 1416+39→1455 | ||||
| next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1392): Slight favorite | ||||
| 22 (+8) | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1440 (+66) | 1-2 | at NE (1404): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1504): W 30-0: 1374+66→1440 | ||||
| next: at New England PatriotsNE (1404): Slight underdog | ||||
| 23 (-7) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1438 (-66) | 1-2 | vs WAS (1563): Lose by 4 |
| prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1374): L 0-30: 1504-66→1438 | ||||
| next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1563): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 24 (+2) | New York JetsNYJ | 1430 (+17) | 0-3 | at MIA (1422): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1561): L 27-29: 1413+17→1430 | ||||
| next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1422): Slight underdog | ||||
| 25 (-1) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1422 (+5) | 0-3 | vs NYJ (1430): Slight fav |
| prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1658): L 21-31: 1417+5→1422 | ||||
| next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1430): Slight favorite | ||||
| 26 (-4) | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1412 (-38) | 1-2 | vs GB (1562): Lose by 5 |
| prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1416): L 14-31: 1450-38→1412 | ||||
| next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1562): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 27 (+5) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1407 (+39) | 1-2 | at DET (1669): Lose by 17 |
| prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1601): W 13-10: 1368+39→1407 | ||||
| next: at Detroit LionsDET (1669): Lose by 17 points | ||||
| 28 (-5) | New England PatriotsNE | 1404 (-17) | 1-2 | vs CAR (1440): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1485): L 14-21: 1421-17→1404 | ||||
| next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1440): Slight favorite | ||||
| 29 | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1392 (-8) | 1-2 | vs CHI (1455): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1554): L 24-41: 1400-8→1392 | ||||
| next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1455): Slight underdog | ||||
| 30 (-3) | New York GiantsNYG | 1384 (-18) | 0-3 | vs LAC (1566): Lose by 7 |
| prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1548): L 9-22: 1402-18→1384 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1566): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 31 (-3) | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1370 (-31) | 0-3 | at BUF (1653): Lose by 20 |
| prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1555): L 13-44: 1401-31→1370 | ||||
| next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1653): Lose by 20 points | ||||
| 32 (-1) | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1331 (-40) | 0-3 | at HOU (1504): Lose by 10 |
| prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1493): L 20-41: 1371-40→1331 | ||||
| next: at Houston TexansHOU (1504): Lose by 10 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| BAL, BUF, CHI, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, LAC, | ||||
| LAR, MIA, MIN, NE, PHI, SEA, SF, WAS | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2025 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (+1) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1659 (+19) | 1-1 | vs DET (1637): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1387): W 41-17: 1640+19→1659 | ||||
| next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1637): Slight favorite | ||||
| 2 (+1) | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1658 (+34) | 2-0 | vs MIA (1417): Win by 13 |
| prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1447): W 30-10: 1624+34→1658 | ||||
| next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1417): Win by 13 points | ||||
| 3 (-2) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1655 | 2-0 | vs LAR (1567): Win by 7 |
| prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1548): W 20-17: 1655-0→1655 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1567): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 4 | Detroit LionsDET | 1637 (+39) | 1-1 | at BAL (1659): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1455): W 52-21: 1598+39→1637 | ||||
| next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1659): Slight underdog | ||||
| 5 | Green Bay PackersGB | 1601 (+16) | 2-0 | at CLE (1368): Win by 11 |
| prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1570): W 27-18: 1585+16→1601 | ||||
| next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1368): Win by 11 points | ||||
| 6 (+2) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1567 (+19) | 2-0 | at PHI (1655): Lose by 7 |
| prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1390): W 33-19: 1548+19→1567 | ||||
| next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1655): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 7 (+5) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1565 (+22) | 2-0 | vs DEN (1546): Slight fav |
| prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1422): W 20-9: 1543+22→1565 | ||||
| next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1546): Slight favorite | ||||
| 8 (+5) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1561 (+18) | 2-0 | vs NYJ (1413): Win by 10 |
| prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1543): W 20-19: 1543+18→1561 | ||||
| next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1413): Win by 10 points | ||||
| 9 (+8) | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1555 (+48) | 1-1 | vs NO (1401): Win by 11 |
| prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1533): W 31-17: 1507+48→1555 | ||||
| next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1401): Win by 11 points | ||||
| 10 (-4) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1554 (-16) | 1-1 | vs LV (1400): Win by 12 |
| prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1585): L 18-27: 1570-16→1554 | ||||
| next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1400): Win by 12 points | ||||
| 11 (-2) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1548 | 0-2 | at NYG (1402): Win by 5 |
| prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1655): L 17-20: 1548+0→1548 | ||||
| next: at New York GiantsNYG (1402): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 12 (-5) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1546 (-17) | 1-1 | at LAC (1565): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1475): L 28-29: 1563-17→1546 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1565): Slight underdog | ||||
| 13 (-3) | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1536 (-10) | 2-0 | at MIN (1466): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1441): W 31-27: 1546-10→1536 | ||||
| next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1466): Slight favorite | ||||
| 14 (-3) | Houston TexansHOU | 1525 (-18) | 0-2 | at JAX (1451): Tossup |
| prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1543): L 19-20: 1543-18→1525 | ||||
| next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1451): Tossup | ||||
| 15 (+3) | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1505 (+10) | 2-0 | vs ARI (1496): Slight fav |
| prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1410): W 26-21: 1495+10→1505 | ||||
| next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1496): Slight favorite | ||||
| 16 (+8) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1504 (+60) | 1-1 | at CAR (1374): Slight fav |
| prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1526): W 22-6: 1444+60→1504 | ||||
| next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1374): Slight favorite | ||||
| 17 (-1) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1496 (-14) | 2-0 | at SF (1505): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1361): W 27-22: 1510-14→1496 | ||||
| next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1505): Slight underdog | ||||
| 18 (+1) | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1493 (+18) | 2-0 | at TEN (1371): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1563): W 29-28: 1475+18→1493 | ||||
| next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1371): Slight favorite | ||||
| 19 (-5) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1485 (-48) | 1-1 | at NE (1421): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1507): L 17-31: 1533-48→1485 | ||||
| next: at New England PatriotsNE (1421): Slight favorite | ||||
| 20 (-5) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1466 (-60) | 1-1 | vs CIN (1536): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1444): L 6-22: 1526-60→1466 | ||||
| next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1536): Slight underdog | ||||
| 21 (+4) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1451 (+10) | 1-1 | vs HOU (1525): Tossup |
| prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1546): L 27-31: 1441+10→1451 | ||||
| next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1525): Tossup | ||||
| 22 (-2) | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1450 (-8) | 1-1 | at CHI (1416): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1394): W 40-37(OT): 1458-8→1450 | ||||
| next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1416): Slight underdog | ||||
| 23 (+7) | New England PatriotsNE | 1421 (+33) | 1-1 | vs PIT (1485): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1450): W 33-27: 1388+33→1421 | ||||
| next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1485): Slight underdog | ||||
| 24 (-2) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1417 (-33) | 0-2 | at BUF (1658): Lose by 13 |
| prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1388): L 27-33: 1450-33→1417 | ||||
| next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1658): Lose by 13 points | ||||
| 25 (-4) | Chicago BearsCHI | 1416 (-39) | 0-2 | vs DAL (1450): Slight fav |
| prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1598): L 21-52: 1455-39→1416 | ||||
| next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1450): Slight favorite | ||||
| 26 (-3) | New York JetsNYJ | 1413 (-34) | 0-2 | at TB (1561): Lose by 10 |
| prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1624): L 10-30: 1447-34→1413 | ||||
| next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1561): Lose by 10 points | ||||
| 27 (+1) | New York GiantsNYG | 1402 (+8) | 0-2 | vs KC (1548): Lose by 5 |
| prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1458): L 37-40(OT): 1394+8→1402 | ||||
| next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1548): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 28 (-1) | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1401 (-9) | 0-2 | at SEA (1555): Lose by 11 |
| prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1495): L 21-26: 1410-9→1401 | ||||
| next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1555): Lose by 11 points | ||||
| 29 (-3) | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1400 (-22) | 1-1 | at WAS (1554): Lose by 12 |
| prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1543): L 9-20: 1422-22→1400 | ||||
| next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1554): Lose by 12 points | ||||
| 30 (+2) | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1374 (+13) | 0-2 | vs ATL (1504): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1510): L 22-27: 1361+13→1374 | ||||
| next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1504): Slight underdog | ||||
| 31 (-2) | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1371 (-19) | 0-2 | vs IND (1493): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1548): L 19-33: 1390-19→1371 | ||||
| next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1493): Slight underdog | ||||
| 32 (-1) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1368 (-19) | 0-2 | vs GB (1601): Lose by 11 |
| prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1640): L 17-41: 1387-19→1368 | ||||
| next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1601): Lose by 11 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| ATL, BAL, BUF, CHI, CIN, GB, HOU, IND, | ||||
| KC, LAC, PHI, PIT, SEA, SF, TB, WAS | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2025 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1655 (-10) | 1-0 | at KC (1548): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1449): W 24-20: 1665-10→1655 | ||||
| next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1548): Slight favorite | ||||
| 2 | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1640 (-4) | 0-1 | vs CLE (1387): Win by 13 |
| prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1620): L 40-41: 1644-4→1640 | ||||
| next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1387): Win by 13 points | ||||
| 3 | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1624 (+4) | 1-0 | at NYJ (1447): Win by 4 |
| prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1644): W 41-40: 1620+4→1624 | ||||
| next: at New York JetsNYJ (1447): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 4 | Detroit LionsDET | 1598 (-19) | 0-1 | vs CHI (1455): Win by 8 |
| prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1567): L 13-27: 1617-19→1598 | ||||
| next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1455): Win by 8 points | ||||
| 5 (+1) | Green Bay PackersGB | 1585 (+18) | 1-0 | vs WAS (1570): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1617): W 27-13: 1567+18→1585 | ||||
| next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1570): Slight favorite | ||||
| 6 (+1) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1570 (+6) | 1-0 | at GB (1585): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1401): W 21-6: 1564+6→1570 | ||||
| next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1585): Slight underdog | ||||
| 7 (-2) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1563 (-6) | 1-0 | at IND (1475): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1384): W 20-12: 1569-6→1563 | ||||
| next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1475): Slight favorite | ||||
| 8 (+3) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1548 (+5) | 1-0 | at TEN (1390): Win by 6 |
| prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1548): W 14-9: 1543+5→1548 | ||||
| next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1390): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 9 (-1) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1548 (-11) | 0-1 | vs PHI (1655): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1531): L 21-27: 1559-11→1548 | ||||
| next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1655): Slight underdog | ||||
| 10 | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1546 | 1-0 | vs JAX (1441): Win by 8 |
| prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1387): W 17-16: 1546-0→1546 | ||||
| next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1441): Win by 8 points | ||||
| 11 (-2) | Houston TexansHOU | 1543 (-5) | 0-1 | vs TB (1543): Slight fav |
| prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1543): L 9-14: 1548-5→1543 | ||||
| next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1543): Slight favorite | ||||
| 12 (+1) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1543 (+12) | 1-0 | at LV (1422): Slight fav |
| prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1559): W 27-21: 1531+12→1543 | ||||
| next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1422): Slight favorite | ||||
| 13 (-1) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1543 (+4) | 1-0 | at HOU (1543): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1448): W 23-20: 1539+4→1543 | ||||
| next: at Houston TexansHOU (1543): Slight underdog | ||||
| 14 | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1533 (+3) | 1-0 | vs SEA (1507): Win by 3 |
| prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1450): W 34-32: 1530+3→1533 | ||||
| next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1507): Win by 3 points | ||||
| 15 | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1526 (+6) | 1-0 | vs ATL (1444): Win by 6 |
| prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1461): W 27-24: 1520+6→1526 | ||||
| next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1444): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 16 (+1) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1510 (+8) | 1-0 | vs CAR (1361): Win by 11 |
| prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1418): W 20-13: 1502+8→1510 | ||||
| next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1361): Win by 11 points | ||||
| 17 (-1) | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1507 (-13) | 0-1 | at PIT (1533): Lose by 3 |
| prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1482): L 13-17: 1520-13→1507 | ||||
| next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1533): Lose by 3 points | ||||
| 18 | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1495 (+13) | 1-0 | at NO (1410): Slight fav |
| prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1520): W 17-13: 1482+13→1495 | ||||
| next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1410): Slight favorite | ||||
| 19 (+5) | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1475 (+27) | 1-0 | vs DEN (1563): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1477): W 33-8: 1448+27→1475 | ||||
| next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1563): Slight underdog | ||||
| 20 (+2) | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1458 (+9) | 0-1 | vs NYG (1394): Win by 6 |
| prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1665): L 20-24: 1449+9→1458 | ||||
| next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1394): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 21 (-1) | Chicago BearsCHI | 1455 (-6) | 0-1 | at DET (1598): Lose by 8 |
| prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1520): L 24-27: 1461-6→1455 | ||||
| next: at Detroit LionsDET (1598): Lose by 8 points | ||||
| 22 (-3) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1450 (-27) | 0-1 | vs NE (1388): Win by 5 |
| prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1448): L 8-33: 1477-27→1450 | ||||
| next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1388): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 23 (-2) | New York JetsNYJ | 1447 (-3) | 0-1 | vs BUF (1624): Lose by 4 |
| prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1530): L 32-34: 1450-3→1447 | ||||
| next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1624): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 24 (-1) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1444 (-4) | 0-1 | at MIN (1526): Lose by 6 |
| prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1539): L 20-23: 1448-4→1444 | ||||
| next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1526): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 25 | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1441 (+13) | 1-0 | at CIN (1546): Lose by 8 |
| prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1374): W 26-10: 1428+13→1441 | ||||
| next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1546): Lose by 8 points | ||||
| 26 (+1) | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1422 (+14) | 1-0 | vs LAC (1543): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1402): W 20-13: 1408+14→1422 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1543): Slight underdog | ||||
| 27 (-1) | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1410 (-8) | 0-1 | vs SF (1495): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1502): L 13-20: 1418-8→1410 | ||||
| next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1495): Slight underdog | ||||
| 28 (+1) | New York GiantsNYG | 1394 (-7) | 0-1 | at DAL (1458): Lose by 6 |
| prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1564): L 6-21: 1401-7→1394 | ||||
| next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1458): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 29 (+2) | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1390 (+6) | 0-1 | vs LAR (1548): Lose by 6 |
| prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1569): L 12-20: 1384+6→1390 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1548): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 30 (-2) | New England PatriotsNE | 1388 (-14) | 0-1 | at MIA (1450): Lose by 5 |
| prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1408): L 13-20: 1402-14→1388 | ||||
| next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1450): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 31 (-1) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1387 | 0-1 | at BAL (1640): Lose by 13 |
| prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1546): L 16-17: 1387+0→1387 | ||||
| next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1640): Lose by 13 points | ||||
| 32 | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1361 (-13) | 0-1 | at ARI (1510): Lose by 11 |
| prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1428): L 10-26: 1374-13→1361 | ||||
| next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1510): Lose by 11 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| ARI, BAL, BUF, CIN, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, | ||||
| HOU, LAC, LAR, MIA, MIN, PHI, PIT, SF | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2025 season:
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1665 | 0-0 | vs DAL (1449): Win by 11 |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1677-12→1665 | ||||
| next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1449): Win by 11 points | ||||
| 2 | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1644 | 0-0 | at BUF (1620): Slight 'dog |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1654-10→1644 | ||||
| next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1620): Slight underdog | ||||
| 3 | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1620 | 0-0 | vs BAL (1644): Slight fav |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1629-9→1620 | ||||
| next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1644): Slight favorite | ||||
| 4 | Detroit LionsDET | 1617 | 0-0 | at GB (1567): Slight 'dog |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1625-8→1617 | ||||
| next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1567): Slight underdog | ||||
| 5 | Denver BroncosDEN | 1569 | 0-0 | vs TEN (1384): Win by 13 |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1574-5→1569 | ||||
| next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1384): Win by 13 points | ||||
| 6 | Green Bay PackersGB | 1567 | 0-0 | vs DET (1617): Slight fav |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1572-5→1567 | ||||
| next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1617): Slight favorite | ||||
| 7 | Washington CommandersWAS | 1564 | 0-0 | vs NYG (1401): Win by 9 |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1568-4→1564 | ||||
| next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1401): Win by 9 points | ||||
| 8 | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1559 | 0-0 | at LAC (1531): Slight fav |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1564-5→1559 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1531): Slight favorite | ||||
| 9 | Houston TexansHOU | 1548 | 0-0 | at LAR (1543): Slight 'dog |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1551-3→1548 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1543): Slight underdog | ||||
| 10 | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1546 | 0-0 | at CLE (1387): Win by 3 |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1550-4→1546 | ||||
| next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1387): Win by 3 points | ||||
| 11 | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1543 | 0-0 | vs HOU (1548): Slight fav |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1547-4→1543 | ||||
| next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1548): Slight favorite | ||||
| 12 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1539 | 0-0 | at ATL (1448): Slight fav |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1542-3→1539 | ||||
| next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1448): Slight favorite | ||||
| 13 | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1531 | 0-0 | at KC (1559): Slight 'dog |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1534-3→1531 | ||||
| next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1559): Slight underdog | ||||
| 14 | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1530 | 0-0 | at NYJ (1450): Slight fav |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1533-3→1530 | ||||
| next: at New York JetsNYJ (1450): Slight favorite | ||||
| 15 | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1520 | 0-0 | at CHI (1461): Tossup |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1522-2→1520 | ||||
| next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1461): Tossup | ||||
| 16 | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1520 | 0-0 | vs SF (1482): Win by 3 |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1521-1→1520 | ||||
| next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1482): Win by 3 points | ||||
| 17 | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1502 | 0-0 | at NO (1418): Slight fav |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1502+0→1502 | ||||
| next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1418): Slight favorite | ||||
| 18 | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1482 | 0-0 | at SEA (1520): Lose by 3 |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1481+1→1482 | ||||
| next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1520): Lose by 3 points | ||||
| 19 | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1477 | 0-0 | at IND (1448): Slight 'dog |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1476+1→1477 | ||||
| next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1448): Slight underdog | ||||
| 20 | Chicago BearsCHI | 1461 | 0-0 | vs MIN (1520): Tossup |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1458+3→1461 | ||||
| next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1520): Tossup | ||||
| 21 | New York JetsNYJ | 1450 | 0-0 | vs PIT (1530): Slight 'dog |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1446+4→1450 | ||||
| next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1530): Slight underdog | ||||
| 22 | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1449 | 0-0 | at PHI (1665): Lose by 11 |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1445+4→1449 | ||||
| next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1665): Lose by 11 points | ||||
| 23 | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1448 | 0-0 | vs TB (1539): Slight 'dog |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1444+4→1448 | ||||
| next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1539): Slight underdog | ||||
| 24 | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1448 | 0-0 | vs MIA (1477): Slight fav |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1444+4→1448 | ||||
| next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1477): Slight favorite | ||||
| 25 | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1428 | 0-0 | vs CAR (1374): Win by 5 |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1422+6→1428 | ||||
| next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1374): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 26 | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1418 | 0-0 | vs ARI (1502): Slight 'dog |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1412+6→1418 | ||||
| next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1502): Slight underdog | ||||
| 27 | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1408 | 0-0 | at NE (1402): Slight 'dog |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1401+7→1408 | ||||
| next: at New England PatriotsNE (1402): Slight underdog | ||||
| 28 | New England PatriotsNE | 1402 | 0-0 | vs LV (1408): Slight fav |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1395+7→1402 | ||||
| next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1408): Slight favorite | ||||
| 29 | New York GiantsNYG | 1401 | 0-0 | at WAS (1564): Lose by 9 |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1393+8→1401 | ||||
| next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1564): Lose by 9 points | ||||
| 30 | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1387 | 0-0 | vs CIN (1546): Lose by 3 |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1379+8→1387 | ||||
| next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1546): Lose by 3 points | ||||
| 31 | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1384 | 0-0 | at DEN (1569): Lose by 13 |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1376+8→1384 | ||||
| next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1569): Lose by 13 points | ||||
| 32 | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1374 | 0-0 | at JAX (1428): Lose by 5 |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1364+10→1374 | ||||
| next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1428): Lose by 5 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| ARI, BUF, CHI, CIN, DEN, GB, IND, JAX, | ||||
| KC, LAR, NE, PHI, PIT, SEA, TB, WAS | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Team Summaries for 2025 Season
↑ Arizona Cardinals
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1510 (+55 net) | avg. beat rating: 1418 | avg. lost to rating: 1530 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | at NO(1418) W 20-13: +8→1510 | 9 | 19 | at DAL(1475) W 27-17: +24→1476 | 17 | 29 | at CIN(1447) L 14-37: -17→1395 |
| 2 | 17 | vs CAR(1361) W 27-22: -14→1496 | 10 | 20 | at SEA(1624) L 22-44: -15→1461 | 18 | 29 | at LAR(1632) L 20-37: +1→1396 |
| 3 | 18 | at SF(1505) L 15-16: -2→1494 | 11 | 23 | vs SF(1495) L 22-41: -26→1435 | W | 29 | |
| 4 | 18 | vs SEA(1586) L 20-23: -6→1488 | 12 | 25 | vs JAX(1496) L 24-27: -3→1432 | D | 29 | |
| 5 | 23 | vs TEN(1305) L 21-22: -41→1447 | 13 | 24 | at TB(1535) L 17-20: +7→1439 | C | 29 | |
| 6 | 22 | at IND(1557) L 27-31: +10→1457 | 14 | 27 | vs LAR(1638) L 17-45: -15→1424 | S | 29 | |
| 7 | 23 | vs GB(1545) L 23-27: -5→1452 | 15 | 25 | at HOU(1603) L 20-40: -3→1421 | |||
| 8 | 22 | (bye) | 16 | 27 | vs ATL(1447) L 19-26: -9→1412 | |||
↑ Atlanta Falcons
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (+39 net) | avg. beat rating: 1511 | avg. lost to rating: 1481 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | vs TB(1539) L 20-23: -4→1444 | 9 | 23 | at NE(1533) L 23-24: +8→1439 | 17 | 20 | vs LAR(1655) W 27-24: +23→1479 |
| 2 | 16 | at MIN(1526) W 22-6: +60→1504 | 10 | 23 | at IND(1568) L 25-31: +7→1446 | 18 | 20 | vs NO(1419) W 19-17: -6→1473 |
| 3 | 23 | at CAR(1374) L 0-30: -66→1438 | 11 | 24 | vs CAR(1401) L 27-30: -12→1434 | W | 20 | |
| 4 | 20 | vs WAS(1563) W 34-27: +30→1468 | 12 | 21 | at NO(1386) W 24-10: +20→1454 | D | 20 | |
| 5 | 20 | (bye) | 13 | 21 | at NYJ(1404) L 24-27: -4→1450 | C | 20 | |
| 6 | 15 | vs BUF(1607) W 24-14: +32→1500 | 14 | 22 | vs SEA(1635) L 9-37: -13→1437 | S | 20 | |
| 7 | 20 | at SF(1492) L 10-20: -15→1485 | 15 | 22 | at TB(1513) W 29-28: +10→1447 | |||
| 8 | 25 | vs MIA(1380) L 10-34: -54→1431 | 16 | 21 | at ARI(1421) W 26-19: +9→1456 | |||
↑ Baltimore Ravens
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (-60 net) | avg. beat rating: 1453 | avg. lost to rating: 1540 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | at BUF(1620) L 40-41: -4→1640 | 9 | 12 | at MIA(1434) W 28-6: +29→1536 | 17 | 13 | at GB(1569) W 41-24: +14→1537 |
| 2 | 1 | vs CLE(1387) W 41-17: +19→1659 | 10 | 11 | at MIN(1493) W 27-19: +13→1549 | 18 | 12 | at PIT(1513) L 24-26: -2→1535 |
| 3 | 4 | vs DET(1637) L 30-38: -32→1627 | 11 | 10 | at CLE(1406) W 23-16: +5→1554 | W | 11 | |
| 4 | 6 | at KC(1566) L 20-37: -40→1587 | 12 | 11 | vs NYJ(1407) W 23-10: +3→1557 | D | 11 | |
| 5 | 13 | vs HOU(1531) L 10-44: -70→1517 | 13 | 14 | vs CIN(1396) L 14-32: -31→1526 | C | 11 | |
| 6 | 21 | vs LAR(1551) L 3-17: -28→1489 | 14 | 15 | vs PIT(1494) L 22-27: -12→1514 | S | 11 | |
| 7 | 19 | (bye) | 15 | 14 | at CIN(1434) W 24-0: +17→1531 | |||
| 8 | 14 | vs CHI(1497) W 30-16: +18→1507 | 16 | 17 | vs NE(1551) L 24-28: -8→1523 | |||
↑ Buffalo Bills
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1484 (-125 net) | avg. beat rating: 1478 | avg. lost to rating: 1499 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | vs BAL(1644) W 41-40: +4→1624 | 9 | 5 | vs KC(1656) W 28-21: +13→1617 | 17 | 5 | vs PHI(1592) L 12-13: -7→1588 |
| 2 | 2 | at NYJ(1447) W 30-10: +34→1658 | 10 | 7 | at MIA(1405) L 13-30: -33→1584 | 18 | 4 | vs NYJ(1341) W 35-8: +7→1595 |
| 3 | 3 | vs MIA(1417) W 31-21: -5→1653 | 11 | 6 | vs TB(1563) W 44-32: +11→1595 | W | 4 | at JAX(1586) W 27-24: +14→1609 |
| 4 | 3 | vs NO(1370) W 31-19: -13→1640 | 12 | 7 | at HOU(1574) L 19-23: -4→1591 | D | 3 | at DEN(1594) L 30-33: +5→1614 |
| 5 | 3 | vs NE(1456) L 20-23: -33→1607 | 13 | 5 | at PIT(1510) W 26-7: +15→1606 | C | 4 | |
| 6 | 8 | at ATL(1468) L 14-24: -32→1575 | 14 | 6 | vs CIN(1427) W 39-34: -8→1598 | S | 3 | |
| 7 | 7 | (bye) | 15 | 4 | at NE(1557) W 35-31: +7→1605 | |||
| 8 | 5 | at CAR(1427) W 40-9: +29→1604 | 16 | 3 | at CLE(1380) W 23-20: -10→1595 | |||
↑ Carolina Panthers
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1488 (+80 net) | avg. beat rating: 1497 | avg. lost to rating: 1480 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | at JAX(1428) L 10-26: -13→1361 | 9 | 24 | at GB(1572) W 16-13: +28→1426 | 17 | 25 | vs SEA(1642) L 10-27: -4→1429 |
| 2 | 30 | at ARI(1510) L 22-27: +13→1374 | 10 | 29 | vs NO(1361) L 7-17: -25→1401 | 18 | 25 | at TB(1488) L 14-16: +6→1435 |
| 3 | 22 | vs ATL(1504) W 30-0: +66→1440 | 11 | 26 | at ATL(1446) W 30-27: +12→1413 | W | 23 | vs LAR(1631) L 31-34: +17→1452 |
| 4 | 29 | at NE(1404) L 13-42: -52→1388 | 12 | 27 | at SF(1522) L 9-20: -2→1411 | D | 23 | |
| 5 | 28 | vs MIA(1431) W 27-24: +7→1395 | 13 | 25 | vs LAR(1657) W 31-28: +19→1430 | C | 23 | |
| 6 | 27 | vs DAL(1464) W 30-27: +11→1406 | 14 | 24 | (bye) | S | 23 | |
| 7 | 27 | at NYJ(1403) W 13-6: +21→1427 | 15 | 24 | at NO(1387) L 17-20: -4→1426 | |||
| 8 | 29 | vs BUF(1575) L 9-40: -29→1398 | 16 | 24 | vs TB(1503) W 23-20: +7→1433 | |||
↑ Chicago Bears
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (+14 net) | avg. beat rating: 1475 | avg. lost to rating: 1552 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | vs MIN(1520) L 24-27: -6→1455 | 9 | 18 | at CIN(1423) W 47-42: +9→1488 | 17 | 14 | at SF(1559) L 38-42: +1→1530 |
| 2 | 25 | at DET(1598) L 21-52: -39→1416 | 10 | 17 | vs NYG(1422) W 24-20: -3→1485 | 18 | 14 | vs DET(1571) L 16-19: -7→1523 |
| 3 | 21 | vs DAL(1450) W 31-14: +39→1455 | 11 | 17 | at MIN(1481) W 19-17: +9→1494 | W | 13 | vs GB(1538) W 31-27: +3→1526 |
| 4 | 21 | at LV(1392) W 25-24: +7→1462 | 12 | 17 | vs PIT(1512) W 31-28: +3→1497 | D | 13 | vs LAR(1615) L 17-20: +2→1528 |
| 5 | 22 | (bye) | 13 | 15 | at PHI(1610) W 24-15: +22→1519 | C | 13 | |
| 6 | 20 | at WAS(1576) W 25-24: +27→1489 | 14 | 14 | at GB(1574) L 21-28: -1→1518 | S | 13 | |
| 7 | 17 | vs NO(1398) W 26-14: +8→1497 | 15 | 15 | vs CLE(1389) W 31-3: +8→1526 | |||
| 8 | 18 | at BAL(1489) L 16-30: -18→1479 | 16 | 15 | vs GB(1572) W 22-16: +3→1529 | |||
↑ Cincinnati Bengals
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (+47 net) | avg. beat rating: 1463 | avg. lost to rating: 1516 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | at CLE(1387) W 17-16: -0→1546 | 9 | 27 | vs CHI(1479) L 42-47: -9→1414 | 17 | 22 | vs ARI(1412) W 37-14: +18→1465 |
| 2 | 13 | vs JAX(1441) W 31-27: -10→1536 | 10 | 26 | (bye) | 18 | 24 | vs CLE(1407) L 18-20: -19→1446 |
| 3 | 20 | at MIN(1466) L 10-48: -70→1466 | 11 | 29 | at PIT(1493) L 12-34: -20→1394 | W | 25 | |
| 4 | 23 | at DEN(1544) L 3-28: -32→1434 | 12 | 29 | vs NE(1552) L 20-26: +2→1396 | D | 25 | |
| 5 | 24 | vs DET(1679) L 24-37: -3→1431 | 13 | 27 | at BAL(1557) W 32-14: +31→1427 | C | 25 | |
| 6 | 25 | at GB(1547) L 18-27: +3→1434 | 14 | 23 | at BUF(1606) L 34-39: +7→1434 | S | 25 | |
| 7 | 25 | vs PIT(1526) W 33-31: +11→1445 | 15 | 26 | vs BAL(1514) L 0-24: -16→1418 | |||
| 8 | 26 | vs NYJ(1382) L 38-39: -22→1423 | 16 | 22 | at MIA(1456) W 45-21: +29→1447 | |||
↑ Cleveland Browns
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1511 (+112 net) | avg. beat rating: 1472 | avg. lost to rating: 1527 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | vs CIN(1546) L 16-17: +0→1387 | 9 | 26 | (bye) | 17 | 28 | vs PIT(1530) W 13-6: +17→1407 |
| 2 | 32 | at BAL(1640) L 17-41: -19→1368 | 10 | 28 | at NYJ(1404) L 20-27: -9→1406 | 18 | 26 | at CIN(1465) W 20-18: +19→1426 |
| 3 | 27 | vs GB(1601) W 13-10: +39→1407 | 11 | 28 | vs BAL(1549) L 16-23: -6→1400 | W | 26 | |
| 4 | 28 | at DET(1669) L 10-34: -10→1397 | 12 | 26 | at LV(1346) W 24-10: +17→1417 | D | 26 | |
| 5 | 27 | at MIN(1522) L 17-21: +6→1403 | 13 | 29 | vs SF(1524) L 8-26: -15→1402 | C | 26 | |
| 6 | 30 | at PIT(1516) L 9-23: -10→1393 | 14 | 28 | vs TEN(1308) L 29-31: -13→1389 | S | 26 | |
| 7 | 26 | vs MIA(1418) W 31-6: +38→1431 | 15 | 29 | at CHI(1518) L 3-31: -9→1380 | |||
| 8 | 27 | at NE(1517) L 13-32: -16→1415 | 16 | 29 | vs BUF(1605) L 20-23: +10→1390 | |||
↑ Dallas Cowboys
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (+38 net) | avg. beat rating: 1488 | avg. lost to rating: 1504 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | at PHI(1665) L 20-24: +9→1458 | 9 | 22 | vs ARI(1452) L 17-27: -24→1451 | 17 | 21 | at WAS(1434) W 30-23: +15→1474 |
| 2 | 22 | vs NYG(1394) W 40-37: -8→1450 | 10 | 22 | (bye) | 18 | 23 | at NYG(1438) L 17-34: -25→1449 |
| 3 | 26 | at CHI(1416) L 14-31: -38→1412 | 11 | 20 | at LV(1365) W 33-16: +19→1470 | W | 24 | |
| 4 | 25 | vs GB(1562) T 40-40: +15→1427 | 12 | 19 | vs PHI(1621) W 24-21: +11→1481 | D | 24 | |
| 5 | 21 | at NYJ(1422) W 37-22: +37→1464 | 13 | 19 | vs KC(1633) W 31-28: +12→1493 | C | 24 | |
| 6 | 23 | at CAR(1395) L 27-30: -11→1453 | 14 | 19 | at DET(1610) L 30-44: -3→1490 | S | 24 | |
| 7 | 18 | vs WAS(1548) W 44-22: +40→1493 | 15 | 20 | vs MIN(1470) L 26-34: -12→1478 | |||
| 8 | 19 | at DEN(1574) L 24-44: -18→1475 | 16 | 20 | vs LAC(1514) L 17-34: -19→1459 | |||
↑ Denver Broncos
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (-85 net) | avg. beat rating: 1489 | avg. lost to rating: 1526 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | vs TEN(1384) W 20-12: -6→1563 | 9 | 7 | at HOU(1592) W 18-15: +12→1604 | 17 | 6 | at KC(1558) W 20-13: +15→1583 |
| 2 | 12 | at IND(1475) L 28-29: -17→1546 | 10 | 6 | vs LV(1350) W 10-7: -15→1589 | 18 | 5 | vs LAC(1529) W 19-3: +11→1594 |
| 3 | 11 | at LAC(1565) L 20-23: -2→1544 | 11 | 7 | vs KC(1642) W 22-19: +5→1594 | W | 6 | (bye) |
| 4 | 7 | vs CIN(1466) W 28-3: +32→1576 | 12 | 6 | (bye) | D | 6 | vs BUF(1609) W 33-30: -5→1589 |
| 5 | 4 | at PHI(1662) W 21-17: +30→1606 | 13 | 6 | at WAS(1446) W 27-26: -4→1590 | C | 7 | vs NE(1620) L 7-10: -15→1574 |
| 6 | 4 | at NYJ(1384) W 13-11: -19→1587 | 14 | 7 | at LV(1325) W 24-17: -2→1588 | S | 7 | |
| 7 | 9 | vs NYG(1438) W 33-32: -13→1574 | 15 | 7 | vs GB(1576) W 34-26: +4→1592 | |||
| 8 | 8 | vs DAL(1493) W 44-24: +18→1592 | 16 | 8 | vs JAX(1537) L 20-34: -24→1568 | |||
↑ Detroit Lions
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1522 (-110 net) | avg. beat rating: 1493 | avg. lost to rating: 1555 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | at GB(1567) L 13-27: -19→1598 | 9 | 2 | vs MIN(1467) L 24-27: -26→1635 | 17 | 9 | at MIN(1485) L 10-23: -21→1571 |
| 2 | 4 | vs CHI(1455) W 52-21: +39→1637 | 10 | 1 | at WAS(1470) W 44-22: +18→1653 | 18 | 8 | at CHI(1530) W 19-16: +6→1577 |
| 3 | 1 | at BAL(1659) W 38-30: +32→1669 | 11 | 1 | at PHI(1610) L 9-16: -11→1642 | W | 7 | |
| 4 | 1 | vs CLE(1407) W 34-10: +10→1679 | 12 | 3 | vs NYG(1420) W 34-27: -15→1627 | D | 7 | |
| 5 | 1 | at CIN(1434) W 37-24: +3→1682 | 13 | 4 | vs GB(1558) L 24-31: -17→1610 | C | 6 | |
| 6 | 1 | at KC(1588) L 17-30: -35→1647 | 14 | 3 | vs DAL(1493) W 44-30: +3→1613 | S | 6 | |
| 7 | 1 | vs TB(1574) W 24-9: +14→1661 | 15 | 3 | at LAR(1653) L 34-41: -2→1611 | |||
| 8 | 1 | (bye) | 16 | 5 | vs PIT(1511) L 24-29: -19→1592 | |||
↑ Green Bay Packers
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (-59 net) | avg. beat rating: 1515 | avg. lost to rating: 1502 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | vs DET(1617) W 27-13: +18→1585 | 9 | 11 | vs CAR(1398) L 13-16: -28→1544 | 17 | 11 | vs BAL(1523) L 24-41: -14→1555 |
| 2 | 5 | vs WAS(1570) W 27-18: +16→1601 | 10 | 13 | vs PHI(1607) L 7-10: -3→1541 | 18 | 11 | at MIN(1507) L 3-16: -17→1538 |
| 3 | 10 | at CLE(1368) L 10-13: -39→1562 | 11 | 13 | at NYG(1425) W 27-20: +5→1546 | W | 12 | at CHI(1523) L 27-31: -3→1535 |
| 4 | 9 | at DAL(1412) T 40-40: -15→1547 | 12 | 10 | vs MIN(1471) W 23-6: +12→1558 | D | 12 | |
| 5 | 12 | (bye) | 13 | 9 | at DET(1627) W 31-24: +16→1574 | C | 12 | |
| 6 | 12 | vs CIN(1431) W 27-18: -2→1545 | 14 | 9 | vs CHI(1519) W 28-21: +2→1576 | S | 12 | |
| 7 | 11 | at ARI(1457) W 27-23: +4→1549 | 15 | 9 | at DEN(1588) L 26-34: -4→1572 | |||
| 8 | 11 | at PIT(1515) W 35-25: +23→1572 | 16 | 7 | at CHI(1526) L 16-22: -3→1569 | |||
↑ Houston Texans
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (-73 net) | avg. beat rating: 1480 | avg. lost to rating: 1543 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | at LAR(1543) L 9-14: -5→1543 | 9 | 9 | vs DEN(1592) L 15-18: -11→1581 | 17 | 4 | at LAC(1532) W 20-16: +4→1591 |
| 2 | 14 | vs TB(1543) L 19-20: -18→1525 | 10 | 8 | vs JAX(1462) W 36-29: -1→1580 | 18 | 6 | vs IND(1512) W 38-30: -0→1591 |
| 3 | 16 | at JAX(1451) L 10-17: -21→1504 | 11 | 8 | at TEN(1306) W 16-13: -6→1574 | W | 2 | at PIT(1516) W 30-6: +33→1624 |
| 4 | 13 | vs TEN(1331) W 26-0: +27→1531 | 12 | 8 | vs BUF(1595) W 23-19: +4→1578 | D | 5 | at NE(1600) L 16-28: -20→1604 |
| 5 | 5 | at BAL(1587) W 44-10: +70→1601 | 13 | 8 | at IND(1565) W 20-16: +7→1585 | C | 5 | |
| 6 | 3 | (bye) | 14 | 5 | at KC(1621) W 20-10: +18→1603 | S | 5 | |
| 7 | 6 | at SEA(1584) L 19-27: -16→1585 | 15 | 5 | vs ARI(1424) W 40-20: +2→1605 | |||
| 8 | 7 | vs SF(1507) W 26-15: +7→1592 | 16 | 6 | vs LV(1323) W 23-21: -18→1587 | |||
↑ Indianapolis Colts
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1507 (-29 net) | avg. beat rating: 1437 | avg. lost to rating: 1569 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | vs MIA(1477) W 33-8: +27→1475 | 9 | 10 | at PIT(1493) L 20-27: -18→1568 | 17 | 17 | vs JAX(1561) L 17-23: -11→1512 |
| 2 | 18 | vs DEN(1563) W 29-28: +18→1493 | 10 | 10 | at ATL(1439) W 31-25: -7→1561 | 18 | 18 | at HOU(1591) L 30-38: +0→1512 |
| 3 | 14 | at TEN(1371) W 41-20: +40→1533 | 11 | 9 | (bye) | W | 17 | |
| 4 | 14 | at LAR(1567) L 20-27: -7→1526 | 12 | 9 | at KC(1637) L 20-23: +4→1565 | D | 17 | |
| 5 | 10 | vs LV(1384) W 40-6: +31→1557 | 13 | 10 | vs HOU(1578) L 16-20: -7→1558 | C | 17 | |
| 6 | 11 | vs ARI(1447) W 31-27: -9→1548 | 14 | 11 | at JAX(1515) L 19-36: -15→1543 | S | 17 | |
| 7 | 8 | at LAC(1500) W 38-24: +26→1574 | 15 | 11 | at SEA(1647) L 16-18: +6→1549 | |||
| 8 | 9 | vs TEN(1312) W 38-14: +12→1586 | 16 | 16 | vs SF(1534) L 27-48: -26→1523 | |||
↑ Jacksonville Jaguars
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1490 (-4 net) | avg. beat rating: 1465 | avg. lost to rating: 1568 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | vs CAR(1374) W 26-10: +13→1441 | 9 | 21 | at LV(1348) W 30-29: -2→1462 | 17 | 8 | at IND(1523) W 23-17: +10→1571 |
| 2 | 21 | at CIN(1546) L 27-31: +10→1451 | 10 | 19 | at HOU(1581) L 29-36: +1→1463 | 18 | 7 | vs TEN(1349) W 41-7: +15→1586 |
| 3 | 19 | vs HOU(1525) W 17-10: +20→1471 | 11 | 16 | vs LAC(1524) W 35-6: +33→1496 | W | 8 | vs BUF(1595) L 24-27: -14→1572 |
| 4 | 17 | at SF(1507) W 26-21: +26→1497 | 12 | 16 | at ARI(1435) W 27-24: +3→1499 | D | 8 | |
| 5 | 16 | vs KC(1605) W 31-28: +17→1514 | 13 | 16 | at TEN(1323) W 25-3: +16→1515 | C | 8 | |
| 6 | 18 | vs SEA(1567) L 12-20: -16→1498 | 14 | 13 | vs IND(1558) W 36-19: +14→1529 | S | 8 | |
| 7 | 22 | at LAR(1579) L 7-35: -34→1464 | 15 | 12 | vs NYJ(1387) W 48-20: +8→1537 | |||
| 8 | 21 | (bye) | 16 | 9 | at DEN(1592) W 34-20: +24→1561 | |||
↑ Kansas City Chiefs
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1518 (-80 net) | avg. beat rating: 1525 | avg. lost to rating: 1514 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | at LAC(1531) L 21-27: -11→1548 | 9 | 1 | at BUF(1604) L 21-28: -14→1642 | 17 | 12 | vs DEN(1568) L 13-20: -15→1543 |
| 2 | 11 | vs PHI(1655) L 17-20: +0→1548 | 10 | 2 | (bye) | 18 | 15 | at LV(1317) L 12-14: -25→1518 |
| 3 | 8 | at NYG(1402) W 22-9: +18→1566 | 11 | 4 | at DEN(1589) L 19-22: -5→1637 | W | 15 | |
| 4 | 4 | vs BAL(1627) W 37-20: +39→1605 | 12 | 2 | vs IND(1561) W 23-20: -4→1633 | D | 15 | |
| 5 | 6 | at JAX(1497) L 28-31: -17→1588 | 13 | 3 | at DAL(1481) L 28-31: -12→1621 | C | 15 | |
| 6 | 2 | vs DET(1682) W 30-17: +34→1622 | 14 | 4 | vs HOU(1585) L 10-20: -17→1604 | S | 15 | |
| 7 | 2 | vs LV(1368) W 31-0: +20→1642 | 15 | 6 | vs LAC(1503) L 13-16: -11→1593 | |||
| 8 | 2 | vs WAS(1509) W 28-7: +14→1656 | 16 | 12 | at TEN(1326) L 9-26: -35→1558 | |||
↑ Las Vegas Raiders
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (+146 net) | avg. beat rating: 1430 | avg. lost to rating: 1521 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | at NE(1402) W 20-13: +14→1422 | 9 | 31 | vs JAX(1464) L 29-30: +2→1350 | 17 | 32 | vs NYG(1414) L 10-34: -24→1317 |
| 2 | 29 | vs LAC(1543) L 9-20: -22→1400 | 10 | 31 | at DEN(1604) L 7-10: +15→1365 | 18 | 30 | vs KC(1543) W 14-12: +24→1341 |
| 3 | 29 | at WAS(1554) L 24-41: -8→1392 | 11 | 31 | vs DAL(1451) L 16-33: -19→1346 | W | 30 | |
| 4 | 30 | vs CHI(1455) L 24-25: -8→1384 | 12 | 31 | vs CLE(1400) L 10-24: -16→1330 | D | 30 | |
| 5 | 31 | at IND(1526) L 6-40: -31→1353 | 13 | 31 | at LAC(1491) L 14-31: -5→1325 | C | 30 | |
| 6 | 31 | vs TEN(1345) W 20-10: +15→1368 | 14 | 31 | vs DEN(1590) L 17-24: +3→1328 | S | 30 | |
| 7 | 31 | at KC(1622) L 0-31: -20→1348 | 15 | 32 | at PHI(1580) L 0-31: -5→1323 | |||
| 8 | 31 | (bye) | 16 | 32 | at HOU(1605) L 21-23: +18→1341 | |||
↑ Los Angeles Chargers
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1492 (-27 net) | avg. beat rating: 1479 | avg. lost to rating: 1516 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | at KC(1559) W 27-21: +12→1543 | 9 | 16 | at TEN(1301) W 27-20: -5→1506 | 17 | 15 | vs HOU(1587) L 16-20: -3→1529 |
| 2 | 7 | at LV(1422) W 20-9: +22→1565 | 10 | 14 | vs PIT(1511) W 25-10: +18→1524 | 18 | 16 | at DEN(1583) L 3-19: -11→1518 |
| 3 | 7 | vs DEN(1546) W 23-20: +1→1566 | 11 | 18 | at JAX(1463) L 6-35: -33→1491 | W | 16 | at NE(1596) L 3-16: -4→1514 |
| 4 | 10 | at NYG(1384) L 18-21: -28→1538 | 12 | 18 | (bye) | D | 16 | |
| 5 | 18 | vs WAS(1533) L 10-27: -43→1495 | 13 | 17 | vs LV(1330) W 31-14: +5→1496 | C | 16 | |
| 6 | 16 | at MIA(1423) W 29-27: +5→1500 | 14 | 18 | vs PHI(1588) W 22-19: +7→1503 | S | 16 | |
| 7 | 21 | vs IND(1548) L 24-38: -27→1473 | 15 | 16 | at KC(1604) W 16-13: +11→1514 | |||
| 8 | 13 | vs MIN(1505) W 37-10: +38→1511 | 16 | 13 | at DAL(1478) W 34-17: +18→1532 | |||
↑ Los Angeles Rams
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1509 (-99 net) | avg. beat rating: 1500 | avg. lost to rating: 1529 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | vs HOU(1548) W 14-9: +5→1548 | 9 | 4 | vs NO(1366) W 34-10: +5→1618 | 17 | 2 | at ATL(1456) L 24-27: -23→1632 |
| 2 | 6 | at TEN(1390) W 33-19: +19→1567 | 10 | 3 | at SF(1516) W 42-26: +21→1639 | 18 | 2 | vs ARI(1395) W 37-20: -1→1631 |
| 3 | 6 | at PHI(1655) L 26-33: +0→1567 | 11 | 2 | vs SEA(1639) W 21-19: +1→1640 | W | 3 | at CAR(1435) W 34-31: -16→1615 |
| 4 | 8 | vs IND(1533) W 27-20: +7→1574 | 12 | 1 | vs TB(1552) W 34-7: +17→1657 | D | 4 | at CHI(1526) W 20-17: -2→1613 |
| 5 | 11 | vs SF(1481) L 23-26: -23→1551 | 13 | 1 | at CAR(1411) L 28-31: -19→1638 | C | 3 | at SEA(1686) L 27-31: +14→1627 |
| 6 | 7 | at BAL(1517) W 17-3: +28→1579 | 14 | 1 | at ARI(1439) W 45-17: +15→1653 | S | 2 | |
| 7 | 3 | at JAX(1498) W 35-7: +34→1613 | 15 | 1 | vs DET(1613) W 41-34: +2→1655 | |||
| 8 | 3 | (bye) | 16 | 1 | at SEA(1641) L 37-38: -0→1655 | |||
↑ Miami Dolphins
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1473 (+40 net) | avg. beat rating: 1465 | avg. lost to rating: 1478 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | at IND(1448) L 8-33: -27→1450 | 9 | 28 | vs BAL(1507) L 6-28: -29→1405 | 17 | 24 | vs TB(1496) W 20-17: +8→1435 |
| 2 | 24 | vs NE(1388) L 27-33: -33→1417 | 10 | 24 | vs BUF(1617) W 30-13: +33→1438 | 18 | 28 | at NE(1580) L 10-38: -16→1419 |
| 3 | 25 | at BUF(1658) L 21-31: +5→1422 | 11 | 22 | at WAS(1452) W 16-13: +6→1444 | W | 28 | |
| 4 | 24 | vs NYJ(1430) W 27-21: +9→1431 | 12 | 23 | (bye) | D | 28 | |
| 5 | 25 | at CAR(1388) L 24-27: -8→1423 | 13 | 23 | vs NO(1366) W 21-17: -5→1439 | C | 28 | |
| 6 | 26 | vs LAC(1495) L 27-29: -5→1418 | 14 | 21 | at NYJ(1409) W 34-10: +22→1461 | S | 28 | |
| 7 | 30 | at CLE(1393) L 6-31: -38→1380 | 15 | 21 | at PIT(1506) L 15-28: -5→1456 | |||
| 8 | 24 | at ATL(1485) W 34-10: +54→1434 | 16 | 25 | vs CIN(1418) L 21-45: -29→1427 | |||
↑ Minnesota Vikings
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1515 (+23 net) | avg. beat rating: 1506 | avg. lost to rating: 1524 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | at CHI(1461) W 27-24: +6→1526 | 9 | 17 | at DET(1661) W 27-24: +26→1493 | 17 | 18 | vs DET(1592) W 23-10: +22→1507 |
| 2 | 20 | vs ATL(1444) L 6-22: -60→1466 | 10 | 18 | vs BAL(1536) L 19-27: -12→1481 | 18 | 13 | vs GB(1555) W 16-3: +17→1524 |
| 3 | 13 | vs CIN(1536) W 48-10: +71→1537 | 11 | 19 | vs CHI(1485) L 17-19: -10→1471 | W | 14 | |
| 4 | 15 | at PIT(1502) L 21-24: -15→1522 | 12 | 20 | at GB(1546) L 6-23: -12→1459 | D | 14 | |
| 5 | 15 | at CLE(1397) W 21-17: -6→1516 | 13 | 20 | at SEA(1626) L 0-26: -9→1450 | C | 14 | |
| 6 | 14 | (bye) | 14 | 20 | vs WAS(1450) W 31-0: +20→1470 | S | 14 | |
| 7 | 16 | vs PHI(1582) L 22-28: -11→1505 | 15 | 19 | at DAL(1490) W 34-26: +13→1483 | |||
| 8 | 20 | at LAC(1473) L 10-37: -38→1467 | 16 | 19 | at NYG(1416) W 16-13: +2→1485 | |||
↑ New England Patriots
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1457 (-44 net) | avg. beat rating: 1449 | avg. lost to rating: 1497 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | vs LV(1408) L 13-20: -14→1388 | 9 | 13 | vs ATL(1431) W 24-23: -8→1525 | 17 | 7 | at NYJ(1363) W 42-10: +22→1580 |
| 2 | 23 | at MIA(1450) W 33-27: +33→1421 | 10 | 12 | at TB(1584) W 28-23: +21→1546 | 18 | 3 | vs MIA(1435) W 38-10: +16→1596 |
| 3 | 28 | vs PIT(1485) L 14-21: -17→1404 | 11 | 11 | vs NYJ(1412) W 27-14: +6→1552 | W | 5 | vs LAC(1518) W 16-3: +4→1600 |
| 4 | 22 | vs CAR(1440) W 42-13: +52→1456 | 12 | 12 | at CIN(1394) W 26-20: -2→1550 | D | 2 | vs HOU(1624) W 28-16: +20→1620 |
| 5 | 19 | at BUF(1640) W 23-20: +33→1489 | 13 | 11 | vs NYG(1435) W 33-15: +7→1557 | C | 2 | at DEN(1589) W 10-7: +14→1634 |
| 6 | 17 | at NO(1408) W 25-19: +10→1499 | 14 | 10 | (bye) | S | 4 | at SEA(1672) L 13-29: -28→1606 |
| 7 | 12 | at TEN(1330) W 31-13: +18→1517 | 15 | 10 | vs BUF(1598) L 31-35: -6→1551 | |||
| 8 | 12 | vs CLE(1431) W 32-13: +16→1533 | 16 | 11 | at BAL(1531) W 28-24: +7→1558 | |||
↑ New Orleans Saints
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1485 (+95 net) | avg. beat rating: 1423 | avg. lost to rating: 1519 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | vs ARI(1502) L 13-20: -8→1410 | 9 | 30 | at LAR(1613) L 10-34: -5→1361 | 17 | 27 | at TEN(1360) W 34-26: +12→1419 |
| 2 | 28 | vs SF(1495) L 21-26: -9→1401 | 10 | 30 | at CAR(1426) W 17-7: +25→1386 | 18 | 27 | at ATL(1479) L 17-19: +5→1424 |
| 3 | 31 | at SEA(1555) L 13-44: -31→1370 | 11 | 30 | (bye) | W | 27 | |
| 4 | 31 | at BUF(1653) L 19-31: +13→1383 | 12 | 30 | vs ATL(1434) L 10-24: -20→1366 | D | 27 | |
| 5 | 26 | vs NYG(1413) W 26-14: +25→1408 | 13 | 30 | at MIA(1444) L 17-21: +5→1371 | C | 27 | |
| 6 | 29 | vs NE(1489) L 19-25: -10→1398 | 14 | 30 | at TB(1528) W 24-20: +16→1387 | S | 27 | |
| 7 | 28 | at CHI(1489) L 14-26: -8→1390 | 15 | 28 | vs CAR(1430) W 20-17: +4→1391 | |||
| 8 | 30 | vs TB(1560) L 3-23: -24→1366 | 16 | 28 | vs NYJ(1379) W 29-6: +16→1407 | |||
↑ New York Giants
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1516 (+98 net) | avg. beat rating: 1503 | avg. lost to rating: 1521 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | at WAS(1564) L 6-21: -7→1394 | 9 | 25 | vs SF(1500) L 24-34: -16→1422 | 17 | 23 | at LV(1341) W 34-10: +24→1438 |
| 2 | 27 | at DAL(1458) L 37-40: +8→1402 | 10 | 25 | at CHI(1488) L 20-24: +3→1425 | 18 | 21 | vs DAL(1474) W 34-17: +25→1463 |
| 3 | 30 | vs KC(1548) L 9-22: -18→1384 | 11 | 25 | vs GB(1541) L 20-27: -5→1420 | W | 21 | |
| 4 | 27 | vs LAC(1566) W 21-18: +29→1413 | 12 | 24 | at DET(1642) L 27-34: +15→1435 | D | 21 | |
| 5 | 29 | at NO(1383) L 14-26: -25→1388 | 13 | 26 | at NE(1550) L 15-33: -7→1428 | C | 21 | |
| 6 | 24 | vs PHI(1633) W 34-17: +50→1438 | 14 | 26 | (bye) | S | 21 | |
| 7 | 24 | at DEN(1587) L 32-33: +13→1451 | 15 | 27 | vs WAS(1430) L 21-29: -12→1416 | |||
| 8 | 23 | at PHI(1594) L 20-38: -13→1438 | 16 | 26 | vs MIN(1483) L 13-16: -2→1414 | |||
↑ New York Jets
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (+98 net) | avg. beat rating: 1438 | avg. lost to rating: 1513 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | vs PIT(1530) L 32-34: -3→1447 | 9 | 29 | (bye) | 17 | 31 | vs NE(1558) L 10-42: -22→1341 |
| 2 | 26 | vs BUF(1624) L 10-30: -34→1413 | 10 | 27 | vs CLE(1415) W 27-20: +8→1412 | 18 | 32 | at BUF(1588) L 8-35: -7→1334 |
| 3 | 24 | at TB(1561) L 27-29: +17→1430 | 11 | 27 | at NE(1546) L 14-27: -5→1407 | W | 32 | |
| 4 | 26 | at MIA(1422) L 21-27: -8→1422 | 12 | 28 | at BAL(1554) L 10-23: -3→1404 | D | 32 | |
| 5 | 30 | vs DAL(1427) L 22-37: -38→1384 | 13 | 28 | vs ATL(1454) W 27-24: +5→1409 | C | 32 | |
| 6 | 28 | at DEN(1606) L 11-13: +19→1403 | 14 | 29 | vs MIA(1439) L 10-34: -22→1387 | S | 32 | |
| 7 | 29 | vs CAR(1406) L 6-13: -21→1382 | 15 | 30 | at JAX(1529) L 20-48: -8→1379 | |||
| 8 | 28 | at CIN(1445) W 39-38: +22→1404 | 16 | 30 | at NO(1391) L 6-29: -16→1363 | |||
↑ Philadelphia Eagles
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (-118 net) | avg. beat rating: 1512 | avg. lost to rating: 1474 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | vs DAL(1449) W 24-20: -10→1655 | 9 | 6 | (bye) | 17 | 3 | at BUF(1595) W 13-12: +7→1599 |
| 2 | 3 | at KC(1548) W 20-17: -0→1655 | 10 | 5 | at GB(1544) W 10-7: +3→1610 | 18 | 9 | vs WAS(1419) L 17-24: -34→1565 |
| 3 | 2 | vs LAR(1567) W 33-26: -0→1655 | 11 | 5 | vs DET(1653) W 16-9: +11→1621 | W | 10 | vs SF(1545) L 19-23: -20→1545 |
| 4 | 2 | at TB(1544) W 31-25: +7→1662 | 12 | 5 | at DAL(1470) L 21-24: -11→1610 | D | 9 | |
| 5 | 2 | vs DEN(1576) L 17-21: -29→1633 | 13 | 7 | vs CHI(1497) L 15-24: -22→1588 | C | 9 | |
| 6 | 6 | at NYG(1388) L 17-34: -51→1582 | 14 | 8 | at LAC(1496) L 19-22: -8→1580 | S | 9 | |
| 7 | 5 | at MIN(1516) W 28-22: +12→1594 | 15 | 8 | vs LV(1328) W 31-0: +5→1585 | |||
| 8 | 4 | vs NYG(1451) W 38-20: +13→1607 | 16 | 4 | at WAS(1441) W 29-18: +7→1592 | |||
↑ Pittsburgh Steelers
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (-16 net) | avg. beat rating: 1495 | avg. lost to rating: 1496 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | at NYJ(1450) W 34-32: +3→1533 | 9 | 15 | vs IND(1586) W 27-20: +18→1511 | 17 | 16 | at CLE(1390) L 6-13: -17→1513 |
| 2 | 19 | vs SEA(1507) L 17-31: -48→1485 | 10 | 16 | at LAC(1506) L 10-25: -18→1493 | 18 | 17 | vs BAL(1537) W 26-24: +3→1516 |
| 3 | 17 | at NE(1421) W 21-14: +17→1502 | 11 | 15 | vs CIN(1414) W 34-12: +19→1512 | W | 18 | vs HOU(1591) L 6-30: -33→1483 |
| 4 | 16 | at MIN(1537) W 24-21: +14→1516 | 12 | 15 | at CHI(1494) L 28-31: -2→1510 | D | 18 | |
| 5 | 14 | (bye) | 13 | 18 | vs BUF(1591) L 7-26: -16→1494 | C | 18 | |
| 6 | 13 | vs CLE(1403) W 23-9: +10→1526 | 14 | 17 | at BAL(1526) W 27-22: +12→1506 | S | 18 | |
| 7 | 13 | at CIN(1434) L 31-33: -11→1515 | 15 | 17 | vs MIA(1461) W 28-15: +5→1511 | |||
| 8 | 17 | vs GB(1549) L 25-35: -22→1493 | 16 | 14 | at DET(1611) W 29-24: +19→1530 | |||
↑ San Francisco 49ers
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (-12 net) | avg. beat rating: 1469 | avg. lost to rating: 1576 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | at SEA(1520) W 17-13: +13→1495 | 9 | 14 | at NYG(1438) W 34-24: +16→1516 | 17 | 10 | vs CHI(1529) W 42-38: -0→1559 |
| 2 | 15 | at NO(1410) W 26-21: +10→1505 | 10 | 15 | vs LAR(1618) L 26-42: -21→1495 | 18 | 10 | vs SEA(1645) L 3-13: -14→1545 |
| 3 | 15 | vs ARI(1496) W 16-15: +2→1507 | 11 | 14 | at ARI(1461) W 41-22: +27→1522 | W | 9 | at PHI(1565) W 23-19: +20→1565 |
| 4 | 19 | vs JAX(1471) L 21-26: -26→1481 | 12 | 14 | vs CAR(1413) W 20-9: +2→1524 | D | 10 | at SEA(1660) L 6-41: -26→1539 |
| 5 | 17 | at LAR(1574) W 26-23: +24→1505 | 13 | 12 | at CLE(1417) W 26-8: +14→1538 | C | 10 | |
| 6 | 19 | at TB(1562) L 19-30: -13→1492 | 14 | 12 | (bye) | S | 10 | |
| 7 | 15 | vs ATL(1500) W 20-10: +15→1507 | 15 | 13 | vs TEN(1322) W 37-24: -4→1534 | |||
| 8 | 15 | at HOU(1585) L 15-26: -7→1500 | 16 | 10 | at IND(1549) W 48-27: +25→1559 | |||
↑ Seattle Seahawks
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (-98 net) | avg. beat rating: 1495 | avg. lost to rating: 1553 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | vs SF(1482) L 13-17: -13→1507 | 9 | 3 | at WAS(1495) W 38-14: +25→1624 | 17 | 1 | at CAR(1433) W 27-10: +3→1645 |
| 2 | 9 | at PIT(1533) W 31-17: +48→1555 | 10 | 4 | vs ARI(1476) W 44-22: +15→1639 | 18 | 1 | at SF(1559) W 13-3: +15→1660 |
| 3 | 5 | vs NO(1401) W 44-13: +31→1586 | 11 | 3 | at LAR(1639) L 19-21: -2→1637 | W | 1 | (bye) |
| 4 | 5 | at ARI(1494) W 23-20: +6→1592 | 12 | 4 | at TEN(1312) W 30-24: -11→1626 | D | 1 | vs SF(1565) W 41-6: +26→1686 |
| 5 | 8 | vs TB(1537) L 35-38: -25→1567 | 13 | 2 | vs MIN(1459) W 26-0: +9→1635 | C | 1 | vs LAR(1613) W 31-27: -14→1672 |
| 6 | 5 | at JAX(1514) W 20-12: +17→1584 | 14 | 2 | at ATL(1450) W 37-9: +12→1647 | S | 1 | at NE(1634) W 29-13: +29→1701 |
| 7 | 4 | vs HOU(1601) W 27-19: +15→1599 | 15 | 2 | vs IND(1543) W 18-16: -6→1641 | |||
| 8 | 6 | (bye) | 16 | 2 | vs LAR(1655) W 38-37: +1→1642 | |||
↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (-42 net) | avg. beat rating: 1469 | avg. lost to rating: 1524 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | at ATL(1448) W 23-20: +4→1543 | 9 | 8 | (bye) | 17 | 19 | at MIA(1427) L 17-20: -8→1488 |
| 2 | 8 | at HOU(1543) W 20-19: +18→1561 | 10 | 9 | vs NE(1525) L 23-28: -21→1563 | 18 | 19 | vs CAR(1429) W 16-14: -6→1482 |
| 3 | 12 | vs NYJ(1413) W 29-27: -17→1544 | 11 | 12 | at BUF(1584) L 32-44: -11→1552 | W | 19 | |
| 4 | 11 | vs PHI(1655) L 25-31: -7→1537 | 12 | 13 | at LAR(1640) L 7-34: -17→1535 | D | 19 | |
| 5 | 9 | at SEA(1592) W 38-35: +25→1562 | 13 | 13 | vs ARI(1432) W 20-17: -7→1528 | C | 19 | |
| 6 | 9 | vs SF(1505) W 30-19: +12→1574 | 14 | 16 | vs NO(1371) L 20-24: -15→1513 | S | 19 | |
| 7 | 10 | at DET(1647) L 9-24: -14→1560 | 15 | 18 | vs ATL(1437) L 28-29: -10→1503 | |||
| 8 | 10 | at NO(1390) W 23-3: +24→1584 | 16 | 18 | at CAR(1426) L 20-23: -7→1496 | |||
↑ Tennessee Titans
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1516 (+182 net) | avg. beat rating: 1494 | avg. lost to rating: 1520 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | at DEN(1569) L 12-20: +6→1390 | 9 | 32 | vs LAC(1511) L 20-27: +5→1306 | 17 | 30 | vs NO(1407) L 26-34: -11→1349 |
| 2 | 31 | vs LAR(1548) L 19-33: -19→1371 | 10 | 32 | (bye) | 18 | 31 | at JAX(1571) L 7-41: -15→1334 |
| 3 | 32 | vs IND(1493) L 20-41: -40→1331 | 11 | 32 | vs HOU(1580) L 13-16: +6→1312 | W | 31 | |
| 4 | 32 | at HOU(1504) L 0-26: -26→1305 | 12 | 32 | vs SEA(1637) L 24-30: +11→1323 | D | 31 | |
| 5 | 32 | at ARI(1488) W 22-21: +40→1345 | 13 | 32 | vs JAX(1499) L 3-25: -15→1308 | C | 31 | |
| 6 | 32 | at LV(1353) L 10-20: -15→1330 | 14 | 32 | at CLE(1402) W 31-29: +14→1322 | S | 31 | |
| 7 | 32 | vs NE(1499) L 13-31: -18→1312 | 15 | 31 | at SF(1538) L 24-37: +4→1326 | |||
| 8 | 32 | at IND(1574) L 14-38: -11→1301 | 16 | 31 | vs KC(1593) W 26-9: +34→1360 | |||
↑ Washington Commanders
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1512 (+15 net) | avg. beat rating: 1473 | avg. lost to rating: 1528 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | vs NYG(1401) W 21-6: +6→1570 | 9 | 20 | vs SEA(1599) L 14-38: -25→1470 | 17 | 26 | vs DAL(1459) L 23-30: -15→1419 |
| 2 | 10 | at GB(1585) L 18-27: -16→1554 | 10 | 21 | vs DET(1635) L 22-44: -18→1452 | 18 | 22 | at PHI(1599) W 24-17: +34→1453 |
| 3 | 9 | vs LV(1400) W 41-24: +9→1563 | 11 | 21 | at MIA(1438) L 13-16: -6→1446 | W | 22 | |
| 4 | 12 | at ATL(1438) L 27-34: -30→1533 | 12 | 22 | (bye) | D | 22 | |
| 5 | 7 | at LAC(1538) W 27-10: +43→1576 | 13 | 22 | vs DEN(1594) L 26-27: +4→1450 | C | 22 | |
| 6 | 10 | vs CHI(1462) L 24-25: -28→1548 | 14 | 25 | at MIN(1450) L 0-31: -20→1430 | S | 22 | |
| 7 | 14 | at DAL(1453) L 22-44: -39→1509 | 15 | 23 | at NYG(1428) W 29-21: +11→1441 | |||
| 8 | 16 | at KC(1642) L 7-28: -14→1495 | 16 | 23 | vs PHI(1585) L 18-29: -7→1434 | |||
↑ 2025 Season Stats and Tidbits
- Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
- 6 games (weeks 13-18) New Orleans Saints: +58 total Elo rating
- 5 games (weeks 14-18) Minnesota Vikings: +73 total Elo rating
- 3 games (weeks 16-18) Cleveland Browns: +46 total Elo rating
- 3 games (weeks 18-20) Buffalo Bills: +26 total Elo rating
- 2 games (weeks 17-18) New York Giants: +49 total Elo rating
- Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
- 9 games (weeks 9-18) Kansas City Chiefs: -137 total Elo rating
- 9 games (weeks 10-18) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: -102 total Elo rating
- 5 games (weeks 14-18) New York Jets: -75 total Elo rating
- 5 games (weeks 15-19) Green Bay Packers: -41 total Elo rating
- 3 games (weeks 17-19) Los Angeles Chargers: -18 total Elo rating
- Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
- Week 16, 267-Elo upset: Kansas City Chiefs (1593) 16-point favorites at Tennessee Titans (1326): Titans win 26-9
- Week 13, 246-Elo upset: Los Angeles Rams (1657) 13-point favorites at Carolina Panthers (1411): Panthers win 31-28
- Week 6, 245-Elo upset: Philadelphia Eagles (1633) 7-point favorites at New York Giants (1388): Giants win 34-17
- Week 3, 233-Elo upset: Green Bay Packers (1601) 11-point favorites at Cleveland Browns (1368): Browns win 13-10
- Week 18, 226-Elo upset: Kansas City Chiefs (1543) 11-point favorites at Las Vegas Raiders (1317): Raiders win 14-12
- Week 10, 212-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1617) 5-point favorites at Miami Dolphins (1405): Dolphins win 30-13
- Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
- Week 16, 33-point differential: Kansas City Chiefs (1593) 16-point favorites vs Tennessee Titans (1326): Titans win 26-9
- Week 5, 39-point differential: Baltimore Ravens (1587) 5-point favorites vs Houston Texans (1531): Texans win 44-10
- Week 8, 33-point differential: Atlanta Falcons (1485) 9-point favorites vs Miami Dolphins (1380): Dolphins win 34-10
- Week 3, 38-point differential: Cincinnati Bengals (1536) Tossup favorites vs Minnesota Vikings (1466): Vikings win 48-10
- Week 13, 28-point differential: Baltimore Ravens (1557) 10-point favorites vs Cincinnati Bengals (1396): Bengals win 32-14
- Most Improved Elo on the Season:
- +203: New England Patriots (1402) before week 1 → (1606) thru week 22
- +181: Seattle Seahawks (1520) before week 1 → (1701) thru week 22
- +144: Jacksonville Jaguars (1428) before week 1 → (1572) thru week 19
- +83: Los Angeles Rams (1543) before week 1 → (1627) thru week 21
- +78: Carolina Panthers (1374) before week 1 → (1452) thru week 19
more...
- +67: Chicago Bears (1461) before week 1 → (1528) thru week 20
- +65: Indianapolis Colts (1448) before week 1 → (1512) thru week 18
- +63: New York Giants (1401) before week 1 → (1463) thru week 18
- +57: San Francisco 49ers (1482) before week 1 → (1539) thru week 20
- +56: Houston Texans (1548) before week 1 → (1604) thru week 20
- +39: Cleveland Browns (1387) before week 1 → (1426) thru week 18
- +26: Atlanta Falcons (1448) before week 1 → (1473) thru week 18
- +6: New Orleans Saints (1418) before week 1 → (1424) thru week 18
- +6: Denver Broncos (1569) before week 1 → (1574) thru week 21
- +3: Minnesota Vikings (1520) before week 1 → (1524) thru week 18
- +0: Dallas Cowboys (1449) before week 1 → (1449) thru week 18
- -7: Buffalo Bills (1620) before week 1 → (1614) thru week 20
- -17: Los Angeles Chargers (1531) before week 1 → (1514) thru week 19
- -33: Green Bay Packers (1567) before week 1 → (1535) thru week 19
- -40: Detroit Lions (1617) before week 1 → (1577) thru week 18
- -41: Kansas City Chiefs (1559) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 18
- -47: Pittsburgh Steelers (1530) before week 1 → (1483) thru week 19
- -50: Tennessee Titans (1384) before week 1 → (1334) thru week 18
- -56: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1539) before week 1 → (1482) thru week 18
- -58: Miami Dolphins (1477) before week 1 → (1419) thru week 18
- -67: Las Vegas Raiders (1408) before week 1 → (1341) thru week 18
- -100: Cincinnati Bengals (1546) before week 1 → (1446) thru week 18
- -106: Arizona Cardinals (1502) before week 1 → (1396) thru week 18
- -109: Baltimore Ravens (1644) before week 1 → (1535) thru week 18
- -110: Washington Commanders (1564) before week 1 → (1453) thru week 18
- -117: New York Jets (1450) before week 1 → (1334) thru week 18
- -120: Philadelphia Eagles (1665) before week 1 → (1545) thru week 19
- Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
- -120: Philadelphia Eagles (1665) before week 1 → (1545) thru week 19
- -117: New York Jets (1450) before week 1 → (1334) thru week 18
- -110: Washington Commanders (1564) before week 1 → (1453) thru week 18
- -109: Baltimore Ravens (1644) before week 1 → (1535) thru week 18
- -106: Arizona Cardinals (1502) before week 1 → (1396) thru week 18
more...
- -100: Cincinnati Bengals (1546) before week 1 → (1446) thru week 18
- -67: Las Vegas Raiders (1408) before week 1 → (1341) thru week 18
- -58: Miami Dolphins (1477) before week 1 → (1419) thru week 18
- -56: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1539) before week 1 → (1482) thru week 18
- -50: Tennessee Titans (1384) before week 1 → (1334) thru week 18
- -47: Pittsburgh Steelers (1530) before week 1 → (1483) thru week 19
- -41: Kansas City Chiefs (1559) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 18
- -40: Detroit Lions (1617) before week 1 → (1577) thru week 18
- -33: Green Bay Packers (1567) before week 1 → (1535) thru week 19
- -17: Los Angeles Chargers (1531) before week 1 → (1514) thru week 19
- -7: Buffalo Bills (1620) before week 1 → (1614) thru week 20
- -0: Dallas Cowboys (1449) before week 1 → (1449) thru week 18
- +3: Minnesota Vikings (1520) before week 1 → (1524) thru week 18
- +6: Denver Broncos (1569) before week 1 → (1574) thru week 21
- +6: New Orleans Saints (1418) before week 1 → (1424) thru week 18
- +26: Atlanta Falcons (1448) before week 1 → (1473) thru week 18
- +39: Cleveland Browns (1387) before week 1 → (1426) thru week 18
- +56: Houston Texans (1548) before week 1 → (1604) thru week 20
- +57: San Francisco 49ers (1482) before week 1 → (1539) thru week 20
- +63: New York Giants (1401) before week 1 → (1463) thru week 18
- +65: Indianapolis Colts (1448) before week 1 → (1512) thru week 18
- +67: Chicago Bears (1461) before week 1 → (1528) thru week 20
- +78: Carolina Panthers (1374) before week 1 → (1452) thru week 19
- +83: Los Angeles Rams (1543) before week 1 → (1627) thru week 21
- +144: Jacksonville Jaguars (1428) before week 1 → (1572) thru week 19
- +181: Seattle Seahawks (1520) before week 1 → (1701) thru week 22
- +203: New England Patriots (1402) before week 1 → (1606) thru week 22
- Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
- +148: New England Patriots (1404) before week 4 → (1552) thru week 11
- +138: Indianapolis Colts (1448) before week 1 → (1586) thru week 8
- +123: Jacksonville Jaguars (1463) before week 11 → (1586) thru week 18
- +118: Seattle Seahawks (1507) before week 2 → (1624) thru week 9
- +108: Kansas City Chiefs (1548) before week 3 → (1656) thru week 8
more...
- +106: Los Angeles Rams (1551) before week 6 → (1657) thru week 12
- +96: Houston Texans (1504) before week 4 → (1601) thru week 5
- +83: Detroit Lions (1598) before week 2 → (1682) thru week 5
- +81: Dallas Cowboys (1412) before week 4 → (1493) thru week 7
- +81: Chicago Bears (1416) before week 3 → (1497) thru week 7
- +81: Miami Dolphins (1380) before week 8 → (1461) thru week 14
- +80: Carolina Panthers (1361) before week 2 → (1440) thru week 3
- +73: Minnesota Vikings (1450) before week 14 → (1524) thru week 18
- +70: Cincinnati Bengals (1394) before week 12 → (1465) thru week 17
- +68: Baltimore Ravens (1489) before week 7 → (1557) thru week 12
- +67: New York Giants (1384) before week 4 → (1451) thru week 7
- +64: Cleveland Browns (1368) before week 3 → (1431) thru week 7
- +64: San Francisco 49ers (1495) before week 11 → (1559) thru week 16
- +63: Atlanta Falcons (1438) before week 4 → (1500) thru week 6
- +61: Denver Broncos (1544) before week 4 → (1606) thru week 5
- +59: Tennessee Titans (1301) before week 9 → (1360) thru week 16
- +58: New Orleans Saints (1366) before week 13 → (1424) thru week 18
- +51: Los Angeles Chargers (1473) before week 8 → (1524) thru week 10
- +47: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1537) before week 5 → (1584) thru week 8
- +42: Buffalo Bills (1575) before week 7 → (1617) thru week 9
- +41: Pittsburgh Steelers (1485) before week 3 → (1526) thru week 6
- +39: Philadelphia Eagles (1582) before week 7 → (1621) thru week 11
- +35: Green Bay Packers (1541) before week 11 → (1576) thru week 14
- +31: New York Jets (1382) before week 8 → (1412) thru week 10
- +28: Arizona Cardinals (1447) before week 6 → (1476) thru week 9
- +24: Washington Commanders (1430) before week 15 → (1453) thru week 18
- +18: Las Vegas Raiders (1323) before week 16 → (1341) thru week 18
- Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
- -170: Baltimore Ravens (1659) before week 3 → (1489) thru week 6
- -132: Cincinnati Bengals (1546) before week 2 → (1414) thru week 9
- -130: Washington Commanders (1576) before week 6 → (1446) thru week 11
- -119: Kansas City Chiefs (1637) before week 12 → (1518) thru week 18
- -97: Miami Dolphins (1477) before week 1 → (1380) thru week 7
more...
- -93: Los Angeles Chargers (1566) before week 4 → (1473) thru week 7
- -89: Tennessee Titans (1390) before week 2 → (1301) thru week 8
- -88: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1584) before week 9 → (1496) thru week 16
- -83: Buffalo Bills (1658) before week 3 → (1575) thru week 6
- -83: Philadelphia Eagles (1665) before week 1 → (1582) thru week 6
- -82: Detroit Lions (1653) before week 11 → (1571) thru week 17
- -81: Arizona Cardinals (1476) before week 10 → (1395) thru week 17
- -79: New York Jets (1412) before week 11 → (1334) thru week 18
- -74: Las Vegas Raiders (1422) before week 2 → (1348) thru week 7
- -73: Atlanta Falcons (1504) before week 3 → (1431) thru week 8
- -70: Minnesota Vikings (1537) before week 4 → (1467) thru week 8
- -63: Indianapolis Colts (1586) before week 9 → (1523) thru week 16
- -61: Green Bay Packers (1601) before week 3 → (1541) thru week 10
- -52: Jacksonville Jaguars (1514) before week 6 → (1462) thru week 9
- -52: New Orleans Saints (1418) before week 1 → (1366) thru week 8
- -51: Cleveland Browns (1431) before week 8 → (1380) thru week 15
- -47: Pittsburgh Steelers (1530) before week 17 → (1483) thru week 19
- -46: Dallas Cowboys (1458) before week 2 → (1412) thru week 3
- -45: Carolina Panthers (1440) before week 4 → (1395) thru week 5
- -44: Chicago Bears (1461) before week 1 → (1416) thru week 2
- -44: Houston Texans (1548) before week 1 → (1504) thru week 3
- -44: Los Angeles Rams (1657) before week 13 → (1613) thru week 20
- -36: Denver Broncos (1604) before week 10 → (1568) thru week 16
- -35: New York Giants (1451) before week 8 → (1416) thru week 15
- -24: San Francisco 49ers (1505) before week 3 → (1481) thru week 4
- -19: Seattle Seahawks (1586) before week 4 → (1567) thru week 5
- -14: New England Patriots (1620) before week 21 → (1606) thru week 22
- Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
- Detroit Lions: 1522
- Kansas City Chiefs: 1518
- New York Giants: 1516
- Tennessee Titans: 1516
- Minnesota Vikings: 1515
more...
- Washington Commanders: 1512
- Cleveland Browns: 1511
- Arizona Cardinals: 1510
- Los Angeles Rams: 1509
- Indianapolis Colts: 1507
- Las Vegas Raiders: 1505
- Seattle Seahawks: 1505
- Green Bay Packers: 1504
- Chicago Bears: 1502
- Dallas Cowboys: 1501
- San Francisco 49ers: 1501
- New York Jets: 1500
- Baltimore Ravens: 1499
- Philadelphia Eagles: 1499
- Houston Texans: 1499
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1498
- Cincinnati Bengals: 1497
- Denver Broncos: 1495
- Pittsburgh Steelers: 1495
- Atlanta Falcons: 1495
- Los Angeles Chargers: 1492
- Jacksonville Jaguars: 1490
- Carolina Panthers: 1488
- New Orleans Saints: 1485
- Buffalo Bills: 1484
- Miami Dolphins: 1473
- New England Patriots: 1457
- Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
- New England Patriots: 1457
- Miami Dolphins: 1473
- Buffalo Bills: 1484
- New Orleans Saints: 1485
- Carolina Panthers: 1488
more...
- Jacksonville Jaguars: 1490
- Los Angeles Chargers: 1492
- Atlanta Falcons: 1495
- Pittsburgh Steelers: 1495
- Denver Broncos: 1495
- Cincinnati Bengals: 1497
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1498
- Houston Texans: 1499
- Philadelphia Eagles: 1499
- Baltimore Ravens: 1499
- New York Jets: 1500
- San Francisco 49ers: 1501
- Dallas Cowboys: 1501
- Chicago Bears: 1502
- Green Bay Packers: 1504
- Seattle Seahawks: 1505
- Las Vegas Raiders: 1505
- Indianapolis Colts: 1507
- Los Angeles Rams: 1509
- Arizona Cardinals: 1510
- Cleveland Browns: 1511
- Washington Commanders: 1512
- Minnesota Vikings: 1515
- Tennessee Titans: 1516
- New York Giants: 1516
- Kansas City Chiefs: 1518
- Detroit Lions: 1522
- Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
- Kansas City Chiefs: 1525
- Green Bay Packers: 1515
- Philadelphia Eagles: 1512
- Atlanta Falcons: 1511
- Minnesota Vikings: 1506
more...
- New York Giants: 1503
- Los Angeles Rams: 1500
- Carolina Panthers: 1497
- Seattle Seahawks: 1495
- Pittsburgh Steelers: 1495
- Tennessee Titans: 1494
- Detroit Lions: 1493
- Denver Broncos: 1489
- Dallas Cowboys: 1488
- Houston Texans: 1480
- Los Angeles Chargers: 1479
- Buffalo Bills: 1478
- Chicago Bears: 1475
- Washington Commanders: 1473
- Cleveland Browns: 1472
- San Francisco 49ers: 1469
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1469
- Jacksonville Jaguars: 1465
- Miami Dolphins: 1465
- Cincinnati Bengals: 1463
- Baltimore Ravens: 1453
- New England Patriots: 1449
- New York Jets: 1438
- Indianapolis Colts: 1437
- Las Vegas Raiders: 1430
- New Orleans Saints: 1423
- Arizona Cardinals: 1418
- Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
- Arizona Cardinals: 1418
- New Orleans Saints: 1423
- Las Vegas Raiders: 1430
- Indianapolis Colts: 1437
- New York Jets: 1438
more...
- New England Patriots: 1449
- Baltimore Ravens: 1453
- Cincinnati Bengals: 1463
- Miami Dolphins: 1465
- Jacksonville Jaguars: 1465
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1469
- San Francisco 49ers: 1469
- Cleveland Browns: 1472
- Washington Commanders: 1473
- Chicago Bears: 1475
- Buffalo Bills: 1478
- Los Angeles Chargers: 1479
- Houston Texans: 1480
- Dallas Cowboys: 1488
- Denver Broncos: 1489
- Detroit Lions: 1493
- Tennessee Titans: 1494
- Pittsburgh Steelers: 1495
- Seattle Seahawks: 1495
- Carolina Panthers: 1497
- Los Angeles Rams: 1500
- New York Giants: 1503
- Minnesota Vikings: 1506
- Atlanta Falcons: 1511
- Philadelphia Eagles: 1512
- Green Bay Packers: 1515
- Kansas City Chiefs: 1525
↑ 2025 Season Model Accuracy
| Week | Winners Picked | Running Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12-4 (12/16, 75.0%) | 12-4 (12/16, 75.0%) |
| 2 | 11-5 (11/16, 68.75%) | 23-9 (23/32, 71.88%) |
| 3 | 11-5 (11/16, 68.75%) | 34-14 (34/48, 70.83%) |
| 4 | 10-5 (10/15, 66.67%) | 44-19 (44/63, 69.84%) |
| 5 | 5-9 (5/14, 35.71%) | 49-28 (49/77, 63.64%) |
| 6 | 10-5 (10/15, 66.67%) | 59-33 (59/92, 64.13%) |
| 7 | 12-3 (12/15, 80.0%) | 71-36 (71/107, 66.36%) |
| 8 | 10-3 (10/13, 76.92%) | 81-39 (81/120, 67.5%) |
| 9 | 9-5 (9/14, 64.29%) | 90-44 (90/134, 67.16%) |
| 10 | 11-3 (11/14, 78.57%) | 101-47 (101/148, 68.24%) |
| 11 | 9-6 (9/15, 60.0%) | 110-53 (110/163, 67.48%) |
| 12 | 12-2 (12/14, 85.71%) | 122-55 (122/177, 68.93%) |
| 13 | 9-7 (9/16, 56.25%) | 131-62 (131/193, 67.88%) |
| 14 | 8-6 (8/14, 57.14%) | 139-68 (139/207, 67.15%) |
| 15 | 10-6 (10/16, 62.5%) | 149-74 (149/223, 66.82%) |
| 16 | 7-9 (7/16, 43.75%) | 156-83 (156/239, 65.27%) |
| 17 | 7-9 (7/16, 43.75%) | 163-92 (163/255, 63.92%) |
| 18 | 13-3 (13/16, 81.25%) | 176-95 (176/271, 64.94%) |
| W | 4-2 (4/6, 66.67%) | 180-97 (180/277, 64.98%) |
| D | 4-0 (4/4, 100.0%) | 184-97 (184/281, 65.48%) |
| C | 1-1 (1/2, 50.0%) | 185-98 (185/283, 65.37%) |
| S | 1-0 (1/1, 100.0%) | 186-98 (186/284, 65.49%) |
↑ Introduction and Background
This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.
The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.
In applying Elo ratings to football, we can consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the FAQ page for more background.
This Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 1994 through 2025. Over that span it correctly picks winners in 65.63% of games, trailing the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.64% (according to covers.com/sportsoddshistory). This model also does well compared to the average picker at NFL Picks Page. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.
Have more questions? See the FAQ page.
Elo rating details:
- An "average" rating is 1500.
- For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
- Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- division alignment (whether a game is a division matchup),
- whether a game is meaningless with respect to playoff seeding,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
- The losing team can gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
- The winning team can lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
- Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
- Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
- Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 1992 season — although only the last ~20 games have any real impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 1992 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 1992 and 1993 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 1994 season.
- While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 1991 or older seasons in the model search process, nor to publish 2019 or older seasons.
- If you see an unequal number of Elo rating points moved from one team to another after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.
2026 Updates
- 2026 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- A new "v4.2026.04" model was found, and it's the most accurate model yet. It also fixes the misbehavior of last year's "v3.2025.06" model. See more details in the 2026 preseason blog post.
2025 Updates
- 2026-01-03 - Reverted to last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See the 2025 blog post for more details. The "v3.2025.06" 2025 rankings are available here.
- 2025 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- An improved "v3.2025.06" model was found after a much bigger automated model search where 10 million models were evaluated for each of the regular, "never lose Elo for a win," and "blank slate" model types. The new "v3.2025.06" model is a "regular" model, and was more accurate than the new best found "never lose Elo for a win" and "blank slate" models. It picks a net 2.3 more game winners correctly per season from 1994 through 2024 than last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See more details in the 2025 preseason blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2025. There are links to the frozen pages near the top of the above linked blog post.
2024 Updates
- 2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
- 2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
- 2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).
2023 Updates
- 2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
- 2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
- the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
- the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
- the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
- the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
- the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
- the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
- 2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
- 2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
- the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
- the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
- the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
- the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
- the Lions move from 10th to 9th
- the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
- 2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
- 2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
- 2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
- 2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
- 2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
- 2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I
was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model.
I wrote a little more background on my
blog post.
Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
- 2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
- 2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous
seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the
"offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears
to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season.
Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013:
the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of
incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.
With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves. - 2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
- 2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
- 2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased
its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my
eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made
in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the
Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.
These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).
As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc. - 2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.
These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.
The schedule on this page is derived from Pro-Football-Reference.com, with weekly scores data from nflverse and some hand-entered scores.
The data on these pages was at one point derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages. I donate to Wikipedia annually. If you value free access to information on the web, or have recently found Wikipedia useful, I encourage you to do so as well.
If you enjoy reading these power rankings, check out the discussion in my weekly posts in the r/nfl subreddit or leave a small tip. Thanks!
© 2026 Phil Thompson
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