NFL Elo Power Rankings 2023

This is the 2023 "v3.2025.06" page

This page shows ratings and rankings used for weeks 1-17 of the 2025 season. Following week 17, the main rankings page was reverted to the "v2.2024.07" model. See the 2025 blog post for more details. The "v2.2024.07" 2025 rankings are available here.

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the 2024 preseason blog post for more background.

This Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 1994 through 2024. Over that span it correctly picks winners in 65.84% of games, trailing the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.63% (according to sportsoddshistory.com), though it did meet or exceed Vegas's pick rate in 8 of the past 14 seasons. This model also does well compared to the average picker at NFL Picks Page. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

Have more questions? See the FAQ page.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- division alignment (whether a game is a division matchup),
- whether a game is meaningless with respect to playoff seeding,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team *can* gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team *can* lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 2010 season — although only the last ~20 games have any impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 2010 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 2010 and 2011 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 2012 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 2009 and older seasons in the ratings.
If you see an unequal number of rating points exchanged after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2025 Updates

2026-01-03 - Reverted to last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See the 2025 blog post for more details. The "v3.2025.06" 2025 rankings are available here.
2025 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- An improved "v3.2025.06" model was found after a much bigger automated model search where 10 million models were evaluated for each of the regular, "never lose Elo for a win," and "blank slate" model types. The new "v3.2025.06" model is a "regular" model, and was more accurate than the new best found "never lose Elo for a win" and "blank slate" models. It picks a net 2.3 more game winners correctly per season from 1994 through 2024 than last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See more details in the 2025 preseason blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2025. There are links to the frozen pages near the top of the above linked blog post.

2024 Updates

2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

Contents

Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl
Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship
Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional
Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard
Power Rankings After Week 18
Power Rankings After Week 17
Power Rankings After Week 16
Power Rankings After Week 15
Power Rankings After Week 14
Power Rankings After Week 13
Power Rankings After Week 12
Power Rankings After Week 11
Power Rankings After Week 10
Power Rankings After Week 9
Power Rankings After Week 8
Power Rankings After Week 7
Power Rankings After Week 6
Power Rankings After Week 5
Power Rankings After Week 4
Power Rankings After Week 3
Power Rankings After Week 2
Power Rankings After Week 1
Power Rankings Before Week 1
2023 Season Summaries by Team
2023 Season Stats and Tidbits
2023 Season Model Accuracy

← 2022 Season NFL Elo Home 2024 Season →

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1648	14-5
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1637 (-1)	15-6
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1623): W 25-22(OT): 1638-1→1637
3	San Francisco 49ersSF	1624 (+1)	14-6
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1638): L 22-25(OT): 1623+1→1624
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1613	12-7
5	Miami DolphinsMIA	1598	11-7
6	Dallas CowboysDAL	1596	12-6
7	Green Bay PackersGB	1568	10-9
8	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1566	10-8
9	Detroit LionsDET	1546	14-6
10	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1528	10-8
11	New Orleans SaintsNO	1527	9-8
12	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1525	9-8
13	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1517	11-7
14	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1509	10-9
15	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1493	11-7
16	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1493	9-8
17	Houston TexansHOU	1492	11-8
18	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1492	9-8
19	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1481	7-10
20	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1475	8-9
21	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1467	5-12
22	Chicago BearsCHI	1462	7-10
23	Denver BroncosDEN	1462	8-9
24	New York GiantsNYG	1442	6-11
25	New York JetsNYJ	1438	7-10
26	Tennessee TitansTEN	1432	6-11
27	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1417	9-8
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1416	7-10
29	New England PatriotsNE	1411	4-13
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1409	4-13
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1367	4-13
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1346	2-15

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1648 (-29)	14-5
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1608): L 10-17: 1677-29→1648
2 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1638 (+30)	14-6	at SF (1623): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1677): W 17-10: 1608+30→1638
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1623): Slight favorite
3 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1623 (-23)	14-5	at KC (1638): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1523): W 34-31: 1646-23→1623
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1638): Slight underdog
4 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1613	12-7
5	Miami DolphinsMIA	1598	11-7
6	Dallas CowboysDAL	1596	12-6
7	Green Bay PackersGB	1568	10-9
8	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1566	10-8
9 (+3)	Detroit LionsDET	1546 (+23)	14-6
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1646): L 31-34: 1523+23→1546
10 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1528	10-8
11 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1527	9-8
12 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1525	9-8
13	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1517	11-7
14	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1509	10-9
15	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1493	11-7
16	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1493	9-8
17	Houston TexansHOU	1492	11-8
18	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1492	9-8
19	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1481	7-10
20	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1475	8-9
21	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1467	5-12
22	Chicago BearsCHI	1462	7-10
23	Denver BroncosDEN	1462	8-9
24	New York GiantsNYG	1442	6-11
25	New York JetsNYJ	1438	7-10
26	Tennessee TitansTEN	1432	6-11
27	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1417	9-8
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1416	7-10
29	New England PatriotsNE	1411	4-13
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1409	4-13
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1367	4-13
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1346	2-15

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1677 (-7)	14-4	vs KC (1608): Win by 23
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1486): W 34-10: 1684-7→1677
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1608): Win by 23 points
2	San Francisco 49ersSF	1646 (-27)	13-5	vs DET (1523): Win by 30
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1542): W 24-21: 1673-27→1646
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1523): Win by 30 points
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1613 (-32)	12-7
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1576): L 24-27: 1645-32→1613
4 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1608 (+32)	13-6	at BAL (1677): Lose by 23
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1645): W 27-24: 1576+32→1608
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1677): Lose by 23 points
5 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1598	11-7
6 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1596	12-6
7 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1568 (+26)	10-9
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1673): L 21-24: 1542+26→1568
8 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1566	10-8
9 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1528	10-8
10 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1527	9-8
11 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1525	9-8
12 (-3)	Detroit LionsDET	1523 (-19)	14-5	at SF (1646): Lose by 30
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1490): W 31-23: 1542-19→1523
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1646): Lose by 30 points
13	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1517	11-7
14 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1509 (+19)	10-9
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1542): L 23-31: 1490+19→1509
15 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1493	11-7
16 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1493	9-8
17 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1492 (+6)	11-8
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1684): L 10-34: 1486+6→1492
18 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1492	9-8
19	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1481	7-10
20	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1475	8-9
21	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1467	5-12
22	Chicago BearsCHI	1462	7-10
23	Denver BroncosDEN	1462	8-9
24	New York GiantsNYG	1442	6-11
25	New York JetsNYJ	1438	7-10
26	Tennessee TitansTEN	1432	6-11
27	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1417	9-8
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1416	7-10
29	New England PatriotsNE	1411	4-13
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1409	4-13
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1367	4-13
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1346	2-15

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1684	13-4	vs HOU (1486): Win by 37
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1486): Win by 37 points
2	San Francisco 49ersSF	1673	12-5	vs GB (1542): Win by 37
prev: (bye)
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1542): Win by 37 points
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1645 (-14)	12-6	vs KC (1576): Win by 32
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1513): W 31-17: 1659-14→1645
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1576): Win by 32 points
4 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1598 (+10)	11-7
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1586): L 7-26: 1588+10→1598
5 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1596 (-50)	12-6
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1492): L 32-48: 1646-50→1596
6	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1576 (-10)	12-6	at BUF (1645): Lose by 32
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1588): W 26-7: 1586-10→1576
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1645): Lose by 32 points
7 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1566 (+29)	10-8
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1570): L 23-24: 1537+29→1566
8 (+8)	Green Bay PackersGB	1542 (+50)	10-8	at SF (1673): Lose by 37
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1646): W 48-32: 1492+50→1542
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1673): Lose by 37 points
9 (-2)	Detroit LionsDET	1542 (-28)	13-5	vs TB (1490): Win by 31
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1537): W 24-23: 1570-28→1542
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1490): Win by 31 points
10 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1528 (+15)	10-8
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1659): L 17-31: 1513+15→1528
11 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1527	9-8
12 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1525	9-8
13	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1517 (+7)	11-7
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1497): L 9-32: 1510+7→1517
14 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1493 (-22)	11-7
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1464): L 14-45: 1515-22→1493
15	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1493	9-8
16 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1492	9-8
17 (-3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1490 (-7)	10-8	at DET (1542): Lose by 31
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1510): W 32-9: 1497-7→1490
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1542): Lose by 31 points
18 (+3)	Houston TexansHOU	1486 (+22)	11-7	at BAL (1684): Lose by 37
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1515): W 45-14: 1464+22→1486
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1684): Lose by 37 points
19 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1481	7-10
20 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1475	8-9
21 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1467	5-12
22	Chicago BearsCHI	1462	7-10
23	Denver BroncosDEN	1462	8-9
24	New York GiantsNYG	1442	6-11
25	New York JetsNYJ	1438	7-10
26	Tennessee TitansTEN	1432	6-11
27	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1417	9-8
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1416	7-10
29	New England PatriotsNE	1411	4-13
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1409	4-13
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1367	4-13
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1346	2-15

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1684 (-38)	13-4	bye
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1475): L 10-17: 1722-38→1684
next: (bye)
2	San Francisco 49ersSF	1673 (-31)	12-5	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1506): L 20-21: 1704-31→1673
next: (bye)
3 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1659 (+14)	11-6	vs PIT (1513): Win by 37
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1602): W 21-14: 1645+14→1659
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1513): Win by 37 points
4 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1646 (-1)	12-5	vs GB (1492): Win by 37
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1367): W 38-10: 1647-1→1646
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1492): Win by 37 points
5	Miami DolphinsMIA	1588 (-14)	11-6	at KC (1586): Lose by 37
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1645): L 14-21: 1602-14→1588
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1586): Lose by 37 points
6 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1586 (+9)	11-6	vs MIA (1588): Win by 37
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1477): W 13-12: 1577+9→1586
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1588): Win by 37 points
7 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1570 (-15)	12-5	vs LAR (1537): Win by 37
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1466): W 30-20: 1585-15→1570
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1537): Win by 37 points
8 (+5)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1537 (+31)	10-7	at DET (1570): Lose by 37
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1704): W 21-20: 1506+31→1537
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1570): Lose by 37 points
9 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1527 (+4)	9-8
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1420): W 48-17: 1523+4→1527
10 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1525 (-2)	9-8
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1513): W 31-14: 1527-2→1525
11	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1515 (+2)	11-6	at HOU (1464): Lose by 6
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1527): L 14-31: 1513+2→1515
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1464): Lose by 6 points
12 (+7)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1513 (+38)	10-7	at BUF (1659): Lose by 37
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1722): W 17-10: 1475+38→1513
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1659): Lose by 37 points
13 (-5)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1510 (-33)	11-6	at TB (1497): Lose by 36
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1409): L 10-27: 1543-33→1510
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1497): Lose by 36 points
14 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1497 (-7)	9-8	vs PHI (1510): Win by 36
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1340): W 9-0: 1504-7→1497
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1510): Win by 36 points
15 (-3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1493 (-14)	9-8
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1418): L 20-28: 1507-14→1493
16 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1492 (-12)	9-8	at DAL (1646): Lose by 37
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1450): W 17-9: 1504-12→1492
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1646): Lose by 37 points
17 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1492 (+2)	9-8
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1411): W 21-20: 1490+2→1492
18 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1481 (+15)	7-10
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1585): L 20-30: 1466+15→1481
19 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1475	8-9
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1462): W 27-14: 1475+0→1475
20 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1467 (-10)	5-12
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1577): L 12-13: 1477-10→1467
21 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1464 (+14)	10-7	vs CLE (1515): Win by 6
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1432): W 23-19: 1450+14→1464
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1515): Win by 6 points
22	Chicago BearsCHI	1462 (+12)	7-10
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1504): L 9-17: 1450+12→1462
23 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1462	8-9
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1475): L 14-27: 1462-0→1462
24 (+5)	New York GiantsNYG	1442 (+33)	6-11
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1543): W 27-10: 1409+33→1442
25 (+5)	New York JetsNYJ	1438 (+37)	7-10
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1448): W 17-3: 1401+37→1438
26 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1432 (+14)	6-11
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1507): W 28-20: 1418+14→1432
27 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1417 (-15)	9-8
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1450): L 19-23: 1432-15→1417
28 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1416 (-4)	7-10
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1523): L 17-48: 1420-4→1416
29 (-5)	New England PatriotsNE	1411 (-37)	4-13
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1401): L 3-17: 1448-37→1411
30 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1409 (-2)	4-13
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1490): L 20-21: 1411-2→1409
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1367	4-13
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1647): L 10-38: 1367+0→1367
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1346 (+6)	2-15
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1504): L 0-9: 1340+6→1346

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1722 (+12)	13-3	vs PIT (1475): Win by 32
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1615): W 56-19: 1710+12→1722
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1475): Win by 32 points
2 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1704 (-10)	12-4	vs LAR (1506): Win by 28
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1357): W 27-10: 1714-10→1704
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1506): Win by 28 points
3 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1647 (-18)	11-5	at WAS (1367): Win by 29
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1567): W 20-19: 1665-18→1647
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1367): Win by 29 points
4 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1645 (-21)	10-6	at MIA (1602): Lose by 5
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1428): W 27-21: 1666-21→1645
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1602): Lose by 5 points
5	Miami DolphinsMIA	1602 (-13)	11-5	vs BUF (1645): Win by 5
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1710): L 19-56: 1615-13→1602
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1645): Win by 5 points
6 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1585 (+18)	11-5	vs MIN (1466): Win by 27
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1665): L 19-20: 1567+18→1585
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1466): Win by 27 points
7 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1577 (-6)	10-6	at LAC (1477): Lose by 6
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1521): W 25-17: 1583-6→1577
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1477): Lose by 6 points
8 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1543 (-33)	11-5	at NYG (1409): Win by 10
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1378): L 31-35: 1576-33→1543
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1409): Win by 10 points
9 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1527 (+6)	8-8	vs CLE (1513): Win by 20
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1583): L 17-25: 1521+6→1527
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1513): Win by 20 points
10 (+6)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1523 (+24)	8-8	vs ATL (1420): Win by 25
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1527): W 23-13: 1499+24→1523
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1420): Win by 25 points
11 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1513 (-2)	11-5	at CIN (1527): Lose by 20
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1399): W 37-20: 1515-2→1513
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1527): Lose by 20 points
12 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1507 (+1)	9-7	at TEN (1418): Win by 4
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1341): W 26-0: 1506+1→1507
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1418): Win by 4 points
13	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1506 (-8)	9-7	at SF (1704): Lose by 28
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1401): W 26-25: 1514-8→1506
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1704): Lose by 28 points
14 (+5)	Green Bay PackersGB	1504 (+40)	8-8	vs CHI (1450): Win by 19
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): W 33-10: 1464+40→1504
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1450): Win by 19 points
15 (-6)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1504 (-23)	8-8	at CAR (1340): Win by 15
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1499): L 13-23: 1527-23→1504
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1340): Win by 15 points
16 (-5)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1490 (-27)	8-8	at ARI (1411): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1448): L 23-30: 1517-27→1490
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1411): Slight favorite
17	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1477 (-4)	5-11	vs KC (1577): Win by 6
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1459): L 9-16: 1481-4→1477
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1577): Win by 6 points
18	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1475 (-3)	7-9	vs DEN (1462): Win by 13
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1429): L 20-23: 1478-3→1475
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1462): Win by 13 points
19 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1475 (+27)	9-7	at BAL (1722): Lose by 32
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1517): W 30-23: 1448+27→1475
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1722): Lose by 32 points
20 (-5)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1466 (-39)	7-9	at DET (1585): Lose by 27
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1464): L 10-33: 1505-39→1466
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1585): Lose by 27 points
21 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1462 (+3)	8-8	at LV (1475): Lose by 13
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1481): W 16-9: 1459+3→1462
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1475): Lose by 13 points
22 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1450 (+15)	7-9	at GB (1504): Lose by 19
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1435): W 37-17: 1435+15→1450
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1504): Lose by 19 points
23 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1450 (+19)	9-7	at IND (1432): Lose by 9
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1436): W 26-3: 1431+19→1450
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1432): Lose by 9 points
24 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1448 (+20)	4-12	vs NYJ (1401): Win by 16
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1666): L 21-27: 1428+20→1448
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1401): Win by 16 points
25 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1432 (+3)	9-7	vs HOU (1450): Win by 9
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1478): W 23-20: 1429+3→1432
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1450): Win by 9 points
26 (-3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1420 (-15)	7-9	at NO (1523): Lose by 25
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1435): L 17-37: 1435-15→1420
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1523): Lose by 25 points
27 (-5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1418 (-18)	5-11	vs JAX (1507): Lose by 4
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1431): L 3-26: 1436-18→1418
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1507): Lose by 4 points
28 (+2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1411 (+33)	4-12	vs SEA (1490): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1576): W 35-31: 1378+33→1411
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1490): Slight underdog
29 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1409 (+8)	5-11	vs PHI (1543): Lose by 10
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1514): L 25-26: 1401+8→1409
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1543): Lose by 10 points
30 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1401 (+2)	6-10	at NE (1448): Lose by 16
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1515): L 20-37: 1399+2→1401
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1448): Lose by 16 points
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1367 (+10)	4-12	vs DAL (1647): Lose by 29
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1714): L 10-27: 1357+10→1367
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1647): Lose by 29 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1340 (-1)	2-14	vs TB (1504): Lose by 15
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1506): L 0-26: 1341-1→1340
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1504): Lose by 15 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1714 (-33)	11-4	at WAS (1357): Win by 30
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1676): L 19-33: 1747-33→1714
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1357): Win by 30 points
2 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1710 (+34)	12-3	vs MIA (1615): Win by 17
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1747): W 33-19: 1676+34→1710
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1615): Win by 17 points
3 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1666 (-14)	9-6	vs NE (1428): Win by 25
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1467): W 24-22: 1680-14→1666
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1428): Win by 25 points
4	Dallas CowboysDAL	1665 (-4)	10-5	vs DET (1567): Win by 17
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1610): L 20-22: 1669-4→1665
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1567): Win by 17 points
5	Miami DolphinsMIA	1615 (+5)	11-4	at BAL (1710): Lose by 17
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1669): W 22-20: 1610+5→1615
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1710): Lose by 17 points
6	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1583 (-26)	9-6	vs CIN (1521): Win by 13
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1452): L 14-20: 1609-26→1583
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1521): Win by 13 points
7	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1576 (-10)	11-4	vs ARI (1378): Win by 26
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1390): W 33-25: 1586-10→1576
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1378): Win by 26 points
8	Detroit LionsDET	1567 (+10)	11-4	at DAL (1665): Lose by 17
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1515): W 30-24: 1557+10→1567
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1665): Lose by 17 points
9 (+5)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1527 (+18)	8-7	vs NO (1499): Win by 8
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1524): W 30-12: 1509+18→1527
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1499): Win by 8 points
10 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1521 (-34)	8-7	at KC (1583): Lose by 13
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1414): L 11-34: 1555-34→1521
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1583): Lose by 13 points
11	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1517 (+1)	8-7	vs PIT (1448): Win by 14
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1437): W 20-17: 1516+1→1517
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1448): Win by 14 points
12 (+4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1515 (+20)	10-5	vs NYJ (1399): Win by 19
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1451): W 36-22: 1495+20→1515
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1399): Win by 19 points
13	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1514 (+4)	8-7	at NYG (1401): Win by 9
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1503): W 30-22: 1510+4→1514
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1401): Win by 9 points
14 (-4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1506 (-18)	8-7	vs CAR (1341): Win by 24
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1509): L 12-30: 1524-18→1506
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1341): Win by 24 points
15 (-3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1505 (-10)	7-8	vs GB (1464): Win by 10
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1557): L 24-30: 1515-10→1505
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1464): Win by 10 points
16 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1499 (-4)	7-8	at TB (1527): Lose by 8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1510): L 22-30: 1503-4→1499
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1527): Lose by 8 points
17 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1481 (+14)	5-10	at DEN (1459): Lose by 5
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1680): L 22-24: 1467+14→1481
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1459): Lose by 5 points
18 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1478 (+26)	7-8	at IND (1429): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1609): W 20-14: 1452+26→1478
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1429): Slight underdog
19 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1464 (-7)	7-8	at MIN (1505): Lose by 10
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1335): W 33-30: 1471-7→1464
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): Lose by 10 points
20 (-3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1459 (-18)	7-8	vs LAC (1481): Win by 5
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1409): L 23-26: 1477-18→1459
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1481): Win by 5 points
21 (+4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1448 (+34)	8-7	at SEA (1517): Lose by 14
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1555): W 34-11: 1414+34→1448
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1517): Lose by 14 points
22 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1436 (-1)	5-10	at HOU (1431): Lose by 6
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1516): L 17-20: 1437-1→1436
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1431): Lose by 6 points
23 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1435 (+22)	7-8	at CHI (1435): Lose by 7
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1452): W 29-10: 1413+22→1435
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1435): Lose by 7 points
24	Chicago BearsCHI	1435 (+2)	6-9	vs ATL (1435): Win by 7
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1381): W 27-16: 1433+2→1435
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1435): Win by 7 points
25 (-3)	Houston TexansHOU	1431 (-20)	8-7	vs TEN (1436): Win by 6
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1495): L 22-36: 1451-20→1431
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1436): Win by 6 points
26 (-5)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1429 (-23)	8-7	vs LV (1478): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1413): L 10-29: 1452-23→1429
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1478): Slight favorite
27	New England PatriotsNE	1428 (+19)	4-11	at BUF (1666): Lose by 25
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1477): W 26-23: 1409+19→1428
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1666): Lose by 25 points
28 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1401 (+11)	5-10	vs LAR (1514): Lose by 9
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1586): L 25-33: 1390+11→1401
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1514): Lose by 9 points
29 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1399 (-10)	6-9	at CLE (1515): Lose by 19
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1348): W 30-28: 1409-10→1399
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1515): Lose by 19 points
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1378 (-3)	3-12	at PHI (1576): Lose by 26
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1433): L 16-27: 1381-3→1378
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1576): Lose by 26 points
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1357 (+9)	4-11	vs SF (1714): Lose by 30
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1409): L 28-30: 1348+9→1357
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1714): Lose by 30 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1341 (+6)	2-13	at JAX (1506): Lose by 24
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1471): L 30-33: 1335+6→1341
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1506): Lose by 24 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1747 (+3)	11-3	vs BAL (1676): Win by 11
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1384): W 45-29: 1744+3→1747
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1676): Win by 11 points
2 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1680 (+26)	8-6	at LAC (1467): Win by 13
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1695): W 31-10: 1654+26→1680
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1467): Win by 13 points
3	Baltimore RavensBAL	1676 (+14)	11-3	at SF (1747): Lose by 11
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1538): W 23-7: 1662+14→1676
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1747): Lose by 11 points
4 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1669 (-26)	10-4	at MIA (1610): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1654): L 10-31: 1695-26→1669
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1610): Slight favorite
5 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1610 (+16)	10-4	vs DAL (1669): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1425): W 30-0: 1594+16→1610
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1669): Slight underdog
6 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1609	9-5	vs LV (1452): Win by 14
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1409): W 27-17: 1609+0→1609
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1452): Win by 14 points
7	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1586 (-8)	10-4	vs NYG (1390): Win by 16
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1509): L 17-20: 1594-8→1586
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1390): Win by 16 points
8 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1557 (+20)	10-4	at MIN (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1498): W 42-17: 1537+20→1557
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1515): Slight underdog
9 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1555 (-9)	8-6	at PIT (1414): Win by 5
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1506): W 27-24(OT): 1564-9→1555
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1414): Win by 5 points
10 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1524 (-14)	8-6	at TB (1509): Lose by 4
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1662): L 7-23: 1538-14→1524
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1509): Lose by 4 points
11 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1516 (+7)	7-7	at TEN (1437): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1594): W 20-17: 1509+7→1516
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1437): Slight favorite
12 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1515 (+9)	7-7	vs DET (1557): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1564): L 24-27(OT): 1506+9→1515
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1557): Slight favorite
13 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1510 (-9)	7-7	vs NO (1503): Win by 6
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1339): W 28-20: 1519-9→1510
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1503): Win by 6 points
14 (+5)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1509 (+26)	7-7	vs JAX (1524): Win by 4
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1497): W 34-20: 1483+26→1509
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1524): Win by 4 points
15 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1503 (+9)	7-7	at LAR (1510): Lose by 6
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1399): W 24-6: 1494+9→1503
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1510): Lose by 6 points
16 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1495 (-9)	9-5	at HOU (1451): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1423): W 20-17: 1504-9→1495
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1451): Slight underdog
17 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1477 (-21)	7-7	vs NE (1409): Win by 11
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1537): L 17-42: 1498-21→1477
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1409): Win by 11 points
18 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1471 (-26)	6-8	at CAR (1335): Win by 8
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1483): L 20-34: 1497-26→1471
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1335): Win by 8 points
19 (-5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1467 (-37)	5-9	vs BUF (1680): Lose by 13
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1415): L 21-63: 1504-37→1467
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1680): Lose by 13 points
20 (+7)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1452 (+37)	6-8	at KC (1609): Lose by 14
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1504): W 63-21: 1415+37→1452
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1609): Lose by 14 points
21 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1452 (+18)	8-6	at ATL (1413): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1432): W 30-13: 1434+18→1452
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1413): Slight underdog
22 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1451 (+8)	8-6	vs CLE (1495): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1445): W 19-16(OT): 1443+8→1451
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1495): Slight favorite
23 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1437 (-8)	5-9	vs SEA (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1443): L 16-19(OT): 1445-8→1437
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1516): Slight underdog
24 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1433 (+10)	5-9	vs ARI (1381): Win by 9
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1504): L 17-20: 1423+10→1433
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1381): Win by 9 points
25 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1414 (-18)	7-7	vs CIN (1555): Lose by 5
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1434): L 13-30: 1432-18→1414
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1555): Lose by 5 points
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1413 (-5)	6-8	vs IND (1452): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1330): L 7-9: 1418-5→1413
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1452): Slight favorite
27 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1409	3-11	at DEN (1477): Lose by 11
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1609): L 17-27: 1409-0→1409
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1477): Lose by 11 points
28 (-4)	New York JetsNYJ	1409 (-16)	5-9	vs WAS (1348): Win by 10
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1594): L 0-30: 1425-16→1409
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1348): Win by 10 points
29	New York GiantsNYG	1390 (-9)	5-9	at PHI (1586): Lose by 16
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1494): L 6-24: 1399-9→1390
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1586): Lose by 16 points
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1381 (-3)	3-11	at CHI (1433): Lose by 9
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1744): L 29-45: 1384-3→1381
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1433): Lose by 9 points
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1348 (+9)	4-10	at NYJ (1409): Lose by 10
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1519): L 20-28: 1339+9→1348
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1409): Lose by 10 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1335 (+5)	2-12	vs GB (1471): Lose by 8
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1418): W 9-7: 1330+5→1335
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1471): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1744 (-2)	10-3	at ARI (1384): Win by 14
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1508): W 28-16: 1746-2→1744
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1384): Win by 14 points
2 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1695 (+17)	10-3	at BUF (1654): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1611): W 33-13: 1678+17→1695
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1654): Slight underdog
3 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1662 (-19)	10-3	at JAX (1538): Win by 6
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1501): W 37-31(OT): 1681-19→1662
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1538): Win by 6 points
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1654 (+4)	7-6	vs DAL (1695): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1613): W 20-17: 1650+4→1654
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1695): Slight favorite
5 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1609 (-4)	8-5	at NE (1409): Win by 10
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1650): L 17-20: 1613-4→1609
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1409): Win by 10 points
6 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1594 (-25)	9-4	vs NYJ (1425): Win by 12
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1420): L 27-28: 1619-25→1594
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1425): Win by 12 points
7	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1594 (-17)	10-3	at SEA (1509): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1678): L 13-33: 1611-17→1594
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1509): Slight favorite
8 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1564 (+13)	7-6	vs MIN (1506): Win by 8
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1447): W 34-14: 1551+13→1564
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1506): Win by 8 points
9 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1538 (-3)	8-5	vs BAL (1662): Lose by 6
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1501): L 27-31: 1541-3→1538
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1662): Lose by 6 points
10 (-2)	Detroit LionsDET	1537 (-26)	9-4	vs DEN (1498): Win by 7
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1397): L 13-28: 1563-26→1537
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1498): Win by 7 points
11 (+5)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1519 (+18)	6-7	vs WAS (1339): Win by 15
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1681): L 31-37(OT): 1501+18→1519
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1339): Win by 15 points
12	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1509 (+1)	6-7	vs PHI (1594): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1746): L 16-28: 1508+1→1509
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1594): Slight underdog
13	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1506	7-6	at CIN (1564): Lose by 8
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1415): W 3-0: 1506+0→1506
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1564): Lose by 8 points
14 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1504 (-34)	5-8	at LV (1415): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1464): L 7-24: 1538-34→1504
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1415): Slight favorite
15	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1504 (+3)	8-5	vs CHI (1423): Win by 9
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1541): W 31-27: 1501+3→1504
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1423): Win by 9 points
16 (+4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1498 (+34)	7-6	at DET (1537): Lose by 7
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1538): W 24-7: 1464+34→1498
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1537): Lose by 7 points
17 (-3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1497 (-8)	6-7	vs TB (1483): Win by 5
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1391): L 22-24: 1505-8→1497
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1483): Win by 5 points
18 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1494 (+15)	6-7	vs NYG (1399): Win by 10
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1345): W 28-6: 1479+15→1494
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1399): Win by 10 points
19 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1483 (+6)	6-7	at GB (1497): Lose by 5
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1423): W 29-25: 1477+6→1483
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1497): Lose by 5 points
20 (+4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1445 (+25)	5-8	vs HOU (1443): Win by 5
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1619): W 28-27: 1420+25→1445
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1443): Win by 5 points
21 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1443 (-34)	7-6	at TEN (1445): Lose by 5
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1392): L 6-30: 1477-34→1443
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1445): Lose by 5 points
22 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1434 (-13)	7-6	vs PIT (1432): Win by 4
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1551): L 14-34: 1447-13→1434
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1432): Win by 4 points
23 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1432 (-13)	7-6	at IND (1434): Lose by 4
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1396): L 18-21: 1445-13→1432
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1434): Lose by 4 points
24 (+4)	New York JetsNYJ	1425 (+33)	5-8	at MIA (1594): Lose by 12
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1477): W 30-6: 1392+33→1425
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1594): Lose by 12 points
25 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1423 (+26)	5-8	at CLE (1504): Lose by 9
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1563): W 28-13: 1397+26→1423
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1504): Lose by 9 points
26 (-3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1418 (-5)	6-7	at CAR (1330): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1477): L 25-29: 1423-5→1418
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1330): Slight favorite
27 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1415	5-8	vs LAC (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1506): L 0-3: 1415-0→1415
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1504): Slight underdog
28 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1409 (+13)	3-10	vs KC (1609): Lose by 10
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1445): W 21-18: 1396+13→1409
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1609): Lose by 10 points
29	New York GiantsNYG	1399 (+8)	5-8	at NO (1494): Lose by 10
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1505): W 24-22: 1391+8→1399
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1494): Lose by 10 points
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1384	3-10	vs SF (1744): Lose by 14
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1744): Lose by 14 points
31 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1339	4-9	at LAR (1519): Lose by 15
prev: (bye)
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1519): Lose by 15 points
32 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1330 (-15)	1-12	vs ATL (1418): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1479): L 6-28: 1345-15→1330
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1418): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1746 (+27)	9-3	vs SEA (1508): Win by 13
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1638): W 42-19: 1719+27→1746
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1508): Win by 13 points
2 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1681	9-3	vs LAR (1501): Win by 14
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1501): Win by 14 points
3 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1678 (-11)	9-3	vs PHI (1611): Win by 7
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1497): W 41-35: 1689-11→1678
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1611): Win by 7 points
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1650	6-6	at KC (1613): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1613): Tossup
5 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1619 (+21)	9-3	vs TEN (1420): Win by 15
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1359): W 45-15: 1598+21→1619
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1420): Win by 15 points
6	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1613 (-19)	8-4	vs BUF (1650): Tossup
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1486): L 19-27: 1632-19→1613
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1650): Tossup
7 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1611 (-27)	10-2	at DAL (1678): Lose by 7
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1719): L 19-42: 1638-27→1611
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1678): Lose by 7 points
8	Detroit LionsDET	1563 (+4)	9-3	at CHI (1397): Win by 4
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1482): W 33-28: 1559+4→1563
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1397): Win by 4 points
9 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1551 (+8)	6-6	vs IND (1447): Win by 9
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1549): W 34-31(OT): 1543+8→1551
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1447): Win by 9 points
10 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1541 (-8)	8-4	at CLE (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1543): L 31-34(OT): 1549-8→1541
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1501): Slight underdog
11	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1538 (+1)	5-7	vs DEN (1464): Win by 7
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1397): W 6-0: 1537+1→1538
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1464): Win by 7 points
12 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1508 (+11)	6-6	at SF (1746): Lose by 13
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1689): L 35-41: 1497+11→1508
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1746): Lose by 13 points
13	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1506	6-6	at LV (1415): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1415): Slight favorite
14 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1505 (+19)	6-6	at NYG (1391): Win by 3
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1632): W 27-19: 1486+19→1505
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1391): Win by 3 points
15 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1501 (-24)	7-5	vs JAX (1541): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1477): L 19-36: 1525-24→1501
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1541): Slight favorite
16 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1501 (+24)	6-6	at BAL (1681): Lose by 14
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1525): W 36-19: 1477+24→1501
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1681): Lose by 14 points
17	New Orleans SaintsNO	1479 (-3)	5-7	vs CAR (1345): Win by 9
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1559): L 28-33: 1482-3→1479
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1345): Win by 9 points
18 (-3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1477 (-10)	5-7	at ATL (1423): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1336): W 21-18: 1487-10→1477
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1423): Slight underdog
19 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1477 (+2)	7-5	at NYJ (1392): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1465): W 22-17: 1475+2→1477
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1392): Slight favorite
20 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1464 (-1)	6-6	at LAC (1538): Lose by 7
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1475): L 17-22: 1465-1→1464
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1538): Lose by 7 points
21 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1447 (+6)	7-5	at CIN (1551): Lose by 9
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1426): W 31-28(OT): 1441+6→1447
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1551): Lose by 9 points
22 (-4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1445 (-36)	7-5	vs NE (1396): Win by 7
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1348): L 10-24: 1481-36→1445
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1396): Win by 7 points
23 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1423 (+10)	6-6	vs TB (1477): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1402): W 13-8: 1413+10→1423
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1477): Slight favorite
24 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1420 (-6)	4-8	at MIA (1619): Lose by 15
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1441): L 28-31(OT): 1426-6→1420
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1619): Lose by 15 points
25 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1415	5-7	vs MIN (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1506): Slight underdog
26 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1397	4-8	vs DET (1563): Lose by 4
prev: (bye)
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1563): Lose by 4 points
27	New England PatriotsNE	1396 (-1)	2-10	at PIT (1445): Lose by 7
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1537): L 0-6: 1397-1→1396
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1445): Lose by 7 points
28 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1392 (-10)	4-8	vs HOU (1477): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1413): L 8-13: 1402-10→1392
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1477): Slight underdog
29	New York GiantsNYG	1391	4-8	vs GB (1505): Lose by 3
prev: (bye)
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1505): Lose by 3 points
30 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1384 (+36)	3-10	bye
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1481): W 24-10: 1348+36→1384
next: (bye)
31 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1345 (+9)	1-11	at NO (1479): Lose by 9
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1487): L 18-21: 1336+9→1345
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1479): Lose by 9 points
32 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1339 (-20)	4-9	bye
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1598): L 15-45: 1359-20→1339
next: (bye)

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1719 (+20)	8-3	at PHI (1638): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1516): W 31-13: 1699+20→1719
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1638): Slight favorite
2 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1689 (+20)	8-3	vs SEA (1497): Win by 13
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1379): W 45-10: 1669+20→1689
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1497): Win by 13 points
3 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1681 (+10)	9-3	bye
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1546): W 20-10: 1671+10→1681
next: (bye)
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1650	6-6	bye
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1638): L 34-37(OT): 1650+0→1650
next: (bye)
5	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1638	10-1	vs SF (1719): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1650): W 37-34(OT): 1638-0→1638
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1719): Slight underdog
6	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1632 (+15)	8-3	at GB (1486): Win by 5
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1430): W 31-17: 1617+15→1632
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1486): Win by 5 points
7 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1598 (+25)	8-3	at WAS (1359): Win by 10
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1427): W 34-13: 1573+25→1598
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1359): Win by 10 points
8 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1559 (-22)	8-3	at NO (1482): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1464): L 22-29: 1581-22→1559
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1482): Slight favorite
9 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1549 (+5)	8-3	vs CIN (1543): Win by 4
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1480): W 24-21: 1544+5→1549
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1543): Win by 4 points
10 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1543 (-20)	5-6	at JAX (1549): Lose by 4
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1462): L 10-16: 1563-20→1543
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1549): Lose by 4 points
11	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1537 (-9)	4-7	at NE (1397): Win by 6
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1671): L 10-20: 1546-9→1537
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1397): Win by 6 points
12 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1525 (-31)	7-4	at LAR (1477): Tossup
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1435): L 12-29: 1556-31→1525
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1477): Tossup
13	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1506 (-16)	6-6	bye
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1380): L 10-12: 1522-16→1506
next: (bye)
14	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1497 (-19)	6-5	at DAL (1689): Lose by 13
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1699): L 13-31: 1516-19→1497
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1689): Lose by 13 points
15 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1487 (-10)	4-7	vs CAR (1336): Win by 9
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1431): L 20-27: 1497-10→1487
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1336): Win by 9 points
16 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1486 (+22)	5-6	vs KC (1632): Lose by 5
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1581): W 29-22: 1464+22→1486
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1632): Lose by 5 points
17 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1482 (-16)	5-6	vs DET (1559): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1397): L 15-24: 1498-16→1482
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1559): Slight underdog
18 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1481 (+19)	7-4	vs ARI (1348): Win by 10
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1563): W 16-10: 1462+19→1481
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1348): Win by 10 points
19 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1477 (+32)	5-6	vs CLE (1525): Tossup
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1379): W 37-14: 1445+32→1477
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1525): Tossup
20 (-3)	Houston TexansHOU	1475 (-5)	6-5	vs DEN (1465): Win by 4
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1544): L 21-24: 1480-5→1475
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1465): Win by 4 points
21	Denver BroncosDEN	1465 (+30)	6-5	at HOU (1475): Lose by 4
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1556): W 29-12: 1435+30→1465
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1475): Lose by 4 points
22	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1441 (+10)	6-5	at TEN (1426): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1497): W 27-20: 1431+10→1441
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1426): Slight underdog
23 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1426 (-1)	4-7	vs IND (1441): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1335): W 17-10: 1427-1→1426
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1441): Slight favorite
24 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1415 (-15)	5-7	bye
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1617): L 17-31: 1430-15→1415
next: (bye)
25 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1413 (+16)	5-6	at NYJ (1402): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1498): W 24-15: 1397+16→1413
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1402): Slight underdog
26 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1402 (-25)	4-7	vs ATL (1413): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1573): L 13-34: 1427-25→1402
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1413): Slight favorite
27 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1397 (-2)	2-9	vs LAC (1537): Lose by 6
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1388): L 7-10: 1399-2→1397
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1537): Lose by 6 points
28 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1397 (+17)	4-8	bye
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1522): W 12-10: 1380+17→1397
next: (bye)
29 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1391 (+3)	4-8	bye
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1399): W 10-7: 1388+3→1391
next: (bye)
30 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1359 (-20)	4-8	vs MIA (1598): Lose by 10
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1669): L 10-45: 1379-20→1359
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1598): Lose by 10 points
31 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1348 (-31)	2-10	at PIT (1481): Lose by 10
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1445): L 14-37: 1379-31→1348
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1481): Lose by 10 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1336 (+1)	1-10	at TB (1487): Lose by 9
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1427): L 10-17: 1335+1→1336
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1487): Lose by 9 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1699 (+3)	7-3	at SEA (1516): Win by 5
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1500): W 27-14: 1696+3→1699
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1516): Win by 5 points
2	Baltimore RavensBAL	1671 (+13)	8-3	at LAC (1546): Win by 5
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1576): W 34-20: 1658+13→1671
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1546): Win by 5 points
3	Dallas CowboysDAL	1669 (+14)	7-3	vs WAS (1379): Win by 13
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1349): W 33-10: 1655+14→1669
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1379): Win by 13 points
4 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1650 (+21)	6-5	at PHI (1638): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1449): W 32-6: 1629+21→1650
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1638): Slight underdog
5 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1638 (+8)	9-1	vs BUF (1650): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1626): W 21-17: 1630+8→1638
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1650): Slight favorite
6	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1617 (-9)	7-3	at LV (1430): Win by 5
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1630): L 17-21: 1626-9→1617
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1430): Win by 5 points
7	Detroit LionsDET	1581 (-8)	8-2	vs GB (1464): Win by 7
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1372): W 31-26: 1589-8→1581
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1464): Win by 7 points
8	Miami DolphinsMIA	1573 (-6)	7-3	at NYJ (1427): Win by 3
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1425): W 20-13: 1579-6→1573
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1427): Win by 3 points
9	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1563 (-13)	5-5	vs PIT (1462): Win by 7
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1658): L 20-34: 1576-13→1563
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1462): Win by 7 points
10	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1556 (-5)	7-3	at DEN (1435): Win by 4
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1457): W 13-10: 1561-5→1556
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1435): Win by 4 points
11	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1546 (-8)	4-6	vs BAL (1671): Lose by 5
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1456): L 20-23: 1554-8→1546
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1671): Lose by 5 points
12 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1544 (+22)	7-3	at HOU (1480): Tossup
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1448): W 34-14: 1522+22→1544
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1480): Tossup
13 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1522 (-9)	6-5	vs CHI (1380): Win by 8
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1426): L 20-21: 1531-9→1522
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1380): Win by 8 points
14	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1516 (-4)	6-4	vs SF (1699): Lose by 5
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1442): L 16-17: 1520-4→1516
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1699): Lose by 5 points
15 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1498	5-5	at ATL (1397): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1397): Slight favorite
16 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1497 (-3)	4-6	at IND (1431): Tossup
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1696): L 14-27: 1500-3→1497
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1431): Tossup
17	Houston TexansHOU	1480 (-6)	6-4	vs JAX (1544): Tossup
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1374): W 21-16: 1486-6→1480
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1544): Tossup
18 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1464 (+8)	4-6	at DET (1581): Lose by 7
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1554): W 23-20: 1456+8→1464
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1581): Lose by 7 points
19 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1462 (+5)	6-4	at CIN (1563): Lose by 7
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1561): L 10-13: 1457+5→1462
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1563): Lose by 7 points
20 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1445 (+3)	4-6	at ARI (1379): Tossup
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1520): W 17-16: 1442+3→1445
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1379): Tossup
21 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1435 (+9)	5-5	vs CLE (1556): Lose by 4
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1531): W 21-20: 1426+9→1435
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1556): Lose by 4 points
22 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1431	5-5	vs TB (1497): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1497): Tossup
23 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1430 (+5)	5-6	vs KC (1617): Lose by 5
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1579): L 13-20: 1425+5→1430
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1617): Lose by 5 points
24 (-4)	New York JetsNYJ	1427 (-22)	4-6	vs MIA (1573): Lose by 3
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1629): L 6-32: 1449-22→1427
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1573): Lose by 3 points
25 (-4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1427 (-21)	3-7	vs CAR (1335): Win by 7
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1522): L 14-34: 1448-21→1427
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1335): Win by 7 points
26 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1399	2-8	at NYG (1388): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1388): Slight underdog
27 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1397	4-6	vs NO (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1498): Slight underdog
28 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1388 (+25)	3-8	vs NE (1399): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1404): W 31-19: 1363+25→1388
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1399): Slight favorite
29 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1380 (+8)	3-8	at MIN (1522): Lose by 8
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1589): L 26-31: 1372+8→1380
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1522): Lose by 8 points
30 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1379 (+5)	2-9	vs LAR (1445): Tossup
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1486): L 16-21: 1374+5→1379
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1445): Tossup
31 (-5)	Washington CommandersWAS	1379 (-25)	4-7	at DAL (1669): Lose by 13
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1363): L 19-31: 1404-25→1379
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1669): Lose by 13 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1335 (-14)	1-9	at TEN (1427): Lose by 7
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1655): L 10-33: 1349-14→1335
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1427): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1696 (+36)	6-3	vs TB (1500): Win by 11
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1558): W 34-3: 1660+36→1696
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1500): Win by 11 points
2 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1658 (-15)	7-3	vs CIN (1576): Win by 6
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1546): L 31-33: 1673-15→1658
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1576): Win by 6 points
3 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1655 (+24)	6-3	at CAR (1349): Win by 11
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1386): W 49-17: 1631+24→1655
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1349): Win by 11 points
4 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1630	8-1	at KC (1626): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1626): Slight underdog
5 (-2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1629 (-24)	5-5	vs NYJ (1449): Win by 9
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1401): L 22-24: 1653-24→1629
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1449): Win by 9 points
6	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1626	7-2	vs PHI (1630): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1630): Slight favorite
7 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1589 (+5)	7-2	vs CHI (1372): Win by 9
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1560): W 41-38: 1584+5→1589
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1372): Win by 9 points
8 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1579	6-3	vs LV (1425): Win by 10
prev: (bye)
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1425): Win by 10 points
9 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1576 (-18)	5-4	at BAL (1658): Lose by 6
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1468): L 27-30: 1594-18→1576
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1658): Lose by 6 points
10 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1561 (+15)	6-3	vs PIT (1457): Win by 6
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1673): W 33-31: 1546+15→1561
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1457): Win by 6 points
11 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1554 (-6)	4-5	at GB (1456): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1584): L 38-41: 1560-6→1554
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1456): Slight favorite
12 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1531 (+8)	6-4	at DEN (1426): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1506): W 27-19: 1523+8→1531
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1426): Slight favorite
13 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1522 (-36)	6-3	vs TEN (1448): Win by 6
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1660): L 3-34: 1558-36→1522
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1448): Win by 6 points
14 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1520 (-9)	6-3	at LAR (1442): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1396): W 29-26: 1529-9→1520
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1442): Slight underdog
15 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1500 (+19)	4-5	at SF (1696): Lose by 11
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1466): W 20-6: 1481+19→1500
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1696): Lose by 11 points
16 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1498 (-8)	5-5	bye
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1523): L 19-27: 1506-8→1498
next: (bye)
17	Houston TexansHOU	1486 (+18)	5-4	vs ARI (1374): Win by 8
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1594): W 30-27: 1468+18→1486
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1374): Win by 8 points
18 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1457 (+1)	6-3	at CLE (1561): Lose by 6
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1457): W 23-19: 1456+1→1457
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1561): Lose by 6 points
19	Green Bay PackersGB	1456 (-1)	3-6	vs LAC (1554): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1456): L 19-23: 1457-1→1456
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1554): Slight underdog
20 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1449 (-3)	4-5	at BUF (1629): Lose by 9
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1421): L 12-16: 1452-3→1449
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1629): Lose by 9 points
21 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1448 (-18)	3-6	at JAX (1522): Lose by 6
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1481): L 6-20: 1466-18→1448
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1522): Lose by 6 points
22	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1442	3-6	vs SEA (1520): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1520): Slight favorite
23	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1431 (+4)	5-5	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1402): W 10-6: 1427+4→1431
next: (bye)
24 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1426 (+25)	4-5	vs MIN (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1653): W 24-22: 1401+25→1426
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1531): Slight underdog
25 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1425 (+4)	5-5	at MIA (1579): Lose by 10
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1452): W 16-12: 1421+4→1425
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1579): Lose by 10 points
26 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1404 (+8)	4-6	vs NYG (1363): Win by 5
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1529): L 26-29: 1396+8→1404
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1363): Win by 5 points
27 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1399 (-3)	2-8	bye
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1427): L 6-10: 1402-3→1399
next: (bye)
28 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1397 (-3)	4-6	bye
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1371): L 23-25: 1400-3→1397
next: (bye)
29 (+2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1374 (+3)	2-8	at HOU (1486): Lose by 8
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1400): W 25-23: 1371+3→1374
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1486): Lose by 8 points
30	Chicago BearsCHI	1372 (-1)	3-7	at DET (1589): Lose by 9
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1348): W 16-13: 1373-1→1372
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1589): Lose by 9 points
31 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1363 (-23)	2-8	at WAS (1404): Lose by 5
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1631): L 17-49: 1386-23→1363
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1404): Lose by 5 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1349 (+1)	1-8	vs DAL (1655): Lose by 11
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1373): L 13-16: 1348+1→1349
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1655): Lose by 11 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1673 (+33)	7-2	vs CLE (1546): Win by 7
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1562): W 37-3: 1640+33→1673
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1546): Win by 7 points
2	San Francisco 49ersSF	1660	5-3	at JAX (1558): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1558): Slight favorite
3 (-2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1653 (-13)	5-4	vs DEN (1401): Win by 12
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1582): L 18-24: 1666-13→1653
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1401): Win by 12 points
4	Dallas CowboysDAL	1631 (-4)	5-3	vs NYG (1386): Win by 10
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1626): L 23-28: 1635-4→1631
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1386): Win by 10 points
5	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1630 (+4)	8-1	bye
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1635): W 28-23: 1626+4→1630
next: (bye)
6	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1626 (+10)	7-2	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1588): W 21-14: 1616+10→1626
next: (bye)
7 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1594 (+12)	5-3	vs HOU (1468): Win by 8
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1666): W 24-18: 1582+12→1594
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1468): Win by 8 points
8	Detroit LionsDET	1584	6-2	at LAC (1560): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1560): Slight underdog
9 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1579 (-9)	6-3	bye
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1616): L 14-21: 1588-9→1579
next: (bye)
10 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1560 (+33)	4-4	vs DET (1584): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1485): W 27-6: 1527+33→1560
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1584): Slight favorite
11	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1558	6-2	vs SF (1660): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1660): Slight underdog
12 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1546 (+25)	5-3	at BAL (1673): Lose by 7
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1396): W 27-0: 1521+25→1546
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1673): Lose by 7 points
13 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1529 (-33)	5-3	vs WAS (1396): Win by 8
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1640): L 3-37: 1562-33→1529
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1396): Win by 8 points
14 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1523	5-4	vs NO (1506): Win by 4
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1399): W 31-28: 1523-0→1523
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1506): Win by 4 points
15	New Orleans SaintsNO	1506 (-3)	5-4	at MIN (1523): Lose by 4
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1370): W 24-17: 1509-3→1506
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1523): Lose by 4 points
16 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1481 (-3)	3-5	vs TEN (1466): Win by 1 point
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1465): L 37-39: 1484-3→1481
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1466): Win by 1 point
17 (+3)	Houston TexansHOU	1468 (+3)	4-4	at CIN (1594): Lose by 8
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1484): W 39-37: 1465+3→1468
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1594): Lose by 8 points
18	Tennessee TitansTEN	1466 (-3)	3-5	at TB (1481): Lose by 1 point
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1454): L 16-20: 1469-3→1466
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1481): Lose by 1 point
19 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1457 (+27)	3-5	at PIT (1456): Lose by 1 point
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1469): W 20-3: 1430+27→1457
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1456): Lose by 1 point
20 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1456 (+2)	5-3	vs GB (1457): Win by 1 point
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1469): W 20-16: 1454+2→1456
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1457): Win by 1 point
21 (-5)	New York JetsNYJ	1452 (-33)	4-4	at LV (1421): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1527): L 6-27: 1485-33→1452
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1421): Slight underdog
22 (-3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1442 (-27)	3-6	bye
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1430): L 3-20: 1469-27→1442
next: (bye)
23 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1427 (+25)	4-5	at NE (1402): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1374): W 27-13: 1402+25→1427
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1402): Slight favorite
24 (+5)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1421 (+34)	4-5	vs NYJ (1452): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1420): W 30-6: 1387+34→1421
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1452): Slight favorite
25 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1402 (-11)	2-7	at IND (1427): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1385): L 17-20: 1413-11→1402
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1427): Slight underdog
26	Denver BroncosDEN	1401	3-5	at BUF (1653): Lose by 12
prev: (bye)
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1653): Lose by 12 points
27	Atlanta FalconsATL	1400 (+1)	4-5	at ARI (1371): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1523): L 28-31: 1399+1→1400
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1371): Slight underdog
28 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1396 (+11)	4-5	at SEA (1529): Lose by 8
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1413): W 20-17: 1385+11→1396
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1529): Lose by 8 points
29 (-6)	New York GiantsNYG	1386 (-34)	2-7	at DAL (1631): Lose by 10
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1387): L 6-30: 1420-34→1386
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1631): Lose by 10 points
30 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1373 (+3)	2-7	vs CAR (1348): Win by 4
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1509): L 17-24: 1370+3→1373
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1348): Win by 4 points
31 (-3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1371 (-25)	1-8	vs ATL (1400): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1521): L 0-27: 1396-25→1371
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1400): Slight favorite
32 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1348 (-26)	1-7	at CHI (1373): Lose by 4
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1402): L 13-27: 1374-26→1348
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1373): Lose by 4 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1666 (-8)	5-3	at CIN (1582): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1476): W 24-18: 1674-8→1666
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1582): Slight favorite
2 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1660 (-38)	5-3	bye
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1544): L 17-31: 1698-38→1660
next: (bye)
3 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1640 (-3)	6-2	vs SEA (1562): Win by 6
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1394): W 31-24: 1643-3→1640
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1562): Win by 6 points
4 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1635 (+21)	5-2	at PHI (1626): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1490): W 43-20: 1614+21→1635
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1626): Slight underdog
5	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1626 (+3)	7-1	vs DAL (1635): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1387): W 38-31: 1623+3→1626
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1635): Slight favorite
6 (-3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1616 (-38)	6-2	at MIA (1588): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1363): L 9-24: 1654-38→1616
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1588): Slight favorite
7 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1588 (+12)	6-2	at KC (1616): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1426): W 31-17: 1576+12→1588
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1616): Slight underdog
8 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1584 (+4)	6-2	bye
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1391): W 26-14: 1580+4→1584
next: (bye)
9 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1582 (+38)	4-3	vs BUF (1666): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1698): W 31-17: 1544+38→1582
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1666): Slight underdog
10 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1562 (-2)	5-2	at BAL (1640): Lose by 6
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1519): W 24-20: 1564-2→1562
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1640): Lose by 6 points
11	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1558 (+15)	6-2	bye
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1470): W 20-10: 1543+15→1558
next: (bye)
12 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1527 (+16)	3-4	at NYJ (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1386): W 30-13: 1511+16→1527
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1485): Slight underdog
13 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1523 (+26)	4-4	at ATL (1399): Win by 4
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1456): W 24-10: 1497+26→1523
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1399): Win by 4 points
14 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1521 (+2)	4-3	vs ARI (1396): Win by 8
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1564): L 20-24: 1519+2→1521
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1396): Win by 8 points
15	New Orleans SaintsNO	1509 (+18)	4-4	vs CHI (1370): Win by 8
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1420): W 38-27: 1491+18→1509
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1370): Win by 8 points
16 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1485 (-4)	4-3	vs LAC (1527): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1416): W 13-10(OT): 1489-4→1485
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1527): Slight favorite
17 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1484 (+8)	3-4	at HOU (1465): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1674): L 18-24: 1476+8→1484
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1465): Slight underdog
18 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1469 (-3)	3-4	at PIT (1454): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1396): W 28-23: 1472-3→1469
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1454): Slight underdog
19 (-3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1469 (-21)	3-5	at GB (1430): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1614): L 20-43: 1490-21→1469
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1430): Slight underdog
20 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1465 (-9)	3-4	vs TB (1484): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1364): L 13-15: 1474-9→1465
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1484): Slight favorite
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1454 (-16)	4-3	vs TEN (1469): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1543): L 10-20: 1470-16→1454
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1469): Slight favorite
22	Green Bay PackersGB	1430 (-26)	2-5	vs LAR (1469): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1497): L 10-24: 1456-26→1430
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1469): Slight favorite
23 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1420 (+4)	2-6	at LV (1387): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1489): L 10-13(OT): 1416+4→1420
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1387): Slight underdog
24 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1413 (-13)	2-6	vs WAS (1385): Win by 4
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1576): L 17-31: 1426-13→1413
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1385): Win by 4 points
25 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1402 (-18)	3-5	at CAR (1374): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1491): L 27-38: 1420-18→1402
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1374): Slight underdog
26 (+6)	Denver BroncosDEN	1401 (+38)	3-5	bye
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1654): W 24-9: 1363+38→1401
next: (bye)
27 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1399 (+3)	4-4	vs MIN (1523): Lose by 4
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1472): L 23-28: 1396+3→1399
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1523): Lose by 4 points
28 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1396 (+2)	1-7	at CLE (1521): Lose by 8
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1643): L 24-31: 1394+2→1396
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1521): Lose by 8 points
29 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1387 (-4)	3-5	vs NYG (1420): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1580): L 14-26: 1391-4→1387
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1420): Slight favorite
30 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1385 (-2)	3-5	at NE (1413): Lose by 4
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1623): L 31-38: 1387-2→1385
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1413): Lose by 4 points
31	Carolina PanthersCAR	1374 (+10)	1-6	vs IND (1402): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1474): W 15-13: 1364+10→1374
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1402): Slight favorite
32 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1370 (-16)	2-6	at NO (1509): Lose by 8
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1511): L 13-30: 1386-16→1370
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1509): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1698 (-25)	5-2	vs CIN (1544): Win by 8
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1473): L 17-22: 1723-25→1698
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1544): Win by 8 points
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1674 (-19)	4-3	vs TB (1476): Win by 10
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1406): L 25-29: 1693-19→1674
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1476): Win by 10 points
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1654 (+16)	6-1	at DEN (1363): Win by 7
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1527): W 31-17: 1638+16→1654
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1363): Win by 7 points
4 (+4)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1643 (+48)	5-2	at ARI (1394): Win by 8
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1627): W 38-6: 1595+48→1643
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1394): Win by 8 points
5 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1623 (+23)	6-1	at WAS (1387): Win by 6
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1600): W 31-17: 1600+23→1623
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1387): Win by 6 points
6 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1614	4-2	vs LAR (1490): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1490): Win by 8 points
7 (-3)	Detroit LionsDET	1580 (-47)	5-2	vs LV (1391): Win by 10
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1595): L 6-38: 1627-47→1580
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1391): Win by 10 points
8 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1576 (-24)	5-2	vs NE (1426): Win by 7
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1600): L 17-31: 1600-24→1576
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1426): Win by 7 points
9	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1564 (+7)	4-2	vs CLE (1519): Win by 5
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1400): W 20-10: 1557+7→1564
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1519): Win by 5 points
10	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1544	3-3	at SF (1698): Lose by 8
prev: (bye)
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1698): Lose by 8 points
11 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1543 (+17)	5-2	at PIT (1470): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1508): W 31-24: 1526+17→1543
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1470): Slight favorite
12 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1519 (+2)	4-2	at SEA (1564): Lose by 5
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1421): W 39-38: 1517+2→1519
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1564): Lose by 5 points
13 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1511 (-16)	2-4	vs CHI (1386): Win by 7
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1638): L 17-31: 1527-16→1511
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1386): Win by 7 points
14 (+5)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1497 (+24)	3-4	at GB (1456): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1723): W 22-17: 1473+24→1497
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1456): Slight underdog
15	New Orleans SaintsNO	1491 (-17)	3-4	at IND (1420): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1526): L 24-31: 1508-17→1491
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1420): Slight favorite
16 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1490 (-22)	3-4	at DAL (1614): Lose by 8
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1448): L 17-24: 1512-22→1490
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1614): Lose by 8 points
17	New York JetsNYJ	1489	3-3	vs NYG (1416): Win by 5
prev: (bye)
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1416): Win by 5 points
18 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1476 (-17)	3-3	at BUF (1674): Lose by 10
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1379): L 13-16: 1493-17→1476
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1674): Lose by 10 points
19 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1474	3-3	at CAR (1364): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1364): Slight favorite
20	Tennessee TitansTEN	1472	2-4	vs ATL (1396): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1396): Win by 6 points
21 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1470 (+22)	4-2	vs JAX (1543): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1512): W 24-17: 1448+22→1470
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1543): Slight underdog
22 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1456 (-12)	2-4	vs MIN (1497): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1352): L 17-19: 1468-12→1456
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1497): Slight favorite
23 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1426 (+20)	2-5	at MIA (1576): Lose by 7
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1693): W 29-25: 1406+20→1426
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1576): Lose by 7 points
24	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1420 (-1)	3-4	vs NO (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1517): L 38-39: 1421-1→1420
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1491): Slight underdog
25	New York GiantsNYG	1416 (+8)	2-5	vs NYJ (1489): Lose by 5
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1396): W 14-7: 1408+8→1416
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1489): Lose by 5 points
26 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1396 (+17)	4-3	at TEN (1472): Lose by 6
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1493): W 16-13: 1379+17→1396
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1472): Lose by 6 points
27	Arizona CardinalsARI	1394 (-6)	1-6	vs BAL (1643): Lose by 8
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1557): L 10-20: 1400-6→1394
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1643): Lose by 8 points
28 (-5)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1391 (-37)	3-4	at DET (1580): Lose by 10
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1350): L 12-30: 1428-37→1391
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1580): Lose by 10 points
29 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1387 (-9)	3-4	vs PHI (1623): Lose by 6
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1408): L 7-14: 1396-9→1387
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1623): Lose by 6 points
30 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1386 (+36)	2-5	at LAC (1511): Lose by 7
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1428): W 30-12: 1350+36→1386
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1511): Lose by 7 points
31 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1364	0-6	vs HOU (1474): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1474): Slight underdog
32 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1363 (+11)	2-5	vs KC (1654): Lose by 7
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1468): W 19-17: 1352+11→1363
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1654): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1723 (-23)	5-1	at MIN (1473): Win by 8
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1494): L 17-19: 1746-23→1723
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1473): Win by 8 points
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1693 (-22)	4-2	at NE (1406): Win by 7
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1386): W 14-9: 1715-22→1693
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1406): Win by 7 points
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1638 (+2)	5-1	vs LAC (1527): Win by 6
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1354): W 19-8: 1636+2→1638
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1527): Win by 6 points
4 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1627 (+31)	5-1	at BAL (1595): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1524): W 20-6: 1596+31→1627
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1595): Slight underdog
5	Dallas CowboysDAL	1614 (+6)	4-2	bye
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1533): W 20-17: 1608+6→1614
next: (bye)
6 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1600 (-22)	5-1	vs MIA (1600): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1467): L 14-20: 1622-22→1600
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1600): Slight favorite
7 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1600 (+22)	5-1	at PHI (1600): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1386): W 42-21: 1578+22→1600
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1600): Slight underdog
8 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1595 (+8)	4-2	vs DET (1627): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1480): W 24-16: 1587+8→1595
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1627): Slight favorite
9	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1557 (-6)	3-2	vs ARI (1400): Win by 7
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1538): L 13-17: 1563-6→1557
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1400): Win by 7 points
10	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1544 (+6)	3-3	bye
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1563): W 17-13: 1538+6→1544
next: (bye)
11	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1527 (-6)	2-3	at KC (1638): Lose by 6
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1608): L 17-20: 1533-6→1527
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1638): Lose by 6 points
12 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1526 (+28)	4-2	at NO (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1450): W 37-20: 1498+28→1526
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1508): Slight underdog
13 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1517 (+23)	3-2	at IND (1421): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1746): W 19-17: 1494+23→1517
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1421): Slight favorite
14 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1512 (+28)	3-3	vs PIT (1448): Win by 5
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1428): W 26-9: 1484+28→1512
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1448): Win by 5 points
15 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1508 (-16)	3-3	vs JAX (1526): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1457): L 13-20: 1524-16→1508
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1526): Slight favorite
16 (-3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1493 (-31)	3-2	vs ATL (1379): Win by 6
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1596): L 6-20: 1524-31→1493
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1379): Win by 6 points
17 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1489 (+22)	3-3	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1622): W 20-14: 1467+22→1489
next: (bye)
18 (+3)	Houston TexansHOU	1474 (+17)	3-3	bye
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1524): W 20-13: 1457+17→1474
next: (bye)
19 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1473 (+12)	2-4	vs SF (1723): Lose by 8
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1361): W 19-13: 1461+12→1473
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1723): Lose by 8 points
20 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1472 (-8)	2-4	bye
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1587): L 16-24: 1480-8→1472
next: (bye)
21 (-3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1468	2-3	at DEN (1352): Win by 4
prev: (bye)
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1352): Win by 4 points
22 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1448	3-2	at LAR (1512): Lose by 5
prev: (bye)
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1512): Lose by 5 points
23 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1428 (+1)	3-3	at CHI (1350): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1407): W 21-17: 1427+1→1428
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1350): Slight favorite
24 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1421 (-29)	3-3	vs CLE (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1498): L 20-37: 1450-29→1421
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1517): Slight underdog
25 (+4)	New York GiantsNYG	1408 (+22)	1-5	vs WAS (1396): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1715): L 9-14: 1386+22→1408
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1396): Slight favorite
26	New England PatriotsNE	1406 (-1)	1-5	vs BUF (1693): Lose by 7
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1427): L 17-21: 1407-1→1406
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1693): Lose by 7 points
27 (-3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1400 (-28)	1-5	at SEA (1557): Lose by 7
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1484): L 9-26: 1428-28→1400
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1557): Lose by 7 points
28 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1396 (+25)	3-3	at NYG (1408): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1404): W 24-16: 1371+25→1396
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1408): Slight underdog
29 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1379 (-25)	3-3	at TB (1493): Lose by 6
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1371): L 16-24: 1404-25→1379
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1493): Lose by 6 points
30 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1364 (-22)	0-6	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1578): L 21-42: 1386-22→1364
next: (bye)
31 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1352 (-2)	1-5	vs GB (1468): Lose by 4
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1636): L 8-19: 1354-2→1352
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1468): Lose by 4 points
32 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1350 (-11)	1-5	vs LV (1428): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1461): L 13-19: 1361-11→1350
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1428): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1746 (+53)	5-0	at CLE (1494): Win by 7
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1660): W 42-10: 1693+53→1746
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1494): Win by 7 points
2 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1715 (-39)	3-2	vs NYG (1386): Win by 14
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1458): L 20-25: 1754-39→1715
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1386): Win by 14 points
3 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1636 (+6)	4-1	vs DEN (1354): Win by 10
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1467): W 27-20: 1630+6→1636
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1354): Win by 10 points
4 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1622 (+18)	5-0	at NYJ (1467): Win by 5
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1501): W 23-14: 1604+18→1622
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1467): Win by 5 points
5 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1608 (-52)	3-2	at LAC (1533): Tossup
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1693): L 10-42: 1660-52→1608
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1533): Tossup
6 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1596 (+20)	4-1	at TB (1524): Tossup
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1406): W 42-24: 1576+20→1596
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1524): Tossup
7 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1587 (-27)	3-2	at TEN (1480): Win by 5
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1421): L 10-17: 1614-27→1587
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1480): Win by 5 points
8 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1578 (+15)	4-1	vs CAR (1386): Win by 10
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1401): W 31-16: 1563+15→1578
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1386): Win by 10 points
9 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1563	3-1	at CIN (1538): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1538): Slight underdog
10 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1538 (+36)	2-3	vs SEA (1563): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1464): W 34-20: 1502+36→1538
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1563): Slight favorite
11 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1533	2-2	vs DAL (1608): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1608): Tossup
12 (+10)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1524 (+70)	3-2	at HOU (1457): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1478): W 34-0: 1454+70→1524
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1457): Slight favorite
13 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1524	3-1	vs DET (1596): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1596): Tossup
14 (+7)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1498 (+40)	3-2	vs IND (1450): Win by 4
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1754): W 25-20: 1458+40→1498
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1450): Win by 4 points
15	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1494	2-2	vs SF (1746): Lose by 7
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1746): Lose by 7 points
16 (-3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1484 (-17)	2-3	vs ARI (1428): Win by 5
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1604): L 14-23: 1501-17→1484
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1428): Win by 5 points
17 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1480 (-17)	2-3	at BAL (1587): Lose by 5
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1433): L 16-23: 1497-17→1480
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1587): Lose by 5 points
18 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1468 (-9)	2-3	bye
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1418): L 13-17: 1477-9→1468
next: (bye)
19 (+4)	New York JetsNYJ	1467 (+25)	2-3	vs PHI (1622): Lose by 5
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1378): W 31-21: 1442+25→1467
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1622): Lose by 5 points
20 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1461 (-6)	1-4	at CHI (1361): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1630): L 20-27: 1467-6→1461
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1361): Slight favorite
21 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1457 (-9)	2-3	vs NO (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1395): L 19-21: 1466-9→1457
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1524): Slight underdog
22 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1450 (+17)	3-2	at JAX (1498): Lose by 4
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1497): W 23-16: 1433+17→1450
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1498): Lose by 4 points
23 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1448 (+27)	3-2	bye
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1614): W 17-10: 1421+27→1448
next: (bye)
24 (-4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1428 (-36)	1-4	at LAR (1484): Lose by 5
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1502): L 20-34: 1464-36→1428
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1484): Lose by 5 points
25 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1427 (+9)	2-3	vs NE (1407): Win by 3
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1477): W 17-13: 1418+9→1427
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1407): Win by 3 points
26 (-10)	New England PatriotsNE	1407 (-71)	1-4	at LV (1427): Lose by 3
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1454): L 0-34: 1478-71→1407
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1427): Lose by 3 points
27 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1404 (+9)	3-2	vs WAS (1371): Win by 4
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1466): W 21-19: 1395+9→1404
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1371): Win by 4 points
28	Carolina PanthersCAR	1386 (-20)	0-5	at MIA (1578): Lose by 10
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1576): L 24-42: 1406-20→1386
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1578): Lose by 10 points
29	New York GiantsNYG	1386 (-15)	1-4	at BUF (1715): Lose by 14
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1563): L 16-31: 1401-15→1386
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1715): Lose by 14 points
30 (-6)	Washington CommandersWAS	1371 (-65)	2-3	at ATL (1404): Lose by 4
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1295): L 20-40: 1436-65→1371
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1404): Lose by 4 points
31 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1361 (+66)	1-4	vs MIN (1461): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1436): W 40-20: 1295+66→1361
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1461): Slight underdog
32 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1354 (-24)	1-4	at KC (1636): Lose by 10
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1442): L 21-31: 1378-24→1354
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1636): Lose by 10 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1754 (+49)	3-1	at JAX (1458): Win by 11
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1612): W 48-20: 1705+49→1754
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1458): Win by 11 points
2	San Francisco 49ersSF	1693 (+29)	4-0	vs DAL (1660): Win by 4
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1493): W 35-16: 1664+29→1693
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1660): Win by 4 points
3 (+3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1660 (+56)	3-1	at SF (1693): Lose by 4
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1535): W 38-3: 1604+56→1660
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1693): Lose by 4 points
4 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1630 (-9)	3-1	at MIN (1467): Win by 5
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1434): W 23-20: 1639-9→1630
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1467): Win by 5 points
5 (+4)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1614 (+66)	3-1	at PIT (1421): Win by 5
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1560): W 28-3: 1548+66→1614
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1421): Win by 5 points
6 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1604 (-17)	4-0	at LAR (1501): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1419): W 34-31(OT): 1621-17→1604
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1501): Slight favorite
7 (+4)	Detroit LionsDET	1576 (+44)	3-1	vs CAR (1406): Win by 9
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1520): W 34-20: 1532+44→1576
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1406): Win by 9 points
8 (+6)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1563 (+53)	3-1	bye
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1454): W 24-3: 1510+53→1563
next: (bye)
9 (-4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1563 (-49)	3-1	vs NYG (1401): Win by 8
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1705): L 20-48: 1612-49→1563
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1401): Win by 8 points
10 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1533 (+4)	2-2	bye
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1423): W 24-17: 1529+4→1533
next: (bye)
11 (+8)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1524 (+54)	3-1	bye
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1508): W 26-9: 1470+54→1524
next: (bye)
12 (-5)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1502 (-67)	1-3	at ARI (1464): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1430): L 3-27: 1569-67→1502
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1464): Slight underdog
13 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1501 (+3)	2-2	vs PHI (1604): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1437): W 29-23(OT): 1498+3→1501
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1604): Slight underdog
14 (+12)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1497 (+67)	2-2	at IND (1433): Tossup
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1569): W 27-3: 1430+67→1497
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1433): Tossup
15 (-7)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1494 (-66)	2-2	bye
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1548): L 3-28: 1560-66→1494
next: (bye)
16 (-6)	New England PatriotsNE	1478 (-57)	1-3	vs NO (1454): Win by 4
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1604): L 3-38: 1535-57→1478
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1454): Win by 4 points
17 (-4)	Green Bay PackersGB	1477 (-43)	2-2	at LV (1418): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1532): L 20-34: 1520-43→1477
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1418): Slight favorite
18 (+4)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1467 (+27)	1-3	vs KC (1630): Lose by 5
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1433): W 21-13: 1440+27→1467
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1630): Lose by 5 points
19 (+11)	Houston TexansHOU	1466 (+60)	2-2	at ATL (1395): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1481): W 30-6: 1406+60→1466
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1395): Slight favorite
20 (-3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1464 (-29)	1-3	vs CIN (1502): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1664): L 16-35: 1493-29→1464
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1502): Slight favorite
21 (+8)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1458 (+46)	2-2	at BUF (1754): Lose by 11
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1441): W 23-7: 1412+46→1458
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1754): Lose by 11 points
22 (-7)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1454 (-54)	2-2	at NE (1478): Lose by 4
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1470): L 9-26: 1508-54→1454
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1478): Lose by 4 points
23 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1442 (+8)	1-3	at DEN (1378): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1639): L 20-23: 1434+8→1442
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1378): Slight favorite
24 (+4)	Washington CommandersWAS	1436 (+17)	2-2	vs CHI (1295): Win by 8
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1621): L 31-34(OT): 1419+17→1436
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1295): Win by 8 points
25 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1433 (-4)	2-2	vs TEN (1497): Tossup
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1498): L 23-29(OT): 1437-4→1433
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1497): Tossup
26 (-8)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1421 (-60)	2-2	vs BAL (1614): Lose by 5
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1406): L 6-30: 1481-60→1421
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1614): Lose by 5 points
27	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1418 (-5)	1-3	vs GB (1477): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1529): L 17-24: 1423-5→1418
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1477): Slight underdog
28 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1406 (-27)	0-4	at DET (1576): Lose by 9
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1440): L 13-21: 1433-27→1406
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1576): Lose by 9 points
29 (-9)	New York GiantsNYG	1401 (-53)	1-3	at MIA (1563): Lose by 8
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1510): L 3-24: 1454-53→1401
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1563): Lose by 8 points
30 (-9)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1395 (-46)	2-2	vs HOU (1466): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1412): L 7-23: 1441-46→1395
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1466): Slight underdog
31	Denver BroncosDEN	1378 (+6)	1-3	vs NYJ (1442): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1301): W 31-28: 1372+6→1378
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1442): Slight underdog
32	Chicago BearsCHI	1295 (-6)	0-4	at WAS (1436): Lose by 8
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1372): L 28-31: 1301-6→1295
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1436): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1705 (+63)	2-1	vs MIA (1612): Win by 5
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1482): W 37-3: 1642+63→1705
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1612): Win by 5 points
2 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1664 (+26)	3-0	vs ARI (1493): Win by 7
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1481): W 30-12: 1638+26→1664
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1493): Win by 7 points
3 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1639 (+37)	2-1	at NYJ (1434): Win by 6
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1338): W 41-10: 1602+37→1639
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1434): Win by 6 points
4 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1621 (+38)	3-0	vs WAS (1419): Win by 8
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1508): W 25-11: 1583+38→1621
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1419): Win by 8 points
5 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1612 (+56)	3-0	at BUF (1705): Lose by 5
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1428): W 70-20: 1556+56→1612
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1705): Lose by 5 points
6 (-5)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1604 (-57)	2-1	vs NE (1535): Win by 5
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1436): L 16-28: 1661-57→1604
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1535): Win by 5 points
7	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1569 (-8)	1-2	at TEN (1430): Win by 4
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1490): W 19-16: 1577-8→1569
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1430): Win by 4 points
8 (+6)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1560 (+54)	2-1	vs BAL (1548): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1484): W 27-3: 1506+54→1560
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1548): Slight favorite
9 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1548 (-31)	2-1	at CLE (1560): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1406): L 19-22(OT): 1579-31→1548
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1560): Slight underdog
10 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1535 (+13)	1-2	at DAL (1604): Lose by 5
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1446): W 15-10: 1522+13→1535
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1604): Lose by 5 points
11 (+4)	Detroit LionsDET	1532 (+32)	2-1	at GB (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1474): W 20-6: 1500+32→1532
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1520): Slight underdog
12 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1529 (+8)	1-2	vs LV (1423): Win by 6
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1447): W 28-24: 1521+8→1529
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1423): Win by 6 points
13 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1520	2-1	vs DET (1532): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1508): W 18-17: 1520+0→1520
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1532): Slight favorite
14 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1510 (+19)	2-1	at NYG (1454): Tossup
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1452): W 37-27: 1491+19→1510
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1454): Tossup
15 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1508	2-1	vs TB (1470): Win by 4
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1520): L 17-18: 1508-0→1508
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1470): Win by 4 points
16 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1498 (+8)	1-2	at IND (1437): Tossup
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1577): L 16-19: 1490+8→1498
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1437): Tossup
17 (+11)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1493 (+57)	1-2	at SF (1664): Lose by 7
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1661): W 28-16: 1436+57→1493
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1664): Lose by 7 points
18 (+5)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1481 (+16)	2-1	at HOU (1406): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1439): W 23-18: 1465+16→1481
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1406): Slight favorite
19 (-7)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1470 (-38)	2-1	at NO (1508): Lose by 4
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1583): L 11-25: 1508-38→1470
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1508): Lose by 4 points
20 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1454 (-27)	1-2	vs SEA (1510): Tossup
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1638): L 12-30: 1481-27→1454
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1510): Tossup
21 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1441 (-33)	2-1	at JAX (1412): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1500): L 6-20: 1474-33→1441
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1412): Slight favorite
22 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1440 (-7)	0-3	at CAR (1433): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1521): L 24-28: 1447-7→1440
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1433): Slight underdog
23 (+7)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1437 (+31)	2-1	vs LAR (1498): Tossup
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1579): W 22-19(OT): 1406+31→1437
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1498): Tossup
24 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1434 (-12)	1-2	vs KC (1639): Lose by 6
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1522): L 10-15: 1446-12→1434
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1639): Lose by 6 points
25 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1433 (-19)	0-3	vs MIN (1440): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1491): L 27-37: 1452-19→1433
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1440): Slight favorite
26 (-7)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1430 (-54)	1-2	vs CIN (1569): Lose by 4
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1506): L 3-27: 1484-54→1430
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1569): Lose by 4 points
27	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1423 (-16)	1-2	at LAC (1529): Lose by 6
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1465): L 18-23: 1439-16→1423
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1529): Lose by 6 points
28 (-8)	Washington CommandersWAS	1419 (-63)	2-1	at PHI (1621): Lose by 8
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1642): L 3-37: 1482-63→1419
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1621): Lose by 8 points
29 (-11)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1412 (-76)	1-2	at ATL (1441): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1331): L 17-37: 1488-76→1412
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1441): Slight underdog
30 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1406 (+75)	1-2	vs PIT (1481): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1488): W 37-17: 1331+75→1406
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1481): Slight underdog
31 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1372 (-56)	0-3	at CHI (1301): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1556): L 20-70: 1428-56→1372
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1301): Slight favorite
32 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1301 (-37)	0-3	vs DEN (1372): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1602): L 10-41: 1338-37→1301
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1372): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Dallas CowboysDAL	1661 (+35)	2-0	at ARI (1436): Win by 7
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1481): W 30-10: 1626+35→1661
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1436): Win by 7 points
2 (+3)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1642 (+56)	1-1	at WAS (1482): Win by 5
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1496): W 38-10: 1586+56→1642
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1482): Win by 5 points
3 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1638 (+18)	2-0	vs NYG (1481): Win by 8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1508): W 30-23: 1620+18→1638
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1481): Win by 8 points
4 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1602 (+22)	1-1	vs CHI (1338): Win by 12
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1511): W 17-9: 1580+22→1602
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1338): Win by 12 points
5 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1583 (-8)	2-0	at TB (1508): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1440): W 34-28: 1591-8→1583
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1508): Slight favorite
6 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1579 (+20)	2-0	vs IND (1406): Win by 9
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1597): W 27-24: 1559+20→1579
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1406): Win by 9 points
7 (-4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1577 (-20)	0-2	vs LAR (1490): Win by 6
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1559): L 24-27: 1597-20→1577
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1490): Win by 6 points
8 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1556 (+32)	2-0	vs DEN (1428): Win by 7
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1554): W 24-17: 1524+32→1556
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1428): Win by 7 points
9 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1522 (-32)	0-2	at NYJ (1446): Tossup
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1524): L 17-24: 1554-32→1522
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1446): Tossup
10	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1521 (-5)	0-2	at MIN (1447): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1479): L 24-27(OT): 1526-5→1521
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1447): Slight favorite
11 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1520 (-10)	1-1	vs NO (1508): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1463): L 24-25: 1530-10→1520
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1508): Slight favorite
12 (+4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1508 (+6)	2-0	vs PHI (1583): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1345): W 27-17: 1502+6→1508
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1583): Slight underdog
13 (+5)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1508 (+14)	2-0	at GB (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1466): W 20-17: 1494+14→1508
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1520): Slight underdog
14 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1506 (-9)	1-1	vs TEN (1484): Win by 3
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1456): L 22-26: 1515-9→1506
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1484): Win by 3 points
15 (-3)	Detroit LionsDET	1500 (-19)	1-1	vs ATL (1474): Win by 4
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1471): L 31-37(OT): 1519-19→1500
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1474): Win by 4 points
16 (+5)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1491 (+20)	1-1	vs CAR (1452): Win by 5
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1519): W 37-31(OT): 1471+20→1491
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1452): Win by 5 points
17 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1490 (-18)	1-1	at CIN (1577): Lose by 6
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1620): L 23-30: 1508-18→1490
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1577): Lose by 6 points
18 (-4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1488 (-23)	1-1	vs HOU (1331): Win by 7
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1580): L 9-17: 1511-23→1488
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1331): Win by 7 points
19 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1484 (+5)	1-1	at CLE (1506): Lose by 3
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1526): W 27-24(OT): 1479+5→1484
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1506): Lose by 3 points
20 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1482 (+13)	2-0	vs BUF (1642): Lose by 5
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1441): W 35-33: 1469+13→1482
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1642): Lose by 5 points
21 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1481 (+14)	1-1	at SF (1638): Lose by 8
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1450): W 31-28: 1467+14→1481
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1638): Lose by 8 points
22 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1474 (+11)	2-0	at DET (1500): Lose by 4
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1530): W 25-24: 1463+11→1474
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1500): Lose by 4 points
23 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1465 (+9)	1-1	at LV (1439): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1515): W 26-22: 1456+9→1465
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1439): Slight underdog
24	Carolina PanthersCAR	1452 (-14)	0-2	at SEA (1491): Lose by 5
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1494): L 17-20: 1466-14→1452
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1491): Lose by 5 points
25 (+4)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1447 (+7)	0-2	vs LAC (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1591): L 28-34: 1440+7→1447
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1521): Slight underdog
26 (-7)	New York JetsNYJ	1446 (-35)	1-1	vs NE (1522): Tossup
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1626): L 10-30: 1481-35→1446
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1522): Tossup
27 (-10)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1439 (-57)	1-1	vs PIT (1465): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1586): L 10-38: 1496-57→1439
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1465): Slight favorite
28 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1436 (-14)	0-2	vs DAL (1661): Lose by 7
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1467): L 28-31: 1450-14→1436
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1661): Lose by 7 points
29 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1428 (-13)	0-2	at MIA (1556): Lose by 7
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1469): L 33-35: 1441-13→1428
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1556): Lose by 7 points
30 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1406 (+45)	1-1	at BAL (1579): Lose by 9
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1375): W 31-20: 1361+45→1406
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1579): Lose by 9 points
31 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1338 (-7)	0-2	at KC (1602): Lose by 12
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1502): L 17-27: 1345-7→1338
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1602): Lose by 12 points
32 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1331 (-44)	0-2	at JAX (1488): Lose by 7
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1361): L 20-31: 1375-44→1331
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1488): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1626 (+40)	1-0	vs NYJ (1481): Win by 8
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1507): W 40-0: 1586+40→1626
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1481): Win by 8 points
2 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1620 (+29)	1-0	at LAR (1508): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1484): W 30-7: 1591+29→1620
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1508): Slight favorite
3 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1597 (-33)	0-1	vs BAL (1559): Win by 4
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1481): L 3-24: 1630-33→1597
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1559): Win by 4 points
4 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1591 (+9)	1-0	vs MIN (1440): Win by 8
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1563): W 25-20: 1582+9→1591
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1440): Win by 8 points
5 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1586 (-5)	0-1	vs LV (1496): Win by 6
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1476): L 16-22(OT): 1591-5→1586
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1496): Win by 6 points
6 (-4)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1580 (-13)	0-1	at JAX (1511): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1506): L 20-21: 1593-13→1580
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1511): Slight favorite
7 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1559 (+11)	1-0	at CIN (1597): Lose by 4
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1387): W 25-9: 1548+11→1559
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1597): Lose by 4 points
8 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1554 (-9)	0-1	vs MIA (1524): Win by 4
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1582): L 20-25: 1563-9→1554
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1524): Win by 4 points
9 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1530 (+23)	1-0	at ATL (1463): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1368): W 38-20: 1507+23→1530
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1463): Slight favorite
10 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1526 (-9)	0-1	at TEN (1479): Tossup
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1515): L 34-36: 1535-9→1526
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1479): Tossup
11 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1524 (+9)	1-0	at NE (1554): Lose by 4
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1535): W 36-34: 1515+9→1524
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1554): Lose by 4 points
12 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1519 (+13)	1-0	vs SEA (1471): Win by 5
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1593): W 21-20: 1506+13→1519
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1471): Win by 5 points
13 (+8)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1515 (+34)	1-0	at PIT (1456): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1630): W 24-3: 1481+34→1515
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1456): Slight underdog
14 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1511 (+14)	1-0	vs KC (1580): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1375): W 31-21: 1497+14→1511
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1580): Slight underdog
15 (+8)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1508 (+30)	1-0	vs SF (1620): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1502): W 30-13: 1478+30→1508
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1620): Slight underdog
16 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1502 (+5)	1-0	vs CHI (1345): Win by 8
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1444): W 20-17: 1497+5→1502
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1345): Win by 8 points
17 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1496 (+6)	1-0	at BUF (1586): Lose by 6
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1446): W 17-16: 1490+6→1496
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1586): Lose by 6 points
18 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1494	1-0	at CAR (1466): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1479): W 16-15: 1494+0→1494
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1466): Slight underdog
19 (+5)	New York JetsNYJ	1481 (+5)	1-0	at DAL (1626): Lose by 8
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1591): W 22-16(OT): 1476+5→1481
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1626): Lose by 8 points
20 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1479	0-1	vs LAC (1526): Tossup
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1494): L 15-16: 1479-0→1479
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1526): Tossup
21 (-7)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1471 (-31)	0-1	at DET (1519): Lose by 5
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1478): L 13-30: 1502-31→1471
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1519): Lose by 5 points
22 (+3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1469	1-0	at DEN (1441): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1450): W 20-16: 1469+0→1469
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1441): Slight underdog
23 (-12)	New York GiantsNYG	1467 (-40)	0-1	at ARI (1450): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1586): L 0-40: 1507-40→1467
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1450): Slight underdog
24 (-5)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1466 (-20)	0-1	vs NO (1494): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1442): L 10-24: 1486-20→1466
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1494): Slight favorite
25 (+4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1463 (+21)	1-0	vs GB (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1486): W 24-10: 1442+21→1463
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1530): Slight underdog
26 (-6)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1456 (-28)	0-1	vs CLE (1515): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1591): L 7-30: 1484-28→1456
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1515): Slight favorite
27 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1450	0-1	vs NYG (1467): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1469): L 16-20: 1450-0→1450
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1467): Slight favorite
28 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1441 (-5)	0-1	vs WAS (1469): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1490): L 16-17: 1446-5→1441
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1469): Slight favorite
29 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1440 (-4)	0-1	at PHI (1591): Lose by 8
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1497): L 17-20: 1444-4→1440
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1591): Lose by 8 points
30	Houston TexansHOU	1375 (-12)	0-1	vs IND (1361): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1548): L 9-25: 1387-12→1375
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1361): Slight favorite
31	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1361 (-14)	0-1	at HOU (1375): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1497): L 21-31: 1375-14→1361
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1375): Slight underdog
32	Chicago BearsCHI	1345 (-23)	0-1	at TB (1502): Lose by 8
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1507): L 20-38: 1368-23→1345
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1502): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2023 season:

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1630	0-0	at CLE (1481): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1638-8→1630
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1481): Slight favorite
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1593	0-0	vs DET (1506): Win by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1598-5→1593
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1506): Win by 6 points
3	San Francisco 49ersSF	1591	0-0	at PIT (1484): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1596-5→1591
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1484): Slight favorite
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1591	0-0	at NYJ (1476): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1596-5→1591
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1476): Slight favorite
5	Dallas CowboysDAL	1586	0-0	at NYG (1507): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1590-4→1586
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1507): Slight favorite
6	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1582	0-0	at NE (1563): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1587-5→1582
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1563): Slight underdog
7	New England PatriotsNE	1563	0-0	vs PHI (1582): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1567-4→1563
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1582): Slight favorite
8	Baltimore RavensBAL	1548	0-0	vs HOU (1387): Win by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1551-3→1548
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1387): Win by 8 points
9	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1535	0-0	vs MIA (1515): Win by 3
prev: offseason parity reset: 1537-2→1535
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1515): Win by 3 points
10	Miami DolphinsMIA	1515	0-0	at LAC (1535): Lose by 3
prev: offseason parity reset: 1515+0→1515
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1535): Lose by 3 points
11	New York GiantsNYG	1507	0-0	vs DAL (1586): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1508-1→1507
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1586): Slight underdog
12	Green Bay PackersGB	1507	0-0	at CHI (1368): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1507+0→1507
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1368): Slight favorite
13	Detroit LionsDET	1506	0-0	at KC (1593): Lose by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1507-1→1506
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1593): Lose by 6 points
14	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1502	0-0	vs LAR (1478): Win by 2
prev: offseason parity reset: 1502+0→1502
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1478): Win by 2 points
15	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1497	0-0	at MIN (1444): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1497+0→1497
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1444): Tossup
16	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1497	0-0	at IND (1375): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1497+0→1497
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1375): Slight favorite
17	New Orleans SaintsNO	1494	0-0	vs TEN (1479): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1494+0→1494
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1479): Slight favorite
18	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1490	0-0	at DEN (1446): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1490+0→1490
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1446): Slight underdog
19	Carolina PanthersCAR	1486	0-0	at ATL (1442): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1486+0→1486
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1442): Slight underdog
20	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1484	0-0	vs SF (1591): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1483+1→1484
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1591): Slight underdog
21	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1481	0-0	vs CIN (1630): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1480+1→1481
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1630): Slight underdog
22	Tennessee TitansTEN	1479	0-0	at NO (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1478+1→1479
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1494): Slight underdog
23	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1478	0-0	at SEA (1502): Lose by 2
prev: offseason parity reset: 1476+2→1478
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1502): Lose by 2 points
24	New York JetsNYJ	1476	0-0	vs BUF (1591): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1475+1→1476
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1591): Slight underdog
25	Washington CommandersWAS	1469	0-0	vs ARI (1450): Win by 2
prev: offseason parity reset: 1467+2→1469
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1450): Win by 2 points
26	Arizona CardinalsARI	1450	0-0	at WAS (1469): Lose by 2
prev: offseason parity reset: 1448+2→1450
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1469): Lose by 2 points
27	Denver BroncosDEN	1446	0-0	vs LV (1490): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1443+3→1446
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1490): Slight favorite
28	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1444	0-0	vs TB (1497): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1441+3→1444
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1497): Tossup
29	Atlanta FalconsATL	1442	0-0	vs CAR (1486): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1439+3→1442
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1486): Slight favorite
30	Houston TexansHOU	1387	0-0	at BAL (1548): Lose by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1381+6→1387
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1548): Lose by 8 points
31	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1375	0-0	vs JAX (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1368+7→1375
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1497): Slight underdog
32	Chicago BearsCHI	1368	0-0	vs GB (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1361+7→1368
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1507): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2023 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1531 (+123 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1529 \| avg. lost to rating: 1531 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	27	at WAS(1469) L 16-20: -0→1450	9	31	at CLE(1521) L 0-27: -25→1371	17	28	at PHI(1576) W 35-31: +33→1411
2	28	vs NYG(1467) L 28-31: -14→1436	10	29	vs ATL(1400) W 25-23: +3→1374	18	30	vs SEA(1490) L 20-21: -2→1409
3	17	vs DAL(1661) W 28-16: +57→1493	11	30	at HOU(1486) L 16-21: +5→1379	W	30
4	20	at SF(1664) L 16-35: -29→1464	12	31	vs LAR(1445) L 14-37: -31→1348	D	30
5	24	vs CIN(1502) L 20-34: -36→1428	13	30	at PIT(1481) W 24-10: +36→1384	C	30
6	27	at LAR(1484) L 9-26: -28→1400	14	30	(bye)	S	30
7	27	at SEA(1557) L 10-20: -6→1394	15	30	vs SF(1744) L 29-45: -3→1381
8	28	vs BAL(1643) L 24-31: +2→1396	16	30	at CHI(1433) L 16-27: -3→1378

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1456 (+37 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1476 \| avg. lost to rating: 1441 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	25	vs CAR(1486) W 24-10: +21→1463	9	27	vs MIN(1523) L 28-31: +1→1400	17	26	at CHI(1435) L 17-37: -15→1420
2	22	vs GB(1530) W 25-24: +11→1474	10	28	at ARI(1371) L 23-25: -3→1397	18	28	at NO(1523) L 17-48: -4→1416
3	21	at DET(1500) L 6-20: -33→1441	11	27	(bye)	W	28
4	30	at JAX(1412) L 7-23: -46→1395	12	25	vs NO(1498) W 24-15: +16→1413	D	28
5	27	vs HOU(1466) W 21-19: +9→1404	13	23	at NYJ(1402) W 13-8: +10→1423	C	28
6	29	vs WAS(1371) L 16-24: -25→1379	14	26	vs TB(1477) L 25-29: -5→1418	S	28
7	26	at TB(1493) W 16-13: +17→1396	15	26	at CAR(1330) L 7-9: -5→1413
8	27	at TEN(1472) L 23-28: +3→1399	16	23	vs IND(1452) W 29-10: +22→1435

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1528 (-105 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1548 \| avg. lost to rating: 1462 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	7	vs HOU(1387) W 25-9: +11→1559	9	1	vs SEA(1562) W 37-3: +33→1673	17	1	vs MIA(1615) W 56-19: +12→1722
2	6	at CIN(1597) W 27-24: +20→1579	10	2	vs CLE(1546) L 31-33: -15→1658	18	1	vs PIT(1475) L 10-17: -38→1684
3	9	vs IND(1406) L 19-22: -31→1548	11	2	vs CIN(1576) W 34-20: +13→1671	W	1	(bye)
4	5	at CLE(1560) W 28-3: +66→1614	12	3	at LAC(1546) W 20-10: +10→1681	D	1	vs HOU(1486) W 34-10: -7→1677
5	7	at PIT(1421) L 10-17: -27→1587	13	2	(bye)	C	1	vs KC(1608) L 10-17: -29→1648
6	8	at TEN(1480) W 24-16: +8→1595	14	3	vs LAR(1501) W 37-31: -19→1662	S	1
7	4	vs DET(1627) W 38-6: +48→1643	15	3	at JAX(1538) W 23-7: +14→1676
8	3	at ARI(1394) W 31-24: -3→1640	16	2	at SF(1747) W 33-19: +34→1710

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1510 (-152 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1518 \| avg. lost to rating: 1494 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	5	at NYJ(1476) L 16-22: -5→1586	9	3	at CIN(1582) L 18-24: -13→1653	17	4	vs NE(1428) W 27-21: -21→1645
2	2	vs LV(1496) W 38-10: +56→1642	10	5	vs DEN(1401) L 22-24: -24→1629	18	3	at MIA(1602) W 21-14: +14→1659
3	1	at WAS(1482) W 37-3: +63→1705	11	4	vs NYJ(1449) W 32-6: +21→1650	W	3	vs PIT(1513) W 31-17: -14→1645
4	1	vs MIA(1612) W 48-20: +49→1754	12	4	at PHI(1638) L 34-37: +0→1650	D	3	vs KC(1576) L 24-27: -32→1613
5	2	at JAX(1458) L 20-25: -39→1715	13	4	(bye)	C	4
6	2	vs NYG(1386) W 14-9: -22→1693	14	4	at KC(1613) W 20-17: +4→1654	S	4
7	2	at NE(1406) L 25-29: -19→1674	15	2	vs DAL(1695) W 31-10: +26→1680
8	1	vs TB(1476) W 24-18: -8→1666	16	3	at LAC(1467) W 24-22: -14→1666

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1483 (+105 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1446 \| avg. lost to rating: 1488 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	24	at ATL(1442) L 10-24: -20→1466	9	32	vs IND(1402) L 13-27: -26→1348	17	32	at JAX(1506) L 0-26: -1→1340
2	24	vs NO(1494) L 17-20: -14→1452	10	32	at CHI(1373) L 13-16: +1→1349	18	32	vs TB(1504) L 0-9: +6→1346
3	25	at SEA(1491) L 27-37: -19→1433	11	32	vs DAL(1655) L 10-33: -14→1335	W	32
4	28	vs MIN(1440) L 13-21: -27→1406	12	32	at TEN(1427) L 10-17: +1→1336	D	32
5	28	at DET(1576) L 24-42: -20→1386	13	31	at TB(1487) L 18-21: +9→1345	C	32
6	30	at MIA(1578) L 21-42: -22→1364	14	32	at NO(1479) L 6-28: -15→1330	S	32
7	31	(bye)	15	32	vs ATL(1418) W 9-7: +5→1335
8	31	vs HOU(1474) W 15-13: +10→1374	16	32	vs GB(1471) L 30-33: +6→1341

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1481 (+106 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1445 \| avg. lost to rating: 1506 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	32	vs GB(1507) L 20-38: -23→1345	9	30	at NO(1509) L 17-24: +3→1373	17	22	vs ATL(1435) W 37-17: +15→1450
2	31	at TB(1502) L 17-27: -7→1338	10	30	vs CAR(1348) W 16-13: -1→1372	18	22	at GB(1504) L 9-17: +12→1462
3	32	at KC(1602) L 10-41: -37→1301	11	29	at DET(1589) L 26-31: +8→1380	W	22
4	32	vs DEN(1372) L 28-31: -6→1295	12	28	at MIN(1522) W 12-10: +17→1397	D	22
5	31	at WAS(1436) W 40-20: +66→1361	13	26	(bye)	C	22
6	32	vs MIN(1461) L 13-19: -11→1350	14	25	vs DET(1563) W 28-13: +26→1423	S	22
7	30	vs LV(1428) W 30-12: +36→1386	15	24	at CLE(1504) L 17-20: +10→1433
8	32	at LAC(1511) L 13-30: -16→1370	16	24	vs ARI(1381) W 27-16: +2→1435

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1526 (-34 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1544 \| avg. lost to rating: 1507 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	3	at CLE(1481) L 3-24: -33→1597	9	7	vs BUF(1666) W 24-18: +12→1594	17	9	at KC(1583) L 17-25: +6→1527
2	7	vs BAL(1559) L 24-27: -20→1577	10	9	vs HOU(1468) L 27-30: -18→1576	18	10	vs CLE(1513) W 31-14: -2→1525
3	7	vs LAR(1490) W 19-16: -8→1569	11	9	at BAL(1658) L 20-34: -13→1563	W	12
4	12	at TEN(1430) L 3-27: -67→1502	12	10	vs PIT(1462) L 10-16: -20→1543	D	11
5	10	at ARI(1464) W 34-20: +36→1538	13	9	at JAX(1549) W 34-31: +8→1551	C	12
6	10	vs SEA(1563) W 17-13: +6→1544	14	8	vs IND(1447) W 34-14: +13→1564	S	12
7	10	(bye)	15	9	vs MIN(1506) W 27-24: -9→1555
8	9	at SF(1698) W 31-17: +38→1582	16	10	at PIT(1414) L 11-34: -34→1521

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (-12 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1511 \| avg. lost to rating: 1501 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	13	vs CIN(1630) W 24-3: +34→1515	9	12	vs ARI(1396) W 27-0: +25→1546	17	11	vs NYJ(1399) W 37-20: -2→1513
2	14	at PIT(1456) L 22-26: -9→1506	10	10	at BAL(1673) W 33-31: +15→1561	18	11	at CIN(1527) L 14-31: +2→1515
3	8	vs TEN(1484) W 27-3: +54→1560	11	10	vs PIT(1457) W 13-10: -5→1556	W	14	at HOU(1464) L 14-45: -22→1493
4	15	vs BAL(1548) L 3-28: -66→1494	12	12	at DEN(1435) L 12-29: -31→1525	D	15
5	15	(bye)	13	15	at LAR(1477) L 19-36: -24→1501	C	15
6	13	vs SF(1746) W 19-17: +23→1517	14	15	vs JAX(1541) W 31-27: +3→1504	S	15
7	12	at IND(1421) W 39-38: +2→1519	15	16	vs CHI(1423) W 20-17: -9→1495
8	14	at SEA(1564) L 20-24: +2→1521	16	12	at HOU(1451) W 36-22: +20→1515

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1513 (-134 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1475 \| avg. lost to rating: 1604 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	1	at NYG(1507) W 40-0: +40→1626	9	4	at PHI(1626) L 23-28: -4→1631	17	3	vs DET(1567) W 20-19: -18→1647
2	1	vs NYJ(1481) W 30-10: +35→1661	10	3	vs NYG(1386) W 49-17: +24→1655	18	4	at WAS(1367) W 38-10: -1→1646
3	6	at ARI(1436) L 16-28: -57→1604	11	3	at CAR(1349) W 33-10: +14→1669	W	5	vs GB(1492) L 32-48: -50→1596
4	3	vs NE(1535) W 38-3: +56→1660	12	2	vs WAS(1379) W 45-10: +20→1689	D	6
5	5	at SF(1693) L 10-42: -52→1608	13	3	vs SEA(1497) W 41-35: -11→1678	C	6
6	5	at LAC(1533) W 20-17: +6→1614	14	2	vs PHI(1611) W 33-13: +17→1695	S	6
7	6	(bye)	15	4	at BUF(1654) L 10-31: -26→1669
8	4	vs LAR(1490) W 43-20: +21→1635	16	4	at MIA(1610) L 20-22: -4→1665

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1510 (+85 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1523 \| avg. lost to rating: 1499 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	28	vs LV(1490) L 16-17: -5→1441	9	26	(bye)	17	21	vs LAC(1481) W 16-9: +3→1462
2	29	vs WAS(1469) L 33-35: -13→1428	10	24	at BUF(1653) W 24-22: +25→1426	18	23	at LV(1475) L 14-27: -0→1462
3	31	at MIA(1556) L 20-70: -56→1372	11	21	vs MIN(1531) W 21-20: +9→1435	W	23
4	31	at CHI(1301) W 31-28: +6→1378	12	21	vs CLE(1556) W 29-12: +30→1465	D	23
5	32	vs NYJ(1442) L 21-31: -24→1354	13	20	at HOU(1475) L 17-22: -1→1464	C	23
6	31	at KC(1636) L 8-19: -2→1352	14	16	at LAC(1538) W 24-7: +34→1498	S	23
7	32	vs GB(1468) W 19-17: +11→1363	15	17	at DET(1537) L 17-42: -21→1477
8	26	vs KC(1654) W 24-9: +38→1401	16	20	vs NE(1409) L 23-26: -18→1459

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1494 (-69 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1483 \| avg. lost to rating: 1518 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	12	at KC(1593) W 21-20: +13→1519	9	8	(bye)	17	6	at DAL(1665) L 19-20: +18→1585
2	15	vs SEA(1471) L 31-37: -19→1500	10	7	at LAC(1560) W 41-38: +5→1589	18	7	vs MIN(1466) W 30-20: -15→1570
3	11	vs ATL(1474) W 20-6: +32→1532	11	7	vs CHI(1372) W 31-26: -8→1581	W	9	vs LAR(1537) W 24-23: -28→1542
4	7	at GB(1520) W 34-20: +44→1576	12	8	vs GB(1464) L 22-29: -22→1559	D	12	vs TB(1490) W 31-23: -19→1523
5	6	vs CAR(1406) W 42-24: +20→1596	13	8	at NO(1482) W 33-28: +4→1563	C	9	at SF(1646) L 31-34: +23→1546
6	4	at TB(1524) W 20-6: +31→1627	14	10	at CHI(1397) L 13-28: -26→1537	S	9
7	7	at BAL(1595) L 6-38: -47→1580	15	8	vs DEN(1498) W 42-17: +20→1557
8	8	vs LV(1391) W 26-14: +4→1584	16	8	at MIN(1515) W 30-24: +10→1567

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1470 (-13 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1489 \| avg. lost to rating: 1449 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	9	at CHI(1368) W 38-20: +23→1530	9	19	vs LAR(1469) W 20-3: +27→1457	17	14	at MIN(1505) W 33-10: +40→1504
2	11	at ATL(1463) L 24-25: -10→1520	10	19	at PIT(1456) L 19-23: -1→1456	18	16	vs CHI(1450) W 17-9: -12→1492
3	13	vs NO(1508) W 18-17: +0→1520	11	18	vs LAC(1554) W 23-20: +8→1464	W	8	at DAL(1646) W 48-32: +50→1542
4	17	vs DET(1532) L 20-34: -43→1477	12	16	at DET(1581) W 29-22: +22→1486	D	7	at SF(1673) L 21-24: +26→1568
5	18	at LV(1418) L 13-17: -9→1468	13	14	vs KC(1632) W 27-19: +19→1505	C	7
6	21	(bye)	14	17	at NYG(1391) L 22-24: -8→1497	S	7
7	22	at DEN(1352) L 17-19: -12→1456	15	18	vs TB(1483) L 20-34: -26→1471
8	22	vs MIN(1497) L 10-24: -26→1430	16	19	at CAR(1335) W 33-30: -7→1464

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1460 (+18 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1472 \| avg. lost to rating: 1443 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	30	at BAL(1548) L 9-25: -12→1375	9	17	vs TB(1484) W 39-37: +3→1468	17	23	vs TEN(1436) W 26-3: +19→1450
2	32	vs IND(1361) L 20-31: -44→1331	10	17	at CIN(1594) W 30-27: +18→1486	18	21	at IND(1432) W 23-19: +14→1464
3	30	at JAX(1488) W 37-17: +75→1406	11	17	vs ARI(1374) W 21-16: -6→1480	W	18	vs CLE(1515) W 45-14: +22→1486
4	19	vs PIT(1481) W 30-6: +60→1466	12	20	vs JAX(1544) L 21-24: -5→1475	D	17	at BAL(1684) L 10-34: +6→1492
5	21	at ATL(1395) L 19-21: -9→1457	13	19	vs DEN(1465) W 22-17: +2→1477	C	17
6	18	vs NO(1524) W 20-13: +17→1474	14	21	at NYJ(1392) L 6-30: -34→1443	S	17
7	19	(bye)	15	22	at TEN(1445) W 19-16: +8→1451
8	20	at CAR(1364) L 13-15: -9→1465	16	25	vs CLE(1495) L 22-36: -20→1431

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1469 (+46 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1451 \| avg. lost to rating: 1489 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	31	vs JAX(1497) L 21-31: -14→1361	9	23	at CAR(1374) W 27-13: +25→1427	17	25	vs LV(1478) W 23-20: +3→1432
2	30	at HOU(1375) W 31-20: +45→1406	10	23	at NE(1402) W 10-6: +4→1431	18	27	vs HOU(1450) L 19-23: -15→1417
3	23	at BAL(1579) W 22-19: +31→1437	11	22	(bye)	W	27
4	25	vs LAR(1498) L 23-29: -4→1433	12	22	vs TB(1497) W 27-20: +10→1441	D	27
5	22	vs TEN(1497) W 23-16: +17→1450	13	21	at TEN(1426) W 31-28: +6→1447	C	27
6	24	at JAX(1498) L 20-37: -29→1421	14	22	at CIN(1551) L 14-34: -13→1434	S	27
7	24	vs CLE(1517) L 38-39: -1→1420	15	21	vs PIT(1432) W 30-13: +18→1452
8	25	vs NO(1491) L 27-38: -18→1402	16	26	at ATL(1413) L 10-29: -23→1429

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (-15 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1474 \| avg. lost to rating: 1526 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	14	at IND(1375) W 31-21: +14→1511	9	11	(bye)	17	12	vs CAR(1341) W 26-0: +1→1507
2	18	vs KC(1580) L 9-17: -23→1488	10	13	vs SF(1660) L 3-34: -36→1522	18	15	at TEN(1418) L 20-28: -14→1493
3	29	vs HOU(1331) L 17-37: -76→1412	11	12	vs TEN(1448) W 34-14: +22→1544	W	15
4	21	at ATL(1441) W 23-7: +46→1458	12	9	at HOU(1480) W 24-21: +5→1549	D	16
5	14	at BUF(1754) W 25-20: +40→1498	13	10	vs CIN(1543) L 31-34: -8→1541	C	16
6	12	vs IND(1450) W 37-20: +28→1526	14	9	at CLE(1501) L 27-31: -3→1538	S	16
7	11	at NO(1508) W 31-24: +17→1543	15	10	vs BAL(1662) L 7-23: -14→1524
8	11	at PIT(1470) W 20-10: +15→1558	16	14	at TB(1509) L 12-30: -18→1506

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1479 (-136 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1460 \| avg. lost to rating: 1515 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	6	vs DET(1506) L 20-21: -13→1580	9	6	at MIA(1588) W 21-14: +10→1626	17	7	vs CIN(1521) W 25-17: -6→1577
2	4	at JAX(1511) W 17-9: +22→1602	10	6	(bye)	18	6	at LAC(1477) W 13-12: +9→1586
3	3	vs CHI(1338) W 41-10: +37→1639	11	6	vs PHI(1630) L 17-21: -9→1617	W	6	vs MIA(1588) W 26-7: -10→1576
4	4	at NYJ(1434) W 23-20: -9→1630	12	6	at LV(1430) W 31-17: +15→1632	D	4	at BUF(1645) W 27-24: +32→1608
5	3	at MIN(1467) W 27-20: +6→1636	13	6	at GB(1486) L 19-27: -19→1613	C	2	at BAL(1677) W 17-10: +30→1638
6	3	vs DEN(1354) W 19-8: +2→1638	14	5	vs BUF(1650) L 17-20: -4→1609	S	2	at SF(1623) W 25-22: -1→1637
7	3	vs LAC(1527) W 31-17: +16→1654	15	6	at NE(1409) W 27-17: +0→1609
8	6	at DEN(1363) L 9-24: -38→1616	16	6	vs LV(1452) L 14-20: -26→1583

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (+59 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1472 \| avg. lost to rating: 1515 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	17	at DEN(1446) W 17-16: +6→1496	9	24	vs NYG(1420) W 30-6: +34→1421	17	18	at IND(1429) L 20-23: -3→1475
2	27	at BUF(1586) L 10-38: -57→1439	10	25	vs NYJ(1452) W 16-12: +4→1425	18	19	vs DEN(1462) W 27-14: +0→1475
3	27	vs PIT(1465) L 18-23: -16→1423	11	23	at MIA(1579) L 13-20: +5→1430	W	20
4	27	at LAC(1529) L 17-24: -5→1418	12	24	vs KC(1617) L 17-31: -15→1415	D	20
5	25	vs GB(1477) W 17-13: +9→1427	13	25	(bye)	C	20
6	23	vs NE(1407) W 21-17: +1→1428	14	27	vs MIN(1506) L 0-3: -0→1415	S	20
7	28	at CHI(1350) L 12-30: -37→1391	15	20	vs LAC(1504) W 63-21: +37→1452
8	29	at DET(1580) L 14-26: -4→1387	16	18	at KC(1609) W 20-14: +26→1478

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1511 (-11 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1428 \| avg. lost to rating: 1545 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	10	vs MIA(1515) L 34-36: -9→1526	9	10	at NYJ(1485) W 27-6: +33→1560	17	17	at DEN(1459) L 9-16: -4→1477
2	10	at TEN(1479) L 24-27: -5→1521	10	11	vs DET(1584) L 38-41: -6→1554	18	20	vs KC(1577) L 12-13: -10→1467
3	12	at MIN(1447) W 28-24: +8→1529	11	11	at GB(1456) L 20-23: -8→1546	W	21
4	10	vs LV(1423) W 24-17: +4→1533	12	11	vs BAL(1671) L 10-20: -9→1537	D	21
5	11	(bye)	13	11	at NE(1397) W 6-0: +1→1538	C	21
6	11	vs DAL(1608) L 17-20: -6→1527	14	14	vs DEN(1464) L 7-24: -34→1504	S	21
7	13	at KC(1638) L 17-31: -16→1511	15	19	at LV(1415) L 21-63: -37→1467
8	12	vs CHI(1386) W 30-13: +16→1527	16	17	vs BUF(1680) L 22-24: +14→1481

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1512 (+22 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1474 \| avg. lost to rating: 1567 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	15	at SEA(1502) W 30-13: +30→1508	9	22	at GB(1430) L 3-20: -27→1442	17	13	at NYG(1401) W 26-25: -8→1506
2	17	vs SF(1620) L 23-30: -18→1490	10	22	(bye)	18	8	at SF(1704) W 21-20: +31→1537
3	16	at CIN(1577) L 16-19: +8→1498	11	20	vs SEA(1520) W 17-16: +3→1445	W	7	at DET(1570) L 23-24: +29→1566
4	13	at IND(1437) W 29-23: +3→1501	12	19	at ARI(1379) W 37-14: +32→1477	D	8
5	16	vs PHI(1604) L 14-23: -17→1484	13	16	vs CLE(1525) W 36-19: +24→1501	C	8
6	14	vs ARI(1428) W 26-9: +28→1512	14	11	at BAL(1681) L 31-37: +18→1519	S	8
7	16	vs PIT(1448) L 17-24: -22→1490	15	13	vs WAS(1339) W 28-20: -9→1510
8	19	at DAL(1614) L 20-43: -21→1469	16	13	vs NO(1503) W 30-22: +4→1514

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1514 (-69 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1458 \| avg. lost to rating: 1616 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	11	at LAC(1535) W 36-34: +9→1524	9	9	at KC(1616) L 14-21: -9→1579	17	5	at BAL(1710) L 19-56: -13→1602
2	8	at NE(1554) W 24-17: +32→1556	10	8	(bye)	18	5	vs BUF(1645) L 14-21: -14→1588
3	5	vs DEN(1428) W 70-20: +56→1612	11	8	vs LV(1425) W 20-13: -6→1573	W	4	at KC(1586) L 7-26: +10→1598
4	9	at BUF(1705) L 20-48: -49→1563	12	7	at NYJ(1427) W 34-13: +25→1598	D	5
5	8	vs NYG(1401) W 31-16: +15→1578	13	5	at WAS(1359) W 45-15: +21→1619	C	5
6	7	vs CAR(1386) W 42-21: +22→1600	14	6	vs TEN(1420) L 27-28: -25→1594	S	5
7	8	at PHI(1600) L 17-31: -24→1576	15	5	vs NYJ(1425) W 30-0: +16→1610
8	7	vs NE(1426) W 31-17: +12→1588	16	5	vs DAL(1669) W 22-20: +5→1615

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (+14 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1471 \| avg. lost to rating: 1522 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	29	vs TB(1497) L 17-20: -4→1440	9	14	at ATL(1399) W 31-28: -0→1523	17	20	vs GB(1464) L 10-33: -39→1466
2	25	at PHI(1591) L 28-34: +7→1447	10	12	vs NO(1506) W 27-19: +8→1531	18	18	at DET(1585) L 20-30: +15→1481
3	22	vs LAC(1521) L 24-28: -7→1440	11	13	at DEN(1426) L 20-21: -9→1522	W	19
4	18	at CAR(1433) W 21-13: +27→1467	12	13	vs CHI(1380) L 10-12: -16→1506	D	19
5	20	vs KC(1630) L 20-27: -6→1461	13	13	(bye)	C	19
6	19	at CHI(1361) W 19-13: +12→1473	14	13	at LV(1415) W 3-0: +0→1506	S	19
7	14	vs SF(1723) W 22-17: +24→1497	15	12	at CIN(1564) L 24-27: +9→1515
8	13	at GB(1456) W 24-10: +26→1523	16	15	vs DET(1557) L 24-30: -10→1505

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (+62 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1515 \| avg. lost to rating: 1506 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	8	vs PHI(1582) L 20-25: -9→1554	9	25	vs WAS(1385) L 17-20: -11→1402	17	24	at BUF(1666) L 21-27: +20→1448
2	9	vs MIA(1524) L 17-24: -32→1522	10	27	at IND(1427) L 6-10: -3→1399	18	29	vs NYJ(1401) L 3-17: -37→1411
3	10	at NYJ(1446) W 15-10: +13→1535	11	26	(bye)	W	29
4	16	at DAL(1604) L 3-38: -57→1478	12	27	at NYG(1388) L 7-10: -2→1397	D	29
5	26	vs NO(1454) L 0-34: -71→1407	13	27	vs LAC(1537) L 0-6: -1→1396	C	29
6	26	at LV(1427) L 17-21: -1→1406	14	28	at PIT(1445) W 21-18: +13→1409	S	29
7	23	vs BUF(1693) W 29-25: +20→1426	15	27	vs KC(1609) L 17-27: -0→1409
8	24	at MIA(1576) L 17-31: -13→1413	16	27	at DEN(1477) W 26-23: +19→1428

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1463 (-36 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1434 \| avg. lost to rating: 1495 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	18	vs TEN(1479) W 16-15: +0→1494	9	15	vs CHI(1370) W 24-17: -3→1506	17	10	at TB(1527) W 23-13: +24→1523
2	13	at CAR(1466) W 20-17: +14→1508	10	16	at MIN(1523) L 19-27: -8→1498	18	9	vs ATL(1420) W 48-17: +4→1527
3	15	at GB(1520) L 17-18: -0→1508	11	15	(bye)	W	11
4	22	vs TB(1470) L 9-26: -54→1454	12	17	at ATL(1397) L 15-24: -16→1482	D	10
5	12	at NE(1478) W 34-0: +70→1524	13	17	vs DET(1559) L 28-33: -3→1479	C	11
6	15	at HOU(1457) L 13-20: -16→1508	14	18	vs CAR(1345) W 28-6: +15→1494	S	11
7	15	vs JAX(1526) L 24-31: -17→1491	15	15	vs NYG(1399) W 24-6: +9→1503
8	15	at IND(1420) W 38-27: +18→1509	16	16	at LAR(1510) L 22-30: -4→1499

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1518 (+103 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1450 \| avg. lost to rating: 1556 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	23	vs DAL(1586) L 0-40: -40→1467	9	29	at LV(1387) L 6-30: -34→1386	17	29	vs LAR(1514) L 25-26: +8→1409
2	21	at ARI(1450) W 31-28: +14→1481	10	31	at DAL(1631) L 17-49: -23→1363	18	24	vs PHI(1543) W 27-10: +33→1442
3	20	at SF(1638) L 12-30: -27→1454	11	28	at WAS(1404) W 31-19: +25→1388	W	24
4	29	vs SEA(1510) L 3-24: -53→1401	12	29	vs NE(1399) W 10-7: +3→1391	D	24
5	29	at MIA(1563) L 16-31: -15→1386	13	29	(bye)	C	24
6	25	at BUF(1715) L 9-14: +22→1408	14	29	vs GB(1505) W 24-22: +8→1399	S	24
7	25	vs WAS(1396) W 14-7: +8→1416	15	29	at NO(1494) L 6-24: -9→1390
8	23	vs NYJ(1489) L 10-13: +4→1420	16	28	at PHI(1586) L 25-33: +11→1401

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1514 (+74 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1468 \| avg. lost to rating: 1546 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	19	vs BUF(1591) W 22-16: +5→1481	9	21	vs LAC(1527) L 6-27: -33→1452	17	30	at CLE(1515) L 20-37: +2→1401
2	26	at DAL(1626) L 10-30: -35→1446	10	20	at LV(1421) L 12-16: -3→1449	18	25	at NE(1448) W 17-3: +37→1438
3	24	vs NE(1522) L 10-15: -12→1434	11	24	at BUF(1629) L 6-32: -22→1427	W	25
4	23	vs KC(1639) L 20-23: +8→1442	12	26	vs MIA(1573) L 13-34: -25→1402	D	25
5	19	at DEN(1378) W 31-21: +25→1467	13	28	vs ATL(1413) L 8-13: -10→1392	C	25
6	17	vs PHI(1622) W 20-14: +22→1489	14	24	vs HOU(1477) W 30-6: +33→1425	S	25
7	17	(bye)	15	28	at MIA(1594) L 0-30: -16→1409
8	16	vs NYG(1416) W 13-10: -4→1485	16	29	vs WAS(1348) W 30-28: -10→1399

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1522 (-82 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1520 \| avg. lost to rating: 1527 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	4	at NE(1563) W 25-20: +9→1591	9	5	vs DAL(1635) W 28-23: +4→1630	17	8	vs ARI(1378) L 31-35: -33→1543
2	5	vs MIN(1440) W 34-28: -8→1583	10	4	(bye)	18	13	at NYG(1409) L 10-27: -33→1510
3	4	at TB(1508) W 25-11: +38→1621	11	5	at KC(1626) W 21-17: +8→1638	W	13	at TB(1497) L 9-32: +7→1517
4	6	vs WAS(1419) W 34-31: -17→1604	12	5	vs BUF(1650) W 37-34: -0→1638	D	13
5	4	at LAR(1501) W 23-14: +18→1622	13	7	vs SF(1719) L 19-42: -27→1611	C	13
6	6	at NYJ(1467) L 14-20: -22→1600	14	7	at DAL(1678) L 13-33: -17→1594	S	13
7	5	vs MIA(1600) W 31-17: +23→1623	15	7	at SEA(1509) L 17-20: -8→1586
8	5	at WAS(1387) W 38-31: +3→1626	16	7	vs NYG(1390) W 33-25: -10→1576

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (+53 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1536 \| avg. lost to rating: 1468 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	26	vs SF(1591) L 7-30: -28→1456	9	20	vs TEN(1469) W 20-16: +2→1456	17	19	at SEA(1517) W 30-23: +27→1475
2	23	vs CLE(1515) W 26-22: +9→1465	10	18	vs GB(1457) W 23-19: +1→1457	18	12	at BAL(1722) W 17-10: +38→1513
3	18	at LV(1439) W 23-18: +16→1481	11	19	at CLE(1561) L 10-13: +5→1462	W	10	at BUF(1659) L 17-31: +15→1528
4	26	at HOU(1406) L 6-30: -60→1421	12	18	at CIN(1563) W 16-10: +19→1481	D	9
5	23	vs BAL(1614) W 17-10: +27→1448	13	22	vs ARI(1348) L 10-24: -36→1445	C	10
6	22	(bye)	14	23	vs NE(1396) L 18-21: -13→1432	S	10
7	21	at LAR(1512) W 24-17: +22→1470	15	25	at IND(1434) L 13-30: -18→1414
8	21	vs JAX(1543) L 10-20: -16→1454	16	21	vs CIN(1555) W 34-11: +34→1448

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1516 (-178 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1507 \| avg. lost to rating: 1539 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	2	at PIT(1484) W 30-7: +29→1620	9	2	(bye)	17	2	at WAS(1357) W 27-10: -10→1704
2	3	at LAR(1508) W 30-23: +18→1638	10	1	at JAX(1558) W 34-3: +36→1696	18	2	vs LAR(1506) L 20-21: -31→1673
3	2	vs NYG(1481) W 30-12: +26→1664	11	1	vs TB(1500) W 27-14: +3→1699	W	2	(bye)
4	2	vs ARI(1493) W 35-16: +29→1693	12	1	at SEA(1516) W 31-13: +20→1719	D	2	vs GB(1542) W 24-21: -27→1646
5	1	vs DAL(1660) W 42-10: +53→1746	13	1	at PHI(1638) W 42-19: +27→1746	C	3	vs DET(1523) W 34-31: -23→1623
6	1	at CLE(1494) L 17-19: -23→1723	14	1	vs SEA(1508) W 28-16: -2→1744	S	3	at KC(1638) L 22-25: +1→1624
7	1	at MIN(1473) L 17-22: -25→1698	15	1	at ARI(1384) W 45-29: +3→1747
8	2	vs CIN(1544) L 17-31: -38→1660	16	1	vs BAL(1676) L 19-33: -33→1714

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1521 (+2 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1465 \| avg. lost to rating: 1585 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	21	vs LAR(1478) L 13-30: -31→1471	9	13	at BAL(1640) L 3-37: -33→1529	17	16	vs PIT(1448) L 23-30: -27→1490
2	16	at DET(1519) W 37-31: +20→1491	10	14	vs WAS(1396) W 29-26: -9→1520	18	17	at ARI(1411) W 21-20: +2→1492
3	14	vs CAR(1452) W 37-27: +19→1510	11	14	at LAR(1442) L 16-17: -4→1516	W	16
4	8	at NYG(1454) W 24-3: +53→1563	12	14	vs SF(1699) L 13-31: -19→1497	D	18
5	9	(bye)	13	12	at DAL(1689) L 35-41: +11→1508	C	18
6	9	at CIN(1538) L 13-17: -6→1557	14	12	at SF(1746) L 16-28: +1→1509	S	18
7	9	vs ARI(1400) W 20-10: +7→1564	15	11	vs PHI(1594) W 20-17: +7→1516
8	10	vs CLE(1519) W 24-20: -2→1562	16	11	at TEN(1437) W 20-17: +1→1517

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1483 (-13 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1431 \| avg. lost to rating: 1540 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	16	at MIN(1444) W 20-17: +5→1502	9	16	at HOU(1465) L 37-39: -3→1481	17	15	vs NO(1499) L 13-23: -23→1504
2	12	vs CHI(1345) W 27-17: +6→1508	10	15	vs TEN(1466) W 20-6: +19→1500	18	14	at CAR(1340) W 9-0: -7→1497
3	19	vs PHI(1583) L 11-25: -38→1470	11	16	at SF(1696) L 14-27: -3→1497	W	17	vs PHI(1510) W 32-9: -7→1490
4	11	at NO(1508) W 26-9: +54→1524	12	15	at IND(1431) L 20-27: -10→1487	D	14	at DET(1542) L 23-31: +19→1509
5	13	(bye)	13	18	vs CAR(1336) W 21-18: -10→1477	C	14
6	16	vs DET(1596) L 6-20: -31→1493	14	19	at ATL(1423) W 29-25: +6→1483	S	14
7	18	vs ATL(1379) L 13-16: -17→1476	15	14	at GB(1497) W 34-20: +26→1509
8	17	at BUF(1674) L 18-24: +8→1484	16	9	vs JAX(1524) W 30-12: +18→1527

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1486 (+32 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1492 \| avg. lost to rating: 1483 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	20	at NO(1494) L 15-16: -0→1479	9	18	at PIT(1454) L 16-20: -3→1466	17	27	at HOU(1431) L 3-26: -18→1418
2	19	vs LAC(1526) W 27-24: +5→1484	10	21	at TB(1481) L 6-20: -18→1448	18	26	vs JAX(1507) W 28-20: +14→1432
3	26	at CLE(1506) L 3-27: -54→1430	11	25	at JAX(1522) L 14-34: -21→1427	W	26
4	14	vs CIN(1569) W 27-3: +67→1497	12	23	vs CAR(1335) W 17-10: -1→1426	D	26
5	17	at IND(1433) L 16-23: -17→1480	13	24	vs IND(1441) L 28-31: -6→1420	C	26
6	20	at BAL(1587) L 16-24: -8→1472	14	20	at MIA(1619) W 28-27: +25→1445	S	26
7	20	(bye)	15	23	vs HOU(1443) L 16-19: -8→1437
8	18	vs ATL(1396) W 28-23: -3→1469	16	22	vs SEA(1516) L 17-20: -1→1436

↑ Washington Commanders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1514 (+117 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1427 \| avg. lost to rating: 1541 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	22	vs ARI(1450) W 20-16: +0→1469	9	28	at NE(1413) W 20-17: +11→1396	17	31	vs SF(1714) L 10-27: +10→1367
2	20	at DEN(1441) W 35-33: +13→1482	10	26	at SEA(1529) L 26-29: +8→1404	18	31	vs DAL(1647) L 10-38: +0→1367
3	28	vs BUF(1642) L 3-37: -63→1419	11	31	vs NYG(1363) L 19-31: -25→1379	W	31
4	24	at PHI(1621) L 31-34: +17→1436	12	30	at DAL(1669) L 10-45: -20→1359	D	31
5	30	vs CHI(1295) L 20-40: -65→1371	13	32	vs MIA(1598) L 15-45: -20→1339	C	31
6	28	at ATL(1404) W 24-16: +25→1396	14	31	(bye)	S	31
7	29	at NYG(1408) L 7-14: -9→1387	15	31	at LAR(1519) L 20-28: +9→1348
8	30	vs PHI(1623) L 31-38: -2→1385	16	31	at NYJ(1409) L 28-30: +9→1357

↑ 2023 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 7 games (weeks 11-18) Chicago Bears: +91 total Elo rating
2. 4 games (weeks 16-19) Pittsburgh Steelers: +114 total Elo rating
3. 4 games (weeks 17-20) Houston Texans: +61 total Elo rating
4. 4 games (weeks 15-18) Washington Commanders: +29 total Elo rating
5. 3 games (weeks 16-18) New York Giants: +52 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 5 games (weeks 15-19) Dallas Cowboys: -98 total Elo rating
2. 3 games (weeks 18-21) Baltimore Ravens: -75 total Elo rating
3. 2 games (weeks 19-20) Buffalo Bills: -46 total Elo rating
4. 2 games (weeks 17-18) Atlanta Falcons: -19 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 17-18) Los Angeles Chargers: -13 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 5, 296-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1754) 11-point favorites at Jacksonville Jaguars (1458): Jaguars win 25-20
2. Week 8, 291-Elo upset: Kansas City Chiefs (1654) 7-point favorites at Denver Broncos (1363): Broncos win 24-9
3. Week 7, 287-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1693) 7-point favorites at New England Patriots (1406): Patriots win 29-25
4. Week 10, 252-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1653) 12-point favorites vs Denver Broncos (1401): Broncos win 24-22
5. Week 6, 252-Elo upset: San Francisco 49ers (1746) 7-point favorites at Cleveland Browns (1494): Browns win 19-17
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week W, 53-point differential: Dallas Cowboys (1646) 37-point favorites vs Green Bay Packers (1492): Packers win 48-32
2. Week 18, 39-point differential: Baltimore Ravens (1722) 32-point favorites vs Pittsburgh Steelers (1475): Steelers win 17-10
3. Week 17, 33-point differential: Minnesota Vikings (1505) 10-point favorites vs Green Bay Packers (1464): Packers win 33-10
4. Week 18, 30-point differential: New England Patriots (1448) 16-point favorites vs New York Jets (1401): Jets win 17-3
5. Week 5, 38-point differential: New England Patriots (1478) 4-point favorites vs New Orleans Saints (1454): Saints win 34-0
6. Week D, 35-point differential: Buffalo Bills (1645) 32-point favorites vs Kansas City Chiefs (1576): Chiefs win 27-24
7. Week C, 30-point differential: Baltimore Ravens (1677) 23-point favorites vs Kansas City Chiefs (1608): Chiefs win 17-10
8. Week 15, 42-point differential: Los Angeles Chargers (1504) Tossup favorites vs Las Vegas Raiders (1415): Raiders win 63-21
9. Week 18, 27-point differential: Philadelphia Eagles (1543) 10-point favorites vs New York Giants (1409): Giants win 27-10
10. Week 5, 28-point differential: Washington Commanders (1436) 8-point favorites vs Chicago Bears (1295): Bears win 40-20
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +105: Houston Texans (1387) before week 1 → (1492) thru week 20
2. +100: Baltimore Ravens (1548) before week 1 → (1648) thru week 21
3. +94: Chicago Bears (1368) before week 1 → (1462) thru week 18
4. +88: Los Angeles Rams (1478) before week 1 → (1566) thru week 19
5. +83: Miami Dolphins (1515) before week 1 → (1598) thru week 19
more...
1. +62: Green Bay Packers (1507) before week 1 → (1568) thru week 20
2. +45: Kansas City Chiefs (1593) before week 1 → (1637) thru week 22
3. +44: Pittsburgh Steelers (1484) before week 1 → (1528) thru week 19
4. +43: Indianapolis Colts (1375) before week 1 → (1417) thru week 18
5. +40: Detroit Lions (1506) before week 1 → (1546) thru week 21
6. +37: Minnesota Vikings (1444) before week 1 → (1481) thru week 18
7. +33: San Francisco 49ers (1591) before week 1 → (1624) thru week 22
8. +32: New Orleans Saints (1494) before week 1 → (1527) thru week 18
9. +23: Buffalo Bills (1591) before week 1 → (1613) thru week 20
10. +16: Denver Broncos (1446) before week 1 → (1462) thru week 18
11. +12: Cleveland Browns (1481) before week 1 → (1493) thru week 19
12. +11: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1497) before week 1 → (1509) thru week 20
13. +11: Dallas Cowboys (1586) before week 1 → (1596) thru week 19
14. -4: Jacksonville Jaguars (1497) before week 1 → (1493) thru week 18
15. -10: Seattle Seahawks (1502) before week 1 → (1492) thru week 18
16. -15: Las Vegas Raiders (1490) before week 1 → (1475) thru week 18
17. -26: Atlanta Falcons (1442) before week 1 → (1416) thru week 18
18. -38: New York Jets (1476) before week 1 → (1438) thru week 18
19. -41: Arizona Cardinals (1450) before week 1 → (1409) thru week 18
20. -47: Tennessee Titans (1479) before week 1 → (1432) thru week 18
21. -65: New York Giants (1507) before week 1 → (1442) thru week 18
22. -65: Philadelphia Eagles (1582) before week 1 → (1517) thru week 19
23. -68: Los Angeles Chargers (1535) before week 1 → (1467) thru week 18
24. -102: Washington Commanders (1469) before week 1 → (1367) thru week 18
25. -105: Cincinnati Bengals (1630) before week 1 → (1525) thru week 18
26. -140: Carolina Panthers (1486) before week 1 → (1346) thru week 18
27. -152: New England Patriots (1563) before week 1 → (1411) thru week 18
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -152: New England Patriots (1563) before week 1 → (1411) thru week 18
2. -140: Carolina Panthers (1486) before week 1 → (1346) thru week 18
3. -105: Cincinnati Bengals (1630) before week 1 → (1525) thru week 18
4. -102: Washington Commanders (1469) before week 1 → (1367) thru week 18
5. -68: Los Angeles Chargers (1535) before week 1 → (1467) thru week 18
more...
1. -65: Philadelphia Eagles (1582) before week 1 → (1517) thru week 19
2. -65: New York Giants (1507) before week 1 → (1442) thru week 18
3. -47: Tennessee Titans (1479) before week 1 → (1432) thru week 18
4. -41: Arizona Cardinals (1450) before week 1 → (1409) thru week 18
5. -38: New York Jets (1476) before week 1 → (1438) thru week 18
6. -26: Atlanta Falcons (1442) before week 1 → (1416) thru week 18
7. -15: Las Vegas Raiders (1490) before week 1 → (1475) thru week 18
8. -10: Seattle Seahawks (1502) before week 1 → (1492) thru week 18
9. -4: Jacksonville Jaguars (1497) before week 1 → (1493) thru week 18
10. +11: Dallas Cowboys (1586) before week 1 → (1596) thru week 19
11. +11: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1497) before week 1 → (1509) thru week 20
12. +12: Cleveland Browns (1481) before week 1 → (1493) thru week 19
13. +16: Denver Broncos (1446) before week 1 → (1462) thru week 18
14. +23: Buffalo Bills (1591) before week 1 → (1613) thru week 20
15. +32: New Orleans Saints (1494) before week 1 → (1527) thru week 18
16. +33: San Francisco 49ers (1591) before week 1 → (1624) thru week 22
17. +37: Minnesota Vikings (1444) before week 1 → (1481) thru week 18
18. +40: Detroit Lions (1506) before week 1 → (1546) thru week 21
19. +43: Indianapolis Colts (1375) before week 1 → (1417) thru week 18
20. +44: Pittsburgh Steelers (1484) before week 1 → (1528) thru week 19
21. +45: Kansas City Chiefs (1593) before week 1 → (1637) thru week 22
22. +62: Green Bay Packers (1507) before week 1 → (1568) thru week 20
23. +83: Miami Dolphins (1515) before week 1 → (1598) thru week 19
24. +88: Los Angeles Rams (1478) before week 1 → (1566) thru week 19
25. +94: Chicago Bears (1368) before week 1 → (1462) thru week 18
26. +100: Baltimore Ravens (1548) before week 1 → (1648) thru week 21
27. +105: Houston Texans (1387) before week 1 → (1492) thru week 20
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +168: Buffalo Bills (1586) before week 2 → (1754) thru week 4
2. +155: San Francisco 49ers (1591) before week 1 → (1746) thru week 5
3. +155: Houston Texans (1331) before week 3 → (1486) thru week 10
4. +146: Jacksonville Jaguars (1412) before week 4 → (1558) thru week 8
5. +146: Denver Broncos (1352) before week 7 → (1498) thru week 14
more...
1. +127: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 3 → (1627) thru week 6
2. +125: Baltimore Ravens (1548) before week 4 → (1673) thru week 9
3. +120: Los Angeles Rams (1445) before week 12 → (1566) thru week 19
4. +114: Pittsburgh Steelers (1414) before week 16 → (1528) thru week 19
5. +104: Green Bay Packers (1464) before week 17 → (1568) thru week 20
6. +101: Chicago Bears (1295) before week 5 → (1397) thru week 12
7. +98: Miami Dolphins (1515) before week 1 → (1612) thru week 3
8. +92: Seattle Seahawks (1471) before week 2 → (1563) thru week 4
9. +92: Cincinnati Bengals (1502) before week 5 → (1594) thru week 9
10. +91: Minnesota Vikings (1440) before week 4 → (1531) thru week 10
11. +91: Las Vegas Raiders (1387) before week 9 → (1478) thru week 16
12. +89: Indianapolis Colts (1361) before week 2 → (1450) thru week 5
13. +81: Dallas Cowboys (1608) before week 6 → (1689) thru week 12
14. +80: New York Giants (1363) before week 11 → (1442) thru week 18
15. +79: Cleveland Browns (1481) before week 1 → (1560) thru week 3
16. +74: Kansas City Chiefs (1580) before week 2 → (1654) thru week 7
17. +63: Arizona Cardinals (1348) before week 13 → (1411) thru week 17
18. +55: New York Jets (1434) before week 4 → (1489) thru week 6
19. +55: New Orleans Saints (1454) before week 5 → (1509) thru week 8
20. +52: New England Patriots (1396) before week 14 → (1448) thru week 17
21. +50: Tennessee Titans (1430) before week 4 → (1480) thru week 5
22. +50: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1477) before week 14 → (1527) thru week 16
23. +49: Los Angeles Chargers (1511) before week 8 → (1560) thru week 9
24. +47: Philadelphia Eagles (1583) before week 3 → (1630) thru week 9
25. +44: Atlanta Falcons (1379) before week 7 → (1423) thru week 13
26. +34: Washington Commanders (1371) before week 6 → (1404) thru week 10
27. +17: Carolina Panthers (1330) before week 15 → (1346) thru week 18
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -157: New England Patriots (1563) before week 1 → (1406) thru week 6
2. -128: Cincinnati Bengals (1630) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 4
3. -128: Philadelphia Eagles (1638) before week 13 → (1510) thru week 18
4. -126: Buffalo Bills (1754) before week 5 → (1629) thru week 10
5. -124: San Francisco 49ers (1747) before week 16 → (1623) thru week 21
more...
1. -122: New York Giants (1507) before week 1 → (1386) thru week 5
2. -122: Carolina Panthers (1486) before week 1 → (1364) thru week 6
3. -122: Arizona Cardinals (1493) before week 4 → (1371) thru week 9
4. -111: Washington Commanders (1482) before week 3 → (1371) thru week 5
5. -108: Las Vegas Raiders (1496) before week 2 → (1387) thru week 8
6. -101: Green Bay Packers (1530) before week 2 → (1430) thru week 8
7. -98: Jacksonville Jaguars (1511) before week 2 → (1412) thru week 3
8. -98: Dallas Cowboys (1695) before week 15 → (1596) thru week 19
9. -97: New York Jets (1489) before week 7 → (1392) thru week 13
10. -95: Atlanta Falcons (1474) before week 3 → (1379) thru week 6
11. -94: Denver Broncos (1446) before week 1 → (1352) thru week 6
12. -93: Los Angeles Chargers (1560) before week 10 → (1467) thru week 15
13. -90: Detroit Lions (1627) before week 7 → (1537) thru week 14
14. -75: Baltimore Ravens (1722) before week 18 → (1648) thru week 21
15. -73: Chicago Bears (1368) before week 1 → (1295) thru week 4
16. -71: Tennessee Titans (1497) before week 5 → (1426) thru week 12
17. -70: Los Angeles Rams (1512) before week 7 → (1442) thru week 9
18. -67: Pittsburgh Steelers (1481) before week 13 → (1414) thru week 15
19. -67: Cleveland Browns (1561) before week 11 → (1495) thru week 15
20. -67: Seattle Seahawks (1564) before week 8 → (1497) thru week 12
21. -65: Minnesota Vikings (1531) before week 11 → (1466) thru week 17
22. -56: Houston Texans (1387) before week 1 → (1331) thru week 2
23. -55: Kansas City Chiefs (1632) before week 13 → (1577) thru week 17
24. -54: New Orleans Saints (1508) before week 3 → (1454) thru week 4
25. -48: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1524) before week 5 → (1476) thru week 7
26. -48: Indianapolis Colts (1450) before week 6 → (1402) thru week 8
27. -39: Miami Dolphins (1612) before week 4 → (1573) thru week 11
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Arizona Cardinals: 1531
2. Baltimore Ravens: 1528
3. Cincinnati Bengals: 1526
4. Philadelphia Eagles: 1522
5. Seattle Seahawks: 1521
more...
1. New York Giants: 1518
2. San Francisco 49ers: 1516
3. Washington Commanders: 1514
4. New York Jets: 1514
5. Miami Dolphins: 1514
6. Dallas Cowboys: 1513
7. Los Angeles Rams: 1512
8. Los Angeles Chargers: 1511
9. Denver Broncos: 1510
10. Buffalo Bills: 1510
11. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1508
12. New England Patriots: 1508
13. Cleveland Browns: 1508
14. Minnesota Vikings: 1501
15. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1498
16. Las Vegas Raiders: 1495
17. Detroit Lions: 1494
18. Tennessee Titans: 1486
19. Carolina Panthers: 1483
20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1483
21. Chicago Bears: 1481
22. Kansas City Chiefs: 1479
23. Green Bay Packers: 1470
24. Indianapolis Colts: 1469
25. New Orleans Saints: 1463
26. Houston Texans: 1460
27. Atlanta Falcons: 1456
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Atlanta Falcons: 1456
2. Houston Texans: 1460
3. New Orleans Saints: 1463
4. Indianapolis Colts: 1469
5. Green Bay Packers: 1470
more...
1. Kansas City Chiefs: 1479
2. Chicago Bears: 1481
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1483
4. Carolina Panthers: 1483
5. Tennessee Titans: 1486
6. Detroit Lions: 1494
7. Las Vegas Raiders: 1495
8. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1498
9. Minnesota Vikings: 1501
10. Cleveland Browns: 1508
11. New England Patriots: 1508
12. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1508
13. Buffalo Bills: 1510
14. Denver Broncos: 1510
15. Los Angeles Chargers: 1511
16. Los Angeles Rams: 1512
17. Dallas Cowboys: 1513
18. Miami Dolphins: 1514
19. New York Jets: 1514
20. Washington Commanders: 1514
21. San Francisco 49ers: 1516
22. New York Giants: 1518
23. Seattle Seahawks: 1521
24. Philadelphia Eagles: 1522
25. Cincinnati Bengals: 1526
26. Baltimore Ravens: 1528
27. Arizona Cardinals: 1531
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Baltimore Ravens: 1548
2. Cincinnati Bengals: 1544
3. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1536
4. Arizona Cardinals: 1529
5. Denver Broncos: 1523
more...
1. Philadelphia Eagles: 1520
2. Buffalo Bills: 1518
3. New England Patriots: 1515
4. Cleveland Browns: 1511
5. San Francisco 49ers: 1507
6. Tennessee Titans: 1492
7. Green Bay Packers: 1489
8. Detroit Lions: 1483
9. Atlanta Falcons: 1476
10. Dallas Cowboys: 1475
11. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1474
12. Los Angeles Rams: 1474
13. Houston Texans: 1472
14. Las Vegas Raiders: 1472
15. Minnesota Vikings: 1471
16. New York Jets: 1468
17. Seattle Seahawks: 1465
18. Kansas City Chiefs: 1460
19. Miami Dolphins: 1458
20. Indianapolis Colts: 1451
21. New York Giants: 1450
22. Carolina Panthers: 1446
23. Chicago Bears: 1445
24. New Orleans Saints: 1434
25. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1431
26. Los Angeles Chargers: 1428
27. Washington Commanders: 1427
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Washington Commanders: 1427
2. Los Angeles Chargers: 1428
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1431
4. New Orleans Saints: 1434
5. Chicago Bears: 1445
more...
1. Carolina Panthers: 1446
2. New York Giants: 1450
3. Indianapolis Colts: 1451
4. Miami Dolphins: 1458
5. Kansas City Chiefs: 1460
6. Seattle Seahawks: 1465
7. New York Jets: 1468
8. Minnesota Vikings: 1471
9. Las Vegas Raiders: 1472
10. Houston Texans: 1472
11. Los Angeles Rams: 1474
12. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1474
13. Dallas Cowboys: 1475
14. Atlanta Falcons: 1476
15. Detroit Lions: 1483
16. Green Bay Packers: 1489
17. Tennessee Titans: 1492
18. San Francisco 49ers: 1507
19. Cleveland Browns: 1511
20. New England Patriots: 1515
21. Buffalo Bills: 1518
22. Philadelphia Eagles: 1520
23. Denver Broncos: 1523
24. Arizona Cardinals: 1529
25. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1536
26. Cincinnati Bengals: 1544
27. Baltimore Ravens: 1548

↑ 2023 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)
2	8-8 (8/16, 50.0%)	17-15 (17/32, 53.12%)
3	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	29-19 (29/48, 60.42%)
4	8-8 (8/16, 50.0%)	37-27 (37/64, 57.81%)
5	7-7 (7/14, 50.0%)	44-34 (44/78, 56.41%)
6	11-4 (11/15, 73.33%)	55-38 (55/93, 59.14%)
7	6-7 (6/13, 46.15%)	61-45 (61/106, 57.55%)
8	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	73-49 (73/122, 59.84%)
9	10-4 (10/14, 71.43%)	83-53 (83/136, 61.03%)
10	10-4 (10/14, 71.43%)	93-57 (93/150, 62.0%)
11	10-4 (10/14, 71.43%)	103-61 (103/164, 62.8%)
12	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	112-68 (112/180, 62.22%)
13	8-5 (8/13, 61.54%)	120-73 (120/193, 62.18%)
14	8-7 (8/15, 53.33%)	128-80 (128/208, 61.54%)
15	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	139-85 (139/224, 62.05%)
16	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	148-92 (148/240, 61.67%)
17	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	160-96 (160/256, 62.5%)
18	8-8 (8/16, 50.0%)	168-104 (168/272, 61.76%)
W	5-1 (5/6, 83.33%)	173-105 (173/278, 62.23%)
D	3-1 (3/4, 75.0%)	176-106 (176/282, 62.41%)
C	1-1 (1/2, 50.0%)	177-107 (177/284, 62.32%)
S	1-0 (1/1, 100.0%)	178-107 (178/285, 62.46%)

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

The schedule on this page is derived from Pro-Football-Reference.com, with weekly scores data from nflverse and some hand-entered scores.

The data on these pages was at one point derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages. I donate to Wikipedia annually. If you value free access to information on the web, or have recently found Wikipedia useful, I encourage you to do so as well.

If you enjoy reading these power rankings please consider leaving a small tip or (for free!) upvoting my weekly posts in the r/nfl subreddit. Thanks!