NFL Elo Power Rankings 2021

This is the 2021 "v3.2025.06" page

This page shows ratings and rankings used for weeks 1-17 of the 2025 season. Following week 17, the main rankings page was reverted to the "v2.2024.07" model. See the 2025 blog post for more details. The "v2.2024.07" 2025 rankings are available here.

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the 2024 preseason blog post for more background.

This Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 1994 through 2024. Over that span it correctly picks winners in 65.84% of games, trailing the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.63% (according to sportsoddshistory.com), though it did meet or exceed Vegas's pick rate in 8 of the past 14 seasons. This model also does well compared to the average picker at NFL Picks Page. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

Have more questions? See the FAQ page.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- division alignment (whether a game is a division matchup),
- whether a game is meaningless with respect to playoff seeding,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team *can* gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team *can* lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 2010 season — although only the last ~20 games have any impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 2010 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 2010 and 2011 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 2012 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 2009 and older seasons in the ratings.
If you see an unequal number of rating points exchanged after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2025 Updates

2026-01-03 - Reverted to last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See the 2025 blog post for more details. The "v3.2025.06" 2025 rankings are available here.
2025 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- An improved "v3.2025.06" model was found after a much bigger automated model search where 10 million models were evaluated for each of the regular, "never lose Elo for a win," and "blank slate" model types. The new "v3.2025.06" model is a "regular" model, and was more accurate than the new best found "never lose Elo for a win" and "blank slate" models. It picks a net 2.3 more game winners correctly per season from 1994 through 2024 than last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See more details in the 2025 preseason blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2025. There are links to the frozen pages near the top of the above linked blog post.

2024 Updates

2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

Contents

Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl
Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship
Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional
Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard
Power Rankings After Week 18
Power Rankings After Week 17
Power Rankings After Week 16
Power Rankings After Week 15
Power Rankings After Week 14
Power Rankings After Week 13
Power Rankings After Week 12
Power Rankings After Week 11
Power Rankings After Week 10
Power Rankings After Week 9
Power Rankings After Week 8
Power Rankings After Week 7
Power Rankings After Week 6
Power Rankings After Week 5
Power Rankings After Week 4
Power Rankings After Week 3
Power Rankings After Week 2
Power Rankings After Week 1
Power Rankings Before Week 1
2021 Season Summaries by Team
2021 Season Stats and Tidbits
2021 Season Model Accuracy

← 2020 Season NFL Elo Home 2022 Season →

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1663	12-7
2	San Francisco 49ersSF	1640	12-8
3 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1608	10-8
4 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1602 (-11)	16-5
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1569): W 23-20: 1613-11→1602
5	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1593	14-5
6	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1587	9-8
7	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1584	14-6
8 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1580 (+11)	13-8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1613): L 20-23: 1569+11→1580
9 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1576	13-5
10 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1574	12-6
11	Arizona CardinalsARI	1566	11-7
12	Tennessee TitansTEN	1527	12-6
13	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1525	7-10
14	New Orleans SaintsNO	1518	9-8
15	Miami DolphinsMIA	1507	9-8
16	Baltimore RavensBAL	1506	8-9
17	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1503	8-9
18	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1499	9-9
19	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1495	9-8
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1494	8-9
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1489	9-8-1
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1467	10-8
23	Denver BroncosDEN	1456	7-10
24	Chicago BearsCHI	1452	6-11
25	Washington Football TeamWAS	1444	7-10
26	Carolina PanthersCAR	1427	5-12
27	Atlanta FalconsATL	1408	7-10
28	Detroit LionsDET	1393	3-13-1
29	Houston TexansHOU	1372	4-13
30	New York GiantsNYG	1342	4-13
31	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1302	3-14
32	New York JetsNYJ	1301	4-13

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1663	12-7
2	San Francisco 49ersSF	1640 (+6)	12-8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1618): L 17-20: 1634+6→1640
3	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1613 (-5)	15-5	vs CIN (1569): Win by 13
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1634): W 20-17: 1618-5→1613
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1569): Win by 13 points
4	New England PatriotsNE	1608	10-8
5 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1593	14-5
6 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1587	9-8
7 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1584 (-23)	14-6
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1546): L 24-27(OT): 1607-23→1584
8	Green Bay PackersGB	1576	13-5
9	Dallas CowboysDAL	1574	12-6
10 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1569 (+23)	13-7	at LAR (1613): Lose by 13
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1607): W 27-24(OT): 1546+23→1569
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1613): Lose by 13 points
11 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1566	11-7
12	Tennessee TitansTEN	1527	12-6
13	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1525	7-10
14	New Orleans SaintsNO	1518	9-8
15	Miami DolphinsMIA	1507	9-8
16	Baltimore RavensBAL	1506	8-9
17	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1503	8-9
18	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1499	9-9
19	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1495	9-8
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1494	8-9
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1489	9-8-1
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1467	10-8
23	Denver BroncosDEN	1456	7-10
24	Chicago BearsCHI	1452	6-11
25	Washington Football TeamWAS	1444	7-10
26	Carolina PanthersCAR	1427	5-12
27	Atlanta FalconsATL	1408	7-10
28	Detroit LionsDET	1393	3-13-1
29	Houston TexansHOU	1372	4-13
30	New York GiantsNYG	1342	4-13
31	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1302	3-14
32	New York JetsNYJ	1301	4-13

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1663 (-20)	12-7
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1587): L 36-42(OT): 1683-20→1663
2 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1634 (+25)	12-7	at LAR (1618): Lose by 8
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1601): W 13-10: 1609+25→1634
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1618): Lose by 8 points
3 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1618 (+29)	14-5	vs SF (1634): Win by 8
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1622): W 30-27: 1589+29→1618
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1634): Win by 8 points
4	New England PatriotsNE	1608	10-8
5 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1607 (+20)	14-5	vs CIN (1546): Win by 21
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1683): W 42-36(OT): 1587+20→1607
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1546): Win by 21 points
6 (-4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1593 (-29)	14-5
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1589): L 27-30: 1622-29→1593
7 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1587	9-8
8 (-3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1576 (-25)	13-5
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1609): L 10-13: 1601-25→1576
9	Dallas CowboysDAL	1574	12-6
10	Arizona CardinalsARI	1566	11-7
11 (+3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1546 (+31)	12-7	at KC (1607): Lose by 21
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1558): W 19-16: 1515+31→1546
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1607): Lose by 21 points
12 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1527 (-31)	12-6
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1515): L 16-19: 1558-31→1527
13 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1525	7-10
14 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1518	9-8
15	Miami DolphinsMIA	1507	9-8
16	Baltimore RavensBAL	1506	8-9
17	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1503	8-9
18	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1499	9-9
19	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1495	9-8
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1494	8-9
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1489	9-8-1
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1467	10-8
23	Denver BroncosDEN	1456	7-10
24	Chicago BearsCHI	1452	6-11
25	Washington Football TeamWAS	1444	7-10
26	Carolina PanthersCAR	1427	5-12
27	Atlanta FalconsATL	1408	7-10
28	Detroit LionsDET	1393	3-13-1
29	Houston TexansHOU	1372	4-13
30	New York GiantsNYG	1342	4-13
31	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1302	3-14
32	New York JetsNYJ	1301	4-13

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1683 (-3)	12-6	at KC (1587): Win by 16
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1605): W 47-17: 1686-3→1683
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1587): Win by 16 points
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1622 (-13)	14-4	vs LAR (1589): Win by 28
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1487): W 31-15: 1635-13→1622
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1589): Win by 28 points
3 (+6)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1609 (+38)	11-7	at GB (1601): Lose by 21
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1612): W 23-17: 1571+38→1609
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1601): Lose by 21 points
4	New England PatriotsNE	1608 (+3)	10-8
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1686): L 17-47: 1605+3→1608
5	Green Bay PackersGB	1601	13-4	vs SF (1609): Win by 21
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1609): Win by 21 points
6	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1589 (-7)	13-5	at TB (1622): Lose by 28
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1559): W 34-11: 1596-7→1589
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1622): Lose by 28 points
7	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1587 (-9)	13-5	vs BUF (1683): Lose by 16
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1480): W 42-21: 1596-9→1587
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1683): Lose by 16 points
8	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1587	9-8
9 (-6)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1574 (-38)	12-6
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1571): L 17-23: 1612-38→1574
10	Arizona CardinalsARI	1566 (+7)	11-7
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1596): L 11-34: 1559+7→1566
11	Tennessee TitansTEN	1558	12-5	vs CIN (1515): Win by 32
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1515): Win by 32 points
12 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1525	7-10
13 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1518	9-8
14 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1515 (-23)	11-7	at TEN (1558): Lose by 32
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1444): W 26-19: 1538-23→1515
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1558): Lose by 32 points
15	Miami DolphinsMIA	1507	9-8
16	Baltimore RavensBAL	1506	8-9
17	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1503	8-9
18 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1499 (+12)	9-9
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1635): L 15-31: 1487+12→1499
19 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1495	9-8
20 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1494	8-9
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1489 (+9)	9-8-1
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1596): L 21-42: 1480+9→1489
22 (+3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1467 (+23)	10-8
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1538): L 19-26: 1444+23→1467
23 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1456	7-10
24 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1452	6-11
25 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1444	7-10
26	Carolina PanthersCAR	1427	5-12
27	Atlanta FalconsATL	1408	7-10
28	Detroit LionsDET	1393	3-13-1
29	Houston TexansHOU	1372	4-13
30	New York GiantsNYG	1342	4-13
31	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1302	3-14
32	New York JetsNYJ	1301	4-13

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1686 (-12)	11-6	vs NE (1605): Win by 37
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1289): W 27-10: 1698-12→1686
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1605): Win by 37 points
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1635 (-5)	13-4	vs PHI (1487): Win by 37
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1422): W 41-17: 1640-5→1635
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1487): Win by 37 points
3 (+6)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1612 (+26)	12-5	vs SF (1571): Win by 37
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1512): W 51-26: 1586+26→1612
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1571): Win by 37 points
4	New England PatriotsNE	1605 (-28)	10-7	at BUF (1686): Lose by 37
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1480): L 24-33: 1633-28→1605
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1686): Lose by 37 points
5	Green Bay PackersGB	1601 (-32)	13-4	bye
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1360): L 30-37: 1633-32→1601
next: (bye)
6	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1596 (-26)	12-5	vs ARI (1559): Win by 37
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1545): L 24-27(OT): 1622-26→1596
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1559): Win by 37 points
7	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1596 (-15)	12-5	vs PIT (1480): Win by 37
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1441): W 28-24: 1611-15→1596
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1480): Win by 37 points
8 (-5)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1587 (-50)	9-8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1252): L 11-26: 1637-50→1587
9 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1571 (+26)	10-7	at DAL (1612): Lose by 37
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1622): W 27-24(OT): 1545+26→1571
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1612): Lose by 37 points
10 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1559 (-37)	11-6	at LAR (1596): Lose by 37
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1488): L 30-38: 1596-37→1559
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1596): Lose by 37 points
11 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1558 (-22)	12-5	bye
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1350): W 28-25: 1580-22→1558
next: (bye)
12	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1538 (-1)	10-7	vs LV (1444): Win by 37
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1493): L 16-21: 1539-1→1538
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1444): Win by 37 points
13 (+6)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1525 (+37)	7-10
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1596): W 38-30: 1488+37→1525
14 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1518 (+8)	9-8
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1416): W 30-20: 1510+8→1518
15 (+5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1507 (+27)	9-8
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1633): W 33-24: 1480+27→1507
16 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1506 (-27)	8-9
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1453): L 13-16(OT): 1533-27→1506
17 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1503 (-5)	8-9
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1447): W 31-17: 1508-5→1503
18	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1495 (+4)	9-8
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1447): L 32-35(OT): 1491+4→1495
19 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1494 (+1)	8-9
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1539): W 21-16: 1493+1→1494
20 (-6)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1487 (-25)	9-8	at TB (1635): Lose by 37
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1586): L 26-51: 1512-25→1487
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1635): Lose by 37 points
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1480 (+27)	9-7-1	at KC (1596): Lose by 37
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1533): W 16-13(OT): 1453+27→1480
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1596): Lose by 37 points
22 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1456 (+15)	7-10
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1611): L 24-28: 1441+15→1456
23	Chicago BearsCHI	1452 (+5)	6-11
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1508): L 17-31: 1447+5→1452
24 (+1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1444 (+20)	7-10
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1362): W 22-7: 1424+20→1444
25 (-3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1444 (-3)	10-7	at CIN (1538): Lose by 37
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1491): W 35-32(OT): 1447-3→1444
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1538): Lose by 37 points
26	Carolina PanthersCAR	1427 (+5)	5-12
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1640): L 17-41: 1422+5→1427
27	Atlanta FalconsATL	1408 (-8)	7-10
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1510): L 20-30: 1416-8→1408
28 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1393 (+33)	3-13-1
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1633): W 37-30: 1360+33→1393
29 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1372 (+22)	4-13
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1580): L 25-28: 1350+22→1372
30 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1342 (-20)	4-13
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1424): L 7-22: 1362-20→1342
31 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1302 (+50)	3-14
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1637): W 26-11: 1252+50→1302
32 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1301 (+12)	4-13
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1698): L 10-27: 1289+12→1301

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1698 (-14)	10-6	vs NYJ (1289): Win by 37
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1402): W 29-15: 1712-14→1698
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1289): Win by 37 points
2 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1640 (-28)	12-4	vs CAR (1422): Win by 33
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1261): W 28-24: 1668-28→1640
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1422): Win by 33 points
3 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1637 (-35)	9-7	at JAX (1252): Win by 34
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1412): L 20-23: 1672-35→1637
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1252): Win by 34 points
4	New England PatriotsNE	1633	10-6	at MIA (1480): Win by 13
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1252): W 50-10: 1633+0→1633
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1480): Win by 13 points
5 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1633 (+9)	13-3	at DET (1360): Win by 21
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1517): W 37-10: 1624+9→1633
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1360): Win by 21 points
6 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1622 (-4)	12-4	vs SF (1545): Win by 22
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1529): W 20-19: 1626-4→1622
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1545): Win by 22 points
7	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1611 (-10)	11-5	at DEN (1441): Win by 15
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1529): L 31-34: 1621-10→1611
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1441): Win by 15 points
8 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1596 (+15)	11-5	vs SEA (1488): Win by 25
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1601): W 25-22: 1581+15→1596
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1488): Win by 25 points
9 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1586 (-15)	11-5	at PHI (1512): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1581): L 22-25: 1601-15→1586
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1512): Slight favorite
10	Tennessee TitansTEN	1580 (+10)	11-5	at HOU (1350): Win by 23
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1490): W 34-3: 1570+10→1580
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1350): Win by 23 points
11	San Francisco 49ersSF	1545 (-9)	9-7	at LAR (1622): Lose by 22
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1341): W 23-7: 1554-9→1545
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1622): Lose by 22 points
12 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1539 (+10)	10-6	at CLE (1493): Lose by 4
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1621): W 34-31: 1529+10→1539
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1493): Lose by 4 points
13 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1533 (+4)	8-8	vs PIT (1453): Win by 22
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1626): L 19-20: 1529+4→1533
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1453): Win by 22 points
14 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1512 (+2)	9-7	vs DAL (1586): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1426): W 20-16: 1510+2→1512
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1586): Slight underdog
15 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1510 (-9)	8-8	at ATL (1416): Win by 5
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1413): W 18-10: 1519-9→1510
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1416): Win by 5 points
16 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1508 (-9)	7-9	vs CHI (1447): Win by 20
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1624): L 10-37: 1517-9→1508
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1447): Win by 20 points
17	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1493 (-17)	7-9	vs CIN (1539): Win by 4
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1437): L 14-26: 1510-17→1493
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1539): Win by 4 points
18 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1491 (+13)	9-7	at LV (1447): Lose by 5
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1455): W 34-13: 1478+13→1491
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1447): Lose by 5 points
19	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1488 (+2)	6-10	at ARI (1596): Lose by 25
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1362): W 51-29: 1486+2→1488
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1596): Lose by 25 points
20 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1480 (-10)	8-8	vs NE (1633): Lose by 13
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1570): L 3-34: 1490-10→1480
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1633): Lose by 13 points
21 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1453 (+16)	8-7-1	at BAL (1533): Lose by 22
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1510): W 26-14: 1437+16→1453
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1533): Lose by 22 points
22 (+4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1447 (+35)	9-7	vs LAC (1491): Win by 5
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1672): W 23-20: 1412+35→1447
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1491): Win by 5 points
23	Chicago BearsCHI	1447 (+11)	6-10	at MIN (1508): Lose by 20
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1373): W 29-3: 1436+11→1447
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1508): Lose by 20 points
24 (-3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1441 (-14)	7-9	vs KC (1611): Lose by 15
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1478): L 13-34: 1455-14→1441
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1611): Lose by 15 points
25 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1424 (-2)	6-10	at NYG (1362): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1510): L 16-20: 1426-2→1424
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1362): Slight underdog
26 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1422 (+9)	5-11	at TB (1640): Lose by 33
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1519): L 10-18: 1413+9→1422
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1640): Lose by 33 points
27	Atlanta FalconsATL	1416 (+14)	7-9	vs NO (1510): Lose by 5
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1712): L 15-29: 1402+14→1416
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1510): Lose by 5 points
28	New York GiantsNYG	1362 (-11)	4-12	vs WAS (1424): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1436): L 3-29: 1373-11→1362
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1424): Slight favorite
29	Detroit LionsDET	1360 (-2)	2-13-1	vs GB (1633): Lose by 21
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1486): L 29-51: 1362-2→1360
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1633): Lose by 21 points
30	Houston TexansHOU	1350 (+9)	4-12	vs TEN (1580): Lose by 23
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1554): L 7-23: 1341+9→1350
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1580): Lose by 23 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1289 (+28)	4-12	at BUF (1698): Lose by 37
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1668): L 24-28: 1261+28→1289
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1698): Lose by 37 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1252	2-14	vs IND (1637): Lose by 34
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1633): L 10-50: 1252-0→1252
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1637): Lose by 34 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1712 (+19)	9-6	vs ATL (1402): Win by 33
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1652): W 33-21: 1693+19→1712
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1402): Win by 33 points
2	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1672 (+4)	9-6	vs LV (1412): Win by 31
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1584): W 22-16: 1668+4→1672
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1412): Win by 31 points
3	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1668 (+16)	11-4	at NYJ (1261): Win by 33
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1429): W 32-6: 1652+16→1668
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1261): Win by 33 points
4	New England PatriotsNE	1633 (-19)	9-6	vs JAX (1252): Win by 35
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1693): L 21-33: 1652-19→1633
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1252): Win by 35 points
5 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1626 (+3)	11-4	at BAL (1529): Win by 6
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1521): W 30-23: 1623+3→1626
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1529): Win by 6 points
6 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1624 (-18)	12-3	vs MIN (1517): Win by 16
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1491): W 24-22: 1642-18→1624
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1517): Win by 16 points
7	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1621 (+5)	11-4	at CIN (1529): Win by 6
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1442): W 36-10: 1616+5→1621
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1529): Win by 6 points
8	Dallas CowboysDAL	1601 (+16)	11-4	vs ARI (1581): Win by 9
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1443): W 56-14: 1585+16→1601
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1581): Win by 9 points
9	Arizona CardinalsARI	1581 (-3)	10-5	at DAL (1601): Lose by 9
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1668): L 16-22: 1584-3→1581
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1601): Lose by 9 points
10	Tennessee TitansTEN	1570 (-5)	10-5	vs MIA (1490): Win by 16
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1549): W 20-17: 1575-5→1570
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1490): Win by 16 points
11 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1554 (+5)	8-7	vs HOU (1341): Win by 28
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1575): L 17-20: 1549+5→1554
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1341): Win by 28 points
12	Baltimore RavensBAL	1529 (-23)	8-7	vs LAR (1626): Lose by 6
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1506): L 21-41: 1552-23→1529
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1626): Lose by 6 points
13 (+3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1529 (+23)	9-6	vs KC (1621): Lose by 6
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1552): W 41-21: 1506+23→1529
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1621): Lose by 6 points
14 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1519 (-41)	7-8	vs CAR (1413): Win by 15
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1450): L 3-20: 1560-41→1519
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1413): Win by 15 points
15 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1517 (-4)	7-8	at GB (1624): Lose by 16
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1623): L 23-30: 1521-4→1517
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1624): Lose by 16 points
16 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1510 (+12)	8-7	at WAS (1426): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1386): W 34-10: 1498+12→1510
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1426): Slight favorite
17 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1510 (+19)	7-8	at PIT (1437): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1642): L 22-24: 1491+19→1510
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1437): Slight favorite
18 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1490 (+40)	8-7	at TEN (1570): Lose by 16
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1560): W 20-3: 1450+40→1490
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1570): Lose by 16 points
19 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1486 (-20)	5-10	vs DET (1362): Win by 20
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1416): L 24-25: 1506-20→1486
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1362): Win by 20 points
20 (-5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1478 (-35)	8-7	vs DEN (1455): Win by 9
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1306): L 29-41: 1513-35→1478
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1455): Win by 9 points
21 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1455 (-2)	7-8	at LAC (1478): Lose by 9
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1410): L 13-17: 1457-2→1455
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1478): Lose by 9 points
22 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1437 (-5)	7-7-1	vs CLE (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1616): L 10-36: 1442-5→1437
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1510): Slight underdog
23 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1436 (+20)	5-10	vs NYG (1373): Win by 13
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1506): W 25-24: 1416+20→1436
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1373): Win by 13 points
24 (-2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1426 (-17)	6-9	vs PHI (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1585): L 14-56: 1443-17→1426
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1510): Slight underdog
25 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1413 (-16)	5-10	at NO (1519): Lose by 15
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1652): L 6-32: 1429-16→1413
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1519): Lose by 15 points
26 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1412 (+2)	8-7	at IND (1672): Lose by 31
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1457): W 17-13: 1410+2→1412
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1672): Lose by 31 points
27 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1402 (-9)	7-8	at BUF (1712): Lose by 33
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1353): W 20-16: 1411-9→1402
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1712): Lose by 33 points
28	New York GiantsNYG	1373 (-13)	4-11	at CHI (1436): Lose by 13
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1498): L 10-34: 1386-13→1373
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1436): Lose by 13 points
29	Detroit LionsDET	1362 (+9)	2-12-1	at SEA (1486): Lose by 20
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1411): L 16-20: 1353+9→1362
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1486): Lose by 20 points
30	Houston TexansHOU	1341 (+35)	4-11	at SF (1554): Lose by 28
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1513): W 41-29: 1306+35→1341
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1554): Lose by 28 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1261 (-2)	4-11	vs TB (1668): Lose by 33
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1250): W 26-21: 1263-2→1261
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1668): Lose by 33 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1252 (+2)	2-13	at NE (1633): Lose by 35
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1263): L 21-26: 1250+2→1252
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1633): Lose by 35 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1693 (-4)	8-6	at NE (1652): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1425): W 31-14: 1697-4→1693
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1652): Slight underdog
2 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1668 (+8)	8-6	at ARI (1584): Win by 4
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1660): W 27-17: 1660+8→1668
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1584): Win by 4 points
3 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1652 (-29)	10-4	at CAR (1429): Win by 10
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1531): L 0-9: 1681-29→1652
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1429): Win by 10 points
4 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1652 (-8)	9-5	vs BUF (1693): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1660): L 17-27: 1660-8→1652
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1693): Slight favorite
5	Green Bay PackersGB	1642	11-3	vs CLE (1491): Win by 17
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1551): W 31-30: 1642-0→1642
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1491): Win by 17 points
6 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1623 (+1)	10-4	at MIN (1521): Win by 5
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1507): W 20-10: 1622+1→1623
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1521): Win by 5 points
7 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1616	10-4	vs PIT (1442): Win by 19
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1512): W 34-28(OT): 1616-0→1616
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1442): Win by 19 points
8 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1585 (+12)	10-4	vs WAS (1443): Win by 14
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1398): W 21-6: 1573+12→1585
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1443): Win by 14 points
9 (-3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1584 (-48)	10-4	vs IND (1668): Lose by 4
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1305): L 12-30: 1632-48→1584
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1668): Lose by 4 points
10 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1575 (-20)	9-5	vs SF (1549): Win by 7
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1423): L 13-19: 1595-20→1575
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1549): Win by 7 points
11 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1560 (+29)	7-7	vs MIA (1450): Win by 14
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1681): W 9-0: 1531+29→1560
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1450): Win by 14 points
12 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1552 (+1)	8-6	at CIN (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1642): L 30-31: 1551+1→1552
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1506): Slight underdog
13 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1549 (+7)	8-6	at TEN (1575): Lose by 7
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1417): W 31-13: 1542+7→1549
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1575): Lose by 7 points
14 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1521 (+9)	7-7	vs LAR (1623): Lose by 5
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1425): W 17-9: 1512+9→1521
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1623): Lose by 5 points
15	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1513 (+1)	8-6	at HOU (1306): Win by 14
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1616): L 28-34(OT): 1512+1→1513
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1306): Win by 14 points
16 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1506 (+8)	8-6	vs BAL (1552): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1465): W 15-10: 1498+8→1506
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1552): Slight favorite
17	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1506 (-1)	5-9	vs CHI (1416): Win by 12
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1622): L 10-20: 1507-1→1506
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1416): Win by 12 points
18 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1498 (+4)	7-7	vs NYG (1386): Win by 11
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1446): W 27-17: 1494+4→1498
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1386): Win by 11 points
19 (-5)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1491 (-21)	7-7	at GB (1642): Lose by 17
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1389): L 14-16: 1512-21→1491
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1642): Lose by 17 points
20	Denver BroncosDEN	1457 (-8)	7-7	at LV (1410): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1498): L 10-15: 1465-8→1457
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1410): Slight underdog
21	Miami DolphinsMIA	1450 (-11)	7-7	at NO (1560): Lose by 14
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1252): W 31-24: 1461-11→1450
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1560): Lose by 14 points
22	Washington Football TeamWAS	1443 (-3)	6-8	at DAL (1585): Lose by 14
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1494): L 17-27: 1446-3→1443
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1585): Lose by 14 points
23 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1442 (+19)	7-6-1	at KC (1616): Lose by 19
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1595): W 19-13: 1423+19→1442
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1616): Lose by 19 points
24	Carolina PanthersCAR	1429 (+4)	5-9	vs TB (1652): Lose by 10
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1697): L 14-31: 1425+4→1429
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1652): Lose by 10 points
25 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1416 (-9)	4-10	at SEA (1506): Lose by 12
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1512): L 9-17: 1425-9→1416
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1506): Lose by 12 points
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1411 (-6)	6-8	vs DET (1353): Win by 10
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1542): L 13-31: 1417-6→1411
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1353): Win by 10 points
27 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1410 (+21)	7-7	vs DEN (1457): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1512): W 16-14: 1389+21→1410
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1457): Slight favorite
28 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1386 (-12)	4-10	at PHI (1498): Lose by 11
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1573): L 6-21: 1398-12→1386
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1498): Lose by 11 points
29	Detroit LionsDET	1353 (+48)	2-11-1	at ATL (1411): Lose by 10
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1632): W 30-12: 1305+48→1353
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1411): Lose by 10 points
30	Houston TexansHOU	1306 (+24)	3-11	vs LAC (1513): Lose by 14
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1275): W 30-16: 1282+24→1306
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1513): Lose by 14 points
31 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1263 (+11)	3-11	vs JAX (1250): Win by 6
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1461): L 24-31: 1252+11→1263
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1250): Win by 6 points
32 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1250 (-25)	2-12	at NYJ (1263): Lose by 6
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1282): L 16-30: 1275-25→1250
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1263): Lose by 6 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1697 (+2)	7-6	vs CAR (1425): Win by 21
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1683): L 27-33(OT): 1695+2→1697
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1425): Win by 21 points
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1681 (-2)	10-3	vs NO (1531): Win by 11
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1695): W 33-27(OT): 1683-2→1681
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1531): Win by 11 points
3	New England PatriotsNE	1660	9-4	at IND (1660): Lose by 5
prev: (bye)
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1660): Lose by 5 points
4	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1660	7-6	vs NE (1660): Win by 5
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1660): Win by 5 points
5 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1642 (+2)	10-3	at BAL (1551): Win by 3
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1427): W 45-30: 1640+2→1642
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1551): Win by 3 points
6 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1632 (-17)	10-3	at DET (1305): Win by 18
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1605): L 23-30: 1649-17→1632
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1305): Win by 18 points
7	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1622 (+17)	9-4	vs SEA (1507): Win by 10
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1649): W 30-23: 1605+17→1622
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1507): Win by 10 points
8	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1616 (+21)	9-4	at LAC (1512): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1410): W 48-9: 1595+21→1616
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1512): Slight favorite
9	Tennessee TitansTEN	1595 (+3)	9-4	at PIT (1423): Win by 8
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1277): W 20-0: 1592+3→1595
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1423): Win by 8 points
10	Dallas CowboysDAL	1573 (+6)	9-4	at NYG (1398): Win by 6
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1452): W 27-20: 1567+6→1573
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1398): Win by 6 points
11	Baltimore RavensBAL	1551 (-1)	8-5	vs GB (1642): Lose by 3
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1512): L 22-24: 1552-1→1551
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1642): Lose by 3 points
12	San Francisco 49ersSF	1542 (+4)	7-6	vs ATL (1417): Win by 12
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1502): W 26-23(OT): 1538+4→1542
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1417): Win by 12 points
13	New Orleans SaintsNO	1531 (+9)	6-7	at TB (1681): Lose by 11
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1261): W 30-9: 1522+9→1531
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1681): Lose by 11 points
14 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1512	7-6	vs LV (1389): Win by 12
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1552): W 24-22: 1512+0→1512
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1389): Win by 12 points
15 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1512 (+9)	8-5	vs KC (1616): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1408): W 37-21: 1503+9→1512
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1616): Slight underdog
16 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1512 (-1)	6-7	at CHI (1425): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1422): W 36-28: 1513-1→1512
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1425): Slight favorite
17 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1507 (+14)	5-8	at LAR (1622): Lose by 10
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1295): W 33-13: 1493+14→1507
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1622): Lose by 10 points
18 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1498 (-4)	7-6	at DEN (1465): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1538): L 23-26(OT): 1502-4→1498
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1465): Slight underdog
19 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1494	6-7	vs WAS (1446): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1446): Win by 8 points
20 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1465 (+18)	7-6	vs CIN (1498): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1323): W 38-10: 1447+18→1465
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1498): Slight favorite
21 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1461	6-7	vs NYJ (1252): Win by 15
prev: (bye)
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1252): Win by 15 points
22 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1446 (-6)	6-7	at PHI (1494): Lose by 8
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1567): L 20-27: 1452-6→1446
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1494): Lose by 8 points
23 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1425 (-2)	4-9	vs MIN (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1640): L 30-45: 1427-2→1425
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1512): Slight underdog
24 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1425 (-21)	5-8	at BUF (1697): Lose by 21
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1396): L 21-29: 1446-21→1425
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1697): Lose by 21 points
25	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1423 (+1)	6-6-1	vs TEN (1595): Lose by 8
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1513): L 28-36: 1422+1→1423
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1595): Lose by 8 points
26 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1417 (+21)	6-7	at SF (1542): Lose by 12
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1446): W 29-21: 1396+21→1417
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1542): Lose by 12 points
27	New York GiantsNYG	1398 (-10)	4-9	vs DAL (1573): Lose by 6
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1503): L 21-37: 1408-10→1398
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1573): Lose by 6 points
28 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1389 (-21)	6-7	at CLE (1512): Lose by 12
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1595): L 9-48: 1410-21→1389
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1512): Lose by 12 points
29	Detroit LionsDET	1305 (-18)	1-11-1	vs ARI (1632): Lose by 18
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1447): L 10-38: 1323-18→1305
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1632): Lose by 18 points
30	Houston TexansHOU	1282 (-13)	2-11	at JAX (1275): Lose by 4
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1493): L 13-33: 1295-13→1282
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1275): Lose by 4 points
31	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1275 (-2)	2-11	vs HOU (1282): Win by 4
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1592): L 0-20: 1277-2→1275
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1282): Win by 4 points
32	New York JetsNYJ	1252 (-9)	3-10	at MIA (1461): Lose by 15
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1522): L 9-30: 1261-9→1252
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1461): Lose by 15 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1695 (-13)	7-5	at TB (1683): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1647): L 10-14: 1708-13→1695
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1683): Slight underdog
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1683 (+7)	9-3	vs BUF (1695): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1403): W 30-17: 1676+7→1683
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1695): Slight favorite
3	New England PatriotsNE	1660 (+13)	9-4	bye
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1708): W 14-10: 1647+13→1660
next: (bye)
4 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1660 (+21)	7-6	bye
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1316): W 31-0: 1639+21→1660
next: (bye)
5 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1649 (+2)	10-2	vs LAR (1605): Win by 6
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1429): W 33-22: 1647+2→1649
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1605): Win by 6 points
6 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1640	9-3	vs CHI (1427): Win by 13
prev: (bye)
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1427): Win by 13 points
7	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1605 (+10)	8-4	at ARI (1649): Lose by 6
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1287): W 37-7: 1595+10→1605
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1649): Lose by 6 points
8 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1595 (+5)	8-4	vs LV (1410): Win by 11
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1453): W 22-9: 1590+5→1595
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1410): Win by 11 points
9 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1592	8-4	vs JAX (1277): Win by 17
prev: (bye)
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1277): Win by 17 points
10 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1567 (+20)	8-4	at WAS (1452): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1541): W 27-17: 1547+20→1567
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1452): Slight favorite
11 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1552 (-9)	8-4	at CLE (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1413): L 19-20: 1561-9→1552
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1512): Slight underdog
12 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1538 (-10)	6-6	at CIN (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1483): L 23-30: 1548-10→1538
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1502): Slight underdog
13	New Orleans SaintsNO	1522 (-19)	5-7	at NYJ (1261): Win by 13
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1547): L 17-27: 1541-19→1522
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1261): Win by 13 points
14 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1513 (-13)	5-7	vs PIT (1422): Win by 9
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1310): L 27-29: 1526-13→1513
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1422): Win by 9 points
15 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1512	6-6	vs BAL (1552): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1552): Slight favorite
16 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1503 (+37)	7-5	vs NYG (1408): Win by 9
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1539): W 41-22: 1466+37→1503
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1408): Win by 9 points
17 (-3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1502 (-37)	7-5	vs SF (1538): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1466): L 22-41: 1539-37→1502
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1538): Slight favorite
18 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1494 (+8)	6-7	bye
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1270): W 33-18: 1486+8→1494
next: (bye)
19 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1493 (+10)	4-8	at HOU (1295): Win by 9
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1548): W 30-23: 1483+10→1493
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1295): Win by 9 points
20 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1461 (+9)	6-7	bye
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1417): W 20-9: 1452+9→1461
next: (bye)
21 (+2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1452 (+7)	6-6	vs DAL (1567): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1417): W 17-15: 1445+7→1452
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1567): Slight underdog
22 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1447 (-6)	6-6	vs DET (1323): Win by 11
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1590): L 9-22: 1453-6→1447
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1323): Win by 11 points
23 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1446	5-7	vs ATL (1396): Win by 7
prev: (bye)
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1396): Win by 7 points
24	Chicago BearsCHI	1427 (-2)	4-8	at GB (1640): Lose by 13
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1647): L 22-33: 1429-2→1427
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1640): Lose by 13 points
25 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1422 (+9)	6-5-1	at MIN (1513): Lose by 9
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1561): W 20-19: 1413+9→1422
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1513): Lose by 9 points
26	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1410 (-7)	6-6	at KC (1595): Lose by 11
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1445): L 15-17: 1417-7→1410
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1595): Lose by 11 points
27 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1408 (-9)	4-8	at LAC (1503): Lose by 9
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1452): L 9-20: 1417-9→1408
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1503): Lose by 9 points
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1396 (-7)	5-7	at CAR (1446): Lose by 7
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1676): L 17-30: 1403-7→1396
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1446): Lose by 7 points
29 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1323 (+13)	1-10-1	at DEN (1447): Lose by 11
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1526): W 29-27: 1310+13→1323
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1447): Lose by 11 points
30 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1295 (-21)	2-10	vs SEA (1493): Lose by 9
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1639): L 0-31: 1316-21→1295
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1493): Lose by 9 points
31	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1277 (-10)	2-10	at TEN (1592): Lose by 17
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1595): L 7-37: 1287-10→1277
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1592): Lose by 17 points
32	New York JetsNYJ	1261 (-9)	3-9	vs NO (1522): Lose by 13
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1486): L 18-33: 1270-9→1261
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1522): Lose by 13 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1708 (+28)	7-4	vs NE (1647): Win by 6
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1569): W 31-6: 1680+28→1708
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1647): Win by 6 points
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1676 (+15)	8-3	at ATL (1403): Win by 8
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1653): W 38-31: 1661+15→1676
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1403): Win by 8 points
3 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1647 (+26)	8-4	at BUF (1708): Lose by 6
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1618): W 36-13: 1621+26→1647
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1708): Lose by 6 points
4	Arizona CardinalsARI	1647	9-2	at CHI (1429): Win by 9
prev: (bye)
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1429): Win by 9 points
5	Green Bay PackersGB	1640 (+7)	9-3	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1602): W 36-28: 1633+7→1640
next: (bye)
6 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1639 (-14)	6-6	at HOU (1316): Win by 10
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1661): L 31-38: 1653-14→1639
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1316): Win by 10 points
7 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1595 (-7)	7-4	vs JAX (1287): Win by 18
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1633): L 28-36: 1602-7→1595
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1287): Win by 18 points
8 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1592 (-26)	8-4	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1621): L 13-36: 1618-26→1592
next: (bye)
9	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1590	7-4	vs DEN (1453): Win by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1453): Win by 9 points
10 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1561 (+2)	8-3	at PIT (1413): Win by 4
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1514): W 16-10: 1559+2→1561
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1413): Win by 4 points
11 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1548 (+7)	6-5	at SEA (1483): Tossup
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1533): W 34-26: 1541+7→1548
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1483): Tossup
12 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1547 (-20)	7-4	at NO (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1398): L 33-36(OT): 1567-20→1547
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1541): Slight underdog
13 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1541 (-28)	5-6	vs DAL (1547): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1680): L 6-31: 1569-28→1541
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1547): Slight favorite
14 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1539 (+29)	7-4	vs LAC (1466): Win by 7
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1442): W 41-10: 1510+29→1539
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1466): Win by 7 points
15 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1526 (-7)	5-6	at DET (1310): Win by 6
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1541): L 26-34: 1533-7→1526
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1310): Win by 6 points
16 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1512 (-2)	6-6	bye
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1559): L 10-16: 1514-2→1512
next: (bye)
17	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1486 (-10)	5-7	at NYJ (1270): Win by 9
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1407): L 7-13: 1496-10→1486
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1270): Win by 9 points
18	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1483 (-4)	3-8	vs SF (1548): Tossup
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1441): L 15-17: 1487-4→1483
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1548): Tossup
19	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1466 (-20)	6-5	at CIN (1539): Lose by 7
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1432): L 13-28: 1486-20→1466
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1539): Lose by 7 points
20 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1453 (+21)	6-5	at KC (1590): Lose by 9
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1486): W 28-13: 1432+21→1453
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1590): Lose by 9 points
21 (+4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1452 (+32)	5-7	vs NYG (1417): Win by 5
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1478): W 33-10: 1420+32→1452
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1417): Win by 5 points
22 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1446 (-32)	5-7	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1420): L 10-33: 1478-32→1446
next: (bye)
23 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1445 (+4)	5-6	at LV (1417): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1487): W 17-15: 1441+4→1445
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1417): Slight underdog
24	Chicago BearsCHI	1429 (+1)	4-7	vs ARI (1647): Lose by 9
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1311): W 16-14: 1428+1→1429
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1647): Lose by 9 points
25 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1417 (+10)	4-7	at MIA (1452): Lose by 5
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1496): W 13-7: 1407+10→1417
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1452): Lose by 5 points
26 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1417 (+19)	6-5	vs WAS (1445): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1567): W 36-33(OT): 1398+19→1417
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1445): Slight favorite
27 (-6)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1413 (-29)	5-5-1	vs BAL (1561): Lose by 4
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1510): L 10-41: 1442-29→1413
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1561): Lose by 4 points
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1403 (+6)	5-6	vs TB (1676): Lose by 8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1293): W 21-14: 1397+6→1403
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1676): Lose by 8 points
29	Houston TexansHOU	1316 (-22)	2-9	vs IND (1639): Lose by 10
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1248): L 14-21: 1338-22→1316
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1639): Lose by 10 points
30	Detroit LionsDET	1310 (-1)	0-10-1	vs MIN (1526): Lose by 6
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1428): L 14-16: 1311-1→1310
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1526): Lose by 6 points
31	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1287 (-6)	2-9	at LAR (1595): Lose by 18
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1397): L 14-21: 1293-6→1287
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1595): Lose by 18 points
32	New York JetsNYJ	1270 (+22)	3-8	vs PHI (1486): Lose by 9
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1338): W 21-14: 1248+22→1270
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1486): Lose by 9 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1680 (-48)	6-4	at NO (1569): Win by 4
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1605): L 15-41: 1728-48→1680
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1569): Win by 4 points
2 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1661 (+10)	7-3	at IND (1653): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1417): W 30-10: 1651+10→1661
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1653): Slight underdog
3 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1653 (+48)	6-5	vs TB (1661): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1728): W 41-15: 1605+48→1653
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1661): Slight favorite
4 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1647 (+12)	9-2	bye
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1499): W 23-13: 1635+12→1647
next: (bye)
5 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1633 (-8)	8-3	vs LAR (1602): Win by 4
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1526): L 31-34: 1641-8→1633
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1602): Win by 4 points
6 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1621 (+25)	7-4	vs TEN (1618): Win by 4
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1422): W 25-0: 1596+25→1621
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1618): Win by 4 points
7 (-5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1618 (-36)	8-3	at NE (1621): Lose by 4
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1302): L 13-22: 1654-36→1618
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1621): Lose by 4 points
8 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1602	7-3	at GB (1633): Lose by 4
prev: (bye)
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1633): Lose by 4 points
9 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1590 (+13)	7-4	bye
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1579): W 19-9: 1577+13→1590
next: (bye)
10 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1569 (-23)	5-5	vs BUF (1680): Lose by 4
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1472): L 29-40: 1592-23→1569
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1680): Lose by 4 points
11 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1567 (-12)	7-3	vs LV (1398): Win by 11
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1577): L 9-19: 1579-12→1567
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1398): Win by 11 points
12	Baltimore RavensBAL	1559 (-1)	7-3	vs CLE (1514): Win by 5
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1427): W 16-13: 1560-1→1559
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1514): Win by 5 points
13 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1541 (+18)	5-5	vs MIN (1533): Win by 4
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1310): W 30-10: 1523+18→1541
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1533): Win by 4 points
14	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1533 (+7)	5-5	at SF (1541): Lose by 4
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1641): W 34-31: 1526+7→1533
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1541): Lose by 4 points
15 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1514 (-16)	6-5	at BAL (1559): Lose by 5
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1296): W 13-10: 1530-16→1514
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1559): Lose by 5 points
16 (+3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1510 (+26)	6-4	vs PIT (1442): Win by 6
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1424): W 32-13: 1484+26→1510
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1442): Win by 6 points
17 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1496 (+24)	5-6	at NYG (1407): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1592): W 40-29: 1472+24→1496
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1407): Slight favorite
18 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1487 (-12)	3-7	at WAS (1441): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1635): L 13-23: 1499-12→1487
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1441): Slight underdog
19 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1486 (-3)	6-4	at DEN (1432): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1438): W 41-37: 1489-3→1486
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1432): Slight underdog
20 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1478 (-19)	5-6	at MIA (1420): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1423): L 21-27: 1497-19→1478
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1420): Slight favorite
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1442 (+4)	5-4-1	at CIN (1510): Lose by 6
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1489): L 37-41: 1438+4→1442
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1510): Lose by 6 points
22 (+3)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1441 (+18)	4-6	vs SEA (1487): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1497): W 27-21: 1423+18→1441
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1487): Slight favorite
23 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1432	5-5	vs LAC (1486): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1486): Slight favorite
24 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1428 (+1)	3-7	at DET (1311): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1560): L 13-16: 1427+1→1428
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1311): Slight favorite
25 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1420 (+5)	4-7	vs CAR (1478): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1253): W 24-17: 1415+5→1420
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1478): Slight underdog
26 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1407 (-10)	3-7	vs PHI (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1651): L 10-30: 1417-10→1407
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1496): Slight underdog
27 (-3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1398 (-26)	5-5	at DAL (1567): Lose by 11
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1484): L 13-32: 1424-26→1398
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1567): Lose by 11 points
28 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1397 (-25)	4-6	at JAX (1293): Win by 4
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1596): L 0-25: 1422-25→1397
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1293): Win by 4 points
29 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1338 (+36)	2-8	vs NYJ (1248): Win by 7
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1654): W 22-13: 1302+36→1338
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1248): Win by 7 points
30 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1311 (+15)	0-9-1	vs CHI (1428): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1530): L 10-13: 1296+15→1311
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1428): Slight underdog
31 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1293 (-17)	2-8	vs ATL (1397): Lose by 4
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1523): L 10-30: 1310-17→1293
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1397): Lose by 4 points
32	New York JetsNYJ	1248 (-5)	2-8	at HOU (1338): Lose by 7
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1415): L 17-24: 1253-5→1248
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1338): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1728 (+18)	6-3	vs IND (1605): Win by 8
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1271): W 45-17: 1710+18→1728
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1605): Win by 8 points
2 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1654 (-4)	8-2	vs HOU (1302): Win by 13
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1587): W 23-21: 1658-4→1654
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1302): Win by 13 points
3	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1651 (-34)	6-3	vs NYG (1417): Win by 12
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1389): L 19-29: 1685-34→1651
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1417): Win by 12 points
4 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1641 (+17)	8-2	at MIN (1526): Slight fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1516): W 17-0: 1624+17→1641
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1526): Slight favorite
5 (-3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1635 (-55)	8-2	at SEA (1499): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1441): L 10-34: 1690-55→1635
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1499): Slight favorite
6 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1605 (-12)	5-5	at BUF (1728): Lose by 8
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1299): W 23-17: 1617-12→1605
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1728): Lose by 8 points
7 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1602 (-36)	7-3	bye
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1487): L 10-31: 1638-36→1602
next: (bye)
8 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1596 (+40)	6-4	at ATL (1422): Win by 6
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1569): W 45-7: 1556+40→1596
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1422): Win by 6 points
9	New Orleans SaintsNO	1592 (+5)	5-4	at PHI (1472): Win by 4
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1658): L 21-23: 1587+5→1592
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1472): Win by 4 points
10 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1579 (+32)	7-2	at KC (1577): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1454): W 43-3: 1547+32→1579
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1577): Slight underdog
11 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1577 (+36)	6-4	vs DAL (1579): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1460): W 41-14: 1541+36→1577
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1579): Slight favorite
12 (-4)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1560 (-31)	6-3	at CHI (1427): Win by 4
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1384): L 10-22: 1591-31→1560
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1427): Win by 4 points
13 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1530 (-39)	5-5	vs DET (1296): Win by 13
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1556): L 7-45: 1569-39→1530
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1296): Win by 13 points
14 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1526 (+15)	4-5	vs GB (1641): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1504): W 27-20: 1511+15→1526
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1641): Slight underdog
15 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1523 (+36)	4-5	at JAX (1310): Win by 8
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1638): W 31-10: 1487+36→1523
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1310): Win by 8 points
16 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1499 (-17)	3-6	vs ARI (1635): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1624): L 0-17: 1516-17→1499
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1635): Slight underdog
17 (+6)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1497 (+56)	5-5	vs WAS (1423): Win by 6
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1690): W 34-10: 1441+56→1497
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1423): Win by 6 points
18 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1489 (-15)	5-4	vs PIT (1438): Win by 5
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1511): L 20-27: 1504-15→1489
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1438): Win by 5 points
19 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1484	5-4	at LV (1424): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1424): Slight favorite
20 (+4)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1472 (+32)	4-6	vs NO (1592): Lose by 4
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1465): W 30-13: 1440+32→1472
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1592): Lose by 4 points
21 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1438 (-15)	5-3-1	at LAC (1489): Lose by 5
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1281): T 16-16(OT): 1453-15→1438
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1489): Lose by 5 points
22 (-3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1432 (-33)	5-5	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1440): L 13-30: 1465-33→1432
next: (bye)
23 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1427	3-6	vs BAL (1560): Lose by 4
prev: (bye)
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1560): Lose by 4 points
24 (-4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1424 (-36)	5-4	vs CIN (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1541): L 14-41: 1460-36→1424
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1484): Slight underdog
25 (+2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1423 (+34)	3-6	at CAR (1497): Lose by 6
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1685): W 29-19: 1389+34→1423
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1497): Lose by 6 points
26 (-5)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1422 (-32)	4-5	vs NE (1596): Lose by 6
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1547): L 3-43: 1454-32→1422
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1596): Lose by 6 points
27 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1417	3-6	at TB (1651): Lose by 12
prev: (bye)
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1651): Lose by 12 points
28	Miami DolphinsMIA	1415 (+31)	3-7	at NYJ (1253): Win by 5
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1591): W 22-10: 1384+31→1415
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1253): Win by 5 points
29 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1310 (+11)	2-7	vs SF (1523): Lose by 8
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1617): L 17-23: 1299+11→1310
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1523): Lose by 8 points
30 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1302	1-8	at TEN (1654): Lose by 13
prev: (bye)
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1654): Lose by 13 points
31	Detroit LionsDET	1296 (+15)	0-8-1	at CLE (1530): Lose by 13
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1453): T 16-16(OT): 1281+15→1296
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1530): Lose by 13 points
32	New York JetsNYJ	1253 (-18)	2-7	vs MIA (1415): Lose by 5
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1710): L 17-45: 1271-18→1253
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1415): Lose by 5 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1710 (-32)	5-3	at NYJ (1271): Win by 11
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1266): L 6-9: 1742-32→1710
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1271): Win by 11 points
2 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1690 (+18)	8-1	vs CAR (1441): Win by 13
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1505): W 31-17: 1672+18→1690
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1441): Win by 13 points
3 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1685	6-2	at WAS (1389): Win by 11
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1389): Win by 11 points
4 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1658 (+27)	7-2	vs NO (1587): Win by 6
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1665): W 28-16: 1631+27→1658
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1587): Win by 6 points
5 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1638 (-27)	7-2	at SF (1487): Win by 2
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1631): L 16-28: 1665-27→1638
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1487): Win by 2 points
6 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1624 (-15)	7-2	vs SEA (1516): Win by 7
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1526): L 7-13: 1639-15→1624
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1516): Win by 7 points
7	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1617 (-1)	4-5	vs JAX (1299): Win by 12
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1270): W 45-30: 1618-1→1617
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1299): Win by 12 points
8 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1591 (-10)	6-2	at MIA (1384): Win by 7
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1502): W 34-31(OT): 1601-10→1591
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1384): Win by 7 points
9 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1587 (-18)	5-3	at TEN (1658): Lose by 6
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1436): L 25-27: 1605-18→1587
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1658): Lose by 6 points
10 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1569 (+40)	5-4	at NE (1556): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1524): W 41-16: 1529+40→1569
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1556): Slight underdog
11 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1556 (+28)	5-4	vs CLE (1569): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1470): W 24-6: 1528+28→1556
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1569): Slight favorite
12 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1547 (-39)	6-2	vs ATL (1454): Win by 7
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1426): L 16-30: 1586-39→1547
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1454): Win by 7 points
13	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1541 (+15)	5-4	at LV (1460): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1639): W 13-7: 1526+15→1541
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1460): Slight favorite
14 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1516	3-5	at GB (1624): Lose by 7
prev: (bye)
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1624): Lose by 7 points
15 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1511 (+9)	3-5	at LAC (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1601): L 31-34(OT): 1502+9→1511
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1504): Slight underdog
16 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1504 (+5)	5-3	vs MIN (1511): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1444): W 27-24: 1499+5→1504
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1511): Slight favorite
17 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1487 (-18)	3-5	vs LAR (1638): Lose by 2
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1672): L 17-31: 1505-18→1487
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1638): Lose by 2 points
18 (-4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1484 (-40)	5-4	bye
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1529): L 16-41: 1524-40→1484
next: (bye)
19 (+5)	Denver BroncosDEN	1465 (+39)	5-4	vs PHI (1440): Win by 4
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1586): W 30-16: 1426+39→1465
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1440): Win by 4 points
20 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1460 (-15)	5-3	vs KC (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1403): L 16-23: 1475-15→1460
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1541): Slight underdog
21 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1454 (+18)	4-4	at DAL (1547): Lose by 7
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1605): W 27-25: 1436+18→1454
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1547): Lose by 7 points
22 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1453 (-2)	5-3	vs DET (1281): Win by 9
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1425): W 29-27: 1455-2→1453
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1281): Win by 9 points
23 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1441 (-29)	4-5	at ARI (1690): Lose by 13
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1528): L 6-24: 1470-29→1441
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1690): Lose by 13 points
24 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1440 (-4)	3-6	at DEN (1465): Lose by 4
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1499): L 24-27: 1444-4→1440
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1465): Lose by 4 points
25	Chicago BearsCHI	1427 (+2)	3-6	bye
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1455): L 27-29: 1425+2→1427
next: (bye)
26	New York GiantsNYG	1417 (+14)	3-6	bye
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1475): W 23-16: 1403+14→1417
next: (bye)
27	Washington Football TeamWAS	1389	2-6	vs TB (1685): Lose by 11
prev: (bye)
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1685): Lose by 11 points
28	Miami DolphinsMIA	1384 (+5)	2-7	vs BAL (1591): Lose by 7
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1307): W 17-9: 1379+5→1384
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1591): Lose by 7 points
29	Houston TexansHOU	1302 (-5)	1-8	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1379): L 9-17: 1307-5→1302
next: (bye)
30 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1299 (+33)	2-6	at IND (1617): Lose by 12
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1742): W 9-6: 1266+33→1299
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1617): Lose by 12 points
31 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1281	0-8	at PIT (1453): Lose by 9
prev: (bye)
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1453): Lose by 9 points
32 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1271 (+1)	2-6	vs BUF (1710): Lose by 11
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1618): L 30-45: 1270+1→1271
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1710): Lose by 11 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1742 (+3)	5-2	at JAX (1266): Win by 17
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1382): W 26-11: 1739+3→1742
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1266): Win by 17 points
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1685 (-19)	6-2	bye
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1586): L 27-36: 1704-19→1685
next: (bye)
3	Arizona CardinalsARI	1672 (-14)	7-1	at SF (1505): Win by 4
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1626): L 21-24: 1686-14→1672
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1505): Win by 4 points
4	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1665 (+7)	7-1	vs TEN (1631): Win by 5
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1313): W 38-22: 1658+7→1665
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1631): Win by 5 points
5	Green Bay PackersGB	1639 (+13)	7-1	at KC (1526): Win by 4
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1686): W 24-21: 1626+13→1639
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1526): Win by 4 points
6	Tennessee TitansTEN	1631 (+6)	6-2	at LAR (1665): Lose by 5
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1625): W 34-31(OT): 1625+6→1631
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1665): Lose by 5 points
7	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1618 (-7)	3-5	vs NYJ (1270): Win by 16
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1625): L 31-34(OT): 1625-7→1618
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1270): Win by 16 points
8 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1605 (+19)	5-2	vs ATL (1436): Win by 8
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1704): W 36-27: 1586+19→1605
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1436): Win by 8 points
9 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1601	5-2	vs MIN (1502): Win by 7
prev: (bye)
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1502): Win by 7 points
10	Dallas CowboysDAL	1586 (+3)	6-1	vs DEN (1426): Win by 9
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): W 20-16: 1583+3→1586
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1426): Win by 9 points
11 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1529 (-17)	4-4	at CIN (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1438): L 10-15: 1546-17→1529
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1524): Slight underdog
12 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1528 (+10)	4-4	at CAR (1470): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1509): W 27-24: 1518+10→1528
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1470): Slight favorite
13	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1526 (-9)	4-4	vs GB (1639): Lose by 4
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1394): W 20-17: 1535-9→1526
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1639): Lose by 4 points
14 (-3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1524 (-22)	5-3	vs CLE (1529): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1248): L 31-34: 1546-22→1524
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1529): Slight favorite
15 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1516 (+19)	3-5	bye
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1285): W 31-7: 1497+19→1516
next: (bye)
16 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1505 (+21)	3-4	vs ARI (1672): Lose by 4
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1446): W 33-22: 1484+21→1505
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1672): Lose by 4 points
17 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1502 (-3)	3-4	at BAL (1601): Lose by 7
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1583): L 16-20: 1505-3→1502
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1601): Lose by 7 points
18 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1499 (-10)	4-3	at PHI (1444): Tossup
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1518): L 24-27: 1509-10→1499
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1444): Tossup
19	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1475	5-2	at NYG (1403): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1403): Slight favorite
20	Carolina PanthersCAR	1470 (+14)	4-4	vs NE (1528): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1450): W 19-13: 1456+14→1470
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1528): Slight underdog
21 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1455 (+17)	4-3	vs CHI (1425): Win by 4
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1546): W 15-10: 1438+17→1455
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1425): Win by 4 points
22 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1444 (+43)	3-5	vs LAC (1499): Tossup
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1324): W 44-6: 1401+43→1444
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1499): Tossup
23 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1436 (-14)	3-4	at NO (1605): Lose by 8
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1456): L 13-19: 1450-14→1436
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1605): Lose by 8 points
24	Denver BroncosDEN	1426 (+5)	4-4	at DAL (1586): Lose by 9
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1394): W 17-10: 1421+5→1426
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1586): Lose by 9 points
25 (-3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1425 (-21)	3-5	at PIT (1455): Lose by 4
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1484): L 22-33: 1446-21→1425
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1455): Lose by 4 points
26 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1403 (+9)	2-6	vs LV (1475): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1535): L 17-20: 1394+9→1403
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1475): Slight underdog
27 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1389 (-5)	2-6	bye
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1421): L 10-17: 1394-5→1389
next: (bye)
28	Miami DolphinsMIA	1379 (-3)	1-7	vs HOU (1307): Win by 6
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1739): L 11-26: 1382-3→1379
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1307): Win by 6 points
29 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1307 (-6)	1-7	at MIA (1379): Lose by 6
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1658): L 22-38: 1313-6→1307
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1379): Lose by 6 points
30 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1281 (-43)	0-8	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1401): L 6-44: 1324-43→1281
next: (bye)
31 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1270 (+22)	2-5	at IND (1618): Lose by 16
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1546): W 34-31: 1248+22→1270
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1618): Lose by 16 points
32 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1266 (-19)	1-6	vs BUF (1742): Lose by 17
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1497): L 7-31: 1285-19→1266
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1742): Lose by 17 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1739	4-2	vs MIA (1382): Win by 13
prev: (bye)
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1382): Win by 13 points
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1704 (+30)	6-1	at NO (1586): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1476): W 38-3: 1674+30→1704
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1586): Slight favorite
3	Arizona CardinalsARI	1686 (+15)	7-0	vs GB (1626): Win by 5
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1328): W 31-5: 1671+15→1686
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1626): Win by 5 points
4	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1658 (-12)	6-1	at HOU (1313): Win by 12
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1312): W 28-19: 1670-12→1658
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1313): Win by 12 points
5 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1626 (+7)	6-1	at ARI (1686): Lose by 5
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1400): W 24-10: 1619+7→1626
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1686): Lose by 5 points
6 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1625 (+36)	5-2	at IND (1625): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1571): W 27-3: 1589+36→1625
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1625): Slight underdog
7	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1625 (+22)	3-4	vs TEN (1625): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1507): W 30-18: 1603+22→1625
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1625): Slight favorite
8 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1601 (-56)	5-2	bye
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1490): L 17-41: 1657-56→1601
next: (bye)
9	New Orleans SaintsNO	1586 (+1)	4-2	vs TB (1704): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1498): W 13-10: 1585+1→1586
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1704): Slight underdog
10	Dallas CowboysDAL	1583	5-1	at MIN (1505): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): Slight favorite
11 (+7)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1546 (+56)	5-2	at NYJ (1248): Win by 10
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1657): W 41-17: 1490+56→1546
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1248): Win by 10 points
12	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1546 (-10)	4-3	vs PIT (1438): Win by 6
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1410): W 17-14: 1556-10→1546
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1438): Win by 6 points
13 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1535 (-36)	3-4	vs NYG (1394): Win by 8
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1589): L 3-27: 1571-36→1535
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1394): Win by 8 points
14 (+5)	New England PatriotsNE	1518 (+37)	3-4	at LAC (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1285): W 54-13: 1481+37→1518
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1509): Slight underdog
15 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1509	4-2	vs NE (1518): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1518): Slight favorite
16 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1505	3-3	vs DAL (1583): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1583): Slight underdog
17	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1497 (-1)	2-5	vs JAX (1285): Win by 10
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1585): L 10-13: 1498-1→1497
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1285): Win by 10 points
18 (-4)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1484 (-23)	2-4	at CHI (1446): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1603): L 18-30: 1507-23→1484
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1446): Slight underdog
19 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1475 (+15)	5-2	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1416): W 33-22: 1460+15→1475
next: (bye)
20 (-4)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1456 (-49)	3-4	at ATL (1450): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1345): L 3-25: 1505-49→1456
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1450): Slight underdog
21 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1450 (+4)	3-3	vs CAR (1456): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1386): W 30-28: 1446+4→1450
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1456): Slight favorite
22 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1446 (-30)	3-4	vs SF (1484): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1674): L 3-38: 1476-30→1446
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1484): Slight favorite
23	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1438	3-3	at CLE (1546): Lose by 6
prev: (bye)
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1546): Lose by 6 points
24 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1421 (+11)	3-4	vs WAS (1394): Win by 4
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1556): L 14-17: 1410+11→1421
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1394): Win by 4 points
25 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1401 (-15)	2-5	at DET (1324): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1460): L 22-33: 1416-15→1401
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1324): Slight favorite
26	Washington Football TeamWAS	1394 (-6)	2-5	at DEN (1421): Lose by 4
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1619): L 10-24: 1400-6→1394
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1421): Lose by 4 points
27 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1394 (+49)	2-5	at KC (1535): Lose by 8
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1505): W 25-3: 1345+49→1394
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1535): Lose by 8 points
28 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1382 (-4)	1-6	at BUF (1739): Lose by 13
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1446): L 28-30: 1386-4→1382
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1739): Lose by 13 points
29 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1324 (+12)	0-7	vs PHI (1401): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1670): L 19-28: 1312+12→1324
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1401): Slight underdog
30 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1313 (-15)	1-6	vs LAR (1658): Lose by 12
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1671): L 5-31: 1328-15→1313
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1658): Lose by 12 points
31	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1285	1-5	at SEA (1497): Lose by 10
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1497): Lose by 10 points
32	New York JetsNYJ	1248 (-37)	1-5	vs CIN (1546): Lose by 10
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1481): L 13-54: 1285-37→1248
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1546): Lose by 10 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1739 (-19)	4-2	bye
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1570): L 31-34: 1758-19→1739
next: (bye)
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1674 (-7)	5-1	vs CHI (1476): Win by 10
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1409): W 28-22: 1681-7→1674
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1476): Win by 10 points
3 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1671 (+49)	6-0	vs HOU (1328): Win by 15
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1605): W 37-14: 1622+49→1671
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1328): Win by 15 points
4 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1670 (+31)	5-1	vs DET (1312): Win by 15
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1376): W 38-11: 1639+31→1670
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1312): Win by 15 points
5	Baltimore RavensBAL	1657 (+41)	5-1	vs CIN (1490): Win by 7
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1549): W 34-6: 1616+41→1657
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1490): Win by 7 points
6 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1619 (+20)	5-1	vs WAS (1400): Win by 11
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1497): W 24-14: 1599+20→1619
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1400): Win by 11 points
7 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1603 (+33)	2-4	at SF (1507): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1361): W 31-3: 1570+33→1603
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1507): Slight favorite
8 (+3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1589 (+19)	4-2	vs KC (1571): Win by 2
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1758): W 34-31: 1570+19→1589
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1571): Win by 2 points
9 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1585	3-2	at SEA (1498): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1498): Slight favorite
10 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1583 (-1)	5-1	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1480): W 35-29(OT): 1584-1→1583
next: (bye)
11 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1571 (+33)	3-3	at TEN (1589): Lose by 2
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1434): W 31-13: 1538+33→1571
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1589): Lose by 2 points
12 (-6)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1556 (-49)	3-3	vs DEN (1410): Win by 8
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1622): L 14-37: 1605-49→1556
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1410): Win by 8 points
13 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1509 (-40)	4-2	bye
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1616): L 6-34: 1549-40→1509
next: (bye)
14 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1507	2-3	vs IND (1603): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1603): Slight underdog
15 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1505 (+10)	3-3	bye
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1515): W 34-28(OT): 1495+10→1505
next: (bye)
16 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1505 (-10)	3-3	at NYG (1345): Win by 5
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1495): L 28-34(OT): 1515-10→1505
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1345): Win by 5 points
17 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1498 (-6)	2-4	vs NO (1585): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1432): L 20-23(OT): 1504-6→1498
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1585): Slight underdog
18 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1490 (+41)	4-2	at BAL (1657): Lose by 7
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1354): W 34-11: 1449+41→1490
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1657): Lose by 7 points
19	New England PatriotsNE	1481 (+1)	2-4	vs NYJ (1285): Win by 7
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1584): L 29-35(OT): 1480+1→1481
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1285): Win by 7 points
20 (-3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1476 (-21)	3-3	at TB (1674): Lose by 10
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1599): L 14-24: 1497-21→1476
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1674): Lose by 10 points
21 (+3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1460 (+28)	4-2	vs PHI (1416): Win by 4
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1438): W 34-24: 1432+28→1460
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1416): Win by 4 points
22 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1446	2-3	at MIA (1386): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1386): Slight favorite
23 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1438 (+6)	3-3	bye
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1504): W 23-20(OT): 1432+6→1438
next: (bye)
24 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1416 (+7)	2-4	at LV (1460): Lose by 4
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1681): L 22-28: 1409+7→1416
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1460): Lose by 4 points
25 (-3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1410 (-28)	3-3	at CLE (1556): Lose by 8
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1432): L 24-34: 1438-28→1410
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1556): Lose by 8 points
26 (-3)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1400 (-34)	2-4	at GB (1619): Lose by 11
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1538): L 13-31: 1434-34→1400
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1619): Lose by 11 points
27	Miami DolphinsMIA	1386 (-19)	1-5	vs ATL (1446): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1266): L 20-23: 1405-19→1386
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1446): Slight underdog
28	New York GiantsNYG	1345 (-31)	1-5	vs CAR (1505): Lose by 5
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1639): L 11-38: 1376-31→1345
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1505): Lose by 5 points
29	Houston TexansHOU	1328 (-33)	1-5	at ARI (1671): Lose by 15
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1570): L 3-31: 1361-33→1328
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1671): Lose by 15 points
30	Detroit LionsDET	1312 (-42)	0-6	at LAR (1670): Lose by 15
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1449): L 11-34: 1354-42→1312
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1670): Lose by 15 points
31 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1285 (+19)	1-5	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1405): W 23-20: 1266+19→1285
next: (bye)
32 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1285	1-4	at NE (1481): Lose by 7
prev: (bye)
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1481): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1758 (+32)	4-1	at TEN (1570): Win by 6
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1570): W 38-20: 1726+32→1758
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1570): Win by 6 points
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1681 (+32)	4-1	at PHI (1409): Win by 9
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1436): W 45-17: 1649+32→1681
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1409): Win by 9 points
3 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1639 (+21)	4-1	at NYG (1376): Win by 9
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1525): W 26-17: 1618+21→1639
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1376): Win by 9 points
4 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1622 (+3)	5-0	at CLE (1605): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1510): W 17-10: 1619+3→1622
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1605): Slight underdog
5 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1616 (-8)	4-1	vs LAC (1549): Win by 5
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1562): W 31-25(OT): 1624-8→1616
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1549): Win by 5 points
6 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1605 (-15)	3-2	vs ARI (1622): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1535): L 42-47: 1620-15→1605
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1622): Slight favorite
7	Green Bay PackersGB	1599 (-6)	4-1	at CHI (1497): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1442): W 25-22(OT): 1605-6→1599
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1497): Slight favorite
8 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1585 (+22)	3-2	bye
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1456): W 33-22: 1563+22→1585
next: (bye)
9 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1584 (+37)	4-1	at NE (1480): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1413): W 44-20: 1547+37→1584
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1480): Slight favorite
10	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1570 (+8)	1-4	vs HOU (1361): Win by 8
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1624): L 25-31(OT): 1562+8→1570
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1361): Win by 8 points
11 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1570 (+31)	3-2	vs BUF (1758): Lose by 6
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1296): W 37-19: 1539+31→1570
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1758): Lose by 6 points
12 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1549 (+14)	4-1	at BAL (1616): Lose by 5
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1620): W 47-42: 1535+14→1549
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1616): Lose by 5 points
13 (-5)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1538 (-32)	2-3	at WAS (1434): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1726): L 20-38: 1570-32→1538
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1434): Slight favorite
14 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1515 (-29)	3-2	vs MIN (1495): Win by 4
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1381): L 18-21: 1544-29→1515
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1495): Win by 4 points
15 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1507 (-3)	2-3	bye
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1619): L 10-17: 1510-3→1507
next: (bye)
16 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1504 (-21)	2-3	at PIT (1432): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1618): L 17-26: 1525-21→1504
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1432): Slight favorite
17 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1497 (+33)	3-2	vs GB (1599): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1465): W 20-9: 1464+33→1497
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1599): Slight underdog
18 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1495 (-10)	2-3	at CAR (1515): Lose by 4
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1344): W 19-17: 1505-10→1495
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1515): Lose by 4 points
19 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1480 (+1)	2-3	vs DAL (1584): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1361): W 25-22: 1479+1→1480
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1584): Slight underdog
20 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1449 (+7)	3-2	at DET (1354): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1605): L 22-25(OT): 1442+7→1449
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1354): Slight favorite
21 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1446 (+1)	2-3	bye
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1286): W 27-20: 1445+1→1446
next: (bye)
22 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1438 (-20)	3-2	vs LV (1432): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1412): L 19-27: 1458-20→1438
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1432): Slight favorite
23 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1434 (-22)	2-3	vs KC (1538): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1563): L 22-33: 1456-22→1434
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1538): Slight underdog
24 (-5)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1432 (-33)	3-2	at DEN (1438): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1464): L 9-20: 1465-33→1432
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1438): Slight underdog
25 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1432 (+20)	2-3	vs SEA (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1458): W 27-19: 1412+20→1432
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1504): Slight underdog
26 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1409 (+28)	2-3	vs TB (1681): Lose by 9
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1544): W 21-18: 1381+28→1409
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1681): Lose by 9 points
27 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1405 (-31)	1-4	at JAX (1266): Win by 6
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1649): L 17-45: 1436-31→1405
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1266): Win by 6 points
28 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1376 (-37)	1-4	vs LAR (1639): Lose by 9
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1547): L 20-44: 1413-37→1376
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1639): Lose by 9 points
29	Houston TexansHOU	1361	1-4	at IND (1570): Lose by 8
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1479): L 22-25: 1361-0→1361
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1570): Lose by 8 points
30	Detroit LionsDET	1354 (+10)	0-5	vs CIN (1449): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): L 17-19: 1344+10→1354
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1449): Slight underdog
31 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1285 (-1)	1-4	bye
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1445): L 20-27: 1286-1→1285
next: (bye)
32 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1266 (-30)	0-5	at MIA (1405): Lose by 6
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1539): L 19-37: 1296-30→1266
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1405): Lose by 6 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1726 (+37)	3-1	at KC (1570): Win by 5
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1398): W 40-0: 1689+37→1726
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1570): Win by 5 points
2 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1649 (-7)	3-1	vs MIA (1436): Win by 10
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1473): W 19-17: 1656-7→1649
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1436): Win by 10 points
3 (+4)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1624 (+39)	3-1	vs IND (1562): Win by 5
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1497): W 23-7: 1585+39→1624
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1562): Win by 5 points
4	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1620 (+15)	3-1	at LAC (1535): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1520): W 14-7: 1605+15→1620
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1535): Slight favorite
5 (+5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1619 (+61)	4-0	vs SF (1510): Win by 6
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1679): W 37-20: 1558+61→1619
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1510): Win by 6 points
6 (-4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1618 (-61)	3-1	at SEA (1525): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1558): L 20-37: 1679-61→1618
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1525): Slight favorite
7 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1605 (+2)	3-1	at CIN (1442): Win by 5
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1415): W 27-17: 1603+2→1605
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1442): Win by 5 points
8 (+3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1570 (+23)	2-2	vs BUF (1726): Lose by 5
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1404): W 42-30: 1547+23→1570
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1726): Lose by 5 points
9 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1563 (-32)	2-2	at WAS (1456): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1380): L 21-27(OT): 1595-32→1563
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1456): Slight favorite
10 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1562 (+25)	1-3	at BAL (1624): Lose by 5
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1462): W 27-17: 1537+25→1562
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1624): Lose by 5 points
11 (+3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1547 (+22)	3-1	vs NYG (1413): Win by 6
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1565): W 36-28: 1525+22→1547
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1413): Win by 6 points
12 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1544 (-21)	3-1	vs PHI (1381): Win by 8
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1525): L 28-36: 1565-21→1544
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1381): Win by 8 points
13 (-5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1539 (-33)	2-2	at JAX (1296): Win by 5
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1253): L 24-27(OT): 1572-33→1539
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1296): Win by 5 points
14 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1535 (+32)	3-1	vs CLE (1620): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1497): W 28-14: 1503+32→1535
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1620): Slight underdog
15 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1525 (+28)	2-2	vs LAR (1618): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1538): W 28-21: 1497+28→1525
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1618): Slight underdog
16 (-4)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1510 (-28)	2-2	at ARI (1619): Lose by 6
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1497): L 21-28: 1538-28→1510
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1619): Lose by 6 points
17 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1505 (-15)	1-3	vs DET (1344): Win by 7
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1605): L 7-14: 1520-15→1505
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1344): Win by 7 points
18 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1479 (+6)	1-3	at HOU (1361): Win by 1 point
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1656): L 17-19: 1473+6→1479
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1361): Win by 1 point
19 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1465 (-32)	3-1	vs CHI (1464): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1503): L 14-28: 1497-32→1465
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1464): Slight favorite
20 (+4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1464 (+15)	2-2	at LV (1465): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1358): W 24-14: 1449+15→1464
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1465): Slight underdog
21 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1458 (-39)	3-1	at PIT (1412): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1585): L 7-23: 1497-39→1458
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1412): Slight underdog
22 (+3)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1456 (+16)	2-2	vs NO (1563): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1461): W 34-30: 1440+16→1456
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1563): Slight underdog
23 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1445 (-16)	1-3	at NYJ (1286): Win by 7
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1440): L 30-34: 1461-16→1445
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1286): Win by 7 points
24 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1442 (-17)	3-1	vs GB (1605): Lose by 5
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1280): W 24-21: 1459-17→1442
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1605): Lose by 5 points
25 (-4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1436 (-26)	1-3	at TB (1649): Lose by 10
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1537): L 17-27: 1462-26→1436
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1649): Lose by 10 points
26 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1413 (+33)	1-3	at DAL (1547): Lose by 6
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1595): W 27-21(OT): 1380+33→1413
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1547): Lose by 6 points
27 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1412 (-3)	1-3	vs DEN (1458): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1603): L 17-27: 1415-3→1412
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1458): Slight favorite
28 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1381 (-23)	1-3	at CAR (1544): Lose by 8
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1547): L 30-42: 1404-23→1381
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1544): Lose by 8 points
29 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1361 (-37)	1-3	vs NE (1479): Lose by 1 point
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1689): L 0-40: 1398-37→1361
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1479): Lose by 1 point
30	Detroit LionsDET	1344 (-14)	0-4	at MIN (1505): Lose by 7
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1449): L 14-24: 1358-14→1344
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): Lose by 7 points
31	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1296 (+16)	0-4	vs TEN (1539): Lose by 5
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1459): L 21-24: 1280+16→1296
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1539): Lose by 5 points
32	New York JetsNYJ	1286 (+33)	1-3	at ATL (1445): Lose by 7
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1572): W 27-24(OT): 1253+33→1286
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1445): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1689 (+33)	2-1	vs HOU (1398): Win by 12
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1472): W 43-21: 1656+33→1689
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1398): Win by 12 points
2 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1679 (+28)	3-0	vs ARI (1558): Win by 6
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1684): W 34-24: 1651+28→1679
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1558): Win by 6 points
3 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1656 (-28)	2-1	at NE (1473): Win by 6
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1651): L 24-34: 1684-28→1656
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1473): Win by 6 points
4 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1605 (+41)	2-1	at MIN (1520): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1489): W 26-6: 1564+41→1605
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1520): Slight favorite
5	Green Bay PackersGB	1603 (+10)	2-1	vs PIT (1415): Win by 9
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1548): W 30-28: 1593+10→1603
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1415): Win by 9 points
6 (+4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1595 (+47)	2-1	vs NYG (1380): Win by 10
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1520): W 28-13: 1548+47→1595
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1380): Win by 10 points
7 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1585 (-16)	2-1	at DEN (1497): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1342): W 19-17: 1601-16→1585
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1497): Slight favorite
8 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1572 (+22)	2-1	at NYJ (1253): Win by 10
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1559): W 25-16: 1550+22→1572
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1253): Win by 10 points
9 (+5)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1565 (+40)	3-0	at DAL (1525): Tossup
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1438): W 24-9: 1525+40→1565
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1525): Tossup
10 (+2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1558 (+13)	3-0	at LAR (1679): Lose by 6
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1292): W 31-19: 1545+13→1558
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1679): Lose by 6 points
11 (-5)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1547 (-33)	1-2	at PHI (1404): Win by 5
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1470): L 24-30: 1580-33→1547
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1404): Win by 5 points
12 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1538 (-10)	2-1	vs SEA (1497): Win by 4
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1593): L 28-30: 1548-10→1538
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1497): Win by 4 points
13 (-5)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1537 (-22)	0-3	at MIA (1462): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1550): L 16-25: 1559-22→1537
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1462): Slight favorite
14 (+5)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1525 (+46)	2-1	vs CAR (1565): Tossup
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1450): W 41-21: 1479+46→1525
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1565): Tossup
15 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1520 (+40)	1-2	vs CLE (1605): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1537): W 30-17: 1480+40→1520
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1605): Slight underdog
16 (+5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1503 (+33)	2-1	vs LV (1497): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1580): W 30-24: 1470+33→1503
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1497): Slight favorite
17 (-4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1497 (-40)	1-2	at SF (1538): Lose by 4
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1480): L 17-30: 1537-40→1497
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1538): Lose by 4 points
18 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1497 (-8)	3-0	at LAC (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1454): W 31-28(OT): 1505-8→1497
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1503): Slight underdog
19 (+4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1497 (+41)	3-0	vs BAL (1585): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1294): W 26-0: 1456+41→1497
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1585): Slight underdog
20 (-5)	New England PatriotsNE	1473 (-47)	1-2	vs TB (1656): Lose by 6
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1548): L 13-28: 1520-47→1473
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1656): Lose by 6 points
21 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1462 (+8)	1-2	vs IND (1537): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1505): L 28-31(OT): 1454+8→1462
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1537): Slight underdog
22 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1461 (+8)	1-2	vs WAS (1440): Win by 4
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1388): W 17-14: 1453+8→1461
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1440): Win by 4 points
23 (+5)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1459 (+54)	2-1	vs JAX (1280): Win by 9
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1468): W 24-10: 1405+54→1459
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1280): Win by 9 points
24 (-7)	Chicago BearsCHI	1449 (-40)	1-2	vs DET (1358): Win by 5
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1564): L 6-26: 1489-40→1449
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1358): Win by 5 points
25 (-5)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1440 (-32)	1-2	at ATL (1461): Lose by 4
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1656): L 21-43: 1472-32→1440
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1461): Lose by 4 points
26 (-4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1415 (-53)	1-2	at GB (1603): Lose by 9
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1405): L 10-24: 1468-53→1415
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1603): Lose by 9 points
27 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1404 (-46)	1-2	vs KC (1547): Lose by 5
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1479): L 21-41: 1450-46→1404
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1547): Lose by 5 points
28 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1398 (-40)	1-2	at BUF (1689): Lose by 12
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1525): L 9-24: 1438-40→1398
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1689): Lose by 12 points
29	New York GiantsNYG	1380 (-8)	0-3	at NO (1595): Lose by 10
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1453): L 14-17: 1388-8→1380
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1595): Lose by 10 points
30	Detroit LionsDET	1358 (+16)	0-3	at CHI (1449): Lose by 5
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1601): L 17-19: 1342+16→1358
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1449): Lose by 5 points
31 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1280 (-12)	0-3	at CIN (1459): Lose by 9
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1545): L 19-31: 1292-12→1280
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1459): Lose by 9 points
32 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1253 (-41)	0-3	vs TEN (1572): Lose by 10
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1456): L 0-26: 1294-41→1253
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1572): Lose by 10 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1684 (+45)	2-0	at LAR (1651): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1498): W 48-25: 1639+45→1684
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1651): Slight underdog
2 (+4)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1656 (+87)	1-1	vs WAS (1472): Win by 9
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1542): W 35-0: 1569+87→1656
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1472): Win by 9 points
3 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1651 (+6)	2-0	vs TB (1684): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1564): W 27-24: 1645+6→1651
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1684): Slight favorite
4	Baltimore RavensBAL	1601 (-1)	1-1	at DET (1342): Win by 8
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1579): W 36-35: 1602-1→1601
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1342): Win by 8 points
5 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1593 (+30)	1-1	at SF (1548): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1373): W 35-17: 1563+30→1593
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1548): Slight underdog
6 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1580 (+1)	1-1	vs LAC (1470): Win by 6
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1602): L 35-36: 1579+1→1580
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1470): Win by 6 points
7 (+4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1564 (+13)	1-1	vs CHI (1489): Win by 6
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1451): W 31-21: 1551+13→1564
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1489): Win by 6 points
8 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1559 (-5)	0-2	at TEN (1550): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1645): L 24-27: 1564-5→1559
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1550): Slight underdog
9 (+4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1550 (+14)	1-1	vs IND (1559): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1551): W 33-30(OT): 1536+14→1550
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1559): Slight favorite
10 (-7)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1548 (-66)	1-1	at NE (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1459): L 7-26: 1614-66→1548
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1520): Slight underdog
11 (+3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1548 (+17)	2-0	vs GB (1593): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1467): W 17-11: 1531+17→1548
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1593): Slight favorite
12 (-3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1545 (-9)	2-0	at JAX (1292): Win by 8
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1472): W 34-33: 1554-9→1545
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1292): Win by 8 points
13 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1537 (-14)	1-1	at MIN (1480): Tossup
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1536): L 30-33(OT): 1551-14→1537
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1480): Tossup
14 (+11)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1525 (+66)	2-0	at HOU (1438): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1614): W 26-7: 1459+66→1525
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1438): Slight favorite
15 (+6)	New England PatriotsNE	1520 (+53)	1-1	vs NO (1548): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1346): W 25-6: 1467+53→1520
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1548): Slight favorite
16 (+7)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1505 (+44)	2-0	vs MIA (1454): Win by 5
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1512): W 26-17: 1461+44→1505
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1454): Win by 5 points
17 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1489 (-11)	1-1	at CLE (1564): Lose by 6
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1394): W 20-17: 1500-11→1489
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1564): Lose by 6 points
18 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1480 (+8)	0-2	vs SEA (1537): Tossup
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1554): L 33-34: 1472+8→1480
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1537): Tossup
19 (+5)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1479 (+19)	1-1	vs PHI (1450): Win by 3
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1489): W 20-17: 1460+19→1479
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1450): Win by 3 points
20 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1472 (-8)	1-1	at BUF (1656): Lose by 9
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1380): W 30-29: 1480-8→1472
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1656): Lose by 9 points
21 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1470 (-19)	1-1	at KC (1580): Lose by 6
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1460): L 17-20: 1489-19→1470
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1580): Lose by 6 points
22 (-7)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1468 (-44)	1-1	vs CIN (1405): Win by 5
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1461): L 17-26: 1512-44→1468
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1405): Win by 5 points
23 (+4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1456 (+25)	2-0	vs NYJ (1294): Win by 8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1317): W 23-13: 1431+25→1456
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1294): Win by 8 points
24 (-12)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1454 (-88)	1-1	at LV (1505): Lose by 5
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1569): L 0-35: 1542-88→1454
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1505): Lose by 5 points
25 (-8)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1453 (-45)	0-2	at NYG (1388): Tossup
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1639): L 25-48: 1498-45→1453
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1388): Tossup
26 (-4)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1450 (-17)	1-1	at DAL (1479): Lose by 3
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1531): L 11-17: 1467-17→1450
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1479): Lose by 3 points
27 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1438 (-13)	1-1	vs CAR (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1551): L 21-31: 1451-13→1438
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1525): Slight underdog
28	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1405 (+11)	1-1	at PIT (1468): Lose by 5
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1500): L 17-20: 1394+11→1405
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1468): Lose by 5 points
29	New York GiantsNYG	1388 (+8)	0-2	vs ATL (1453): Tossup
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1480): L 29-30: 1380+8→1388
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1453): Tossup
30	Detroit LionsDET	1342 (-31)	0-2	vs BAL (1601): Lose by 8
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1563): L 17-35: 1373-31→1342
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1601): Lose by 8 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1294 (-52)	0-2	at DEN (1456): Lose by 8
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1467): L 6-25: 1346-52→1294
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1456): Lose by 8 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1292 (-25)	0-2	vs ARI (1545): Lose by 8
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1431): L 13-23: 1317-25→1292
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1545): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1645 (+19)	1-0	at IND (1564): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1520): W 34-14: 1626+19→1645
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1564): Slight favorite
2 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1639 (-11)	1-0	vs ATL (1498): Win by 7
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1449): W 31-29: 1650-11→1639
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1498): Win by 7 points
3 (+6)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1614 (+42)	1-0	at CAR (1459): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1605): W 38-3: 1572+42→1614
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1459): Slight favorite
4 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1602 (-9)	0-1	vs KC (1579): Win by 3
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1452): L 27-33(OT): 1611-9→1602
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1579): Win by 3 points
5 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1579 (-1)	1-0	at BAL (1602): Lose by 3
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1551): W 33-29: 1580-1→1579
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1602): Lose by 3 points
6	Buffalo BillsBUF	1569 (-20)	0-1	at MIA (1542): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1492): L 16-23: 1589-20→1569
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1542): Slight underdog
7 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1564 (-27)	0-1	vs LAR (1645): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1525): L 16-28: 1591-27→1564
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1645): Slight underdog
8 (-4)	Green Bay PackersGB	1563 (-42)	0-1	vs DET (1373): Win by 8
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1572): L 3-38: 1605-42→1563
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1373): Win by 8 points
9 (+7)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1554 (+41)	1-0	vs MIN (1472): Win by 6
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1577): W 38-13: 1513+41→1554
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1472): Win by 6 points
10 (+3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1551 (+26)	1-0	vs TEN (1536): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1591): W 28-16: 1525+26→1551
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1536): Slight favorite
11 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1551	0-1	vs HOU (1451): Win by 6
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1580): L 29-33: 1551+0→1551
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1451): Win by 6 points
12	Miami DolphinsMIA	1542 (+5)	1-0	vs BUF (1569): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1472): W 17-16: 1537+5→1542
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1569): Slight favorite
13 (-5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1536 (-41)	0-1	at SEA (1551): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1513): L 13-38: 1577-41→1536
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1551): Slight underdog
14	San Francisco 49ersSF	1531 (+7)	1-0	at PHI (1467): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1380): W 41-33: 1524+7→1531
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1467): Slight favorite
15 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1512 (+20)	1-0	vs LV (1461): Win by 5
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1589): W 23-16: 1492+20→1512
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1461): Win by 5 points
16 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1500 (-20)	0-1	vs CIN (1394): Win by 7
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1626): L 14-34: 1520-20→1500
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1394): Win by 7 points
17 (-6)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1498 (-46)	0-1	at TB (1639): Lose by 7
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1421): L 6-32: 1544-46→1498
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1639): Lose by 7 points
18 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1489 (+9)	1-0	vs DAL (1460): Win by 3
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1489): W 20-16: 1480+9→1489
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1460): Win by 3 points
19 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1480 (-9)	0-1	vs NYG (1380): Win by 6
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1480): L 16-20: 1489-9→1480
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1380): Win by 6 points
20	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1472 (-4)	0-1	at ARI (1554): Lose by 6
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1390): L 24-27(OT): 1476-4→1472
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1554): Lose by 6 points
21	New England PatriotsNE	1467 (-5)	0-1	at NYJ (1346): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1537): L 16-17: 1472-5→1467
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1346): Slight favorite
22 (+4)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1467 (+46)	1-0	vs SF (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1544): W 32-6: 1421+46→1467
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1531): Slight underdog
23	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1461 (+9)	1-0	at PIT (1512): Lose by 5
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1611): W 33-27(OT): 1452+9→1461
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1512): Lose by 5 points
24	Dallas CowboysDAL	1460 (+11)	0-1	at LAC (1489): Lose by 3
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1650): L 29-31: 1449+11→1460
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1489): Lose by 3 points
25 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1459 (-4)	1-0	vs NO (1614): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1343): W 19-14: 1463-4→1459
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1614): Slight underdog
26 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1451 (+16)	1-0	at CLE (1551): Lose by 6
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1334): W 37-21: 1435+16→1451
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1551): Lose by 6 points
27	Denver BroncosDEN	1431 (+25)	1-0	at JAX (1317): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1406): W 27-13: 1406+25→1431
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1317): Slight favorite
28 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1394 (+4)	1-0	at CHI (1500): Lose by 7
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1476): W 27-24(OT): 1390+4→1394
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1500): Lose by 7 points
29 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1380 (-26)	0-1	at WAS (1480): Lose by 6
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1406): L 13-27: 1406-26→1380
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1480): Lose by 6 points
30	Detroit LionsDET	1373 (-7)	0-1	at GB (1563): Lose by 8
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1524): L 33-41: 1380-7→1373
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1563): Lose by 8 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1346 (+3)	0-1	vs NE (1467): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1463): L 14-19: 1343+3→1346
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1467): Slight underdog
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1317 (-17)	0-1	vs DEN (1431): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1435): L 21-37: 1334-17→1317
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1431): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2021 season:

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1650	0-0	vs DAL (1449): Win by 10
prev: offseason parity reset: 1659-9→1650
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1449): Win by 10 points
2	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1626	0-0	vs CHI (1520): Win by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1633-7→1626
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1520): Win by 7 points
3	Baltimore RavensBAL	1611	0-0	at LV (1452): Win by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1617-6→1611
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1452): Win by 5 points
4	Green Bay PackersGB	1605	0-0	at NO (1572): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1611-6→1605
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1572): Slight favorite
5	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1591	0-0	vs SEA (1525): Win by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1596-5→1591
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1525): Win by 5 points
6	Buffalo BillsBUF	1589	0-0	vs PIT (1492): Win by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1594-5→1589
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1492): Win by 6 points
7	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1580	0-0	vs CLE (1551): Win by 4
prev: offseason parity reset: 1584-4→1580
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1551): Win by 4 points
8	Tennessee TitansTEN	1577	0-0	vs ARI (1513): Win by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1581-4→1577
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1513): Win by 5 points
9	New Orleans SaintsNO	1572	0-0	at GB (1605): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1576-4→1572
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1605): Slight underdog
10	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1551	0-0	at KC (1580): Lose by 4
prev: offseason parity reset: 1553-2→1551
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1580): Lose by 4 points
11	Atlanta FalconsATL	1544	0-0	vs PHI (1421): Win by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1546-2→1544
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1421): Win by 7 points
12	Miami DolphinsMIA	1537	0-0	at NE (1472): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1539-2→1537
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1472): Tossup
13	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1525	0-0	at IND (1591): Lose by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1526-1→1525
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1591): Lose by 5 points
14	San Francisco 49ersSF	1524	0-0	at DET (1380): Win by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1526-2→1524
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1380): Win by 5 points
15	Chicago BearsCHI	1520	0-0	at LAR (1626): Lose by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1521-1→1520
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1626): Lose by 7 points
16	Arizona CardinalsARI	1513	0-0	at TEN (1577): Lose by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1514-1→1513
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1577): Lose by 5 points
17	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1492	0-0	at BUF (1589): Lose by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1491+1→1492
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1589): Lose by 6 points
18	Washington Football TeamWAS	1489	0-0	vs LAC (1480): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1488+1→1489
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1480): Slight favorite
19	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1480	0-0	at WAS (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1479+1→1480
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1489): Slight underdog
20	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1476	0-0	at CIN (1390): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1475+1→1476
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1390): Slight favorite
21	New England PatriotsNE	1472	0-0	vs MIA (1537): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1470+2→1472
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1537): Tossup
22	Carolina PanthersCAR	1463	0-0	vs NYJ (1343): Win by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1461+2→1463
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1343): Win by 7 points
23	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1452	0-0	vs BAL (1611): Lose by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1449+3→1452
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1611): Lose by 5 points
24	Dallas CowboysDAL	1449	0-0	at TB (1650): Lose by 10
prev: offseason parity reset: 1446+3→1449
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1650): Lose by 10 points
25	Houston TexansHOU	1435	0-0	vs JAX (1334): Win by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1431+4→1435
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1334): Win by 6 points
26	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1421	0-0	at ATL (1544): Lose by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1417+4→1421
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1544): Lose by 7 points
27	Denver BroncosDEN	1406	0-0	at NYG (1406): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1401+5→1406
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1406): Slight underdog
28	New York GiantsNYG	1406	0-0	vs DEN (1406): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1400+6→1406
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1406): Slight favorite
29	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1390	0-0	vs MIN (1476): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1384+6→1390
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1476): Slight underdog
30	Detroit LionsDET	1380	0-0	vs SF (1524): Lose by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1373+7→1380
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1524): Lose by 5 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1343	0-0	at CAR (1463): Lose by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1334+9→1343
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1463): Lose by 7 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1334	0-0	at HOU (1435): Lose by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1325+9→1334
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1435): Lose by 6 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2021 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (-107 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1500 \| avg. lost to rating: 1522 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	9	at TEN(1577) W 38-13: +41→1554	9	2	at SF(1505) W 31-17: +18→1690	17	8	at DAL(1601) W 25-22: +15→1596
2	12	vs MIN(1472) W 34-33: -9→1545	10	5	vs CAR(1441) L 10-34: -55→1635	18	10	vs SEA(1488) L 30-38: -37→1559
3	10	at JAX(1292) W 31-19: +13→1558	11	4	at SEA(1499) W 23-13: +12→1647	W	10	at LAR(1596) L 11-34: +7→1566
4	5	at LAR(1679) W 37-20: +61→1619	12	4	(bye)	D	10
5	4	vs SF(1510) W 17-10: +3→1622	13	5	at CHI(1429) W 33-22: +2→1649	C	11
6	3	at CLE(1605) W 37-14: +49→1671	14	6	vs LAR(1605) L 23-30: -17→1632	S	11
7	3	vs HOU(1328) W 31-5: +15→1686	15	9	at DET(1305) L 12-30: -48→1584
8	3	vs GB(1626) L 21-24: -14→1672	16	9	vs IND(1668) L 16-22: -3→1581

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1488 (+50 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1394 \| avg. lost to rating: 1554 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	17	vs PHI(1421) L 6-32: -46→1498	9	21	at NO(1605) W 27-25: +18→1454	17	27	at BUF(1712) L 15-29: +14→1416
2	25	at TB(1639) L 25-48: -45→1453	10	26	at DAL(1547) L 3-43: -32→1422	18	27	vs NO(1510) L 20-30: -8→1408
3	22	at NYG(1388) W 17-14: +8→1461	11	28	vs NE(1596) L 0-25: -25→1397	W	27
4	23	vs WAS(1440) L 30-34: -16→1445	12	28	at JAX(1293) W 21-14: +6→1403	D	27
5	21	at NYJ(1286) W 27-20: +1→1446	13	28	vs TB(1676) L 17-30: -7→1396	C	27
6	22	(bye)	14	26	at CAR(1446) W 29-21: +21→1417	S	27
7	21	at MIA(1386) W 30-28: +4→1450	15	26	at SF(1542) L 13-31: -6→1411
8	23	vs CAR(1456) L 13-19: -14→1436	16	27	vs DET(1353) W 20-16: -9→1402

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-84 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1496 \| avg. lost to rating: 1498 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	4	at LV(1452) L 27-33: -9→1602	9	8	vs MIN(1502) W 34-31: -10→1591	17	13	vs LAR(1626) L 19-20: +4→1533
2	4	vs KC(1579) W 36-35: -1→1601	10	12	at MIA(1384) L 10-22: -31→1560	18	16	vs PIT(1453) L 13-16: -27→1506
3	7	at DET(1342) W 19-17: -16→1585	11	12	at CHI(1427) W 16-13: -1→1559	W	16
4	3	at DEN(1497) W 23-7: +39→1624	12	10	vs CLE(1514) W 16-10: +2→1561	D	16
5	5	vs IND(1562) W 31-25: -8→1616	13	11	at PIT(1413) L 19-20: -9→1552	C	16
6	5	vs LAC(1549) W 34-6: +41→1657	14	11	at CLE(1512) L 22-24: -1→1551	S	16
7	8	vs CIN(1490) L 17-41: -56→1601	15	12	vs GB(1642) L 30-31: +1→1552
8	9	(bye)	16	12	at CIN(1506) L 21-41: -23→1529

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1484 (-209 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1452 \| avg. lost to rating: 1544 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	6	vs PIT(1492) L 16-23: -20→1569	9	1	at JAX(1266) L 6-9: -32→1710	17	1	vs ATL(1402) W 29-15: -14→1698
2	2	at MIA(1542) W 35-0: +87→1656	10	1	at NYJ(1271) W 45-17: +18→1728	18	1	vs NYJ(1289) W 27-10: -12→1686
3	1	vs WAS(1472) W 43-21: +33→1689	11	1	vs IND(1605) L 15-41: -48→1680	W	1	vs NE(1605) W 47-17: -3→1683
4	1	vs HOU(1398) W 40-0: +37→1726	12	1	at NO(1569) W 31-6: +28→1708	D	1	at KC(1587) L 36-42: -20→1663
5	1	at KC(1570) W 38-20: +32→1758	13	1	vs NE(1647) L 10-14: -13→1695	C	1
6	1	at TEN(1570) L 31-34: -19→1739	14	1	at TB(1683) L 27-33: +2→1697	S	1
7	1	(bye)	15	1	vs CAR(1425) W 31-14: -4→1693
8	1	vs MIA(1382) W 26-11: +3→1742	16	1	at NE(1652) W 33-21: +19→1712

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+30 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1507 \| avg. lost to rating: 1502 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	25	vs NYJ(1343) W 19-14: -4→1459	9	23	vs NE(1528) L 6-24: -29→1441	17	26	at NO(1519) L 10-18: +9→1422
2	14	vs NO(1614) W 26-7: +66→1525	10	17	at ARI(1690) W 34-10: +56→1497	18	26	at TB(1640) L 17-41: +5→1427
3	9	at HOU(1438) W 24-9: +40→1565	11	20	vs WAS(1423) L 21-27: -19→1478	W	26
4	12	at DAL(1525) L 28-36: -21→1544	12	22	at MIA(1420) L 10-33: -32→1446	D	26
5	14	vs PHI(1381) L 18-21: -29→1515	13	23	(bye)	C	26
6	16	vs MIN(1495) L 28-34: -10→1505	14	24	vs ATL(1396) L 21-29: -21→1425	S	26
7	20	at NYG(1345) L 3-25: -49→1456	15	24	at BUF(1697) L 14-31: +4→1429
8	20	at ATL(1450) W 19-13: +14→1470	16	25	vs TB(1652) L 6-32: -16→1413

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1510 (+57 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1401 \| avg. lost to rating: 1570 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	16	at LAR(1626) L 14-34: -20→1500	9	25	at PIT(1455) L 27-29: +2→1427	17	23	vs NYG(1373) W 29-3: +11→1447
2	17	vs CIN(1394) W 20-17: -11→1489	10	23	(bye)	18	23	at MIN(1508) L 17-31: +5→1452
3	24	at CLE(1564) L 6-26: -40→1449	11	24	vs BAL(1560) L 13-16: +1→1428	W	24
4	20	vs DET(1358) W 24-14: +15→1464	12	24	at DET(1311) W 16-14: +1→1429	D	24
5	17	at LV(1465) W 20-9: +33→1497	13	24	vs ARI(1647) L 22-33: -2→1427	C	24
6	20	vs GB(1599) L 14-24: -21→1476	14	23	at GB(1640) L 30-45: -2→1425	S	24
7	22	at TB(1674) L 3-38: -30→1446	15	25	vs MIN(1512) L 9-17: -9→1416
8	25	vs SF(1484) L 22-33: -21→1425	16	23	at SEA(1506) W 25-24: +20→1436

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1478 (-5 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1474 \| avg. lost to rating: 1483 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	28	vs MIN(1476) W 27-24: +4→1394	9	18	vs CLE(1529) L 16-41: -40→1484	17	12	vs KC(1621) W 34-31: +10→1539
2	28	at CHI(1500) L 17-20: +11→1405	10	19	(bye)	18	12	at CLE(1493) L 16-21: -1→1538
3	23	at PIT(1468) W 24-10: +54→1459	11	16	at LV(1424) W 32-13: +26→1510	W	14	vs LV(1444) W 26-19: -23→1515
4	24	vs JAX(1280) W 24-21: -17→1442	12	14	vs PIT(1442) W 41-10: +29→1539	D	11	at TEN(1558) W 19-16: +31→1546
5	20	vs GB(1605) L 22-25: +7→1449	13	17	vs LAC(1466) L 22-41: -37→1502	C	10	at KC(1607) W 27-24: +23→1569
6	18	at DET(1354) W 34-11: +41→1490	14	18	vs SF(1538) L 23-26: -4→1498	S	8	at LAR(1613) L 20-23: +11→1580
7	11	at BAL(1657) W 41-17: +56→1546	15	16	at DEN(1465) W 15-10: +8→1506
8	14	at NYJ(1248) L 31-34: -22→1524	16	13	vs BAL(1552) W 41-21: +23→1529

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (-42 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1473 \| avg. lost to rating: 1529 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	11	at KC(1580) L 29-33: +0→1551	9	10	at CIN(1524) W 41-16: +40→1569	17	17	at PIT(1437) L 14-26: -17→1493
2	7	vs HOU(1451) W 31-21: +13→1564	10	13	at NE(1556) L 7-45: -39→1530	18	19	vs CIN(1539) W 21-16: +1→1494
3	4	vs CHI(1489) W 26-6: +41→1605	11	15	vs DET(1296) W 13-10: -16→1514	W	20
4	4	at MIN(1520) W 14-7: +15→1620	12	16	at BAL(1559) L 10-16: -2→1512	D	20
5	6	at LAC(1535) L 42-47: -15→1605	13	15	(bye)	C	20
6	12	vs ARI(1622) L 14-37: -49→1556	14	14	vs BAL(1552) W 24-22: +0→1512	S	20
7	12	vs DEN(1410) W 17-14: -10→1546	15	19	vs LV(1389) L 14-16: -21→1491
8	11	vs PIT(1438) L 10-15: -17→1529	16	17	at GB(1642) L 22-24: +19→1510

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1490 (-61 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1475 \| avg. lost to rating: 1526 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	24	at TB(1650) L 29-31: +11→1460	9	12	vs DEN(1426) L 16-30: -39→1547	17	9	vs ARI(1581) L 22-25: -15→1586
2	19	at LAC(1489) W 20-17: +19→1479	10	10	vs ATL(1454) W 43-3: +32→1579	18	3	at PHI(1512) W 51-26: +26→1612
3	14	vs PHI(1450) W 41-21: +46→1525	11	11	at KC(1577) L 9-19: -12→1567	W	9	vs SF(1571) L 17-23: -38→1574
4	11	vs CAR(1565) W 36-28: +22→1547	12	12	vs LV(1398) L 33-36: -20→1547	D	9
5	9	vs NYG(1413) W 44-20: +37→1584	13	10	at NO(1541) W 27-17: +20→1567	C	9
6	10	at NE(1480) W 35-29: -1→1583	14	10	at WAS(1452) W 27-20: +6→1573	S	10
7	10	(bye)	15	8	at NYG(1398) W 21-6: +12→1585
8	10	at MIN(1505) W 20-16: +3→1586	16	8	vs WAS(1443) W 56-14: +16→1601

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1460 (+15 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1401 \| avg. lost to rating: 1501 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	27	at NYG(1406) W 27-13: +25→1431	9	19	at DAL(1586) W 30-16: +39→1465	17	24	at LAC(1478) L 13-34: -14→1441
2	23	at JAX(1317) W 23-13: +25→1456	10	22	vs PHI(1440) L 13-30: -33→1432	18	22	vs KC(1611) L 24-28: +15→1456
3	19	vs NYJ(1294) W 26-0: +41→1497	11	23	(bye)	W	23
4	21	vs BAL(1585) L 7-23: -39→1458	12	20	vs LAC(1486) W 28-13: +21→1453	D	23
5	22	at PIT(1412) L 19-27: -20→1438	13	22	at KC(1590) L 9-22: -6→1447	C	23
6	25	vs LV(1432) L 24-34: -28→1410	14	20	vs DET(1323) W 38-10: +18→1465	S	23
7	24	at CLE(1556) L 14-17: +11→1421	15	20	vs CIN(1498) L 10-15: -8→1457
8	24	vs WAS(1394) W 17-10: +5→1426	16	21	at LV(1410) L 13-17: -2→1455

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1512 (+178 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1597 \| avg. lost to rating: 1497 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	30	vs SF(1524) L 33-41: -7→1373	9	31	(bye)	17	29	at SEA(1486) L 29-51: -2→1360
2	30	at GB(1563) L 17-35: -31→1342	10	31	at PIT(1453) T 16-16: +15→1296	18	28	vs GB(1633) W 37-30: +33→1393
3	30	vs BAL(1601) L 17-19: +16→1358	11	30	at CLE(1530) L 10-13: +15→1311	W	28
4	30	at CHI(1449) L 14-24: -14→1344	12	30	vs CHI(1428) L 14-16: -1→1310	D	28
5	30	at MIN(1505) L 17-19: +10→1354	13	29	vs MIN(1526) W 29-27: +13→1323	C	28
6	30	vs CIN(1449) L 11-34: -42→1312	14	29	at DEN(1447) L 10-38: -18→1305	S	28
7	29	at LAR(1670) L 19-28: +12→1324	15	29	vs ARI(1632) W 30-12: +48→1353
8	30	vs PHI(1401) L 6-44: -43→1281	16	29	at ATL(1411) L 16-20: +9→1362

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-122 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1497 \| avg. lost to rating: 1496 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	8	at NO(1572) L 3-38: -42→1563	9	6	at KC(1526) L 7-13: -15→1624	17	5	vs MIN(1517) W 37-10: +9→1633
2	5	vs DET(1373) W 35-17: +30→1593	10	4	vs SEA(1516) W 17-0: +17→1641	18	5	at DET(1360) L 30-37: -32→1601
3	5	at SF(1548) W 30-28: +10→1603	11	5	at MIN(1526) L 31-34: -8→1633	W	5	(bye)
4	7	vs PIT(1415) W 27-17: +2→1605	12	5	vs LAR(1602) W 36-28: +7→1640	D	8	vs SF(1609) L 10-13: -25→1576
5	7	at CIN(1442) W 25-22: -6→1599	13	6	(bye)	C	8
6	6	at CHI(1497) W 24-14: +20→1619	14	5	vs CHI(1427) W 45-30: +2→1642	S	9
7	5	vs WAS(1400) W 24-10: +7→1626	15	5	at BAL(1551) W 31-30: -0→1642
8	5	at ARI(1686) W 24-21: +13→1639	16	6	vs CLE(1491) W 24-22: -18→1624

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1518 (+170 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1444 \| avg. lost to rating: 1541 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	26	vs JAX(1334) W 37-21: +16→1451	9	29	at MIA(1379) L 9-17: -5→1302	17	30	at SF(1554) L 7-23: +9→1350
2	27	at CLE(1551) L 21-31: -13→1438	10	30	(bye)	18	29	vs TEN(1580) L 25-28: +22→1372
3	28	vs CAR(1525) L 9-24: -40→1398	11	29	at TEN(1654) W 22-13: +36→1338	W	29
4	29	at BUF(1689) L 0-40: -37→1361	12	29	vs NYJ(1248) L 14-21: -22→1316	D	29
5	29	vs NE(1479) L 22-25: -0→1361	13	30	vs IND(1639) L 0-31: -21→1295	C	29
6	29	at IND(1570) L 3-31: -33→1328	14	30	vs SEA(1493) L 13-33: -13→1282	S	29
7	30	at ARI(1671) L 5-31: -15→1313	15	30	at JAX(1275) W 30-16: +24→1306
8	29	vs LAR(1658) L 22-38: -6→1307	16	30	vs LAC(1513) W 41-29: +35→1341

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (-112 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1465 \| avg. lost to rating: 1537 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	7	vs SEA(1525) L 16-28: -27→1564	9	7	vs NYJ(1270) W 45-30: -1→1617	17	3	vs LV(1412) L 20-23: -35→1637
2	8	vs LAR(1645) L 24-27: -5→1559	10	6	vs JAX(1299) W 23-17: -12→1605	18	8	at JAX(1252) L 11-26: -50→1587
3	13	at TEN(1550) L 16-25: -22→1537	11	3	at BUF(1728) W 41-15: +48→1653	W	8
4	10	at MIA(1462) W 27-17: +25→1562	12	6	vs TB(1661) L 31-38: -14→1639	D	7
5	10	at BAL(1624) L 25-31: +8→1570	13	4	at HOU(1316) W 31-0: +21→1660	C	6
6	7	vs HOU(1361) W 31-3: +33→1603	14	4	(bye)	S	6
7	7	at SF(1507) W 30-18: +22→1625	15	2	vs NE(1660) W 27-17: +8→1668
8	7	vs TEN(1625) L 31-34: -7→1618	16	2	at ARI(1584) W 22-16: +4→1672

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (+221 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1595 \| avg. lost to rating: 1486 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	32	at HOU(1435) L 21-37: -17→1317	9	30	vs BUF(1742) W 9-6: +33→1299	17	32	at NE(1633) L 10-50: -0→1252
2	32	vs DEN(1431) L 13-23: -25→1292	10	29	at IND(1617) L 17-23: +11→1310	18	31	vs IND(1637) W 26-11: +50→1302
3	31	vs ARI(1545) L 19-31: -12→1280	11	31	vs SF(1523) L 10-30: -17→1293	W	31
4	31	at CIN(1459) L 21-24: +16→1296	12	31	vs ATL(1397) L 14-21: -6→1287	D	31
5	32	vs TEN(1539) L 19-37: -30→1266	13	31	at LAR(1595) L 7-37: -10→1277	C	31
6	31	at MIA(1405) W 23-20: +19→1285	14	31	at TEN(1592) L 0-20: -2→1275	S	31
7	31	(bye)	15	32	vs HOU(1282) L 16-30: -25→1250
8	32	at SEA(1497) L 7-31: -19→1266	16	32	at NYJ(1263) L 21-26: +2→1252

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (-68 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1477 \| avg. lost to rating: 1583 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	5	vs CLE(1551) W 33-29: -1→1579	9	13	vs GB(1639) W 13-7: +15→1541	17	7	at CIN(1529) L 31-34: -10→1611
2	6	at BAL(1602) L 35-36: +1→1580	10	11	at LV(1460) W 41-14: +36→1577	18	7	at DEN(1441) W 28-24: -15→1596
3	11	vs LAC(1470) L 24-30: -33→1547	11	9	vs DAL(1579) W 19-9: +13→1590	W	7	vs PIT(1480) W 42-21: -9→1587
4	8	at PHI(1404) W 42-30: +23→1570	12	9	(bye)	D	5	vs BUF(1683) W 42-36: +20→1607
5	13	vs BUF(1726) L 20-38: -32→1538	13	8	vs DEN(1453) W 22-9: +5→1595	C	7	vs CIN(1546) L 24-27: -23→1584
6	11	at WAS(1434) W 31-13: +33→1571	14	8	vs LV(1410) W 48-9: +21→1616	S	7
7	13	at TEN(1589) L 3-27: -36→1535	15	7	at LAC(1512) W 34-28: -0→1616
8	13	vs NYG(1394) W 20-17: -9→1526	16	7	vs PIT(1442) W 36-10: +5→1621

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (+62 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1513 \| avg. lost to rating: 1491 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	23	vs BAL(1611) W 33-27: +9→1461	9	20	at NYG(1403) L 16-23: -15→1460	17	22	at IND(1672) W 23-20: +35→1447
2	16	at PIT(1512) W 26-17: +44→1505	10	24	vs KC(1541) L 14-41: -36→1424	18	25	vs LAC(1491) W 35-32: -3→1444
3	18	vs MIA(1454) W 31-28: -8→1497	11	27	vs CIN(1484) L 13-32: -26→1398	W	22	at CIN(1538) L 19-26: +23→1467
4	19	at LAC(1503) L 14-28: -32→1465	12	26	at DAL(1567) W 36-33: +19→1417	D	22
5	24	vs CHI(1464) L 9-20: -33→1432	13	26	vs WAS(1445) L 15-17: -7→1410	C	22
6	21	at DEN(1438) W 34-24: +28→1460	14	28	at KC(1595) L 9-48: -21→1389	S	22
7	19	vs PHI(1416) W 33-22: +15→1475	15	27	at CLE(1512) W 16-14: +21→1410
8	19	(bye)	16	26	vs DEN(1457) W 17-13: +2→1412

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1493 (-6 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1497 \| avg. lost to rating: 1488 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	18	at WAS(1489) W 20-16: +9→1489	9	16	at PHI(1444) W 27-24: +5→1504	17	18	vs DEN(1455) W 34-13: +13→1491
2	21	vs DAL(1460) L 17-20: -19→1470	10	18	vs MIN(1511) L 20-27: -15→1489	18	18	at LV(1447) L 32-35: +4→1495
3	16	at KC(1580) W 30-24: +33→1503	11	19	vs PIT(1438) W 41-37: -3→1486	W	19
4	14	vs LV(1497) W 28-14: +32→1535	12	19	at DEN(1432) L 13-28: -20→1466	D	19
5	12	vs CLE(1620) W 47-42: +14→1549	13	16	at CIN(1539) W 41-22: +37→1503	C	19
6	13	at BAL(1616) L 6-34: -40→1509	14	15	vs NYG(1408) W 37-21: +9→1512	S	19
7	15	(bye)	15	15	vs KC(1616) L 28-34: +1→1513
8	18	vs NE(1518) L 24-27: -10→1499	16	20	at HOU(1306) L 29-41: -35→1478

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (-126 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1482 \| avg. lost to rating: 1571 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	1	vs CHI(1520) W 34-14: +19→1645	9	5	vs TEN(1631) L 16-28: -27→1638	17	6	at BAL(1529) W 20-19: -4→1622
2	3	at IND(1564) W 27-24: +6→1651	10	7	at SF(1487) L 10-31: -36→1602	18	6	vs SF(1545) L 24-27: -26→1596
3	2	vs TB(1684) W 34-24: +28→1679	11	8	(bye)	W	6	vs ARI(1559) W 34-11: -7→1589
4	6	vs ARI(1558) L 20-37: -61→1618	12	7	at GB(1633) L 28-36: -7→1595	D	3	at TB(1622) W 30-27: +29→1618
5	3	at SEA(1525) W 26-17: +21→1639	13	7	vs JAX(1287) W 37-7: +10→1605	C	3	vs SF(1634) W 20-17: -5→1613
6	4	at NYG(1376) W 38-11: +31→1670	14	7	at ARI(1649) W 30-23: +17→1622	S	4	vs CIN(1569) W 23-20: -11→1602
7	4	vs DET(1312) W 28-19: -12→1658	15	6	vs SEA(1507) W 20-10: +1→1623
8	4	at HOU(1313) W 38-22: +7→1665	16	5	at MIN(1521) W 30-23: +3→1626

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1485 (+42 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1440 \| avg. lost to rating: 1535 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	12	at NE(1472) W 17-16: +5→1542	9	28	vs HOU(1307) W 17-9: +5→1384	17	20	at TEN(1570) L 3-34: -10→1480
2	24	vs BUF(1569) L 0-35: -88→1454	10	28	vs BAL(1591) W 22-10: +31→1415	18	15	vs NE(1633) W 33-24: +27→1507
3	21	at LV(1505) L 28-31: +8→1462	11	25	at NYJ(1253) W 24-17: +5→1420	W	15
4	25	vs IND(1537) L 17-27: -26→1436	12	21	vs CAR(1478) W 33-10: +32→1452	D	15
5	27	at TB(1649) L 17-45: -31→1405	13	20	vs NYG(1417) W 20-9: +9→1461	C	15
6	27	at JAX(1266) L 20-23: -19→1386	14	21	(bye)	S	15
7	28	vs ATL(1446) L 28-30: -4→1382	15	21	vs NYJ(1252) W 31-24: -11→1450
8	28	at BUF(1739) L 11-26: -3→1379	16	18	at NO(1560) W 20-3: +40→1490

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1510 (+2 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1479 \| avg. lost to rating: 1537 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	20	at CIN(1390) L 24-27: -4→1472	9	15	at BAL(1601) L 31-34: +9→1511	17	16	at GB(1624) L 10-37: -9→1508
2	18	at ARI(1554) L 33-34: +8→1480	10	14	at LAC(1504) W 27-20: +15→1526	18	17	vs CHI(1447) W 31-17: -5→1503
3	15	vs SEA(1537) W 30-17: +40→1520	11	14	vs GB(1641) W 34-31: +7→1533	W	17
4	17	vs CLE(1605) L 7-14: -15→1505	12	15	at SF(1541) L 26-34: -7→1526	D	17
5	18	vs DET(1344) W 19-17: -10→1495	13	14	at DET(1310) L 27-29: -13→1513	C	17
6	15	at CAR(1515) W 34-28: +10→1505	14	16	vs PIT(1422) W 36-28: -1→1512	S	17
7	16	(bye)	15	14	at CHI(1425) W 17-9: +9→1521
8	17	vs DAL(1583) L 16-20: -3→1502	16	15	vs LAR(1623) L 23-30: -4→1517

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1512 (-42 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1454 \| avg. lost to rating: 1594 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	21	vs MIA(1537) L 16-17: -5→1467	9	11	at CAR(1470) W 24-6: +28→1556	17	4	vs JAX(1252) W 50-10: +0→1633
2	15	at NYJ(1346) W 25-6: +53→1520	10	8	vs CLE(1569) W 45-7: +40→1596	18	4	at MIA(1480) L 24-33: -28→1605
3	20	vs NO(1548) L 13-28: -47→1473	11	6	at ATL(1422) W 25-0: +25→1621	W	4	at BUF(1686) L 17-47: +3→1608
4	18	vs TB(1656) L 17-19: +6→1479	12	3	vs TEN(1618) W 36-13: +26→1647	D	4
5	19	at HOU(1361) W 25-22: +1→1480	13	3	at BUF(1708) W 14-10: +13→1660	C	4
6	19	vs DAL(1584) L 29-35: +1→1481	14	3	(bye)	S	3
7	14	vs NYJ(1285) W 54-13: +37→1518	15	4	at IND(1660) L 17-27: -8→1652
8	12	at LAC(1509) W 27-24: +10→1528	16	4	vs BUF(1693) L 21-33: -19→1633

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (-57 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1506 \| avg. lost to rating: 1510 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	3	at GB(1605) W 38-3: +42→1614	9	9	vs ATL(1436) L 25-27: -18→1587	17	15	vs CAR(1413) W 18-10: -9→1510
2	10	at CAR(1459) L 7-26: -66→1548	10	9	at TEN(1658) L 21-23: +5→1592	18	14	at ATL(1416) W 30-20: +8→1518
3	6	at NE(1520) W 28-13: +47→1595	11	10	at PHI(1472) L 29-40: -23→1569	W	13
4	9	vs NYG(1380) L 21-27: -32→1563	12	13	vs BUF(1680) L 6-31: -28→1541	D	14
5	8	at WAS(1456) W 33-22: +22→1585	13	13	vs DAL(1547) L 17-27: -19→1522	C	14
6	9	(bye)	14	13	at NYJ(1261) W 30-9: +9→1531	S	14
7	9	at SEA(1498) W 13-10: +1→1586	15	11	at TB(1681) W 9-0: +29→1560
8	8	vs TB(1704) W 36-27: +19→1605	16	14	vs MIA(1450) L 3-20: -41→1519

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1510 (+119 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1518 \| avg. lost to rating: 1508 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	29	vs DEN(1406) L 13-27: -26→1380	9	26	vs LV(1475) W 23-16: +14→1417	17	28	at CHI(1436) L 3-29: -11→1362
2	29	at WAS(1480) L 29-30: +8→1388	10	27	(bye)	18	30	vs WAS(1424) L 7-22: -20→1342
3	29	vs ATL(1453) L 14-17: -8→1380	11	26	at TB(1651) L 10-30: -10→1407	W	30
4	26	at NO(1595) W 27-21: +33→1413	12	25	vs PHI(1496) W 13-7: +10→1417	D	30
5	28	at DAL(1547) L 20-44: -37→1376	13	27	at MIA(1452) L 9-20: -9→1408	C	30
6	28	vs LAR(1639) L 11-38: -31→1345	14	27	at LAC(1503) L 21-37: -10→1398	S	30
7	27	vs CAR(1505) W 25-3: +49→1394	15	28	vs DAL(1573) L 6-21: -12→1386
8	26	at KC(1535) L 17-20: +9→1403	16	28	at PHI(1498) L 10-34: -13→1373

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (+230 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1427 \| avg. lost to rating: 1530 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	31	at CAR(1463) L 14-19: +3→1346	9	32	at IND(1618) L 30-45: +1→1271	17	31	vs TB(1668) L 24-28: +28→1289
2	31	vs NE(1467) L 6-25: -52→1294	10	32	vs BUF(1710) L 17-45: -18→1253	18	32	at BUF(1698) L 10-27: +12→1301
3	32	at DEN(1456) L 0-26: -41→1253	11	32	vs MIA(1415) L 17-24: -5→1248	W	32
4	32	vs TEN(1572) W 27-24: +33→1286	12	32	at HOU(1338) W 21-14: +22→1270	D	32
5	31	at ATL(1445) L 20-27: -1→1285	13	32	vs PHI(1486) L 18-33: -9→1261	C	32
6	32	(bye)	14	32	vs NO(1522) L 9-30: -9→1252	S	32
7	32	at NE(1481) L 13-54: -37→1248	15	31	at MIA(1461) L 24-31: +11→1263
8	31	vs CIN(1546) W 34-31: +22→1270	16	31	vs JAX(1250) W 26-21: -2→1261

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1482 (+29 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1444 \| avg. lost to rating: 1524 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	22	at ATL(1544) W 32-6: +46→1467	9	24	vs LAC(1499) L 24-27: -4→1440	17	14	at WAS(1426) W 20-16: +2→1512
2	26	vs SF(1531) L 11-17: -17→1450	10	20	at DEN(1465) W 30-13: +32→1472	18	20	vs DAL(1586) L 26-51: -25→1487
3	27	at DAL(1479) L 21-41: -46→1404	11	17	vs NO(1592) W 40-29: +24→1496	W	18	at TB(1635) L 15-31: +12→1499
4	28	vs KC(1547) L 30-42: -23→1381	12	17	at NYG(1407) L 7-13: -10→1486	D	18
5	26	at CAR(1544) W 21-18: +28→1409	13	18	at NYJ(1270) W 33-18: +8→1494	C	18
6	24	vs TB(1681) L 22-28: +7→1416	14	19	(bye)	S	18
7	25	at LV(1460) L 22-33: -15→1401	15	18	vs WAS(1446) W 27-17: +4→1498
8	22	at DET(1324) W 44-6: +43→1444	16	16	vs NYG(1386) W 34-10: +12→1510

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (+62 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1525 \| avg. lost to rating: 1514 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	15	at BUF(1589) W 23-16: +20→1512	9	22	vs CHI(1425) W 29-27: -2→1453	17	21	vs CLE(1510) W 26-14: +16→1453
2	22	vs LV(1461) L 17-26: -44→1468	10	21	vs DET(1281) T 16-16: -15→1438	18	21	at BAL(1533) W 16-13: +27→1480
3	26	vs CIN(1405) L 10-24: -53→1415	11	21	at LAC(1489) L 37-41: +4→1442	W	21	at KC(1596) L 21-42: +9→1489
4	27	at GB(1603) L 17-27: -3→1412	12	27	at CIN(1510) L 10-41: -29→1413	D	21
5	25	vs DEN(1458) W 27-19: +20→1432	13	25	vs BAL(1561) W 20-19: +9→1422	C	21
6	23	vs SEA(1504) W 23-20: +6→1438	14	25	at MIN(1513) L 28-36: +1→1423	S	21
7	23	(bye)	15	23	vs TEN(1595) W 19-13: +19→1442
8	21	at CLE(1546) W 15-10: +17→1455	16	22	at KC(1616) L 10-36: -5→1437

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1512 (-16 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1466 \| avg. lost to rating: 1578 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	14	at DET(1380) W 41-33: +7→1531	9	17	vs ARI(1672) L 17-31: -18→1487	17	11	vs HOU(1341) W 23-7: -9→1545
2	11	at PHI(1467) W 17-11: +17→1548	10	15	vs LAR(1638) W 31-10: +36→1523	18	9	at LAR(1622) W 27-24: +26→1571
3	12	vs GB(1593) L 28-30: -10→1538	11	13	at JAX(1310) W 30-10: +18→1541	W	3	at DAL(1612) W 23-17: +38→1609
4	16	vs SEA(1497) L 21-28: -28→1510	12	11	vs MIN(1533) W 34-26: +7→1548	D	2	at GB(1601) W 13-10: +25→1634
5	15	at ARI(1619) L 10-17: -3→1507	13	12	at SEA(1483) L 23-30: -10→1538	C	2	at LAR(1618) L 17-20: +6→1640
6	14	(bye)	14	12	at CIN(1502) W 26-23: +4→1542	S	2
7	18	vs IND(1603) L 18-30: -23→1484	15	13	vs ATL(1417) W 31-13: +7→1549
8	16	at CHI(1446) W 33-22: +21→1505	16	11	at TEN(1575) L 17-20: +5→1554

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (+0 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1459 \| avg. lost to rating: 1539 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	10	at IND(1591) W 28-16: +26→1551	9	14	(bye)	17	19	vs DET(1362) W 51-29: +2→1488
2	13	vs TEN(1536) L 30-33: -14→1537	10	16	at GB(1624) L 0-17: -17→1499	18	13	at ARI(1596) W 38-30: +37→1525
3	17	at MIN(1480) L 17-30: -40→1497	11	18	vs ARI(1635) L 13-23: -12→1487	W	12
4	15	at SF(1538) W 28-21: +28→1525	12	18	at WAS(1441) L 15-17: -4→1483	D	13
5	16	vs LAR(1618) L 17-26: -21→1504	13	19	vs SF(1548) W 30-23: +10→1493	C	13
6	17	at PIT(1432) L 20-23: -6→1498	14	17	at HOU(1295) W 33-13: +14→1507	S	13
7	17	vs NO(1585) L 10-13: -1→1497	15	17	at LAR(1622) L 10-20: -1→1506
8	15	vs JAX(1285) W 31-7: +19→1516	16	19	vs CHI(1416) L 24-25: -20→1486

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1481 (-186 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1463 \| avg. lost to rating: 1539 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	2	vs DAL(1449) W 31-29: -11→1639	9	3	(bye)	17	2	at NYJ(1261) W 28-24: -28→1640
2	1	vs ATL(1498) W 48-25: +45→1684	10	3	at WAS(1389) L 19-29: -34→1651	18	2	vs CAR(1422) W 41-17: -5→1635
3	3	at LAR(1651) L 24-34: -28→1656	11	2	vs NYG(1417) W 30-10: +10→1661	W	2	vs PHI(1487) W 31-15: -13→1622
4	2	at NE(1473) W 19-17: -7→1649	12	2	at IND(1653) W 38-31: +15→1676	D	6	vs LAR(1589) L 27-30: -29→1593
5	2	vs MIA(1436) W 45-17: +32→1681	13	2	at ATL(1403) W 30-17: +7→1683	C	5
6	2	at PHI(1409) W 28-22: -7→1674	14	2	vs BUF(1695) W 33-27: -2→1681	S	5
7	2	vs CHI(1476) W 38-3: +30→1704	15	3	vs NO(1531) L 0-9: -29→1652
8	2	at NO(1586) L 27-36: -19→1685	16	3	at CAR(1429) W 32-6: +16→1668

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1494 (-97 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1523 \| avg. lost to rating: 1422 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	13	vs ARI(1513) L 13-38: -41→1536	9	4	at LAR(1665) W 28-16: +27→1658	17	10	vs MIA(1490) W 34-3: +10→1580
2	9	at SEA(1551) W 33-30: +14→1550	10	2	vs NO(1587) W 23-21: -4→1654	18	11	at HOU(1350) W 28-25: -22→1558
3	8	vs IND(1559) W 25-16: +22→1572	11	7	vs HOU(1302) L 13-22: -36→1618	W	11	(bye)
4	13	at NYJ(1253) L 24-27: -33→1539	12	8	at NE(1621) L 13-36: -26→1592	D	12	vs CIN(1515) L 16-19: -31→1527
5	11	at JAX(1296) W 37-19: +31→1570	13	9	(bye)	C	12
6	8	vs BUF(1758) W 34-31: +19→1589	14	9	vs JAX(1277) W 20-0: +3→1595	S	12
7	6	vs KC(1571) W 27-3: +36→1625	15	10	at PIT(1423) L 13-19: -20→1575
8	6	at IND(1625) W 34-31: +6→1631	16	10	vs SF(1549) W 20-17: -5→1570

↑ Washington Football Team

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1513 (+75 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1470 \| avg. lost to rating: 1543 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	19	vs LAC(1480) L 16-20: -9→1480	9	27	(bye)	17	25	vs PHI(1510) L 16-20: -2→1424
2	20	vs NYG(1380) W 30-29: -8→1472	10	25	vs TB(1685) W 29-19: +34→1423	18	24	at NYG(1362) W 22-7: +20→1444
3	25	at BUF(1656) L 21-43: -32→1440	11	22	at CAR(1497) W 27-21: +18→1441	W	25
4	22	at ATL(1461) W 34-30: +16→1456	12	23	vs SEA(1487) W 17-15: +4→1445	D	25
5	23	vs NO(1563) L 22-33: -22→1434	13	21	at LV(1417) W 17-15: +7→1452	C	25
6	26	vs KC(1538) L 13-31: -34→1400	14	22	vs DAL(1567) L 20-27: -6→1446	S	25
7	26	at GB(1619) L 10-24: -6→1394	15	22	at PHI(1494) L 17-27: -3→1443
8	27	at DEN(1421) L 10-17: -5→1389	16	24	at DAL(1585) L 14-56: -17→1426

↑ 2021 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 4 games (weeks 18-21) San Francisco 49ers: +95 total Elo rating
2. 4 games (weeks 15-18) Houston Texans: +91 total Elo rating
3. 3 games (weeks 20-22) Cincinnati Bengals: +65 total Elo rating
4. 3 games (weeks 17-19) Pittsburgh Steelers: +52 total Elo rating
5. 3 games (weeks 16-18) Chicago Bears: +36 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 6 games (weeks 13-18) New York Giants: -75 total Elo rating
2. 4 games (weeks 17-20) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: -75 total Elo rating
3. 4 games (weeks 17-20) Buffalo Bills: -49 total Elo rating
4. 3 games (weeks 16-18) Minnesota Vikings: -18 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 17-18) Indianapolis Colts: -85 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 9, 476-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1742) 17-point favorites at Jacksonville Jaguars (1266): Jaguars win 9-6
2. Week 18, 385-Elo upset: Indianapolis Colts (1637) 34-point favorites at Jacksonville Jaguars (1252): Jaguars win 26-11
3. Week 11, 352-Elo upset: Tennessee Titans (1654) 13-point favorites vs Houston Texans (1302): Texans win 22-13
4. Week 15, 327-Elo upset: Arizona Cardinals (1632) 18-point favorites at Detroit Lions (1305): Lions win 30-12
5. Week 4, 319-Elo upset: Tennessee Titans (1572) 10-point favorites at New York Jets (1253): Jets win 27-24
6. Week 8, 298-Elo upset: Cincinnati Bengals (1546) 10-point favorites at New York Jets (1248): Jets win 34-31
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week 18, 49-point differential: Indianapolis Colts (1637) 34-point favorites vs Jacksonville Jaguars (1252): Jaguars win 26-11
2. Week 15, 36-point differential: Arizona Cardinals (1632) 18-point favorites vs Detroit Lions (1305): Lions win 30-12
3. Week 10, 37-point differential: Arizona Cardinals (1690) 13-point favorites vs Carolina Panthers (1441): Panthers win 34-10
4. Week W, 43-point differential: Dallas Cowboys (1612) 37-point favorites vs San Francisco 49ers (1571): 49ers win 23-17
5. Week 11, 34-point differential: Buffalo Bills (1728) 8-point favorites vs Indianapolis Colts (1605): Colts win 41-15
6. Week 16, 31-point differential: New Orleans Saints (1560) 14-point favorites vs Miami Dolphins (1450): Dolphins win 20-3
7. Week 18, 33-point differential: Arizona Cardinals (1596) 25-point favorites vs Seattle Seahawks (1488): Seahawks win 38-30
8. Week 1, 33-point differential: Atlanta Falcons (1544) 7-point favorites vs Philadelphia Eagles (1421): Eagles win 32-6
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +190: Cincinnati Bengals (1390) before week 1 → (1580) thru week 22
2. +137: New England Patriots (1472) before week 1 → (1608) thru week 19
3. +125: Dallas Cowboys (1449) before week 1 → (1574) thru week 19
4. +116: San Francisco 49ers (1524) before week 1 → (1640) thru week 21
5. +78: Philadelphia Eagles (1421) before week 1 → (1499) thru week 19
more...
1. +74: Buffalo Bills (1589) before week 1 → (1663) thru week 20
2. +53: Arizona Cardinals (1513) before week 1 → (1566) thru week 19
3. +50: Denver Broncos (1406) before week 1 → (1456) thru week 18
4. +27: Minnesota Vikings (1476) before week 1 → (1503) thru week 18
5. +15: Las Vegas Raiders (1452) before week 1 → (1467) thru week 19
6. +14: Los Angeles Chargers (1480) before week 1 → (1495) thru week 18
7. +13: Detroit Lions (1380) before week 1 → (1393) thru week 18
8. +5: Kansas City Chiefs (1580) before week 1 → (1584) thru week 21
9. +0: Seattle Seahawks (1525) before week 1 → (1525) thru week 18
10. -3: Pittsburgh Steelers (1492) before week 1 → (1489) thru week 19
11. -4: Indianapolis Colts (1591) before week 1 → (1587) thru week 18
12. -24: Los Angeles Rams (1626) before week 1 → (1602) thru week 22
13. -29: Green Bay Packers (1605) before week 1 → (1576) thru week 20
14. -30: Miami Dolphins (1537) before week 1 → (1507) thru week 18
15. -32: Jacksonville Jaguars (1334) before week 1 → (1302) thru week 18
16. -36: Carolina Panthers (1463) before week 1 → (1427) thru week 18
17. -41: New York Jets (1343) before week 1 → (1301) thru week 18
18. -44: Washington Football Team (1489) before week 1 → (1444) thru week 18
19. -50: Tennessee Titans (1577) before week 1 → (1527) thru week 20
20. -54: New Orleans Saints (1572) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 18
21. -56: Cleveland Browns (1551) before week 1 → (1494) thru week 18
22. -58: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1650) before week 1 → (1593) thru week 20
23. -63: Houston Texans (1435) before week 1 → (1372) thru week 18
24. -63: New York Giants (1406) before week 1 → (1342) thru week 18
25. -67: Chicago Bears (1520) before week 1 → (1452) thru week 18
26. -105: Baltimore Ravens (1611) before week 1 → (1506) thru week 18
27. -135: Atlanta Falcons (1544) before week 1 → (1408) thru week 18
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -135: Atlanta Falcons (1544) before week 1 → (1408) thru week 18
2. -105: Baltimore Ravens (1611) before week 1 → (1506) thru week 18
3. -67: Chicago Bears (1520) before week 1 → (1452) thru week 18
4. -63: New York Giants (1406) before week 1 → (1342) thru week 18
5. -63: Houston Texans (1435) before week 1 → (1372) thru week 18
more...
1. -58: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1650) before week 1 → (1593) thru week 20
2. -56: Cleveland Browns (1551) before week 1 → (1494) thru week 18
3. -54: New Orleans Saints (1572) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 18
4. -50: Tennessee Titans (1577) before week 1 → (1527) thru week 20
5. -44: Washington Football Team (1489) before week 1 → (1444) thru week 18
6. -41: New York Jets (1343) before week 1 → (1301) thru week 18
7. -36: Carolina Panthers (1463) before week 1 → (1427) thru week 18
8. -32: Jacksonville Jaguars (1334) before week 1 → (1302) thru week 18
9. -30: Miami Dolphins (1537) before week 1 → (1507) thru week 18
10. -29: Green Bay Packers (1605) before week 1 → (1576) thru week 20
11. -24: Los Angeles Rams (1626) before week 1 → (1602) thru week 22
12. -4: Indianapolis Colts (1591) before week 1 → (1587) thru week 18
13. -3: Pittsburgh Steelers (1492) before week 1 → (1489) thru week 19
14. -0: Seattle Seahawks (1525) before week 1 → (1525) thru week 18
15. +5: Kansas City Chiefs (1580) before week 1 → (1584) thru week 21
16. +13: Detroit Lions (1380) before week 1 → (1393) thru week 18
17. +14: Los Angeles Chargers (1480) before week 1 → (1495) thru week 18
18. +15: Las Vegas Raiders (1452) before week 1 → (1467) thru week 19
19. +27: Minnesota Vikings (1476) before week 1 → (1503) thru week 18
20. +50: Denver Broncos (1406) before week 1 → (1456) thru week 18
21. +53: Arizona Cardinals (1513) before week 1 → (1566) thru week 19
22. +74: Buffalo Bills (1589) before week 1 → (1663) thru week 20
23. +78: Philadelphia Eagles (1421) before week 1 → (1499) thru week 19
24. +116: San Francisco 49ers (1524) before week 1 → (1640) thru week 21
25. +125: Dallas Cowboys (1449) before week 1 → (1574) thru week 19
26. +137: New England Patriots (1472) before week 1 → (1608) thru week 19
27. +190: Cincinnati Bengals (1390) before week 1 → (1580) thru week 22
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +189: Buffalo Bills (1569) before week 2 → (1758) thru week 5
2. +180: New England Patriots (1480) before week 6 → (1660) thru week 13
3. +173: Arizona Cardinals (1513) before week 1 → (1686) thru week 7
4. +157: Cincinnati Bengals (1390) before week 1 → (1546) thru week 7
5. +137: Dallas Cowboys (1449) before week 1 → (1586) thru week 8
more...
1. +122: Tennessee Titans (1536) before week 2 → (1658) thru week 9
2. +116: Indianapolis Colts (1537) before week 4 → (1653) thru week 11
3. +115: Philadelphia Eagles (1381) before week 5 → (1496) thru week 11
4. +111: Miami Dolphins (1379) before week 9 → (1490) thru week 16
5. +106: Carolina Panthers (1459) before week 2 → (1565) thru week 3
6. +102: San Francisco 49ers (1538) before week 14 → (1640) thru week 21
7. +97: Detroit Lions (1296) before week 11 → (1393) thru week 18
8. +95: Kansas City Chiefs (1526) before week 9 → (1621) thru week 16
9. +91: Denver Broncos (1406) before week 1 → (1497) thru week 3
10. +91: Houston Texans (1282) before week 15 → (1372) thru week 18
11. +80: Los Angeles Chargers (1470) before week 3 → (1549) thru week 5
12. +78: Las Vegas Raiders (1389) before week 15 → (1467) thru week 19
13. +77: Green Bay Packers (1563) before week 2 → (1639) thru week 8
14. +76: Pittsburgh Steelers (1413) before week 13 → (1489) thru week 19
15. +72: New York Giants (1345) before week 7 → (1417) thru week 9
16. +72: Baltimore Ravens (1585) before week 4 → (1657) thru week 6
17. +69: Cleveland Browns (1551) before week 2 → (1620) thru week 4
18. +65: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1639) before week 2 → (1704) thru week 7
19. +64: Washington Football Team (1389) before week 9 → (1452) thru week 13
20. +57: New Orleans Saints (1548) before week 3 → (1605) thru week 8
21. +53: Los Angeles Rams (1626) before week 1 → (1679) thru week 3
22. +53: New York Jets (1248) before week 12 → (1301) thru week 18
23. +52: Jacksonville Jaguars (1250) before week 16 → (1302) thru week 18
24. +48: Minnesota Vikings (1472) before week 2 → (1520) thru week 3
25. +48: Chicago Bears (1449) before week 4 → (1497) thru week 5
26. +42: Seattle Seahawks (1483) before week 13 → (1525) thru week 18
27. +20: Atlanta Falcons (1397) before week 12 → (1417) thru week 14
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -162: Miami Dolphins (1542) before week 2 → (1379) thru week 8
2. -149: Houston Texans (1451) before week 2 → (1302) thru week 9
3. -124: Carolina Panthers (1565) before week 4 → (1441) thru week 9
4. -109: Arizona Cardinals (1690) before week 10 → (1581) thru week 16
5. -108: Cleveland Browns (1620) before week 5 → (1512) thru week 12
more...
1. -107: Atlanta Falcons (1544) before week 1 → (1436) thru week 8
2. -106: Baltimore Ravens (1657) before week 7 → (1551) thru week 14
3. -100: Washington Football Team (1489) before week 1 → (1389) thru week 8
4. -99: Pittsburgh Steelers (1512) before week 2 → (1412) thru week 4
5. -99: New York Jets (1346) before week 2 → (1248) thru week 7
6. -99: Detroit Lions (1380) before week 1 → (1281) thru week 8
7. -99: Las Vegas Raiders (1497) before week 4 → (1398) thru week 11
8. -95: Tennessee Titans (1654) before week 11 → (1558) thru week 18
9. -94: Chicago Bears (1520) before week 1 → (1425) thru week 8
10. -90: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1683) before week 14 → (1593) thru week 20
11. -86: Philadelphia Eagles (1467) before week 2 → (1381) thru week 4
12. -86: Denver Broncos (1497) before week 4 → (1410) thru week 6
13. -86: New Orleans Saints (1605) before week 9 → (1519) thru week 16
14. -85: Indianapolis Colts (1672) before week 17 → (1587) thru week 18
15. -84: Los Angeles Chargers (1549) before week 6 → (1466) thru week 12
16. -78: Buffalo Bills (1758) before week 6 → (1680) thru week 11
17. -77: Los Angeles Rams (1679) before week 4 → (1602) thru week 10
18. -75: New York Giants (1417) before week 13 → (1342) thru week 18
19. -68: Jacksonville Jaguars (1334) before week 1 → (1266) thru week 5
20. -67: Green Bay Packers (1642) before week 15 → (1576) thru week 20
21. -63: Cincinnati Bengals (1546) before week 8 → (1484) thru week 9
22. -63: San Francisco 49ers (1548) before week 3 → (1484) thru week 7
23. -55: New England Patriots (1660) before week 14 → (1605) thru week 18
24. -55: Seattle Seahawks (1551) before week 2 → (1497) thru week 7
25. -54: Kansas City Chiefs (1580) before week 3 → (1526) thru week 8
26. -39: Dallas Cowboys (1586) before week 9 → (1547) thru week 12
27. -30: Minnesota Vikings (1533) before week 12 → (1503) thru week 18
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Houston Texans: 1518
2. Washington Football Team: 1513
3. Detroit Lions: 1512
4. New England Patriots: 1512
5. San Francisco 49ers: 1512
more...
1. Chicago Bears: 1510
2. New York Giants: 1510
3. Minnesota Vikings: 1510
4. Los Angeles Rams: 1508
5. New Orleans Saints: 1508
6. Kansas City Chiefs: 1508
7. Arizona Cardinals: 1508
8. Seattle Seahawks: 1506
9. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1506
10. New York Jets: 1506
11. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1505
12. Las Vegas Raiders: 1504
13. Carolina Panthers: 1503
14. Cleveland Browns: 1502
15. Indianapolis Colts: 1499
16. Baltimore Ravens: 1497
17. Green Bay Packers: 1497
18. Tennessee Titans: 1494
19. Los Angeles Chargers: 1493
20. Dallas Cowboys: 1490
21. Atlanta Falcons: 1488
22. Miami Dolphins: 1485
23. Buffalo Bills: 1484
24. Philadelphia Eagles: 1482
25. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1481
26. Cincinnati Bengals: 1478
27. Denver Broncos: 1460
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Denver Broncos: 1460
2. Cincinnati Bengals: 1478
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1481
4. Philadelphia Eagles: 1482
5. Buffalo Bills: 1484
more...
1. Miami Dolphins: 1485
2. Atlanta Falcons: 1488
3. Dallas Cowboys: 1490
4. Los Angeles Chargers: 1493
5. Tennessee Titans: 1494
6. Green Bay Packers: 1497
7. Baltimore Ravens: 1497
8. Indianapolis Colts: 1499
9. Cleveland Browns: 1502
10. Carolina Panthers: 1503
11. Las Vegas Raiders: 1504
12. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1505
13. New York Jets: 1506
14. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1506
15. Seattle Seahawks: 1506
16. Arizona Cardinals: 1508
17. Kansas City Chiefs: 1508
18. New Orleans Saints: 1508
19. Los Angeles Rams: 1508
20. Minnesota Vikings: 1510
21. New York Giants: 1510
22. Chicago Bears: 1510
23. San Francisco 49ers: 1512
24. New England Patriots: 1512
25. Detroit Lions: 1512
26. Washington Football Team: 1513
27. Houston Texans: 1518
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Detroit Lions: 1597
2. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1595
3. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1525
4. Tennessee Titans: 1523
5. New York Giants: 1518
more...
1. Las Vegas Raiders: 1513
2. Carolina Panthers: 1507
3. New Orleans Saints: 1506
4. Arizona Cardinals: 1500
5. Green Bay Packers: 1497
6. Los Angeles Chargers: 1497
7. Baltimore Ravens: 1496
8. Los Angeles Rams: 1482
9. Minnesota Vikings: 1479
10. Kansas City Chiefs: 1477
11. Dallas Cowboys: 1475
12. Cincinnati Bengals: 1474
13. Cleveland Browns: 1473
14. Washington Football Team: 1470
15. San Francisco 49ers: 1466
16. Indianapolis Colts: 1465
17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1463
18. Seattle Seahawks: 1459
19. New England Patriots: 1454
20. Buffalo Bills: 1452
21. Philadelphia Eagles: 1444
22. Houston Texans: 1444
23. Miami Dolphins: 1440
24. New York Jets: 1427
25. Chicago Bears: 1401
26. Denver Broncos: 1401
27. Atlanta Falcons: 1394
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Atlanta Falcons: 1394
2. Denver Broncos: 1401
3. Chicago Bears: 1401
4. New York Jets: 1427
5. Miami Dolphins: 1440
more...
1. Houston Texans: 1444
2. Philadelphia Eagles: 1444
3. Buffalo Bills: 1452
4. New England Patriots: 1454
5. Seattle Seahawks: 1459
6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1463
7. Indianapolis Colts: 1465
8. San Francisco 49ers: 1466
9. Washington Football Team: 1470
10. Cleveland Browns: 1473
11. Cincinnati Bengals: 1474
12. Dallas Cowboys: 1475
13. Kansas City Chiefs: 1477
14. Minnesota Vikings: 1479
15. Los Angeles Rams: 1482
16. Baltimore Ravens: 1496
17. Los Angeles Chargers: 1497
18. Green Bay Packers: 1497
19. Arizona Cardinals: 1500
20. New Orleans Saints: 1506
21. Carolina Panthers: 1507
22. Las Vegas Raiders: 1513
23. New York Giants: 1518
24. Tennessee Titans: 1523
25. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1525
26. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1595
27. Detroit Lions: 1597

↑ 2021 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	6-10 (6/16, 37.5%)	6-10 (6/16, 37.5%)
2	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	17-15 (17/32, 53.12%)
3	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	28-20 (28/48, 58.33%)
4	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	39-25 (39/64, 60.94%)
5	13-3 (13/16, 81.25%)	52-28 (52/80, 65.0%)
6	8-6 (8/14, 57.14%)	60-34 (60/94, 63.83%)
7	11-2 (11/13, 84.62%)	71-36 (71/107, 66.36%)
8	7-8 (7/15, 46.67%)	78-44 (78/122, 63.93%)
9	7-7 (7/14, 50.0%)	85-51 (85/136, 62.5%)
10	7-6 (7/13, 53.85%)	92-57 (92/149, 61.74%)
11	10-5 (10/15, 66.67%)	102-62 (102/164, 62.2%)
12	10-5 (10/15, 66.67%)	112-67 (112/179, 62.57%)
13	8-6 (8/14, 57.14%)	120-73 (120/193, 62.18%)
14	11-3 (11/14, 78.57%)	131-76 (131/207, 63.29%)
15	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	141-82 (141/223, 63.23%)
16	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	153-86 (153/239, 64.02%)
17	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	165-90 (165/255, 64.71%)
18	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	174-97 (174/271, 64.21%)
W	5-1 (5/6, 83.33%)	179-98 (179/277, 64.62%)
D	0-4 (0/4, 0.0%)	179-102 (179/281, 63.7%)
C	1-1 (1/2, 50.0%)	180-103 (180/283, 63.6%)
S	1-0 (1/1, 100.0%)	181-103 (181/284, 63.73%)

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

The schedule on this page is derived from Pro-Football-Reference.com, with weekly scores data from nflverse and some hand-entered scores.

The data on these pages was at one point derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages. I donate to Wikipedia annually. If you value free access to information on the web, or have recently found Wikipedia useful, I encourage you to do so as well.

If you enjoy reading these power rankings please consider leaving a small tip or (for free!) upvoting my weekly posts in the r/nfl subreddit. Thanks!