NFL Elo Power Rankings 2023

Birds
Mandel

Weekly NFL power rankings based on the Elo rating system. Read more here.

After Super Bowl
After Championship
After Divisional
After Wildcard
After Week 18
After Week 17
After Week 16
After Week 15
After Week 14
After Week 13
After Week 12
After Week 11
After Week 10
After Week 9
After Week 8
After Week 7
After Week 6
After Week 5
After Week 4
After Week 3
After Week 2
After Week 1
Before Week 1
2023 Summaries by Team
2023 Stats and Tidbits
2023 Model Accuracy

← 2022 Season NFL Elo Home 2024 Season →

↑ Power Rankings After Super Bowl, 2023 Season

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record
1	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1647 (-4)	15-6
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1606): W 25-22(OT): 1651-4→1647
2	Baltimore RavensBAL	1622	14-5
3	San Francisco 49ersSF	1610 (+4)	14-6
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1651): L 22-25(OT): 1606+4→1610
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1594	12-7
5	Green Bay PackersGB	1585	10-9
6	Dallas CowboysDAL	1580	12-6
7	Detroit LionsDET	1572	14-6
8	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1536	9-8
9	New Orleans SaintsNO	1531	9-8
10	Miami DolphinsMIA	1526	11-7
11	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1525	10-9
12	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1521	10-8
13	Houston TexansHOU	1518	11-8
14	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1507	10-8
15	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1506	9-8
16	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1495	9-8
17	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1489	11-7
18	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1488	8-9
19	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1480	5-12
20	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1480	7-10
21	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1478	11-7
22	Denver BroncosDEN	1467	8-9
23	Chicago BearsCHI	1461	7-10
24	New York GiantsNYG	1457	6-11
25	New York JetsNYJ	1448	7-10
26	Tennessee TitansTEN	1444	6-11
27	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1440	9-8
28	Arizona CardinalsARI	1420	4-13
29	New England PatriotsNE	1417	4-13
30	Atlanta FalconsATL	1416	7-10
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1381	4-13
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1359	2-15

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Championship, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1651 (+40)	14-6	at SF (1606): Win by 3
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1662): W 17-10: 1611+40→1651
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1606): Win by 3 points
2 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1622 (-40)	14-5
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1611): L 10-17: 1662-40→1622
3 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1606 (-15)	14-5	at KC (1651): Lose by 3
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1557): W 34-31: 1621-15→1606
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1651): Lose by 3 points
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1594	12-7
5	Green Bay PackersGB	1585	10-9
6	Dallas CowboysDAL	1580	12-6
7	Detroit LionsDET	1572 (+15)	14-6
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1621): L 31-34: 1557+15→1572
8	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1536	9-8
9	New Orleans SaintsNO	1531	9-8
10	Miami DolphinsMIA	1526	11-7
11	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1525	10-9
12	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1521	10-8
13	Houston TexansHOU	1518	11-8
14	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1507	10-8
15	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1506	9-8
16	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1495	9-8
17	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1489	11-7
18	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1488	8-9
19	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1480	5-12
20	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1480	7-10
21	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1478	11-7
22	Denver BroncosDEN	1467	8-9
23	Chicago BearsCHI	1461	7-10
24	New York GiantsNYG	1457	6-11
25	New York JetsNYJ	1448	7-10
26	Tennessee TitansTEN	1444	6-11
27	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1440	9-8
28	Arizona CardinalsARI	1420	4-13
29	New England PatriotsNE	1417	4-13
30	Atlanta FalconsATL	1416	7-10
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1381	4-13
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1359	2-15
Favorites:
KC

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Divisional, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1662 (+7)	14-4	vs KC (1611): Win by 8
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1525): W 34-10: 1655+7→1662
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1611): Win by 8 points
2	San Francisco 49ersSF	1621 (-18)	13-5	vs DET (1557): Win by 10
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1567): W 24-21: 1639-18→1621
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1557): Win by 10 points
3 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1611 (+19)	13-6	at BAL (1662): Lose by 8
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1612): W 27-24: 1592+19→1611
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1662): Lose by 8 points
4 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1594 (-18)	12-7
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1592): L 24-27: 1612-18→1594
5 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1585 (+18)	10-9
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1639): L 21-24: 1567+18→1585
6 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1580	12-6
7	Detroit LionsDET	1557 (+5)	14-5	at SF (1621): Lose by 10
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1530): W 31-23: 1552+5→1557
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1621): Lose by 10 points
8	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1536	9-8
9	New Orleans SaintsNO	1531	9-8
10 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1526	11-7
11 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1525 (-5)	10-9
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1552): L 23-31: 1530-5→1525
12 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1521	10-8
13 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1518 (-7)	11-8
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1655): L 10-34: 1525-7→1518
14	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1507	10-8
15	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1506	9-8
16	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1495	9-8
17	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1489	11-7
18	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1488	8-9
19	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1480	5-12
20	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1480	7-10
21	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1478	11-7
22	Denver BroncosDEN	1467	8-9
23	Chicago BearsCHI	1461	7-10
24	New York GiantsNYG	1457	6-11
25	New York JetsNYJ	1448	7-10
26	Tennessee TitansTEN	1444	6-11
27	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1440	9-8
28	Arizona CardinalsARI	1420	4-13
29	New England PatriotsNE	1417	4-13
30	Atlanta FalconsATL	1416	7-10
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1381	4-13
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1359	2-15
Favorites:
BAL, SF

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Wildcard, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1655	13-4	vs HOU (1525): Win by 18
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1525): Win by 18 points
2	San Francisco 49ersSF	1639	12-5	vs GB (1567): Win by 13
prev: (bye)
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1567): Win by 13 points
3 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1612 (+3)	12-6	vs KC (1592): Win by 4
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1510): W 31-17: 1609+3→1612
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1592): Win by 4 points
4 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1592 (+19)	12-6	at BUF (1612): Lose by 4
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1545): W 26-7: 1573+19→1592
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1612): Lose by 4 points
5 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1580 (-52)	12-6
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1515): L 32-48: 1632-52→1580
6 (+6)	Green Bay PackersGB	1567 (+52)	10-8	at SF (1639): Lose by 13
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1632): W 48-32: 1515+52→1567
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1639): Lose by 13 points
7 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1552 (-7)	13-5	vs TB (1530): Win by 5
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1514): W 24-23: 1559-7→1552
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1530): Win by 5 points
8	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1536	9-8
9	New Orleans SaintsNO	1531	9-8
10 (+6)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1530 (+31)	10-8	at DET (1552): Lose by 5
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1520): W 32-9: 1499+31→1530
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1552): Lose by 5 points
11 (-4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1526 (-19)	11-7
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1573): L 7-26: 1545-19→1526
12 (+7)	Houston TexansHOU	1525 (+38)	11-7	at BAL (1655): Lose by 18
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1516): W 45-14: 1487+38→1525
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1655): Lose by 18 points
13	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1521 (+7)	10-8
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1559): L 23-24: 1514+7→1521
14	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1507 (-3)	10-8
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1609): L 17-31: 1510-3→1507
15	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1506	9-8
16 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1495	9-8
17 (-7)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1489 (-31)	11-7
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1499): L 9-32: 1520-31→1489
18	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1488	8-9
19 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1480	5-12
20 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1480	7-10
21 (-10)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1478 (-38)	11-7
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1487): L 14-45: 1516-38→1478
22	Denver BroncosDEN	1467	8-9
23	Chicago BearsCHI	1461	7-10
24	New York GiantsNYG	1457	6-11
25	New York JetsNYJ	1448	7-10
26	Tennessee TitansTEN	1444	6-11
27	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1440	9-8
28	Arizona CardinalsARI	1420	4-13
29	New England PatriotsNE	1417	4-13
30	Atlanta FalconsATL	1416	7-10
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1381	4-13
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1359	2-15
Favorites:
BAL, BUF, DET, SF

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1655 (-13)	13-4	bye
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1496): L 10-17: 1668-13→1655
next: (bye)
2	San Francisco 49ersSF	1639 (-10)	12-5	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1504): L 20-21: 1649-10→1639
next: (bye)
3	Dallas CowboysDAL	1632 (+15)	12-5	vs GB (1515): Win by 14
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1396): W 38-10: 1617+15→1632
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1515): Win by 14 points
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1609 (+14)	11-6	vs PIT (1510): Win by 12
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1560): W 21-14: 1595+14→1609
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1510): Win by 12 points
5	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1573 (+1)	11-6	vs MIA (1545): Win by 5
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1481): W 13-12: 1572+1→1573
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1545): Win by 5 points
6 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1559 (+1)	12-5	vs LAR (1514): Win by 7
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1481): W 30-20: 1558+1→1559
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1514): Win by 7 points
7 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1545 (-15)	11-6	at KC (1573): Lose by 5
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1595): L 14-21: 1560-15→1545
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1573): Lose by 5 points
8 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1536 (+8)	9-8
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1524): W 31-14: 1528+8→1536
9 (+4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1531 (+21)	9-8
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1438): W 48-17: 1510+21→1531
10 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1520 (-33)	11-6	at TB (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1424): L 10-27: 1553-33→1520
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1499): Slight underdog
11	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1516 (-8)	11-6	at HOU (1487): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1528): L 14-31: 1524-8→1516
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1487): Slight underdog
12	Green Bay PackersGB	1515 (+3)	9-8	at DAL (1632): Lose by 14
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1464): W 17-9: 1512+3→1515
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1632): Lose by 14 points
13 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1514 (+10)	10-7	at DET (1559): Lose by 7
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1649): W 21-20: 1504+10→1514
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1559): Lose by 7 points
14 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1510 (+14)	10-7	at BUF (1609): Lose by 12
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1668): W 17-10: 1496+14→1510
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1609): Lose by 12 points
15 (-5)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1506 (-19)	9-8
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1426): L 20-28: 1525-19→1506
16	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1499 (+7)	9-8	vs PHI (1520): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1367): W 9-0: 1492+7→1499
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1520): Slight favorite
17	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1495 (+5)	9-8
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1426): W 21-20: 1490+5→1495
18 (+4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1488 (+15)	8-9
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1482): W 27-14: 1473+15→1488
19 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1487 (+11)	10-7	vs CLE (1516): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1452): W 23-19: 1476+11→1487
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1516): Slight favorite
20	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1480 (-1)	5-12
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1572): L 12-13: 1481-1→1480
21 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1480 (-1)	7-10
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1558): L 20-30: 1481-1→1480
22 (-4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1467 (-15)	8-9
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1473): L 14-27: 1482-15→1467
23	Chicago BearsCHI	1461 (-3)	7-10
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1512): L 9-17: 1464-3→1461
24 (+5)	New York GiantsNYG	1457 (+33)	6-11
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1553): W 27-10: 1424+33→1457
25 (+5)	New York JetsNYJ	1448 (+28)	7-10
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1445): W 17-3: 1420+28→1448
26 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1444 (+18)	6-11
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1525): W 28-20: 1426+18→1444
27 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1440 (-12)	9-8
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1476): L 19-23: 1452-12→1440
28 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1420 (-6)	4-13
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1490): L 20-21: 1426-6→1420
29 (-4)	New England PatriotsNE	1417 (-28)	4-13
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1420): L 3-17: 1445-28→1417
30 (-4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1416 (-22)	7-10
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1510): L 17-48: 1438-22→1416
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1381 (-15)	4-13
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1617): L 10-38: 1396-15→1381
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1359 (-8)	2-15
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1492): L 0-9: 1367-8→1359
Favorites:
BUF, DAL, DET, HOU, KC, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1668 (+20)	13-3	vs PIT (1496): Win by 15
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1580): W 56-19: 1648+20→1668
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1496): Win by 15 points
2 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1649 (-1)	12-4	vs LAR (1504): Win by 13
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1395): W 27-10: 1650-1→1649
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1504): Win by 13 points
3	Dallas CowboysDAL	1617 (-8)	11-5	at WAS (1396): Win by 11
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1550): W 20-19: 1625-8→1617
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1396): Win by 11 points
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1595 (-9)	10-6	at MIA (1560): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1435): W 27-21: 1604-9→1595
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1560): Slight underdog
5 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1572 (+4)	10-6	at LAC (1481): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1532): W 25-17: 1568+4→1572
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1481): Slight favorite
6	Miami DolphinsMIA	1560 (-20)	11-5	vs BUF (1595): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1648): L 19-56: 1580-20→1560
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1595): Slight favorite
7 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1558 (+8)	11-5	vs MIN (1481): Win by 9
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1625): L 19-20: 1550+8→1558
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1481): Win by 9 points
8 (-3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1553 (-28)	11-5	at NYG (1424): Win by 4
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1397): L 31-35: 1581-28→1553
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1424): Win by 4 points
9	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1528 (-4)	8-8	vs CLE (1524): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1568): L 17-25: 1532-4→1528
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1524): Slight favorite
10 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1525 (+7)	9-7	at TEN (1426): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1374): W 26-0: 1518+7→1525
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1426): Slight favorite
11 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1524 (+6)	11-5	at CIN (1528): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1426): W 37-20: 1518+6→1524
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1528): Slight underdog
12 (+6)	Green Bay PackersGB	1512 (+33)	8-8	vs CHI (1464): Win by 6
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1514): W 33-10: 1479+33→1512
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1464): Win by 6 points
13 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1510 (+19)	8-8	vs ATL (1438): Win by 8
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1510): W 23-13: 1491+19→1510
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1438): Win by 8 points
14 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1504 (-2)	9-7	at SF (1649): Lose by 13
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1423): W 26-25: 1506-2→1504
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1649): Lose by 13 points
15 (+4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1496 (+18)	9-7	at BAL (1668): Lose by 15
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1508): W 30-23: 1478+18→1496
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1668): Lose by 15 points
16 (-3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1492 (-18)	8-8	at CAR (1367): Win by 4
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1491): L 13-23: 1510-18→1492
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1367): Win by 4 points
17 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1490 (-18)	8-8	at ARI (1426): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1478): L 23-30: 1508-18→1490
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1426): Slight favorite
18 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1482 (+7)	8-8	at LV (1473): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1488): W 16-9: 1475+7→1482
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1473): Slight underdog
19 (-7)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1481 (-33)	7-9	at DET (1558): Lose by 9
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1479): L 10-33: 1514-33→1481
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1558): Lose by 9 points
20 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1481 (-7)	5-11	vs KC (1572): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1475): L 9-16: 1488-7→1481
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1572): Slight underdog
21 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1476 (+19)	9-7	at IND (1452): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1444): W 26-3: 1457+19→1476
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1452): Slight underdog
22 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1473 (-3)	7-9	vs DEN (1482): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1449): L 20-23: 1476-3→1473
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1482): Slight favorite
23 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1464 (+19)	7-9	at GB (1512): Lose by 6
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1457): W 37-17: 1445+19→1464
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1512): Lose by 6 points
24	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1452 (+3)	9-7	vs HOU (1476): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1476): W 23-20: 1449+3→1452
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1476): Slight favorite
25 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1445 (+10)	4-12	vs NYJ (1420): Win by 3
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1604): L 21-27: 1435+10→1445
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1420): Win by 3 points
26 (-3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1438 (-19)	7-9	at NO (1510): Lose by 8
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1445): L 17-37: 1457-19→1438
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1510): Lose by 8 points
27 (+3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1426 (+29)	4-12	vs SEA (1490): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1581): W 35-31: 1397+29→1426
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1490): Slight underdog
28 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1426 (-18)	5-11	vs JAX (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1457): L 3-26: 1444-18→1426
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1525): Slight underdog
29	New York GiantsNYG	1424 (+1)	5-11	vs PHI (1553): Lose by 4
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1506): L 25-26: 1423+1→1424
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1553): Lose by 4 points
30 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1420 (-6)	6-10	at NE (1445): Lose by 3
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1518): L 20-37: 1426-6→1420
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1445): Lose by 3 points
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1396 (+1)	4-12	vs DAL (1617): Lose by 11
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1650): L 10-27: 1395+1→1396
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1617): Lose by 11 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1367 (-7)	2-14	vs TB (1492): Lose by 4
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1518): L 0-26: 1374-7→1367
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1492): Lose by 4 points
Favorites:
BAL, CIN, DAL, DET, GB, IND, JAX, KC,
LV, MIA, NE, NO, PHI, SEA, SF, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1650 (-22)	11-4	at WAS (1395): Win by 18
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1626): L 19-33: 1672-22→1650
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1395): Win by 18 points
2 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1648 (+22)	12-3	vs MIA (1580): Win by 8
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1672): W 33-19: 1626+22→1648
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1580): Win by 8 points
3 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1625 (-4)	10-5	vs DET (1550): Win by 9
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1576): L 20-22: 1629-4→1625
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1550): Win by 9 points
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1604 (-3)	9-6	vs NE (1435): Win by 15
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1485): W 24-22: 1607-3→1604
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1435): Win by 15 points
5 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1581 (-5)	11-4	vs ARI (1397): Win by 19
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1418): W 33-25: 1586-5→1581
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1397): Win by 19 points
6 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1580 (+4)	11-4	at BAL (1648): Lose by 8
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1629): W 22-20: 1576+4→1580
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1648): Lose by 8 points
7 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1568 (-18)	9-6	vs CIN (1532): Win by 5
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1458): L 14-20: 1586-18→1568
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1532): Win by 5 points
8 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1550 (+10)	11-4	at DAL (1625): Lose by 9
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1524): W 30-24: 1540+10→1550
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1625): Lose by 9 points
9 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1532 (-23)	8-7	at KC (1568): Lose by 5
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1455): L 11-34: 1555-23→1532
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1568): Lose by 5 points
10 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1518 (+15)	10-5	vs NYJ (1426): Win by 11
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1472): W 36-22: 1503+15→1518
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1426): Win by 11 points
11 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1518 (-17)	8-7	vs CAR (1374): Win by 16
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1494): L 12-30: 1535-17→1518
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1374): Win by 16 points
12 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1514 (-10)	7-8	vs GB (1479): Win by 5
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1540): L 24-30: 1524-10→1514
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1479): Win by 5 points
13 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1510 (+16)	8-7	vs NO (1491): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1535): W 30-12: 1494+16→1510
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1491): Slight favorite
14 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1508 (+4)	8-7	vs PIT (1478): Win by 5
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1447): W 20-17: 1504+4→1508
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1478): Win by 5 points
15 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1506 (+5)	8-7	at NYG (1423): Win by 4
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1496): W 30-22: 1501+5→1506
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1423): Win by 4 points
16 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1491 (-5)	7-8	at TB (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1501): L 22-30: 1496-5→1491
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1510): Slight underdog
17 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1488 (+3)	5-10	at DEN (1475): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1607): L 22-24: 1485+3→1488
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1475): Slight underdog
18 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1479 (-2)	7-8	at MIN (1514): Lose by 5
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1372): W 33-30: 1481-2→1479
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1514): Lose by 5 points
19 (+4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1478 (+23)	8-7	at SEA (1508): Lose by 5
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1555): W 34-11: 1455+23→1478
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1508): Lose by 5 points
20 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1476 (+18)	7-8	at IND (1449): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1586): W 20-14: 1458+18→1476
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1449): Slight underdog
21 (-4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1475 (-14)	7-8	vs LAC (1488): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1421): L 23-26: 1489-14→1475
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1488): Slight favorite
22 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1457 (-15)	8-7	vs TEN (1444): Win by 4
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1503): L 22-36: 1472-15→1457
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1444): Win by 4 points
23 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1457 (+16)	7-8	at CHI (1445): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1465): W 29-10: 1441+16→1457
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1445): Slight underdog
24 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1449 (-16)	8-7	vs LV (1476): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1441): L 10-29: 1465-16→1449
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1476): Slight favorite
25 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1445 (+5)	6-9	vs ATL (1457): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1402): W 27-16: 1440+5→1445
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1457): Slight favorite
26 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1444 (-3)	5-10	at HOU (1457): Lose by 4
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1504): L 17-20: 1447-3→1444
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1457): Lose by 4 points
27 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1435 (+14)	4-11	at BUF (1604): Lose by 15
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1489): W 26-23: 1421+14→1435
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1604): Lose by 15 points
28 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1426 (-4)	6-9	at CLE (1518): Lose by 11
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1391): W 30-28: 1430-4→1426
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1518): Lose by 11 points
29	New York GiantsNYG	1423 (+5)	5-10	vs LAR (1506): Lose by 4
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1586): L 25-33: 1418+5→1423
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1506): Lose by 4 points
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1397 (-5)	3-12	at PHI (1581): Lose by 19
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1440): L 16-27: 1402-5→1397
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1581): Lose by 19 points
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1395 (+4)	4-11	vs SF (1650): Lose by 18
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1430): L 28-30: 1391+4→1395
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1650): Lose by 18 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1374 (+2)	2-13	at JAX (1518): Lose by 16
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1481): L 30-33: 1372+2→1374
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1518): Lose by 16 points
Favorites:
BAL, BUF, CHI, CLE, DAL, DEN, HOU, IND,
JAX, KC, LAR, MIN, PHI, SEA, SF, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1672 (+3)	11-3	vs BAL (1626): Win by 7
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1405): W 45-29: 1669+3→1672
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1626): Win by 7 points
2	Dallas CowboysDAL	1629 (-14)	10-4	at MIA (1576): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1593): L 10-31: 1643-14→1629
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1576): Slight favorite
3	Baltimore RavensBAL	1626 (+9)	11-3	at SF (1672): Lose by 7
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1544): W 23-7: 1617+9→1626
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1672): Lose by 7 points
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1607 (+14)	8-6	at LAC (1485): Win by 5
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1643): W 31-10: 1593+14→1607
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1485): Win by 5 points
5 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1586 (+1)	9-5	vs LV (1458): Win by 10
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1422): W 27-17: 1585+1→1586
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1458): Win by 10 points
6 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1586 (-7)	10-4	vs NYG (1418): Win by 14
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1498): L 17-20: 1593-7→1586
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1418): Win by 14 points
7	Miami DolphinsMIA	1576 (+9)	10-4	vs DAL (1629): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1439): W 30-0: 1567+9→1576
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1629): Slight underdog
8	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1555 (-2)	8-6	at PIT (1455): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1521): W 27-24(OT): 1557-2→1555
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1455): Slight favorite
9 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1540 (+11)	10-4	at MIN (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1500): W 42-17: 1529+11→1540
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1524): Slight underdog
10 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1535 (-9)	8-6	at TB (1494): Tossup
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1617): L 7-23: 1544-9→1535
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1494): Tossup
11	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1524 (+3)	7-7	vs DET (1540): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1557): L 24-27(OT): 1521+3→1524
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1540): Slight favorite
12 (+4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1504 (+6)	7-7	at TEN (1447): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1593): W 20-17: 1498+6→1504
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1447): Slight favorite
13 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1503 (-4)	9-5	at HOU (1472): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1437): W 20-17: 1507-4→1503
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1472): Slight underdog
14	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1501 (-1)	7-7	vs NO (1496): Win by 3
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1390): W 28-20: 1502-1→1501
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1496): Win by 3 points
15 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1496 (+6)	7-7	at LAR (1501): Lose by 3
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1423): W 24-6: 1490+6→1496
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1501): Lose by 3 points
16 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1494 (+14)	7-7	vs JAX (1535): Tossup
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1495): W 34-20: 1480+14→1494
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1535): Tossup
17 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1489 (-11)	7-7	vs NE (1421): Win by 9
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1529): L 17-42: 1500-11→1489
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1421): Win by 9 points
18 (-5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1485 (-21)	5-9	vs BUF (1607): Lose by 5
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1437): L 21-63: 1506-21→1485
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1607): Lose by 5 points
19 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1481 (-14)	6-8	at CAR (1372): Win by 5
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1480): L 20-34: 1495-14→1481
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1372): Win by 5 points
20	Houston TexansHOU	1472 (+3)	8-6	vs CLE (1503): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1451): W 19-16(OT): 1469+3→1472
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1503): Slight favorite
21 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1465 (+11)	8-6	at ATL (1441): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1467): W 30-13: 1454+11→1465
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1441): Slight underdog
22 (+4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1458 (+21)	6-8	at KC (1586): Lose by 10
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): W 63-21: 1437+21→1458
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1586): Lose by 10 points
23 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1455 (-12)	7-7	vs CIN (1555): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1454): L 13-30: 1467-12→1455
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1555): Slight underdog
24 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1447 (-4)	5-9	vs SEA (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1469): L 16-19(OT): 1451-4→1447
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1504): Slight underdog
25 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1441 (-3)	6-8	vs IND (1465): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1369): L 7-9: 1444-3→1441
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1465): Slight favorite
26 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1440 (+3)	5-9	vs ARI (1402): Win by 6
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1507): L 17-20: 1437+3→1440
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1402): Win by 6 points
27 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1430 (-9)	5-9	vs WAS (1391): Win by 6
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1567): L 0-30: 1439-9→1430
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1391): Win by 6 points
28 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1421 (-1)	3-11	at DEN (1489): Lose by 9
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1585): L 17-27: 1422-1→1421
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1489): Lose by 9 points
29 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1418 (-5)	5-9	at PHI (1586): Lose by 14
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1490): L 6-24: 1423-5→1418
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1586): Lose by 14 points
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1402 (-3)	3-11	at CHI (1440): Lose by 6
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1669): L 29-45: 1405-3→1402
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1440): Lose by 6 points
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1391 (+1)	4-10	at NYJ (1430): Lose by 6
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1502): L 20-28: 1390+1→1391
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1430): Lose by 6 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1372 (+3)	2-12	vs GB (1481): Lose by 5
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1444): W 9-7: 1369+3→1372
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1481): Lose by 5 points
Favorites:
ATL, BUF, CHI, CIN, DAL, DEN, GB, HOU,
KC, LAR, MIN, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1669 (+1)	10-3	at ARI (1405): Win by 10
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1499): W 28-16: 1668+1→1669
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1405): Win by 10 points
2	Dallas CowboysDAL	1643 (+10)	10-3	at BUF (1593): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1603): W 33-13: 1633+10→1643
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1593): Slight favorite
3	Baltimore RavensBAL	1617 (-9)	10-3	at JAX (1544): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1492): W 37-31(OT): 1626-9→1617
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1544): Slight favorite
4 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1593 (+5)	7-6	vs DAL (1643): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1590): W 20-17: 1588+5→1593
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1643): Slight underdog
5 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1593 (-10)	10-3	at SEA (1498): Win by 3
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1633): L 13-33: 1603-10→1593
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1498): Win by 3 points
6 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1585 (-5)	8-5	at NE (1422): Win by 7
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1588): L 17-20: 1590-5→1585
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1422): Win by 7 points
7	Miami DolphinsMIA	1567 (-16)	9-4	vs NYJ (1439): Win by 10
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1436): L 27-28: 1583-16→1567
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1439): Win by 10 points
8	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1557 (+7)	7-6	vs MIN (1521): Win by 5
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1462): W 34-14: 1550+7→1557
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1521): Win by 5 points
9	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1544 (-5)	8-5	vs BAL (1617): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1502): L 27-31: 1549-5→1544
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1617): Slight underdog
10	Detroit LionsDET	1529 (-15)	9-4	vs DEN (1500): Win by 5
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1422): L 13-28: 1544-15→1529
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1500): Win by 5 points
11 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1521 (+1)	7-6	at CIN (1557): Lose by 5
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1438): W 3-0: 1520+1→1521
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1557): Lose by 5 points
12 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1507 (+5)	8-5	vs CHI (1437): Win by 8
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1549): W 31-27: 1502+5→1507
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1437): Win by 8 points
13 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1506 (-19)	5-8	at LV (1437): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1481): L 7-24: 1525-19→1506
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1437): Slight favorite
14 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1502 (+10)	6-7	vs WAS (1390): Win by 10
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1626): L 31-37(OT): 1492+10→1502
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1390): Win by 10 points
15 (+4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1500 (+19)	7-6	at DET (1529): Lose by 5
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1525): W 24-7: 1481+19→1500
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1529): Lose by 5 points
16 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1498 (-1)	6-7	vs PHI (1593): Lose by 3
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1668): L 16-28: 1499-1→1498
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1593): Lose by 3 points
17 (-3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1495 (-4)	6-7	vs TB (1480): Win by 3
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1419): L 22-24: 1499-4→1495
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1480): Win by 3 points
18	New Orleans SaintsNO	1490 (+8)	6-7	vs NYG (1423): Win by 8
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1377): W 28-6: 1482+8→1490
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1423): Win by 8 points
19 (+2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1480 (+6)	6-7	at GB (1495): Lose by 3
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1450): W 29-25: 1474+6→1480
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1495): Lose by 3 points
20 (-3)	Houston TexansHOU	1469 (-19)	7-6	at TEN (1451): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1420): L 6-30: 1488-19→1469
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1451): Slight underdog
21 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1467 (-10)	7-6	at IND (1454): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1412): L 18-21: 1477-10→1467
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1454): Slight underdog
22	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1454 (-8)	7-6	vs PIT (1467): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1550): L 14-34: 1462-8→1454
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1467): Slight favorite
23 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1451 (+15)	5-8	vs HOU (1469): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1583): W 28-27: 1436+15→1451
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1469): Slight favorite
24 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1444 (-6)	6-7	at CAR (1369): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1474): L 25-29: 1450-6→1444
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1369): Slight favorite
25 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1439 (+19)	5-8	at MIA (1567): Lose by 10
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1488): W 30-6: 1420+19→1439
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1567): Lose by 10 points
26 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1437 (-1)	5-8	vs LAC (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1520): L 0-3: 1438-1→1437
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): Slight underdog
27 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1437 (+15)	5-8	at CLE (1507): Lose by 8
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1544): W 28-13: 1422+15→1437
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1507): Lose by 8 points
28	New York GiantsNYG	1423 (+4)	5-8	at NO (1490): Lose by 8
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1499): W 24-22: 1419+4→1423
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1490): Lose by 8 points
29	New England PatriotsNE	1422 (+10)	3-10	vs KC (1585): Lose by 7
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1477): W 21-18: 1412+10→1422
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1585): Lose by 7 points
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1405	3-10	vs SF (1669): Lose by 10
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1669): Lose by 10 points
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1390	4-9	at LAR (1502): Lose by 10
prev: (bye)
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1502): Lose by 10 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1369 (-8)	1-12	vs ATL (1444): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1482): L 6-28: 1377-8→1369
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1444): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ATL, BAL, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, IND,
KC, LAC, LAR, MIA, NO, PHI, SF, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2023 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1668 (+20)	9-3	vs SEA (1499): Win by 11
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1622): W 42-19: 1648+20→1668
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1499): Win by 11 points
2	Dallas CowboysDAL	1633 (-5)	9-3	vs PHI (1603): Win by 5
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1493): W 41-35: 1638-5→1633
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1603): Win by 5 points
3	Baltimore RavensBAL	1626	9-3	vs LAR (1492): Win by 14
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1492): Win by 14 points
4	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1603 (-19)	10-2	at DAL (1633): Lose by 5
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1648): L 19-42: 1622-19→1603
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1633): Lose by 5 points
5	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1590 (-13)	8-4	vs BUF (1588): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1485): L 19-27: 1603-13→1590
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1588): Slight favorite
6	Buffalo BillsBUF	1588	6-6	at KC (1590): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1590): Slight underdog
7	Miami DolphinsMIA	1583 (+15)	9-3	vs TEN (1436): Win by 13
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1404): W 45-15: 1568+15→1583
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1436): Win by 13 points
8 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1550 (+7)	6-6	vs IND (1462): Win by 8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1555): W 34-31(OT): 1543+7→1550
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1462): Win by 8 points
9 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1549 (-6)	8-4	at CLE (1502): Tossup
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1543): L 31-34(OT): 1555-6→1549
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1502): Tossup
10	Detroit LionsDET	1544 (+5)	9-3	at CHI (1422): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1486): W 33-28: 1539+5→1544
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1422): Slight favorite
11	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1525 (+3)	5-7	vs DEN (1481): Win by 5
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1414): W 6-0: 1522+3→1525
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1481): Win by 5 points
12	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1520	6-6	at LV (1438): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1438): Slight favorite
13	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1502 (-16)	7-5	vs JAX (1549): Tossup
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1476): L 19-36: 1518-16→1502
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1549): Tossup
14 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1499 (+14)	6-6	at NYG (1419): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1603): W 27-19: 1485+14→1499
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1419): Slight favorite
15	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1499 (+6)	6-6	at SF (1668): Lose by 11
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1638): L 35-41: 1493+6→1499
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1668): Lose by 11 points
16 (+5)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1492 (+16)	6-6	at BAL (1626): Lose by 14
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1518): W 36-19: 1476+16→1492
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1626): Lose by 14 points
17 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1488 (+3)	7-5	at NYJ (1420): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1484): W 22-17: 1485+3→1488
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1420): Slight favorite
18 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1482 (-4)	5-7	vs CAR (1377): Win by 8
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1539): L 28-33: 1486-4→1482
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1377): Win by 8 points
19	Denver BroncosDEN	1481 (-3)	6-6	at LAC (1525): Lose by 5
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1485): L 17-22: 1484-3→1481
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1525): Lose by 5 points
20 (-6)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1477 (-25)	7-5	vs NE (1412): Win by 7
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1380): L 10-24: 1502-25→1477
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1412): Win by 7 points
21 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1474 (-4)	5-7	at ATL (1450): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1373): W 21-18: 1478-4→1474
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1450): Slight underdog
22	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1462 (+6)	7-5	at CIN (1550): Lose by 8
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1441): W 31-28(OT): 1456+6→1462
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1550): Lose by 8 points
23	Atlanta FalconsATL	1450 (+9)	6-6	vs TB (1474): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1429): W 13-8: 1441+9→1450
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1474): Slight favorite
24 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1438	5-7	vs MIN (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1520): Slight underdog
25 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1436 (-5)	4-8	at MIA (1583): Lose by 13
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1456): L 28-31(OT): 1441-5→1436
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1583): Lose by 13 points
26 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1422	4-8	vs DET (1544): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1544): Slight underdog
27 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1420 (-9)	4-8	vs HOU (1488): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1441): L 8-13: 1429-9→1420
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1488): Slight underdog
28	New York GiantsNYG	1419	4-8	vs GB (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1499): Slight underdog
29	New England PatriotsNE	1412 (-2)	2-10	at PIT (1477): Lose by 7
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1522): L 0-6: 1414-2→1412
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1477): Lose by 7 points
30 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1405 (+25)	3-10	bye
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1502): W 24-10: 1380+25→1405
next: (bye)
31 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1390 (-14)	4-9	bye
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1568): L 15-45: 1404-14→1390
next: (bye)
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1377 (+4)	1-11	at NO (1482): Lose by 8
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1478): L 18-21: 1373+4→1377
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1482): Lose by 8 points
Favorites:
ATL, BAL, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU,
KC, LAC, MIA, MIN, NO, PIT, SF

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2023 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1648 (+14)	8-3	at PHI (1622): Tossup
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1508): W 31-13: 1634+14→1648
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1622): Tossup
2 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1638 (+13)	8-3	vs SEA (1493): Win by 12
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1417): W 45-10: 1625+13→1638
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1493): Win by 12 points
3 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1626 (+7)	9-3	bye
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1530): W 20-10: 1619+7→1626
next: (bye)
4 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1622 (-3)	10-1	vs SF (1648): Tossup
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1585): W 37-34(OT): 1625-3→1622
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1648): Tossup
5	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1603 (+11)	8-3	at GB (1485): Win by 3
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1449): W 31-17: 1592+11→1603
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1485): Win by 3 points
6	Buffalo BillsBUF	1588 (+3)	6-6	bye
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1625): L 34-37(OT): 1585+3→1588
next: (bye)
7 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1568 (+17)	8-3	at WAS (1404): Win by 7
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1446): W 34-13: 1551+17→1568
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1404): Win by 7 points
8 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1555 (+4)	8-3	vs CIN (1543): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1489): W 24-21: 1551+4→1555
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1543): Slight favorite
9 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1543 (-17)	5-6	at JAX (1555): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1486): L 10-16: 1560-17→1543
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1555): Slight underdog
10 (-2)	Detroit LionsDET	1539 (-18)	8-3	at NO (1486): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1468): L 22-29: 1557-18→1539
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1486): Slight favorite
11 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1522 (-8)	4-7	at NE (1414): Win by 4
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1619): L 10-20: 1530-8→1522
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1414): Win by 4 points
12	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1520 (-14)	6-6	bye
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1408): L 10-12: 1534-14→1520
next: (bye)
13 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1518 (-21)	7-4	at LAR (1476): Tossup
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1463): L 12-29: 1539-21→1518
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1476): Tossup
14 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1502 (+16)	7-4	vs ARI (1380): Win by 11
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1560): W 16-10: 1486+16→1502
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1380): Win by 11 points
15 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1493 (-15)	6-5	at DAL (1638): Lose by 12
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1634): L 13-31: 1508-15→1493
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1638): Lose by 12 points
16 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1486 (-12)	5-6	vs DET (1539): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1429): L 15-24: 1498-12→1486
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1539): Slight underdog
17 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1485 (+17)	5-6	vs KC (1603): Lose by 3
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1557): W 29-22: 1468+17→1485
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1603): Lose by 3 points
18 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1485 (-4)	6-5	vs DEN (1484): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1551): L 21-24: 1489-4→1485
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1484): Slight favorite
19 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1484 (+21)	6-5	at HOU (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1539): W 29-12: 1463+21→1484
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1485): Slight underdog
20 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1478 (-7)	4-7	vs CAR (1373): Win by 8
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1450): L 20-27: 1485-7→1478
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1373): Win by 8 points
21	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1476 (+22)	5-6	vs CLE (1518): Tossup
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1402): W 37-14: 1454+22→1476
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1518): Tossup
22	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1456 (+6)	6-5	at TEN (1441): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1485): W 27-20: 1450+6→1456
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1441): Slight underdog
23 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1441 (+12)	5-6	at NYJ (1429): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1498): W 24-15: 1429+12→1441
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1429): Slight underdog
24 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1441 (+1)	4-7	vs IND (1456): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1374): W 17-10: 1440+1→1441
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1456): Slight favorite
25 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1438 (-11)	5-7	bye
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1592): L 17-31: 1449-11→1438
next: (bye)
26 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1429 (-17)	4-7	vs ATL (1441): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1551): L 13-34: 1446-17→1429
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1441): Slight favorite
27 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1422 (+14)	4-8	bye
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1534): W 12-10: 1408+14→1422
next: (bye)
28 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1419 (+3)	4-8	bye
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1417): W 10-7: 1416+3→1419
next: (bye)
29 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1414 (-3)	2-9	vs LAC (1522): Lose by 4
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1416): L 7-10: 1417-3→1414
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1522): Lose by 4 points
30 (-3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1404 (-13)	4-8	vs MIA (1568): Lose by 7
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1625): L 10-45: 1417-13→1404
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1568): Lose by 7 points
31	Arizona CardinalsARI	1380 (-22)	2-10	at PIT (1502): Lose by 11
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1454): L 14-37: 1402-22→1380
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1502): Lose by 11 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1373 (-1)	1-10	at TB (1478): Lose by 8
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1440): L 10-17: 1374-1→1373
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1478): Lose by 8 points
Favorites:
DAL, DET, HOU, JAX, KC, LAC, LAR, MIA,
NYJ, PHI, PIT, TB, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2023 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1634 (+2)	7-3	at SEA (1508): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1487): W 27-14: 1632+2→1634
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1508): Slight favorite
2	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1625 (+9)	9-1	vs BUF (1585): Win by 4
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1601): W 21-17: 1616+9→1625
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1585): Win by 4 points
3	Dallas CowboysDAL	1625 (+11)	7-3	vs WAS (1417): Win by 12
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1385): W 33-10: 1614+11→1625
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1417): Win by 12 points
4	Baltimore RavensBAL	1619 (+12)	8-3	at LAC (1530): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1571): W 34-20: 1607+12→1619
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1530): Slight favorite
5	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1592 (-9)	7-3	at LV (1449): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1616): L 17-21: 1601-9→1592
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1449): Slight favorite
6 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1585 (+16)	6-5	at PHI (1625): Lose by 4
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1463): W 32-6: 1569+16→1585
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1625): Lose by 4 points
7 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1560 (-11)	5-5	vs PIT (1486): Win by 6
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1607): L 20-34: 1571-11→1560
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1486): Win by 6 points
8	Detroit LionsDET	1557 (-4)	8-2	vs GB (1468): Win by 6
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1404): W 31-26: 1561-4→1557
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1468): Win by 6 points
9 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1551 (+13)	7-3	at HOU (1489): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1453): W 34-14: 1538+13→1551
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1489): Slight favorite
10 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1551 (-3)	7-3	at NYJ (1446): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1445): W 20-13: 1554-3→1551
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1446): Slight favorite
11	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1539 (-2)	7-3	at DEN (1463): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1484): W 13-10: 1541-2→1539
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1463): Slight favorite
12 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1534 (-9)	6-5	vs CHI (1408): Win by 8
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1454): L 20-21: 1543-9→1534
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1408): Win by 8 points
13	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1530 (-8)	4-6	vs BAL (1619): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1460): L 20-23: 1538-8→1530
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1619): Slight underdog
14	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1508 (-4)	6-4	vs SF (1634): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1451): L 16-17: 1512-4→1508
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1634): Slight underdog
15	New Orleans SaintsNO	1498	5-5	at ATL (1429): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1429): Slight favorite
16	Houston TexansHOU	1489 (-3)	6-4	vs JAX (1551): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1398): W 21-16: 1492-3→1489
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1551): Slight underdog
17 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1486 (+2)	6-4	at CIN (1560): Lose by 6
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1541): L 10-13: 1484+2→1486
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1560): Lose by 6 points
18 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1485 (-2)	4-6	at IND (1450): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1632): L 14-27: 1487-2→1485
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1450): Slight underdog
19 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1468 (+8)	4-6	at DET (1557): Lose by 6
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1538): W 23-20: 1460+8→1468
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1557): Lose by 6 points
20 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1463 (+9)	5-5	vs CLE (1539): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1543): W 21-20: 1454+9→1463
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1539): Slight underdog
21 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1454 (+3)	4-6	at ARI (1402): Tossup
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1512): W 17-16: 1451+3→1454
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1402): Tossup
22 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1450	5-5	vs TB (1485): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1485): Slight favorite
23 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1449 (+4)	5-6	vs KC (1592): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1554): L 13-20: 1445+4→1449
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1592): Slight underdog
24 (-5)	New York JetsNYJ	1446 (-17)	4-6	vs MIA (1551): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1569): L 6-32: 1463-17→1446
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1551): Slight underdog
25 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1440 (-13)	3-7	vs CAR (1374): Win by 6
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1538): L 14-34: 1453-13→1440
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1374): Win by 6 points
26 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1429	4-6	vs NO (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1498): Slight underdog
27 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1417 (-22)	4-7	at DAL (1625): Lose by 12
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1395): L 19-31: 1439-22→1417
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1625): Lose by 12 points
28	New England PatriotsNE	1417	2-8	at NYG (1416): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1416): Slight underdog
29 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1416 (+21)	3-8	vs NE (1417): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1439): W 31-19: 1395+21→1416
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1417): Slight favorite
30 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1408 (+4)	3-8	at MIN (1534): Lose by 8
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1561): L 26-31: 1404+4→1408
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1534): Lose by 8 points
31 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1402 (+4)	2-9	vs LAR (1454): Tossup
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1492): L 16-21: 1398+4→1402
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1454): Tossup
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1374 (-11)	1-9	at TEN (1440): Lose by 6
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1614): L 10-33: 1385-11→1374
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1440): Lose by 6 points
Favorites:
ARI, BAL, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, IND, JAX,
KC, MIA, MIN, NO, NYG, PHI, SF, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2023 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1632 (+32)	6-3	vs TB (1487): Win by 11
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1571): W 34-3: 1600+32→1632
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1487): Win by 11 points
2	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1616	8-1	at KC (1601): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1601): Slight underdog
3 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1614 (+16)	6-3	at CAR (1385): Win by 10
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1411): W 49-17: 1598+16→1614
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1385): Win by 10 points
4 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1607 (-15)	7-3	vs CIN (1571): Win by 4
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1526): L 31-33: 1622-15→1607
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1571): Win by 4 points
5 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1601	7-2	vs PHI (1616): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1616): Slight favorite
6	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1571 (-20)	5-4	at BAL (1607): Lose by 4
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1473): L 27-30: 1591-20→1571
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1607): Lose by 4 points
7	Buffalo BillsBUF	1569 (-19)	5-5	vs NYJ (1463): Win by 7
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1434): L 22-24: 1588-19→1569
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1463): Win by 7 points
8 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1561 (+6)	7-2	vs CHI (1404): Win by 9
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1544): W 41-38: 1555+6→1561
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1404): Win by 9 points
9 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1554	6-3	vs LV (1445): Win by 10
prev: (bye)
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1445): Win by 10 points
10 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1543 (+5)	6-4	at DEN (1454): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1503): W 27-19: 1538+5→1543
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1454): Slight favorite
11 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1541 (+15)	6-3	vs PIT (1484): Win by 5
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1622): W 33-31: 1526+15→1541
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1484): Win by 5 points
12 (-4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1538 (-33)	6-3	vs TEN (1453): Win by 6
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1600): L 3-34: 1571-33→1538
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1453): Win by 6 points
13 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1538 (-6)	4-5	at GB (1460): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1555): L 38-41: 1544-6→1538
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1460): Slight favorite
14	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1512 (-5)	6-3	at LAR (1451): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1434): W 29-26: 1517-5→1512
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1451): Slight underdog
15	New Orleans SaintsNO	1498 (-5)	5-5	bye
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1538): L 19-27: 1503-5→1498
next: (bye)
16 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1492 (+19)	5-4	vs ARI (1398): Win by 8
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1591): W 30-27: 1473+19→1492
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1398): Win by 8 points
17 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1487 (+17)	4-5	at SF (1632): Lose by 11
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1469): W 20-6: 1470+17→1487
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1632): Lose by 11 points
18 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1484	6-3	at CLE (1541): Lose by 5
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1460): W 23-19: 1484-0→1484
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1541): Lose by 5 points
19 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1463 (-5)	4-5	at BUF (1569): Lose by 7
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1440): L 12-16: 1468-5→1463
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1569): Lose by 7 points
20 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1460	3-6	vs LAC (1538): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1484): L 19-23: 1460+0→1460
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1538): Slight underdog
21 (+4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1454 (+20)	4-5	vs MIN (1543): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1588): W 24-22: 1434+20→1454
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1543): Slight underdog
22 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1453 (-16)	3-6	at JAX (1538): Lose by 6
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1470): L 6-20: 1469-16→1453
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1538): Lose by 6 points
23 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1451	3-6	vs SEA (1512): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1512): Slight favorite
24 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1450 (+5)	5-5	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1422): W 10-6: 1445+5→1450
next: (bye)
25 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1445 (+5)	5-5	at MIA (1554): Lose by 10
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1468): W 16-12: 1440+5→1445
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1554): Lose by 10 points
26	Washington CommandersWAS	1439 (+5)	4-6	vs NYG (1395): Win by 4
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1517): L 26-29: 1434+5→1439
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1395): Win by 4 points
27	Atlanta FalconsATL	1429 (-4)	4-6	bye
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1395): L 23-25: 1433-4→1429
next: (bye)
28	New England PatriotsNE	1417 (-5)	2-8	bye
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1445): L 6-10: 1422-5→1417
next: (bye)
29 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1404	3-7	at DET (1561): Lose by 9
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1384): W 16-13: 1404-0→1404
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1561): Lose by 9 points
30 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1398 (+3)	2-8	at HOU (1492): Lose by 8
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1433): W 25-23: 1395+3→1398
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1492): Lose by 8 points
31 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1395 (-16)	2-8	at WAS (1439): Lose by 4
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1598): L 17-49: 1411-16→1395
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1439): Lose by 4 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1385 (+1)	1-8	vs DAL (1614): Lose by 10
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1404): L 13-16: 1384+1→1385
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1614): Lose by 10 points
Favorites:
BAL, BUF, CLE, DAL, DET, HOU, JAX, KC,
LAC, LAR, MIA, MIN, SF, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2023 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+4)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1622 (+27)	7-2	vs CLE (1526): Win by 6
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1544): W 37-3: 1595+27→1622
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1526): Win by 6 points
2 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1616 (+4)	8-1	bye
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1603): W 28-23: 1612+4→1616
next: (bye)
3 (+3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1601 (+9)	7-2	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1564): W 21-14: 1592+9→1601
next: (bye)
4 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1600	5-3	at JAX (1571): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1571): Slight underdog
5 (-3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1598 (-5)	5-3	vs NYG (1411): Win by 11
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1612): L 23-28: 1603-5→1598
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1411): Win by 11 points
6 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1591 (+10)	5-3	vs HOU (1473): Win by 9
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1598): W 24-18: 1581+10→1591
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1473): Win by 9 points
7 (-3)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1588 (-10)	5-4	vs DEN (1434): Win by 11
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1581): L 18-24: 1598-10→1588
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1434): Win by 11 points
8	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1571	6-2	vs SF (1600): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1600): Slight favorite
9 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1555	6-2	at LAC (1544): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1544): Tossup
10 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1554 (-10)	6-3	bye
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1592): L 14-21: 1564-10→1554
next: (bye)
11 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1544 (+30)	4-4	vs DET (1555): Tossup
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1498): W 27-6: 1514+30→1544
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1555): Tossup
12	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1538	5-4	vs NO (1503): Win by 4
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1433): W 31-28: 1538-0→1538
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1503): Win by 4 points
13 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1526 (+18)	5-3	at BAL (1622): Lose by 6
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1414): W 27-0: 1508+18→1526
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1622): Lose by 6 points
14 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1517 (-27)	5-3	vs WAS (1434): Win by 7
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1595): L 3-37: 1544-27→1517
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1434): Win by 7 points
15	New Orleans SaintsNO	1503 (-2)	5-4	at MIN (1538): Lose by 4
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1403): W 24-17: 1505-2→1503
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1538): Lose by 4 points
16 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1484 (+2)	5-3	vs GB (1460): Win by 4
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1472): W 20-16: 1482+2→1484
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1460): Win by 4 points
17 (+4)	Houston TexansHOU	1473 (+2)	4-4	at CIN (1591): Lose by 9
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1472): W 39-37: 1471+2→1473
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1591): Lose by 9 points
18 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1470 (-2)	3-5	vs TEN (1469): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1471): L 37-39: 1472-2→1470
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1469): Slight favorite
19 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1469 (-3)	3-5	at TB (1470): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1482): L 16-20: 1472-3→1469
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1470): Slight underdog
20 (-4)	New York JetsNYJ	1468 (-30)	4-4	at LV (1440): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1514): L 6-27: 1498-30→1468
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1440): Slight underdog
21 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1460 (+23)	3-5	at PIT (1484): Lose by 4
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1474): W 20-3: 1437+23→1460
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1484): Lose by 4 points
22 (-4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1451 (-23)	3-6	bye
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1437): L 3-20: 1474-23→1451
next: (bye)
23 (+5)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1445 (+24)	4-5	at NE (1422): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1408): W 27-13: 1421+24→1445
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1422): Slight favorite
24 (+6)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1440 (+29)	4-5	vs NYJ (1468): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1439): W 30-6: 1411+29→1440
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1468): Slight favorite
25 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1434	3-5	at BUF (1588): Lose by 11
prev: (bye)
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1588): Lose by 11 points
26 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1434 (+12)	4-5	at SEA (1517): Lose by 7
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1434): W 20-17: 1422+12→1434
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1517): Lose by 7 points
27 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1433	4-5	at ARI (1395): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1538): L 28-31: 1433+0→1433
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1395): Slight underdog
28 (-3)	New England PatriotsNE	1422 (-12)	2-7	at IND (1445): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1422): L 17-20: 1434-12→1422
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1445): Slight underdog
29 (-7)	New York GiantsNYG	1411 (-28)	2-7	at DAL (1598): Lose by 11
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1411): L 6-30: 1439-28→1411
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1598): Lose by 11 points
30 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1404 (+1)	2-7	vs CAR (1384): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1505): L 17-24: 1403+1→1404
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1384): Slight favorite
31 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1395 (-19)	1-8	vs ATL (1433): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1508): L 0-27: 1414-19→1395
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1433): Slight favorite
32 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1384 (-24)	1-7	at CHI (1404): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1421): L 13-27: 1408-24→1384
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1404): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ARI, BAL, BUF, CHI, CIN, DAL, IND, JAX,
LAC, LV, MIN, PIT, SEA, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2023 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1612 (+3)	7-1	vs DAL (1603): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1425): W 38-31: 1609+3→1612
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1603): Slight favorite
2 (+4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1603 (+15)	5-2	at PHI (1612): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1488): W 43-20: 1588+15→1603
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1612): Slight underdog
3 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1600 (-32)	5-3	bye
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1548): L 17-31: 1632-32→1600
next: (bye)
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1598 (-7)	5-3	at CIN (1581): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1466): W 24-18: 1605-7→1598
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1581): Slight underdog
5	Baltimore RavensBAL	1595 (-1)	6-2	vs SEA (1544): Win by 5
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1412): W 31-24: 1596-1→1595
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1544): Win by 5 points
6 (-4)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1592 (-37)	6-2	at MIA (1564): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1397): L 9-24: 1629-37→1592
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1564): Slight favorite
7 (+3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1581 (+33)	4-3	vs BUF (1598): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1632): W 31-17: 1548+33→1581
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1598): Slight favorite
8 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1571 (+14)	6-2	bye
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1496): W 20-10: 1557+14→1571
next: (bye)
9 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1564 (+10)	6-2	at KC (1592): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1443): W 31-17: 1554+10→1564
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1592): Slight underdog
10 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1555 (+2)	6-2	bye
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1413): W 26-14: 1553+2→1555
next: (bye)
11	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1544	5-2	at BAL (1595): Lose by 5
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1508): W 24-20: 1544+0→1544
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1595): Lose by 5 points
12	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1538 (+23)	4-4	at ATL (1433): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1460): W 24-10: 1515+23→1538
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1433): Slight favorite
13 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1514 (+13)	3-4	at NYJ (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1415): W 30-13: 1501+13→1514
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1498): Slight underdog
14 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1508	4-3	vs ARI (1414): Win by 8
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1544): L 20-24: 1508-0→1508
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1414): Win by 8 points
15 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1505 (+16)	4-4	vs CHI (1403): Win by 8
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1437): W 38-27: 1489+16→1505
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1403): Win by 8 points
16 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1498 (-4)	4-3	vs LAC (1514): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1435): W 13-10(OT): 1502-4→1498
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1514): Slight favorite
17 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1482 (-14)	4-3	vs TEN (1472): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1557): L 10-20: 1496-14→1482
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1472): Slight favorite
18	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1474 (-14)	3-5	at GB (1437): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1588): L 20-43: 1488-14→1474
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1437): Slight underdog
19 (+2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1472 (+6)	3-4	at HOU (1471): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1605): L 18-24: 1466+6→1472
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1471): Slight underdog
20	Tennessee TitansTEN	1472 (-1)	3-4	at PIT (1482): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1431): W 28-23: 1473-1→1472
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1482): Slight underdog
21 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1471 (-9)	3-4	vs TB (1472): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1399): L 13-15: 1480-9→1471
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1472): Slight favorite
22 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1439 (+4)	2-6	at LV (1411): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1502): L 10-13(OT): 1435+4→1439
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1411): Slight underdog
23 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1437 (-23)	2-5	vs LAR (1474): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1515): L 10-24: 1460-23→1437
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1474): Slight favorite
24 (+8)	Denver BroncosDEN	1434 (+37)	3-5	bye
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1629): W 24-9: 1397+37→1434
next: (bye)
25 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1434 (-9)	2-6	vs WAS (1422): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1554): L 17-31: 1443-9→1434
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1422): Slight favorite
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1433 (+2)	4-4	vs MIN (1538): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1473): L 23-28: 1431+2→1433
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1538): Slight underdog
27	Washington CommandersWAS	1422 (-3)	3-5	at NE (1434): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1609): L 31-38: 1425-3→1422
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1434): Slight underdog
28 (-4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1421 (-16)	3-5	at CAR (1408): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1489): L 27-38: 1437-16→1421
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1408): Slight underdog
29 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1414 (+2)	1-7	at CLE (1508): Lose by 8
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1596): L 24-31: 1412+2→1414
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1508): Lose by 8 points
30 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1411 (-2)	3-5	vs NYG (1439): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1553): L 14-26: 1413-2→1411
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1439): Slight favorite
31	Carolina PanthersCAR	1408 (+9)	1-6	vs IND (1421): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1480): W 15-13: 1399+9→1408
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1421): Slight favorite
32 (-4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1403 (-12)	2-6	at NO (1505): Lose by 8
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1501): L 13-30: 1415-12→1403
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1505): Lose by 8 points
Favorites:
BAL, CAR, CIN, CLE, GB, HOU, KC, LV,
MIN, NE, NO, NYJ, PHI, PIT

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2023 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1632 (-24)	5-2	vs CIN (1548): Win by 5
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1491): L 17-22: 1656-24→1632
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1548): Win by 5 points
2 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1629 (+8)	6-1	at DEN (1397): Win by 8
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1509): W 31-17: 1621+8→1629
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1397): Win by 8 points
3 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1609 (+17)	6-1	at WAS (1425): Win by 5
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1571): W 31-17: 1592+17→1609
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1425): Win by 5 points
4 (-2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1605 (-21)	4-3	vs TB (1466): Win by 11
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1421): L 25-29: 1626-21→1605
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1466): Win by 11 points
5 (+3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1596 (+39)	5-2	at ARI (1412): Win by 8
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1593): W 38-6: 1557+39→1596
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1412): Win by 8 points
6	Dallas CowboysDAL	1588	4-2	vs LAR (1488): Win by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1488): Win by 9 points
7 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1557 (+15)	5-2	at PIT (1496): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1503): W 31-24: 1542+15→1557
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1496): Slight favorite
8 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1554 (-17)	5-2	vs NE (1443): Win by 7
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1592): L 17-31: 1571-17→1554
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1443): Win by 7 points
9 (-5)	Detroit LionsDET	1553 (-40)	5-2	vs LV (1413): Win by 11
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1557): L 6-38: 1593-40→1553
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1413): Win by 11 points
10 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1548	3-3	at SF (1632): Lose by 5
prev: (bye)
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1632): Lose by 5 points
11	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1544 (+4)	4-2	vs CLE (1508): Win by 4
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1416): W 20-10: 1540+4→1544
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1508): Win by 4 points
12 (+5)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1515 (+24)	3-4	at GB (1460): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1656): W 22-17: 1491+24→1515
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1460): Slight underdog
13 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1508 (+6)	4-2	at SEA (1544): Lose by 4
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1443): W 39-38: 1502+6→1508
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1544): Lose by 4 points
14 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1502	3-3	vs NYG (1435): Win by 5
prev: (bye)
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1435): Win by 5 points
15 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1501 (-8)	2-4	vs CHI (1415): Win by 7
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1621): L 17-31: 1509-8→1501
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1415): Win by 7 points
16 (+4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1496 (+20)	4-2	vs JAX (1557): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1508): W 24-17: 1476+20→1496
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1557): Slight underdog
17 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1489 (-14)	3-4	at IND (1437): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1542): L 24-31: 1503-14→1489
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1437): Slight favorite
18 (-5)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1488 (-20)	3-4	at DAL (1588): Lose by 9
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1476): L 17-24: 1508-20→1488
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1588): Lose by 9 points
19	Houston TexansHOU	1480	3-3	at CAR (1399): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1399): Slight favorite
20 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1473	2-4	vs ATL (1431): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1431): Win by 6 points
21 (-3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1466 (-17)	3-3	at BUF (1605): Lose by 11
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1414): L 13-16: 1483-17→1466
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1605): Lose by 11 points
22	Green Bay PackersGB	1460 (-10)	2-4	vs MIN (1515): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1386): L 17-19: 1470-10→1460
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1515): Slight favorite
23 (+4)	New England PatriotsNE	1443 (+22)	2-5	at MIA (1554): Lose by 7
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1626): W 29-25: 1421+22→1443
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1554): Lose by 7 points
24	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1437 (-6)	3-4	vs NO (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1502): L 38-39: 1443-6→1437
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1489): Slight underdog
25 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1435 (+11)	2-5	vs NYJ (1502): Lose by 5
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1435): W 14-7: 1424+11→1435
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1502): Lose by 5 points
26 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1431 (+17)	4-3	at TEN (1473): Lose by 6
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1483): W 16-13: 1414+17→1431
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1473): Lose by 6 points
27 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1425 (-10)	3-4	vs PHI (1609): Lose by 5
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1424): L 7-14: 1435-10→1425
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1609): Lose by 5 points
28 (+4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1415 (+30)	2-5	at LAC (1501): Lose by 7
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1443): W 30-12: 1385+30→1415
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1501): Lose by 7 points
29 (-6)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1413 (-30)	3-4	at DET (1553): Lose by 11
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1385): L 12-30: 1443-30→1413
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1553): Lose by 11 points
30 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1412 (-4)	1-6	vs BAL (1596): Lose by 8
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1540): L 10-20: 1416-4→1412
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1596): Lose by 8 points
31 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1399	0-6	vs HOU (1480): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1480): Slight underdog
32 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1397 (+11)	2-5	vs KC (1629): Lose by 8
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1470): W 19-17: 1386+11→1397
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1629): Lose by 8 points
Favorites:
BAL, BUF, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, JAX, KC,
LAC, MIA, NO, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2023 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1656 (-21)	5-1	at MIN (1491): Win by 7
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1482): L 17-19: 1677-21→1656
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1491): Win by 7 points
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1626 (-18)	4-2	at NE (1421): Win by 6
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1406): W 14-9: 1644-18→1626
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1421): Win by 6 points
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1621 (-3)	5-1	vs LAC (1509): Win by 8
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1383): W 19-8: 1624-3→1621
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1509): Win by 8 points
4 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1593 (+27)	5-1	at BAL (1557): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1510): W 20-6: 1566+27→1593
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1557): Slight underdog
5 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1592 (-25)	5-1	vs MIA (1571): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1478): L 14-20: 1617-25→1592
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1571): Slight favorite
6 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1588 (+7)	4-2	bye
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1516): W 20-17: 1581+7→1588
next: (bye)
7	Miami DolphinsMIA	1571 (+12)	5-1	at PHI (1592): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1412): W 42-21: 1559+12→1571
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1592): Slight underdog
8 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1557 (+9)	4-2	vs DET (1593): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1482): W 24-16: 1548+9→1557
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1593): Slight favorite
9 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1548 (+8)	3-3	bye
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1548): W 17-13: 1540+8→1548
next: (bye)
10 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1542 (+19)	4-2	at NO (1503): Tossup
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1462): W 37-20: 1523+19→1542
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1503): Tossup
11 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1540 (-8)	3-2	vs ARI (1416): Win by 8
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1540): L 13-17: 1548-8→1540
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1416): Win by 8 points
12 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1509 (-7)	2-3	at KC (1621): Lose by 8
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1581): L 17-20: 1516-7→1509
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1621): Lose by 8 points
13 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1508 (+19)	3-3	vs PIT (1476): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1436): W 26-9: 1489+19→1508
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1476): Slight favorite
14 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1503 (-17)	3-3	vs JAX (1542): Tossup
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1463): L 13-20: 1520-17→1503
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1542): Tossup
15 (+4)	New York JetsNYJ	1502 (+24)	3-3	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1617): W 20-14: 1478+24→1502
next: (bye)
16 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1502 (+20)	3-2	at IND (1443): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1677): W 19-17: 1482+20→1502
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1443): Slight favorite
17 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1491 (+13)	2-4	vs SF (1656): Lose by 7
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1397): W 19-13: 1478+13→1491
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1656): Lose by 7 points
18 (-4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1483 (-27)	3-2	vs ATL (1414): Win by 5
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1566): L 6-20: 1510-27→1483
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1414): Win by 5 points
19 (+3)	Houston TexansHOU	1480 (+17)	3-3	bye
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1520): W 20-13: 1463+17→1480
next: (bye)
20	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1476	3-2	at LAR (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1508): Slight underdog
21 (-5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1473 (-9)	2-4	bye
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1548): L 16-24: 1482-9→1473
next: (bye)
22 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1470	2-3	at DEN (1386): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1386): Slight favorite
23 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1443 (+3)	3-3	at CHI (1385): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1425): W 21-17: 1440+3→1443
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1385): Slight favorite
24 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1443 (-19)	3-3	vs CLE (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1523): L 20-37: 1462-19→1443
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1502): Slight underdog
25 (+3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1435 (+22)	3-3	at NYG (1424): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1437): W 24-16: 1413+22→1435
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1424): Slight underdog
26 (+4)	New York GiantsNYG	1424 (+18)	1-5	vs WAS (1435): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1644): L 9-14: 1406+18→1424
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1435): Slight favorite
27	New England PatriotsNE	1421 (-4)	1-5	vs BUF (1626): Lose by 6
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1440): L 17-21: 1425-4→1421
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1626): Lose by 6 points
28 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1416 (-20)	1-5	at SEA (1540): Lose by 8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1489): L 9-26: 1436-20→1416
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1540): Lose by 8 points
29 (-4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1414 (-23)	3-3	at TB (1483): Lose by 5
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1413): L 16-24: 1437-23→1414
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1483): Lose by 5 points
30 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1399 (-13)	0-6	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1559): L 21-42: 1412-13→1399
next: (bye)
31 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1386 (+3)	1-5	vs GB (1470): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1624): L 8-19: 1383+3→1386
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1470): Slight underdog
32 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1385 (-12)	1-5	vs LV (1443): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1478): L 13-19: 1397-12→1385
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1443): Slight underdog
Favorites:
BAL, BUF, CLE, GB, KC, LAR, LV, NO,
NYG, PHI, SEA, SF, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1677 (+39)	5-0	at CLE (1482): Win by 7
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1619): W 42-10: 1638+39→1677
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1482): Win by 7 points
2 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1644 (-35)	3-2	vs NYG (1406): Win by 17
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1489): L 20-25: 1679-35→1644
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1406): Win by 17 points
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1624 (+4)	4-1	vs DEN (1383): Win by 13
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1482): W 27-20: 1620+4→1624
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1383): Win by 13 points
4 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1617 (+12)	5-0	at NYJ (1478): Win by 5
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1500): W 23-14: 1605+12→1617
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1478): Win by 5 points
5 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1581 (-38)	3-2	at LAC (1516): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1638): L 10-42: 1619-38→1581
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1516): Slight favorite
6 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1566 (+10)	4-1	at TB (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1422): W 42-24: 1556+10→1566
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1510): Slight underdog
7 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1559 (+7)	4-1	vs CAR (1412): Win by 11
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1413): W 31-16: 1552+7→1559
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1412): Win by 11 points
8 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1548	3-1	at CIN (1540): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1540): Slight underdog
9 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1548 (-22)	3-2	at TEN (1482): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1454): L 10-17: 1570-22→1548
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1482): Slight favorite
10 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1540 (+26)	2-3	vs SEA (1548): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1462): W 34-20: 1514+26→1540
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1548): Slight favorite
11 (+4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1523 (+34)	3-2	vs IND (1462): Win by 5
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1679): W 25-20: 1489+34→1523
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1462): Win by 5 points
12 (+10)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1520 (+55)	3-2	at HOU (1463): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1479): W 34-0: 1465+55→1520
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1463): Slight favorite
13 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1516	2-2	vs DAL (1581): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1581): Slight underdog
14 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1510	3-1	vs DET (1566): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1566): Slight favorite
15 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1489 (-11)	2-3	vs ARI (1436): Win by 4
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1605): L 14-23: 1500-11→1489
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1436): Win by 4 points
16 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1482 (-16)	2-3	at BAL (1548): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1446): L 16-23: 1498-16→1482
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1548): Slight underdog
17 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1482	2-2	vs SF (1677): Lose by 7
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1677): Lose by 7 points
18 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1478 (-4)	1-4	at CHI (1397): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1620): L 20-27: 1482-4→1478
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1397): Slight favorite
19 (+5)	New York JetsNYJ	1478 (+20)	2-3	vs PHI (1617): Lose by 5
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1403): W 31-21: 1458+20→1478
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1617): Lose by 5 points
20 (+5)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1476 (+22)	3-2	bye
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1570): W 17-10: 1454+22→1476
next: (bye)
21 (-5)	Green Bay PackersGB	1470 (-14)	2-3	bye
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1426): L 13-17: 1484-14→1470
next: (bye)
22 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1463 (-5)	2-3	vs NO (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1431): L 19-21: 1468-5→1463
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1520): Slight underdog
23 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1462 (+16)	3-2	at JAX (1523): Lose by 5
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1498): W 23-16: 1446+16→1462
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1523): Lose by 5 points
24 (+4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1440 (+14)	2-3	vs NE (1425): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1484): W 17-13: 1426+14→1440
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1425): Slight favorite
25 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1437 (+6)	3-2	vs WAS (1413): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1468): W 21-19: 1431+6→1437
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1413): Slight favorite
26 (-3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1436 (-26)	1-4	at LAR (1489): Lose by 4
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1514): L 20-34: 1462-26→1436
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1489): Lose by 4 points
27 (-8)	New England PatriotsNE	1425 (-54)	1-4	at LV (1440): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1465): L 0-34: 1479-54→1425
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1440): Slight underdog
28 (-7)	Washington CommandersWAS	1413 (-55)	2-3	at ATL (1437): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1342): L 20-40: 1468-55→1413
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1437): Slight underdog
29	Carolina PanthersCAR	1412 (-10)	0-5	at MIA (1559): Lose by 11
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1556): L 24-42: 1422-10→1412
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1559): Lose by 11 points
30	New York GiantsNYG	1406 (-7)	1-4	at BUF (1644): Lose by 17
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1552): L 16-31: 1413-7→1406
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1644): Lose by 17 points
31 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1397 (+55)	1-4	vs MIN (1478): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1468): W 40-20: 1342+55→1397
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1478): Slight underdog
32 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1383 (-20)	1-4	at KC (1624): Lose by 13
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1458): L 21-31: 1403-20→1383
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1624): Lose by 13 points
Favorites:
ATL, BAL, BUF, CIN, DAL, JAX, KC, LAR,
LV, MIA, MIN, NO, PHI, SF, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1679 (+34)	3-1	at JAX (1489): Win by 11
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1586): W 48-20: 1645+34→1679
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1489): Win by 11 points
2 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1638 (+14)	4-0	vs DAL (1619): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1476): W 35-16: 1624+14→1638
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1619): Slight favorite
3 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1620 (-9)	3-1	at MIN (1482): Win by 5
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1449): W 23-20: 1629-9→1620
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1482): Win by 5 points
4 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1619 (+37)	3-1	at SF (1638): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1516): W 38-3: 1582+37→1619
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1638): Slight underdog
5 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1605 (-15)	4-0	at LAR (1500): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1453): W 34-31(OT): 1620-15→1605
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1500): Slight favorite
6 (+4)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1570 (+50)	3-1	at PIT (1454): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1531): W 28-3: 1520+50→1570
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1454): Slight favorite
7 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1556 (+34)	3-1	vs CAR (1422): Win by 11
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1519): W 34-20: 1522+34→1556
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1422): Win by 11 points
8 (-3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1552 (-34)	3-1	vs NYG (1413): Win by 11
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1645): L 20-48: 1586-34→1552
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1413): Win by 11 points
9 (+5)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1548 (+38)	3-1	bye
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1451): W 24-3: 1510+38→1548
next: (bye)
10 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1516 (+3)	2-2	bye
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1429): W 24-17: 1513+3→1516
next: (bye)
11 (-4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1514 (-51)	1-3	at ARI (1462): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1446): L 3-27: 1565-51→1514
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1462): Slight favorite
12 (+7)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1510 (+44)	3-1	bye
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1509): W 26-9: 1466+44→1510
next: (bye)
13 (+4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1500 (+7)	2-2	vs PHI (1605): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1453): W 29-23(OT): 1493+7→1500
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1605): Slight underdog
14 (+13)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1498 (+52)	2-2	at IND (1446): Tossup
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1565): W 27-3: 1446+52→1498
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1446): Tossup
15 (+7)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1489 (+34)	2-2	at BUF (1679): Lose by 11
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1465): W 23-7: 1455+34→1489
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1679): Lose by 11 points
16 (-5)	Green Bay PackersGB	1484 (-35)	2-2	at LV (1426): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1522): L 20-34: 1519-35→1484
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1426): Slight favorite
17 (+4)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1482 (+22)	1-3	vs KC (1620): Lose by 5
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1444): W 21-13: 1460+22→1482
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1620): Lose by 5 points
18 (-10)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1482 (-49)	2-2	bye
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1520): L 3-28: 1531-49→1482
next: (bye)
19 (-7)	New England PatriotsNE	1479 (-37)	1-3	vs NO (1465): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1582): L 3-38: 1516-37→1479
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1465): Slight favorite
20 (+10)	Houston TexansHOU	1468 (+46)	2-2	at ATL (1431): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): W 30-6: 1422+46→1468
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1431): Slight underdog
21 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1468 (+15)	2-2	vs CHI (1342): Win by 9
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1620): L 31-34(OT): 1453+15→1468
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1342): Win by 9 points
22 (-7)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1465 (-44)	2-2	at NE (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1466): L 9-26: 1509-44→1465
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1479): Slight underdog
23 (-5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1462 (-14)	1-3	vs CIN (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1624): L 16-35: 1476-14→1462
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1514): Slight underdog
24 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1458 (+9)	1-3	at DEN (1403): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1629): L 20-23: 1449+9→1458
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1403): Slight favorite
25 (-9)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1454 (-46)	2-2	vs BAL (1570): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1422): L 6-30: 1500-46→1454
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1570): Slight underdog
26 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1446 (-7)	2-2	vs TEN (1498): Tossup
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1493): L 23-29(OT): 1453-7→1446
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1498): Tossup
27 (-7)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1431 (-34)	2-2	vs HOU (1468): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1455): L 7-23: 1465-34→1431
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1468): Slight favorite
28 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1426 (-3)	1-3	vs GB (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1513): L 17-24: 1429-3→1426
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1484): Slight underdog
29 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1422 (-22)	0-4	at DET (1556): Lose by 11
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1460): L 13-21: 1444-22→1422
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1556): Lose by 11 points
30 (-5)	New York GiantsNYG	1413 (-38)	1-3	at MIA (1552): Lose by 11
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1510): L 3-24: 1451-38→1413
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1552): Lose by 11 points
31	Denver BroncosDEN	1403 (+9)	1-3	vs NYJ (1458): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1350): W 31-28: 1394+9→1403
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1458): Slight underdog
32	Chicago BearsCHI	1342 (-8)	0-4	at WAS (1468): Lose by 9
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1394): L 28-31: 1350-8→1342
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1468): Lose by 9 points
Favorites:
ATL, BAL, BUF, CIN, DET, GB, IND, KC,
MIA, NE, NYJ, PHI, SF, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2023 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+4)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1645 (+46)	2-1	vs MIA (1586): Win by 4
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1498): W 37-3: 1599+46→1645
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1586): Win by 4 points
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1629 (+15)	2-1	at NYJ (1449): Win by 7
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1366): W 41-10: 1614+15→1629
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1449): Win by 7 points
3	San Francisco 49ersSF	1624 (+11)	3-0	vs ARI (1476): Win by 9
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1463): W 30-12: 1613+11→1624
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1476): Win by 9 points
4	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1620 (+18)	3-0	vs WAS (1453): Win by 9
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1485): W 25-11: 1602+18→1620
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1453): Win by 9 points
5 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1586 (+41)	3-0	at BUF (1645): Lose by 4
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1435): W 70-20: 1545+41→1586
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1645): Lose by 4 points
6 (-5)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1582 (-50)	2-1	vs NE (1516): Win by 6
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1427): L 16-28: 1632-50→1582
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1516): Win by 6 points
7 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1565 (-9)	1-2	at TEN (1446): Win by 3
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1485): W 19-16: 1574-9→1565
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1446): Win by 3 points
8 (+9)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1531 (+37)	2-1	vs BAL (1520): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1484): W 27-3: 1494+37→1531
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1520): Slight favorite
9 (+6)	Detroit LionsDET	1522 (+24)	2-1	at GB (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1488): W 20-6: 1498+24→1522
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1519): Slight underdog
10 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1520 (-29)	2-1	at CLE (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1424): L 19-22(OT): 1549-29→1520
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1531): Slight underdog
11 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1519 (+2)	2-1	vs DET (1522): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1511): W 18-17: 1517+2→1519
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1522): Slight favorite
12	New England PatriotsNE	1516 (+16)	1-2	at DAL (1582): Lose by 6
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1465): W 15-10: 1500+16→1516
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1582): Lose by 6 points
13 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1513 (+16)	1-2	vs LV (1429): Win by 5
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1476): W 28-24: 1497+16→1513
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1429): Win by 5 points
14 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1510 (+11)	2-1	at NYG (1451): Tossup
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1456): W 37-27: 1499+11→1510
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1451): Tossup
15 (-4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1509 (-2)	2-1	vs TB (1466): Win by 4
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1517): L 17-18: 1511-2→1509
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1466): Win by 4 points
16 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1500 (+14)	2-1	at HOU (1422): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1443): W 23-18: 1486+14→1500
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1422): Slight favorite
17 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1493 (+8)	1-2	at IND (1453): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1574): L 16-19: 1485+8→1493
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1453): Slight underdog
18 (+11)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1476 (+49)	1-2	at SF (1624): Lose by 9
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1632): W 28-16: 1427+49→1476
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1624): Lose by 9 points
19 (+2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1466 (-19)	2-1	at NO (1509): Lose by 4
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1602): L 11-25: 1485-19→1466
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1509): Lose by 4 points
20 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1465 (-23)	2-1	at JAX (1455): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1498): L 6-20: 1488-23→1465
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1455): Slight favorite
21 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1460 (-16)	0-3	at CAR (1444): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1497): L 24-28: 1476-16→1460
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1444): Slight underdog
22 (-12)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1455 (-61)	1-2	at ATL (1465): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1361): L 17-37: 1516-61→1455
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1465): Slight underdog
23 (-9)	Washington CommandersWAS	1453 (-45)	2-1	at PHI (1620): Lose by 9
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1599): L 3-37: 1498-45→1453
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1620): Lose by 9 points
24 (+6)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1453 (+29)	2-1	vs LAR (1493): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1549): W 22-19(OT): 1424+29→1453
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1493): Slight favorite
25	New York GiantsNYG	1451 (-12)	1-2	vs SEA (1510): Tossup
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1613): L 12-30: 1463-12→1451
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1510): Tossup
26 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1449 (-16)	1-2	vs KC (1629): Lose by 7
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1500): L 10-15: 1465-16→1449
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1629): Lose by 7 points
27 (-5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1446 (-38)	1-2	vs CIN (1565): Lose by 3
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1494): L 3-27: 1484-38→1446
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1565): Lose by 3 points
28 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1444 (-12)	0-3	vs MIN (1460): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1499): L 27-37: 1456-12→1444
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1460): Slight favorite
29 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1429 (-14)	1-2	at LAC (1513): Lose by 5
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1486): L 18-23: 1443-14→1429
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1513): Lose by 5 points
30 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1422 (+61)	1-2	vs PIT (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1516): W 37-17: 1361+61→1422
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): Slight underdog
31 (-3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1394 (-41)	0-3	at CHI (1350): Tossup
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1545): L 20-70: 1435-41→1394
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1350): Tossup
32 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1350 (-16)	0-3	vs DEN (1394): Tossup
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1614): L 10-41: 1366-16→1350
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1394): Tossup
Favorites:
ATL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, GB,
IND, KC, LAC, NO, PHI, PIT, SEA, SF

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2023 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Dallas CowboysDAL	1632 (+17)	2-0	at ARI (1427): Win by 9
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1481): W 30-10: 1615+17→1632
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1427): Win by 9 points
2 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1614 (+16)	1-1	vs CHI (1366): Win by 17
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1532): W 17-9: 1598+16→1614
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1366): Win by 17 points
3	San Francisco 49ersSF	1613 (+14)	2-0	vs NYG (1463): Win by 11
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1499): W 30-23: 1599+14→1613
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1463): Win by 11 points
4 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1602 (-9)	2-0	at TB (1485): Win by 4
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1467): W 34-28: 1611-9→1602
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1485): Win by 4 points
5 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1599 (+32)	1-1	at WAS (1498): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1476): W 38-10: 1567+32→1599
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1498): Slight favorite
6 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1574 (-24)	0-2	vs LAR (1485): Win by 7
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1525): L 24-27: 1598-24→1574
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1485): Win by 7 points
7 (+3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1549 (+24)	2-0	vs IND (1424): Win by 9
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1598): W 27-24: 1525+24→1549
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1424): Win by 9 points
8 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1545 (+26)	2-0	vs DEN (1435): Win by 8
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1526): W 24-17: 1519+26→1545
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1435): Win by 8 points
9 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1517 (-11)	1-1	vs NO (1511): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1477): L 24-25: 1528-11→1517
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1511): Slight favorite
10 (-3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1516 (-16)	1-1	vs HOU (1361): Win by 9
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1598): L 9-17: 1532-16→1516
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1361): Win by 9 points
11 (+4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1511 (+12)	2-0	at GB (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1468): W 20-17: 1499+12→1511
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1517): Slight underdog
12 (-3)	New England PatriotsNE	1500 (-26)	0-2	at NYJ (1465): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1519): L 17-24: 1526-26→1500
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1465): Slight underdog
13 (+8)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1499 (+21)	1-1	vs CAR (1456): Win by 4
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1519): W 37-31(OT): 1478+21→1499
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1456): Win by 4 points
14 (+3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1498 (+6)	2-0	vs BUF (1599): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1441): W 35-33: 1492+6→1498
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1599): Slight underdog
15 (-3)	Detroit LionsDET	1498 (-21)	1-1	vs ATL (1488): Slight fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1478): L 31-37(OT): 1519-21→1498
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1488): Slight favorite
16 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1497 (-3)	0-2	at MIN (1476): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1481): L 24-27(OT): 1500-3→1497
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1476): Slight underdog
17 (-4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1494 (-8)	1-1	vs TEN (1484): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1477): L 22-26: 1502-8→1494
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1484): Slight favorite
18 (+5)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1488 (+11)	2-0	at DET (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1528): W 25-24: 1477+11→1488
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1498): Slight underdog
19 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1486 (+9)	1-1	at LV (1443): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1502): W 26-22: 1477+9→1486
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1443): Slight underdog
20 (-4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1485 (-14)	1-1	at CIN (1574): Lose by 7
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1599): L 23-30: 1499-14→1485
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1574): Lose by 7 points
21 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1485 (+4)	2-0	vs PHI (1602): Lose by 4
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1369): W 27-17: 1481+4→1485
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1602): Lose by 4 points
22 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1484 (+3)	1-1	at CLE (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): W 27-24(OT): 1481+3→1484
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1494): Slight underdog
23 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1476 (+9)	0-2	vs LAC (1497): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1611): L 28-34: 1467+9→1476
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1497): Slight favorite
24 (-6)	New York JetsNYJ	1465 (-16)	1-1	vs NE (1500): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1615): L 10-30: 1481-16→1465
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1500): Slight favorite
25 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1463 (+15)	1-1	at SF (1613): Lose by 11
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1442): W 31-28: 1448+15→1463
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1613): Lose by 11 points
26 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1456 (-12)	0-2	at SEA (1499): Lose by 4
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1499): L 17-20: 1468-12→1456
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1499): Lose by 4 points
27 (-3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1443 (-33)	1-1	vs PIT (1486): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1567): L 10-38: 1476-33→1443
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1486): Slight favorite
28 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1435 (-6)	0-2	at MIA (1545): Lose by 8
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1492): L 33-35: 1441-6→1435
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1545): Lose by 8 points
29 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1427 (-15)	0-2	vs DAL (1632): Lose by 9
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1448): L 28-31: 1442-15→1427
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1632): Lose by 9 points
30 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1424 (+34)	1-1	at BAL (1549): Lose by 9
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1394): W 31-20: 1390+34→1424
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1549): Lose by 9 points
31 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1366 (-3)	0-2	at KC (1614): Lose by 17
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1481): L 17-27: 1369-3→1366
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1614): Lose by 17 points
32 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1361 (-33)	0-2	at JAX (1516): Lose by 9
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1390): L 20-31: 1394-33→1361
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1516): Lose by 9 points
Favorites:
BAL, BUF, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, JAX,
KC, LV, MIA, MIN, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2023 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1615 (+28)	1-0	vs NYJ (1481): Win by 10
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1476): W 40-0: 1587+28→1615
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1481): Win by 10 points
2 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1611 (+6)	1-0	vs MIN (1467): Win by 10
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1531): W 25-20: 1605+6→1611
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1467): Win by 10 points
3 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1599 (+21)	1-0	at LAR (1499): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1498): W 30-7: 1578+21→1599
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1499): Slight favorite
4 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1598 (-16)	0-1	at JAX (1532): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1503): L 20-21: 1614-16→1598
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1532): Slight favorite
5 (-4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1598 (-27)	0-1	vs BAL (1525): Win by 5
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1475): L 3-24: 1625-27→1598
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1525): Win by 5 points
6	Buffalo BillsBUF	1567 (-6)	0-1	vs LV (1476): Win by 7
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1476): L 16-22(OT): 1573-6→1567
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1476): Win by 7 points
7 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1532 (+9)	1-0	vs KC (1598): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1399): W 31-21: 1523+9→1532
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1598): Slight underdog
8 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1528 (+16)	1-0	at ATL (1477): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1385): W 38-20: 1512+16→1528
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1477): Slight favorite
9 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1526 (-5)	0-1	vs MIA (1519): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1605): L 20-25: 1531-5→1526
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1519): Slight favorite
10 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1525 (+7)	1-0	at CIN (1598): Lose by 5
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1401): W 25-9: 1518+7→1525
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1598): Lose by 5 points
11 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1519 (+6)	1-0	at NE (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): W 36-34: 1513+6→1519
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1526): Slight underdog
12 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1519 (+16)	1-0	vs SEA (1478): Win by 5
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1614): W 21-20: 1503+16→1519
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1478): Win by 5 points
13 (+10)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1502 (+27)	1-0	at PIT (1477): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1625): W 24-3: 1475+27→1502
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1477): Slight underdog
14 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1500 (-6)	0-1	at TEN (1481): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1513): L 34-36: 1506-6→1500
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1481): Slight underdog
15	New Orleans SaintsNO	1499 (+1)	1-0	at CAR (1468): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1481): W 16-15: 1498+1→1499
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1468): Slight underdog
16 (+8)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1499 (+24)	1-0	vs SF (1599): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1501): W 30-13: 1475+24→1499
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1599): Slight underdog
17	Washington CommandersWAS	1492 (-1)	1-0	at DEN (1441): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1441): W 20-16: 1493-1→1492
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1441): Slight favorite
18 (+3)	New York JetsNYJ	1481 (+5)	1-0	at DAL (1615): Lose by 10
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1573): W 22-16(OT): 1476+5→1481
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1615): Lose by 10 points
19 (+6)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1481 (+8)	1-0	vs CHI (1369): Win by 8
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1475): W 20-17: 1473+8→1481
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1369): Win by 8 points
20 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1481	0-1	vs LAC (1500): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1498): L 15-16: 1481-0→1481
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): Slight favorite
21 (-7)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1478 (-23)	0-1	at DET (1519): Lose by 5
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1475): L 13-30: 1501-23→1478
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1519): Lose by 5 points
22 (-6)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1477 (-21)	0-1	vs CLE (1502): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1578): L 7-30: 1498-21→1477
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1502): Slight favorite
23 (+4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1477 (+15)	1-0	vs GB (1528): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1483): W 24-10: 1462+15→1477
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1528): Slight underdog
24 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1476 (+7)	1-0	at BUF (1567): Lose by 7
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1448): W 17-16: 1469+7→1476
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1567): Lose by 7 points
25 (-7)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1468 (-15)	0-1	vs NO (1499): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1462): L 10-24: 1483-15→1468
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1499): Slight favorite
26 (-4)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1467 (-8)	0-1	at PHI (1611): Lose by 10
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1473): L 17-20: 1475-8→1467
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1611): Lose by 10 points
27 (-7)	New York GiantsNYG	1448 (-28)	0-1	at ARI (1442): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1587): L 0-40: 1476-28→1448
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1442): Slight underdog
28 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1442 (+1)	0-1	vs NYG (1448): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1493): L 16-20: 1441+1→1442
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1448): Slight favorite
29 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1441 (-7)	0-1	vs WAS (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1469): L 16-17: 1448-7→1441
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1492): Slight underdog
30	Houston TexansHOU	1394 (-7)	0-1	vs IND (1390): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1518): L 9-25: 1401-7→1394
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1390): Slight favorite
31	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1390 (-9)	0-1	at HOU (1394): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1523): L 21-31: 1399-9→1390
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1394): Slight underdog
32	Chicago BearsCHI	1369 (-16)	0-1	at TB (1481): Lose by 8
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1512): L 20-38: 1385-16→1369
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1481): Lose by 8 points
Favorites:
ARI, BUF, CAR, CIN, DAL, DET, GB, HOU,
KC, NE, PHI, PIT, SF, TB, TEN, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2023 season:

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1625	0-0	at CLE (1475): Win by 3
prev: offseason parity reset: 1637-12→1625
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1475): Win by 3 points
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1614	0-0	vs DET (1503): Win by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1625-11→1614
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1503): Win by 8 points
3	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1605	0-0	at NE (1531): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1616-11→1605
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1531): Slight favorite
4	Dallas CowboysDAL	1587	0-0	at NYG (1476): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1595-8→1587
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1476): Slight favorite
5	San Francisco 49ersSF	1578	0-0	at PIT (1498): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1586-8→1578
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1498): Slight favorite
6	Buffalo BillsBUF	1573	0-0	at NYJ (1476): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1580-7→1573
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1476): Slight favorite
7	New England PatriotsNE	1531	0-0	vs PHI (1605): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1534-3→1531
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1605): Slight underdog
8	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1523	0-0	at IND (1399): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1525-2→1523
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1399): Slight favorite
9	Baltimore RavensBAL	1518	0-0	vs HOU (1401): Win by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1520-2→1518
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1401): Win by 8 points
10	Miami DolphinsMIA	1513	0-0	at LAC (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1514-1→1513
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): Slight underdog
11	Green Bay PackersGB	1512	0-0	at CHI (1385): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1513-1→1512
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1385): Slight favorite
12	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1506	0-0	vs MIA (1513): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1507-1→1506
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1513): Slight favorite
13	Detroit LionsDET	1503	0-0	at KC (1614): Lose by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1503+0→1503
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1614): Lose by 8 points
14	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1501	0-0	vs LAR (1475): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1502-1→1501
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1475): Slight favorite
15	New Orleans SaintsNO	1498	0-0	vs TEN (1481): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1498+0→1498
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1481): Slight favorite
16	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1498	0-0	vs SF (1578): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1498+0→1498
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1578): Slight underdog
17	Washington CommandersWAS	1493	0-0	vs ARI (1441): Win by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1493+0→1493
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1441): Win by 5 points
18	Carolina PanthersCAR	1483	0-0	at ATL (1462): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1481+2→1483
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1462): Slight underdog
19	Tennessee TitansTEN	1481	0-0	at NO (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1479+2→1481
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1498): Slight underdog
20	New York GiantsNYG	1476	0-0	vs DAL (1587): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1473+3→1476
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1587): Slight underdog
21	New York JetsNYJ	1476	0-0	vs BUF (1573): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1473+3→1476
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1573): Slight underdog
22	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1475	0-0	vs TB (1473): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1473+2→1475
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1473): Slight favorite
23	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1475	0-0	vs CIN (1625): Lose by 3
prev: offseason parity reset: 1473+2→1475
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1625): Lose by 3 points
24	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1475	0-0	at SEA (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1472+3→1475
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1501): Slight underdog
25	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1473	0-0	at MIN (1475): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1470+3→1473
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1475): Slight underdog
26	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1469	0-0	at DEN (1448): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1466+3→1469
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1448): Slight underdog
27	Atlanta FalconsATL	1462	0-0	vs CAR (1483): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1459+3→1462
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1483): Slight favorite
28	Denver BroncosDEN	1448	0-0	vs LV (1469): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1443+5→1448
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1469): Slight favorite
29	Arizona CardinalsARI	1441	0-0	at WAS (1493): Lose by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1435+6→1441
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1493): Lose by 5 points
30	Houston TexansHOU	1401	0-0	at BAL (1518): Lose by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1392+9→1401
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1518): Lose by 8 points
31	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1399	0-0	vs JAX (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1390+9→1399
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1523): Slight underdog
32	Chicago BearsCHI	1385	0-0	vs GB (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1374+11→1385
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1512): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ATL, BAL, BUF, CIN, DAL, DEN, GB, JAX,
KC, LAC, MIN, NO, PHI, SEA, SF, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2023 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1524 (+104 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1537 \| avg. lost to rating: 1520 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	28	at WAS(1493) L 16-20: +1→1442	9	31	at CLE(1508) L 0-27: -19→1395	17	27	at PHI(1581) W 35-31: +29→1426
2	29	vs NYG(1448) L 28-31: -15→1427	10	30	vs ATL(1433) W 25-23: +3→1398	18	28	vs SEA(1490) L 20-21: -6→1420
3	18	vs DAL(1632) W 28-16: +49→1476	11	31	at HOU(1492) L 16-21: +4→1402	W	28
4	23	at SF(1624) L 16-35: -14→1462	12	31	vs LAR(1454) L 14-37: -22→1380	D	28
5	26	vs CIN(1514) L 20-34: -26→1436	13	30	at PIT(1502) W 24-10: +25→1405	C	28
6	28	at LAR(1489) L 9-26: -20→1416	14	30	(bye)	S	28
7	30	at SEA(1540) L 10-20: -4→1412	15	30	vs SF(1669) L 29-45: -3→1402
8	29	vs BAL(1596) L 24-31: +2→1414	16	30	at CHI(1440) L 16-27: -5→1397

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1466 (+21 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1479 \| avg. lost to rating: 1457 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	23	vs CAR(1483) W 24-10: +15→1477	9	27	vs MIN(1538) L 28-31: +0→1433	17	26	at CHI(1445) L 17-37: -19→1438
2	18	vs GB(1528) W 25-24: +11→1488	10	27	at ARI(1395) L 23-25: -4→1429	18	30	at NO(1510) L 17-48: -22→1416
3	20	at DET(1498) L 6-20: -23→1465	11	26	(bye)	W	30
4	27	at JAX(1455) L 7-23: -34→1431	12	23	vs NO(1498) W 24-15: +12→1441	D	30
5	25	vs HOU(1468) W 21-19: +6→1437	13	23	at NYJ(1429) W 13-8: +9→1450	C	30
6	29	vs WAS(1413) L 16-24: -23→1414	14	24	vs TB(1474) L 25-29: -6→1444	S	30
7	26	at TB(1483) W 16-13: +17→1431	15	25	at CAR(1369) L 7-9: -3→1441
8	26	at TEN(1473) L 23-28: +2→1433	16	23	vs IND(1465) W 29-10: +16→1457

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1521 (-68 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1535 \| avg. lost to rating: 1475 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	10	vs HOU(1401) W 25-9: +7→1525	9	1	vs SEA(1544) W 37-3: +27→1622	17	1	vs MIA(1580) W 56-19: +20→1668
2	7	at CIN(1598) W 27-24: +24→1549	10	4	vs CLE(1526) L 31-33: -15→1607	18	1	vs PIT(1496) L 10-17: -13→1655
3	10	vs IND(1424) L 19-22: -29→1520	11	4	vs CIN(1571) W 34-20: +12→1619	W	1	(bye)
4	6	at CLE(1531) W 28-3: +50→1570	12	3	at LAC(1530) W 20-10: +7→1626	D	1	vs HOU(1525) W 34-10: +7→1662
5	9	at PIT(1454) L 10-17: -22→1548	13	3	(bye)	C	2	vs KC(1611) L 10-17: -40→1622
6	8	at TEN(1482) W 24-16: +9→1557	14	3	vs LAR(1492) W 37-31: -9→1617	S	2
7	5	vs DET(1593) W 38-6: +39→1596	15	3	at JAX(1544) W 23-7: +9→1626
8	5	at ARI(1412) W 31-24: -1→1595	16	2	at SF(1672) W 33-19: +22→1648

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (-96 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1510 \| avg. lost to rating: 1504 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	6	at NYJ(1476) L 16-22: -6→1567	9	7	at CIN(1581) L 18-24: -10→1588	17	4	vs NE(1435) W 27-21: -9→1595
2	5	vs LV(1476) W 38-10: +32→1599	10	7	vs DEN(1434) L 22-24: -19→1569	18	4	at MIA(1560) W 21-14: +14→1609
3	1	at WAS(1498) W 37-3: +46→1645	11	6	vs NYJ(1463) W 32-6: +16→1585	W	3	vs PIT(1510) W 31-17: +3→1612
4	1	vs MIA(1586) W 48-20: +34→1679	12	6	at PHI(1625) L 34-37: +3→1588	D	4	vs KC(1592) L 24-27: -18→1594
5	2	at JAX(1489) L 20-25: -35→1644	13	6	(bye)	C	4
6	2	vs NYG(1406) W 14-9: -18→1626	14	4	at KC(1590) W 20-17: +5→1593	S	4
7	4	at NE(1421) L 25-29: -21→1605	15	4	vs DAL(1643) W 31-10: +14→1607
8	4	vs TB(1466) W 24-18: -7→1598	16	4	at LAC(1485) W 24-22: -3→1604

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1487 (+83 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1462 \| avg. lost to rating: 1491 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	25	at ATL(1462) L 10-24: -15→1468	9	32	vs IND(1421) L 13-27: -24→1384	17	32	at JAX(1518) L 0-26: -7→1367
2	26	vs NO(1499) L 17-20: -12→1456	10	32	at CHI(1404) L 13-16: +1→1385	18	32	vs TB(1492) L 0-9: -8→1359
3	28	at SEA(1499) L 27-37: -12→1444	11	32	vs DAL(1614) L 10-33: -11→1374	W	32
4	29	vs MIN(1460) L 13-21: -22→1422	12	32	at TEN(1440) L 10-17: -1→1373	D	32
5	29	at DET(1556) L 24-42: -10→1412	13	32	at TB(1478) L 18-21: +4→1377	C	32
6	30	at MIA(1559) L 21-42: -13→1399	14	32	at NO(1482) L 6-28: -8→1369	S	32
7	31	(bye)	15	32	vs ATL(1444) W 9-7: +3→1372
8	31	vs HOU(1480) W 15-13: +9→1408	16	32	vs GB(1481) L 30-33: +2→1374

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1488 (+86 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1462 \| avg. lost to rating: 1506 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	32	vs GB(1512) L 20-38: -16→1369	9	30	at NO(1505) L 17-24: +1→1404	17	23	vs ATL(1457) W 37-17: +19→1464
2	31	at TB(1481) L 17-27: -3→1366	10	29	vs CAR(1384) W 16-13: -0→1404	18	23	at GB(1512) L 9-17: -3→1461
3	32	at KC(1614) L 10-41: -16→1350	11	30	at DET(1561) L 26-31: +4→1408	W	23
4	32	vs DEN(1394) L 28-31: -8→1342	12	27	at MIN(1534) W 12-10: +14→1422	D	23
5	31	at WAS(1468) W 40-20: +55→1397	13	26	(bye)	C	23
6	32	vs MIN(1478) L 13-19: -12→1385	14	27	vs DET(1544) W 28-13: +15→1437	S	23
7	28	vs LV(1443) W 30-12: +30→1415	15	26	at CLE(1507) L 17-20: +3→1440
8	32	at LAC(1501) L 13-30: -12→1403	16	25	vs ARI(1402) W 27-16: +5→1445

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1519 (-42 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1532 \| avg. lost to rating: 1505 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	5	at CLE(1475) L 3-24: -27→1598	9	6	vs BUF(1598) W 24-18: +10→1591	17	9	at KC(1568) L 17-25: -4→1528
2	6	vs BAL(1525) L 24-27: -24→1574	10	6	vs HOU(1473) L 27-30: -20→1571	18	8	vs CLE(1524) W 31-14: +8→1536
3	7	vs LAR(1485) W 19-16: -9→1565	11	7	at BAL(1607) L 20-34: -11→1560	W	8
4	11	at TEN(1446) L 3-27: -51→1514	12	9	vs PIT(1486) L 10-16: -17→1543	D	8
5	10	at ARI(1462) W 34-20: +26→1540	13	8	at JAX(1555) W 34-31: +7→1550	C	8
6	9	vs SEA(1548) W 17-13: +8→1548	14	8	vs IND(1462) W 34-14: +7→1557	S	8
7	10	(bye)	15	8	vs MIN(1521) W 27-24: -2→1555
8	7	at SF(1632) W 31-17: +33→1581	16	9	at PIT(1455) L 11-34: -23→1532

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (-2 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1512 \| avg. lost to rating: 1502 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	13	vs CIN(1625) W 24-3: +27→1502	9	13	vs ARI(1414) W 27-0: +18→1526	17	11	vs NYJ(1426) W 37-20: +6→1524
2	17	at PIT(1477) L 22-26: -8→1494	10	11	at BAL(1622) W 33-31: +15→1541	18	11	at CIN(1528) L 14-31: -8→1516
3	8	vs TEN(1484) W 27-3: +37→1531	11	11	vs PIT(1484) W 13-10: -2→1539	W	21	at HOU(1487) L 14-45: -38→1478
4	18	vs BAL(1520) L 3-28: -49→1482	12	13	at DEN(1463) L 12-29: -21→1518	D	21
5	17	(bye)	13	13	at LAR(1476) L 19-36: -16→1502	C	21
6	16	vs SF(1677) W 19-17: +20→1502	14	12	vs JAX(1549) W 31-27: +5→1507	S	21
7	13	at IND(1443) W 39-38: +6→1508	15	13	vs CHI(1437) W 20-17: -4→1503
8	14	at SEA(1544) L 20-24: -0→1508	16	10	at HOU(1472) W 36-22: +15→1518

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (-109 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1478 \| avg. lost to rating: 1569 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	1	at NYG(1476) W 40-0: +28→1615	9	5	at PHI(1612) L 23-28: -5→1598	17	3	vs DET(1550) W 20-19: -8→1617
2	1	vs NYJ(1481) W 30-10: +17→1632	10	3	vs NYG(1411) W 49-17: +16→1614	18	3	at WAS(1396) W 38-10: +15→1632
3	6	at ARI(1427) L 16-28: -50→1582	11	3	at CAR(1385) W 33-10: +11→1625	W	5	vs GB(1515) L 32-48: -52→1580
4	4	vs NE(1516) W 38-3: +37→1619	12	2	vs WAS(1417) W 45-10: +13→1638	D	6
5	5	at SF(1638) L 10-42: -38→1581	13	2	vs SEA(1493) W 41-35: -5→1633	C	6
6	6	at LAC(1516) W 20-17: +7→1588	14	2	vs PHI(1603) W 33-13: +10→1643	S	6
7	6	(bye)	15	2	at BUF(1593) L 10-31: -14→1629
8	2	vs LAR(1488) W 43-20: +15→1603	16	3	at MIA(1576) L 20-22: -4→1625

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (+64 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1517 \| avg. lost to rating: 1500 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	29	vs LV(1469) L 16-17: -7→1441	9	25	(bye)	17	18	vs LAC(1488) W 16-9: +7→1482
2	28	vs WAS(1492) L 33-35: -6→1435	10	21	at BUF(1588) W 24-22: +20→1454	18	22	at LV(1473) L 14-27: -15→1467
3	31	at MIA(1545) L 20-70: -41→1394	11	20	vs MIN(1543) W 21-20: +9→1463	W	22
4	31	at CHI(1350) W 31-28: +9→1403	12	19	vs CLE(1539) W 29-12: +21→1484	D	22
5	32	vs NYJ(1458) L 21-31: -20→1383	13	19	at HOU(1485) L 17-22: -3→1481	C	22
6	31	at KC(1624) L 8-19: +3→1386	14	15	at LAC(1525) W 24-7: +19→1500	S	22
7	32	vs GB(1470) W 19-17: +11→1397	15	17	at DET(1529) L 17-42: -11→1489
8	24	vs KC(1629) W 24-9: +37→1434	16	21	vs NE(1421) L 23-26: -14→1475

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-46 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1492 \| avg. lost to rating: 1510 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	12	at KC(1614) W 21-20: +16→1519	9	9	(bye)	17	7	at DAL(1625) L 19-20: +8→1558
2	15	vs SEA(1478) L 31-37: -21→1498	10	8	at LAC(1544) W 41-38: +6→1561	18	6	vs MIN(1481) W 30-20: +1→1559
3	9	vs ATL(1488) W 20-6: +24→1522	11	8	vs CHI(1404) W 31-26: -4→1557	W	7	vs LAR(1514) W 24-23: -7→1552
4	7	at GB(1519) W 34-20: +34→1556	12	10	vs GB(1468) L 22-29: -18→1539	D	7	vs TB(1530) W 31-23: +5→1557
5	6	vs CAR(1422) W 42-24: +10→1566	13	10	at NO(1486) W 33-28: +5→1544	C	7	at SF(1621) L 31-34: +15→1572
6	4	at TB(1510) W 20-6: +27→1593	14	10	at CHI(1422) L 13-28: -15→1529	S	7
7	9	at BAL(1557) L 6-38: -40→1553	15	9	vs DEN(1500) W 42-17: +11→1540
8	10	vs LV(1413) W 26-14: +2→1555	16	8	at MIN(1524) W 30-24: +10→1550

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1478 (-8 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1491 \| avg. lost to rating: 1464 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	8	at CHI(1385) W 38-20: +16→1528	9	21	vs LAR(1474) W 20-3: +23→1460	17	12	at MIN(1514) W 33-10: +33→1512
2	9	at ATL(1477) L 24-25: -11→1517	10	20	at PIT(1484) L 19-23: +0→1460	18	12	vs CHI(1464) W 17-9: +3→1515
3	11	vs NO(1511) W 18-17: +2→1519	11	19	vs LAC(1538) W 23-20: +8→1468	W	6	at DAL(1632) W 48-32: +52→1567
4	16	vs DET(1522) L 20-34: -35→1484	12	17	at DET(1557) W 29-22: +17→1485	D	5	at SF(1639) L 21-24: +18→1585
5	21	at LV(1426) L 13-17: -14→1470	13	14	vs KC(1603) W 27-19: +14→1499	C	5
6	22	(bye)	14	17	at NYG(1419) L 22-24: -4→1495	S	5
7	22	at DEN(1386) L 17-19: -10→1460	15	19	vs TB(1480) L 20-34: -14→1481
8	23	vs MIN(1515) L 10-24: -23→1437	16	18	at CAR(1372) W 33-30: -2→1479

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1473 (+16 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1483 \| avg. lost to rating: 1459 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	30	at BAL(1518) L 9-25: -7→1394	9	17	vs TB(1472) W 39-37: +2→1473	17	21	vs TEN(1444) W 26-3: +19→1476
2	32	vs IND(1390) L 20-31: -33→1361	10	16	at CIN(1591) W 30-27: +19→1492	18	19	at IND(1452) W 23-19: +11→1487
3	30	at JAX(1516) W 37-17: +61→1422	11	16	vs ARI(1398) W 21-16: -3→1489	W	12	vs CLE(1516) W 45-14: +38→1525
4	20	vs PIT(1500) W 30-6: +46→1468	12	18	vs JAX(1551) L 21-24: -4→1485	D	13	at BAL(1655) L 10-34: -7→1518
5	22	at ATL(1431) L 19-21: -5→1463	13	17	vs DEN(1484) W 22-17: +3→1488	C	13
6	19	vs NO(1520) W 20-13: +17→1480	14	20	at NYJ(1420) L 6-30: -19→1469	S	13
7	19	(bye)	15	20	at TEN(1451) W 19-16: +3→1472
8	21	at CAR(1399) L 13-15: -9→1471	16	22	vs CLE(1503) L 22-36: -15→1457

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1479 (+37 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1460 \| avg. lost to rating: 1500 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	31	vs JAX(1523) L 21-31: -9→1390	9	23	at CAR(1408) W 27-13: +24→1445	17	24	vs LV(1476) W 23-20: +3→1452
2	30	at HOU(1394) W 31-20: +34→1424	10	24	at NE(1422) W 10-6: +5→1450	18	27	vs HOU(1476) L 19-23: -12→1440
3	24	at BAL(1549) W 22-19: +29→1453	11	22	(bye)	W	27
4	26	vs LAR(1493) L 23-29: -7→1446	12	22	vs TB(1485) W 27-20: +6→1456	D	27
5	23	vs TEN(1498) W 23-16: +16→1462	13	22	at TEN(1441) W 31-28: +6→1462	C	27
6	24	at JAX(1523) L 20-37: -19→1443	14	22	at CIN(1550) L 14-34: -8→1454	S	27
7	24	vs CLE(1502) L 38-39: -6→1437	15	21	vs PIT(1467) W 30-13: +11→1465
8	28	vs NO(1489) L 27-38: -16→1421	16	24	at ATL(1441) L 10-29: -16→1449

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (-33 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1480 \| avg. lost to rating: 1517 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	7	at IND(1399) W 31-21: +9→1532	9	8	(bye)	17	10	vs CAR(1374) W 26-0: +7→1525
2	10	vs KC(1598) L 9-17: -16→1516	10	12	vs SF(1600) L 3-34: -33→1538	18	15	at TEN(1426) L 20-28: -19→1506
3	22	vs HOU(1361) L 17-37: -61→1455	11	9	vs TEN(1453) W 34-14: +13→1551	W	15
4	15	at ATL(1465) W 23-7: +34→1489	12	8	at HOU(1489) W 24-21: +4→1555	D	15
5	11	at BUF(1679) W 25-20: +34→1523	13	9	vs CIN(1543) L 31-34: -6→1549	C	15
6	10	vs IND(1462) W 37-20: +19→1542	14	9	at CLE(1502) L 27-31: -5→1544	S	15
7	7	at NO(1503) W 31-24: +15→1557	15	10	vs BAL(1617) L 7-23: -9→1535
8	8	at PIT(1496) W 20-10: +14→1571	16	11	at TB(1494) L 12-30: -17→1518

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1483 (-119 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1470 \| avg. lost to rating: 1508 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	4	vs DET(1503) L 20-21: -16→1598	9	3	at MIA(1564) W 21-14: +9→1601	17	5	vs CIN(1532) W 25-17: +4→1572
2	2	at JAX(1532) W 17-9: +16→1614	10	5	(bye)	18	5	at LAC(1481) W 13-12: +1→1573
3	2	vs CHI(1366) W 41-10: +15→1629	11	5	vs PHI(1616) L 17-21: -9→1592	W	4	vs MIA(1545) W 26-7: +19→1592
4	3	at NYJ(1449) W 23-20: -9→1620	12	5	at LV(1449) W 31-17: +11→1603	D	3	at BUF(1612) W 27-24: +19→1611
5	3	at MIN(1482) W 27-20: +4→1624	13	5	at GB(1485) L 19-27: -13→1590	C	1	at BAL(1662) W 17-10: +40→1651
6	3	vs DEN(1383) W 19-8: -3→1621	14	6	vs BUF(1588) L 17-20: -5→1585	S	1	at SF(1606) W 25-22: -4→1647
7	2	vs LAC(1509) W 31-17: +8→1629	15	5	at NE(1422) W 27-17: +1→1586
8	6	at DEN(1397) L 9-24: -37→1592	16	7	vs LV(1458) L 14-20: -18→1568

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (+52 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1480 \| avg. lost to rating: 1513 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	24	at DEN(1448) W 17-16: +7→1476	9	24	vs NYG(1439) W 30-6: +29→1440	17	22	at IND(1449) L 20-23: -3→1473
2	27	at BUF(1567) L 10-38: -33→1443	10	25	vs NYJ(1468) W 16-12: +5→1445	18	18	vs DEN(1482) W 27-14: +15→1488
3	29	vs PIT(1486) L 18-23: -14→1429	11	23	at MIA(1554) L 13-20: +4→1449	W	18
4	28	at LAC(1513) L 17-24: -3→1426	12	25	vs KC(1592) L 17-31: -11→1438	D	18
5	24	vs GB(1484) W 17-13: +14→1440	13	24	(bye)	C	18
6	23	vs NE(1425) W 21-17: +3→1443	14	26	vs MIN(1520) L 0-3: -1→1437	S	18
7	29	at CHI(1385) L 12-30: -30→1413	15	22	vs LAC(1506) W 63-21: +21→1458
8	30	at DET(1553) L 14-26: -2→1411	16	20	at KC(1586) W 20-14: +18→1476

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (-2 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1446 \| avg. lost to rating: 1533 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	14	vs MIA(1513) L 34-36: -6→1500	9	11	at NYJ(1498) W 27-6: +30→1544	17	20	at DEN(1475) L 9-16: -7→1481
2	16	at TEN(1481) L 24-27: -3→1497	10	13	vs DET(1555) L 38-41: -6→1538	18	20	vs KC(1572) L 12-13: -1→1480
3	13	at MIN(1476) W 28-24: +16→1513	11	13	at GB(1460) L 20-23: -8→1530	W	19
4	10	vs LV(1429) W 24-17: +3→1516	12	11	vs BAL(1619) L 10-20: -8→1522	D	19
5	13	(bye)	13	11	at NE(1414) W 6-0: +3→1525	C	19
6	12	vs DAL(1581) L 17-20: -7→1509	14	13	vs DEN(1481) L 7-24: -19→1506	S	19
7	15	at KC(1621) L 17-31: -8→1501	15	18	at LV(1437) L 21-63: -21→1485
8	13	vs CHI(1415) W 30-13: +13→1514	16	17	vs BUF(1607) L 22-24: +3→1488

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1511 (+23 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1478 \| avg. lost to rating: 1558 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	16	at SEA(1501) W 30-13: +24→1499	9	22	at GB(1437) L 3-20: -23→1451	17	14	at NYG(1423) W 26-25: -2→1504
2	20	vs SF(1599) L 23-30: -14→1485	10	23	(bye)	18	13	at SF(1649) W 21-20: +10→1514
3	17	at CIN(1574) L 16-19: +8→1493	11	21	vs SEA(1512) W 17-16: +3→1454	W	13	at DET(1559) L 23-24: +7→1521
4	13	at IND(1453) W 29-23: +7→1500	12	21	at ARI(1402) W 37-14: +22→1476	D	12
5	15	vs PHI(1605) L 14-23: -11→1489	13	16	vs CLE(1518) W 36-19: +16→1492	C	12
6	13	vs ARI(1436) W 26-9: +19→1508	14	14	at BAL(1626) L 31-37: +10→1502	S	12
7	18	vs PIT(1476) L 17-24: -20→1488	15	14	vs WAS(1390) W 28-20: -1→1501
8	18	at DAL(1588) L 20-43: -14→1474	16	15	vs NO(1496) W 30-22: +5→1506

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (-53 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1463 \| avg. lost to rating: 1585 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	11	at LAC(1506) W 36-34: +6→1519	9	10	at KC(1592) L 14-21: -10→1554	17	6	at BAL(1648) L 19-56: -20→1560
2	8	at NE(1526) W 24-17: +26→1545	10	9	(bye)	18	7	vs BUF(1595) L 14-21: -15→1545
3	5	vs DEN(1435) W 70-20: +41→1586	11	10	vs LV(1445) W 20-13: -3→1551	W	11	at KC(1573) L 7-26: -19→1526
4	8	at BUF(1645) L 20-48: -34→1552	12	7	at NYJ(1446) W 34-13: +17→1568	D	10
5	7	vs NYG(1413) W 31-16: +7→1559	13	7	at WAS(1404) W 45-15: +15→1583	C	10
6	7	vs CAR(1412) W 42-21: +12→1571	14	7	vs TEN(1436) L 27-28: -16→1567	S	10
7	8	at PHI(1592) L 17-31: -17→1554	15	7	vs NYJ(1439) W 30-0: +9→1576
8	9	vs NE(1443) W 31-17: +10→1564	16	6	vs DAL(1629) W 22-20: +4→1580

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (-2 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1476 \| avg. lost to rating: 1520 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	26	vs TB(1473) L 17-20: -8→1467	9	12	at ATL(1433) W 31-28: -0→1538	17	19	vs GB(1479) L 10-33: -33→1481
2	23	at PHI(1611) L 28-34: +9→1476	10	10	vs NO(1503) W 27-19: +5→1543	18	21	at DET(1558) L 20-30: -1→1480
3	21	vs LAC(1497) L 24-28: -16→1460	11	12	at DEN(1454) L 20-21: -9→1534	W	20
4	17	at CAR(1444) W 21-13: +22→1482	12	12	vs CHI(1408) L 10-12: -14→1520	D	20
5	18	vs KC(1620) L 20-27: -4→1478	13	12	(bye)	C	20
6	17	at CHI(1397) W 19-13: +13→1491	14	11	at LV(1438) W 3-0: +1→1521	S	20
7	12	vs SF(1656) W 22-17: +24→1515	15	11	at CIN(1557) L 24-27: +3→1524
8	12	at GB(1460) W 24-10: +23→1538	16	12	vs DET(1540) L 24-30: -10→1514

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (+57 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1514 \| avg. lost to rating: 1506 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	9	vs PHI(1605) L 20-25: -5→1526	9	28	vs WAS(1422) L 17-20: -12→1422	17	25	at BUF(1604) L 21-27: +10→1445
2	12	vs MIA(1519) L 17-24: -26→1500	10	28	at IND(1445) L 6-10: -5→1417	18	29	vs NYJ(1420) L 3-17: -28→1417
3	12	at NYJ(1465) W 15-10: +16→1516	11	28	(bye)	W	29
4	19	at DAL(1582) L 3-38: -37→1479	12	29	at NYG(1416) L 7-10: -3→1414	D	29
5	27	vs NO(1465) L 0-34: -54→1425	13	29	vs LAC(1522) L 0-6: -2→1412	C	29
6	27	at LV(1440) L 17-21: -4→1421	14	29	at PIT(1477) W 21-18: +10→1422	S	29
7	23	vs BUF(1626) W 29-25: +22→1443	15	28	vs KC(1585) L 17-27: -1→1421
8	25	at MIA(1554) L 17-31: -9→1434	16	27	at DEN(1489) W 26-23: +14→1435

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1471 (-26 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1446 \| avg. lost to rating: 1499 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	15	vs TEN(1481) W 16-15: +1→1499	9	15	vs CHI(1403) W 24-17: -2→1503	17	13	at TB(1510) W 23-13: +19→1510
2	11	at CAR(1468) W 20-17: +12→1511	10	15	at MIN(1538) L 19-27: -5→1498	18	9	vs ATL(1438) W 48-17: +21→1531
3	15	at GB(1517) L 17-18: -2→1509	11	15	(bye)	W	9
4	22	vs TB(1466) L 9-26: -44→1465	12	16	at ATL(1429) L 15-24: -12→1486	D	9
5	12	at NE(1479) W 34-0: +55→1520	13	18	vs DET(1539) L 28-33: -4→1482	C	9
6	14	at HOU(1463) L 13-20: -17→1503	14	18	vs CAR(1377) W 28-6: +8→1490	S	9
7	17	vs JAX(1542) L 24-31: -14→1489	15	15	vs NYG(1423) W 24-6: +6→1496
8	15	at IND(1437) W 38-27: +16→1505	16	16	at LAR(1501) L 22-30: -5→1491

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1517 (+88 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1464 \| avg. lost to rating: 1545 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	27	vs DAL(1587) L 0-40: -28→1448	9	29	at LV(1411) L 6-30: -28→1411	17	29	vs LAR(1506) L 25-26: +1→1424
2	25	at ARI(1442) W 31-28: +15→1463	10	31	at DAL(1598) L 17-49: -16→1395	18	24	vs PHI(1553) W 27-10: +33→1457
3	25	at SF(1613) L 12-30: -12→1451	11	29	at WAS(1439) W 31-19: +21→1416	W	24
4	30	vs SEA(1510) L 3-24: -38→1413	12	28	vs NE(1417) W 10-7: +3→1419	D	24
5	30	at MIA(1552) L 16-31: -7→1406	13	28	(bye)	C	24
6	26	at BUF(1644) L 9-14: +18→1424	14	28	vs GB(1499) W 24-22: +4→1423	S	24
7	25	vs WAS(1435) W 14-7: +11→1435	15	29	at NO(1490) L 6-24: -5→1418
8	22	vs NYJ(1502) L 10-13: +4→1439	16	29	at PHI(1586) L 25-33: +5→1423

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1511 (+56 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1479 \| avg. lost to rating: 1534 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	18	vs BUF(1573) W 22-16: +5→1481	9	20	vs LAC(1514) L 6-27: -30→1468	17	30	at CLE(1518) L 20-37: -6→1420
2	24	at DAL(1615) L 10-30: -16→1465	10	19	at LV(1440) L 12-16: -5→1463	18	25	at NE(1445) W 17-3: +28→1448
3	26	vs NE(1500) L 10-15: -16→1449	11	24	at BUF(1569) L 6-32: -17→1446	W	25
4	24	vs KC(1629) L 20-23: +9→1458	12	26	vs MIA(1551) L 13-34: -17→1429	D	25
5	19	at DEN(1403) W 31-21: +20→1478	13	27	vs ATL(1441) L 8-13: -9→1420	C	25
6	15	vs PHI(1617) W 20-14: +24→1502	14	25	vs HOU(1488) W 30-6: +19→1439	S	25
7	14	(bye)	15	27	at MIA(1567) L 0-30: -9→1430
8	16	vs NYG(1435) W 13-10: -4→1498	16	28	vs WAS(1391) W 30-28: -4→1426

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1513 (-90 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1513 \| avg. lost to rating: 1513 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	2	at NE(1531) W 25-20: +6→1611	9	2	vs DAL(1603) W 28-23: +4→1616	17	8	vs ARI(1397) L 31-35: -28→1553
2	4	vs MIN(1467) W 34-28: -9→1602	10	2	(bye)	18	10	at NYG(1424) L 10-27: -33→1520
3	4	at TB(1485) W 25-11: +18→1620	11	2	at KC(1601) W 21-17: +9→1625	W	17	at TB(1499) L 9-32: -31→1489
4	5	vs WAS(1453) W 34-31: -15→1605	12	4	vs BUF(1585) W 37-34: -3→1622	D	17
5	4	at LAR(1500) W 23-14: +12→1617	13	4	vs SF(1648) L 19-42: -19→1603	C	17
6	5	at NYJ(1478) L 14-20: -25→1592	14	5	at DAL(1633) L 13-33: -10→1593	S	17
7	3	vs MIA(1571) W 31-17: +17→1609	15	6	at SEA(1498) L 17-20: -7→1586
8	1	at WAS(1425) W 38-31: +3→1612	16	5	vs NYG(1418) W 33-25: -5→1581

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (+23 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1525 \| avg. lost to rating: 1478 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	22	vs SF(1578) L 7-30: -21→1477	9	16	vs TEN(1472) W 20-16: +2→1484	17	15	at SEA(1508) W 30-23: +18→1496
2	19	vs CLE(1502) W 26-22: +9→1486	10	18	vs GB(1460) W 23-19: -0→1484	18	14	at BAL(1668) W 17-10: +14→1510
3	16	at LV(1443) W 23-18: +14→1500	11	17	at CLE(1541) L 10-13: +2→1486	W	14	at BUF(1609) L 17-31: -3→1507
4	25	at HOU(1422) L 6-30: -46→1454	12	14	at CIN(1560) W 16-10: +16→1502	D	14
5	20	vs BAL(1570) W 17-10: +22→1476	13	20	vs ARI(1380) L 10-24: -25→1477	C	14
6	20	(bye)	14	21	vs NE(1412) L 18-21: -10→1467	S	14
7	16	at LAR(1508) W 24-17: +20→1496	15	23	at IND(1454) L 13-30: -12→1455
8	17	vs JAX(1557) L 10-20: -14→1482	16	19	vs CIN(1555) W 34-11: +23→1478

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1511 (-126 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1503 \| avg. lost to rating: 1530 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	3	at PIT(1498) W 30-7: +21→1599	9	4	(bye)	17	2	at WAS(1395) W 27-10: -1→1649
2	3	at LAR(1499) W 30-23: +14→1613	10	1	at JAX(1571) W 34-3: +32→1632	18	2	vs LAR(1504) L 20-21: -10→1639
3	3	vs NYG(1463) W 30-12: +11→1624	11	1	vs TB(1487) W 27-14: +2→1634	W	2	(bye)
4	2	vs ARI(1476) W 35-16: +14→1638	12	1	at SEA(1508) W 31-13: +14→1648	D	2	vs GB(1567) W 24-21: -18→1621
5	1	vs DAL(1619) W 42-10: +39→1677	13	1	at PHI(1622) W 42-19: +20→1668	C	3	vs DET(1557) W 34-31: -15→1606
6	1	at CLE(1482) L 17-19: -21→1656	14	1	vs SEA(1499) W 28-16: +1→1669	S	3	at KC(1651) L 22-25: +4→1610
7	1	at MIN(1491) L 17-22: -24→1632	15	1	at ARI(1405) W 45-29: +3→1672
8	3	vs CIN(1548) L 17-31: -32→1600	16	1	vs BAL(1626) L 19-33: -22→1650

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1513 (+2 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1472 \| avg. lost to rating: 1560 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	21	vs LAR(1475) L 13-30: -23→1478	9	14	at BAL(1595) L 3-37: -27→1517	17	17	vs PIT(1478) L 23-30: -18→1490
2	13	at DET(1519) W 37-31: +21→1499	10	14	vs WAS(1434) W 29-26: -5→1512	18	17	at ARI(1426) W 21-20: +5→1495
3	14	vs CAR(1456) W 37-27: +11→1510	11	14	at LAR(1451) L 16-17: -4→1508	W	16
4	9	at NYG(1451) W 24-3: +38→1548	12	15	vs SF(1634) L 13-31: -15→1493	D	16
5	8	(bye)	13	15	at DAL(1638) L 35-41: +6→1499	C	16
6	11	at CIN(1540) L 13-17: -8→1540	14	16	at SF(1668) L 16-28: -1→1498	S	16
7	11	vs ARI(1416) W 20-10: +4→1544	15	12	vs PHI(1593) W 20-17: +6→1504
8	11	vs CLE(1508) W 24-20: +0→1544	16	14	at TEN(1447) W 20-17: +4→1508

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1487 (+4 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1449 \| avg. lost to rating: 1529 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	19	at MIN(1475) W 20-17: +8→1481	9	18	at HOU(1471) L 37-39: -2→1470	17	16	vs NO(1491) L 13-23: -18→1492
2	21	vs CHI(1369) W 27-17: +4→1485	10	17	vs TEN(1469) W 20-6: +17→1487	18	16	at CAR(1367) W 9-0: +7→1499
3	19	vs PHI(1602) L 11-25: -19→1466	11	18	at SF(1632) L 14-27: -2→1485	W	10	vs PHI(1520) W 32-9: +31→1530
4	12	at NO(1509) W 26-9: +44→1510	12	20	at IND(1450) L 20-27: -7→1478	D	11	at DET(1552) L 23-31: -5→1525
5	14	(bye)	13	21	vs CAR(1373) W 21-18: -4→1474	C	11
6	18	vs DET(1566) L 6-20: -27→1483	14	19	at ATL(1450) W 29-25: +6→1480	S	11
7	21	vs ATL(1414) L 13-16: -17→1466	15	16	at GB(1495) W 34-20: +14→1494
8	19	at BUF(1605) L 18-24: +6→1472	16	13	vs JAX(1535) W 30-12: +16→1510

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1491 (+30 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1496 \| avg. lost to rating: 1487 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	20	at NO(1498) L 15-16: -0→1481	9	19	at PIT(1482) L 16-20: -3→1469	17	28	at HOU(1457) L 3-26: -18→1426
2	22	vs LAC(1500) W 27-24: +3→1484	10	22	at TB(1470) L 6-20: -16→1453	18	26	vs JAX(1525) W 28-20: +18→1444
3	27	at CLE(1494) L 3-27: -38→1446	11	25	at JAX(1538) L 14-34: -13→1440	W	26
4	14	vs CIN(1565) W 27-3: +52→1498	12	24	vs CAR(1374) W 17-10: +1→1441	D	26
5	16	at IND(1446) L 16-23: -16→1482	13	25	vs IND(1456) L 28-31: -5→1436	C	26
6	21	at BAL(1548) L 16-24: -9→1473	14	23	at MIA(1583) W 28-27: +15→1451	S	26
7	20	(bye)	15	24	vs HOU(1469) L 16-19: -4→1447
8	20	vs ATL(1431) W 28-23: -1→1472	16	26	vs SEA(1504) L 17-20: -3→1444

↑ Washington Commanders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1509 (+76 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1438 \| avg. lost to rating: 1531 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	17	vs ARI(1441) W 20-16: -1→1492	9	26	at NE(1434) W 20-17: +12→1434	17	31	vs SF(1650) L 10-27: +1→1396
2	14	at DEN(1441) W 35-33: +6→1498	10	26	at SEA(1517) L 26-29: +5→1439	18	31	vs DAL(1617) L 10-38: -15→1381
3	23	vs BUF(1599) L 3-37: -45→1453	11	27	vs NYG(1395) L 19-31: -22→1417	W	31
4	21	at PHI(1620) L 31-34: +15→1468	12	30	at DAL(1625) L 10-45: -13→1404	D	31
5	28	vs CHI(1342) L 20-40: -55→1413	13	31	vs MIA(1568) L 15-45: -14→1390	C	31
6	25	at ATL(1437) W 24-16: +22→1435	14	31	(bye)	S	31
7	27	at NYG(1424) L 7-14: -10→1425	15	31	at LAR(1502) L 20-28: +1→1391
8	27	vs PHI(1609) L 31-38: -3→1422	16	31	at NYJ(1430) L 28-30: +4→1395

↑ 2023 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 4 games (weeks 17-20) Green Bay Packers: +106 total Elo rating
2. 3 games (weeks 16-18) New York Giants: +39 total Elo rating
3. 2 games (weeks 17-18) New Orleans Saints: +40 total Elo rating
4. 2 games (weeks 20-21) Detroit Lions: +20 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 18-19) Los Angeles Rams: +17 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 8 games (weeks 12-19) Philadelphia Eagles: -136 total Elo rating
2. 3 games (weeks 17-19) Miami Dolphins: -54 total Elo rating
3. 3 games (weeks 16-18) Minnesota Vikings: -44 total Elo rating
4. 2 games (weeks 18-19) Cleveland Browns: -46 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 17-18) Atlanta Falcons: -41 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 8, 232-Elo upset: Kansas City Chiefs (1629) 8-point favorites at Denver Broncos (1397): Broncos win 24-9
2. Week 7, 205-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1626) 6-point favorites at New England Patriots (1421): Patriots win 29-25
3. Week 3, 205-Elo upset: Dallas Cowboys (1632) 9-point favorites at Arizona Cardinals (1427): Cardinals win 28-16
4. Week 6, 195-Elo upset: San Francisco 49ers (1677) 7-point favorites at Cleveland Browns (1482): Browns win 19-17
5. Week 5, 190-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1679) 11-point favorites at Jacksonville Jaguars (1489): Jaguars win 25-20
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week W, 30-point differential: Dallas Cowboys (1632) 14-point favorites vs Green Bay Packers (1515): Packers win 48-32
2. Week 5, 29-point differential: Washington Commanders (1468) 9-point favorites vs Chicago Bears (1342): Bears win 40-20
3. Week 5, 34-point differential: New England Patriots (1479) Tossup favorites vs New Orleans Saints (1465): Saints win 34-0
4. Week 3, 29-point differential: Jacksonville Jaguars (1516) 9-point favorites vs Houston Texans (1361): Texans win 37-17
5. Week 15, 42-point differential: Los Angeles Chargers (1506) Tossup favorites vs Las Vegas Raiders (1437): Raiders win 63-21
6. Week 17, 28-point differential: Minnesota Vikings (1514) 5-point favorites vs Green Bay Packers (1479): Packers win 33-10
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +117: Houston Texans (1401) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 20
2. +104: Baltimore Ravens (1518) before week 1 → (1622) thru week 21
3. +76: Chicago Bears (1385) before week 1 → (1461) thru week 18
4. +73: Green Bay Packers (1512) before week 1 → (1585) thru week 20
5. +69: Detroit Lions (1503) before week 1 → (1572) thru week 21
more...
1. +53: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1473) before week 1 → (1525) thru week 20
2. +46: Los Angeles Rams (1475) before week 1 → (1521) thru week 19
3. +41: Indianapolis Colts (1399) before week 1 → (1440) thru week 18
4. +33: New Orleans Saints (1498) before week 1 → (1531) thru week 18
5. +33: Kansas City Chiefs (1614) before week 1 → (1647) thru week 22
6. +32: San Francisco 49ers (1578) before week 1 → (1610) thru week 22
7. +21: Buffalo Bills (1573) before week 1 → (1594) thru week 20
8. +19: Las Vegas Raiders (1469) before week 1 → (1488) thru week 18
9. +19: Denver Broncos (1448) before week 1 → (1467) thru week 18
10. +13: Miami Dolphins (1513) before week 1 → (1526) thru week 19
11. +9: Pittsburgh Steelers (1498) before week 1 → (1507) thru week 19
12. +4: Minnesota Vikings (1475) before week 1 → (1480) thru week 18
13. +3: Cleveland Browns (1475) before week 1 → (1478) thru week 19
14. -6: Seattle Seahawks (1501) before week 1 → (1495) thru week 18
15. -7: Dallas Cowboys (1587) before week 1 → (1580) thru week 19
16. -17: Jacksonville Jaguars (1523) before week 1 → (1506) thru week 18
17. -19: New York Giants (1476) before week 1 → (1457) thru week 18
18. -21: Arizona Cardinals (1441) before week 1 → (1420) thru week 18
19. -27: Los Angeles Chargers (1506) before week 1 → (1480) thru week 18
20. -28: New York Jets (1476) before week 1 → (1448) thru week 18
21. -37: Tennessee Titans (1481) before week 1 → (1444) thru week 18
22. -46: Atlanta Falcons (1462) before week 1 → (1416) thru week 18
23. -89: Cincinnati Bengals (1625) before week 1 → (1536) thru week 18
24. -113: Washington Commanders (1493) before week 1 → (1381) thru week 18
25. -115: New England Patriots (1531) before week 1 → (1417) thru week 18
26. -116: Philadelphia Eagles (1605) before week 1 → (1489) thru week 19
27. -124: Carolina Panthers (1483) before week 1 → (1359) thru week 18
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -124: Carolina Panthers (1483) before week 1 → (1359) thru week 18
2. -116: Philadelphia Eagles (1605) before week 1 → (1489) thru week 19
3. -115: New England Patriots (1531) before week 1 → (1417) thru week 18
4. -113: Washington Commanders (1493) before week 1 → (1381) thru week 18
5. -89: Cincinnati Bengals (1625) before week 1 → (1536) thru week 18
more...
1. -46: Atlanta Falcons (1462) before week 1 → (1416) thru week 18
2. -37: Tennessee Titans (1481) before week 1 → (1444) thru week 18
3. -28: New York Jets (1476) before week 1 → (1448) thru week 18
4. -27: Los Angeles Chargers (1506) before week 1 → (1480) thru week 18
5. -21: Arizona Cardinals (1441) before week 1 → (1420) thru week 18
6. -19: New York Giants (1476) before week 1 → (1457) thru week 18
7. -17: Jacksonville Jaguars (1523) before week 1 → (1506) thru week 18
8. -7: Dallas Cowboys (1587) before week 1 → (1580) thru week 19
9. -6: Seattle Seahawks (1501) before week 1 → (1495) thru week 18
10. +3: Cleveland Browns (1475) before week 1 → (1478) thru week 19
11. +4: Minnesota Vikings (1475) before week 1 → (1480) thru week 18
12. +9: Pittsburgh Steelers (1498) before week 1 → (1507) thru week 19
13. +13: Miami Dolphins (1513) before week 1 → (1526) thru week 19
14. +19: Denver Broncos (1448) before week 1 → (1467) thru week 18
15. +19: Las Vegas Raiders (1469) before week 1 → (1488) thru week 18
16. +21: Buffalo Bills (1573) before week 1 → (1594) thru week 20
17. +32: San Francisco 49ers (1578) before week 1 → (1610) thru week 22
18. +33: Kansas City Chiefs (1614) before week 1 → (1647) thru week 22
19. +33: New Orleans Saints (1498) before week 1 → (1531) thru week 18
20. +41: Indianapolis Colts (1399) before week 1 → (1440) thru week 18
21. +46: Los Angeles Rams (1475) before week 1 → (1521) thru week 19
22. +53: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1473) before week 1 → (1525) thru week 20
23. +69: Detroit Lions (1503) before week 1 → (1572) thru week 21
24. +73: Green Bay Packers (1512) before week 1 → (1585) thru week 20
25. +76: Chicago Bears (1385) before week 1 → (1461) thru week 18
26. +104: Baltimore Ravens (1518) before week 1 → (1622) thru week 21
27. +117: Houston Texans (1401) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 20
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +132: Houston Texans (1361) before week 3 → (1492) thru week 10
2. +115: Jacksonville Jaguars (1455) before week 4 → (1571) thru week 8
3. +113: Denver Broncos (1386) before week 7 → (1500) thru week 14
4. +112: Buffalo Bills (1567) before week 2 → (1679) thru week 4
5. +106: Green Bay Packers (1479) before week 17 → (1585) thru week 20
more...
1. +102: Baltimore Ravens (1520) before week 4 → (1622) thru week 9
2. +99: San Francisco 49ers (1578) before week 1 → (1677) thru week 5
3. +95: Detroit Lions (1498) before week 3 → (1593) thru week 6
4. +83: Kansas City Chiefs (1568) before week 17 → (1651) thru week 21
5. +83: Minnesota Vikings (1460) before week 4 → (1543) thru week 10
6. +80: Chicago Bears (1342) before week 5 → (1422) thru week 12
7. +76: Cincinnati Bengals (1514) before week 5 → (1591) thru week 9
8. +73: Miami Dolphins (1513) before week 1 → (1586) thru week 3
9. +71: Seattle Seahawks (1478) before week 2 → (1548) thru week 4
10. +71: Indianapolis Colts (1390) before week 2 → (1462) thru week 5
11. +67: Los Angeles Rams (1454) before week 12 → (1521) thru week 19
12. +65: Las Vegas Raiders (1411) before week 9 → (1476) thru week 16
13. +62: New York Giants (1395) before week 11 → (1457) thru week 18
14. +59: Cleveland Browns (1482) before week 5 → (1541) thru week 10
15. +57: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1474) before week 14 → (1530) thru week 19
16. +57: Dallas Cowboys (1581) before week 6 → (1638) thru week 12
17. +54: Pittsburgh Steelers (1455) before week 16 → (1510) thru week 18
18. +53: New York Jets (1449) before week 4 → (1502) thru week 6
19. +50: New Orleans Saints (1482) before week 14 → (1531) thru week 18
20. +47: Los Angeles Chargers (1497) before week 3 → (1544) thru week 9
21. +46: Arizona Cardinals (1380) before week 13 → (1426) thru week 17
22. +36: Atlanta Falcons (1414) before week 7 → (1450) thru week 13
23. +35: Tennessee Titans (1446) before week 4 → (1482) thru week 5
24. +33: New England Patriots (1412) before week 14 → (1445) thru week 17
25. +33: Philadelphia Eagles (1592) before week 7 → (1625) thru week 11
26. +27: Washington Commanders (1413) before week 6 → (1439) thru week 10
27. +5: Carolina Panthers (1369) before week 15 → (1374) thru week 16
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -136: Philadelphia Eagles (1625) before week 12 → (1489) thru week 19
2. -111: Cincinnati Bengals (1625) before week 1 → (1514) thru week 4
3. -110: Buffalo Bills (1679) before week 5 → (1569) thru week 10
4. -110: New England Patriots (1531) before week 1 → (1421) thru week 6
5. -91: Green Bay Packers (1528) before week 2 → (1437) thru week 8
more...
1. -85: Washington Commanders (1498) before week 3 → (1413) thru week 5
2. -84: Carolina Panthers (1483) before week 1 → (1399) thru week 6
3. -83: New York Jets (1502) before week 7 → (1420) thru week 13
4. -82: Arizona Cardinals (1462) before week 5 → (1380) thru week 12
5. -77: San Francisco 49ers (1677) before week 6 → (1600) thru week 8
6. -76: Jacksonville Jaguars (1532) before week 2 → (1455) thru week 3
7. -74: Atlanta Falcons (1488) before week 3 → (1414) thru week 6
8. -69: New York Giants (1476) before week 1 → (1406) thru week 5
9. -65: Denver Broncos (1448) before week 1 → (1383) thru week 5
10. -65: Las Vegas Raiders (1476) before week 2 → (1411) thru week 8
11. -64: Detroit Lions (1593) before week 7 → (1529) thru week 14
12. -63: Dallas Cowboys (1643) before week 15 → (1580) thru week 19
13. -63: Minnesota Vikings (1543) before week 11 → (1480) thru week 18
14. -63: Los Angeles Chargers (1544) before week 10 → (1481) thru week 17
15. -61: Cleveland Browns (1539) before week 12 → (1478) thru week 19
16. -58: Los Angeles Rams (1508) before week 7 → (1451) thru week 9
17. -58: Tennessee Titans (1498) before week 5 → (1440) thru week 11
18. -56: Miami Dolphins (1583) before week 14 → (1526) thru week 19
19. -55: Seattle Seahawks (1548) before week 5 → (1493) thru week 12
20. -47: Pittsburgh Steelers (1502) before week 13 → (1455) thru week 15
21. -47: Baltimore Ravens (1668) before week 18 → (1622) thru week 21
22. -46: New Orleans Saints (1511) before week 3 → (1465) thru week 4
23. -44: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1510) before week 5 → (1466) thru week 7
24. -44: Kansas City Chiefs (1629) before week 8 → (1585) thru week 14
25. -43: Chicago Bears (1385) before week 1 → (1342) thru week 4
26. -41: Houston Texans (1401) before week 1 → (1361) thru week 2
27. -40: Indianapolis Colts (1462) before week 6 → (1421) thru week 8
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Arizona Cardinals: 1524
2. Baltimore Ravens: 1521
3. Cincinnati Bengals: 1519
4. New York Giants: 1517
5. Seattle Seahawks: 1513
more...
1. Philadelphia Eagles: 1513
2. New York Jets: 1511
3. San Francisco 49ers: 1511
4. Los Angeles Rams: 1511
5. Washington Commanders: 1509
6. Cleveland Browns: 1508
7. New England Patriots: 1508
8. Buffalo Bills: 1508
9. Los Angeles Chargers: 1508
10. Denver Broncos: 1508
11. Miami Dolphins: 1506
12. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1505
13. Dallas Cowboys: 1505
14. Minnesota Vikings: 1502
15. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1498
16. Las Vegas Raiders: 1497
17. Detroit Lions: 1497
18. Tennessee Titans: 1491
19. Chicago Bears: 1488
20. Carolina Panthers: 1487
21. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1487
22. Kansas City Chiefs: 1483
23. Indianapolis Colts: 1479
24. Green Bay Packers: 1478
25. Houston Texans: 1473
26. New Orleans Saints: 1471
27. Atlanta Falcons: 1466
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Atlanta Falcons: 1466
2. New Orleans Saints: 1471
3. Houston Texans: 1473
4. Green Bay Packers: 1478
5. Indianapolis Colts: 1479
more...
1. Kansas City Chiefs: 1483
2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1487
3. Carolina Panthers: 1487
4. Chicago Bears: 1488
5. Tennessee Titans: 1491
6. Detroit Lions: 1497
7. Las Vegas Raiders: 1497
8. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1498
9. Minnesota Vikings: 1502
10. Dallas Cowboys: 1505
11. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1505
12. Miami Dolphins: 1506
13. Denver Broncos: 1508
14. Los Angeles Chargers: 1508
15. Buffalo Bills: 1508
16. New England Patriots: 1508
17. Cleveland Browns: 1508
18. Washington Commanders: 1509
19. Los Angeles Rams: 1511
20. San Francisco 49ers: 1511
21. New York Jets: 1511
22. Philadelphia Eagles: 1513
23. Seattle Seahawks: 1513
24. New York Giants: 1517
25. Cincinnati Bengals: 1519
26. Baltimore Ravens: 1521
27. Arizona Cardinals: 1524
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Arizona Cardinals: 1537
2. Baltimore Ravens: 1535
3. Cincinnati Bengals: 1532
4. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1525
5. Denver Broncos: 1517
more...
1. New England Patriots: 1514
2. Philadelphia Eagles: 1513
3. Cleveland Browns: 1512
4. Buffalo Bills: 1510
5. San Francisco 49ers: 1503
6. Tennessee Titans: 1496
7. Detroit Lions: 1492
8. Green Bay Packers: 1491
9. Houston Texans: 1483
10. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1480
11. Las Vegas Raiders: 1480
12. Atlanta Falcons: 1479
13. New York Jets: 1479
14. Los Angeles Rams: 1478
15. Dallas Cowboys: 1478
16. Minnesota Vikings: 1476
17. Seattle Seahawks: 1472
18. Kansas City Chiefs: 1470
19. New York Giants: 1464
20. Miami Dolphins: 1463
21. Carolina Panthers: 1462
22. Chicago Bears: 1462
23. Indianapolis Colts: 1460
24. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1449
25. Los Angeles Chargers: 1446
26. New Orleans Saints: 1446
27. Washington Commanders: 1438
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Washington Commanders: 1438
2. New Orleans Saints: 1446
3. Los Angeles Chargers: 1446
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1449
5. Indianapolis Colts: 1460
more...
1. Chicago Bears: 1462
2. Carolina Panthers: 1462
3. Miami Dolphins: 1463
4. New York Giants: 1464
5. Kansas City Chiefs: 1470
6. Seattle Seahawks: 1472
7. Minnesota Vikings: 1476
8. Dallas Cowboys: 1478
9. Los Angeles Rams: 1478
10. New York Jets: 1479
11. Atlanta Falcons: 1479
12. Las Vegas Raiders: 1480
13. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1480
14. Houston Texans: 1483
15. Green Bay Packers: 1491
16. Detroit Lions: 1492
17. Tennessee Titans: 1496
18. San Francisco 49ers: 1503
19. Buffalo Bills: 1510
20. Cleveland Browns: 1512
21. Philadelphia Eagles: 1513
22. New England Patriots: 1514
23. Denver Broncos: 1517
24. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1525
25. Cincinnati Bengals: 1532
26. Baltimore Ravens: 1535
27. Arizona Cardinals: 1537

↑ 2023 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)
2	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	18-14 (18/32, 56.25%)
3	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	28-20 (28/48, 58.33%)
4	8-8 (8/16, 50.0%)	36-28 (36/64, 56.25%)
5	9-5 (9/14, 64.29%)	45-33 (45/78, 57.69%)
6	10-5 (10/15, 66.67%)	55-38 (55/93, 59.14%)
7	6-7 (6/13, 46.15%)	61-45 (61/106, 57.55%)
8	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	73-49 (73/122, 59.84%)
9	11-3 (11/14, 78.57%)	84-52 (84/136, 61.76%)
10	9-5 (9/14, 64.29%)	93-57 (93/150, 62.0%)
11	10-4 (10/14, 71.43%)	103-61 (103/164, 62.8%)
12	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	113-67 (113/180, 62.78%)
13	7-6 (7/13, 53.85%)	120-73 (120/193, 62.18%)
14	7-8 (7/15, 46.67%)	127-81 (127/208, 61.06%)
15	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	137-87 (137/224, 61.16%)
16	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	146-94 (146/240, 60.83%)
17	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	158-98 (158/256, 61.72%)
18	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	167-105 (167/272, 61.4%)
W	5-1 (5/6, 83.33%)	172-106 (172/278, 61.87%)
D	3-1 (3/4, 75.0%)	175-107 (175/282, 62.06%)
C	1-1 (1/2, 50.0%)	176-108 (176/284, 61.97%)
S	1-0 (1/1, 100.0%)	177-108 (177/285, 62.11%)

↑ Introduction and Background

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we can consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the FAQ page for more background.

This Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 1994 through 2025. Over that span it correctly picks winners in 65.67% of games, trailing the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.64% (according to covers.com/sportsoddshistory). This model also does well compared to the average picker at NFL Picks Page. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

Have more questions? See the FAQ page.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- division alignment (whether a game is a division matchup),
- whether a game is meaningless with respect to playoff seeding,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team can gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team can lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 1992 season — although only the last ~20 games have any real impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 1992 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 1992 and 1993 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 1994 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 1991 or older seasons in the model search process, nor to publish 2019 or older seasons.
If you see an unequal number of Elo rating points moved from one team to another after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2026 Updates

2026 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- A new "v4.2026.07" model was found, and it's the most accurate model yet over the last 25 seasons. It also fixes the misbehavior of last year's "v3.2025.06" model. See more details in the 2026 preseason blog post.

2025 Updates

2026-01-03 - Reverted to last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See the 2025 blog post for more details. The "v3.2025.06" 2025 rankings are available here.
2025 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- An improved "v3.2025.06" model was found after a much bigger automated model search where 10 million models were evaluated for each of the regular, "never lose Elo for a win," and "blank slate" model types. The new "v3.2025.06" model is a "regular" model, and was more accurate than the new best found "never lose Elo for a win" and "blank slate" models. It picks a net 2.3 more game winners correctly per season from 1994 through 2024 than last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See more details in the 2025 preseason blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2025. There are links to the frozen pages near the top of the above linked blog post.

2024 Updates

2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

The schedule on this page is derived from Pro-Football-Reference.com, with weekly scores data from nflverse and some hand-entered scores.

The data on these pages was at one point derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages. I donate to Wikipedia annually. If you value free access to information on the web, or have recently found Wikipedia useful, I encourage you to do so as well.

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