NFL Elo Power Rankings 2023
Weekly NFL power rankings based on the Elo rating system. Read more here.
Contents
- After Super Bowl
- After Championship
- After Divisional
- After Wildcard
- After Week 18
- After Week 17
- After Week 16
- After Week 15
- After Week 14
- After Week 13
- After Week 12
- After Week 11
- After Week 10
- After Week 9
- After Week 8
- After Week 7
- After Week 6
- After Week 5
- After Week 4
- After Week 3
- After Week 2
- After Week 1
- Before Week 1
- 2023 Summaries by Team
- 2023 Stats and Tidbits
- 2023 Model Accuracy
↑ Power Rankings After Super Bowl, 2023 Season
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Championship, 2023 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (+1) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1657 (+39) | 14-6 | at SF (1600): Win by 5 |
| prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1648): W 17-10: 1618+39→1657 | ||||
| next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1600): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 2 (-1) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1609 (-39) | 14-5 | |
| prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1618): L 10-17: 1648-39→1609 | ||||
| 3 (+1) | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1602 | 12-7 | |
| 4 (-1) | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1600 (-17) | 14-5 | at KC (1657): Lose by 5 |
| prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1558): W 34-31: 1617-17→1600 | ||||
| next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1657): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 5 | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1591 | 12-6 | |
| 6 | Green Bay PackersGB | 1588 | 10-9 | |
| 7 | Detroit LionsDET | 1575 (+17) | 14-6 | |
| prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1617): L 31-34: 1558+17→1575 | ||||
| 8 | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1553 | 9-8 | |
| 9 | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1539 | 11-7 | |
| 10 | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1538 | 10-8 | |
| 11 | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1535 | 9-8 | |
| 12 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1528 | 10-9 | |
| 13 | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1524 | 10-8 | |
| 14 | Houston TexansHOU | 1516 | 11-8 | |
| 15 | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1509 | 9-8 | |
| 16 | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1494 | 9-8 | |
| 17 | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1489 | 11-7 | |
| 18 | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1486 | 8-9 | |
| 19 | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1478 | 7-10 | |
| 20 | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1473 | 5-12 | |
| 21 | Denver BroncosDEN | 1468 | 8-9 | |
| 22 | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1467 | 11-7 | |
| 23 | Chicago BearsCHI | 1461 | 7-10 | |
| 24 | New York GiantsNYG | 1448 | 6-11 | |
| 25 | New York JetsNYJ | 1445 | 7-10 | |
| 26 | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1440 | 9-8 | |
| 27 | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1438 | 6-11 | |
| 28 | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1414 | 4-13 | |
| 29 | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1411 | 7-10 | |
| 30 | New England PatriotsNE | 1408 | 4-13 | |
| 31 | Washington CommandersWAS | 1365 | 4-13 | |
| 32 | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1349 | 2-15 | |
Favorites: | ||||
| KC | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Divisional, 2023 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1648 (+10) | 14-4 | vs KC (1618): Win by 8 |
| prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1525): W 34-10: 1638+10→1648 | ||||
| next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1618): Win by 8 points | ||||
| 2 (+2) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1618 (+21) | 13-6 | at BAL (1648): Lose by 8 |
| prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1623): W 27-24: 1597+21→1618 | ||||
| next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1648): Lose by 8 points | ||||
| 3 (-1) | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1617 (-19) | 13-5 | vs DET (1558): Win by 11 |
| prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1569): W 24-21: 1636-19→1617 | ||||
| next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1558): Win by 11 points | ||||
| 4 (-1) | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1602 (-21) | 12-7 | |
| prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1597): L 24-27: 1623-21→1602 | ||||
| 5 | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1591 | 12-6 | |
| 6 | Green Bay PackersGB | 1588 (+19) | 10-9 | |
| prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1636): L 21-24: 1569+19→1588 | ||||
| 7 | Detroit LionsDET | 1558 (+3) | 14-5 | at SF (1617): Lose by 11 |
| prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1531): W 31-23: 1555+3→1558 | ||||
| next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1617): Lose by 11 points | ||||
| 8 | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1553 | 9-8 | |
| 9 | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1539 | 11-7 | |
| 10 | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1538 | 10-8 | |
| 11 | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1535 | 9-8 | |
| 12 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1528 (-3) | 10-9 | |
| prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1555): L 23-31: 1531-3→1528 | ||||
| 13 (+1) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1524 | 10-8 | |
| 14 (-1) | Houston TexansHOU | 1516 (-9) | 11-8 | |
| prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1638): L 10-34: 1525-9→1516 | ||||
| 15 | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1509 | 9-8 | |
| 16 | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1494 | 9-8 | |
| 17 | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1489 | 11-7 | |
| 18 | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1486 | 8-9 | |
| 19 | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1478 | 7-10 | |
| 20 | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1473 | 5-12 | |
| 21 | Denver BroncosDEN | 1468 | 8-9 | |
| 22 | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1467 | 11-7 | |
| 23 | Chicago BearsCHI | 1461 | 7-10 | |
| 24 | New York GiantsNYG | 1448 | 6-11 | |
| 25 | New York JetsNYJ | 1445 | 7-10 | |
| 26 | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1440 | 9-8 | |
| 27 | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1438 | 6-11 | |
| 28 | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1414 | 4-13 | |
| 29 | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1411 | 7-10 | |
| 30 | New England PatriotsNE | 1408 | 4-13 | |
| 31 | Washington CommandersWAS | 1365 | 4-13 | |
| 32 | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1349 | 2-15 | |
Favorites: | ||||
| BAL, SF | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Wildcard, 2023 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (+1) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1638 | 13-4 | vs HOU (1525): Win by 17 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1525): Win by 17 points | ||||
| 2 (+1) | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1636 | 12-5 | vs GB (1569): Win by 13 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1569): Win by 13 points | ||||
| 3 (+1) | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1623 (+4) | 12-6 | vs KC (1597): Win by 5 |
| prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1528): W 31-17: 1619+4→1623 | ||||
| next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1597): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 4 (+1) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1597 (+21) | 12-6 | at BUF (1623): Lose by 5 |
| prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1560): W 26-7: 1576+21→1597 | ||||
| next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1623): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 5 (-4) | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1591 (-56) | 12-6 | |
| prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1512): L 32-48: 1647-56→1591 | ||||
| 6 (+7) | Green Bay PackersGB | 1569 (+57) | 10-8 | at SF (1636): Lose by 13 |
| prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1647): W 48-32: 1512+57→1569 | ||||
| next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1636): Lose by 13 points | ||||
| 7 | Detroit LionsDET | 1555 (-5) | 13-5 | vs TB (1531): Win by 6 |
| prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1533): W 24-23: 1560-5→1555 | ||||
| next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1531): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 8 | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1553 | 9-8 | |
| 9 (-3) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1539 (-21) | 11-7 | |
| prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1576): L 7-26: 1560-21→1539 | ||||
| 10 | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1538 (+5) | 10-8 | |
| prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1560): L 23-24: 1533+5→1538 | ||||
| 11 (-2) | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1535 | 9-8 | |
| 12 (+4) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1531 (+33) | 10-8 | at DET (1555): Lose by 6 |
| prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1522): W 32-9: 1498+33→1531 | ||||
| next: at Detroit LionsDET (1555): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 13 (+5) | Houston TexansHOU | 1525 (+38) | 11-7 | at BAL (1638): Lose by 17 |
| prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1506): W 45-14: 1487+38→1525 | ||||
| next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1638): Lose by 17 points | ||||
| 14 (-3) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1524 (-4) | 10-8 | |
| prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1619): L 17-31: 1528-4→1524 | ||||
| 15 (-1) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1509 | 9-8 | |
| 16 (+1) | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1494 | 9-8 | |
| 17 (-5) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1489 (-33) | 11-7 | |
| prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1498): L 9-32: 1522-33→1489 | ||||
| 18 (+1) | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1486 | 8-9 | |
| 19 (+1) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1478 | 7-10 | |
| 20 (+1) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1473 | 5-12 | |
| 21 (+1) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1468 | 8-9 | |
| 22 (-7) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1467 (-39) | 11-7 | |
| prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1487): L 14-45: 1506-39→1467 | ||||
| 23 | Chicago BearsCHI | 1461 | 7-10 | |
| 24 | New York GiantsNYG | 1448 | 6-11 | |
| 25 | New York JetsNYJ | 1445 | 7-10 | |
| 26 | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1440 | 9-8 | |
| 27 | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1438 | 6-11 | |
| 28 | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1414 | 4-13 | |
| 29 | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1411 | 7-10 | |
| 30 | New England PatriotsNE | 1408 | 4-13 | |
| 31 | Washington CommandersWAS | 1365 | 4-13 | |
| 32 | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1349 | 2-15 | |
Favorites: | ||||
| BAL, BUF, DET, SF | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2023 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (+2) | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1647 (+17) | 12-5 | vs GB (1512): Win by 16 |
| prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1382): W 38-10: 1630+17→1647 | ||||
| next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1512): Win by 16 points | ||||
| 2 (-1) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1638 (-36) | 13-4 | bye |
| prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1493): L 10-17: 1674-36→1638 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 3 (-1) | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1636 (-28) | 12-5 | bye |
| prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1505): L 20-21: 1664-28→1636 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 4 | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1619 (+16) | 11-6 | vs PIT (1528): Win by 11 |
| prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1577): W 21-14: 1603+16→1619 | ||||
| next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1528): Win by 11 points | ||||
| 5 (+1) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1576 (+4) | 11-6 | vs MIA (1560): Win by 5 |
| prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1477): W 13-12: 1572+4→1576 | ||||
| next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1560): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 6 (-1) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1560 (-17) | 11-6 | at KC (1576): Lose by 5 |
| prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1603): L 14-21: 1577-17→1560 | ||||
| next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1576): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 7 | Detroit LionsDET | 1560 (+2) | 12-5 | vs LAR (1533): Win by 6 |
| prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1481): W 30-20: 1558+2→1560 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1533): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 8 (+1) | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1553 (+20) | 9-8 | |
| prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1526): W 31-14: 1533+20→1553 | ||||
| 9 (+3) | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1535 (+24) | 9-8 | |
| prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1435): W 48-17: 1511+24→1535 | ||||
| 10 (+4) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1533 (+28) | 10-7 | at DET (1560): Lose by 6 |
| prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1664): W 21-20: 1505+28→1533 | ||||
| next: at Detroit LionsDET (1560): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 11 (+4) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1528 (+35) | 10-7 | at BUF (1619): Lose by 11 |
| prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1674): W 17-10: 1493+35→1528 | ||||
| next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1619): Lose by 11 points | ||||
| 12 (-4) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1522 (-34) | 11-6 | at TB (1498): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1414): L 10-27: 1556-34→1522 | ||||
| next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1498): Slight underdog | ||||
| 13 | Green Bay PackersGB | 1512 (+3) | 9-8 | at DAL (1647): Lose by 16 |
| prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1464): W 17-9: 1509+3→1512 | ||||
| next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1647): Lose by 16 points | ||||
| 14 (-4) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1509 (-19) | 9-8 | |
| prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1419): L 20-28: 1528-19→1509 | ||||
| 15 (-4) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1506 (-20) | 11-6 | at HOU (1487): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1533): L 14-31: 1526-20→1506 | ||||
| next: at Houston TexansHOU (1487): Slight underdog | ||||
| 16 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1498 (+8) | 9-8 | vs PHI (1522): Slight fav |
| prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1357): W 9-0: 1490+8→1498 | ||||
| next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1522): Slight favorite | ||||
| 17 | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1494 (+7) | 9-8 | |
| prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1420): W 21-20: 1487+7→1494 | ||||
| 18 (+3) | Houston TexansHOU | 1487 (+12) | 10-7 | vs CLE (1506): Slight fav |
| prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1452): W 23-19: 1475+12→1487 | ||||
| next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1506): Slight favorite | ||||
| 19 (+3) | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1486 (+16) | 8-9 | |
| prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1484): W 27-14: 1470+16→1486 | ||||
| 20 (-1) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1478 (-3) | 7-10 | |
| prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1558): L 20-30: 1481-3→1478 | ||||
| 21 (-1) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1473 (-4) | 5-12 | |
| prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1572): L 12-13: 1477-4→1473 | ||||
| 22 (-4) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1468 (-16) | 8-9 | |
| prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1470): L 14-27: 1484-16→1468 | ||||
| 23 | Chicago BearsCHI | 1461 (-3) | 7-10 | |
| prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1509): L 9-17: 1464-3→1461 | ||||
| 24 (+6) | New York GiantsNYG | 1448 (+34) | 6-11 | |
| prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1556): W 27-10: 1414+34→1448 | ||||
| 25 (+4) | New York JetsNYJ | 1445 (+28) | 7-10 | |
| prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1437): W 17-3: 1417+28→1445 | ||||
| 26 (-2) | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1440 (-12) | 9-8 | |
| prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1475): L 19-23: 1452-12→1440 | ||||
| 27 (+1) | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1438 (+19) | 6-11 | |
| prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1528): W 28-20: 1419+19→1438 | ||||
| 28 (-1) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1414 (-6) | 4-13 | |
| prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1487): L 20-21: 1420-6→1414 | ||||
| 29 (-3) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1411 (-24) | 7-10 | |
| prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1511): L 17-48: 1435-24→1411 | ||||
| 30 (-5) | New England PatriotsNE | 1408 (-29) | 4-13 | |
| prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1417): L 3-17: 1437-29→1408 | ||||
| 31 | Washington CommandersWAS | 1365 (-17) | 4-13 | |
| prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1630): L 10-38: 1382-17→1365 | ||||
| 32 | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1349 (-8) | 2-15 | |
| prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1490): L 0-9: 1357-8→1349 | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| BUF, DAL, DET, HOU, KC, TB | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2023 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (+1) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1674 (+10) | 13-3 | vs PIT (1493): Win by 15 |
| prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1587): W 56-19: 1664+10→1674 | ||||
| next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1493): Win by 15 points | ||||
| 2 (-1) | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1664 | 12-4 | vs LAR (1505): Win by 13 |
| prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1381): W 27-10: 1664-0→1664 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1505): Win by 13 points | ||||
| 3 | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1630 (-6) | 11-5 | at WAS (1382): Win by 12 |
| prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1552): W 20-19: 1636-6→1630 | ||||
| next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1382): Win by 12 points | ||||
| 4 | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1603 (-9) | 10-6 | at MIA (1577): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1427): W 27-21: 1612-9→1603 | ||||
| next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1577): Slight underdog | ||||
| 5 | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1577 (-10) | 11-5 | vs BUF (1603): Slight fav |
| prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1664): L 19-56: 1587-10→1577 | ||||
| next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1603): Slight favorite | ||||
| 6 (+1) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1572 (+2) | 10-6 | at LAC (1477): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1535): W 25-17: 1570+2→1572 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1477): Slight favorite | ||||
| 7 (+1) | Detroit LionsDET | 1558 (+6) | 11-5 | vs MIN (1481): Win by 8 |
| prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1636): L 19-20: 1552+6→1558 | ||||
| next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1481): Win by 8 points | ||||
| 8 (-2) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1556 (-29) | 11-5 | at NYG (1414): Win by 4 |
| prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1391): L 31-35: 1585-29→1556 | ||||
| next: at New York GiantsNYG (1414): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 9 | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1533 (-2) | 8-8 | vs CLE (1526): Slight fav |
| prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1570): L 17-25: 1535-2→1533 | ||||
| next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1526): Slight favorite | ||||
| 10 (+1) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1528 (+8) | 9-7 | at TEN (1419): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1366): W 26-0: 1520+8→1528 | ||||
| next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1419): Slight favorite | ||||
| 11 (-1) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1526 (+2) | 11-5 | at CIN (1533): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1419): W 37-20: 1524+2→1526 | ||||
| next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1533): Slight underdog | ||||
| 12 (+4) | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1511 (+19) | 8-8 | vs ATL (1435): Win by 8 |
| prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1509): W 23-13: 1492+19→1511 | ||||
| next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1435): Win by 8 points | ||||
| 13 (+6) | Green Bay PackersGB | 1509 (+35) | 8-8 | vs CHI (1464): Win by 6 |
| prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1516): W 33-10: 1474+35→1509 | ||||
| next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1464): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 14 | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1505 (-2) | 9-7 | at SF (1664): Lose by 13 |
| prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1413): W 26-25: 1507-2→1505 | ||||
| next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1664): Lose by 13 points | ||||
| 15 (+5) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1493 (+19) | 9-7 | at BAL (1674): Lose by 15 |
| prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1506): W 30-23: 1474+19→1493 | ||||
| next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1674): Lose by 15 points | ||||
| 16 (-3) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1490 (-19) | 8-8 | at CAR (1357): Win by 4 |
| prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1492): L 13-23: 1509-19→1490 | ||||
| next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1357): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 17 (-2) | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1487 (-19) | 8-8 | at ARI (1420): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1474): L 23-30: 1506-19→1487 | ||||
| next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1420): Slight favorite | ||||
| 18 | Denver BroncosDEN | 1484 (+6) | 8-8 | at LV (1470): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1483): W 16-9: 1478+6→1484 | ||||
| next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1470): Slight underdog | ||||
| 19 (-7) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1481 (-35) | 7-9 | at DET (1558): Lose by 8 |
| prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1474): L 10-33: 1516-35→1481 | ||||
| next: at Detroit LionsDET (1558): Lose by 8 points | ||||
| 20 (-3) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1477 (-6) | 5-11 | vs KC (1572): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1478): L 9-16: 1483-6→1477 | ||||
| next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1572): Slight underdog | ||||
| 21 (+2) | Houston TexansHOU | 1475 (+20) | 9-7 | at IND (1452): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1439): W 26-3: 1455+20→1475 | ||||
| next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1452): Slight underdog | ||||
| 22 (-1) | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1470 (-2) | 7-9 | vs DEN (1484): Slight fav |
| prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1450): L 20-23: 1472-2→1470 | ||||
| next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1484): Slight favorite | ||||
| 23 (+2) | Chicago BearsCHI | 1464 (+20) | 7-9 | at GB (1509): Lose by 6 |
| prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1455): W 37-17: 1444+20→1464 | ||||
| next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1509): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 24 | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1452 (+2) | 9-7 | vs HOU (1475): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1472): W 23-20: 1450+2→1452 | ||||
| next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1475): Slight favorite | ||||
| 25 (+2) | New England PatriotsNE | 1437 (+10) | 4-12 | vs NYJ (1417): Slight fav |
| prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1612): L 21-27: 1427+10→1437 | ||||
| next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1417): Slight favorite | ||||
| 26 (-4) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1435 (-20) | 7-9 | at NO (1511): Lose by 8 |
| prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1444): L 17-37: 1455-20→1435 | ||||
| next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1511): Lose by 8 points | ||||
| 27 (+3) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1420 (+29) | 4-12 | vs SEA (1487): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1585): W 35-31: 1391+29→1420 | ||||
| next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1487): Slight underdog | ||||
| 28 (-2) | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1419 (-20) | 5-11 | vs JAX (1528): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1455): L 3-26: 1439-20→1419 | ||||
| next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1528): Slight underdog | ||||
| 29 (-1) | New York JetsNYJ | 1417 (-2) | 6-10 | at NE (1437): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1524): L 20-37: 1419-2→1417 | ||||
| next: at New England PatriotsNE (1437): Slight underdog | ||||
| 30 (-1) | New York GiantsNYG | 1414 (+1) | 5-11 | vs PHI (1556): Lose by 4 |
| prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1507): L 25-26: 1413+1→1414 | ||||
| next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1556): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 31 | Washington CommandersWAS | 1382 (+1) | 4-12 | vs DAL (1630): Lose by 12 |
| prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1664): L 10-27: 1381+1→1382 | ||||
| next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1630): Lose by 12 points | ||||
| 32 | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1357 (-9) | 2-14 | vs TB (1490): Lose by 4 |
| prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1520): L 0-26: 1366-9→1357 | ||||
| next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1490): Lose by 4 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| BAL, CIN, DAL, DET, GB, IND, JAX, KC, | ||||
| LV, MIA, NE, NO, PHI, SEA, SF, TB | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2023 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1664 (-23) | 11-4 | at WAS (1381): Win by 18 |
| prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1641): L 19-33: 1687-23→1664 | ||||
| next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1381): Win by 18 points | ||||
| 2 (+1) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1664 (+23) | 12-3 | vs MIA (1587): Win by 9 |
| prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1687): W 33-19: 1641+23→1664 | ||||
| next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1587): Win by 9 points | ||||
| 3 (-1) | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1636 (-6) | 10-5 | vs DET (1552): Win by 10 |
| prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1582): L 20-22: 1642-6→1636 | ||||
| next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1552): Win by 10 points | ||||
| 4 | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1612 (-2) | 9-6 | vs NE (1427): Win by 15 |
| prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1482): W 24-22: 1614-2→1612 | ||||
| next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1427): Win by 15 points | ||||
| 5 (+2) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1587 (+5) | 11-4 | at BAL (1664): Lose by 9 |
| prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1642): W 22-20: 1582+5→1587 | ||||
| next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1664): Lose by 9 points | ||||
| 6 (-1) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1585 (-5) | 11-4 | vs ARI (1391): Win by 18 |
| prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1408): W 33-25: 1590-5→1585 | ||||
| next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1391): Win by 18 points | ||||
| 7 (-1) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1570 (-19) | 9-6 | vs CIN (1535): Win by 5 |
| prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1453): L 14-20: 1589-19→1570 | ||||
| next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1535): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 8 (+1) | Detroit LionsDET | 1552 (+11) | 11-4 | at DAL (1636): Lose by 10 |
| prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1526): W 30-24: 1541+11→1552 | ||||
| next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1636): Lose by 10 points | ||||
| 9 (-1) | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1535 (-24) | 8-7 | at KC (1570): Lose by 5 |
| prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1449): L 11-34: 1559-24→1535 | ||||
| next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1570): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 10 (+2) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1524 (+16) | 10-5 | vs NYJ (1419): Win by 11 |
| prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1471): W 36-22: 1508+16→1524 | ||||
| next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1419): Win by 11 points | ||||
| 11 (-1) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1520 (-18) | 8-7 | vs CAR (1366): Win by 16 |
| prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1491): L 12-30: 1538-18→1520 | ||||
| next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1366): Win by 16 points | ||||
| 12 (-1) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1516 (-10) | 7-8 | vs GB (1474): Win by 5 |
| prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1541): L 24-30: 1526-10→1516 | ||||
| next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1474): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 13 (+4) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1509 (+18) | 8-7 | vs NO (1492): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1538): W 30-12: 1491+18→1509 | ||||
| next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1492): Slight favorite | ||||
| 14 | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1507 (+5) | 8-7 | at NYG (1413): Win by 5 |
| prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1498): W 30-22: 1502+5→1507 | ||||
| next: at New York GiantsNYG (1413): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 15 (-2) | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1506 (+3) | 8-7 | vs PIT (1474): Win by 5 |
| prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1443): W 20-17: 1503+3→1506 | ||||
| next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1474): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 16 (-1) | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1492 (-6) | 7-8 | at TB (1509): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1502): L 22-30: 1498-6→1492 | ||||
| next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1509): Slight underdog | ||||
| 17 (+1) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1483 (+1) | 5-10 | at DEN (1478): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1614): L 22-24: 1482+1→1483 | ||||
| next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1478): Slight underdog | ||||
| 18 (-2) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1478 (-15) | 7-8 | vs LAC (1483): Slight fav |
| prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1412): L 23-26: 1493-15→1478 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1483): Slight favorite | ||||
| 19 | Green Bay PackersGB | 1474 (-1) | 7-8 | at MIN (1516): Lose by 5 |
| prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1364): W 33-30: 1475-1→1474 | ||||
| next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1516): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 20 (+3) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1474 (+25) | 8-7 | at SEA (1506): Lose by 5 |
| prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1559): W 34-11: 1449+25→1474 | ||||
| next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1506): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 21 (+1) | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1472 (+19) | 7-8 | at IND (1450): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1589): W 20-14: 1453+19→1472 | ||||
| next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1450): Slight underdog | ||||
| 22 (+4) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1455 (+18) | 7-8 | at CHI (1444): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1468): W 29-10: 1437+18→1455 | ||||
| next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1444): Slight underdog | ||||
| 23 (-3) | Houston TexansHOU | 1455 (-16) | 8-7 | vs TEN (1439): Win by 4 |
| prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1508): L 22-36: 1471-16→1455 | ||||
| next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1439): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 24 (-3) | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1450 (-18) | 8-7 | vs LV (1472): Slight fav |
| prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1437): L 10-29: 1468-18→1450 | ||||
| next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1472): Slight favorite | ||||
| 25 | Chicago BearsCHI | 1444 (+5) | 6-9 | vs ATL (1455): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1396): W 27-16: 1439+5→1444 | ||||
| next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1455): Slight favorite | ||||
| 26 (-2) | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1439 (-4) | 5-10 | at HOU (1455): Lose by 4 |
| prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1503): L 17-20: 1443-4→1439 | ||||
| next: at Houston TexansHOU (1455): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 27 (+1) | New England PatriotsNE | 1427 (+15) | 4-11 | at BUF (1612): Lose by 15 |
| prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1493): W 26-23: 1412+15→1427 | ||||
| next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1612): Lose by 15 points | ||||
| 28 (-1) | New York JetsNYJ | 1419 (-3) | 6-9 | at CLE (1524): Lose by 11 |
| prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1378): W 30-28: 1422-3→1419 | ||||
| next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1524): Lose by 11 points | ||||
| 29 | New York GiantsNYG | 1413 (+5) | 5-10 | vs LAR (1507): Lose by 5 |
| prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1590): L 25-33: 1408+5→1413 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1507): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 30 | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1391 (-5) | 3-12 | at PHI (1585): Lose by 18 |
| prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1439): L 16-27: 1396-5→1391 | ||||
| next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1585): Lose by 18 points | ||||
| 31 | Washington CommandersWAS | 1381 (+3) | 4-11 | vs SF (1664): Lose by 18 |
| prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1422): L 28-30: 1378+3→1381 | ||||
| next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1664): Lose by 18 points | ||||
| 32 | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1366 (+2) | 2-13 | at JAX (1520): Lose by 16 |
| prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1475): L 30-33: 1364+2→1366 | ||||
| next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1520): Lose by 16 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| BAL, BUF, CHI, CLE, DAL, DEN, HOU, IND, | ||||
| JAX, KC, LAR, MIN, PHI, SEA, SF, TB | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2023 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1687 (+4) | 11-3 | vs BAL (1641): Win by 6 |
| prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1400): W 45-29: 1683+4→1687 | ||||
| next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1641): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 2 | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1642 (-16) | 10-4 | at MIA (1582): Slight fav |
| prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1597): L 10-31: 1658-16→1642 | ||||
| next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1582): Slight favorite | ||||
| 3 | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1641 (+11) | 11-3 | at SF (1687): Lose by 6 |
| prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1549): W 23-7: 1630+11→1641 | ||||
| next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1687): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 4 | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1614 (+17) | 8-6 | at LAC (1482): Win by 4 |
| prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1658): W 31-10: 1597+17→1614 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1482): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 5 | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1590 (-7) | 10-4 | vs NYG (1408): Win by 13 |
| prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1496): L 17-20: 1597-7→1590 | ||||
| next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1408): Win by 13 points | ||||
| 6 | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1589 (+2) | 9-5 | vs LV (1453): Win by 9 |
| prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1414): W 27-17: 1587+2→1589 | ||||
| next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1453): Win by 9 points | ||||
| 7 | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1582 (+11) | 10-4 | vs DAL (1642): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1433): W 30-0: 1571+11→1582 | ||||
| next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1642): Slight underdog | ||||
| 8 | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1559 (-3) | 8-6 | at PIT (1449): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1524): W 27-24(OT): 1562-3→1559 | ||||
| next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1449): Slight favorite | ||||
| 9 (+1) | Detroit LionsDET | 1541 (+13) | 10-4 | at MIN (1526): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1506): W 42-17: 1528+13→1541 | ||||
| next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1526): Slight underdog | ||||
| 10 (-1) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1538 (-11) | 8-6 | at TB (1491): Tossup |
| prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1630): L 7-23: 1549-11→1538 | ||||
| next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1491): Tossup | ||||
| 11 | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1526 (+2) | 7-7 | vs DET (1541): Slight fav |
| prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1562): L 24-27(OT): 1524+2→1526 | ||||
| next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1541): Slight favorite | ||||
| 12 | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1508 (-4) | 9-5 | at HOU (1471): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1434): W 20-17: 1512-4→1508 | ||||
| next: at Houston TexansHOU (1471): Slight underdog | ||||
| 13 (+3) | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1503 (+7) | 7-7 | at TEN (1443): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1597): W 20-17: 1496+7→1503 | ||||
| next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1443): Slight favorite | ||||
| 14 (+1) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1502 (-1) | 7-7 | vs NO (1498): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1376): W 28-20: 1503-1→1502 | ||||
| next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1498): Slight favorite | ||||
| 15 (+2) | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1498 (+7) | 7-7 | at LAR (1502): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1415): W 24-6: 1491+7→1498 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1502): Slight underdog | ||||
| 16 (-3) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1493 (-13) | 7-7 | vs NE (1412): Win by 9 |
| prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1528): L 17-42: 1506-13→1493 | ||||
| next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1412): Win by 9 points | ||||
| 17 (+2) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1491 (+15) | 7-7 | vs JAX (1538): Tossup |
| prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1490): W 34-20: 1476+15→1491 | ||||
| next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1538): Tossup | ||||
| 18 (-4) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1482 (-23) | 5-9 | vs BUF (1614): Lose by 4 |
| prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1430): L 21-63: 1505-23→1482 | ||||
| next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1614): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 19 (-1) | Green Bay PackersGB | 1475 (-15) | 6-8 | at CAR (1364): Win by 4 |
| prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1476): L 20-34: 1490-15→1475 | ||||
| next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1364): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 20 | Houston TexansHOU | 1471 (+5) | 8-6 | vs CLE (1508): Slight fav |
| prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1447): W 19-16(OT): 1466+5→1471 | ||||
| next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1508): Slight favorite | ||||
| 21 (+1) | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1468 (+12) | 8-6 | at ATL (1437): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1461): W 30-13: 1456+12→1468 | ||||
| next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1437): Slight underdog | ||||
| 22 (+5) | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1453 (+23) | 6-8 | at KC (1589): Lose by 9 |
| prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1505): W 63-21: 1430+23→1453 | ||||
| next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1589): Lose by 9 points | ||||
| 23 (-2) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1449 (-12) | 7-7 | vs CIN (1559): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1456): L 13-30: 1461-12→1449 | ||||
| next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1559): Slight underdog | ||||
| 24 (-1) | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1443 (-4) | 5-9 | vs SEA (1503): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1466): L 16-19(OT): 1447-4→1443 | ||||
| next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1503): Slight underdog | ||||
| 25 | Chicago BearsCHI | 1439 (+5) | 5-9 | vs ARI (1396): Win by 6 |
| prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1512): L 17-20: 1434+5→1439 | ||||
| next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1396): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 26 (-2) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1437 (-5) | 6-8 | vs IND (1468): Slight fav |
| prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1360): L 7-9: 1442-5→1437 | ||||
| next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1468): Slight favorite | ||||
| 27 (-1) | New York JetsNYJ | 1422 (-11) | 5-9 | vs WAS (1378): Win by 6 |
| prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1571): L 0-30: 1433-11→1422 | ||||
| next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1378): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 28 (+1) | New England PatriotsNE | 1412 (-2) | 3-11 | at DEN (1493): Lose by 9 |
| prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1587): L 17-27: 1414-2→1412 | ||||
| next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1493): Lose by 9 points | ||||
| 29 (-1) | New York GiantsNYG | 1408 (-7) | 5-9 | at PHI (1590): Lose by 13 |
| prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1491): L 6-24: 1415-7→1408 | ||||
| next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1590): Lose by 13 points | ||||
| 30 | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1396 (-4) | 3-11 | at CHI (1439): Lose by 6 |
| prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1683): L 29-45: 1400-4→1396 | ||||
| next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1439): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 31 | Washington CommandersWAS | 1378 (+2) | 4-10 | at NYJ (1422): Lose by 6 |
| prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1503): L 20-28: 1376+2→1378 | ||||
| next: at New York JetsNYJ (1422): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 32 | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1364 (+4) | 2-12 | vs GB (1475): Lose by 4 |
| prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1442): W 9-7: 1360+4→1364 | ||||
| next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1475): Lose by 4 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| ATL, BUF, CHI, CIN, DAL, DEN, GB, HOU, | ||||
| JAX, KC, LAR, MIN, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2023 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1683 (+1) | 10-3 | at ARI (1400): Win by 10 |
| prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1497): W 28-16: 1682+1→1683 | ||||
| next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1400): Win by 10 points | ||||
| 2 | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1658 (+11) | 10-3 | at BUF (1597): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1608): W 33-13: 1647+11→1658 | ||||
| next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1597): Slight favorite | ||||
| 3 | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1630 (-11) | 10-3 | at JAX (1549): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1493): W 37-31(OT): 1641-11→1630 | ||||
| next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1549): Slight favorite | ||||
| 4 (+2) | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1597 (+5) | 7-6 | vs DAL (1658): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1593): W 20-17: 1592+5→1597 | ||||
| next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1658): Slight underdog | ||||
| 5 (-1) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1597 (-11) | 10-3 | at SEA (1496): Slight fav |
| prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1647): L 13-33: 1608-11→1597 | ||||
| next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1496): Slight favorite | ||||
| 6 (-1) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1587 (-6) | 8-5 | at NE (1414): Win by 7 |
| prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1592): L 17-20: 1593-6→1587 | ||||
| next: at New England PatriotsNE (1414): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 7 | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1571 (-17) | 9-4 | vs NYJ (1433): Win by 10 |
| prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1430): L 27-28: 1588-17→1571 | ||||
| next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1433): Win by 10 points | ||||
| 8 (+1) | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1562 (+9) | 7-6 | vs MIN (1524): Win by 5 |
| prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1465): W 34-14: 1553+9→1562 | ||||
| next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1524): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 9 (-1) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1549 (-4) | 8-5 | vs BAL (1630): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1508): L 27-31: 1553-4→1549 | ||||
| next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1630): Slight underdog | ||||
| 10 | Detroit LionsDET | 1528 (-16) | 9-4 | vs DEN (1506): Win by 4 |
| prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1418): L 13-28: 1544-16→1528 | ||||
| next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1506): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 11 (+1) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1524 | 7-6 | at CIN (1562): Lose by 5 |
| prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1431): W 3-0: 1524+0→1524 | ||||
| next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1562): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 12 (+1) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1512 (+4) | 8-5 | vs CHI (1434): Win by 8 |
| prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1553): W 31-27: 1508+4→1512 | ||||
| next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1434): Win by 8 points | ||||
| 13 (+5) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1506 (+21) | 7-6 | at DET (1528): Lose by 4 |
| prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1526): W 24-7: 1485+21→1506 | ||||
| next: at Detroit LionsDET (1528): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 14 (-3) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1505 (-21) | 5-8 | at LV (1430): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1485): L 7-24: 1526-21→1505 | ||||
| next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1430): Slight favorite | ||||
| 15 (+1) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1503 (+10) | 6-7 | vs WAS (1376): Win by 10 |
| prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1641): L 31-37(OT): 1493+10→1503 | ||||
| next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1376): Win by 10 points | ||||
| 16 (-2) | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1496 (-1) | 6-7 | vs PHI (1597): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1682): L 16-28: 1497-1→1496 | ||||
| next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1597): Slight underdog | ||||
| 17 (+2) | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1491 (+10) | 6-7 | vs NYG (1415): Win by 9 |
| prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1370): W 28-6: 1481+10→1491 | ||||
| next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1415): Win by 9 points | ||||
| 18 (-3) | Green Bay PackersGB | 1490 (-6) | 6-7 | vs TB (1476): Slight fav |
| prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1409): L 22-24: 1496-6→1490 | ||||
| next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1476): Slight favorite | ||||
| 19 (+2) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1476 (+8) | 6-7 | at GB (1490): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1449): W 29-25: 1468+8→1476 | ||||
| next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1490): Slight underdog | ||||
| 20 (-3) | Houston TexansHOU | 1466 (-22) | 7-6 | at TEN (1447): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1411): L 6-30: 1488-22→1466 | ||||
| next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1447): Slight underdog | ||||
| 21 (-1) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1461 (-12) | 7-6 | at IND (1456): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1402): L 18-21: 1473-12→1461 | ||||
| next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1456): Slight underdog | ||||
| 22 | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1456 (-9) | 7-6 | vs PIT (1461): Slight fav |
| prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1553): L 14-34: 1465-9→1456 | ||||
| next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1461): Slight favorite | ||||
| 23 (+2) | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1447 (+17) | 5-8 | vs HOU (1466): Slight fav |
| prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1588): W 28-27: 1430+17→1447 | ||||
| next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1466): Slight favorite | ||||
| 24 (-1) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1442 (-7) | 6-7 | at CAR (1360): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1468): L 25-29: 1449-7→1442 | ||||
| next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1360): Slight favorite | ||||
| 25 (+1) | Chicago BearsCHI | 1434 (+16) | 5-8 | at CLE (1512): Lose by 8 |
| prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1544): W 28-13: 1418+16→1434 | ||||
| next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1512): Lose by 8 points | ||||
| 26 (+1) | New York JetsNYJ | 1433 (+22) | 5-8 | at MIA (1571): Lose by 10 |
| prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1488): W 30-6: 1411+22→1433 | ||||
| next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1571): Lose by 10 points | ||||
| 27 (-3) | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1430 (-1) | 5-8 | vs LAC (1505): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1524): L 0-3: 1431-1→1430 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1505): Slight underdog | ||||
| 28 | New York GiantsNYG | 1415 (+6) | 5-8 | at NO (1491): Lose by 9 |
| prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1496): W 24-22: 1409+6→1415 | ||||
| next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1491): Lose by 9 points | ||||
| 29 | New England PatriotsNE | 1414 (+12) | 3-10 | vs KC (1587): Lose by 7 |
| prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1473): W 21-18: 1402+12→1414 | ||||
| next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1587): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 30 | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1400 | 3-10 | vs SF (1683): Lose by 10 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1683): Lose by 10 points | ||||
| 31 | Washington CommandersWAS | 1376 | 4-9 | at LAR (1503): Lose by 10 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1503): Lose by 10 points | ||||
| 32 | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1360 (-10) | 1-12 | vs ATL (1442): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1481): L 6-28: 1370-10→1360 | ||||
| next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1442): Slight underdog | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| ATL, BAL, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, IND, | ||||
| KC, LAC, LAR, MIA, NO, PHI, SF, TEN | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2023 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1682 (+22) | 9-3 | vs SEA (1497): Win by 11 |
| prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1630): W 42-19: 1660+22→1682 | ||||
| next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1497): Win by 11 points | ||||
| 2 | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1647 (-7) | 9-3 | vs PHI (1608): Win by 5 |
| prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1490): W 41-35: 1654-7→1647 | ||||
| next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1608): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 3 | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1641 | 9-3 | vs LAR (1493): Win by 14 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1493): Win by 14 points | ||||
| 4 | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1608 (-22) | 10-2 | at DAL (1647): Lose by 5 |
| prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1660): L 19-42: 1630-22→1608 | ||||
| next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1647): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 5 | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1593 (-15) | 8-4 | vs BUF (1592): Slight fav |
| prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1481): L 19-27: 1608-15→1593 | ||||
| next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1592): Slight favorite | ||||
| 6 | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1592 | 6-6 | at KC (1593): Slight 'dog |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1593): Slight underdog | ||||
| 7 | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1588 (+17) | 9-3 | vs TEN (1430): Win by 14 |
| prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1393): W 45-15: 1571+17→1588 | ||||
| next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1430): Win by 14 points | ||||
| 8 | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1553 (-9) | 8-4 | at CLE (1508): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1544): L 31-34(OT): 1562-9→1553 | ||||
| next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1508): Slight underdog | ||||
| 9 | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1553 (+9) | 6-6 | vs IND (1465): Win by 8 |
| prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1562): W 34-31(OT): 1544+9→1553 | ||||
| next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1465): Win by 8 points | ||||
| 10 | Detroit LionsDET | 1544 (+5) | 9-3 | at CHI (1418): Slight fav |
| prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1486): W 33-28: 1539+5→1544 | ||||
| next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1418): Slight favorite | ||||
| 11 (+1) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1526 (+2) | 5-7 | vs DEN (1485): Win by 4 |
| prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1404): W 6-0: 1524+2→1526 | ||||
| next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1485): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 12 (+1) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1524 | 6-6 | at LV (1431): Slight fav |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1431): Slight favorite | ||||
| 13 (-2) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1508 (-18) | 7-5 | vs JAX (1553): Slight fav |
| prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1475): L 19-36: 1526-18→1508 | ||||
| next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1553): Slight favorite | ||||
| 14 (+1) | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1497 (+7) | 6-6 | at SF (1682): Lose by 11 |
| prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1654): L 35-41: 1490+7→1497 | ||||
| next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1682): Lose by 11 points | ||||
| 15 (+4) | Green Bay PackersGB | 1496 (+15) | 6-6 | at NYG (1409): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1608): W 27-19: 1481+15→1496 | ||||
| next: at New York GiantsNYG (1409): Slight favorite | ||||
| 16 (+4) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1493 (+18) | 6-6 | at BAL (1641): Lose by 14 |
| prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1526): W 36-19: 1475+18→1493 | ||||
| next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1641): Lose by 14 points | ||||
| 17 (+1) | Houston TexansHOU | 1488 (+3) | 7-5 | at NYJ (1411): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1489): W 22-17: 1485+3→1488 | ||||
| next: at New York JetsNYJ (1411): Slight favorite | ||||
| 18 (-2) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1485 (-4) | 6-6 | at LAC (1526): Lose by 4 |
| prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1485): L 17-22: 1489-4→1485 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1526): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 19 (-2) | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1481 (-5) | 5-7 | vs CAR (1370): Win by 8 |
| prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1539): L 28-33: 1486-5→1481 | ||||
| next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1370): Win by 8 points | ||||
| 20 (-6) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1473 (-28) | 7-5 | vs NE (1402): Win by 7 |
| prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1372): L 10-24: 1501-28→1473 | ||||
| next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1402): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 21 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1468 (-5) | 5-7 | at ATL (1449): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1365): W 21-18: 1473-5→1468 | ||||
| next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1449): Slight underdog | ||||
| 22 | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1465 (+7) | 7-5 | at CIN (1553): Lose by 8 |
| prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1436): W 31-28(OT): 1458+7→1465 | ||||
| next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1553): Lose by 8 points | ||||
| 23 | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1449 (+10) | 6-6 | vs TB (1468): Slight fav |
| prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1421): W 13-8: 1439+10→1449 | ||||
| next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1468): Slight favorite | ||||
| 24 (+1) | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1431 | 5-7 | vs MIN (1524): Slight 'dog |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1524): Slight underdog | ||||
| 25 (-1) | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1430 (-6) | 4-8 | at MIA (1588): Lose by 14 |
| prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1458): L 28-31(OT): 1436-6→1430 | ||||
| next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1588): Lose by 14 points | ||||
| 26 (+1) | Chicago BearsCHI | 1418 | 4-8 | vs DET (1544): Slight 'dog |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1544): Slight underdog | ||||
| 27 (-1) | New York JetsNYJ | 1411 (-10) | 4-8 | vs HOU (1488): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1439): L 8-13: 1421-10→1411 | ||||
| next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1488): Slight underdog | ||||
| 28 | New York GiantsNYG | 1409 | 4-8 | vs GB (1496): Slight 'dog |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1496): Slight underdog | ||||
| 29 | New England PatriotsNE | 1402 (-2) | 2-10 | at PIT (1473): Lose by 7 |
| prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1524): L 0-6: 1404-2→1402 | ||||
| next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1473): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 30 (+1) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1400 (+28) | 3-10 | bye |
| prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1501): W 24-10: 1372+28→1400 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 31 (-1) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1376 (-17) | 4-9 | bye |
| prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1571): L 15-45: 1393-17→1376 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 32 | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1370 (+5) | 1-11 | at NO (1481): Lose by 8 |
| prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1473): L 18-21: 1365+5→1370 | ||||
| next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1481): Lose by 8 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| ATL, BAL, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, | ||||
| KC, LAC, MIA, MIN, NO, PIT, SF | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2023 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1660 (+16) | 8-3 | at PHI (1630): Tossup |
| prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1506): W 31-13: 1644+16→1660 | ||||
| next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1630): Tossup | ||||
| 2 | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1654 (+15) | 8-3 | vs SEA (1490): Win by 13 |
| prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1408): W 45-10: 1639+15→1654 | ||||
| next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1490): Win by 13 points | ||||
| 3 | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1641 (+8) | 9-3 | bye |
| prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1531): W 20-10: 1633+8→1641 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 4 | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1630 (-2) | 10-1 | vs SF (1660): Tossup |
| prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1589): W 37-34(OT): 1632-2→1630 | ||||
| next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1660): Tossup | ||||
| 5 | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1608 (+13) | 8-3 | at GB (1481): Win by 3 |
| prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1443): W 31-17: 1595+13→1608 | ||||
| next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1481): Win by 3 points | ||||
| 6 | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1592 (+3) | 6-6 | bye |
| prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1632): L 34-37(OT): 1589+3→1592 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 7 (+3) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1571 (+20) | 8-3 | at WAS (1393): Win by 8 |
| prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1442): W 34-13: 1551+20→1571 | ||||
| next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1393): Win by 8 points | ||||
| 8 (+1) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1562 (+5) | 8-3 | vs CIN (1544): Win by 3 |
| prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1490): W 24-21: 1557+5→1562 | ||||
| next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1544): Win by 3 points | ||||
| 9 (-2) | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1544 (-18) | 5-6 | at JAX (1562): Lose by 3 |
| prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1483): L 10-16: 1562-18→1544 | ||||
| next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1562): Lose by 3 points | ||||
| 10 (-2) | Detroit LionsDET | 1539 (-20) | 8-3 | at NO (1486): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1462): L 22-29: 1559-20→1539 | ||||
| next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1486): Slight favorite | ||||
| 11 | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1526 (-23) | 7-4 | at LAR (1475): Slight fav |
| prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1465): L 12-29: 1549-23→1526 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1475): Slight favorite | ||||
| 12 (+1) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1524 (-7) | 4-7 | at NE (1404): Win by 4 |
| prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1633): L 10-20: 1531-7→1524 | ||||
| next: at New England PatriotsNE (1404): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 13 (-1) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1524 (-17) | 6-6 | bye |
| prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1401): L 10-12: 1541-17→1524 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 14 (+3) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1501 (+18) | 7-4 | vs ARI (1372): Win by 11 |
| prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1562): W 16-10: 1483+18→1501 | ||||
| next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1372): Win by 11 points | ||||
| 15 (-1) | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1490 (-16) | 6-5 | at DAL (1654): Lose by 13 |
| prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1644): L 13-31: 1506-16→1490 | ||||
| next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1654): Lose by 13 points | ||||
| 16 (+3) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1489 (+24) | 6-5 | at HOU (1485): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1549): W 29-12: 1465+24→1489 | ||||
| next: at Houston TexansHOU (1485): Slight underdog | ||||
| 17 (-2) | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1486 (-13) | 5-6 | vs DET (1539): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1426): L 15-24: 1499-13→1486 | ||||
| next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1539): Slight underdog | ||||
| 18 (-2) | Houston TexansHOU | 1485 (-5) | 6-5 | vs DEN (1489): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1557): L 21-24: 1490-5→1485 | ||||
| next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1489): Slight favorite | ||||
| 19 (+1) | Green Bay PackersGB | 1481 (+19) | 5-6 | vs KC (1608): Lose by 3 |
| prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1559): W 29-22: 1462+19→1481 | ||||
| next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1608): Lose by 3 points | ||||
| 20 (+2) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1475 (+26) | 5-6 | vs CLE (1526): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1397): W 37-14: 1449+26→1475 | ||||
| next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1526): Slight underdog | ||||
| 21 (-3) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1473 (-7) | 4-7 | vs CAR (1365): Win by 8 |
| prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1452): L 20-27: 1480-7→1473 | ||||
| next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1365): Win by 8 points | ||||
| 22 (-1) | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1458 (+6) | 6-5 | at TEN (1436): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1480): W 27-20: 1452+6→1458 | ||||
| next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1436): Slight underdog | ||||
| 23 (+3) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1439 (+13) | 5-6 | at NYJ (1421): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1499): W 24-15: 1426+13→1439 | ||||
| next: at New York JetsNYJ (1421): Slight underdog | ||||
| 24 (+1) | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1436 | 4-7 | vs IND (1458): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1366): W 17-10: 1436+0→1436 | ||||
| next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1458): Slight favorite | ||||
| 25 (-2) | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1431 (-12) | 5-7 | bye |
| prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1595): L 17-31: 1443-12→1431 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 26 (-2) | New York JetsNYJ | 1421 (-21) | 4-7 | vs ATL (1439): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1551): L 13-34: 1442-21→1421 | ||||
| next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1439): Slight favorite | ||||
| 27 (+3) | Chicago BearsCHI | 1418 (+17) | 4-8 | bye |
| prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1541): W 12-10: 1401+17→1418 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 28 (+1) | New York GiantsNYG | 1409 (+3) | 4-8 | bye |
| prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1407): W 10-7: 1406+3→1409 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 29 (-1) | New England PatriotsNE | 1404 (-3) | 2-9 | vs LAC (1524): Lose by 4 |
| prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1406): L 7-10: 1407-3→1404 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1524): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 30 (-3) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1393 (-15) | 4-8 | vs MIA (1571): Lose by 8 |
| prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1639): L 10-45: 1408-15→1393 | ||||
| next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1571): Lose by 8 points | ||||
| 31 | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1372 (-25) | 2-10 | at PIT (1501): Lose by 11 |
| prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1449): L 14-37: 1397-25→1372 | ||||
| next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1501): Lose by 11 points | ||||
| 32 | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1365 (-1) | 1-10 | at TB (1473): Lose by 8 |
| prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1436): L 10-17: 1366-1→1365 | ||||
| next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1473): Lose by 8 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| CLE, DAL, DET, HOU, JAX, KC, LAC, MIA, | ||||
| NYJ, PIT, SF, TB, TEN | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2023 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1644 (+1) | 7-3 | at SEA (1506): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1481): W 27-14: 1643+1→1644 | ||||
| next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1506): Slight favorite | ||||
| 2 | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1639 (+12) | 7-3 | vs WAS (1408): Win by 13 |
| prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1378): W 33-10: 1627+12→1639 | ||||
| next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1408): Win by 13 points | ||||
| 3 (+1) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1633 (+12) | 8-3 | at LAC (1531): Win by 4 |
| prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1575): W 34-20: 1621+12→1633 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1531): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 4 (-1) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1632 (+9) | 9-1 | vs BUF (1589): Win by 4 |
| prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1605): W 21-17: 1623+9→1632 | ||||
| next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1589): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 5 | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1595 (-10) | 7-3 | at LV (1443): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1623): L 17-21: 1605-10→1595 | ||||
| next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1443): Slight favorite | ||||
| 6 (+1) | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1589 (+19) | 6-5 | at PHI (1632): Lose by 4 |
| prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1461): W 32-6: 1570+19→1589 | ||||
| next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1632): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 7 (-1) | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1562 (-13) | 5-5 | vs PIT (1483): Win by 7 |
| prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1621): L 20-34: 1575-13→1562 | ||||
| next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1483): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 8 | Detroit LionsDET | 1559 (-5) | 8-2 | vs GB (1462): Win by 7 |
| prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1397): W 31-26: 1564-5→1559 | ||||
| next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1462): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 9 (+3) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1557 (+15) | 7-3 | at HOU (1490): Tossup |
| prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1451): W 34-14: 1542+15→1557 | ||||
| next: at Houston TexansHOU (1490): Tossup | ||||
| 10 (-1) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1551 (-4) | 7-3 | at NYJ (1442): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1439): W 20-13: 1555-4→1551 | ||||
| next: at New York JetsNYJ (1442): Slight favorite | ||||
| 11 (-1) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1549 (-4) | 7-3 | at DEN (1465): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1480): W 13-10: 1553-4→1549 | ||||
| next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1465): Slight favorite | ||||
| 12 (-1) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1541 (-10) | 6-5 | vs CHI (1401): Win by 9 |
| prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1454): L 20-21: 1551-10→1541 | ||||
| next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1401): Win by 9 points | ||||
| 13 | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1531 (-9) | 4-6 | vs BAL (1633): Lose by 4 |
| prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1453): L 20-23: 1540-9→1531 | ||||
| next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1633): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 14 | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1506 (-4) | 6-4 | vs SF (1644): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1445): L 16-17: 1510-4→1506 | ||||
| next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1644): Slight underdog | ||||
| 15 | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1499 | 5-5 | at ATL (1426): Slight fav |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1426): Slight favorite | ||||
| 16 | Houston TexansHOU | 1490 (-4) | 6-4 | vs JAX (1557): Tossup |
| prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1393): W 21-16: 1494-4→1490 | ||||
| next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1557): Tossup | ||||
| 17 (+1) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1483 (+3) | 6-4 | at CIN (1562): Lose by 7 |
| prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1553): L 10-13: 1480+3→1483 | ||||
| next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1562): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 18 (-1) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1480 (-1) | 4-6 | at IND (1452): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1643): L 14-27: 1481-1→1480 | ||||
| next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1452): Slight underdog | ||||
| 19 (+1) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1465 (+11) | 5-5 | vs CLE (1549): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1551): W 21-20: 1454+11→1465 | ||||
| next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1549): Slight underdog | ||||
| 20 (+1) | Green Bay PackersGB | 1462 (+9) | 4-6 | at DET (1559): Lose by 7 |
| prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1540): W 23-20: 1453+9→1462 | ||||
| next: at Detroit LionsDET (1559): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 21 (+1) | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1452 | 5-5 | vs TB (1480): Slight fav |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1480): Slight favorite | ||||
| 22 (+2) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1449 (+4) | 4-6 | at ARI (1397): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1510): W 17-16: 1445+4→1449 | ||||
| next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1397): Slight underdog | ||||
| 23 (+2) | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1443 (+4) | 5-6 | vs KC (1595): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1555): L 13-20: 1439+4→1443 | ||||
| next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1595): Slight underdog | ||||
| 24 (-5) | New York JetsNYJ | 1442 (-19) | 4-6 | vs MIA (1551): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1570): L 6-32: 1461-19→1442 | ||||
| next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1551): Slight underdog | ||||
| 25 (-2) | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1436 (-15) | 3-7 | vs CAR (1366): Win by 7 |
| prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1542): L 14-34: 1451-15→1436 | ||||
| next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1366): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 26 (+1) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1426 | 4-6 | vs NO (1499): Slight 'dog |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1499): Slight underdog | ||||
| 27 (-1) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1408 (-25) | 4-7 | at DAL (1639): Lose by 13 |
| prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1381): L 19-31: 1433-25→1408 | ||||
| next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1639): Lose by 13 points | ||||
| 28 | New England PatriotsNE | 1407 | 2-8 | at NYG (1406): Slight 'dog |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at New York GiantsNYG (1406): Slight underdog | ||||
| 29 (+2) | New York GiantsNYG | 1406 (+25) | 3-8 | vs NE (1407): Slight fav |
| prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1433): W 31-19: 1381+25→1406 | ||||
| next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1407): Slight favorite | ||||
| 30 (-1) | Chicago BearsCHI | 1401 (+4) | 3-8 | at MIN (1541): Lose by 9 |
| prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1564): L 26-31: 1397+4→1401 | ||||
| next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1541): Lose by 9 points | ||||
| 31 (-1) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1397 (+4) | 2-9 | vs LAR (1449): Slight fav |
| prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1494): L 16-21: 1393+4→1397 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1449): Slight favorite | ||||
| 32 | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1366 (-12) | 1-9 | at TEN (1436): Lose by 7 |
| prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1627): L 10-33: 1378-12→1366 | ||||
| next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1436): Lose by 7 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| ARI, BAL, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, IND, JAX, | ||||
| KC, MIA, MIN, NO, NYG, PHI, SF, TEN | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2023 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (+4) | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1643 (+39) | 6-3 | vs TB (1481): Win by 12 |
| prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1581): W 34-3: 1604+39→1643 | ||||
| next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1481): Win by 12 points | ||||
| 2 (+1) | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1627 (+19) | 6-3 | at CAR (1378): Win by 11 |
| prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1400): W 49-17: 1608+19→1627 | ||||
| next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1378): Win by 11 points | ||||
| 3 (-1) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1623 | 8-1 | at KC (1605): Slight 'dog |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1605): Slight underdog | ||||
| 4 (-3) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1621 (-18) | 7-3 | vs CIN (1575): Win by 4 |
| prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1535): L 31-33: 1639-18→1621 | ||||
| next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1575): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 5 (-1) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1605 | 7-2 | vs PHI (1623): Slight fav |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1623): Slight favorite | ||||
| 6 | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1575 (-22) | 5-4 | at BAL (1621): Lose by 4 |
| prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1472): L 27-30: 1597-22→1575 | ||||
| next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1621): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 7 | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1570 (-24) | 5-5 | vs NYJ (1461): Win by 7 |
| prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1430): L 22-24: 1594-24→1570 | ||||
| next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1461): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 8 (+1) | Detroit LionsDET | 1564 (+7) | 7-2 | vs CHI (1397): Win by 9 |
| prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1547): W 41-38: 1557+7→1564 | ||||
| next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1397): Win by 9 points | ||||
| 9 (+1) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1555 | 6-3 | vs LV (1439): Win by 10 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1439): Win by 10 points | ||||
| 10 (+3) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1553 (+18) | 6-3 | vs PIT (1480): Win by 5 |
| prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1639): W 33-31: 1535+18→1553 | ||||
| next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1480): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 11 (+1) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1551 (+5) | 6-4 | at DEN (1454): Slight fav |
| prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1504): W 27-19: 1546+5→1551 | ||||
| next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1454): Slight favorite | ||||
| 12 (-4) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1542 (-39) | 6-3 | vs TEN (1451): Win by 6 |
| prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1604): L 3-34: 1581-39→1542 | ||||
| next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1451): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 13 (-2) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1540 (-7) | 4-5 | at GB (1453): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1557): L 38-41: 1547-7→1540 | ||||
| next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1453): Slight favorite | ||||
| 14 | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1510 (-7) | 6-3 | at LAR (1445): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1426): W 29-26: 1517-7→1510 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1445): Slight underdog | ||||
| 15 | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1499 (-5) | 5-5 | bye |
| prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1546): L 19-27: 1504-5→1499 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 16 (+1) | Houston TexansHOU | 1494 (+22) | 5-4 | vs ARI (1393): Win by 8 |
| prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1597): W 30-27: 1472+22→1494 | ||||
| next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1393): Win by 8 points | ||||
| 17 (+3) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1481 (+19) | 4-5 | at SF (1643): Lose by 12 |
| prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1470): W 20-6: 1462+19→1481 | ||||
| next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1643): Lose by 12 points | ||||
| 18 (-2) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1480 (-1) | 6-3 | at CLE (1553): Lose by 5 |
| prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1451): W 23-19: 1481-1→1480 | ||||
| next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1553): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 19 | New York JetsNYJ | 1461 (-6) | 4-5 | at BUF (1570): Lose by 7 |
| prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1433): L 12-16: 1467-6→1461 | ||||
| next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1570): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 20 (+6) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1454 (+24) | 4-5 | vs MIN (1551): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1594): W 24-22: 1430+24→1454 | ||||
| next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1551): Slight underdog | ||||
| 21 | Green Bay PackersGB | 1453 (+2) | 3-6 | vs LAC (1540): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1481): L 19-23: 1451+2→1453 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1540): Slight underdog | ||||
| 22 | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1452 (+4) | 5-5 | bye |
| prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1411): W 10-6: 1448+4→1452 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 23 (-5) | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1451 (-19) | 3-6 | at JAX (1542): Lose by 6 |
| prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1462): L 6-20: 1470-19→1451 | ||||
| next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1542): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 24 (-1) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1445 | 3-6 | vs SEA (1510): Slight fav |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1510): Slight favorite | ||||
| 25 (-1) | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1439 (+6) | 5-5 | at MIA (1555): Lose by 10 |
| prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1467): W 16-12: 1433+6→1439 | ||||
| next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1555): Lose by 10 points | ||||
| 26 (+1) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1433 (+7) | 4-6 | vs NYG (1381): Win by 4 |
| prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1517): L 26-29: 1426+7→1433 | ||||
| next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1381): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 27 (-2) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1426 (-6) | 4-6 | bye |
| prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1387): L 23-25: 1432-6→1426 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 28 | New England PatriotsNE | 1407 (-4) | 2-8 | bye |
| prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1448): L 6-10: 1411-4→1407 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 29 (+1) | Chicago BearsCHI | 1397 | 3-7 | at DET (1564): Lose by 9 |
| prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1377): W 16-13: 1397-0→1397 | ||||
| next: at Detroit LionsDET (1564): Lose by 9 points | ||||
| 30 (+1) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1393 (+6) | 2-8 | at HOU (1494): Lose by 8 |
| prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1432): W 25-23: 1387+6→1393 | ||||
| next: at Houston TexansHOU (1494): Lose by 8 points | ||||
| 31 (-2) | New York GiantsNYG | 1381 (-19) | 2-8 | at WAS (1433): Lose by 4 |
| prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1608): L 17-49: 1400-19→1381 | ||||
| next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1433): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 32 | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1378 (+1) | 1-8 | vs DAL (1627): Lose by 11 |
| prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1397): L 13-16: 1377+1→1378 | ||||
| next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1627): Lose by 11 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| BAL, BUF, CLE, DAL, DET, HOU, JAX, KC, | ||||
| LAC, LAR, MIA, MIN, SF, WAS | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2023 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (+2) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1639 (+31) | 7-2 | vs CLE (1535): Win by 7 |
| prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1548): W 37-3: 1608+31→1639 | ||||
| next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1535): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 2 (-1) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1623 (+5) | 8-1 | bye |
| prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1612): W 28-23: 1618+5→1623 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 3 (-1) | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1608 (-4) | 5-3 | vs NYG (1400): Win by 12 |
| prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1618): L 23-28: 1612-4→1608 | ||||
| next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1400): Win by 12 points | ||||
| 4 (+2) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1605 (+10) | 7-2 | bye |
| prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1565): W 21-14: 1595+10→1605 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 5 | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1604 | 5-3 | at JAX (1581): Slight 'dog |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1581): Slight underdog | ||||
| 6 (+1) | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1597 (+11) | 5-3 | vs HOU (1472): Win by 10 |
| prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1604): W 24-18: 1586+11→1597 | ||||
| next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1472): Win by 10 points | ||||
| 7 (-3) | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1594 (-10) | 5-4 | vs DEN (1430): Win by 11 |
| prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1586): L 18-24: 1604-10→1594 | ||||
| next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1430): Win by 11 points | ||||
| 8 | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1581 | 6-2 | vs SF (1604): Slight fav |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1604): Slight favorite | ||||
| 9 (+1) | Detroit LionsDET | 1557 | 6-2 | at LAC (1547): Slight 'dog |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1547): Slight underdog | ||||
| 10 (-1) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1555 (-10) | 6-3 | bye |
| prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1595): L 14-21: 1565-10→1555 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 11 (+3) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1547 (+35) | 4-4 | vs DET (1557): Slight fav |
| prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1502): W 27-6: 1512+35→1547 | ||||
| next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1557): Slight favorite | ||||
| 12 | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1546 (-1) | 5-4 | vs NO (1504): Win by 5 |
| prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1431): W 31-28: 1547-1→1546 | ||||
| next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1504): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 13 | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1535 (+21) | 5-3 | at BAL (1639): Lose by 7 |
| prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1408): W 27-0: 1514+21→1535 | ||||
| next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1639): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 14 (-3) | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1517 (-31) | 5-3 | vs WAS (1426): Win by 8 |
| prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1608): L 3-37: 1548-31→1517 | ||||
| next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1426): Win by 8 points | ||||
| 15 | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1504 (-3) | 5-4 | at MIN (1546): Lose by 5 |
| prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1394): W 24-17: 1507-3→1504 | ||||
| next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1546): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 16 (+1) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1481 (+3) | 5-3 | vs GB (1451): Win by 5 |
| prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1473): W 20-16: 1478+3→1481 | ||||
| next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1451): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 17 (+3) | Houston TexansHOU | 1472 (+3) | 4-4 | at CIN (1597): Lose by 10 |
| prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1466): W 39-37: 1469+3→1472 | ||||
| next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1597): Lose by 10 points | ||||
| 18 | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1470 (-3) | 3-5 | at TB (1462): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1478): L 16-20: 1473-3→1470 | ||||
| next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1462): Slight underdog | ||||
| 19 (-3) | New York JetsNYJ | 1467 (-35) | 4-4 | at LV (1433): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1512): L 6-27: 1502-35→1467 | ||||
| next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1433): Slight underdog | ||||
| 20 (+1) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1462 (-4) | 3-5 | vs TEN (1470): Slight fav |
| prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1469): L 37-39: 1466-4→1462 | ||||
| next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1470): Slight favorite | ||||
| 21 (+4) | Green Bay PackersGB | 1451 (+26) | 3-5 | at PIT (1481): Lose by 5 |
| prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1472): W 20-3: 1425+26→1451 | ||||
| next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1481): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 22 (+5) | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1448 (+26) | 4-5 | at NE (1411): Slight fav |
| prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1403): W 27-13: 1422+26→1448 | ||||
| next: at New England PatriotsNE (1411): Slight favorite | ||||
| 23 (-4) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1445 (-27) | 3-6 | bye |
| prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1425): L 3-20: 1472-27→1445 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 24 (+7) | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1433 (+34) | 4-5 | vs NYJ (1467): Slight fav |
| prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1434): W 30-6: 1399+34→1433 | ||||
| next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1467): Slight favorite | ||||
| 25 (-2) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1432 (+1) | 4-5 | at ARI (1387): Tossup |
| prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1547): L 28-31: 1431+1→1432 | ||||
| next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1387): Tossup | ||||
| 26 (-2) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1430 | 3-5 | at BUF (1594): Lose by 11 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1594): Lose by 11 points | ||||
| 27 (+1) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1426 (+13) | 4-5 | at SEA (1517): Lose by 8 |
| prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1424): W 20-17: 1413+13→1426 | ||||
| next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1517): Lose by 8 points | ||||
| 28 (-2) | New England PatriotsNE | 1411 (-13) | 2-7 | at IND (1448): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1413): L 17-20: 1424-13→1411 | ||||
| next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1448): Slight underdog | ||||
| 29 (-7) | New York GiantsNYG | 1400 (-34) | 2-7 | at DAL (1608): Lose by 12 |
| prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1399): L 6-30: 1434-34→1400 | ||||
| next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1608): Lose by 12 points | ||||
| 30 (+2) | Chicago BearsCHI | 1397 (+3) | 2-7 | vs CAR (1377): Slight fav |
| prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1507): L 17-24: 1394+3→1397 | ||||
| next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1377): Slight favorite | ||||
| 31 (-2) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1387 (-21) | 1-8 | vs ATL (1432): Tossup |
| prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1514): L 0-27: 1408-21→1387 | ||||
| next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1432): Tossup | ||||
| 32 (-2) | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1377 (-26) | 1-7 | at CHI (1397): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1422): L 13-27: 1403-26→1377 | ||||
| next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1397): Slight underdog | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| ARI, BAL, BUF, CHI, CIN, DAL, IND, JAX, | ||||
| LAC, LV, MIN, PIT, SEA, TB | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2023 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (+2) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1618 (+2) | 7-1 | vs DAL (1612): Slight fav |
| prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1416): W 38-31: 1616+2→1618 | ||||
| next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1612): Slight favorite | ||||
| 2 (+4) | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1612 (+16) | 5-2 | at PHI (1618): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1488): W 43-20: 1596+16→1612 | ||||
| next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1618): Slight underdog | ||||
| 3 (+2) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1608 (-4) | 6-2 | vs SEA (1548): Win by 6 |
| prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1404): W 31-24: 1612-4→1608 | ||||
| next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1548): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 4 | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1604 (-10) | 5-3 | at CIN (1586): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1456): W 24-18: 1614-10→1604 | ||||
| next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1586): Slight underdog | ||||
| 5 (-4) | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1604 (-38) | 5-3 | bye |
| prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1548): L 17-31: 1642-38→1604 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 6 (-4) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1595 (-41) | 6-2 | at MIA (1565): Slight fav |
| prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1389): L 9-24: 1636-41→1595 | ||||
| next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1565): Slight favorite | ||||
| 7 (+3) | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1586 (+38) | 4-3 | vs BUF (1604): Slight fav |
| prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1642): W 31-17: 1548+38→1586 | ||||
| next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1604): Slight favorite | ||||
| 8 (-1) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1581 (+14) | 6-2 | bye |
| prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1492): W 20-10: 1567+14→1581 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 9 | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1565 (+9) | 6-2 | at KC (1595): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1433): W 31-17: 1556+9→1565 | ||||
| next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1595): Slight underdog | ||||
| 10 (-2) | Detroit LionsDET | 1557 (+1) | 6-2 | bye |
| prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1400): W 26-14: 1556+1→1557 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 11 | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1548 | 5-2 | at BAL (1608): Lose by 6 |
| prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1513): W 24-20: 1548-0→1548 | ||||
| next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1608): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 12 | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1547 (+25) | 4-4 | at ATL (1431): Win by 3 |
| prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1449): W 24-10: 1522+25→1547 | ||||
| next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1431): Win by 3 points | ||||
| 13 | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1514 (+1) | 4-3 | vs ARI (1408): Win by 9 |
| prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1548): L 20-24: 1513+1→1514 | ||||
| next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1408): Win by 9 points | ||||
| 14 (+1) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1512 (+13) | 3-4 | at NYJ (1502): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1407): W 30-13: 1499+13→1512 | ||||
| next: at New York JetsNYJ (1502): Slight underdog | ||||
| 15 (+2) | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1507 (+18) | 4-4 | vs CHI (1394): Win by 9 |
| prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1440): W 38-27: 1489+18→1507 | ||||
| next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1394): Win by 9 points | ||||
| 16 (-2) | New York JetsNYJ | 1502 (-5) | 4-3 | vs LAC (1512): Slight fav |
| prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1429): W 13-10(OT): 1507-5→1502 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1512): Slight favorite | ||||
| 17 (-1) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1478 (-14) | 4-3 | vs TEN (1473): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1567): L 10-20: 1492-14→1478 | ||||
| next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1473): Slight favorite | ||||
| 18 (+2) | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1473 (-2) | 3-4 | at PIT (1478): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1429): W 28-23: 1475-2→1473 | ||||
| next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1478): Slight underdog | ||||
| 19 (-1) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1472 (-16) | 3-5 | at GB (1425): Tossup |
| prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1596): L 20-43: 1488-16→1472 | ||||
| next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1425): Tossup | ||||
| 20 (-1) | Houston TexansHOU | 1469 (-12) | 3-4 | vs TB (1466): Slight fav |
| prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1391): L 13-15: 1481-12→1469 | ||||
| next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1466): Slight favorite | ||||
| 21 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1466 (+10) | 3-4 | at HOU (1469): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1614): L 18-24: 1456+10→1466 | ||||
| next: at Houston TexansHOU (1469): Slight underdog | ||||
| 22 (+4) | New York GiantsNYG | 1434 (+5) | 2-6 | at LV (1399): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1507): L 10-13(OT): 1429+5→1434 | ||||
| next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1399): Slight underdog | ||||
| 23 (+2) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1431 (+2) | 4-4 | vs MIN (1547): Lose by 3 |
| prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1475): L 23-28: 1429+2→1431 | ||||
| next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1547): Lose by 3 points | ||||
| 24 (+8) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1430 (+41) | 3-5 | bye |
| prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1636): W 24-9: 1389+41→1430 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 25 (-3) | Green Bay PackersGB | 1425 (-24) | 2-5 | vs LAR (1472): Tossup |
| prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1522): L 10-24: 1449-24→1425 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1472): Tossup | ||||
| 26 (-2) | New England PatriotsNE | 1424 (-9) | 2-6 | vs WAS (1413): Slight fav |
| prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1556): L 17-31: 1433-9→1424 | ||||
| next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1413): Slight favorite | ||||
| 27 (-4) | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1422 (-18) | 3-5 | at CAR (1403): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1489): L 27-38: 1440-18→1422 | ||||
| next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1403): Slight underdog | ||||
| 28 (-1) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1413 (-3) | 3-5 | at NE (1424): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1616): L 31-38: 1416-3→1413 | ||||
| next: at New England PatriotsNE (1424): Slight underdog | ||||
| 29 | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1408 (+4) | 1-7 | at CLE (1514): Lose by 9 |
| prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1612): L 24-31: 1404+4→1408 | ||||
| next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1514): Lose by 9 points | ||||
| 30 (+1) | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1403 (+12) | 1-6 | vs IND (1422): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1481): W 15-13: 1391+12→1403 | ||||
| next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1422): Slight favorite | ||||
| 31 (-1) | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1399 (-1) | 3-5 | vs NYG (1434): Slight fav |
| prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1556): L 14-26: 1400-1→1399 | ||||
| next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1434): Slight favorite | ||||
| 32 (-4) | Chicago BearsCHI | 1394 (-13) | 2-6 | at NO (1507): Lose by 9 |
| prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1499): L 13-30: 1407-13→1394 | ||||
| next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1507): Lose by 9 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| BAL, CAR, CIN, CLE, HOU, KC, LAR, LV, | ||||
| MIN, NE, NO, NYJ, PHI, PIT | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2023 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1642 (-27) | 5-2 | vs CIN (1548): Win by 6 |
| prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1495): L 17-22: 1669-27→1642 | ||||
| next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1548): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 2 (+1) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1636 (+8) | 6-1 | at DEN (1389): Win by 8 |
| prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1507): W 31-17: 1628+8→1636 | ||||
| next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1389): Win by 8 points | ||||
| 3 (+2) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1616 (+19) | 6-1 | at WAS (1416): Win by 5 |
| prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1574): W 31-17: 1597+19→1616 | ||||
| next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1416): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 4 (-2) | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1614 (-25) | 4-3 | vs TB (1456): Win by 12 |
| prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1408): L 25-29: 1639-25→1614 | ||||
| next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1456): Win by 12 points | ||||
| 5 (+3) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1612 (+46) | 5-2 | at ARI (1404): Win by 9 |
| prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1603): W 38-6: 1566+46→1612 | ||||
| next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1404): Win by 9 points | ||||
| 6 | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1596 | 4-2 | vs LAR (1488): Win by 10 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1488): Win by 10 points | ||||
| 7 (+2) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1567 (+15) | 5-2 | at PIT (1492): Slight fav |
| prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1504): W 31-24: 1552+15→1567 | ||||
| next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1492): Slight favorite | ||||
| 8 (-4) | Detroit LionsDET | 1556 (-47) | 5-2 | vs LV (1400): Win by 12 |
| prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1566): L 6-38: 1603-47→1556 | ||||
| next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1400): Win by 12 points | ||||
| 9 (-2) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1556 (-18) | 5-2 | vs NE (1433): Win by 8 |
| prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1597): L 17-31: 1574-18→1556 | ||||
| next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1433): Win by 8 points | ||||
| 10 | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1548 | 3-3 | at SF (1642): Lose by 6 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1642): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 11 | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1548 (+3) | 4-2 | vs CLE (1513): Win by 4 |
| prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1407): W 20-10: 1545+3→1548 | ||||
| next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1513): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 12 (+5) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1522 (+27) | 3-4 | at GB (1449): Tossup |
| prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1669): W 22-17: 1495+27→1522 | ||||
| next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1449): Tossup | ||||
| 13 (+2) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1513 (+6) | 4-2 | at SEA (1548): Lose by 4 |
| prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1447): W 39-38: 1507+6→1513 | ||||
| next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1548): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 14 | New York JetsNYJ | 1507 | 3-3 | vs NYG (1429): Win by 5 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1429): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 15 (-2) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1499 (-8) | 2-4 | vs CHI (1407): Win by 8 |
| prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1628): L 17-31: 1507-8→1499 | ||||
| next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1407): Win by 8 points | ||||
| 16 (+5) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1492 (+24) | 4-2 | vs JAX (1567): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1512): W 24-17: 1468+24→1492 | ||||
| next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1567): Slight underdog | ||||
| 17 (-1) | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1489 (-15) | 3-4 | at IND (1440): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1552): L 24-31: 1504-15→1489 | ||||
| next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1440): Slight favorite | ||||
| 18 (-6) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1488 (-24) | 3-4 | at DAL (1596): Lose by 10 |
| prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1468): L 17-24: 1512-24→1488 | ||||
| next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1596): Lose by 10 points | ||||
| 19 (-1) | Houston TexansHOU | 1481 | 3-3 | at CAR (1391): Slight fav |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1391): Slight favorite | ||||
| 20 | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1475 | 2-4 | vs ATL (1429): Win by 6 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1429): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 21 (-2) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1456 (-19) | 3-3 | at BUF (1614): Lose by 12 |
| prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1410): L 13-16: 1475-19→1456 | ||||
| next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1614): Lose by 12 points | ||||
| 22 | Green Bay PackersGB | 1449 (-14) | 2-4 | vs MIN (1522): Tossup |
| prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1375): L 17-19: 1463-14→1449 | ||||
| next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1522): Tossup | ||||
| 23 | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1440 (-7) | 3-4 | vs NO (1489): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1507): L 38-39: 1447-7→1440 | ||||
| next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1489): Slight underdog | ||||
| 24 (+4) | New England PatriotsNE | 1433 (+25) | 2-5 | at MIA (1556): Lose by 8 |
| prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1639): W 29-25: 1408+25→1433 | ||||
| next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1556): Lose by 8 points | ||||
| 25 (+2) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1429 (+19) | 4-3 | at TEN (1475): Lose by 6 |
| prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1475): W 16-13: 1410+19→1429 | ||||
| next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1475): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 26 | New York GiantsNYG | 1429 (+11) | 2-5 | vs NYJ (1507): Lose by 5 |
| prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1426): W 14-7: 1418+11→1429 | ||||
| next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1507): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 27 (-2) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1416 (-10) | 3-4 | vs PHI (1616): Lose by 5 |
| prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1418): L 7-14: 1426-10→1416 | ||||
| next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1616): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 28 (+4) | Chicago BearsCHI | 1407 (+34) | 2-5 | at LAC (1499): Lose by 8 |
| prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1434): W 30-12: 1373+34→1407 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1499): Lose by 8 points | ||||
| 29 | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1404 (-3) | 1-6 | vs BAL (1612): Lose by 9 |
| prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1545): L 10-20: 1407-3→1404 | ||||
| next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1612): Lose by 9 points | ||||
| 30 (-6) | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1400 (-34) | 3-4 | at DET (1556): Lose by 12 |
| prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1373): L 12-30: 1434-34→1400 | ||||
| next: at Detroit LionsDET (1556): Lose by 12 points | ||||
| 31 (-1) | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1391 | 0-6 | vs HOU (1481): Slight 'dog |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1481): Slight underdog | ||||
| 32 (-1) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1389 (+14) | 2-5 | vs KC (1636): Lose by 8 |
| prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1463): W 19-17: 1375+14→1389 | ||||
| next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1636): Lose by 8 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| BAL, BUF, DAL, DET, HOU, JAX, KC, LAC, | ||||
| MIA, MIN, NO, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TEN | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2023 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1669 (-28) | 5-1 | at MIN (1495): Win by 7 |
| prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1479): L 17-19: 1697-28→1669 | ||||
| next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1495): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 2 | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1639 (-22) | 4-2 | at NE (1408): Win by 7 |
| prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1395): W 14-9: 1661-22→1639 | ||||
| next: at New England PatriotsNE (1408): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 3 | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1628 (-5) | 5-1 | vs LAC (1507): Win by 9 |
| prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1370): W 19-8: 1633-5→1628 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1507): Win by 9 points | ||||
| 4 (+2) | Detroit LionsDET | 1603 (+29) | 5-1 | at BAL (1566): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1504): W 20-6: 1574+29→1603 | ||||
| next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1566): Slight underdog | ||||
| 5 (-1) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1597 (-28) | 5-1 | vs MIA (1574): Win by 3 |
| prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1480): L 14-20: 1625-28→1597 | ||||
| next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1574): Win by 3 points | ||||
| 6 (-1) | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1596 (+6) | 4-2 | bye |
| prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1513): W 20-17: 1590+6→1596 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 7 | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1574 (+14) | 5-1 | at PHI (1597): Lose by 3 |
| prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1405): W 42-21: 1560+14→1574 | ||||
| next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1597): Lose by 3 points | ||||
| 8 | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1566 (+9) | 4-2 | vs DET (1603): Slight fav |
| prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1484): W 24-16: 1557+9→1566 | ||||
| next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1603): Slight favorite | ||||
| 9 (+2) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1552 (+22) | 4-2 | at NO (1504): Tossup |
| prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1468): W 37-20: 1530+22→1552 | ||||
| next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1504): Tossup | ||||
| 10 | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1548 (+9) | 3-3 | bye |
| prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1555): W 17-13: 1539+9→1548 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 11 (-2) | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1545 (-10) | 3-2 | vs ARI (1407): Win by 8 |
| prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1539): L 13-17: 1555-10→1545 | ||||
| next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1407): Win by 8 points | ||||
| 12 (+3) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1512 (+21) | 3-3 | vs PIT (1468): Win by 3 |
| prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1428): W 26-9: 1491+21→1512 | ||||
| next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1468): Win by 3 points | ||||
| 13 | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1507 (-6) | 2-3 | at KC (1628): Lose by 9 |
| prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1590): L 17-20: 1513-6→1507 | ||||
| next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1628): Lose by 9 points | ||||
| 14 (+4) | New York JetsNYJ | 1507 (+27) | 3-3 | bye |
| prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1625): W 20-14: 1480+27→1507 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 15 (+4) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1507 (+28) | 3-2 | at IND (1447): Slight fav |
| prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1697): W 19-17: 1479+28→1507 | ||||
| next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1447): Slight favorite | ||||
| 16 (-4) | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1504 (-19) | 3-3 | vs JAX (1552): Tossup |
| prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1463): L 13-20: 1523-19→1504 | ||||
| next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1552): Tossup | ||||
| 17 | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1495 (+13) | 2-4 | vs SF (1669): Lose by 7 |
| prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1386): W 19-13: 1482+13→1495 | ||||
| next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1669): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 18 (+5) | Houston TexansHOU | 1481 (+18) | 3-3 | bye |
| prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1523): W 20-13: 1463+18→1481 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 19 (-5) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1475 (-29) | 3-2 | vs ATL (1410): Win by 5 |
| prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1574): L 6-20: 1504-29→1475 | ||||
| next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1410): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 20 (-4) | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1475 (-9) | 2-4 | bye |
| prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1557): L 16-24: 1484-9→1475 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 21 | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1468 | 3-2 | at LAR (1512): Lose by 3 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1512): Lose by 3 points | ||||
| 22 | Green Bay PackersGB | 1463 | 2-3 | at DEN (1375): Slight fav |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1375): Slight favorite | ||||
| 23 (-3) | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1447 (-21) | 3-3 | vs CLE (1507): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1530): L 20-37: 1468-21→1447 | ||||
| next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1507): Slight underdog | ||||
| 24 (+1) | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1434 (+2) | 3-3 | at CHI (1373): Slight fav |
| prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1411): W 21-17: 1432+2→1434 | ||||
| next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1373): Slight favorite | ||||
| 25 (+4) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1426 (+27) | 3-3 | at NYG (1418): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1437): W 24-16: 1399+27→1426 | ||||
| next: at New York GiantsNYG (1418): Slight underdog | ||||
| 26 (+4) | New York GiantsNYG | 1418 (+23) | 1-5 | vs WAS (1426): Slight fav |
| prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1661): L 9-14: 1395+23→1418 | ||||
| next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1426): Slight favorite | ||||
| 27 (-3) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1410 (-27) | 3-3 | at TB (1475): Lose by 5 |
| prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1399): L 16-24: 1437-27→1410 | ||||
| next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1475): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 28 (-1) | New England PatriotsNE | 1408 (-3) | 1-5 | vs BUF (1639): Lose by 7 |
| prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1432): L 17-21: 1411-3→1408 | ||||
| next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1639): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 29 (-3) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1407 (-21) | 1-5 | at SEA (1545): Lose by 8 |
| prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1491): L 9-26: 1428-21→1407 | ||||
| next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1545): Lose by 8 points | ||||
| 30 (-2) | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1391 (-14) | 0-6 | bye |
| prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1560): L 21-42: 1405-14→1391 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 31 (+1) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1375 (+5) | 1-5 | vs GB (1463): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1633): L 8-19: 1370+5→1375 | ||||
| next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1463): Slight underdog | ||||
| 32 (-1) | Chicago BearsCHI | 1373 (-13) | 1-5 | vs LV (1434): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1482): L 13-19: 1386-13→1373 | ||||
| next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1434): Slight underdog | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| BAL, BUF, CLE, GB, JAX, KC, LAR, LV, | ||||
| NYG, PHI, SEA, SF, TB | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2023 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (+1) | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1697 (+46) | 5-0 | at CLE (1479): Win by 8 |
| prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1635): W 42-10: 1651+46→1697 | ||||
| next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1479): Win by 8 points | ||||
| 2 (-1) | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1661 (-41) | 3-2 | vs NYG (1395): Win by 18 |
| prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1489): L 20-25: 1702-41→1661 | ||||
| next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1395): Win by 18 points | ||||
| 3 (+1) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1633 (+4) | 4-1 | vs DEN (1370): Win by 14 |
| prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1486): W 27-20: 1629+4→1633 | ||||
| next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1370): Win by 14 points | ||||
| 4 (+1) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1625 (+14) | 5-0 | at NYJ (1480): Win by 5 |
| prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1504): W 23-14: 1611+14→1625 | ||||
| next: at New York JetsNYJ (1480): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 5 (-2) | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1590 (-45) | 3-2 | at LAC (1513): Slight fav |
| prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1651): L 10-42: 1635-45→1590 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1513): Slight favorite | ||||
| 6 (+1) | Detroit LionsDET | 1574 (+10) | 4-1 | at TB (1504): Tossup |
| prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1415): W 42-24: 1564+10→1574 | ||||
| next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1504): Tossup | ||||
| 7 (+2) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1560 (+6) | 4-1 | vs CAR (1405): Win by 11 |
| prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1401): W 31-16: 1554+6→1560 | ||||
| next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1405): Win by 11 points | ||||
| 8 (-2) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1557 (-25) | 3-2 | at TEN (1484): Win by 4 |
| prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1442): L 10-17: 1582-25→1557 | ||||
| next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1484): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 9 (-1) | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1555 | 3-1 | at CIN (1539): Slight 'dog |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1539): Slight underdog | ||||
| 10 (+1) | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1539 (+30) | 2-3 | vs SEA (1555): Slight fav |
| prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1458): W 34-20: 1509+30→1539 | ||||
| next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1555): Slight favorite | ||||
| 11 (+4) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1530 (+41) | 3-2 | vs IND (1468): Win by 5 |
| prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1702): W 25-20: 1489+41→1530 | ||||
| next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1468): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 12 (+12) | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1523 (+65) | 3-2 | at HOU (1463): Slight fav |
| prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1475): W 34-0: 1458+65→1523 | ||||
| next: at Houston TexansHOU (1463): Slight favorite | ||||
| 13 (-3) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1513 | 2-2 | vs DAL (1590): Slight 'dog |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1590): Slight underdog | ||||
| 14 (-1) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1504 | 3-1 | vs DET (1574): Tossup |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1574): Tossup | ||||
| 15 (-3) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1491 (-13) | 2-3 | vs ARI (1428): Win by 5 |
| prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1611): L 14-23: 1504-13→1491 | ||||
| next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1428): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 16 (-2) | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1484 (-16) | 2-3 | at BAL (1557): Lose by 4 |
| prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1452): L 16-23: 1500-16→1484 | ||||
| next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1557): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 17 (-1) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1482 (-4) | 1-4 | at CHI (1386): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1629): L 20-27: 1486-4→1482 | ||||
| next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1386): Slight favorite | ||||
| 18 (+4) | New York JetsNYJ | 1480 (+21) | 2-3 | vs PHI (1625): Lose by 5 |
| prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1390): W 31-21: 1459+21→1480 | ||||
| next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1625): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 19 (-2) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1479 | 2-2 | vs SF (1697): Lose by 8 |
| prev: (bye) | ||||
| next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1697): Lose by 8 points | ||||
| 20 (+5) | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1468 (+16) | 3-2 | at JAX (1530): Lose by 5 |
| prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): W 23-16: 1452+16→1468 | ||||
| next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1530): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 21 (+5) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1468 (+26) | 3-2 | bye |
| prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1582): W 17-10: 1442+26→1468 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 22 (-4) | Green Bay PackersGB | 1463 (-15) | 2-3 | bye |
| prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1417): L 13-17: 1478-15→1463 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 23 (-3) | Houston TexansHOU | 1463 (-8) | 2-3 | vs NO (1523): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1429): L 19-21: 1471-8→1463 | ||||
| next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1523): Slight underdog | ||||
| 24 (+3) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1437 (+8) | 3-2 | vs WAS (1399): Win by 3 |
| prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1471): W 21-19: 1429+8→1437 | ||||
| next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1399): Win by 3 points | ||||
| 25 (+3) | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1432 (+15) | 2-3 | vs NE (1411): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1478): W 17-13: 1417+15→1432 | ||||
| next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1411): Slight favorite | ||||
| 26 (-3) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1428 (-30) | 1-4 | at LAR (1491): Lose by 5 |
| prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1509): L 20-34: 1458-30→1428 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1491): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 27 (-8) | New England PatriotsNE | 1411 (-64) | 1-4 | at LV (1432): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1458): L 0-34: 1475-64→1411 | ||||
| next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1432): Slight underdog | ||||
| 28 (+1) | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1405 (-10) | 0-5 | at MIA (1560): Lose by 11 |
| prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1564): L 24-42: 1415-10→1405 | ||||
| next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1560): Lose by 11 points | ||||
| 29 (-8) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1399 (-65) | 2-3 | at ATL (1437): Lose by 3 |
| prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1321): L 20-40: 1464-65→1399 | ||||
| next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1437): Lose by 3 points | ||||
| 30 | New York GiantsNYG | 1395 (-6) | 1-4 | at BUF (1661): Lose by 18 |
| prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1554): L 16-31: 1401-6→1395 | ||||
| next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1661): Lose by 18 points | ||||
| 31 (+1) | Chicago BearsCHI | 1386 (+65) | 1-4 | vs MIN (1482): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1464): W 40-20: 1321+65→1386 | ||||
| next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1482): Slight underdog | ||||
| 32 (-1) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1370 (-20) | 1-4 | at KC (1633): Lose by 14 |
| prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1459): L 21-31: 1390-20→1370 | ||||
| next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1633): Lose by 14 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| ATL, BAL, BUF, CIN, DAL, DET, JAX, KC, | ||||
| LAR, LV, MIA, MIN, NO, PHI, SF | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2023 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1702 (+39) | 3-1 | at JAX (1489): Win by 12 |
| prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1593): W 48-20: 1663+39→1702 | ||||
| next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1489): Win by 12 points | ||||
| 2 (+1) | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1651 (+16) | 4-0 | vs DAL (1635): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1474): W 35-16: 1635+16→1651 | ||||
| next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1635): Slight favorite | ||||
| 3 (+3) | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1635 (+43) | 3-1 | at SF (1651): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1519): W 38-3: 1592+43→1635 | ||||
| next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1651): Slight underdog | ||||
| 4 (-2) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1629 (-11) | 3-1 | at MIN (1486): Win by 5 |
| prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1448): W 23-20: 1640-11→1629 | ||||
| next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1486): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 5 (-1) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1611 (-16) | 4-0 | at LAR (1504): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1448): W 34-31(OT): 1627-16→1611 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1504): Slight favorite | ||||
| 6 (+4) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1582 (+57) | 3-1 | at PIT (1442): Slight fav |
| prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1537): W 28-3: 1525+57→1582 | ||||
| next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1442): Slight favorite | ||||
| 7 (+2) | Detroit LionsDET | 1564 (+38) | 3-1 | vs CAR (1415): Win by 12 |
| prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1517): W 34-20: 1526+38→1564 | ||||
| next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1415): Win by 12 points | ||||
| 8 (+5) | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1555 (+43) | 3-1 | bye |
| prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1444): W 24-3: 1512+43→1555 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 9 (-4) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1554 (-39) | 3-1 | vs NYG (1401): Win by 12 |
| prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1663): L 20-48: 1593-39→1554 | ||||
| next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1401): Win by 12 points | ||||
| 10 (+4) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1513 (+2) | 2-2 | bye |
| prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1419): W 24-17: 1511+2→1513 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 11 (-4) | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1509 (-59) | 1-3 | at ARI (1458): Slight fav |
| prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1441): L 3-27: 1568-59→1509 | ||||
| next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1458): Slight favorite | ||||
| 12 (+5) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1504 (+11) | 2-2 | vs PHI (1611): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1463): W 29-23(OT): 1493+11→1504 | ||||
| next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1611): Slight underdog | ||||
| 13 (+9) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1504 (+52) | 3-1 | bye |
| prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1509): W 26-9: 1452+52→1504 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 14 (+13) | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1500 (+59) | 2-2 | at IND (1452): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1568): W 27-3: 1441+59→1500 | ||||
| next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1452): Slight underdog | ||||
| 15 (+8) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1489 (+38) | 2-2 | at BUF (1702): Lose by 12 |
| prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1468): W 23-7: 1451+38→1489 | ||||
| next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1702): Lose by 12 points | ||||
| 16 (+5) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1486 (+24) | 1-3 | vs KC (1629): Lose by 5 |
| prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1439): W 21-13: 1462+24→1486 | ||||
| next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1629): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 17 (-9) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1479 (-58) | 2-2 | bye |
| prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1525): L 3-28: 1537-58→1479 | ||||
| next: (bye) | ||||
| 18 (-6) | Green Bay PackersGB | 1478 (-39) | 2-2 | at LV (1417): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1526): L 20-34: 1517-39→1478 | ||||
| next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1417): Slight favorite | ||||
| 19 (-8) | New England PatriotsNE | 1475 (-44) | 1-3 | vs NO (1458): Slight fav |
| prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1592): L 3-38: 1519-44→1475 | ||||
| next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1458): Slight favorite | ||||
| 20 (+10) | Houston TexansHOU | 1471 (+52) | 2-2 | at ATL (1429): Tossup |
| prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1495): W 30-6: 1419+52→1471 | ||||
| next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1429): Tossup | ||||
| 21 (+3) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1464 (+16) | 2-2 | vs CHI (1321): Win by 11 |
| prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1627): L 31-34(OT): 1448+16→1464 | ||||
| next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1321): Win by 11 points | ||||
| 22 (+3) | New York JetsNYJ | 1459 (+11) | 1-3 | at DEN (1390): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1640): L 20-23: 1448+11→1459 | ||||
| next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1390): Slight favorite | ||||
| 23 (-5) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1458 (-16) | 1-3 | vs CIN (1509): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1635): L 16-35: 1474-16→1458 | ||||
| next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1509): Slight underdog | ||||
| 24 (-9) | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1458 (-51) | 2-2 | at NE (1475): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1452): L 9-26: 1509-51→1458 | ||||
| next: at New England PatriotsNE (1475): Slight underdog | ||||
| 25 (-5) | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1452 (-11) | 2-2 | vs TEN (1500): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1493): L 23-29(OT): 1463-11→1452 | ||||
| next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): Slight favorite | ||||
| 26 (-10) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1442 (-53) | 2-2 | vs BAL (1582): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1419): L 6-30: 1495-53→1442 | ||||
| next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1582): Slight underdog | ||||
| 27 (-8) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1429 (-39) | 2-2 | vs HOU (1471): Tossup |
| prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1451): L 7-23: 1468-39→1429 | ||||
| next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1471): Tossup | ||||
| 28 (+1) | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1417 (-2) | 1-3 | vs GB (1478): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1511): L 17-24: 1419-2→1417 | ||||
| next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1478): Slight underdog | ||||
| 29 (-1) | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1415 (-24) | 0-4 | at DET (1564): Lose by 12 |
| prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1462): L 13-21: 1439-24→1415 | ||||
| next: at Detroit LionsDET (1564): Lose by 12 points | ||||
| 30 (-4) | New York GiantsNYG | 1401 (-43) | 1-3 | at MIA (1554): Lose by 12 |
| prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1512): L 3-24: 1444-43→1401 | ||||
| next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1554): Lose by 12 points | ||||
| 31 | Denver BroncosDEN | 1390 (+8) | 1-3 | vs NYJ (1459): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1330): W 31-28: 1382+8→1390 | ||||
| next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1459): Slight underdog | ||||
| 32 | Chicago BearsCHI | 1321 (-9) | 0-4 | at WAS (1464): Lose by 11 |
| prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1382): L 28-31: 1330-9→1321 | ||||
| next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1464): Lose by 11 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| ATL, BAL, BUF, CIN, DET, GB, IND, KC, | ||||
| MIA, NE, NYJ, PHI, SF, WAS | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2023 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (+3) | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1663 (+53) | 2-1 | vs MIA (1593): Win by 5 |
| prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1501): W 37-3: 1610+53→1663 | ||||
| next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1593): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 2 (+1) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1640 (+17) | 2-1 | at NYJ (1448): Win by 8 |
| prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1347): W 41-10: 1623+17→1640 | ||||
| next: at New York JetsNYJ (1448): Win by 8 points | ||||
| 3 (-1) | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1635 (+11) | 3-0 | vs ARI (1474): Win by 10 |
| prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1455): W 30-12: 1624+11→1635 | ||||
| next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1474): Win by 10 points | ||||
| 4 (+1) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1627 (+19) | 3-0 | vs WAS (1448): Win by 9 |
| prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1471): W 25-11: 1608+19→1627 | ||||
| next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1448): Win by 9 points | ||||
| 5 (+3) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1593 (+42) | 3-0 | at BUF (1663): Lose by 5 |
| prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1424): W 70-20: 1551+42→1593 | ||||
| next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1663): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 6 (-5) | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1592 (-57) | 2-1 | vs NE (1519): Win by 6 |
| prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1416): L 16-28: 1649-57→1592 | ||||
| next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1519): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 7 (-1) | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1568 (-12) | 1-2 | at TEN (1441): Win by 4 |
| prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1481): W 19-16: 1580-12→1568 | ||||
| next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1441): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 8 (+9) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1537 (+44) | 2-1 | vs BAL (1525): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1484): W 27-3: 1493+44→1537 | ||||
| next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1525): Slight favorite | ||||
| 9 (+6) | Detroit LionsDET | 1526 (+27) | 2-1 | at GB (1517): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1495): W 20-6: 1499+27→1526 | ||||
| next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1517): Slight underdog | ||||
| 10 (-3) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1525 (-34) | 2-1 | at CLE (1537): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1429): L 19-22(OT): 1559-34→1525 | ||||
| next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1537): Slight underdog | ||||
| 11 (+3) | New England PatriotsNE | 1519 (+18) | 1-2 | at DAL (1592): Lose by 6 |
| prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1466): W 15-10: 1501+18→1519 | ||||
| next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1592): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 12 (-2) | Green Bay PackersGB | 1517 (+2) | 2-1 | vs DET (1526): Slight fav |
| prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1511): W 18-17: 1515+2→1517 | ||||
| next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1526): Slight favorite | ||||
| 13 | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1512 (+11) | 2-1 | at NYG (1444): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1450): W 37-27: 1501+11→1512 | ||||
| next: at New York GiantsNYG (1444): Slight favorite | ||||
| 14 (+4) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1511 (+21) | 1-2 | vs LV (1419): Win by 6 |
| prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1483): W 28-24: 1490+21→1511 | ||||
| next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1419): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 15 (-4) | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1509 (-2) | 2-1 | vs TB (1452): Win by 5 |
| prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1515): L 17-18: 1511-2→1509 | ||||
| next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1452): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 16 (+6) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1495 (+17) | 2-1 | at HOU (1419): Slight fav |
| prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1435): W 23-18: 1478+17→1495 | ||||
| next: at Houston TexansHOU (1419): Slight favorite | ||||
| 17 (+4) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1493 (+12) | 1-2 | at IND (1463): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1580): L 16-19: 1481+12→1493 | ||||
| next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1463): Slight underdog | ||||
| 18 (+12) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1474 (+58) | 1-2 | at SF (1635): Lose by 10 |
| prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1649): W 28-16: 1416+58→1474 | ||||
| next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1635): Lose by 10 points | ||||
| 19 (-3) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1468 (-27) | 2-1 | at JAX (1451): Slight fav |
| prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1499): L 6-20: 1495-27→1468 | ||||
| next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1451): Slight favorite | ||||
| 20 (+8) | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1463 (+34) | 2-1 | vs LAR (1493): Slight fav |
| prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1559): W 22-19(OT): 1429+34→1463 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1493): Slight favorite | ||||
| 21 (-1) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1462 (-21) | 0-3 | at CAR (1439): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1490): L 24-28: 1483-21→1462 | ||||
| next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1439): Slight underdog | ||||
| 22 (+1) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1452 (-19) | 2-1 | at NO (1509): Lose by 5 |
| prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1608): L 11-25: 1471-19→1452 | ||||
| next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1509): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 23 (-14) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1451 (-70) | 1-2 | at ATL (1468): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1348): L 17-37: 1521-70→1451 | ||||
| next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1468): Slight underdog | ||||
| 24 (-12) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1448 (-53) | 2-1 | at PHI (1627): Lose by 9 |
| prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1610): L 3-37: 1501-53→1448 | ||||
| next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1627): Lose by 9 points | ||||
| 25 (-1) | New York JetsNYJ | 1448 (-18) | 1-2 | vs KC (1640): Lose by 8 |
| prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1501): L 10-15: 1466-18→1448 | ||||
| next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1640): Lose by 8 points | ||||
| 26 (-1) | New York GiantsNYG | 1444 (-11) | 1-2 | vs SEA (1512): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1624): L 12-30: 1455-11→1444 | ||||
| next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1512): Slight underdog | ||||
| 27 (-8) | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1441 (-43) | 1-2 | vs CIN (1568): Lose by 4 |
| prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1493): L 3-27: 1484-43→1441 | ||||
| next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1568): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 28 (-2) | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1439 (-11) | 0-3 | vs MIN (1462): Slight fav |
| prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1501): L 27-37: 1450-11→1439 | ||||
| next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1462): Slight favorite | ||||
| 29 (-2) | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1419 (-16) | 1-2 | at LAC (1511): Lose by 6 |
| prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1478): L 18-23: 1435-16→1419 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1511): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 30 (+1) | Houston TexansHOU | 1419 (+71) | 1-2 | vs PIT (1495): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1521): W 37-17: 1348+71→1419 | ||||
| next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1495): Slight underdog | ||||
| 31 (-2) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1382 (-42) | 0-3 | at CHI (1330): Slight fav |
| prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1551): L 20-70: 1424-42→1382 | ||||
| next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1330): Slight favorite | ||||
| 32 | Chicago BearsCHI | 1330 (-17) | 0-3 | vs DEN (1382): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1623): L 10-41: 1347-17→1330 | ||||
| next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1382): Slight underdog | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| ATL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, GB, | ||||
| IND, KC, LAC, NO, PHI, PIT, SEA, SF | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2023 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1649 (+17) | 2-0 | at ARI (1416): Win by 10 |
| prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1483): W 30-10: 1632+17→1649 | ||||
| next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1416): Win by 10 points | ||||
| 2 (+1) | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1624 (+15) | 2-0 | vs NYG (1455): Win by 12 |
| prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1496): W 30-23: 1609+15→1624 | ||||
| next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1455): Win by 12 points | ||||
| 3 (+2) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1623 (+18) | 1-1 | vs CHI (1347): Win by 18 |
| prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1539): W 17-9: 1605+18→1623 | ||||
| next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1347): Win by 18 points | ||||
| 4 (+2) | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1610 (+38) | 1-1 | at WAS (1501): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1473): W 38-10: 1572+38→1610 | ||||
| next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1501): Slight favorite | ||||
| 5 (-3) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1608 (-11) | 2-0 | at TB (1471): Win by 5 |
| prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1472): W 34-28: 1619-11→1608 | ||||
| next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1471): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 6 (-2) | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1580 (-26) | 0-2 | vs LAR (1481): Win by 8 |
| prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1533): L 24-27: 1606-26→1580 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1481): Win by 8 points | ||||
| 7 (+1) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1559 (+26) | 2-0 | vs IND (1429): Win by 10 |
| prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1606): W 27-24: 1533+26→1559 | ||||
| next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1429): Win by 10 points | ||||
| 8 (+4) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1551 (+30) | 2-0 | vs DEN (1424): Win by 9 |
| prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1530): W 24-17: 1521+30→1551 | ||||
| next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1424): Win by 9 points | ||||
| 9 (-2) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1521 (-18) | 1-1 | vs HOU (1348): Win by 9 |
| prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1605): L 9-17: 1539-18→1521 | ||||
| next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1348): Win by 9 points | ||||
| 10 (+1) | Green Bay PackersGB | 1515 (-10) | 1-1 | vs NO (1511): Slight fav |
| prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1484): L 24-25: 1525-10→1515 | ||||
| next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1511): Slight favorite | ||||
| 11 (+3) | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1511 (+14) | 2-0 | at GB (1515): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1464): W 20-17: 1497+14→1511 | ||||
| next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1515): Slight underdog | ||||
| 12 (+5) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1501 (+8) | 2-0 | vs BUF (1610): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1433): W 35-33: 1493+8→1501 | ||||
| next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1610): Slight underdog | ||||
| 13 (+8) | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1501 (+28) | 1-1 | vs CAR (1450): Win by 5 |
| prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1526): W 37-31(OT): 1473+28→1501 | ||||
| next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1450): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 14 (-5) | New England PatriotsNE | 1501 (-29) | 0-2 | at NYJ (1466): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1521): L 17-24: 1530-29→1501 | ||||
| next: at New York JetsNYJ (1466): Slight underdog | ||||
| 15 (-5) | Detroit LionsDET | 1499 (-27) | 1-1 | vs ATL (1495): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1473): L 31-37(OT): 1526-27→1499 | ||||
| next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1495): Slight favorite | ||||
| 16 (+2) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1495 (+11) | 2-0 | at DET (1499): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1525): W 25-24: 1484+11→1495 | ||||
| next: at Detroit LionsDET (1499): Slight underdog | ||||
| 17 (-4) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1493 (-10) | 1-1 | vs TEN (1484): Slight fav |
| prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1468): L 22-26: 1503-10→1493 | ||||
| next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1484): Slight favorite | ||||
| 18 (-2) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1490 (-4) | 0-2 | at MIN (1483): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1480): L 24-27(OT): 1494-4→1490 | ||||
| next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1483): Slight underdog | ||||
| 19 (+1) | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1484 (+4) | 1-1 | at CLE (1493): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1494): W 27-24(OT): 1480+4→1484 | ||||
| next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1493): Slight underdog | ||||
| 20 (+3) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1483 (+11) | 0-2 | vs LAC (1490): Slight fav |
| prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1619): L 28-34: 1472+11→1483 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1490): Slight favorite | ||||
| 21 (-6) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1481 (-15) | 1-1 | at CIN (1580): Lose by 8 |
| prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1609): L 23-30: 1496-15→1481 | ||||
| next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1580): Lose by 8 points | ||||
| 22 (+3) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1478 (+10) | 1-1 | at LV (1435): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1503): W 26-22: 1468+10→1478 | ||||
| next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1435): Slight underdog | ||||
| 23 (+1) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1471 (+2) | 2-0 | vs PHI (1608): Lose by 5 |
| prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1350): W 27-17: 1469+2→1471 | ||||
| next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1608): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 24 (-5) | New York JetsNYJ | 1466 (-17) | 1-1 | vs NE (1501): Slight fav |
| prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1632): L 10-30: 1483-17→1466 | ||||
| next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1501): Slight favorite | ||||
| 25 (+2) | New York GiantsNYG | 1455 (+17) | 1-1 | at SF (1624): Lose by 12 |
| prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1433): W 31-28: 1438+17→1455 | ||||
| next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1624): Lose by 12 points | ||||
| 26 | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1450 (-14) | 0-2 | at SEA (1501): Lose by 5 |
| prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1497): L 17-20: 1464-14→1450 | ||||
| next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1501): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 27 (-5) | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1435 (-38) | 1-1 | vs PIT (1478): Slight fav |
| prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1572): L 10-38: 1473-38→1435 | ||||
| next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1478): Slight favorite | ||||
| 28 (+2) | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1429 (+37) | 1-1 | at BAL (1559): Lose by 10 |
| prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1385): W 31-20: 1392+37→1429 | ||||
| next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1559): Lose by 10 points | ||||
| 29 | Denver BroncosDEN | 1424 (-9) | 0-2 | at MIA (1551): Lose by 9 |
| prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1493): L 33-35: 1433-9→1424 | ||||
| next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1551): Lose by 9 points | ||||
| 30 (-2) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1416 (-17) | 0-2 | vs DAL (1649): Lose by 10 |
| prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1438): L 28-31: 1433-17→1416 | ||||
| next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1649): Lose by 10 points | ||||
| 31 | Houston TexansHOU | 1348 (-37) | 0-2 | at JAX (1521): Lose by 9 |
| prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1392): L 20-31: 1385-37→1348 | ||||
| next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1521): Lose by 9 points | ||||
| 32 | Chicago BearsCHI | 1347 (-3) | 0-2 | at KC (1623): Lose by 18 |
| prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1469): L 17-27: 1350-3→1347 | ||||
| next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1623): Lose by 18 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| BAL, BUF, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, JAX, | ||||
| KC, LV, MIA, MIN, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2023 Season
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (+3) | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1632 (+33) | 1-0 | vs NYJ (1483): Win by 11 |
| prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1471): W 40-0: 1599+33→1632 | ||||
| next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1483): Win by 11 points | ||||
| 2 (+1) | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1619 (+6) | 1-0 | vs MIN (1472): Win by 10 |
| prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1536): W 25-20: 1613+6→1619 | ||||
| next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1472): Win by 10 points | ||||
| 3 (+2) | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1609 (+23) | 1-0 | at LAR (1496): Slight fav |
| prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1492): W 30-7: 1586+23→1609 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1496): Slight favorite | ||||
| 4 (-3) | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1606 (-32) | 0-1 | vs BAL (1533): Win by 5 |
| prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1471): L 3-24: 1638-32→1606 | ||||
| next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1533): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 5 (-3) | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1605 (-19) | 0-1 | at JAX (1539): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1507): L 20-21: 1624-19→1605 | ||||
| next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1539): Slight favorite | ||||
| 6 | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1572 (-8) | 0-1 | vs LV (1473): Win by 7 |
| prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1476): L 16-22(OT): 1580-8→1572 | ||||
| next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1473): Win by 7 points | ||||
| 7 (+1) | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1539 (+11) | 1-0 | vs KC (1605): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1403): W 31-21: 1528+11→1539 | ||||
| next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1605): Slight underdog | ||||
| 8 (+1) | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1533 (+7) | 1-0 | at CIN (1606): Lose by 5 |
| prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1392): W 25-9: 1526+7→1533 | ||||
| next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1606): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 9 (-2) | New England PatriotsNE | 1530 (-6) | 0-1 | vs MIA (1521): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1613): L 20-25: 1536-6→1530 | ||||
| next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1521): Slight favorite | ||||
| 10 (+1) | Detroit LionsDET | 1526 (+19) | 1-0 | vs SEA (1473): Win by 6 |
| prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1624): W 21-20: 1507+19→1526 | ||||
| next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1473): Win by 6 points | ||||
| 11 (+1) | Green Bay PackersGB | 1525 (+19) | 1-0 | at ATL (1484): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1369): W 38-20: 1506+19→1525 | ||||
| next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1484): Slight underdog | ||||
| 12 (-2) | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1521 (+8) | 1-0 | at NE (1530): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1503): W 36-34: 1513+8→1521 | ||||
| next: at New England PatriotsNE (1530): Slight underdog | ||||
| 13 (+10) | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1503 (+32) | 1-0 | at PIT (1468): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1638): W 24-3: 1471+32→1503 | ||||
| next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1468): Slight underdog | ||||
| 14 (+1) | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1497 | 1-0 | at CAR (1464): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1480): W 16-15: 1497+0→1497 | ||||
| next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1464): Slight underdog | ||||
| 15 (+10) | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1496 (+28) | 1-0 | vs SF (1609): Slight 'dog |
| prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1501): W 30-13: 1468+28→1496 | ||||
| next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1609): Slight underdog | ||||
| 16 (-3) | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1494 (-9) | 0-1 | at TEN (1480): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1513): L 34-36: 1503-9→1494 | ||||
| next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1480): Slight underdog | ||||
| 17 (-1) | Washington CommandersWAS | 1493 (-2) | 1-0 | at DEN (1433): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1431): W 20-16: 1495-2→1493 | ||||
| next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1433): Slight favorite | ||||
| 18 (+6) | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1484 (+16) | 1-0 | vs GB (1525): Slight fav |
| prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1480): W 24-10: 1468+16→1484 | ||||
| next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1525): Slight favorite | ||||
| 19 (+2) | New York JetsNYJ | 1483 (+7) | 1-0 | at DAL (1632): Lose by 11 |
| prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1580): W 22-16(OT): 1476+7→1483 | ||||
| next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1632): Lose by 11 points | ||||
| 20 (-1) | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1480 | 0-1 | vs LAC (1494): Slight fav |
| prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1497): L 15-16: 1480-0→1480 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1494): Slight favorite | ||||
| 21 (-7) | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1473 (-28) | 0-1 | at DET (1526): Lose by 6 |
| prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1468): L 13-30: 1501-28→1473 | ||||
| next: at Detroit LionsDET (1526): Lose by 6 points | ||||
| 22 (+4) | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1473 (+8) | 1-0 | at BUF (1572): Lose by 7 |
| prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1441): W 17-16: 1465+8→1473 | ||||
| next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1572): Lose by 7 points | ||||
| 23 (-5) | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1472 (-12) | 0-1 | at PHI (1619): Lose by 10 |
| prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1457): L 17-20: 1484-12→1472 | ||||
| next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1619): Lose by 10 points | ||||
| 24 (+3) | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1469 (+12) | 1-0 | vs CHI (1350): Win by 9 |
| prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1484): W 20-17: 1457+12→1469 | ||||
| next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1350): Win by 9 points | ||||
| 25 (-8) | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1468 (-24) | 0-1 | vs CLE (1503): Slight fav |
| prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1586): L 7-30: 1492-24→1468 | ||||
| next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1503): Slight favorite | ||||
| 26 (-6) | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1464 (-16) | 0-1 | vs NO (1497): Slight fav |
| prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1468): L 10-24: 1480-16→1464 | ||||
| next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1497): Slight favorite | ||||
| 27 (-5) | New York GiantsNYG | 1438 (-33) | 0-1 | at ARI (1433): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1599): L 0-40: 1471-33→1438 | ||||
| next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1433): Slight underdog | ||||
| 28 (+1) | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1433 (+2) | 0-1 | vs NYG (1438): Slight fav |
| prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1495): L 16-20: 1431+2→1433 | ||||
| next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1438): Slight favorite | ||||
| 29 (-1) | Denver BroncosDEN | 1433 (-8) | 0-1 | vs WAS (1493): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1465): L 16-17: 1441-8→1433 | ||||
| next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1493): Slight underdog | ||||
| 30 | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1392 (-11) | 0-1 | at HOU (1385): Slight 'dog |
| prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1528): L 21-31: 1403-11→1392 | ||||
| next: at Houston TexansHOU (1385): Slight underdog | ||||
| 31 | Houston TexansHOU | 1385 (-7) | 0-1 | vs IND (1392): Slight fav |
| prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1526): L 9-25: 1392-7→1385 | ||||
| next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1392): Slight favorite | ||||
| 32 | Chicago BearsCHI | 1350 (-19) | 0-1 | at TB (1469): Lose by 9 |
| prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1506): L 20-38: 1369-19→1350 | ||||
| next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1469): Lose by 9 points | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| ARI, ATL, BUF, CAR, CIN, DAL, DET, HOU, | ||||
| KC, NE, PHI, PIT, SF, TB, TEN, WAS | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2023 season:
| Rank | Team | Elo Rating | Record | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cincinnati BengalsCIN | 1638 | 0-0 | at CLE (1471): Win by 4 |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1648-10→1638 | ||||
| next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1471): Win by 4 points | ||||
| 2 | Kansas City ChiefsKC | 1624 | 0-0 | vs DET (1507): Win by 9 |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1633-9→1624 | ||||
| next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1507): Win by 9 points | ||||
| 3 | Philadelphia EaglesPHI | 1613 | 0-0 | at NE (1536): Slight fav |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1621-8→1613 | ||||
| next: at New England PatriotsNE (1536): Slight favorite | ||||
| 4 | Dallas CowboysDAL | 1599 | 0-0 | at NYG (1471): Slight fav |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1606-7→1599 | ||||
| next: at New York GiantsNYG (1471): Slight favorite | ||||
| 5 | San Francisco 49ersSF | 1586 | 0-0 | at PIT (1492): Slight fav |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1592-6→1586 | ||||
| next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1492): Slight favorite | ||||
| 6 | Buffalo BillsBUF | 1580 | 0-0 | at NYJ (1476): Slight fav |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1586-6→1580 | ||||
| next: at New York JetsNYJ (1476): Slight favorite | ||||
| 7 | New England PatriotsNE | 1536 | 0-0 | vs PHI (1613): Slight 'dog |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1538-2→1536 | ||||
| next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1613): Slight underdog | ||||
| 8 | Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | 1528 | 0-0 | at IND (1403): Slight fav |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1530-2→1528 | ||||
| next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1403): Slight favorite | ||||
| 9 | Baltimore RavensBAL | 1526 | 0-0 | vs HOU (1392): Win by 10 |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1528-2→1526 | ||||
| next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1392): Win by 10 points | ||||
| 10 | Miami DolphinsMIA | 1513 | 0-0 | at LAC (1503): Slight 'dog |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1514-1→1513 | ||||
| next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1503): Slight underdog | ||||
| 11 | Detroit LionsDET | 1507 | 0-0 | at KC (1624): Lose by 9 |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1508-1→1507 | ||||
| next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1624): Lose by 9 points | ||||
| 12 | Green Bay PackersGB | 1506 | 0-0 | at CHI (1369): Slight fav |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1507-1→1506 | ||||
| next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1369): Slight favorite | ||||
| 13 | Los Angeles ChargersLAC | 1503 | 0-0 | vs MIA (1513): Slight fav |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1503+0→1503 | ||||
| next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1513): Slight favorite | ||||
| 14 | Seattle SeahawksSEA | 1501 | 0-0 | vs LAR (1468): Win by 3 |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1501+0→1501 | ||||
| next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1468): Win by 3 points | ||||
| 15 | New Orleans SaintsNO | 1497 | 0-0 | vs TEN (1480): Slight fav |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1497+0→1497 | ||||
| next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1480): Slight favorite | ||||
| 16 | Washington CommandersWAS | 1495 | 0-0 | vs ARI (1431): Win by 5 |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1495+0→1495 | ||||
| next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1431): Win by 5 points | ||||
| 17 | Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | 1492 | 0-0 | vs SF (1586): Slight 'dog |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1491+1→1492 | ||||
| next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1586): Slight underdog | ||||
| 18 | Minnesota VikingsMIN | 1484 | 0-0 | vs TB (1457): Win by 3 |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1482+2→1484 | ||||
| next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1457): Win by 3 points | ||||
| 19 | Tennessee TitansTEN | 1480 | 0-0 | at NO (1497): Slight 'dog |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1479+1→1480 | ||||
| next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1497): Slight underdog | ||||
| 20 | Carolina PanthersCAR | 1480 | 0-0 | at ATL (1468): Slight 'dog |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1479+1→1480 | ||||
| next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1468): Slight underdog | ||||
| 21 | New York JetsNYJ | 1476 | 0-0 | vs BUF (1580): Slight 'dog |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1474+2→1476 | ||||
| next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1580): Slight underdog | ||||
| 22 | New York GiantsNYG | 1471 | 0-0 | vs DAL (1599): Slight 'dog |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1469+2→1471 | ||||
| next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1599): Slight underdog | ||||
| 23 | Cleveland BrownsCLE | 1471 | 0-0 | vs CIN (1638): Lose by 4 |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1469+2→1471 | ||||
| next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1638): Lose by 4 points | ||||
| 24 | Atlanta FalconsATL | 1468 | 0-0 | vs CAR (1480): Slight fav |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1466+2→1468 | ||||
| next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1480): Slight favorite | ||||
| 25 | Los Angeles RamsLAR | 1468 | 0-0 | at SEA (1501): Lose by 3 |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1466+2→1468 | ||||
| next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1501): Lose by 3 points | ||||
| 26 | Las Vegas RaidersLV | 1465 | 0-0 | at DEN (1441): Slight 'dog |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1462+3→1465 | ||||
| next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1441): Slight underdog | ||||
| 27 | Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | 1457 | 0-0 | at MIN (1484): Lose by 3 |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1454+3→1457 | ||||
| next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1484): Lose by 3 points | ||||
| 28 | Denver BroncosDEN | 1441 | 0-0 | vs LV (1465): Slight fav |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1436+5→1441 | ||||
| next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1465): Slight favorite | ||||
| 29 | Arizona CardinalsARI | 1431 | 0-0 | at WAS (1495): Lose by 5 |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1426+5→1431 | ||||
| next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1495): Lose by 5 points | ||||
| 30 | Indianapolis ColtsIND | 1403 | 0-0 | vs JAX (1528): Slight 'dog |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1396+7→1403 | ||||
| next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1528): Slight underdog | ||||
| 31 | Houston TexansHOU | 1392 | 0-0 | at BAL (1526): Lose by 10 |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1384+8→1392 | ||||
| next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1526): Lose by 10 points | ||||
| 32 | Chicago BearsCHI | 1369 | 0-0 | vs GB (1506): Slight 'dog |
| prev: offseason parity reset: 1359+10→1369 | ||||
| next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1506): Slight underdog | ||||
Favorites: | ||||
| ATL, BAL, BUF, CIN, DAL, DEN, GB, JAX, | ||||
| KC, LAC, MIN, NO, PHI, SEA, SF, WAS | ||||
https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/
↑ Team Summaries for 2023 Season
↑ Arizona Cardinals
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1527 (+114 net) | avg. beat rating: 1542 | avg. lost to rating: 1522 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | at WAS(1495) L 16-20: +2→1433 | 9 | 31 | at CLE(1514) L 0-27: -21→1387 | 17 | 27 | at PHI(1585) W 35-31: +29→1420 |
| 2 | 30 | vs NYG(1438) L 28-31: -17→1416 | 10 | 30 | vs ATL(1432) W 25-23: +6→1393 | 18 | 28 | vs SEA(1487) L 20-21: -6→1414 |
| 3 | 18 | vs DAL(1649) W 28-16: +58→1474 | 11 | 31 | at HOU(1494) L 16-21: +4→1397 | W | 28 | |
| 4 | 23 | at SF(1635) L 16-35: -16→1458 | 12 | 31 | vs LAR(1449) L 14-37: -25→1372 | D | 28 | |
| 5 | 26 | vs CIN(1509) L 20-34: -30→1428 | 13 | 30 | at PIT(1501) W 24-10: +28→1400 | C | 28 | |
| 6 | 29 | at LAR(1491) L 9-26: -21→1407 | 14 | 30 | (bye) | S | 28 | |
| 7 | 29 | at SEA(1545) L 10-20: -3→1404 | 15 | 30 | vs SF(1683) L 29-45: -4→1396 | |||
| 8 | 29 | vs BAL(1612) L 24-31: +4→1408 | 16 | 30 | at CHI(1439) L 16-27: -5→1391 | |||
↑ Atlanta Falcons
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1464 (+18 net) | avg. beat rating: 1477 | avg. lost to rating: 1454 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | vs CAR(1480) W 24-10: +16→1484 | 9 | 25 | vs MIN(1547) L 28-31: +1→1432 | 17 | 26 | at CHI(1444) L 17-37: -20→1435 |
| 2 | 16 | vs GB(1525) W 25-24: +11→1495 | 10 | 27 | at ARI(1387) L 23-25: -6→1426 | 18 | 29 | at NO(1511) L 17-48: -24→1411 |
| 3 | 19 | at DET(1499) L 6-20: -27→1468 | 11 | 26 | (bye) | W | 29 | |
| 4 | 27 | at JAX(1451) L 7-23: -39→1429 | 12 | 23 | vs NO(1499) W 24-15: +13→1439 | D | 29 | |
| 5 | 24 | vs HOU(1471) W 21-19: +8→1437 | 13 | 23 | at NYJ(1421) W 13-8: +10→1449 | C | 29 | |
| 6 | 27 | vs WAS(1399) L 16-24: -27→1410 | 14 | 24 | vs TB(1468) L 25-29: -7→1442 | S | 29 | |
| 7 | 25 | at TB(1475) W 16-13: +19→1429 | 15 | 26 | at CAR(1360) L 7-9: -5→1437 | |||
| 8 | 23 | at TEN(1475) L 23-28: +2→1431 | 16 | 22 | vs IND(1468) W 29-10: +18→1455 | |||
↑ Baltimore Ravens
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1523 (-77 net) | avg. beat rating: 1538 | avg. lost to rating: 1475 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | vs HOU(1392) W 25-9: +7→1533 | 9 | 1 | vs SEA(1548) W 37-3: +31→1639 | 17 | 1 | vs MIA(1587) W 56-19: +10→1674 |
| 2 | 7 | at CIN(1606) W 27-24: +26→1559 | 10 | 4 | vs CLE(1535) L 31-33: -18→1621 | 18 | 2 | vs PIT(1493) L 10-17: -36→1638 |
| 3 | 10 | vs IND(1429) L 19-22: -34→1525 | 11 | 3 | vs CIN(1575) W 34-20: +12→1633 | W | 1 | (bye) |
| 4 | 6 | at CLE(1537) W 28-3: +57→1582 | 12 | 3 | at LAC(1531) W 20-10: +8→1641 | D | 1 | vs HOU(1525) W 34-10: +10→1648 |
| 5 | 8 | at PIT(1442) L 10-17: -25→1557 | 13 | 3 | (bye) | C | 2 | vs KC(1618) L 10-17: -39→1609 |
| 6 | 8 | at TEN(1484) W 24-16: +9→1566 | 14 | 3 | vs LAR(1493) W 37-31: -11→1630 | S | 2 | |
| 7 | 5 | vs DET(1603) W 38-6: +46→1612 | 15 | 3 | at JAX(1549) W 23-7: +11→1641 | |||
| 8 | 3 | at ARI(1404) W 31-24: -4→1608 | 16 | 2 | at SF(1687) W 33-19: +23→1664 | |||
↑ Buffalo Bills
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (-105 net) | avg. beat rating: 1511 | avg. lost to rating: 1504 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | at NYJ(1476) L 16-22: -8→1572 | 9 | 7 | at CIN(1586) L 18-24: -10→1594 | 17 | 4 | vs NE(1427) W 27-21: -9→1603 |
| 2 | 4 | vs LV(1473) W 38-10: +38→1610 | 10 | 7 | vs DEN(1430) L 22-24: -24→1570 | 18 | 4 | at MIA(1577) W 21-14: +16→1619 |
| 3 | 1 | at WAS(1501) W 37-3: +53→1663 | 11 | 6 | vs NYJ(1461) W 32-6: +19→1589 | W | 3 | vs PIT(1528) W 31-17: +4→1623 |
| 4 | 1 | vs MIA(1593) W 48-20: +39→1702 | 12 | 6 | at PHI(1632) L 34-37: +3→1592 | D | 4 | vs KC(1597) L 24-27: -21→1602 |
| 5 | 2 | at JAX(1489) L 20-25: -41→1661 | 13 | 6 | (bye) | C | 3 | |
| 6 | 2 | vs NYG(1395) W 14-9: -22→1639 | 14 | 4 | at KC(1593) W 20-17: +5→1597 | S | 4 | |
| 7 | 4 | at NE(1408) L 25-29: -25→1614 | 15 | 4 | vs DAL(1658) W 31-10: +17→1614 | |||
| 8 | 4 | vs TB(1456) W 24-18: -10→1604 | 16 | 4 | at LAC(1482) W 24-22: -2→1612 | |||
↑ Carolina Panthers
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1488 (+91 net) | avg. beat rating: 1461 | avg. lost to rating: 1492 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | at ATL(1468) L 10-24: -16→1464 | 9 | 32 | vs IND(1422) L 13-27: -26→1377 | 17 | 32 | at JAX(1520) L 0-26: -9→1357 |
| 2 | 26 | vs NO(1497) L 17-20: -14→1450 | 10 | 32 | at CHI(1397) L 13-16: +1→1378 | 18 | 32 | vs TB(1490) L 0-9: -8→1349 |
| 3 | 28 | at SEA(1501) L 27-37: -11→1439 | 11 | 32 | vs DAL(1627) L 10-33: -12→1366 | W | 32 | |
| 4 | 29 | vs MIN(1462) L 13-21: -24→1415 | 12 | 32 | at TEN(1436) L 10-17: -1→1365 | D | 32 | |
| 5 | 28 | at DET(1564) L 24-42: -10→1405 | 13 | 32 | at TB(1473) L 18-21: +5→1370 | C | 32 | |
| 6 | 30 | at MIA(1560) L 21-42: -14→1391 | 14 | 32 | at NO(1481) L 6-28: -10→1360 | S | 32 | |
| 7 | 31 | (bye) | 15 | 32 | vs ATL(1442) W 9-7: +4→1364 | |||
| 8 | 30 | vs HOU(1481) W 15-13: +12→1403 | 16 | 32 | vs GB(1475) L 30-33: +2→1366 | |||
↑ Chicago Bears
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1486 (+94 net) | avg. beat rating: 1459 | avg. lost to rating: 1505 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | vs GB(1506) L 20-38: -19→1350 | 9 | 30 | at NO(1507) L 17-24: +3→1397 | 17 | 23 | vs ATL(1455) W 37-17: +20→1464 |
| 2 | 32 | at TB(1469) L 17-27: -3→1347 | 10 | 29 | vs CAR(1377) W 16-13: -0→1397 | 18 | 23 | at GB(1509) L 9-17: -3→1461 |
| 3 | 32 | at KC(1623) L 10-41: -17→1330 | 11 | 30 | at DET(1564) L 26-31: +4→1401 | W | 23 | |
| 4 | 32 | vs DEN(1382) L 28-31: -9→1321 | 12 | 27 | at MIN(1541) W 12-10: +17→1418 | D | 23 | |
| 5 | 31 | at WAS(1464) W 40-20: +65→1386 | 13 | 26 | (bye) | C | 23 | |
| 6 | 32 | vs MIN(1482) L 13-19: -13→1373 | 14 | 25 | vs DET(1544) W 28-13: +16→1434 | S | 23 | |
| 7 | 28 | vs LV(1434) W 30-12: +34→1407 | 15 | 25 | at CLE(1512) L 17-20: +5→1439 | |||
| 8 | 32 | at LAC(1499) L 13-30: -13→1394 | 16 | 25 | vs ARI(1396) W 27-16: +5→1444 | |||
↑ Cincinnati Bengals
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1521 (-43 net) | avg. beat rating: 1535 | avg. lost to rating: 1505 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | at CLE(1471) L 3-24: -32→1606 | 9 | 6 | vs BUF(1604) W 24-18: +11→1597 | 17 | 9 | at KC(1570) L 17-25: -2→1533 |
| 2 | 6 | vs BAL(1533) L 24-27: -26→1580 | 10 | 6 | vs HOU(1472) L 27-30: -22→1575 | 18 | 8 | vs CLE(1526) W 31-14: +20→1553 |
| 3 | 7 | vs LAR(1481) W 19-16: -12→1568 | 11 | 7 | at BAL(1621) L 20-34: -13→1562 | W | 8 | |
| 4 | 11 | at TEN(1441) L 3-27: -59→1509 | 12 | 9 | vs PIT(1483) L 10-16: -18→1544 | D | 8 | |
| 5 | 10 | at ARI(1458) W 34-20: +30→1539 | 13 | 9 | at JAX(1562) W 34-31: +9→1553 | C | 8 | |
| 6 | 10 | vs SEA(1555) W 17-13: +9→1548 | 14 | 8 | vs IND(1465) W 34-14: +9→1562 | S | 8 | |
| 7 | 10 | (bye) | 15 | 8 | vs MIN(1524) W 27-24: -3→1559 | |||
| 8 | 7 | at SF(1642) W 31-17: +38→1586 | 16 | 9 | at PIT(1449) L 11-34: -24→1535 | |||
↑ Cleveland Browns
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1511 (-4 net) | avg. beat rating: 1515 | avg. lost to rating: 1502 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | vs CIN(1638) W 24-3: +32→1503 | 9 | 13 | vs ARI(1408) W 27-0: +21→1535 | 17 | 11 | vs NYJ(1419) W 37-20: +2→1526 |
| 2 | 17 | at PIT(1468) L 22-26: -10→1493 | 10 | 10 | at BAL(1639) W 33-31: +18→1553 | 18 | 15 | at CIN(1533) L 14-31: -20→1506 |
| 3 | 8 | vs TEN(1484) W 27-3: +44→1537 | 11 | 11 | vs PIT(1480) W 13-10: -4→1549 | W | 22 | at HOU(1487) L 14-45: -39→1467 |
| 4 | 17 | vs BAL(1525) L 3-28: -58→1479 | 12 | 11 | at DEN(1465) L 12-29: -23→1526 | D | 22 | |
| 5 | 19 | (bye) | 13 | 13 | at LAR(1475) L 19-36: -18→1508 | C | 22 | |
| 6 | 15 | vs SF(1697) W 19-17: +28→1507 | 14 | 12 | vs JAX(1553) W 31-27: +4→1512 | S | 22 | |
| 7 | 13 | at IND(1447) W 39-38: +6→1513 | 15 | 12 | vs CHI(1434) W 20-17: -4→1508 | |||
| 8 | 13 | at SEA(1548) L 20-24: +1→1514 | 16 | 10 | at HOU(1471) W 36-22: +16→1524 | |||
↑ Dallas Cowboys
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (-123 net) | avg. beat rating: 1474 | avg. lost to rating: 1573 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | at NYG(1471) W 40-0: +33→1632 | 9 | 3 | at PHI(1618) L 23-28: -4→1608 | 17 | 3 | vs DET(1552) W 20-19: -6→1630 |
| 2 | 1 | vs NYJ(1483) W 30-10: +17→1649 | 10 | 2 | vs NYG(1400) W 49-17: +19→1627 | 18 | 1 | at WAS(1382) W 38-10: +17→1647 |
| 3 | 6 | at ARI(1416) L 16-28: -57→1592 | 11 | 2 | at CAR(1378) W 33-10: +12→1639 | W | 5 | vs GB(1512) L 32-48: -56→1591 |
| 4 | 3 | vs NE(1519) W 38-3: +43→1635 | 12 | 2 | vs WAS(1408) W 45-10: +15→1654 | D | 5 | |
| 5 | 5 | at SF(1651) L 10-42: -45→1590 | 13 | 2 | vs SEA(1490) W 41-35: -7→1647 | C | 5 | |
| 6 | 6 | at LAC(1513) W 20-17: +6→1596 | 14 | 2 | vs PHI(1608) W 33-13: +11→1658 | S | 5 | |
| 7 | 6 | (bye) | 15 | 2 | at BUF(1597) L 10-31: -16→1642 | |||
| 8 | 2 | vs LAR(1488) W 43-20: +16→1612 | 16 | 3 | at MIA(1582) L 20-22: -6→1636 | |||
↑ Denver Broncos
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (+67 net) | avg. beat rating: 1517 | avg. lost to rating: 1500 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | vs LV(1465) L 16-17: -8→1433 | 9 | 26 | (bye) | 17 | 18 | vs LAC(1483) W 16-9: +6→1484 |
| 2 | 29 | vs WAS(1493) L 33-35: -9→1424 | 10 | 20 | at BUF(1594) W 24-22: +24→1454 | 18 | 22 | at LV(1470) L 14-27: -16→1468 |
| 3 | 31 | at MIA(1551) L 20-70: -42→1382 | 11 | 19 | vs MIN(1551) W 21-20: +11→1465 | W | 21 | |
| 4 | 31 | at CHI(1330) W 31-28: +8→1390 | 12 | 16 | vs CLE(1549) W 29-12: +24→1489 | D | 21 | |
| 5 | 32 | vs NYJ(1459) L 21-31: -20→1370 | 13 | 18 | at HOU(1485) L 17-22: -4→1485 | C | 21 | |
| 6 | 31 | at KC(1633) L 8-19: +5→1375 | 14 | 13 | at LAC(1526) W 24-7: +21→1506 | S | 21 | |
| 7 | 32 | vs GB(1463) W 19-17: +14→1389 | 15 | 16 | at DET(1528) L 17-42: -13→1493 | |||
| 8 | 24 | vs KC(1636) W 24-9: +41→1430 | 16 | 18 | vs NE(1412) L 23-26: -15→1478 | |||
↑ Detroit Lions
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-50 net) | avg. beat rating: 1491 | avg. lost to rating: 1511 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | at KC(1624) W 21-20: +19→1526 | 9 | 9 | (bye) | 17 | 7 | at DAL(1636) L 19-20: +6→1558 |
| 2 | 15 | vs SEA(1473) L 31-37: -27→1499 | 10 | 8 | at LAC(1547) W 41-38: +7→1564 | 18 | 7 | vs MIN(1481) W 30-20: +2→1560 |
| 3 | 9 | vs ATL(1495) W 20-6: +27→1526 | 11 | 8 | vs CHI(1397) W 31-26: -5→1559 | W | 7 | vs LAR(1533) W 24-23: -5→1555 |
| 4 | 7 | at GB(1517) W 34-20: +38→1564 | 12 | 10 | vs GB(1462) L 22-29: -20→1539 | D | 7 | vs TB(1531) W 31-23: +3→1558 |
| 5 | 6 | vs CAR(1415) W 42-24: +10→1574 | 13 | 10 | at NO(1486) W 33-28: +5→1544 | C | 7 | at SF(1617) L 31-34: +17→1575 |
| 6 | 4 | at TB(1504) W 20-6: +29→1603 | 14 | 10 | at CHI(1418) L 13-28: -16→1528 | S | 7 | |
| 7 | 8 | at BAL(1566) L 6-38: -47→1556 | 15 | 9 | vs DEN(1506) W 42-17: +13→1541 | |||
| 8 | 10 | vs LV(1400) W 26-14: +1→1557 | 16 | 8 | at MIN(1526) W 30-24: +11→1552 | |||
↑ Green Bay Packers
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1476 (-5 net) | avg. beat rating: 1489 | avg. lost to rating: 1461 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | at CHI(1369) W 38-20: +19→1525 | 9 | 21 | vs LAR(1472) W 20-3: +26→1451 | 17 | 13 | at MIN(1516) W 33-10: +35→1509 |
| 2 | 10 | at ATL(1484) L 24-25: -10→1515 | 10 | 21 | at PIT(1481) L 19-23: +2→1453 | 18 | 13 | vs CHI(1464) W 17-9: +3→1512 |
| 3 | 12 | vs NO(1511) W 18-17: +2→1517 | 11 | 20 | vs LAC(1540) W 23-20: +9→1462 | W | 6 | at DAL(1647) W 48-32: +57→1569 |
| 4 | 18 | vs DET(1526) L 20-34: -39→1478 | 12 | 19 | at DET(1559) W 29-22: +19→1481 | D | 6 | at SF(1636) L 21-24: +19→1588 |
| 5 | 22 | at LV(1417) L 13-17: -15→1463 | 13 | 15 | vs KC(1608) W 27-19: +15→1496 | C | 6 | |
| 6 | 22 | (bye) | 14 | 18 | at NYG(1409) L 22-24: -6→1490 | S | 6 | |
| 7 | 22 | at DEN(1375) L 17-19: -14→1449 | 15 | 19 | vs TB(1476) L 20-34: -15→1475 | |||
| 8 | 25 | vs MIN(1522) L 10-24: -24→1425 | 16 | 19 | at CAR(1364) W 33-30: -1→1474 | |||
↑ Houston Texans
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1473 (+18 net) | avg. beat rating: 1482 | avg. lost to rating: 1459 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | at BAL(1526) L 9-25: -7→1385 | 9 | 17 | vs TB(1466) W 39-37: +3→1472 | 17 | 21 | vs TEN(1439) W 26-3: +20→1475 |
| 2 | 31 | vs IND(1392) L 20-31: -37→1348 | 10 | 16 | at CIN(1597) W 30-27: +22→1494 | 18 | 18 | at IND(1452) W 23-19: +12→1487 |
| 3 | 30 | at JAX(1521) W 37-17: +71→1419 | 11 | 16 | vs ARI(1393) W 21-16: -4→1490 | W | 13 | vs CLE(1506) W 45-14: +38→1525 |
| 4 | 20 | vs PIT(1495) W 30-6: +52→1471 | 12 | 18 | vs JAX(1557) L 21-24: -5→1485 | D | 14 | at BAL(1638) L 10-34: -9→1516 |
| 5 | 23 | at ATL(1429) L 19-21: -8→1463 | 13 | 17 | vs DEN(1489) W 22-17: +3→1488 | C | 14 | |
| 6 | 18 | vs NO(1523) W 20-13: +18→1481 | 14 | 20 | at NYJ(1411) L 6-30: -22→1466 | S | 14 | |
| 7 | 19 | (bye) | 15 | 20 | at TEN(1447) W 19-16: +5→1471 | |||
| 8 | 20 | at CAR(1391) L 13-15: -12→1469 | 16 | 23 | vs CLE(1508) L 22-36: -16→1455 | |||
↑ Indianapolis Colts
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1478 (+33 net) | avg. beat rating: 1456 | avg. lost to rating: 1502 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | vs JAX(1528) L 21-31: -11→1392 | 9 | 22 | at CAR(1403) W 27-13: +26→1448 | 17 | 24 | vs LV(1472) W 23-20: +2→1452 |
| 2 | 28 | at HOU(1385) W 31-20: +37→1429 | 10 | 22 | at NE(1411) W 10-6: +4→1452 | 18 | 26 | vs HOU(1475) L 19-23: -12→1440 |
| 3 | 20 | at BAL(1559) W 22-19: +34→1463 | 11 | 21 | (bye) | W | 26 | |
| 4 | 25 | vs LAR(1493) L 23-29: -11→1452 | 12 | 22 | vs TB(1480) W 27-20: +6→1458 | D | 26 | |
| 5 | 20 | vs TEN(1500) W 23-16: +16→1468 | 13 | 22 | at TEN(1436) W 31-28: +7→1465 | C | 26 | |
| 6 | 23 | at JAX(1530) L 20-37: -21→1447 | 14 | 22 | at CIN(1553) L 14-34: -9→1456 | S | 26 | |
| 7 | 23 | vs CLE(1507) L 38-39: -7→1440 | 15 | 21 | vs PIT(1461) W 30-13: +12→1468 | |||
| 8 | 27 | vs NO(1489) L 27-38: -18→1422 | 16 | 24 | at ATL(1437) L 10-29: -18→1450 | |||
↑ Jacksonville Jaguars
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (-36 net) | avg. beat rating: 1483 | avg. lost to rating: 1519 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | at IND(1403) W 31-21: +11→1539 | 9 | 8 | (bye) | 17 | 10 | vs CAR(1366) W 26-0: +8→1528 |
| 2 | 9 | vs KC(1605) L 9-17: -18→1521 | 10 | 12 | vs SF(1604) L 3-34: -39→1542 | 18 | 14 | at TEN(1419) L 20-28: -19→1509 |
| 3 | 23 | vs HOU(1348) L 17-37: -70→1451 | 11 | 9 | vs TEN(1451) W 34-14: +15→1557 | W | 15 | |
| 4 | 15 | at ATL(1468) W 23-7: +38→1489 | 12 | 8 | at HOU(1490) W 24-21: +5→1562 | D | 15 | |
| 5 | 11 | at BUF(1702) W 25-20: +41→1530 | 13 | 8 | vs CIN(1544) L 31-34: -9→1553 | C | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | vs IND(1468) W 37-20: +22→1552 | 14 | 9 | at CLE(1508) L 27-31: -4→1549 | S | 15 | |
| 7 | 7 | at NO(1504) W 31-24: +15→1567 | 15 | 10 | vs BAL(1630) L 7-23: -11→1538 | |||
| 8 | 8 | at PIT(1492) W 20-10: +14→1581 | 16 | 11 | at TB(1491) L 12-30: -18→1520 | |||
↑ Kansas City Chiefs
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1481 (-127 net) | avg. beat rating: 1466 | avg. lost to rating: 1508 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | vs DET(1507) L 20-21: -19→1605 | 9 | 4 | at MIA(1565) W 21-14: +10→1605 | 17 | 6 | vs CIN(1535) W 25-17: +2→1572 |
| 2 | 3 | at JAX(1539) W 17-9: +18→1623 | 10 | 5 | (bye) | 18 | 5 | at LAC(1477) W 13-12: +4→1576 |
| 3 | 2 | vs CHI(1347) W 41-10: +17→1640 | 11 | 5 | vs PHI(1623) L 17-21: -10→1595 | W | 4 | vs MIA(1560) W 26-7: +21→1597 |
| 4 | 4 | at NYJ(1448) W 23-20: -11→1629 | 12 | 5 | at LV(1443) W 31-17: +13→1608 | D | 2 | at BUF(1623) W 27-24: +21→1618 |
| 5 | 3 | at MIN(1486) W 27-20: +4→1633 | 13 | 5 | at GB(1481) L 19-27: -15→1593 | C | 1 | at BAL(1648) W 17-10: +39→1657 |
| 6 | 3 | vs DEN(1370) W 19-8: -5→1628 | 14 | 6 | vs BUF(1592) L 17-20: -6→1587 | S | 1 | at SF(1600) W 25-22: -8→1649 |
| 7 | 2 | vs LAC(1507) W 31-17: +8→1636 | 15 | 6 | at NE(1414) W 27-17: +2→1589 | |||
| 8 | 6 | at DEN(1389) L 9-24: -41→1595 | 16 | 7 | vs LV(1453) L 14-20: -19→1570 | |||
↑ Las Vegas Raiders
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (+58 net) | avg. beat rating: 1476 | avg. lost to rating: 1513 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | at DEN(1441) W 17-16: +8→1473 | 9 | 24 | vs NYG(1434) W 30-6: +34→1433 | 17 | 22 | at IND(1450) L 20-23: -2→1470 |
| 2 | 27 | at BUF(1572) L 10-38: -38→1435 | 10 | 25 | vs NYJ(1467) W 16-12: +6→1439 | 18 | 19 | vs DEN(1484) W 27-14: +16→1486 |
| 3 | 29 | vs PIT(1478) L 18-23: -16→1419 | 11 | 23 | at MIA(1555) L 13-20: +4→1443 | W | 18 | |
| 4 | 28 | at LAC(1511) L 17-24: -2→1417 | 12 | 25 | vs KC(1595) L 17-31: -12→1431 | D | 18 | |
| 5 | 25 | vs GB(1478) W 17-13: +15→1432 | 13 | 24 | (bye) | C | 18 | |
| 6 | 24 | vs NE(1411) W 21-17: +2→1434 | 14 | 27 | vs MIN(1524) L 0-3: -1→1430 | S | 18 | |
| 7 | 30 | at CHI(1373) L 12-30: -34→1400 | 15 | 22 | vs LAC(1505) W 63-21: +23→1453 | |||
| 8 | 31 | at DET(1556) L 14-26: -1→1399 | 16 | 21 | at KC(1589) W 20-14: +19→1472 | |||
↑ Los Angeles Chargers
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1509 (+0 net) | avg. beat rating: 1443 | avg. lost to rating: 1536 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | vs MIA(1513) L 34-36: -9→1494 | 9 | 11 | at NYJ(1502) W 27-6: +35→1547 | 17 | 20 | at DEN(1478) L 9-16: -6→1477 |
| 2 | 18 | at TEN(1480) L 24-27: -4→1490 | 10 | 13 | vs DET(1557) L 38-41: -7→1540 | 18 | 21 | vs KC(1572) L 12-13: -4→1473 |
| 3 | 14 | at MIN(1483) W 28-24: +21→1511 | 11 | 13 | at GB(1453) L 20-23: -9→1531 | W | 20 | |
| 4 | 10 | vs LV(1419) W 24-17: +2→1513 | 12 | 12 | vs BAL(1633) L 10-20: -7→1524 | D | 20 | |
| 5 | 13 | (bye) | 13 | 11 | at NE(1404) W 6-0: +2→1526 | C | 20 | |
| 6 | 13 | vs DAL(1590) L 17-20: -6→1507 | 14 | 14 | vs DEN(1485) L 7-24: -21→1505 | S | 20 | |
| 7 | 15 | at KC(1628) L 17-31: -8→1499 | 15 | 18 | at LV(1430) L 21-63: -23→1482 | |||
| 8 | 14 | vs CHI(1407) W 30-13: +13→1512 | 16 | 17 | vs BUF(1614) L 22-24: +1→1483 | |||
↑ Los Angeles Rams
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1512 (+25 net) | avg. beat rating: 1478 | avg. lost to rating: 1561 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | at SEA(1501) W 30-13: +28→1496 | 9 | 23 | at GB(1425) L 3-20: -27→1445 | 17 | 14 | at NYG(1413) W 26-25: -2→1505 |
| 2 | 21 | vs SF(1609) L 23-30: -15→1481 | 10 | 24 | (bye) | 18 | 10 | at SF(1664) W 21-20: +28→1533 |
| 3 | 17 | at CIN(1580) L 16-19: +12→1493 | 11 | 22 | vs SEA(1510) W 17-16: +4→1449 | W | 10 | at DET(1560) L 23-24: +5→1538 |
| 4 | 12 | at IND(1463) W 29-23: +11→1504 | 12 | 20 | at ARI(1397) W 37-14: +26→1475 | D | 10 | |
| 5 | 15 | vs PHI(1611) L 14-23: -13→1491 | 13 | 16 | vs CLE(1526) W 36-19: +18→1493 | C | 10 | |
| 6 | 12 | vs ARI(1428) W 26-9: +21→1512 | 14 | 15 | at BAL(1641) L 31-37: +10→1503 | S | 10 | |
| 7 | 18 | vs PIT(1468) L 17-24: -24→1488 | 15 | 14 | vs WAS(1376) W 28-20: -1→1502 | |||
| 8 | 19 | at DAL(1596) L 20-43: -16→1472 | 16 | 14 | vs NO(1498) W 30-22: +5→1507 | |||
↑ Miami Dolphins
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (-57 net) | avg. beat rating: 1459 | avg. lost to rating: 1592 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | at LAC(1503) W 36-34: +8→1521 | 9 | 10 | at KC(1595) L 14-21: -10→1555 | 17 | 5 | at BAL(1664) L 19-56: -10→1577 |
| 2 | 8 | at NE(1530) W 24-17: +30→1551 | 10 | 9 | (bye) | 18 | 6 | vs BUF(1603) L 14-21: -17→1560 |
| 3 | 5 | vs DEN(1424) W 70-20: +42→1593 | 11 | 10 | vs LV(1439) W 20-13: -4→1551 | W | 9 | at KC(1576) L 7-26: -21→1539 |
| 4 | 9 | at BUF(1663) L 20-48: -39→1554 | 12 | 7 | at NYJ(1442) W 34-13: +20→1571 | D | 9 | |
| 5 | 7 | vs NYG(1401) W 31-16: +6→1560 | 13 | 7 | at WAS(1393) W 45-15: +17→1588 | C | 9 | |
| 6 | 7 | vs CAR(1405) W 42-21: +14→1574 | 14 | 7 | vs TEN(1430) L 27-28: -17→1571 | S | 9 | |
| 7 | 9 | at PHI(1597) L 17-31: -18→1556 | 15 | 7 | vs NYJ(1433) W 30-0: +11→1582 | |||
| 8 | 9 | vs NE(1433) W 31-17: +9→1565 | 16 | 5 | vs DAL(1642) W 22-20: +5→1587 | |||
↑ Minnesota Vikings
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (-9 net) | avg. beat rating: 1473 | avg. lost to rating: 1519 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | vs TB(1457) L 17-20: -12→1472 | 9 | 12 | at ATL(1431) W 31-28: -1→1546 | 17 | 19 | vs GB(1474) L 10-33: -35→1481 |
| 2 | 20 | at PHI(1619) L 28-34: +11→1483 | 10 | 11 | vs NO(1504) W 27-19: +5→1551 | 18 | 20 | at DET(1558) L 20-30: -3→1478 |
| 3 | 21 | vs LAC(1490) L 24-28: -21→1462 | 11 | 12 | at DEN(1454) L 20-21: -10→1541 | W | 19 | |
| 4 | 16 | at CAR(1439) W 21-13: +24→1486 | 12 | 13 | vs CHI(1401) L 10-12: -17→1524 | D | 19 | |
| 5 | 17 | vs KC(1629) L 20-27: -4→1482 | 13 | 12 | (bye) | C | 19 | |
| 6 | 17 | at CHI(1386) W 19-13: +13→1495 | 14 | 11 | at LV(1431) W 3-0: +0→1524 | S | 19 | |
| 7 | 12 | vs SF(1669) W 22-17: +27→1522 | 15 | 11 | at CIN(1562) L 24-27: +2→1526 | |||
| 8 | 12 | at GB(1449) W 24-10: +25→1547 | 16 | 12 | vs DET(1541) L 24-30: -10→1516 | |||
↑ New England Patriots
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1509 (+65 net) | avg. beat rating: 1518 | avg. lost to rating: 1506 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | vs PHI(1613) L 20-25: -6→1530 | 9 | 28 | vs WAS(1413) L 17-20: -13→1411 | 17 | 25 | at BUF(1612) L 21-27: +10→1437 |
| 2 | 14 | vs MIA(1521) L 17-24: -29→1501 | 10 | 28 | at IND(1448) L 6-10: -4→1407 | 18 | 30 | vs NYJ(1417) L 3-17: -29→1408 |
| 3 | 11 | at NYJ(1466) W 15-10: +18→1519 | 11 | 28 | (bye) | W | 30 | |
| 4 | 19 | at DAL(1592) L 3-38: -44→1475 | 12 | 29 | at NYG(1406) L 7-10: -3→1404 | D | 30 | |
| 5 | 27 | vs NO(1458) L 0-34: -64→1411 | 13 | 29 | vs LAC(1524) L 0-6: -2→1402 | C | 30 | |
| 6 | 28 | at LV(1432) L 17-21: -3→1408 | 14 | 29 | at PIT(1473) W 21-18: +12→1414 | S | 30 | |
| 7 | 24 | vs BUF(1639) W 29-25: +25→1433 | 15 | 28 | vs KC(1587) L 17-27: -2→1412 | |||
| 8 | 26 | at MIA(1556) L 17-31: -9→1424 | 16 | 27 | at DEN(1493) W 26-23: +15→1427 | |||
↑ New Orleans Saints
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1469 (-28 net) | avg. beat rating: 1443 | avg. lost to rating: 1499 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | vs TEN(1480) W 16-15: +0→1497 | 9 | 15 | vs CHI(1394) W 24-17: -3→1504 | 17 | 12 | at TB(1509) W 23-13: +19→1511 |
| 2 | 11 | at CAR(1464) W 20-17: +14→1511 | 10 | 15 | at MIN(1546) L 19-27: -5→1499 | 18 | 9 | vs ATL(1435) W 48-17: +24→1535 |
| 3 | 15 | at GB(1515) L 17-18: -2→1509 | 11 | 15 | (bye) | W | 11 | |
| 4 | 24 | vs TB(1452) L 9-26: -51→1458 | 12 | 17 | at ATL(1426) L 15-24: -13→1486 | D | 11 | |
| 5 | 12 | at NE(1475) W 34-0: +65→1523 | 13 | 19 | vs DET(1539) L 28-33: -5→1481 | C | 11 | |
| 6 | 16 | at HOU(1463) L 13-20: -19→1504 | 14 | 17 | vs CAR(1370) W 28-6: +10→1491 | S | 11 | |
| 7 | 17 | vs JAX(1552) L 24-31: -15→1489 | 15 | 15 | vs NYG(1415) W 24-6: +7→1498 | |||
| 8 | 15 | at IND(1440) W 38-27: +18→1507 | 16 | 16 | at LAR(1502) L 22-30: -6→1492 | |||
↑ New York Giants
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1518 (+98 net) | avg. beat rating: 1459 | avg. lost to rating: 1550 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | vs DAL(1599) L 0-40: -33→1438 | 9 | 29 | at LV(1399) L 6-30: -34→1400 | 17 | 30 | vs LAR(1507) L 25-26: +1→1414 |
| 2 | 25 | at ARI(1433) W 31-28: +17→1455 | 10 | 31 | at DAL(1608) L 17-49: -19→1381 | 18 | 24 | vs PHI(1556) W 27-10: +34→1448 |
| 3 | 26 | at SF(1624) L 12-30: -11→1444 | 11 | 29 | at WAS(1433) W 31-19: +25→1406 | W | 24 | |
| 4 | 30 | vs SEA(1512) L 3-24: -43→1401 | 12 | 28 | vs NE(1407) W 10-7: +3→1409 | D | 24 | |
| 5 | 30 | at MIA(1554) L 16-31: -6→1395 | 13 | 28 | (bye) | C | 24 | |
| 6 | 26 | at BUF(1661) L 9-14: +23→1418 | 14 | 28 | vs GB(1496) W 24-22: +6→1415 | S | 24 | |
| 7 | 26 | vs WAS(1426) W 14-7: +11→1429 | 15 | 29 | at NO(1491) L 6-24: -7→1408 | |||
| 8 | 22 | vs NYJ(1507) L 10-13: +5→1434 | 16 | 29 | at PHI(1590) L 25-33: +5→1413 | |||
↑ New York Jets
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1512 (+58 net) | avg. beat rating: 1475 | avg. lost to rating: 1537 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | vs BUF(1580) W 22-16: +7→1483 | 9 | 19 | vs LAC(1512) L 6-27: -35→1467 | 17 | 29 | at CLE(1524) L 20-37: -2→1417 |
| 2 | 24 | at DAL(1632) L 10-30: -17→1466 | 10 | 19 | at LV(1433) L 12-16: -6→1461 | 18 | 25 | at NE(1437) W 17-3: +28→1445 |
| 3 | 25 | vs NE(1501) L 10-15: -18→1448 | 11 | 24 | at BUF(1570) L 6-32: -19→1442 | W | 25 | |
| 4 | 22 | vs KC(1640) L 20-23: +11→1459 | 12 | 26 | vs MIA(1551) L 13-34: -21→1421 | D | 25 | |
| 5 | 18 | at DEN(1390) W 31-21: +21→1480 | 13 | 27 | vs ATL(1439) L 8-13: -10→1411 | C | 25 | |
| 6 | 14 | vs PHI(1625) W 20-14: +27→1507 | 14 | 26 | vs HOU(1488) W 30-6: +22→1433 | S | 25 | |
| 7 | 14 | (bye) | 15 | 27 | at MIA(1571) L 0-30: -11→1422 | |||
| 8 | 16 | vs NYG(1429) W 13-10: -5→1502 | 16 | 28 | vs WAS(1378) W 30-28: -3→1419 | |||
↑ Philadelphia Eagles
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1513 (-96 net) | avg. beat rating: 1512 | avg. lost to rating: 1515 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | at NE(1536) W 25-20: +6→1619 | 9 | 2 | vs DAL(1612) W 28-23: +5→1623 | 17 | 8 | vs ARI(1391) L 31-35: -29→1556 |
| 2 | 5 | vs MIN(1472) W 34-28: -11→1608 | 10 | 3 | (bye) | 18 | 12 | at NYG(1414) L 10-27: -34→1522 |
| 3 | 4 | at TB(1471) W 25-11: +19→1627 | 11 | 4 | at KC(1605) W 21-17: +9→1632 | W | 17 | at TB(1498) L 9-32: -33→1489 |
| 4 | 5 | vs WAS(1448) W 34-31: -16→1611 | 12 | 4 | vs BUF(1589) W 37-34: -2→1630 | D | 17 | |
| 5 | 4 | at LAR(1504) W 23-14: +14→1625 | 13 | 4 | vs SF(1660) L 19-42: -22→1608 | C | 17 | |
| 6 | 5 | at NYJ(1480) L 14-20: -28→1597 | 14 | 5 | at DAL(1647) L 13-33: -11→1597 | S | 17 | |
| 7 | 3 | vs MIA(1574) W 31-17: +19→1616 | 15 | 5 | at SEA(1496) L 17-20: -7→1590 | |||
| 8 | 1 | at WAS(1416) W 38-31: +2→1618 | 16 | 6 | vs NYG(1408) W 33-25: -5→1585 | |||
↑ Pittsburgh Steelers
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1507 (+30 net) | avg. beat rating: 1526 | avg. lost to rating: 1479 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | vs SF(1586) L 7-30: -24→1468 | 9 | 16 | vs TEN(1473) W 20-16: +3→1481 | 17 | 15 | at SEA(1506) W 30-23: +19→1493 |
| 2 | 22 | vs CLE(1503) W 26-22: +10→1478 | 10 | 18 | vs GB(1451) W 23-19: -1→1480 | 18 | 11 | at BAL(1674) W 17-10: +35→1528 |
| 3 | 16 | at LV(1435) W 23-18: +17→1495 | 11 | 17 | at CLE(1553) L 10-13: +3→1483 | W | 14 | at BUF(1619) L 17-31: -4→1524 |
| 4 | 26 | at HOU(1419) L 6-30: -53→1442 | 12 | 14 | at CIN(1562) W 16-10: +18→1501 | D | 13 | |
| 5 | 21 | vs BAL(1582) W 17-10: +26→1468 | 13 | 20 | vs ARI(1372) L 10-24: -28→1473 | C | 13 | |
| 6 | 21 | (bye) | 14 | 21 | vs NE(1402) L 18-21: -12→1461 | S | 13 | |
| 7 | 16 | at LAR(1512) W 24-17: +24→1492 | 15 | 23 | at IND(1456) L 13-30: -12→1449 | |||
| 8 | 17 | vs JAX(1567) L 10-20: -14→1478 | 16 | 20 | vs CIN(1559) W 34-11: +25→1474 | |||
↑ San Francisco 49ers
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1512 (-138 net) | avg. beat rating: 1502 | avg. lost to rating: 1534 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | at PIT(1492) W 30-7: +23→1609 | 9 | 5 | (bye) | 17 | 2 | at WAS(1381) W 27-10: -0→1664 |
| 2 | 2 | at LAR(1496) W 30-23: +15→1624 | 10 | 1 | at JAX(1581) W 34-3: +39→1643 | 18 | 3 | vs LAR(1505) L 20-21: -28→1636 |
| 3 | 3 | vs NYG(1455) W 30-12: +11→1635 | 11 | 1 | vs TB(1481) W 27-14: +1→1644 | W | 2 | (bye) |
| 4 | 2 | vs ARI(1474) W 35-16: +16→1651 | 12 | 1 | at SEA(1506) W 31-13: +16→1660 | D | 3 | vs GB(1569) W 24-21: -19→1617 |
| 5 | 1 | vs DAL(1635) W 42-10: +46→1697 | 13 | 1 | at PHI(1630) W 42-19: +22→1682 | C | 4 | vs DET(1558) W 34-31: -17→1600 |
| 6 | 1 | at CLE(1479) L 17-19: -28→1669 | 14 | 1 | vs SEA(1497) W 28-16: +1→1683 | S | 3 | at KC(1657) L 22-25: +8→1608 |
| 7 | 1 | at MIN(1495) L 17-22: -27→1642 | 15 | 1 | at ARI(1400) W 45-29: +4→1687 | |||
| 8 | 5 | vs CIN(1548) L 17-31: -38→1604 | 16 | 1 | vs BAL(1641) L 19-33: -23→1664 | |||
↑ Seattle Seahawks
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1514 (+3 net) | avg. beat rating: 1469 | avg. lost to rating: 1564 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | vs LAR(1468) L 13-30: -28→1473 | 9 | 14 | at BAL(1608) L 3-37: -31→1517 | 17 | 17 | vs PIT(1474) L 23-30: -19→1487 |
| 2 | 13 | at DET(1526) W 37-31: +28→1501 | 10 | 14 | vs WAS(1426) W 29-26: -7→1510 | 18 | 17 | at ARI(1420) W 21-20: +7→1494 |
| 3 | 13 | vs CAR(1450) W 37-27: +11→1512 | 11 | 14 | at LAR(1445) L 16-17: -4→1506 | W | 16 | |
| 4 | 8 | at NYG(1444) W 24-3: +43→1555 | 12 | 15 | vs SF(1644) L 13-31: -16→1490 | D | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | (bye) | 13 | 14 | at DAL(1654) L 35-41: +7→1497 | C | 16 | |
| 6 | 11 | at CIN(1539) L 13-17: -10→1545 | 14 | 16 | at SF(1682) L 16-28: -1→1496 | S | 16 | |
| 7 | 11 | vs ARI(1407) W 20-10: +3→1548 | 15 | 13 | vs PHI(1597) W 20-17: +7→1503 | |||
| 8 | 11 | vs CLE(1513) W 24-20: -0→1548 | 16 | 15 | at TEN(1443) W 20-17: +3→1506 | |||
↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1487 (+11 net) | avg. beat rating: 1446 | avg. lost to rating: 1533 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | at MIN(1484) W 20-17: +12→1469 | 9 | 20 | at HOU(1469) L 37-39: -4→1462 | 17 | 16 | vs NO(1492) L 13-23: -19→1490 |
| 2 | 23 | vs CHI(1350) W 27-17: +2→1471 | 10 | 17 | vs TEN(1470) W 20-6: +19→1481 | 18 | 16 | at CAR(1357) W 9-0: +8→1498 |
| 3 | 22 | vs PHI(1608) L 11-25: -19→1452 | 11 | 18 | at SF(1643) L 14-27: -1→1480 | W | 12 | vs PHI(1522) W 32-9: +33→1531 |
| 4 | 13 | at NO(1509) W 26-9: +52→1504 | 12 | 21 | at IND(1452) L 20-27: -7→1473 | D | 12 | at DET(1555) L 23-31: -3→1528 |
| 5 | 14 | (bye) | 13 | 21 | vs CAR(1365) W 21-18: -5→1468 | C | 12 | |
| 6 | 19 | vs DET(1574) L 6-20: -29→1475 | 14 | 19 | at ATL(1449) W 29-25: +8→1476 | S | 12 | |
| 7 | 21 | vs ATL(1410) L 13-16: -19→1456 | 15 | 17 | at GB(1490) W 34-20: +15→1491 | |||
| 8 | 21 | at BUF(1614) L 18-24: +10→1466 | 16 | 13 | vs JAX(1538) W 30-12: +18→1509 | |||
↑ Tennessee Titans
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1490 (+32 net) | avg. beat rating: 1496 | avg. lost to rating: 1488 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | at NO(1497) L 15-16: -0→1480 | 9 | 18 | at PIT(1478) L 16-20: -3→1470 | 17 | 28 | at HOU(1455) L 3-26: -20→1419 |
| 2 | 19 | vs LAC(1494) W 27-24: +4→1484 | 10 | 23 | at TB(1462) L 6-20: -19→1451 | 18 | 27 | vs JAX(1528) W 28-20: +19→1438 |
| 3 | 27 | at CLE(1493) L 3-27: -43→1441 | 11 | 25 | at JAX(1542) L 14-34: -15→1436 | W | 27 | |
| 4 | 14 | vs CIN(1568) W 27-3: +59→1500 | 12 | 24 | vs CAR(1366) W 17-10: +0→1436 | D | 27 | |
| 5 | 16 | at IND(1452) L 16-23: -16→1484 | 13 | 25 | vs IND(1458) L 28-31: -6→1430 | C | 27 | |
| 6 | 20 | at BAL(1557) L 16-24: -9→1475 | 14 | 23 | at MIA(1588) W 28-27: +17→1447 | S | 27 | |
| 7 | 20 | (bye) | 15 | 24 | vs HOU(1466) L 16-19: -4→1443 | |||
| 8 | 18 | vs ATL(1429) W 28-23: -2→1473 | 16 | 26 | vs SEA(1503) L 17-20: -4→1439 | |||
↑ Washington Commanders
| reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1509 (+83 net) | avg. beat rating: 1431 | avg. lost to rating: 1532 | avg. remaining rating: - | ||||||||
| Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome | Wk | Rk | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | vs ARI(1431) W 20-16: -2→1493 | 9 | 27 | at NE(1424) W 20-17: +13→1426 | 17 | 31 | vs SF(1664) L 10-27: +1→1382 |
| 2 | 12 | at DEN(1433) W 35-33: +8→1501 | 10 | 26 | at SEA(1517) L 26-29: +7→1433 | 18 | 31 | vs DAL(1630) L 10-38: -17→1365 |
| 3 | 24 | vs BUF(1610) L 3-37: -53→1448 | 11 | 27 | vs NYG(1381) L 19-31: -25→1408 | W | 31 | |
| 4 | 21 | at PHI(1627) L 31-34: +16→1464 | 12 | 30 | at DAL(1639) L 10-45: -15→1393 | D | 31 | |
| 5 | 29 | vs CHI(1321) L 20-40: -65→1399 | 13 | 31 | vs MIA(1571) L 15-45: -17→1376 | C | 31 | |
| 6 | 25 | at ATL(1437) W 24-16: +27→1426 | 14 | 31 | (bye) | S | 31 | |
| 7 | 27 | at NYG(1418) L 7-14: -10→1416 | 15 | 31 | at LAR(1503) L 20-28: +2→1378 | |||
| 8 | 28 | vs PHI(1616) L 31-38: -3→1413 | 16 | 31 | at NYJ(1422) L 28-30: +3→1381 | |||
↑ 2023 Season Stats and Tidbits
- Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
- 4 games (weeks 17-20) Green Bay Packers: +114 total Elo rating
- 3 games (weeks 16-18) New York Giants: +40 total Elo rating
- 2 games (weeks 17-18) New Orleans Saints: +43 total Elo rating
- 2 games (weeks 18-19) Los Angeles Rams: +33 total Elo rating
- 2 games (weeks 20-21) Detroit Lions: +20 total Elo rating
- Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
- 8 games (weeks 12-19) Philadelphia Eagles: -143 total Elo rating
- 3 games (weeks 17-19) Miami Dolphins: -48 total Elo rating
- 3 games (weeks 16-18) Minnesota Vikings: -48 total Elo rating
- 2 games (weeks 18-19) Cleveland Browns: -59 total Elo rating
- 2 games (weeks 17-18) Atlanta Falcons: -44 total Elo rating
- Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
- Week 8, 247-Elo upset: Kansas City Chiefs (1636) 8-point favorites at Denver Broncos (1389): Broncos win 24-9
- Week 3, 233-Elo upset: Dallas Cowboys (1649) 10-point favorites at Arizona Cardinals (1416): Cardinals win 28-16
- Week 7, 231-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1639) 7-point favorites at New England Patriots (1408): Patriots win 29-25
- Week 6, 218-Elo upset: San Francisco 49ers (1697) 8-point favorites at Cleveland Browns (1479): Browns win 19-17
- Week 5, 213-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1702) 12-point favorites at Jacksonville Jaguars (1489): Jaguars win 25-20
- Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
- Week W, 32-point differential: Dallas Cowboys (1647) 16-point favorites vs Green Bay Packers (1512): Packers win 48-32
- Week 5, 31-point differential: Washington Commanders (1464) 11-point favorites vs Chicago Bears (1321): Bears win 40-20
- Week 5, 34-point differential: New England Patriots (1475) Tossup favorites vs New Orleans Saints (1458): Saints win 34-0
- Week 3, 29-point differential: Jacksonville Jaguars (1521) 9-point favorites vs Houston Texans (1348): Texans win 37-17
- Week 15, 42-point differential: Los Angeles Chargers (1505) Tossup favorites vs Las Vegas Raiders (1430): Raiders win 63-21
- Week 17, 28-point differential: Minnesota Vikings (1516) 5-point favorites vs Green Bay Packers (1474): Packers win 33-10
- Most Improved Elo on the Season:
- +124: Houston Texans (1392) before week 1 → (1516) thru week 20
- +92: Chicago Bears (1369) before week 1 → (1461) thru week 18
- +83: Baltimore Ravens (1526) before week 1 → (1609) thru week 21
- +81: Green Bay Packers (1506) before week 1 → (1588) thru week 20
- +71: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1457) before week 1 → (1528) thru week 20
more...
- +70: Los Angeles Rams (1468) before week 1 → (1538) thru week 19
- +68: Detroit Lions (1507) before week 1 → (1575) thru week 21
- +39: New Orleans Saints (1497) before week 1 → (1535) thru week 18
- +37: Indianapolis Colts (1403) before week 1 → (1440) thru week 18
- +32: Pittsburgh Steelers (1492) before week 1 → (1524) thru week 19
- +27: Denver Broncos (1441) before week 1 → (1468) thru week 18
- +26: Miami Dolphins (1513) before week 1 → (1539) thru week 19
- +25: Kansas City Chiefs (1624) before week 1 → (1649) thru week 22
- +23: Buffalo Bills (1580) before week 1 → (1602) thru week 20
- +22: San Francisco 49ers (1586) before week 1 → (1608) thru week 22
- +21: Las Vegas Raiders (1465) before week 1 → (1486) thru week 18
- -4: Cleveland Browns (1471) before week 1 → (1467) thru week 19
- -5: Minnesota Vikings (1484) before week 1 → (1478) thru week 18
- -8: Seattle Seahawks (1501) before week 1 → (1494) thru week 18
- -8: Dallas Cowboys (1599) before week 1 → (1591) thru week 19
- -18: Arizona Cardinals (1431) before week 1 → (1414) thru week 18
- -19: Jacksonville Jaguars (1528) before week 1 → (1509) thru week 18
- -23: New York Giants (1471) before week 1 → (1448) thru week 18
- -30: Los Angeles Chargers (1503) before week 1 → (1473) thru week 18
- -31: New York Jets (1476) before week 1 → (1445) thru week 18
- -42: Tennessee Titans (1480) before week 1 → (1438) thru week 18
- -57: Atlanta Falcons (1468) before week 1 → (1411) thru week 18
- -84: Cincinnati Bengals (1638) before week 1 → (1553) thru week 18
- -123: Philadelphia Eagles (1613) before week 1 → (1489) thru week 19
- -127: New England Patriots (1536) before week 1 → (1408) thru week 18
- -130: Washington Commanders (1495) before week 1 → (1365) thru week 18
- -132: Carolina Panthers (1480) before week 1 → (1349) thru week 18
- Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
- -132: Carolina Panthers (1480) before week 1 → (1349) thru week 18
- -130: Washington Commanders (1495) before week 1 → (1365) thru week 18
- -127: New England Patriots (1536) before week 1 → (1408) thru week 18
- -123: Philadelphia Eagles (1613) before week 1 → (1489) thru week 19
- -84: Cincinnati Bengals (1638) before week 1 → (1553) thru week 18
more...
- -57: Atlanta Falcons (1468) before week 1 → (1411) thru week 18
- -42: Tennessee Titans (1480) before week 1 → (1438) thru week 18
- -31: New York Jets (1476) before week 1 → (1445) thru week 18
- -30: Los Angeles Chargers (1503) before week 1 → (1473) thru week 18
- -23: New York Giants (1471) before week 1 → (1448) thru week 18
- -19: Jacksonville Jaguars (1528) before week 1 → (1509) thru week 18
- -18: Arizona Cardinals (1431) before week 1 → (1414) thru week 18
- -8: Dallas Cowboys (1599) before week 1 → (1591) thru week 19
- -8: Seattle Seahawks (1501) before week 1 → (1494) thru week 18
- -5: Minnesota Vikings (1484) before week 1 → (1478) thru week 18
- -4: Cleveland Browns (1471) before week 1 → (1467) thru week 19
- +21: Las Vegas Raiders (1465) before week 1 → (1486) thru week 18
- +22: San Francisco 49ers (1586) before week 1 → (1608) thru week 22
- +23: Buffalo Bills (1580) before week 1 → (1602) thru week 20
- +25: Kansas City Chiefs (1624) before week 1 → (1649) thru week 22
- +26: Miami Dolphins (1513) before week 1 → (1539) thru week 19
- +27: Denver Broncos (1441) before week 1 → (1468) thru week 18
- +32: Pittsburgh Steelers (1492) before week 1 → (1524) thru week 19
- +37: Indianapolis Colts (1403) before week 1 → (1440) thru week 18
- +39: New Orleans Saints (1497) before week 1 → (1535) thru week 18
- +68: Detroit Lions (1507) before week 1 → (1575) thru week 21
- +70: Los Angeles Rams (1468) before week 1 → (1538) thru week 19
- +71: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1457) before week 1 → (1528) thru week 20
- +81: Green Bay Packers (1506) before week 1 → (1588) thru week 20
- +83: Baltimore Ravens (1526) before week 1 → (1609) thru week 21
- +92: Chicago Bears (1369) before week 1 → (1461) thru week 18
- +124: Houston Texans (1392) before week 1 → (1516) thru week 20
- Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
- +145: Houston Texans (1348) before week 3 → (1494) thru week 10
- +131: Denver Broncos (1375) before week 7 → (1506) thru week 14
- +130: Buffalo Bills (1572) before week 2 → (1702) thru week 4
- +130: Jacksonville Jaguars (1451) before week 4 → (1581) thru week 8
- +114: Green Bay Packers (1474) before week 17 → (1588) thru week 20
more...
- +114: Baltimore Ravens (1525) before week 4 → (1639) thru week 9
- +111: San Francisco 49ers (1586) before week 1 → (1697) thru week 5
- +104: Detroit Lions (1499) before week 3 → (1603) thru week 6
- +97: Chicago Bears (1321) before week 5 → (1418) thru week 12
- +89: Minnesota Vikings (1462) before week 4 → (1551) thru week 10
- +89: Los Angeles Rams (1449) before week 12 → (1538) thru week 19
- +88: Cincinnati Bengals (1509) before week 5 → (1597) thru week 9
- +86: Kansas City Chiefs (1570) before week 17 → (1657) thru week 21
- +81: Seattle Seahawks (1473) before week 2 → (1555) thru week 4
- +80: Miami Dolphins (1513) before week 1 → (1593) thru week 3
- +79: Pittsburgh Steelers (1449) before week 16 → (1528) thru week 18
- +76: Indianapolis Colts (1392) before week 2 → (1468) thru week 5
- +73: Cleveland Browns (1479) before week 5 → (1553) thru week 10
- +72: Las Vegas Raiders (1399) before week 9 → (1472) thru week 16
- +67: New York Giants (1381) before week 11 → (1448) thru week 18
- +65: Dallas Cowboys (1590) before week 6 → (1654) thru week 12
- +62: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1468) before week 14 → (1531) thru week 19
- +59: New York Jets (1448) before week 4 → (1507) thru week 6
- +57: Los Angeles Chargers (1490) before week 3 → (1547) thru week 9
- +54: New Orleans Saints (1481) before week 14 → (1535) thru week 18
- +48: Arizona Cardinals (1372) before week 13 → (1420) thru week 17
- +43: Tennessee Titans (1441) before week 4 → (1484) thru week 5
- +39: Atlanta Falcons (1410) before week 7 → (1449) thru week 13
- +35: New England Patriots (1402) before week 14 → (1437) thru week 17
- +35: Philadelphia Eagles (1597) before week 7 → (1632) thru week 11
- +34: Washington Commanders (1399) before week 6 → (1433) thru week 10
- +6: Carolina Panthers (1360) before week 15 → (1366) thru week 16
- Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
- -143: Philadelphia Eagles (1632) before week 12 → (1489) thru week 19
- -132: Buffalo Bills (1702) before week 5 → (1570) thru week 10
- -129: Cincinnati Bengals (1638) before week 1 → (1509) thru week 4
- -127: New England Patriots (1536) before week 1 → (1408) thru week 6
- -102: Washington Commanders (1501) before week 3 → (1399) thru week 5
more...
- -100: Green Bay Packers (1525) before week 2 → (1425) thru week 8
- -96: New York Jets (1507) before week 7 → (1411) thru week 13
- -93: San Francisco 49ers (1697) before week 6 → (1604) thru week 8
- -89: Carolina Panthers (1480) before week 1 → (1391) thru week 6
- -88: Jacksonville Jaguars (1539) before week 2 → (1451) thru week 3
- -88: Arizona Cardinals (1474) before week 4 → (1387) thru week 9
- -85: Atlanta Falcons (1495) before week 3 → (1410) thru week 6
- -82: Cleveland Browns (1549) before week 12 → (1467) thru week 19
- -76: New York Giants (1471) before week 1 → (1395) thru week 5
- -74: Las Vegas Raiders (1473) before week 2 → (1399) thru week 8
- -74: Detroit Lions (1603) before week 7 → (1528) thru week 14
- -73: Minnesota Vikings (1551) before week 11 → (1478) thru week 18
- -71: Denver Broncos (1441) before week 1 → (1370) thru week 5
- -71: Los Angeles Chargers (1547) before week 10 → (1477) thru week 17
- -67: Los Angeles Rams (1512) before week 7 → (1445) thru week 9
- -67: Dallas Cowboys (1658) before week 15 → (1591) thru week 19
- -65: Baltimore Ravens (1674) before week 18 → (1609) thru week 21
- -65: Seattle Seahawks (1555) before week 5 → (1490) thru week 12
- -64: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 5 → (1436) thru week 11
- -53: New Orleans Saints (1511) before week 3 → (1458) thru week 4
- -52: Pittsburgh Steelers (1501) before week 13 → (1449) thru week 15
- -49: Miami Dolphins (1588) before week 14 → (1539) thru week 19
- -49: Kansas City Chiefs (1636) before week 8 → (1587) thru week 14
- -48: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1504) before week 5 → (1456) thru week 7
- -47: Chicago Bears (1369) before week 1 → (1321) thru week 4
- -46: Indianapolis Colts (1468) before week 6 → (1422) thru week 8
- -44: Houston Texans (1392) before week 1 → (1348) thru week 2
- Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
- Arizona Cardinals: 1527
- Baltimore Ravens: 1523
- Cincinnati Bengals: 1521
- New York Giants: 1518
- Seattle Seahawks: 1514
more...
- Philadelphia Eagles: 1513
- Los Angeles Rams: 1512
- New York Jets: 1512
- San Francisco 49ers: 1512
- Cleveland Browns: 1511
- New England Patriots: 1509
- Los Angeles Chargers: 1509
- Washington Commanders: 1509
- Buffalo Bills: 1508
- Denver Broncos: 1508
- Pittsburgh Steelers: 1507
- Miami Dolphins: 1506
- Dallas Cowboys: 1503
- Minnesota Vikings: 1500
- Jacksonville Jaguars: 1499
- Detroit Lions: 1497
- Las Vegas Raiders: 1495
- Tennessee Titans: 1490
- Carolina Panthers: 1488
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1487
- Chicago Bears: 1486
- Kansas City Chiefs: 1481
- Indianapolis Colts: 1478
- Green Bay Packers: 1476
- Houston Texans: 1473
- New Orleans Saints: 1469
- Atlanta Falcons: 1464
- Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
- Atlanta Falcons: 1464
- New Orleans Saints: 1469
- Houston Texans: 1473
- Green Bay Packers: 1476
- Indianapolis Colts: 1478
more...
- Kansas City Chiefs: 1481
- Chicago Bears: 1486
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1487
- Carolina Panthers: 1488
- Tennessee Titans: 1490
- Las Vegas Raiders: 1495
- Detroit Lions: 1497
- Jacksonville Jaguars: 1499
- Minnesota Vikings: 1500
- Dallas Cowboys: 1503
- Miami Dolphins: 1506
- Pittsburgh Steelers: 1507
- Denver Broncos: 1508
- Buffalo Bills: 1508
- Washington Commanders: 1509
- Los Angeles Chargers: 1509
- New England Patriots: 1509
- Cleveland Browns: 1511
- San Francisco 49ers: 1512
- New York Jets: 1512
- Los Angeles Rams: 1512
- Philadelphia Eagles: 1513
- Seattle Seahawks: 1514
- New York Giants: 1518
- Cincinnati Bengals: 1521
- Baltimore Ravens: 1523
- Arizona Cardinals: 1527
- Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
- Arizona Cardinals: 1542
- Baltimore Ravens: 1538
- Cincinnati Bengals: 1535
- Pittsburgh Steelers: 1526
- New England Patriots: 1518
more...
- Denver Broncos: 1517
- Cleveland Browns: 1515
- Philadelphia Eagles: 1512
- Buffalo Bills: 1511
- San Francisco 49ers: 1502
- Tennessee Titans: 1496
- Detroit Lions: 1491
- Green Bay Packers: 1489
- Jacksonville Jaguars: 1483
- Houston Texans: 1482
- Los Angeles Rams: 1478
- Atlanta Falcons: 1477
- Las Vegas Raiders: 1476
- New York Jets: 1475
- Dallas Cowboys: 1474
- Minnesota Vikings: 1473
- Seattle Seahawks: 1469
- Kansas City Chiefs: 1466
- Carolina Panthers: 1461
- Chicago Bears: 1459
- New York Giants: 1459
- Miami Dolphins: 1459
- Indianapolis Colts: 1456
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1446
- Los Angeles Chargers: 1443
- New Orleans Saints: 1443
- Washington Commanders: 1431
- Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
- Washington Commanders: 1431
- New Orleans Saints: 1443
- Los Angeles Chargers: 1443
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1446
- Indianapolis Colts: 1456
more...
- Miami Dolphins: 1459
- New York Giants: 1459
- Chicago Bears: 1459
- Carolina Panthers: 1461
- Kansas City Chiefs: 1466
- Seattle Seahawks: 1469
- Minnesota Vikings: 1473
- Dallas Cowboys: 1474
- New York Jets: 1475
- Las Vegas Raiders: 1476
- Atlanta Falcons: 1477
- Los Angeles Rams: 1478
- Houston Texans: 1482
- Jacksonville Jaguars: 1483
- Green Bay Packers: 1489
- Detroit Lions: 1491
- Tennessee Titans: 1496
- San Francisco 49ers: 1502
- Buffalo Bills: 1511
- Philadelphia Eagles: 1512
- Cleveland Browns: 1515
- Denver Broncos: 1517
- New England Patriots: 1518
- Pittsburgh Steelers: 1526
- Cincinnati Bengals: 1535
- Baltimore Ravens: 1538
- Arizona Cardinals: 1542
↑ 2023 Season Model Accuracy
| Week | Winners Picked | Running Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9-7 (9/16, 56.25%) | 9-7 (9/16, 56.25%) |
| 2 | 10-6 (10/16, 62.5%) | 19-13 (19/32, 59.38%) |
| 3 | 10-6 (10/16, 62.5%) | 29-19 (29/48, 60.42%) |
| 4 | 8-8 (8/16, 50.0%) | 37-27 (37/64, 57.81%) |
| 5 | 9-5 (9/14, 64.29%) | 46-32 (46/78, 58.97%) |
| 6 | 11-4 (11/15, 73.33%) | 57-36 (57/93, 61.29%) |
| 7 | 7-6 (7/13, 53.85%) | 64-42 (64/106, 60.38%) |
| 8 | 13-3 (13/16, 81.25%) | 77-45 (77/122, 63.11%) |
| 9 | 10-4 (10/14, 71.43%) | 87-49 (87/136, 63.97%) |
| 10 | 9-5 (9/14, 64.29%) | 96-54 (96/150, 64.0%) |
| 11 | 10-4 (10/14, 71.43%) | 106-58 (106/164, 64.63%) |
| 12 | 10-6 (10/16, 62.5%) | 116-64 (116/180, 64.44%) |
| 13 | 7-6 (7/13, 53.85%) | 123-70 (123/193, 63.73%) |
| 14 | 7-8 (7/15, 46.67%) | 130-78 (130/208, 62.5%) |
| 15 | 10-6 (10/16, 62.5%) | 140-84 (140/224, 62.5%) |
| 16 | 8-8 (8/16, 50.0%) | 148-92 (148/240, 61.67%) |
| 17 | 12-4 (12/16, 75.0%) | 160-96 (160/256, 62.5%) |
| 18 | 9-7 (9/16, 56.25%) | 169-103 (169/272, 62.13%) |
| W | 5-1 (5/6, 83.33%) | 174-104 (174/278, 62.59%) |
| D | 3-1 (3/4, 75.0%) | 177-105 (177/282, 62.77%) |
| C | 1-1 (1/2, 50.0%) | 178-106 (178/284, 62.68%) |
| S | 1-0 (1/1, 100.0%) | 179-106 (179/285, 62.81%) |
↑ Introduction and Background
This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.
The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.
In applying Elo ratings to football, we can consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the FAQ page for more background.
This Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 1994 through 2025. Over that span it correctly picks winners in 65.63% of games, trailing the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.64% (according to covers.com/sportsoddshistory). This model also does well compared to the average picker at NFL Picks Page. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.
Have more questions? See the FAQ page.
Elo rating details:
- An "average" rating is 1500.
- For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
- Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- division alignment (whether a game is a division matchup),
- whether a game is meaningless with respect to playoff seeding,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
- The losing team can gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
- The winning team can lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
- Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
- Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
- Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 1992 season — although only the last ~20 games have any real impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 1992 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 1992 and 1993 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 1994 season.
- While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 1991 or older seasons in the model search process, nor to publish 2019 or older seasons.
- If you see an unequal number of Elo rating points moved from one team to another after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.
2026 Updates
- 2026 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- A new "v4.2026.04" model was found, and it's the most accurate model yet. It also fixes the misbehavior of last year's "v3.2025.06" model. See more details in the 2026 preseason blog post.
2025 Updates
- 2026-01-03 - Reverted to last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See the 2025 blog post for more details. The "v3.2025.06" 2025 rankings are available here.
- 2025 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- An improved "v3.2025.06" model was found after a much bigger automated model search where 10 million models were evaluated for each of the regular, "never lose Elo for a win," and "blank slate" model types. The new "v3.2025.06" model is a "regular" model, and was more accurate than the new best found "never lose Elo for a win" and "blank slate" models. It picks a net 2.3 more game winners correctly per season from 1994 through 2024 than last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See more details in the 2025 preseason blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2025. There are links to the frozen pages near the top of the above linked blog post.
2024 Updates
- 2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
- 2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
- 2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).
2023 Updates
- 2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
- 2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
- the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
- the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
- the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
- the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
- the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
- the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
- 2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
- 2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
- the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
- the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
- the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
- the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
- the Lions move from 10th to 9th
- the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
- 2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
- 2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
- 2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
- 2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
- 2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
- 2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I
was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model.
I wrote a little more background on my
blog post.
Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
- 2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
- 2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous
seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the
"offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears
to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season.
Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013:
the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of
incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.
With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves. - 2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
- 2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
- 2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased
its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my
eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made
in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the
Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.
These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).
As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc. - 2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.
These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.
The schedule on this page is derived from Pro-Football-Reference.com, with weekly scores data from nflverse and some hand-entered scores.
The data on these pages was at one point derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages. I donate to Wikipedia annually. If you value free access to information on the web, or have recently found Wikipedia useful, I encourage you to do so as well.
If you enjoy reading these power rankings, check out the discussion in my weekly posts in the r/nfl subreddit or leave a small tip. Thanks!
© 2026 Phil Thompson
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