NFL Elo Power Rankings 2021

Birds
Mandel

Weekly NFL power rankings based on the Elo rating system. Read more here.

After Super Bowl
After Championship
After Divisional
After Wildcard
After Week 18
After Week 17
After Week 16
After Week 15
After Week 14
After Week 13
After Week 12
After Week 11
After Week 10
After Week 9
After Week 8
After Week 7
After Week 6
After Week 5
After Week 4
After Week 3
After Week 2
After Week 1
Before Week 1
2021 Summaries by Team
2021 Stats and Tidbits
2021 Model Accuracy

← 2020 Season NFL Elo Home 2022 Season →

↑ Power Rankings After Super Bowl, 2021 Season

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1663	12-7
2 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1614	14-5
3 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1612	12-8
4 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1608 (-13)	16-5
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1585): W 23-20: 1621-13→1608
5 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1599 (+14)	13-8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1621): L 20-23: 1585+14→1599
6 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1587	14-6
7	Dallas CowboysDAL	1580	12-6
8	New England PatriotsNE	1572	10-8
9	Green Bay PackersGB	1561	13-5
10	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1557	9-8
11	Tennessee TitansTEN	1544	12-6
12	New Orleans SaintsNO	1531	9-8
13	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1522	7-10
14	Arizona CardinalsARI	1516	11-7
15	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1515	8-9
16	Miami DolphinsMIA	1502	9-8
17	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1502	9-8
18	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1497	9-9
19	Baltimore RavensBAL	1496	8-9
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1487	8-9
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1478	9-8-1
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1467	10-8
23	Washington Football TeamWAS	1465	7-10
24	Chicago BearsCHI	1450	6-11
25	Denver BroncosDEN	1445	7-10
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1408	7-10
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1407	5-12
28	Detroit LionsDET	1390	3-13-1
29	Houston TexansHOU	1378	4-13
30	New York GiantsNYG	1370	4-13
31	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1345	3-14
32	New York JetsNYJ	1335	4-13

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Championship, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1663	12-7
2	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1621 (-4)	15-5	vs CIN (1585): Win by 8
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1608): W 20-17: 1625-4→1621
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1585): Win by 8 points
3 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1614	14-5
4 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1612 (+4)	12-8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1625): L 17-20: 1608+4→1612
5 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1587 (-35)	14-6
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1550): L 24-27(OT): 1622-35→1587
6 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1585 (+35)	13-7	at LAR (1621): Lose by 8
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1622): W 27-24(OT): 1550+35→1585
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1621): Lose by 8 points
7 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1580	12-6
8 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1572	10-8
9 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1561	13-5
10 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1557	9-8
11	Tennessee TitansTEN	1544	12-6
12	New Orleans SaintsNO	1531	9-8
13	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1522	7-10
14	Arizona CardinalsARI	1516	11-7
15	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1515	8-9
16	Miami DolphinsMIA	1502	9-8
17	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1502	9-8
18	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1497	9-9
19	Baltimore RavensBAL	1496	8-9
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1487	8-9
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1478	9-8-1
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1467	10-8
23	Washington Football TeamWAS	1465	7-10
24	Chicago BearsCHI	1450	6-11
25	Denver BroncosDEN	1445	7-10
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1408	7-10
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1407	5-12
28	Detroit LionsDET	1390	3-13-1
29	Houston TexansHOU	1378	4-13
30	New York GiantsNYG	1370	4-13
31	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1345	3-14
32	New York JetsNYJ	1335	4-13
Favorites:
LAR

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Divisional, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1663 (-13)	12-7
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1609): L 36-42(OT): 1676-13→1663
2 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1625 (+28)	14-5	vs SF (1608): Win by 5
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1642): W 30-27: 1597+28→1625
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1608): Win by 5 points
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1622 (+13)	14-5	vs CIN (1550): Win by 11
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1676): W 42-36(OT): 1609+13→1622
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1550): Win by 11 points
4 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1614 (-28)	14-5
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1597): L 27-30: 1642-28→1614
5	San Francisco 49ersSF	1608 (+23)	12-7	at LAR (1625): Lose by 5
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1584): W 13-10: 1585+23→1608
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1625): Lose by 5 points
6 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1580	12-6
7 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1572	10-8
8 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1561 (-23)	13-5
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1585): L 10-13: 1584-23→1561
9 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1557	9-8
10 (+3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1550 (+33)	12-7	at KC (1622): Lose by 11
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1578): W 19-16: 1517+33→1550
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1622): Lose by 11 points
11 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1544 (-34)	12-6
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1517): L 16-19: 1578-34→1544
12 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1531	9-8
13 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1522	7-10
14	Arizona CardinalsARI	1516	11-7
15	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1515	8-9
16	Miami DolphinsMIA	1502	9-8
17	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1502	9-8
18	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1497	9-9
19	Baltimore RavensBAL	1496	8-9
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1487	8-9
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1478	9-8-1
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1467	10-8
23	Washington Football TeamWAS	1465	7-10
24	Chicago BearsCHI	1450	6-11
25	Denver BroncosDEN	1445	7-10
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1408	7-10
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1407	5-12
28	Detroit LionsDET	1390	3-13-1
29	Houston TexansHOU	1378	4-13
30	New York GiantsNYG	1370	4-13
31	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1345	3-14
32	New York JetsNYJ	1335	4-13
Favorites:
KC, LAR

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Wildcard, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1676 (+30)	12-6	at KC (1609): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1602): W 47-17: 1646+30→1676
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1609): Slight favorite
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1642	14-4	vs LAR (1597): Win by 8
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1496): W 31-15: 1642-0→1642
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1597): Win by 8 points
3 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1609 (+8)	13-5	vs BUF (1676): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1486): W 42-21: 1601+8→1609
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1676): Slight underdog
4 (+4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1597 (+25)	13-5	at TB (1642): Lose by 8
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1541): W 34-11: 1572+25→1597
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1642): Lose by 8 points
5 (+5)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1585 (+31)	11-7	at GB (1584): Lose by 6
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1611): W 23-17: 1554+31→1585
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1584): Lose by 6 points
6	Green Bay PackersGB	1584	13-4	vs SF (1585): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1585): Win by 6 points
7 (-4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1580 (-31)	12-6
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1554): L 17-23: 1611-31→1580
8 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1578	12-5	vs CIN (1517): Win by 12
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1517): Win by 12 points
9 (-5)	New England PatriotsNE	1572 (-30)	10-8
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1646): L 17-47: 1602-30→1572
10 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1557	9-8
11 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1531	9-8
12 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1522	7-10
13 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1517 (-2)	11-7	at TEN (1578): Lose by 12
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1465): W 26-19: 1519-2→1517
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1578): Lose by 12 points
14 (-3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1516 (-25)	11-7
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1572): L 11-34: 1541-25→1516
15	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1515	8-9
16	Miami DolphinsMIA	1502	9-8
17	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1502	9-8
18	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1497 (+1)	9-9
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1642): L 15-31: 1496+1→1497
19	Baltimore RavensBAL	1496	8-9
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1487	8-9
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1478 (-8)	9-8-1
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1601): L 21-42: 1486-8→1478
22 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1467 (+2)	10-8
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1519): L 19-26: 1465+2→1467
23 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1465	7-10
24	Chicago BearsCHI	1450	6-11
25	Denver BroncosDEN	1445	7-10
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1408	7-10
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1407	5-12
28	Detroit LionsDET	1390	3-13-1
29	Houston TexansHOU	1378	4-13
30	New York GiantsNYG	1370	4-13
31	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1345	3-14
32	New York JetsNYJ	1335	4-13
Favorites:
BUF, GB, TB, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1646 (-6)	11-6	vs NE (1602): Win by 6
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1329): W 27-10: 1652-6→1646
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1602): Win by 6 points
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1642 (+7)	13-4	vs PHI (1496): Win by 16
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1413): W 41-17: 1635+7→1642
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1496): Win by 16 points
3 (+6)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1611 (+35)	12-5	vs SF (1554): Win by 9
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1532): W 51-26: 1576+35→1611
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1554): Win by 9 points
4 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1602 (-24)	10-7	at BUF (1646): Lose by 6
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1478): L 24-33: 1626-24→1602
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1646): Lose by 6 points
5	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1601 (-2)	12-5	vs PIT (1486): Win by 15
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1443): W 28-24: 1603-2→1601
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1486): Win by 15 points
6 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1584 (-31)	13-4	bye
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1358): L 30-37: 1615-31→1584
next: (bye)
7 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1578 (-9)	12-5	bye
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1369): W 28-25: 1587-9→1578
next: (bye)
8 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1572 (-18)	12-5	vs ARI (1541): Win by 5
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1537): L 24-27(OT): 1590-18→1572
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1541): Win by 5 points
9 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1557 (-46)	9-8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1299): L 11-26: 1603-46→1557
10 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1554 (+17)	10-7	at DAL (1611): Lose by 9
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1590): W 27-24(OT): 1537+17→1554
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1611): Lose by 9 points
11 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1541 (-28)	11-6	at LAR (1572): Lose by 5
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1494): L 30-38: 1569-28→1541
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1572): Lose by 5 points
12 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1531 (+14)	9-8
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1421): W 30-20: 1517+14→1531
13 (+5)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1522 (+28)	7-10
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1569): W 38-30: 1494+28→1522
14 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1519 (-9)	10-7	vs LV (1465): Win by 8
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1478): L 16-21: 1528-9→1519
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1465): Win by 8 points
15 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1515 (+11)	8-9
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1461): W 31-17: 1504+11→1515
16 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1502 (+24)	9-8
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1626): W 33-24: 1478+24→1502
17 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1502 (-4)	9-8
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1461): L 32-35(OT): 1506-4→1502
18 (-6)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1496 (-36)	9-8	at TB (1642): Lose by 16
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1576): L 26-51: 1532-36→1496
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1642): Lose by 16 points
19 (-4)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1496 (-17)	8-9
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1468): L 13-16(OT): 1513-17→1496
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1487 (+9)	8-9
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1528): W 21-16: 1478+9→1487
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1486 (+18)	9-7-1	at KC (1601): Lose by 15
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1513): W 16-13(OT): 1468+18→1486
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1601): Lose by 15 points
22 (+3)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1465 (+25)	7-10
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1395): W 22-7: 1440+25→1465
23 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1465 (+4)	10-7	at CIN (1519): Lose by 8
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): W 35-32(OT): 1461+4→1465
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1519): Lose by 8 points
24 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1450 (-11)	6-11
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1504): L 17-31: 1461-11→1450
25 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1445 (+2)	7-10
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1603): L 24-28: 1443+2→1445
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1408 (-13)	7-10
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1517): L 20-30: 1421-13→1408
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1407 (-6)	5-12
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1635): L 17-41: 1413-6→1407
28 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1390 (+32)	3-13-1
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1615): W 37-30: 1358+32→1390
29	Houston TexansHOU	1378 (+9)	4-13
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1587): L 25-28: 1369+9→1378
30 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1370 (-25)	4-13
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1440): L 7-22: 1395-25→1370
31 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1345 (+46)	3-14
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1603): W 26-11: 1299+46→1345
32 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1335 (+6)	4-13
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1652): L 10-27: 1329+6→1335
Favorites:
BUF, CIN, DAL, KC, LAR, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1652 (-8)	10-6	vs NYJ (1329): Win by 23
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1413): W 29-15: 1660-8→1652
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1329): Win by 23 points
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1635 (-13)	12-4	vs CAR (1413): Win by 17
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1316): W 28-24: 1648-13→1635
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1413): Win by 17 points
3 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1626 (+7)	10-6	at MIA (1478): Win by 5
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1306): W 50-10: 1619+7→1626
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1478): Win by 5 points
4 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1615 (+7)	13-3	at DET (1358): Win by 12
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1511): W 37-10: 1608+7→1615
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1358): Win by 12 points
5	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1603 (-11)	11-5	at DEN (1443): Win by 5
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1517): L 31-34: 1614-11→1603
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1443): Win by 5 points
6 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1603 (-29)	9-7	at JAX (1299): Win by 15
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1432): L 20-23: 1632-29→1603
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1299): Win by 15 points
7	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1590 (+3)	12-4	vs SF (1537): Win by 6
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1516): W 20-19: 1587+3→1590
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1537): Win by 6 points
8 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1587 (+17)	11-5	at HOU (1369): Win by 9
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1494): W 34-3: 1570+17→1587
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1369): Win by 9 points
9 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1576 (-8)	11-5	at PHI (1532): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1560): L 22-25: 1584-8→1576
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1532): Slight underdog
10	Arizona CardinalsARI	1569 (+9)	11-5	vs SEA (1494): Win by 8
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1584): W 25-22: 1560+9→1569
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1494): Win by 8 points
11	San Francisco 49ersSF	1537 (-2)	9-7	at LAR (1590): Lose by 6
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1367): W 23-7: 1539-2→1537
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1590): Lose by 6 points
12	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1532 (+3)	9-7	vs DAL (1576): Slight fav
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1444): W 20-16: 1529+3→1532
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1576): Slight favorite
13 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1528 (+11)	10-6	at CLE (1478): Tossup
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1614): W 34-31: 1517+11→1528
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1478): Tossup
14 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1517 (-1)	8-8	at ATL (1421): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1412): W 18-10: 1518-1→1517
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1421): Slight favorite
15	Baltimore RavensBAL	1513 (-3)	8-8	vs PIT (1468): Win by 6
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1587): L 19-20: 1516-3→1513
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1468): Win by 6 points
16 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1506 (+18)	9-7	at LV (1461): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1461): W 34-13: 1488+18→1506
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1461): Slight underdog
17 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1504 (-7)	7-9	vs CHI (1461): Win by 6
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1608): L 10-37: 1511-7→1504
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1461): Win by 6 points
18 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1494 (+8)	6-10	at ARI (1569): Lose by 8
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1367): W 51-29: 1486+8→1494
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1569): Lose by 8 points
19 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1478 (-16)	8-8	vs NE (1626): Lose by 5
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1570): L 3-34: 1494-16→1478
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1626): Lose by 5 points
20 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1478 (-15)	7-9	vs CIN (1528): Tossup
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1453): L 14-26: 1493-15→1478
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1528): Tossup
21 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1468 (+15)	8-7-1	at BAL (1513): Lose by 6
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1493): W 26-14: 1453+15→1468
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1513): Lose by 6 points
22 (+3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1461 (+29)	9-7	vs LAC (1506): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1632): W 23-20: 1432+29→1461
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): Slight favorite
23 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1461 (+21)	6-10	at MIN (1504): Lose by 6
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1416): W 29-3: 1440+21→1461
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1504): Lose by 6 points
24 (-3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1443 (-18)	7-9	vs KC (1603): Lose by 5
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1488): L 13-34: 1461-18→1443
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1603): Lose by 5 points
25 (-2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1440 (-4)	6-10	at NYG (1395): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1529): L 16-20: 1444-4→1440
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1395): Slight underdog
26 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1421 (+8)	7-9	vs NO (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1660): L 15-29: 1413+8→1421
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1517): Slight underdog
27 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1413 (+1)	5-11	at TB (1635): Lose by 17
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1518): L 10-18: 1412+1→1413
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1635): Lose by 17 points
28 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1395 (-21)	4-12	vs WAS (1440): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1440): L 3-29: 1416-21→1395
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1440): Slight favorite
29	Houston TexansHOU	1369 (+2)	4-12	vs TEN (1587): Lose by 9
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1539): L 7-23: 1367+2→1369
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1587): Lose by 9 points
30	Detroit LionsDET	1358 (-9)	2-13-1	vs GB (1615): Lose by 12
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1486): L 29-51: 1367-9→1358
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1615): Lose by 12 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1329 (+13)	4-12	at BUF (1652): Lose by 23
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1648): L 24-28: 1316+13→1329
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1652): Lose by 23 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1299 (-7)	2-14	vs IND (1603): Lose by 15
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1619): L 10-50: 1306-7→1299
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1603): Lose by 15 points
Favorites:
ARI, BAL, BUF, CLE, GB, IND, KC, LAR,
LV, MIN, NE, NO, NYG, PHI, TB, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1660 (+18)	9-6	vs ATL (1413): Win by 23
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1637): W 33-21: 1642+18→1660
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1413): Win by 23 points
2 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1648 (+14)	11-4	at NYJ (1316): Win by 22
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1427): W 32-6: 1634+14→1648
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1316): Win by 22 points
3 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1632 (+6)	9-6	vs LV (1432): Win by 20
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1566): W 22-16: 1626+6→1632
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1432): Win by 20 points
4 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1619 (-18)	9-6	vs JAX (1306): Win by 27
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1642): L 21-33: 1637-18→1619
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1306): Win by 27 points
5 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1614 (+7)	11-4	at CIN (1517): Win by 3
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1460): W 36-10: 1607+7→1614
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1517): Win by 3 points
6 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1608 (-10)	12-3	vs MIN (1511): Win by 9
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1482): W 24-22: 1618-10→1608
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1511): Win by 9 points
7	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1587 (+8)	11-4	at BAL (1516): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1519): W 30-23: 1579+8→1587
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1516): Slight favorite
8 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1584 (+18)	11-4	vs ARI (1560): Win by 4
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1462): W 56-14: 1566+18→1584
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1560): Win by 4 points
9 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1570 (-3)	10-5	vs MIA (1494): Win by 11
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1536): W 20-17: 1573-3→1570
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1494): Win by 11 points
10 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1560 (-6)	10-5	at DAL (1584): Lose by 4
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1626): L 16-22: 1566-6→1560
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1584): Lose by 4 points
11 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1539 (+3)	8-7	vs HOU (1367): Win by 18
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1573): L 17-20: 1536+3→1539
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1367): Win by 18 points
12 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1529 (+14)	8-7	at WAS (1444): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1430): W 34-10: 1515+14→1529
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1444): Slight favorite
13 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1518 (-28)	7-8	vs CAR (1412): Win by 9
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1466): L 3-20: 1546-28→1518
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1412): Win by 9 points
14 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1517 (+17)	9-6	vs KC (1614): Lose by 3
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1534): W 41-21: 1500+17→1517
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1614): Lose by 3 points
15 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1516 (-18)	8-7	vs LAR (1587): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1500): L 21-41: 1534-18→1516
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1587): Slight underdog
16 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1511 (-8)	7-8	at GB (1608): Lose by 9
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1579): L 23-30: 1519-8→1511
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1608): Lose by 9 points
17 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1494 (+28)	8-7	at TEN (1570): Lose by 11
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1546): W 20-3: 1466+28→1494
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1570): Lose by 11 points
18 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1493 (+11)	7-8	at PIT (1453): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1618): L 22-24: 1482+11→1493
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1453): Slight underdog
19 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1488 (-25)	8-7	vs DEN (1461): Win by 5
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1342): L 29-41: 1513-25→1488
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1461): Win by 5 points
20 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1486 (-14)	5-10	vs DET (1367): Win by 13
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1426): L 24-25: 1500-14→1486
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1367): Win by 13 points
21	Denver BroncosDEN	1461 (-4)	7-8	at LAC (1488): Lose by 5
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1427): L 13-17: 1465-4→1461
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1488): Lose by 5 points
22 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1453 (-7)	7-7-1	vs CLE (1493): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1607): L 10-36: 1460-7→1453
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1493): Slight favorite
23 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1444 (-18)	6-9	vs PHI (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1566): L 14-56: 1462-18→1444
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1529): Slight underdog
24 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1440 (+14)	5-10	vs NYG (1416): Win by 5
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): W 25-24: 1426+14→1440
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1416): Win by 5 points
25	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1432 (+5)	8-7	at IND (1632): Lose by 20
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1465): W 17-13: 1427+5→1432
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1632): Lose by 20 points
26 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1416 (-14)	4-11	at CHI (1440): Lose by 5
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1515): L 10-34: 1430-14→1416
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1440): Lose by 5 points
27 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1413 (-3)	7-8	at BUF (1660): Lose by 23
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1364): W 20-16: 1416-3→1413
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1660): Lose by 23 points
28 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1412 (-15)	5-10	at NO (1518): Lose by 9
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1634): L 6-32: 1427-15→1412
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1518): Lose by 9 points
29 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1367 (+25)	4-11	at SF (1539): Lose by 18
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1513): W 41-29: 1342+25→1367
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1539): Lose by 18 points
30 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1367 (+3)	2-12-1	at SEA (1486): Lose by 13
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1416): L 16-20: 1364+3→1367
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1486): Lose by 13 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1316 (+2)	4-11	vs TB (1648): Lose by 22
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1308): W 26-21: 1314+2→1316
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1648): Lose by 22 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1306 (-2)	2-13	at NE (1619): Lose by 27
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1314): L 21-26: 1308-2→1306
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1619): Lose by 27 points
Favorites:
BUF, CHI, DAL, GB, IND, KC, LAC, LAR,
NE, NO, PHI, PIT, SEA, SF, TB, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1642 (-1)	8-6	at NE (1637): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1426): W 31-14: 1643-1→1642
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1637): Slight underdog
2	New England PatriotsNE	1637 (-8)	9-5	vs BUF (1642): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1618): L 17-27: 1645-8→1637
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1642): Slight favorite
3 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1634 (-16)	10-4	at CAR (1427): Win by 7
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1530): L 0-9: 1650-16→1634
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1427): Win by 7 points
4	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1626 (+8)	8-6	at ARI (1566): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1645): W 27-17: 1618+8→1626
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1566): Slight favorite
5	Green Bay PackersGB	1618 (+1)	11-3	vs CLE (1482): Win by 14
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1535): W 31-30: 1617+1→1618
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1482): Win by 14 points
6	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1607 (+1)	10-4	vs PIT (1460): Win by 15
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1515): W 34-28(OT): 1606+1→1607
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1460): Win by 15 points
7 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1579 (+3)	10-4	at MIN (1519): Slight fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1503): W 20-10: 1576+3→1579
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1519): Slight favorite
8	Tennessee TitansTEN	1573 (-10)	9-5	vs SF (1536): Win by 6
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1450): L 13-19: 1583-10→1573
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1536): Win by 6 points
9 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1566 (-26)	10-4	vs IND (1626): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1338): L 12-30: 1592-26→1566
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1626): Slight underdog
10	Dallas CowboysDAL	1566 (+10)	10-4	vs WAS (1462): Win by 10
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1439): W 21-6: 1556+10→1566
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1462): Win by 10 points
11 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1546 (+16)	7-7	vs MIA (1466): Win by 9
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1650): W 9-0: 1530+16→1546
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1466): Win by 9 points
12	San Francisco 49ersSF	1536 (+4)	8-6	at TEN (1573): Lose by 6
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1421): W 31-13: 1532+4→1536
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1573): Lose by 6 points
13 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1534 (-1)	8-6	at CIN (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1617): L 30-31: 1535-1→1534
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1500): Slight underdog
14 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1519 (+6)	7-7	vs LAR (1579): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1431): W 17-9: 1513+6→1519
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1579): Slight underdog
15 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1515 (+4)	7-7	vs NYG (1430): Win by 7
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1465): W 27-17: 1511+4→1515
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1430): Win by 7 points
16 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1513 (-2)	8-6	at HOU (1342): Win by 10
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1606): L 28-34(OT): 1515-2→1513
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1342): Win by 10 points
17	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1500 (-3)	5-9	vs CHI (1426): Win by 8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1576): L 10-20: 1503-3→1500
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1426): Win by 8 points
18 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1500 (+7)	8-6	vs BAL (1534): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1472): W 15-10: 1493+7→1500
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1534): Slight favorite
19 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1482 (-11)	7-7	at GB (1618): Lose by 14
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1417): L 14-16: 1493-11→1482
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1618): Lose by 14 points
20 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1466 (-5)	7-7	at NO (1546): Lose by 9
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1310): W 31-24: 1471-5→1466
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1546): Lose by 9 points
21 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1465 (-7)	7-7	at LV (1427): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1493): L 10-15: 1472-7→1465
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1427): Slight underdog
22	Washington Football TeamWAS	1462 (-3)	6-8	at DAL (1566): Lose by 10
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1511): L 17-27: 1465-3→1462
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1566): Lose by 10 points
23	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1460 (+10)	7-6-1	at KC (1607): Lose by 15
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1583): W 19-13: 1450+10→1460
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1607): Lose by 15 points
24	New York GiantsNYG	1430 (-9)	4-10	at PHI (1515): Lose by 7
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1556): L 6-21: 1439-9→1430
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1515): Lose by 7 points
25 (+3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1427 (+10)	7-7	vs DEN (1465): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1493): W 16-14: 1417+10→1427
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1465): Slight favorite
26	Carolina PanthersCAR	1427 (+1)	5-9	vs TB (1634): Lose by 7
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1643): L 14-31: 1426+1→1427
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1634): Lose by 7 points
27 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1426 (-5)	4-10	at SEA (1500): Lose by 8
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1513): L 9-17: 1431-5→1426
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): Lose by 8 points
28 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1416 (-5)	6-8	vs DET (1364): Win by 7
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1532): L 13-31: 1421-5→1416
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1364): Win by 7 points
29	Detroit LionsDET	1364 (+26)	2-11-1	at ATL (1416): Lose by 7
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1592): W 30-12: 1338+26→1364
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1416): Lose by 7 points
30	Houston TexansHOU	1342 (+14)	3-11	vs LAC (1513): Lose by 10
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1322): W 30-16: 1328+14→1342
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1513): Lose by 10 points
31 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1314 (+4)	3-11	vs JAX (1308): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1471): L 24-31: 1310+4→1314
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1308): Slight favorite
32 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1308 (-14)	2-12	at NYJ (1314): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1328): L 16-30: 1322-14→1308
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1314): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ATL, CIN, DAL, GB, IND, KC, LAC, LAR,
LV, NE, NO, NYJ, PHI, SEA, TB, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1650 (-1)	10-3	vs NO (1530): Win by 9
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1642): W 33-27(OT): 1651-1→1650
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1530): Win by 9 points
2	New England PatriotsNE	1645	9-4	at IND (1618): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1618): Slight underdog
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1643 (+1)	7-6	vs CAR (1426): Win by 19
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1651): L 27-33(OT): 1642+1→1643
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1426): Win by 19 points
4	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1618	7-6	vs NE (1645): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1645): Slight favorite
5	Green Bay PackersGB	1617 (+1)	10-3	at BAL (1535): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1432): W 45-30: 1616+1→1617
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1535): Slight favorite
6 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1606 (+16)	9-4	at LAC (1515): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1432): W 48-9: 1590+16→1606
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1515): Slight favorite
7 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1592 (-13)	10-3	at DET (1338): Win by 14
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1563): L 23-30: 1605-13→1592
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1338): Win by 14 points
8	Tennessee TitansTEN	1583 (+1)	9-4	at PIT (1450): Win by 4
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1324): W 20-0: 1582+1→1583
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1450): Win by 4 points
9	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1576 (+13)	9-4	vs SEA (1503): Win by 6
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1605): W 30-23: 1563+13→1576
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1503): Win by 6 points
10	Dallas CowboysDAL	1556 (+6)	9-4	at NYG (1439): Slight fav
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1471): W 27-20: 1550+6→1556
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1439): Slight favorite
11	Baltimore RavensBAL	1535 (-2)	8-5	vs GB (1617): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1492): L 22-24: 1537-2→1535
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1617): Slight underdog
12	San Francisco 49ersSF	1532 (+5)	7-6	vs ATL (1421): Win by 11
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1498): W 26-23(OT): 1527+5→1532
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1421): Win by 11 points
13	New Orleans SaintsNO	1530 (+7)	6-7	at TB (1650): Lose by 9
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1316): W 30-9: 1523+7→1530
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1650): Lose by 9 points
14 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1515 (+8)	8-5	vs KC (1606): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1447): W 37-21: 1507+8→1515
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1606): Slight underdog
15 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1513 (+1)	6-7	at CHI (1431): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1451): W 36-28: 1512+1→1513
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1431): Slight favorite
16 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1511	6-7	vs WAS (1465): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1465): Win by 6 points
17 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1503 (+10)	5-8	at LAR (1576): Lose by 6
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1338): W 33-13: 1493+10→1503
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1576): Lose by 6 points
18 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1493 (+1)	7-6	vs LV (1417): Win by 8
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1537): W 24-22: 1492+1→1493
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1417): Win by 8 points
19 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1493 (-5)	7-6	at DEN (1472): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1527): L 23-26(OT): 1498-5→1493
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1472): Slight underdog
20 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1472 (+12)	7-6	vs CIN (1493): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1349): W 38-10: 1460+12→1472
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1493): Slight favorite
21	Miami DolphinsMIA	1471	6-7	vs NYJ (1310): Win by 13
prev: (bye)
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1310): Win by 13 points
22 (-2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1465 (-6)	6-7	at PHI (1511): Lose by 6
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1550): L 20-27: 1471-6→1465
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1511): Lose by 6 points
23	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1450 (-1)	6-6-1	vs TEN (1583): Lose by 4
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1512): L 28-36: 1451-1→1450
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1583): Lose by 4 points
24	New York GiantsNYG	1439 (-8)	4-9	vs DAL (1556): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1507): L 21-37: 1447-8→1439
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1556): Slight underdog
25 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1431 (-1)	4-9	vs MIN (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1616): L 30-45: 1432-1→1431
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1513): Slight underdog
26 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1426 (-15)	5-8	at BUF (1643): Lose by 19
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1406): L 21-29: 1441-15→1426
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1643): Lose by 19 points
27 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1421 (+15)	6-7	at SF (1532): Lose by 11
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1441): W 29-21: 1406+15→1421
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1532): Lose by 11 points
28 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1417 (-15)	6-7	at CLE (1493): Lose by 8
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1590): L 9-48: 1432-15→1417
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1493): Lose by 8 points
29	Detroit LionsDET	1338 (-11)	1-11-1	vs ARI (1592): Lose by 14
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1460): L 10-38: 1349-11→1338
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1592): Lose by 14 points
30	Houston TexansHOU	1328 (-10)	2-11	at JAX (1322): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1493): L 13-33: 1338-10→1328
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1322): Slight underdog
31	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1322 (-2)	2-11	vs HOU (1328): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1582): L 0-20: 1324-2→1322
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1328): Slight favorite
32	New York JetsNYJ	1310 (-6)	3-10	at MIA (1471): Lose by 13
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1523): L 9-30: 1316-6→1310
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1471): Lose by 13 points
Favorites:
ARI, BUF, CLE, DAL, DEN, GB, IND, JAX,
KC, LAR, MIA, MIN, PHI, SF, TB, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1651 (+5)	9-3	vs BUF (1642): Win by 3
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1411): W 30-17: 1646+5→1651
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1642): Win by 3 points
2 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1645 (+12)	9-4	bye
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1653): W 14-10: 1633+12→1645
next: (bye)
3 (-2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1642 (-11)	7-5	at TB (1651): Lose by 3
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1633): L 10-14: 1653-11→1642
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1651): Lose by 3 points
4 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1618 (+16)	7-6	bye
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1354): W 31-0: 1602+16→1618
next: (bye)
5 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1616	9-3	vs CHI (1432): Win by 13
prev: (bye)
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1432): Win by 13 points
6	Arizona CardinalsARI	1605 (+4)	10-2	vs LAR (1563): Win by 5
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1436): W 33-22: 1601+4→1605
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1563): Win by 5 points
7	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1590 (+3)	8-4	vs LV (1432): Win by 11
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1463): W 22-9: 1587+3→1590
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1432): Win by 11 points
8	Tennessee TitansTEN	1582	8-4	vs JAX (1324): Win by 17
prev: (bye)
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1324): Win by 17 points
9	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1563 (+9)	8-4	at ARI (1605): Lose by 5
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1332): W 37-7: 1554+9→1563
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1605): Lose by 5 points
10 (+3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1550 (+15)	8-4	at WAS (1471): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1539): W 27-17: 1535+15→1550
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1471): Slight favorite
11 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1537 (-7)	8-4	at CLE (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1444): L 19-20: 1544-7→1537
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1492): Slight underdog
12	San Francisco 49ersSF	1527 (-9)	6-6	at CIN (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1484): L 23-30: 1536-9→1527
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1498): Slight underdog
13 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1523 (-16)	5-7	at NYJ (1316): Win by 12
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1535): L 17-27: 1539-16→1523
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1316): Win by 12 points
14 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1512 (-10)	5-7	vs PIT (1451): Win by 7
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1339): L 27-29: 1522-10→1512
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1451): Win by 7 points
15 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1511 (+6)	6-7	bye
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1323): W 33-18: 1505+6→1511
next: (bye)
16 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1507 (+26)	7-5	vs NYG (1447): Win by 7
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1524): W 41-22: 1481+26→1507
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1447): Win by 7 points
17 (-3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1498 (-26)	7-5	vs SF (1527): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1481): L 22-41: 1524-26→1498
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1527): Slight favorite
18	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1493 (+9)	4-8	at HOU (1338): Win by 7
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1536): W 30-23: 1484+9→1493
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1338): Win by 7 points
19 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1492	6-6	vs BAL (1537): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1537): Slight favorite
20 (+1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1471 (+8)	6-6	vs DAL (1550): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1440): W 17-15: 1463+8→1471
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1550): Slight underdog
21 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1471 (+9)	6-7	bye
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1456): W 20-9: 1462+9→1471
next: (bye)
22 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1460 (-3)	6-6	vs DET (1349): Win by 10
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1587): L 9-22: 1463-3→1460
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1349): Win by 10 points
23 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1451 (+7)	6-5-1	at MIN (1512): Lose by 7
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1544): W 20-19: 1444+7→1451
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1512): Lose by 7 points
24 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1447 (-9)	4-8	at LAC (1507): Lose by 7
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1462): L 9-20: 1456-9→1447
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1507): Lose by 7 points
25	Carolina PanthersCAR	1441	5-7	vs ATL (1406): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1406): Win by 6 points
26 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1432 (-4)	4-8	at GB (1616): Lose by 13
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1601): L 22-33: 1436-4→1432
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1616): Lose by 13 points
27 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1432 (-8)	6-6	at KC (1590): Lose by 11
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1463): L 15-17: 1440-8→1432
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1590): Lose by 11 points
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1406 (-5)	5-7	at CAR (1441): Lose by 6
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1646): L 17-30: 1411-5→1406
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1441): Lose by 6 points
29 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1349 (+10)	1-10-1	at DEN (1460): Lose by 10
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1522): W 29-27: 1339+10→1349
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1460): Lose by 10 points
30 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1338 (-16)	2-10	vs SEA (1493): Lose by 7
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1602): L 0-31: 1354-16→1338
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1493): Lose by 7 points
31	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1324 (-8)	2-10	at TEN (1582): Lose by 17
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1554): L 7-37: 1332-8→1324
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1582): Lose by 17 points
32	New York JetsNYJ	1316 (-7)	3-9	vs NO (1523): Lose by 12
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1505): L 18-33: 1323-7→1316
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1523): Lose by 12 points
Favorites:
ARI, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, GB, KC,
LAC, MIN, NO, SEA, TB, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1653 (+25)	7-4	vs NE (1633): Win by 4
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1564): W 31-6: 1628+25→1653
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1633): Win by 4 points
2 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1646 (+13)	8-3	at ATL (1411): Win by 8
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1615): W 38-31: 1633+13→1646
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1411): Win by 8 points
3	New England PatriotsNE	1633 (+18)	8-4	at BUF (1653): Lose by 4
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1600): W 36-13: 1615+18→1633
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1653): Lose by 4 points
4 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1616 (+5)	9-3	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1559): W 36-28: 1611+5→1616
next: (bye)
5 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1602 (-13)	6-6	at HOU (1354): Win by 8
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1633): L 31-38: 1615-13→1602
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1354): Win by 8 points
6	Arizona CardinalsARI	1601	9-2	at CHI (1436): Win by 7
prev: (bye)
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1436): Win by 7 points
7 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1587	7-4	vs DEN (1463): Win by 10
prev: (bye)
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1463): Win by 10 points
8 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1582 (-18)	8-4	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1615): L 13-36: 1600-18→1582
next: (bye)
9 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1554 (-5)	7-4	vs JAX (1332): Win by 17
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1611): L 28-36: 1559-5→1554
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1332): Win by 17 points
10 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1544 (+3)	8-3	at PIT (1444): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1494): W 16-10: 1541+3→1544
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1444): Slight favorite
11 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1539 (-25)	5-6	vs DAL (1535): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1628): L 6-31: 1564-25→1539
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1535): Slight favorite
12 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1536 (+8)	6-5	at SEA (1484): Tossup
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1530): W 34-26: 1528+8→1536
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1484): Tossup
13 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1535 (-18)	7-4	at NO (1539): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1422): L 33-36(OT): 1553-18→1535
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1539): Slight underdog
14 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1524 (+24)	7-4	vs LAC (1481): Win by 5
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1469): W 41-10: 1500+24→1524
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1481): Win by 5 points
15 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1522 (-8)	5-6	at DET (1339): Win by 4
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1528): L 26-34: 1530-8→1522
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1339): Win by 4 points
16 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1505 (-10)	5-7	at NYJ (1323): Win by 8
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1446): L 7-13: 1515-10→1505
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1323): Win by 8 points
17 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1492 (-2)	6-6	bye
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1541): L 10-16: 1494-2→1492
next: (bye)
18 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1484 (-4)	3-8	vs SF (1536): Tossup
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1459): L 15-17: 1488-4→1484
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1536): Tossup
19 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1481 (-15)	6-5	at CIN (1524): Lose by 5
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1447): L 13-28: 1496-15→1481
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1524): Lose by 5 points
20 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1463 (+16)	6-5	at KC (1587): Lose by 10
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): W 28-13: 1447+16→1463
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1587): Lose by 10 points
21 (+1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1463 (+4)	5-6	at LV (1440): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1488): W 17-15: 1459+4→1463
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1440): Slight underdog
22 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1462 (+23)	5-7	vs NYG (1456): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1464): W 33-10: 1439+23→1462
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1456): Slight favorite
23 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1456 (+10)	4-7	at MIA (1462): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1515): W 13-7: 1446+10→1456
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1462): Slight underdog
24 (-4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1444 (-25)	5-5-1	vs BAL (1544): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1500): L 10-41: 1469-25→1444
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1544): Slight underdog
25 (-4)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1441 (-23)	5-7	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1439): L 10-33: 1464-23→1441
next: (bye)
26 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1440 (+18)	6-5	vs WAS (1463): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1553): W 36-33(OT): 1422+18→1440
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1463): Slight favorite
27 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1436 (+3)	4-7	vs ARI (1601): Lose by 7
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1343): W 16-14: 1433+3→1436
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1601): Lose by 7 points
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1411 (+7)	5-6	vs TB (1646): Lose by 8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1339): W 21-14: 1404+7→1411
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1646): Lose by 8 points
29	Houston TexansHOU	1354 (-19)	2-9	vs IND (1602): Lose by 8
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1303): L 14-21: 1373-19→1354
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1602): Lose by 8 points
30	Detroit LionsDET	1339 (-4)	0-10-1	vs MIN (1522): Lose by 4
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1433): L 14-16: 1343-4→1339
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1522): Lose by 4 points
31	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1332 (-7)	2-9	at LAR (1554): Lose by 17
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1404): L 14-21: 1339-7→1332
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1554): Lose by 17 points
32	New York JetsNYJ	1323 (+20)	3-8	vs PHI (1505): Lose by 8
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1373): W 21-14: 1303+20→1323
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1505): Lose by 8 points
Favorites:
ARI, BAL, BUF, CIN, IND, KC, LAR, LV,
MIA, MIN, NO, PHI, SEA, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1633 (+8)	7-3	at IND (1615): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1455): W 30-10: 1625+8→1633
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1615): Slight underdog
2 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1628 (-43)	6-4	at NO (1564): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1572): L 15-41: 1671-43→1628
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1564): Slight favorite
3 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1615 (+18)	7-4	vs TEN (1600): Win by 4
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1422): W 25-0: 1597+18→1615
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1600): Win by 4 points
4 (+5)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1615 (+43)	6-5	vs TB (1633): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1671): W 41-15: 1572+43→1615
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1633): Slight favorite
5 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1611 (-8)	8-3	vs LAR (1559): Win by 4
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1522): L 31-34: 1619-8→1611
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1559): Win by 4 points
6	Arizona CardinalsARI	1601 (+13)	9-2	bye
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1501): W 23-13: 1588+13→1601
next: (bye)
7 (-5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1600 (-33)	8-3	at NE (1615): Lose by 4
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1340): L 13-22: 1633-33→1600
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1615): Lose by 4 points
8	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1587 (+9)	7-4	bye
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1562): W 19-9: 1578+9→1587
next: (bye)
9 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1564 (-20)	5-5	vs BUF (1628): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1495): L 29-40: 1584-20→1564
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1628): Slight underdog
10 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1559	7-3	at GB (1611): Lose by 4
prev: (bye)
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1611): Lose by 4 points
11 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1553 (-9)	7-3	vs LV (1422): Win by 11
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1578): L 9-19: 1562-9→1553
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1422): Win by 11 points
12	Baltimore RavensBAL	1541	7-3	vs CLE (1494): Win by 4
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1433): W 16-13: 1541+0→1541
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1494): Win by 4 points
13	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1530 (+8)	5-5	at SF (1528): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1619): W 34-31: 1522+8→1530
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1528): Slight underdog
14	San Francisco 49ersSF	1528 (+16)	5-5	vs MIN (1530): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1355): W 30-10: 1512+16→1528
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1530): Slight favorite
15 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1515 (+20)	5-6	at NYG (1446): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1584): W 40-29: 1495+20→1515
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1446): Slight favorite
16 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1500 (+24)	6-4	vs PIT (1469): Win by 4
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1445): W 32-13: 1476+24→1500
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1469): Win by 4 points
17	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1496	6-4	at DEN (1447): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1469): W 41-37: 1496+0→1496
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1447): Slight underdog
18 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1494 (-12)	6-5	at BAL (1541): Lose by 4
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1330): W 13-10: 1506-12→1494
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1541): Lose by 4 points
19 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1488 (-13)	3-7	at WAS (1459): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1588): L 13-23: 1501-13→1488
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1459): Slight underdog
20 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1469	5-4-1	at CIN (1500): Lose by 4
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): L 37-41: 1469-0→1469
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1500): Lose by 4 points
21 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1464 (-17)	5-6	at MIA (1439): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1442): L 21-27: 1481-17→1464
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1439): Slight underdog
22 (+3)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1459 (+17)	4-6	vs SEA (1488): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1481): W 27-21: 1442+17→1459
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1488): Slight favorite
23	Denver BroncosDEN	1447	5-5	vs LAC (1496): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): Slight favorite
24 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1446 (-9)	3-7	vs PHI (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1625): L 10-30: 1455-9→1446
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1515): Slight underdog
25 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1439 (+6)	4-7	vs CAR (1464): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1309): W 24-17: 1433+6→1439
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1464): Slight favorite
26 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1433	3-7	at DET (1343): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1541): L 13-16: 1433-0→1433
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1343): Slight favorite
27 (-3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1422 (-23)	5-5	at DAL (1553): Lose by 11
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1476): L 13-32: 1445-23→1422
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1553): Lose by 11 points
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1404 (-18)	4-6	at JAX (1339): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1597): L 0-25: 1422-18→1404
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1339): Slight favorite
29 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1373 (+33)	2-8	vs NYJ (1303): Win by 7
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1633): W 22-13: 1340+33→1373
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1303): Win by 7 points
30 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1343 (+13)	0-9-1	vs CHI (1433): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1506): L 10-13: 1330+13→1343
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1433): Slight underdog
31 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1339 (-16)	2-8	vs ATL (1404): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1512): L 10-30: 1355-16→1339
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1404): Slight underdog
32	New York JetsNYJ	1303 (-6)	2-8	at HOU (1373): Lose by 7
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1433): L 17-24: 1309-6→1303
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1373): Lose by 7 points
Favorites:
ATL, BAL, BUF, CHI, CIN, DAL, DEN, GB,
HOU, IND, MIA, NE, PHI, SF, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1671 (+18)	6-3	vs IND (1572): Win by 8
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1327): W 45-17: 1653+18→1671
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1572): Win by 8 points
2 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1633 (-4)	8-2	vs HOU (1340): Win by 14
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1580): W 23-21: 1637-4→1633
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1340): Win by 14 points
3 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1625 (-35)	6-3	vs NYG (1455): Win by 12
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1407): L 19-29: 1660-35→1625
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1455): Win by 12 points
4 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1619 (+13)	8-2	at MIN (1522): Slight fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1515): W 17-0: 1606+13→1619
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1522): Slight favorite
5 (+5)	New England PatriotsNE	1597 (+34)	6-4	at ATL (1422): Win by 7
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1541): W 45-7: 1563+34→1597
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1422): Win by 7 points
6 (-3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1588 (-54)	8-2	at SEA (1501): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1427): L 10-34: 1642-54→1588
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1501): Slight favorite
7 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1584 (+4)	5-4	at PHI (1495): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1637): L 21-23: 1580+4→1584
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1495): Slight favorite
8 (+3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1578 (+33)	6-4	vs DAL (1562): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1479): W 41-14: 1545+33→1578
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1562): Slight favorite
9 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1572 (-11)	5-5	at BUF (1671): Lose by 8
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1345): W 23-17: 1583-11→1572
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1671): Lose by 8 points
10 (+3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1562 (+29)	7-2	at KC (1578): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1451): W 43-3: 1533+29→1562
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1578): Slight underdog
11 (-5)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1559 (-32)	7-3	bye
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1480): L 10-31: 1591-32→1559
next: (bye)
12 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1541 (-30)	6-3	at CHI (1433): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1403): L 10-22: 1571-30→1541
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1433): Slight favorite
13 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1522 (+18)	4-5	vs GB (1619): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1514): W 27-20: 1504+18→1522
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1619): Slight underdog
14 (+4)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1512 (+32)	4-5	at JAX (1355): Win by 6
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1591): W 31-10: 1480+32→1512
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1355): Win by 6 points
15 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1506 (-35)	5-5	vs DET (1330): Win by 13
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1563): L 7-45: 1541-35→1506
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1330): Win by 13 points
16 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1501 (-14)	3-6	vs ARI (1588): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1606): L 0-17: 1515-14→1501
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1588): Slight underdog
17 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1496 (-18)	5-4	vs PIT (1469): Win by 4
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1504): L 20-27: 1514-18→1496
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1469): Win by 4 points
18 (+4)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1495 (+30)	4-6	vs NO (1584): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1478): W 30-13: 1465+30→1495
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1584): Slight underdog
19 (+7)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1481 (+54)	5-5	vs WAS (1442): Win by 4
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1642): W 34-10: 1427+54→1481
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1442): Win by 4 points
20 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1476	5-4	at LV (1445): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1445): Slight favorite
21 (-4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1469 (-18)	5-3-1	at LAC (1496): Lose by 4
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1312): T 16-16(OT): 1487-18→1469
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): Lose by 4 points
22 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1455	3-6	at TB (1625): Lose by 12
prev: (bye)
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1625): Lose by 12 points
23 (-3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1447 (-31)	5-5	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1465): L 13-30: 1478-31→1447
next: (bye)
24 (-5)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1445 (-34)	5-4	vs CIN (1476): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1545): L 14-41: 1479-34→1445
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1476): Slight underdog
25 (+2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1442 (+35)	3-6	at CAR (1481): Lose by 4
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1660): W 29-19: 1407+35→1442
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1481): Lose by 4 points
26 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1433 (+30)	3-7	at NYJ (1309): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1571): W 22-10: 1403+30→1433
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1309): Slight favorite
27 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1433	3-6	vs BAL (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1541): Slight underdog
28 (-4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1422 (-29)	4-5	vs NE (1597): Lose by 7
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1533): L 3-43: 1451-29→1422
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1597): Lose by 7 points
29	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1355 (+10)	2-7	vs SF (1512): Lose by 6
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1583): L 17-23: 1345+10→1355
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1512): Lose by 6 points
30	Houston TexansHOU	1340	1-8	at TEN (1633): Lose by 14
prev: (bye)
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1633): Lose by 14 points
31 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1330 (+18)	0-8-1	at CLE (1506): Lose by 13
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1487): T 16-16(OT): 1312+18→1330
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1506): Lose by 13 points
32 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1309 (-18)	2-7	vs MIA (1433): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1653): L 17-45: 1327-18→1309
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1433): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ARI, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, GB, KC,
LAC, MIA, NE, NO, SF, TB, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1660	6-2	at WAS (1407): Win by 12
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1407): Win by 12 points
2 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1653 (-37)	5-3	at NYJ (1327): Win by 10
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1308): L 6-9: 1690-37→1653
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1327): Win by 10 points
3	Arizona CardinalsARI	1642 (+16)	8-1	vs CAR (1427): Win by 15
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1496): W 31-17: 1626+16→1642
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1427): Win by 15 points
4 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1637 (+26)	7-2	vs NO (1580): Win by 5
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1618): W 28-16: 1611+26→1637
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1580): Win by 5 points
5 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1606 (-19)	7-2	vs SEA (1515): Win by 6
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1525): L 7-13: 1625-19→1606
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1515): Win by 6 points
6 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1591 (-27)	7-2	at SF (1480): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1611): L 16-28: 1618-27→1591
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1480): Slight favorite
7 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1583 (-4)	4-5	vs JAX (1345): Win by 14
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1322): W 45-30: 1587-4→1583
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1345): Win by 14 points
8 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1580 (-25)	5-3	at TEN (1637): Lose by 5
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1426): L 25-27: 1605-25→1580
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1637): Lose by 5 points
9	Baltimore RavensBAL	1571 (-11)	6-2	at MIA (1403): Win by 7
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1494): W 34-31(OT): 1582-11→1571
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1403): Win by 7 points
10 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1563 (+24)	5-4	vs CLE (1541): Win by 3
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1451): W 24-6: 1539+24→1563
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1541): Win by 3 points
11 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1545 (+20)	5-4	at LV (1479): Tossup
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1625): W 13-7: 1525+20→1545
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1479): Tossup
12 (+4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1541 (+42)	5-4	at NE (1563): Lose by 3
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1517): W 41-16: 1499+42→1541
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1563): Lose by 3 points
13 (-3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1533 (-42)	6-2	vs ATL (1451): Win by 7
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1436): L 16-30: 1575-42→1533
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1451): Win by 7 points
14	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1515	3-5	at GB (1606): Lose by 6
prev: (bye)
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1606): Lose by 6 points
15	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1514 (+8)	5-3	vs MIN (1504): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1473): W 27-24: 1506+8→1514
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1504): Slight favorite
16 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1504 (+10)	3-5	at LAC (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1582): L 31-34(OT): 1494+10→1504
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1514): Slight underdog
17 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1487 (-5)	5-3	vs DET (1312): Win by 11
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1428): W 29-27: 1492-5→1487
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1312): Win by 11 points
18	San Francisco 49ersSF	1480 (-16)	3-5	vs LAR (1591): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1626): L 17-31: 1496-16→1480
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1591): Slight underdog
19 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1479 (-17)	5-3	vs KC (1545): Tossup
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1437): L 16-23: 1496-17→1479
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1545): Tossup
20 (+4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1478 (+42)	5-4	vs PHI (1465): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1575): W 30-16: 1436+42→1478
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1465): Slight favorite
21 (-8)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1476 (-41)	5-4	bye
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1499): L 16-41: 1517-41→1476
next: (bye)
22 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1465 (-8)	3-6	at DEN (1478): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): L 24-27: 1473-8→1465
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1478): Slight underdog
23	New York GiantsNYG	1455 (+18)	3-6	bye
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1496): W 23-16: 1437+18→1455
next: (bye)
24 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1451 (+25)	4-4	at DAL (1533): Lose by 7
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1605): W 27-25: 1426+25→1451
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1533): Lose by 7 points
25	Chicago BearsCHI	1433 (+5)	3-6	bye
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1492): L 27-29: 1428+5→1433
next: (bye)
26 (-4)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1427 (-24)	4-5	at ARI (1642): Lose by 15
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1539): L 6-24: 1451-24→1427
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1642): Lose by 15 points
27	Washington Football TeamWAS	1407	2-6	vs TB (1660): Lose by 12
prev: (bye)
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1660): Lose by 12 points
28	Miami DolphinsMIA	1403 (+5)	2-7	vs BAL (1571): Lose by 7
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1345): W 17-9: 1398+5→1403
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1571): Lose by 7 points
29 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1345 (+37)	2-6	at IND (1583): Lose by 14
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1690): W 9-6: 1308+37→1345
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1583): Lose by 14 points
30 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1340 (-5)	1-8	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1398): L 9-17: 1345-5→1340
next: (bye)
31 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1327 (+5)	2-6	vs BUF (1653): Lose by 10
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1587): L 30-45: 1322+5→1327
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1653): Lose by 10 points
32 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1312	0-8	at PIT (1487): Lose by 11
prev: (bye)
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1487): Lose by 11 points
Favorites:
ARI, BAL, BUF, DAL, DEN, GB, IND, KC,
LAC, LAR, NE, PIT, TB, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1690 (-2)	5-2	at JAX (1308): Win by 20
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1396): W 26-11: 1692-2→1690
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1308): Win by 20 points
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1660 (-21)	6-2	bye
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1583): L 27-36: 1681-21→1660
next: (bye)
3	Arizona CardinalsARI	1626 (-16)	7-1	at SF (1496): Win by 3
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1609): L 21-24: 1642-16→1626
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1496): Win by 3 points
4 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1625 (+16)	7-1	at KC (1525): Win by 4
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1642): W 24-21: 1609+16→1625
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1525): Win by 4 points
5 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1618 (+5)	7-1	vs TEN (1611): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1349): W 38-22: 1613+5→1618
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1611): Slight favorite
6	Tennessee TitansTEN	1611 (+12)	6-2	at LAR (1618): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1599): W 34-31(OT): 1599+12→1611
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1618): Slight underdog
7 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1605 (+22)	5-2	vs ATL (1426): Win by 10
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1681): W 36-27: 1583+22→1605
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1426): Win by 10 points
8 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1587 (-12)	3-5	vs NYJ (1322): Win by 19
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1599): L 31-34(OT): 1599-12→1587
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1322): Win by 19 points
9	Baltimore RavensBAL	1582	5-2	vs MIN (1494): Win by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1494): Win by 9 points
10	Dallas CowboysDAL	1575 (+6)	6-1	vs DEN (1436): Win by 11
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1501): W 20-16: 1569+6→1575
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1436): Win by 11 points
11 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1539 (+14)	4-4	at CAR (1451): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1520): W 27-24: 1525+14→1539
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1451): Slight favorite
12	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1525 (-10)	4-4	vs GB (1625): Lose by 4
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1427): W 20-17: 1535-10→1525
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1625): Lose by 4 points
13 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1517 (-30)	5-3	vs CLE (1499): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1293): L 31-34: 1547-30→1517
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1499): Slight favorite
14 (+3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1515 (+16)	3-5	bye
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1324): W 31-7: 1499+16→1515
next: (bye)
15 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1506 (-14)	4-3	at PHI (1473): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1525): L 24-27: 1520-14→1506
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1473): Slight underdog
16 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1499 (-20)	4-4	at CIN (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1472): L 10-15: 1519-20→1499
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1517): Slight underdog
17 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1496	5-2	at NYG (1437): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1437): Slight favorite
18 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1496 (+24)	3-4	vs ARI (1626): Lose by 3
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1452): W 33-22: 1472+24→1496
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1626): Lose by 3 points
19 (-3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1494 (-7)	3-4	at BAL (1582): Lose by 9
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1569): L 16-20: 1501-7→1494
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1582): Lose by 9 points
20	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1492 (+20)	4-3	vs CHI (1428): Win by 6
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1519): W 15-10: 1472+20→1492
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1428): Win by 6 points
21 (+4)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1473 (+46)	3-5	vs LAC (1506): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1358): W 44-6: 1427+46→1473
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): Slight favorite
22 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1451 (+20)	4-4	vs NE (1539): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1445): W 19-13: 1431+20→1451
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1539): Slight underdog
23 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1437 (+10)	2-6	vs LV (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1535): L 17-20: 1427+10→1437
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1496): Slight underdog
24	Denver BroncosDEN	1436 (+5)	4-4	at DAL (1575): Lose by 11
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1412): W 17-10: 1431+5→1436
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1575): Lose by 11 points
25 (-4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1428 (-24)	3-5	at PIT (1492): Lose by 6
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1472): L 22-33: 1452-24→1428
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1492): Lose by 6 points
26 (-4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1426 (-19)	3-4	at NO (1605): Lose by 10
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1431): L 13-19: 1445-19→1426
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1605): Lose by 10 points
27	Washington Football TeamWAS	1407 (-5)	2-6	bye
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1431): L 10-17: 1412-5→1407
next: (bye)
28	Miami DolphinsMIA	1398 (+2)	1-7	vs HOU (1345): Win by 5
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1692): L 11-26: 1396+2→1398
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1345): Win by 5 points
29 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1345 (-4)	1-7	at MIA (1398): Lose by 5
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1613): L 22-38: 1349-4→1345
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1398): Lose by 5 points
30 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1322 (+29)	2-5	at IND (1587): Lose by 19
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1547): W 34-31: 1293+29→1322
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1587): Lose by 19 points
31 (-2)	Detroit LionsDET	1312 (-46)	0-8	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1427): L 6-44: 1358-46→1312
next: (bye)
32 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1308 (-16)	1-6	vs BUF (1690): Lose by 20
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1499): L 7-31: 1324-16→1308
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1690): Lose by 20 points
Favorites:
ARI, BAL, BUF, CIN, DAL, GB, IND, LAR,
LV, MIA, NE, NO, PHI, PIT

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1692	4-2	vs MIA (1396): Win by 17
prev: (bye)
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1396): Win by 17 points
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1681 (+22)	6-1	at NO (1583): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1474): W 38-3: 1659+22→1681
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1583): Slight favorite
3 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1642 (+7)	7-0	vs GB (1609): Win by 4
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1357): W 31-5: 1635+7→1642
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1609): Win by 4 points
4 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1613 (-16)	6-1	at HOU (1349): Win by 13
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1342): W 28-19: 1629-16→1613
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1349): Win by 13 points
5 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1609 (-1)	6-1	at ARI (1642): Lose by 4
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1412): W 24-10: 1610-1→1609
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1642): Lose by 4 points
6 (+5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1599 (+36)	5-2	at IND (1599): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1571): W 27-3: 1563+36→1599
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1599): Slight underdog
7 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1599 (+22)	3-4	vs TEN (1599): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1495): W 30-18: 1577+22→1599
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1599): Slight favorite
8 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1583 (+1)	4-2	vs TB (1681): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): W 13-10: 1582+1→1583
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1681): Slight underdog
9 (-6)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1582 (-58)	5-2	bye
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1488): L 17-41: 1640-58→1582
next: (bye)
10	Dallas CowboysDAL	1569	5-1	at MIN (1501): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1501): Slight favorite
11 (+7)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1547 (+59)	5-2	at NYJ (1293): Win by 12
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1640): W 41-17: 1488+59→1547
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1293): Win by 12 points
12 (-3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1535 (-36)	3-4	vs NYG (1427): Win by 9
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1563): L 3-27: 1571-36→1535
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1427): Win by 9 points
13 (+4)	New England PatriotsNE	1525 (+35)	3-4	at LAC (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1328): W 54-13: 1490+35→1525
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1520): Slight underdog
14 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1520	4-2	vs NE (1525): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1525): Slight favorite
15 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1519 (-11)	4-3	vs PIT (1472): Win by 4
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1420): W 17-14: 1530-11→1519
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1472): Win by 4 points
16 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1501	3-3	vs DAL (1569): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1569): Slight underdog
17 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1499 (-1)	2-5	vs JAX (1324): Win by 11
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1582): L 10-13: 1500-1→1499
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1324): Win by 11 points
18 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1496 (+13)	5-2	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1441): W 33-22: 1483+13→1496
next: (bye)
19 (-3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1472 (-23)	2-4	at CHI (1452): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1577): L 18-30: 1495-23→1472
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1452): Slight underdog
20 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1472	3-3	at CLE (1519): Lose by 4
prev: (bye)
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1519): Lose by 4 points
21	Chicago BearsCHI	1452 (-22)	3-4	vs SF (1472): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1659): L 3-38: 1474-22→1452
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1472): Slight favorite
22 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1445 (+7)	3-3	vs CAR (1431): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1402): W 30-28: 1438+7→1445
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1431): Slight favorite
23 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1431 (-43)	3-4	at ATL (1445): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1384): L 3-25: 1474-43→1431
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1445): Slight underdog
24 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1431 (+11)	3-4	vs WAS (1412): Win by 4
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1530): L 14-17: 1420+11→1431
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1412): Win by 4 points
25 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1427 (-14)	2-5	at DET (1358): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1483): L 22-33: 1441-14→1427
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1358): Slight favorite
26 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1427 (+43)	2-5	at KC (1535): Lose by 9
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1474): W 25-3: 1384+43→1427
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1535): Lose by 9 points
27 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1412	2-5	at DEN (1431): Lose by 4
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1610): L 10-24: 1412+0→1412
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1431): Lose by 4 points
28 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1396 (-6)	1-6	at BUF (1692): Lose by 17
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1438): L 28-30: 1402-6→1396
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1692): Lose by 17 points
29 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1358 (+16)	0-7	vs PHI (1427): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1629): L 19-28: 1342+16→1358
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1427): Slight underdog
30 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1349 (-8)	1-6	vs LAR (1613): Lose by 13
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1635): L 5-31: 1357-8→1349
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1613): Lose by 13 points
31 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1324	1-5	at SEA (1499): Lose by 11
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1499): Lose by 11 points
32 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1293 (-35)	1-5	vs CIN (1547): Lose by 12
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1490): L 13-54: 1328-35→1293
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1547): Lose by 12 points
Favorites:
ARI, ATL, BUF, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN,
IND, KC, LAC, LAR, PHI, SEA, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1692 (-26)	4-2	bye
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1538): L 31-34: 1718-26→1692
next: (bye)
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1659 (-9)	5-1	vs CHI (1474): Win by 15
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1432): W 28-22: 1668-9→1659
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1474): Win by 15 points
3	Baltimore RavensBAL	1640 (+35)	5-1	vs CIN (1488): Win by 9
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1555): W 34-6: 1605+35→1640
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1488): Win by 9 points
4 (+2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1635 (+46)	6-0	vs HOU (1357): Win by 19
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1576): W 37-14: 1589+46→1635
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1357): Win by 19 points
5 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1629 (+25)	5-1	vs DET (1342): Win by 20
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1409): W 38-11: 1604+25→1629
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1342): Win by 20 points
6 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1610 (+19)	5-1	vs WAS (1412): Win by 14
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1493): W 24-14: 1591+19→1610
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1412): Win by 14 points
7	New Orleans SaintsNO	1582	3-2	at SEA (1500): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): Slight favorite
8 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1577 (+26)	2-4	at SF (1495): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1383): W 31-3: 1551+26→1577
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1495): Slight favorite
9 (+3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1571 (+28)	3-3	at TEN (1563): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1439): W 31-13: 1543+28→1571
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1563): Slight underdog
10 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1569 (+4)	5-1	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1494): W 35-29(OT): 1565+4→1569
next: (bye)
11 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1563 (+25)	4-2	vs KC (1571): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1718): W 34-31: 1538+25→1563
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1571): Slight favorite
12 (-4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1530 (-46)	3-3	vs DEN (1420): Win by 9
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1589): L 14-37: 1576-46→1530
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1420): Win by 9 points
13 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1520 (-35)	4-2	bye
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1605): L 6-34: 1555-35→1520
next: (bye)
14 (+5)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1501 (+14)	3-3	bye
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1488): W 34-28(OT): 1487+14→1501
next: (bye)
15 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1500 (-10)	2-4	vs NO (1582): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1462): L 20-23(OT): 1510-10→1500
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1582): Slight underdog
16 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1495	2-3	vs IND (1577): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1577): Slight underdog
17 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1490 (-4)	2-4	vs NYJ (1328): Win by 8
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1565): L 29-35(OT): 1494-4→1490
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1328): Win by 8 points
18 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1488 (+38)	4-2	at BAL (1640): Lose by 9
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1380): W 34-11: 1450+38→1488
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1640): Lose by 9 points
19 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1483 (+28)	4-2	vs PHI (1441): Win by 4
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1447): W 34-24: 1455+28→1483
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1441): Win by 4 points
20 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1474 (-14)	3-3	at NYG (1384): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1487): L 28-34(OT): 1488-14→1474
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1384): Slight favorite
21 (-4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1474 (-19)	3-3	at TB (1659): Lose by 15
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1591): L 14-24: 1493-19→1474
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1659): Lose by 15 points
22 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1472 (+10)	3-3	bye
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1510): W 23-20(OT): 1462+10→1472
next: (bye)
23 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1441 (+9)	2-4	at LV (1483): Lose by 4
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1668): L 22-28: 1432+9→1441
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1483): Lose by 4 points
24 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1438	2-3	at MIA (1402): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1402): Slight favorite
25 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1420 (-27)	3-3	at CLE (1530): Lose by 9
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1455): L 24-34: 1447-27→1420
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1530): Lose by 9 points
26 (-2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1412 (-27)	2-4	at GB (1610): Lose by 14
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1543): L 13-31: 1439-27→1412
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1610): Lose by 14 points
27	Miami DolphinsMIA	1402 (-25)	1-5	vs ATL (1438): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1299): L 20-23: 1427-25→1402
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1438): Slight underdog
28	New York GiantsNYG	1384 (-25)	1-5	vs CAR (1474): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1604): L 11-38: 1409-25→1384
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1474): Slight underdog
29	Houston TexansHOU	1357 (-26)	1-5	at ARI (1635): Lose by 19
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1551): L 3-31: 1383-26→1357
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1635): Lose by 19 points
30	Detroit LionsDET	1342 (-38)	0-6	at LAR (1629): Lose by 20
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1450): L 11-34: 1380-38→1342
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1629): Lose by 20 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1328	1-4	at NE (1490): Lose by 8
prev: (bye)
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1490): Lose by 8 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1324 (+25)	1-5	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1427): W 23-20: 1299+25→1324
next: (bye)
Favorites:
ARI, ATL, BAL, CAR, CLE, GB, IND, LAR,
LV, NE, NO, TB, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1718 (+27)	4-1	at TEN (1538): Win by 7
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1570): W 38-20: 1691+27→1718
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1538): Win by 7 points
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1668 (+18)	4-1	at PHI (1432): Win by 11
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1445): W 45-17: 1650+18→1668
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1432): Win by 11 points
3	Baltimore RavensBAL	1605 (-8)	4-1	vs LAC (1555): Win by 5
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1543): W 31-25(OT): 1613-8→1605
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1555): Win by 5 points
4 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1604 (+23)	4-1	at NYG (1409): Win by 9
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1533): W 26-17: 1581+23→1604
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1409): Win by 9 points
5 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1591 (-4)	4-1	at CHI (1493): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1446): W 25-22(OT): 1595-4→1591
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1493): Slight favorite
6	Arizona CardinalsARI	1589 (+2)	5-0	at CLE (1576): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1497): W 17-10: 1587+2→1589
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1576): Slight underdog
7 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1582 (+17)	3-2	bye
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1456): W 33-22: 1565+17→1582
next: (bye)
8 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1576 (-14)	3-2	vs ARI (1589): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1540): L 42-47: 1590-14→1576
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1589): Slight favorite
9 (+3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1565 (+30)	4-1	at NE (1494): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1438): W 44-20: 1535+30→1565
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1494): Slight favorite
10 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1555 (+15)	4-1	at BAL (1605): Lose by 5
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1590): W 47-42: 1540+15→1555
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1605): Lose by 5 points
11 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1551 (+8)	1-4	vs HOU (1383): Win by 9
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1613): L 25-31(OT): 1543+8→1551
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1383): Win by 9 points
12 (-4)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1543 (-27)	2-3	at WAS (1439): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1691): L 20-38: 1570-27→1543
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1439): Slight favorite
13 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1538 (+27)	3-2	vs BUF (1718): Lose by 7
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1326): W 37-19: 1511+27→1538
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1718): Lose by 7 points
14 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1510 (-23)	2-3	at PIT (1462): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1581): L 17-26: 1533-23→1510
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1462): Slight favorite
15 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1495 (-2)	2-3	bye
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1587): L 10-17: 1497-2→1495
next: (bye)
16 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1494	2-3	vs DAL (1565): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1382): W 25-22: 1494-0→1494
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1565): Slight underdog
17 (+4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1493 (+36)	3-2	vs GB (1591): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1491): W 20-9: 1457+36→1493
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1591): Slight underdog
18 (-4)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1488 (-30)	3-2	vs MIN (1487): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1401): L 18-21: 1518-30→1488
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1487): Slight favorite
19 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1487 (-10)	2-3	at CAR (1488): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1370): W 19-17: 1497-10→1487
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1488): Slight underdog
20 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1462 (+15)	2-3	vs SEA (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1463): W 27-19: 1447+15→1462
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1510): Slight underdog
21 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1455 (-36)	3-2	at DEN (1447): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1457): L 9-20: 1491-36→1455
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1447): Slight underdog
22 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1450 (+4)	3-2	at DET (1380): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1595): L 22-25(OT): 1446+4→1450
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1380): Slight favorite
23 (-3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1447 (-16)	3-2	vs LV (1455): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1447): L 19-27: 1463-16→1447
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1455): Slight favorite
24 (-2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1439 (-17)	2-3	vs KC (1543): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1565): L 22-33: 1456-17→1439
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1543): Slight underdog
25 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1438 (+3)	2-3	bye
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1332): W 27-20: 1435+3→1438
next: (bye)
26 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1432 (+31)	2-3	vs TB (1668): Lose by 11
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1518): W 21-18: 1401+31→1432
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1668): Lose by 11 points
27 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1427 (-18)	1-4	at JAX (1299): Win by 7
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1650): L 17-45: 1445-18→1427
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1299): Win by 7 points
28 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1409 (-29)	1-4	vs LAR (1604): Lose by 9
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1535): L 20-44: 1438-29→1409
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1604): Lose by 9 points
29	Houston TexansHOU	1383 (+1)	1-4	at IND (1551): Lose by 9
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1494): L 22-25: 1382+1→1383
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1551): Lose by 9 points
30	Detroit LionsDET	1380 (+10)	0-5	vs CIN (1450): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1497): L 17-19: 1370+10→1380
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1450): Slight underdog
31	New York JetsNYJ	1328 (-4)	1-4	bye
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1435): L 20-27: 1332-4→1328
next: (bye)
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1299 (-27)	0-5	at MIA (1427): Lose by 7
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1511): L 19-37: 1326-27→1299
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1427): Lose by 7 points
Favorites:
BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, GB,
IND, KC, LAR, MIA, SEA, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1691 (+27)	3-1	at KC (1570): Win by 4
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1410): W 40-0: 1664+27→1691
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1570): Win by 4 points
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1650 (-9)	3-1	vs MIA (1445): Win by 14
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1486): W 19-17: 1659-9→1650
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1445): Win by 14 points
3 (+3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1613 (+30)	3-1	vs IND (1543): Win by 6
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1492): W 23-7: 1583+30→1613
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1543): Win by 6 points
4 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1595 (-2)	3-1	at CIN (1446): Win by 4
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1445): W 27-17: 1597-2→1595
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1446): Win by 4 points
5 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1590 (+16)	3-1	at LAC (1540): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1514): W 14-7: 1574+16→1590
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1540): Slight favorite
6 (+5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1587 (+56)	4-0	vs SF (1497): Win by 6
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1636): W 37-20: 1531+56→1587
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1497): Win by 6 points
7 (-4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1581 (-55)	3-1	at SEA (1533): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1531): L 20-37: 1636-55→1581
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1533): Slight underdog
8	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1570 (+15)	2-2	vs BUF (1691): Lose by 4
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1416): W 42-30: 1555+15→1570
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1691): Lose by 4 points
9 (-5)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1565 (-43)	2-2	at WAS (1456): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1396): L 21-27(OT): 1608-43→1565
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1456): Slight favorite
10 (+4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1543 (+25)	1-3	at BAL (1613): Lose by 6
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1470): W 27-17: 1518+25→1543
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1613): Lose by 6 points
11 (+5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1540 (+26)	3-1	vs CLE (1590): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1518): W 28-14: 1514+26→1540
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1590): Slight underdog
12 (+3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1535 (+21)	3-1	vs NYG (1438): Win by 6
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1539): W 36-28: 1514+21→1535
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1438): Win by 6 points
13 (+5)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1533 (+27)	2-2	vs LAR (1581): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1524): W 28-21: 1506+27→1533
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1581): Slight favorite
14 (-4)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1518 (-21)	3-1	vs PHI (1401): Win by 9
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1514): L 28-36: 1539-21→1518
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1401): Win by 9 points
15 (-6)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1511 (-37)	2-2	at JAX (1326): Win by 4
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1295): L 24-27(OT): 1548-37→1511
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1326): Win by 4 points
16 (-4)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1497 (-27)	2-2	at ARI (1587): Lose by 6
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1506): L 21-28: 1524-27→1497
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1587): Lose by 6 points
17	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1497 (-17)	1-3	vs DET (1370): Win by 8
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1574): L 7-14: 1514-17→1497
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1370): Win by 8 points
18 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1494 (+8)	1-3	at HOU (1382): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1659): L 17-19: 1486+8→1494
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1382): Slight favorite
19 (-6)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1491 (-27)	3-1	vs CHI (1457): Win by 4
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1514): L 14-28: 1518-27→1491
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1457): Win by 4 points
20 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1463 (-29)	3-1	at PIT (1447): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1583): L 7-23: 1492-29→1463
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1447): Slight underdog
21 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1457 (+12)	2-2	at LV (1491): Lose by 4
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1382): W 24-14: 1445+12→1457
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1491): Lose by 4 points
22 (+4)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1456 (+22)	2-2	vs NO (1565): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1457): W 34-30: 1434+22→1456
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1565): Slight underdog
23 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1447 (+2)	1-3	vs DEN (1463): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1597): L 17-27: 1445+2→1447
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1463): Slight favorite
24 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1446 (-18)	3-1	vs GB (1595): Lose by 4
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1307): W 24-21: 1464-18→1446
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1595): Lose by 4 points
25 (-4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1445 (-25)	1-3	at TB (1650): Lose by 14
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1518): L 17-27: 1470-25→1445
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1650): Lose by 14 points
26 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1438 (+42)	1-3	at DAL (1535): Lose by 6
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1608): W 27-21(OT): 1396+42→1438
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1535): Lose by 6 points
27 (-4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1435 (-22)	1-3	at NYJ (1332): Win by 5
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1434): L 30-34: 1457-22→1435
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1332): Win by 5 points
28 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1401 (-15)	1-3	at CAR (1518): Lose by 9
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1555): L 30-42: 1416-15→1401
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1518): Lose by 9 points
29 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1382 (-28)	1-3	vs NE (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1664): L 0-40: 1410-28→1382
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1494): Slight underdog
30	Detroit LionsDET	1370 (-12)	0-4	at MIN (1497): Lose by 8
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1445): L 14-24: 1382-12→1370
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1497): Lose by 8 points
31 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1332 (+37)	1-3	at ATL (1435): Lose by 5
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1548): W 27-24(OT): 1295+37→1332
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1435): Lose by 5 points
32 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1326 (+19)	0-4	vs TEN (1511): Lose by 4
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1464): L 21-24: 1307+19→1326
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1511): Lose by 4 points
Favorites:
ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CLE, DAL, GB,
LV, MIN, NE, NO, PIT, SEA, TB, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1664 (+16)	2-1	vs HOU (1410): Win by 16
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1449): W 43-21: 1648+16→1664
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1410): Win by 16 points
2 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1659 (-33)	2-1	at NE (1486): Win by 7
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1603): L 24-34: 1692-33→1659
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1486): Win by 7 points
3	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1636 (+33)	3-0	vs ARI (1531): Win by 7
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1692): W 34-24: 1603+33→1636
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1531): Win by 7 points
4 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1608 (+36)	2-1	vs NYG (1396): Win by 15
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1521): W 28-13: 1572+36→1608
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1396): Win by 15 points
5 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1597 (+10)	2-1	vs PIT (1445): Win by 11
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1534): W 30-28: 1587+10→1597
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1445): Win by 11 points
6 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1583 (-19)	2-1	at DEN (1492): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1364): W 19-17: 1602-19→1583
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1492): Slight favorite
7 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1574 (+27)	2-1	at MIN (1514): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1472): W 26-6: 1547+27→1574
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1514): Slight favorite
8 (-3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1555 (-38)	1-2	at PHI (1416): Win by 5
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1477): L 24-30: 1593-38→1555
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1416): Win by 5 points
9 (+3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1548 (+18)	2-1	at NYJ (1295): Win by 12
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1536): W 25-16: 1530+18→1548
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1295): Win by 12 points
10 (+6)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1539 (+34)	3-0	at DAL (1514): Tossup
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1444): W 24-9: 1505+34→1539
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1514): Tossup
11 (+3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1531 (+6)	3-0	at LAR (1636): Lose by 7
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1314): W 31-19: 1525+6→1531
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1636): Lose by 7 points
12 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1524 (-10)	2-1	vs SEA (1506): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1587): L 28-30: 1534-10→1524
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1506): Slight favorite
13	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1518 (-7)	3-0	at LAC (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1462): W 31-28(OT): 1525-7→1518
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1514): Slight underdog
14 (-4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1518 (-18)	0-3	at MIA (1470): Tossup
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1530): L 16-25: 1536-18→1518
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1470): Tossup
15 (+3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1514 (+34)	2-1	vs CAR (1539): Tossup
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1451): W 41-21: 1480+34→1514
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1539): Tossup
16 (+4)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1514 (+37)	2-1	vs LV (1518): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1593): W 30-24: 1477+37→1514
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1518): Slight favorite
17 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1514 (+36)	1-2	vs CLE (1574): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1541): W 30-17: 1478+36→1514
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1574): Slight underdog
18 (-9)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1506 (-35)	1-2	at SF (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1478): L 17-30: 1541-35→1506
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1524): Slight underdog
19 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1492 (+26)	3-0	vs BAL (1583): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1321): W 26-0: 1466+26→1492
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1583): Slight underdog
20 (-5)	New England PatriotsNE	1486 (-35)	1-2	vs TB (1659): Lose by 7
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1572): L 13-28: 1521-35→1486
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1659): Lose by 7 points
21 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1470 (+8)	1-2	vs IND (1518): Tossup
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1525): L 28-31(OT): 1462+8→1470
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1518): Tossup
22 (+6)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1464 (+50)	2-1	vs JAX (1307): Win by 11
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1495): W 24-10: 1414+50→1464
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1307): Win by 11 points
23 (+4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1457 (+15)	1-2	vs WAS (1434): Win by 3
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1410): W 17-14: 1442+15→1457
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1434): Win by 3 points
24 (-3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1445 (-27)	1-2	vs DET (1382): Win by 5
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1547): L 6-26: 1472-27→1445
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1382): Win by 5 points
25 (-8)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1445 (-50)	1-2	at GB (1597): Lose by 11
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1414): L 10-24: 1495-50→1445
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1597): Lose by 11 points
26 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1434 (-15)	1-2	at ATL (1457): Lose by 3
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1648): L 21-43: 1449-15→1434
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1457): Lose by 3 points
27 (-3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1416 (-35)	1-2	vs KC (1555): Lose by 5
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1480): L 21-41: 1451-35→1416
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1555): Lose by 5 points
28 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1410 (-34)	1-2	at BUF (1664): Lose by 16
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1505): L 9-24: 1444-34→1410
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1664): Lose by 16 points
29	New York GiantsNYG	1396 (-14)	0-3	at NO (1608): Lose by 15
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1442): L 14-17: 1410-14→1396
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1608): Lose by 15 points
30	Detroit LionsDET	1382 (+18)	0-3	at CHI (1445): Lose by 5
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1602): L 17-19: 1364+18→1382
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1445): Lose by 5 points
31 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1307 (-7)	0-3	at CIN (1464): Lose by 11
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1525): L 19-31: 1314-7→1307
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1464): Lose by 11 points
32 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1295 (-26)	0-3	vs TEN (1548): Lose by 12
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1466): L 0-26: 1321-26→1295
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1548): Lose by 12 points
Favorites:
ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, GB,
IND, KC, LAC, LAR, NO, SF, TB, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1692 (+20)	2-0	at LAR (1603): Slight fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1462): W 48-25: 1672+20→1692
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1603): Slight favorite
2 (+4)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1648 (+70)	1-1	vs WAS (1449): Win by 13
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1532): W 35-0: 1578+70→1648
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1449): Win by 13 points
3 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1603 (+10)	2-0	vs TB (1692): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1546): W 27-24: 1593+10→1603
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1692): Slight underdog
4	Baltimore RavensBAL	1602 (+5)	1-1	at DET (1364): Win by 11
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1597): W 36-35: 1597+5→1602
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1364): Win by 11 points
5 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1593 (-4)	1-1	vs LAC (1477): Win by 7
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1597): L 35-36: 1597-4→1593
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1477): Win by 7 points
6 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1587 (+16)	1-1	at SF (1534): Tossup
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1380): W 35-17: 1571+16→1587
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1534): Tossup
7 (-5)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1572 (-60)	1-1	at NE (1521): Tossup
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1445): L 7-26: 1632-60→1572
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1521): Tossup
8 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1547 (+8)	1-1	vs CHI (1472): Win by 6
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1451): W 31-21: 1539+8→1547
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1472): Win by 6 points
9 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1541 (-27)	1-1	at MIN (1478): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1503): L 30-33(OT): 1568-27→1541
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1478): Slight favorite
10 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1536 (-10)	0-2	at TEN (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1593): L 24-27: 1546-10→1536
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1530): Slight underdog
11 (+3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1534 (+18)	2-0	vs GB (1587): Tossup
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1469): W 17-11: 1516+18→1534
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1587): Tossup
12 (+3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1530 (+27)	1-1	vs IND (1536): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1568): W 33-30(OT): 1503+27→1530
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1536): Slight favorite
13 (+5)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1525 (+42)	2-0	vs MIA (1462): Win by 6
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1538): W 26-17: 1483+42→1525
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1462): Win by 6 points
14 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1525 (-5)	2-0	at JAX (1314): Win by 9
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1473): W 34-33: 1530-5→1525
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1314): Win by 9 points
15 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1521 (+38)	1-1	vs NO (1572): Tossup
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1360): W 25-6: 1483+38→1521
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1572): Tossup
16 (+11)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1505 (+60)	2-0	at HOU (1444): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1632): W 26-7: 1445+60→1505
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1444): Slight favorite
17 (-6)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1495 (-43)	1-1	vs CIN (1414): Win by 5
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1483): L 17-26: 1538-43→1495
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1414): Win by 5 points
18 (+5)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1480 (+22)	1-1	vs PHI (1451): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1498): W 20-17: 1458+22→1480
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1451): Slight favorite
19 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1478 (+5)	0-2	vs SEA (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1530): L 33-34: 1473+5→1478
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1541): Slight underdog
20 (-4)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1477 (-21)	1-1	at KC (1593): Lose by 7
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1458): L 17-20: 1498-21→1477
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1593): Lose by 7 points
21 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1472 (-9)	1-1	at CLE (1547): Lose by 6
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1405): W 20-17: 1481-9→1472
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1547): Lose by 6 points
22 (+4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1466 (+16)	2-0	vs NYJ (1321): Win by 11
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1330): W 23-13: 1450+16→1466
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1321): Win by 11 points
23 (-11)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1462 (-70)	1-1	at LV (1525): Lose by 6
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1578): L 0-35: 1532-70→1462
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1525): Lose by 6 points
24 (-3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1451 (-18)	1-1	at DAL (1480): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1516): L 11-17: 1469-18→1451
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1480): Slight underdog
25	Washington Football TeamWAS	1449 (-2)	1-1	at BUF (1648): Lose by 13
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1409): W 30-29: 1451-2→1449
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1648): Lose by 13 points
26 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1444 (-7)	1-1	vs CAR (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1539): L 21-31: 1451-7→1444
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1505): Slight underdog
27 (-5)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1442 (-20)	0-2	at NYG (1410): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1672): L 25-48: 1462-20→1442
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1410): Slight underdog
28 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1414 (+9)	1-1	at PIT (1495): Lose by 5
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1481): L 17-20: 1405+9→1414
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1495): Lose by 5 points
29 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1410 (+1)	0-2	vs ATL (1442): Slight fav
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1451): L 29-30: 1409+1→1410
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1442): Slight favorite
30	Detroit LionsDET	1364 (-16)	0-2	vs BAL (1602): Lose by 11
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1571): L 17-35: 1380-16→1364
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1602): Lose by 11 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1321 (-39)	0-2	at DEN (1466): Lose by 11
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1483): L 6-25: 1360-39→1321
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1466): Lose by 11 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1314 (-16)	0-2	vs ARI (1525): Lose by 9
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1450): L 13-23: 1330-16→1314
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1525): Lose by 9 points
Favorites:
ARI, BAL, BUF, CAR, CLE, DAL, DEN, GB,
KC, LV, NO, NYG, PIT, SEA, TB, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1672 (-15)	1-0	vs ATL (1462): Win by 12
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1442): W 31-29: 1687-15→1672
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1462): Win by 12 points
2 (+4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1632 (+36)	1-0	at CAR (1445): Win by 5
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1608): W 38-3: 1596+36→1632
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1445): Win by 5 points
3 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1597 (-2)	1-0	at BAL (1597): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1538): W 33-29: 1599-2→1597
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1597): Slight underdog
4 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1597 (-13)	0-1	vs KC (1597): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1470): L 27-33(OT): 1610-13→1597
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1597): Slight favorite
5 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1593 (+14)	1-0	at IND (1546): Tossup
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1495): W 34-14: 1579+14→1593
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1546): Tossup
6 (-2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1578 (-22)	0-1	at MIA (1532): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1517): L 16-23: 1600-22→1578
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1532): Slight underdog
7 (-4)	Green Bay PackersGB	1571 (-37)	0-1	vs DET (1380): Win by 10
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1596): L 3-38: 1608-37→1571
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1380): Win by 10 points
8 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1568 (+23)	1-0	vs TEN (1503): Win by 6
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1569): W 28-16: 1545+23→1568
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1503): Win by 6 points
9 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1546 (-23)	0-1	vs LAR (1593): Tossup
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1545): L 16-28: 1569-23→1546
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1593): Tossup
10 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1539 (+1)	0-1	vs HOU (1451): Win by 7
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1599): L 29-33: 1538+1→1539
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1451): Win by 7 points
11 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1538 (+21)	1-0	vs LV (1483): Win by 5
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1600): W 23-16: 1517+21→1538
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1483): Win by 5 points
12	Miami DolphinsMIA	1532 (+8)	1-0	vs BUF (1578): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1490): W 17-16: 1524+8→1532
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1578): Slight favorite
13 (+4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1530 (+36)	1-0	vs MIN (1473): Win by 5
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1540): W 38-13: 1494+36→1530
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1473): Win by 5 points
14	San Francisco 49ersSF	1516 (+6)	1-0	at PHI (1469): Tossup
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1385): W 41-33: 1510+6→1516
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1469): Tossup
15 (-5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1503 (-37)	0-1	at SEA (1568): Lose by 6
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1494): L 13-38: 1540-37→1503
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1568): Lose by 6 points
16 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1498 (+8)	1-0	vs DAL (1458): Win by 3
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1459): W 20-16: 1490+8→1498
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1458): Win by 3 points
17 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1483 (-7)	0-1	at NYJ (1360): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1524): L 16-17: 1490-7→1483
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1360): Slight favorite
18 (+3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1483 (+13)	1-0	at PIT (1538): Lose by 5
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1610): W 33-27(OT): 1470+13→1483
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1538): Lose by 5 points
19 (-3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1481 (-14)	0-1	vs CIN (1405): Win by 6
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1579): L 14-34: 1495-14→1481
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1405): Win by 6 points
20	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1473 (-8)	0-1	at ARI (1530): Lose by 5
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1397): L 24-27(OT): 1481-8→1473
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1530): Lose by 5 points
21 (+6)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1469 (+39)	1-0	vs SF (1516): Tossup
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1501): W 32-6: 1430+39→1469
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1516): Tossup
22 (-7)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1462 (-39)	0-1	at TB (1672): Lose by 12
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1430): L 6-32: 1501-39→1462
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1672): Lose by 12 points
23 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1458 (+16)	0-1	at LAC (1498): Lose by 3
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1687): L 29-31: 1442+16→1458
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1498): Lose by 3 points
24 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1451 (+12)	1-0	at CLE (1539): Lose by 7
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1342): W 37-21: 1439+12→1451
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1539): Lose by 7 points
25 (-3)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1451 (-8)	0-1	vs NYG (1409): Win by 4
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1490): L 16-20: 1459-8→1451
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1409): Win by 4 points
26 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1450 (+24)	1-0	at JAX (1330): Win by 3
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1433): W 27-13: 1426+24→1450
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1330): Win by 3 points
27 (-4)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1445 (-2)	1-0	vs NO (1632): Lose by 5
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1357): W 19-14: 1447-2→1445
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1632): Lose by 5 points
28 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1409 (-24)	0-1	at WAS (1451): Lose by 4
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1426): L 13-27: 1433-24→1409
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1451): Lose by 4 points
29	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1405 (+8)	1-0	at CHI (1481): Lose by 6
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1481): W 27-24(OT): 1397+8→1405
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1481): Lose by 6 points
30	Detroit LionsDET	1380 (-5)	0-1	at GB (1571): Lose by 10
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1510): L 33-41: 1385-5→1380
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1571): Lose by 10 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1360 (+3)	0-1	vs NE (1483): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1447): L 14-19: 1357+3→1360
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1483): Slight underdog
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1330 (-12)	0-1	vs DEN (1450): Lose by 3
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1439): L 21-37: 1342-12→1330
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1450): Lose by 3 points
Favorites:
ARI, BAL, CHI, CLE, DEN, GB, LAC, LAR,
MIA, NE, NO, PIT, SEA, SF, TB, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2021 season:

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1687	0-0	vs DAL (1442): Win by 16
prev: offseason parity reset: 1701-14→1687
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1442): Win by 16 points
2	Baltimore RavensBAL	1610	0-0	at LV (1470): Win by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1618-8→1610
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1470): Win by 5 points
3	Green Bay PackersGB	1608	0-0	at NO (1596): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1616-8→1608
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1596): Slight favorite
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1600	0-0	vs PIT (1517): Win by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1607-7→1600
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1517): Win by 7 points
5	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1599	0-0	vs CLE (1538): Win by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1606-7→1599
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1538): Win by 5 points
6	New Orleans SaintsNO	1596	0-0	at GB (1608): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1603-7→1596
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1608): Slight underdog
7	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1579	0-0	vs CHI (1495): Win by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1584-5→1579
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1495): Win by 7 points
8	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1569	0-0	vs SEA (1545): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1574-5→1569
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1545): Slight favorite
9	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1545	0-0	at IND (1569): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1548-3→1545
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1569): Slight underdog
10	Tennessee TitansTEN	1540	0-0	vs ARI (1494): Win by 4
prev: offseason parity reset: 1543-3→1540
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1494): Win by 4 points
11	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1538	0-0	at KC (1599): Lose by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1540-2→1538
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1599): Lose by 5 points
12	Miami DolphinsMIA	1524	0-0	at NE (1490): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1526-2→1524
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1490): Slight underdog
13	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1517	0-0	at BUF (1600): Lose by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1518-1→1517
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1600): Lose by 7 points
14	San Francisco 49ersSF	1510	0-0	at DET (1385): Win by 4
prev: offseason parity reset: 1511-1→1510
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1385): Win by 4 points
15	Atlanta FalconsATL	1501	0-0	vs PHI (1430): Win by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1502-1→1501
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1430): Win by 6 points
16	Chicago BearsCHI	1495	0-0	at LAR (1579): Lose by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1495+0→1495
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1579): Lose by 7 points
17	Arizona CardinalsARI	1494	0-0	at TEN (1540): Lose by 4
prev: offseason parity reset: 1493+1→1494
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1540): Lose by 4 points
18	New England PatriotsNE	1490	0-0	vs MIA (1524): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1490+0→1490
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1524): Slight favorite
19	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1490	0-0	at WAS (1459): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1489+1→1490
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1459): Slight underdog
20	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1481	0-0	at CIN (1397): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1480+1→1481
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1397): Slight favorite
21	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1470	0-0	vs BAL (1610): Lose by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1468+2→1470
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1610): Lose by 5 points
22	Washington Football TeamWAS	1459	0-0	vs LAC (1490): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1456+3→1459
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1490): Slight favorite
23	Carolina PanthersCAR	1447	0-0	vs NYJ (1357): Win by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1444+3→1447
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1357): Win by 7 points
24	Dallas CowboysDAL	1442	0-0	at TB (1687): Lose by 16
prev: offseason parity reset: 1438+4→1442
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1687): Lose by 16 points
25	Houston TexansHOU	1439	0-0	vs JAX (1342): Win by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1435+4→1439
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1342): Win by 6 points
26	New York GiantsNYG	1433	0-0	vs DEN (1426): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1428+5→1433
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1426): Slight favorite
27	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1430	0-0	at ATL (1501): Lose by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1424+6→1430
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1501): Lose by 6 points
28	Denver BroncosDEN	1426	0-0	at NYG (1433): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1421+5→1426
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1433): Slight underdog
29	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1397	0-0	vs MIN (1481): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1389+8→1397
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1481): Slight underdog
30	Detroit LionsDET	1385	0-0	vs SF (1510): Lose by 4
prev: offseason parity reset: 1377+8→1385
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1510): Lose by 4 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1357	0-0	at CAR (1447): Lose by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1346+11→1357
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1447): Lose by 7 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1342	0-0	at HOU (1439): Lose by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1330+12→1342
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1439): Lose by 6 points
Favorites:
ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, GB, HOU, IND, KC,
LAR, MIN, NE, NYG, SF, TB, TEN, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2021 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (-83 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1492 \| avg. lost to rating: 1510 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	13	at TEN(1540) W 38-13: +36→1530	9	3	at SF(1496) W 31-17: +16→1642	17	10	at DAL(1584) W 25-22: +9→1569
2	14	vs MIN(1473) W 34-33: -5→1525	10	6	vs CAR(1427) L 10-34: -54→1588	18	11	vs SEA(1494) L 30-38: -28→1541
3	11	at JAX(1314) W 31-19: +6→1531	11	6	at SEA(1501) W 23-13: +13→1601	W	14	at LAR(1572) L 11-34: -25→1516
4	6	at LAR(1636) W 37-20: +56→1587	12	6	(bye)	D	14
5	6	vs SF(1497) W 17-10: +2→1589	13	6	at CHI(1436) W 33-22: +4→1605	C	14
6	4	at CLE(1576) W 37-14: +46→1635	14	7	vs LAR(1563) L 23-30: -13→1592	S	14
7	3	vs HOU(1357) W 31-5: +7→1642	15	9	at DET(1338) L 12-30: -26→1566
8	3	vs GB(1609) L 21-24: -16→1626	16	10	vs IND(1626) L 16-22: -6→1560

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1491 (+57 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1413 \| avg. lost to rating: 1545 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	22	vs PHI(1430) L 6-32: -39→1462	9	24	at NO(1605) W 27-25: +25→1451	17	26	at BUF(1660) L 15-29: +8→1421
2	27	at TB(1672) L 25-48: -20→1442	10	28	at DAL(1533) L 3-43: -29→1422	18	26	vs NO(1517) L 20-30: -13→1408
3	23	at NYG(1410) W 17-14: +15→1457	11	28	vs NE(1597) L 0-25: -18→1404	W	26
4	27	vs WAS(1434) L 30-34: -22→1435	12	28	at JAX(1339) W 21-14: +7→1411	D	26
5	25	at NYJ(1332) W 27-20: +3→1438	13	28	vs TB(1646) L 17-30: -5→1406	C	26
6	24	(bye)	14	27	at CAR(1441) W 29-21: +15→1421	S	26
7	22	at MIA(1402) W 30-28: +7→1445	15	28	at SF(1532) L 13-31: -5→1416
8	26	vs CAR(1431) L 13-19: -19→1426	16	27	vs DET(1364) W 20-16: -3→1413

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-72 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1496 \| avg. lost to rating: 1497 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	4	at LV(1470) L 27-33: -13→1597	9	9	vs MIN(1494) W 34-31: -11→1571	17	15	vs LAR(1587) L 19-20: -3→1513
2	4	vs KC(1597) W 36-35: +5→1602	10	12	at MIA(1403) L 10-22: -30→1541	18	19	vs PIT(1468) L 13-16: -17→1496
3	6	at DET(1364) W 19-17: -19→1583	11	12	at CHI(1433) W 16-13: +0→1541	W	19
4	3	at DEN(1492) W 23-7: +30→1613	12	10	vs CLE(1494) W 16-10: +3→1544	D	19
5	3	vs IND(1543) W 31-25: -8→1605	13	11	at PIT(1444) L 19-20: -7→1537	C	19
6	3	vs LAC(1555) W 34-6: +35→1640	14	11	at CLE(1492) L 22-24: -2→1535	S	19
7	9	vs CIN(1488) L 17-41: -58→1582	15	13	vs GB(1617) L 30-31: -1→1534
8	9	(bye)	16	15	at CIN(1500) L 21-41: -18→1516

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1487 (-168 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1459 \| avg. lost to rating: 1537 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	6	vs PIT(1517) L 16-23: -22→1578	9	2	at JAX(1308) L 6-9: -37→1653	17	1	vs ATL(1413) W 29-15: -8→1652
2	2	at MIA(1532) W 35-0: +70→1648	10	1	at NYJ(1327) W 45-17: +18→1671	18	1	vs NYJ(1329) W 27-10: -6→1646
3	1	vs WAS(1449) W 43-21: +16→1664	11	2	vs IND(1572) L 15-41: -43→1628	W	1	vs NE(1602) W 47-17: +30→1676
4	1	vs HOU(1410) W 40-0: +27→1691	12	1	at NO(1564) W 31-6: +25→1653	D	1	at KC(1609) L 36-42: -13→1663
5	1	at KC(1570) W 38-20: +27→1718	13	3	vs NE(1633) L 10-14: -11→1642	C	1
6	1	at TEN(1538) L 31-34: -26→1692	14	3	at TB(1651) L 27-33: +1→1643	S	1
7	1	(bye)	15	1	vs CAR(1426) W 31-14: -1→1642
8	1	vs MIA(1396) W 26-11: -2→1690	16	1	at NE(1637) W 33-21: +18→1660

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (+45 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1504 \| avg. lost to rating: 1504 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	27	vs NYJ(1357) W 19-14: -2→1445	9	26	vs NE(1539) L 6-24: -24→1427	17	27	at NO(1518) L 10-18: +1→1413
2	16	vs NO(1632) W 26-7: +60→1505	10	19	at ARI(1642) W 34-10: +54→1481	18	27	at TB(1635) L 17-41: -6→1407
3	10	at HOU(1444) W 24-9: +34→1539	11	21	vs WAS(1442) L 21-27: -17→1464	W	27
4	14	at DAL(1514) L 28-36: -21→1518	12	25	at MIA(1439) L 10-33: -23→1441	D	27
5	18	vs PHI(1401) L 18-21: -30→1488	13	25	(bye)	C	27
6	20	vs MIN(1487) L 28-34: -14→1474	14	26	vs ATL(1406) L 21-29: -15→1426	S	27
7	23	at NYG(1384) L 3-25: -43→1431	15	26	at BUF(1643) L 14-31: +1→1427
8	22	at ATL(1445) W 19-13: +20→1451	16	28	vs TB(1634) L 6-32: -15→1412

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1509 (+57 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1423 \| avg. lost to rating: 1556 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	19	at LAR(1579) L 14-34: -14→1481	9	25	at PIT(1492) L 27-29: +5→1433	17	23	vs NYG(1416) W 29-3: +21→1461
2	21	vs CIN(1405) W 20-17: -9→1472	10	27	(bye)	18	24	at MIN(1504) L 17-31: -11→1450
3	24	at CLE(1547) L 6-26: -27→1445	11	26	vs BAL(1541) L 13-16: -0→1433	W	24
4	21	vs DET(1382) W 24-14: +12→1457	12	27	at DET(1343) W 16-14: +3→1436	D	24
5	17	at LV(1491) W 20-9: +36→1493	13	26	vs ARI(1601) L 22-33: -4→1432	C	24
6	21	vs GB(1591) L 14-24: -19→1474	14	25	at GB(1616) L 30-45: -1→1431	S	24
7	21	at TB(1659) L 3-38: -22→1452	15	27	vs MIN(1513) L 9-17: -5→1426
8	25	vs SF(1472) L 22-33: -24→1428	16	24	at SEA(1500) W 25-24: +14→1440

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1482 (+2 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1484 \| avg. lost to rating: 1479 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	29	vs MIN(1481) W 27-24: +8→1405	9	21	vs CLE(1499) L 16-41: -41→1476	17	13	vs KC(1614) W 34-31: +11→1528
2	28	at CHI(1481) L 17-20: +9→1414	10	20	(bye)	18	14	at CLE(1478) L 16-21: -9→1519
3	22	at PIT(1495) W 24-10: +50→1464	11	16	at LV(1445) W 32-13: +24→1500	W	13	vs LV(1465) W 26-19: -2→1517
4	24	vs JAX(1307) W 24-21: -18→1446	12	14	vs PIT(1469) W 41-10: +24→1524	D	10	at TEN(1578) W 19-16: +33→1550
5	22	vs GB(1595) L 22-25: +4→1450	13	17	vs LAC(1481) L 22-41: -26→1498	C	6	at KC(1622) W 27-24: +35→1585
6	18	at DET(1380) W 34-11: +38→1488	14	19	vs SF(1527) L 23-26: -5→1493	S	5	at LAR(1621) L 20-23: +14→1599
7	11	at BAL(1640) W 41-17: +59→1547	15	18	at DEN(1472) W 15-10: +7→1500
8	13	at NYJ(1293) L 31-34: -30→1517	16	14	vs BAL(1534) W 41-21: +17→1517

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (-19 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1471 \| avg. lost to rating: 1533 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	10	at KC(1599) L 29-33: +1→1539	9	12	at CIN(1517) W 41-16: +42→1541	17	20	at PIT(1453) L 14-26: -15→1478
2	8	vs HOU(1451) W 31-21: +8→1547	10	15	at NE(1563) L 7-45: -35→1506	18	20	vs CIN(1528) W 21-16: +9→1487
3	7	vs CHI(1472) W 26-6: +27→1574	11	18	vs DET(1330) W 13-10: -12→1494	W	20
4	5	at MIN(1514) W 14-7: +16→1590	12	17	at BAL(1541) L 10-16: -2→1492	D	20
5	8	at LAC(1540) L 42-47: -14→1576	13	19	(bye)	C	20
6	12	vs ARI(1589) L 14-37: -46→1530	14	18	vs BAL(1537) W 24-22: +1→1493	S	20
7	15	vs DEN(1420) W 17-14: -11→1519	15	19	vs LV(1417) L 14-16: -11→1482
8	16	vs PIT(1472) L 10-15: -20→1499	16	18	at GB(1618) L 22-24: +11→1493

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (-39 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1485 \| avg. lost to rating: 1537 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	23	at TB(1687) L 29-31: +16→1458	9	13	vs DEN(1436) L 16-30: -42→1533	17	9	vs ARI(1560) L 22-25: -8→1576
2	18	at LAC(1498) W 20-17: +22→1480	10	10	vs ATL(1451) W 43-3: +29→1562	18	3	at PHI(1532) W 51-26: +35→1611
3	15	vs PHI(1451) W 41-21: +34→1514	11	11	at KC(1578) L 9-19: -9→1553	W	7	vs SF(1554) L 17-23: -31→1580
4	12	vs CAR(1539) W 36-28: +21→1535	12	13	vs LV(1422) L 33-36: -18→1535	D	6
5	9	vs NYG(1438) W 44-20: +30→1565	13	10	at NO(1539) W 27-17: +15→1550	C	7
6	10	at NE(1494) W 35-29: +4→1569	14	10	at WAS(1471) W 27-20: +6→1556	S	7
7	10	(bye)	15	10	at NYG(1439) W 21-6: +10→1566
8	10	at MIN(1501) W 20-16: +6→1575	16	8	vs WAS(1462) W 56-14: +18→1584

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1470 (+16 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1417 \| avg. lost to rating: 1508 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	26	at NYG(1433) W 27-13: +24→1450	9	20	at DAL(1575) W 30-16: +42→1478	17	24	at LAC(1488) L 13-34: -18→1443
2	22	at JAX(1330) W 23-13: +16→1466	10	23	vs PHI(1465) L 13-30: -31→1447	18	25	vs KC(1603) L 24-28: +2→1445
3	19	vs NYJ(1321) W 26-0: +26→1492	11	23	(bye)	W	25
4	20	vs BAL(1583) L 7-23: -29→1463	12	20	vs LAC(1496) W 28-13: +16→1463	D	25
5	23	at PIT(1447) L 19-27: -16→1447	13	22	at KC(1587) L 9-22: -3→1460	C	25
6	25	vs LV(1455) L 24-34: -27→1420	14	20	vs DET(1349) W 38-10: +12→1472	S	25
7	24	at CLE(1530) L 14-17: +11→1431	15	21	vs CIN(1493) L 10-15: -7→1465
8	24	vs WAS(1412) W 17-10: +5→1436	16	21	at LV(1427) L 13-17: -4→1461

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1509 (+152 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1576 \| avg. lost to rating: 1495 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	30	vs SF(1510) L 33-41: -5→1380	9	32	(bye)	17	30	at SEA(1486) L 29-51: -9→1358
2	30	at GB(1571) L 17-35: -16→1364	10	31	at PIT(1487) T 16-16: +18→1330	18	28	vs GB(1615) W 37-30: +32→1390
3	30	vs BAL(1602) L 17-19: +18→1382	11	30	at CLE(1506) L 10-13: +13→1343	W	28
4	30	at CHI(1445) L 14-24: -12→1370	12	30	vs CHI(1433) L 14-16: -4→1339	D	28
5	30	at MIN(1497) L 17-19: +10→1380	13	29	vs MIN(1522) W 29-27: +10→1349	C	28
6	30	vs CIN(1450) L 11-34: -38→1342	14	29	at DEN(1460) L 10-38: -11→1338	S	28
7	29	at LAR(1629) L 19-28: +16→1358	15	29	vs ARI(1592) W 30-12: +26→1364
8	31	vs PHI(1427) L 6-44: -46→1312	16	30	at ATL(1416) L 16-20: +3→1367

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1493 (-113 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1491 \| avg. lost to rating: 1500 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	7	at NO(1596) L 3-38: -37→1571	9	5	at KC(1525) L 7-13: -19→1606	17	4	vs MIN(1511) W 37-10: +7→1615
2	6	vs DET(1380) W 35-17: +16→1587	10	4	vs SEA(1515) W 17-0: +13→1619	18	6	at DET(1358) L 30-37: -31→1584
3	5	at SF(1534) W 30-28: +10→1597	11	5	at MIN(1522) L 31-34: -8→1611	W	6	(bye)
4	4	vs PIT(1445) W 27-17: -2→1595	12	4	vs LAR(1559) W 36-28: +5→1616	D	8	vs SF(1585) L 10-13: -23→1561
5	5	at CIN(1446) W 25-22: -4→1591	13	5	(bye)	C	9
6	6	at CHI(1493) W 24-14: +19→1610	14	5	vs CHI(1432) W 45-30: +1→1617	S	9
7	5	vs WAS(1412) W 24-10: -1→1609	15	5	at BAL(1535) W 31-30: +1→1618
8	4	at ARI(1642) W 24-21: +16→1625	16	6	vs CLE(1482) W 24-22: -10→1608

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1514 (+139 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1453 \| avg. lost to rating: 1533 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	24	vs JAX(1342) W 37-21: +12→1451	9	30	at MIA(1398) L 9-17: -5→1340	17	29	at SF(1539) L 7-23: +2→1369
2	26	at CLE(1539) L 21-31: -7→1444	10	30	(bye)	18	29	vs TEN(1587) L 25-28: +9→1378
3	28	vs CAR(1505) L 9-24: -34→1410	11	29	at TEN(1633) W 22-13: +33→1373	W	29
4	29	at BUF(1664) L 0-40: -28→1382	12	29	vs NYJ(1303) L 14-21: -19→1354	D	29
5	29	vs NE(1494) L 22-25: +1→1383	13	30	vs IND(1602) L 0-31: -16→1338	C	29
6	29	at IND(1551) L 3-31: -26→1357	14	30	vs SEA(1493) L 13-33: -10→1328	S	29
7	30	at ARI(1635) L 5-31: -8→1349	15	30	at JAX(1322) W 30-16: +14→1342
8	29	vs LAR(1613) L 22-38: -4→1345	16	29	vs LAC(1513) W 41-29: +25→1367

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (-81 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1472 \| avg. lost to rating: 1531 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	9	vs SEA(1545) L 16-28: -23→1546	9	7	vs NYJ(1322) W 45-30: -4→1583	17	6	vs LV(1432) L 20-23: -29→1603
2	10	vs LAR(1593) L 24-27: -10→1536	10	9	vs JAX(1345) W 23-17: -11→1572	18	9	at JAX(1299) L 11-26: -46→1557
3	14	at TEN(1530) L 16-25: -18→1518	11	4	at BUF(1671) W 41-15: +43→1615	W	10
4	10	at MIA(1470) W 27-17: +25→1543	12	5	vs TB(1633) L 31-38: -13→1602	D	9
5	11	at BAL(1613) L 25-31: +8→1551	13	4	at HOU(1354) W 31-0: +16→1618	C	10
6	8	vs HOU(1383) W 31-3: +26→1577	14	4	(bye)	S	10
7	7	at SF(1495) W 30-18: +22→1599	15	4	vs NE(1645) W 27-17: +8→1626
8	8	vs TEN(1599) L 31-34: -12→1587	16	3	at ARI(1566) W 22-16: +6→1632

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (+178 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1573 \| avg. lost to rating: 1485 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	32	at HOU(1439) L 21-37: -12→1330	9	29	vs BUF(1690) W 9-6: +37→1345	17	32	at NE(1619) L 10-50: -7→1299
2	32	vs DEN(1450) L 13-23: -16→1314	10	29	at IND(1583) L 17-23: +10→1355	18	31	vs IND(1603) W 26-11: +46→1345
3	31	vs ARI(1525) L 19-31: -7→1307	11	31	vs SF(1512) L 10-30: -16→1339	W	31
4	32	at CIN(1464) L 21-24: +19→1326	12	31	vs ATL(1404) L 14-21: -7→1332	D	31
5	32	vs TEN(1511) L 19-37: -27→1299	13	31	at LAR(1554) L 7-37: -8→1324	C	31
6	32	at MIA(1427) W 23-20: +25→1324	14	31	at TEN(1582) L 0-20: -2→1322	S	31
7	31	(bye)	15	32	vs HOU(1328) L 16-30: -14→1308
8	32	at SEA(1499) L 7-31: -16→1308	16	32	at NYJ(1314) L 21-26: -2→1306

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (-69 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1483 \| avg. lost to rating: 1569 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	3	vs CLE(1538) W 33-29: -2→1597	9	11	vs GB(1625) W 13-7: +20→1545	17	5	at CIN(1517) L 31-34: -11→1603
2	5	at BAL(1597) L 35-36: -4→1593	10	8	at LV(1479) W 41-14: +33→1578	18	5	at DEN(1443) W 28-24: -2→1601
3	8	vs LAC(1477) L 24-30: -38→1555	11	8	vs DAL(1562) W 19-9: +9→1587	W	3	vs PIT(1486) W 42-21: +8→1609
4	8	at PHI(1416) W 42-30: +15→1570	12	7	(bye)	D	3	vs BUF(1676) W 42-36: +13→1622
5	12	vs BUF(1691) L 20-38: -27→1543	13	7	vs DEN(1463) W 22-9: +3→1590	C	5	vs CIN(1550) L 24-27: -35→1587
6	9	at WAS(1439) W 31-13: +28→1571	14	6	vs LV(1432) W 48-9: +16→1606	S	6
7	12	at TEN(1563) L 3-27: -36→1535	15	6	at LAC(1515) W 34-28: +1→1607
8	12	vs NYG(1427) W 20-17: -10→1525	16	5	vs PIT(1460) W 36-10: +7→1614

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (+44 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1515 \| avg. lost to rating: 1497 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	18	vs BAL(1610) W 33-27: +13→1483	9	19	at NYG(1437) L 16-23: -17→1479	17	22	at IND(1632) W 23-20: +29→1461
2	13	at PIT(1538) W 26-17: +42→1525	10	24	vs KC(1545) L 14-41: -34→1445	18	23	vs LAC(1506) W 35-32: +4→1465
3	13	vs MIA(1462) W 31-28: -7→1518	11	27	vs CIN(1476) L 13-32: -23→1422	W	22	at CIN(1519) L 19-26: +2→1467
4	19	at LAC(1514) L 14-28: -27→1491	12	26	at DAL(1553) W 36-33: +18→1440	D	22
5	21	vs CHI(1457) L 9-20: -36→1455	13	27	vs WAS(1463) L 15-17: -8→1432	C	22
6	19	at DEN(1447) W 34-24: +28→1483	14	28	at KC(1590) L 9-48: -15→1417	S	22
7	18	vs PHI(1441) W 33-22: +13→1496	15	25	at CLE(1493) W 16-14: +10→1427
8	17	(bye)	16	25	vs DEN(1465) W 17-13: +5→1432

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (-8 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1504 \| avg. lost to rating: 1494 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	16	at WAS(1459) W 20-16: +8→1498	9	15	at PHI(1473) W 27-24: +8→1514	17	16	vs DEN(1461) W 34-13: +18→1506
2	20	vs DAL(1458) L 17-20: -21→1477	10	17	vs MIN(1504) L 20-27: -18→1496	18	17	at LV(1461) L 32-35: -4→1502
3	16	at KC(1593) W 30-24: +37→1514	11	17	vs PIT(1469) W 41-37: +0→1496	W	17
4	11	vs LV(1518) W 28-14: +26→1540	12	19	at DEN(1447) L 13-28: -15→1481	D	17
5	10	vs CLE(1590) W 47-42: +15→1555	13	16	at CIN(1524) W 41-22: +26→1507	C	17
6	13	at BAL(1605) L 6-34: -35→1520	14	14	vs NYG(1447) W 37-21: +8→1515	S	17
7	14	(bye)	15	16	vs KC(1606) L 28-34: -2→1513
8	15	vs NE(1525) L 24-27: -14→1506	16	19	at HOU(1342) L 29-41: -25→1488

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1507 (-85 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1487 \| avg. lost to rating: 1554 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	5	vs CHI(1495) W 34-14: +14→1593	9	6	vs TEN(1611) L 16-28: -27→1591	17	7	at BAL(1516) W 20-19: +3→1590
2	3	at IND(1546) W 27-24: +10→1603	10	11	at SF(1480) L 10-31: -32→1559	18	8	vs SF(1537) L 24-27: -18→1572
3	3	vs TB(1692) W 34-24: +33→1636	11	10	(bye)	W	4	vs ARI(1541) W 34-11: +25→1597
4	7	vs ARI(1531) L 20-37: -55→1581	12	9	at GB(1611) L 28-36: -5→1554	D	2	at TB(1642) W 30-27: +28→1625
5	4	at SEA(1533) W 26-17: +23→1604	13	9	vs JAX(1332) W 37-7: +9→1563	C	2	vs SF(1608) W 20-17: -4→1621
6	5	at NYG(1409) W 38-11: +25→1629	14	9	at ARI(1605) W 30-23: +13→1576	S	4	vs CIN(1585) W 23-20: -13→1608
7	4	vs DET(1342) W 28-19: -16→1613	15	7	vs SEA(1503) W 20-10: +3→1579
8	5	at HOU(1349) W 38-22: +5→1618	16	7	at MIN(1519) W 30-23: +8→1587

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1493 (+40 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1458 \| avg. lost to rating: 1534 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	12	at NE(1490) W 17-16: +8→1532	9	28	vs HOU(1345) W 17-9: +5→1403	17	19	at TEN(1570) L 3-34: -16→1478
2	23	vs BUF(1578) L 0-35: -70→1462	10	26	vs BAL(1571) W 22-10: +30→1433	18	16	vs NE(1626) W 33-24: +24→1502
3	21	at LV(1525) L 28-31: +8→1470	11	25	at NYJ(1309) W 24-17: +6→1439	W	16
4	25	vs IND(1518) L 17-27: -25→1445	12	22	vs CAR(1464) W 33-10: +23→1462	D	16
5	27	at TB(1650) L 17-45: -18→1427	13	21	vs NYG(1456) W 20-9: +9→1471	C	16
6	27	at JAX(1299) L 20-23: -25→1402	14	21	(bye)	S	16
7	28	vs ATL(1438) L 28-30: -6→1396	15	20	vs NYJ(1310) W 31-24: -5→1466
8	28	at BUF(1692) L 11-26: +2→1398	16	17	at NO(1546) W 20-3: +28→1494

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (+1 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1484 \| avg. lost to rating: 1523 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	20	at CIN(1397) L 24-27: -8→1473	9	16	at BAL(1582) L 31-34: +10→1504	17	17	at GB(1608) L 10-37: -7→1504
2	19	at ARI(1530) L 33-34: +5→1478	10	13	at LAC(1514) W 27-20: +18→1522	18	15	vs CHI(1461) W 31-17: +11→1515
3	17	vs SEA(1541) W 30-17: +36→1514	11	13	vs GB(1619) W 34-31: +8→1530	W	15
4	17	vs CLE(1574) L 7-14: -17→1497	12	15	at SF(1528) L 26-34: -8→1522	D	15
5	19	vs DET(1370) W 19-17: -10→1487	13	14	at DET(1339) L 27-29: -10→1512	C	15
6	14	at CAR(1488) W 34-28: +14→1501	14	15	vs PIT(1451) W 36-28: +1→1513	S	15
7	16	(bye)	15	14	at CHI(1431) W 17-9: +6→1519
8	19	vs DAL(1569) L 16-20: -7→1494	16	16	vs LAR(1579) L 23-30: -8→1511

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1507 (-49 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1456 \| avg. lost to rating: 1580 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	17	vs MIA(1524) L 16-17: -7→1483	9	10	at CAR(1451) W 24-6: +24→1563	17	3	vs JAX(1306) W 50-10: +7→1626
2	15	at NYJ(1360) W 25-6: +38→1521	10	5	vs CLE(1541) W 45-7: +34→1597	18	4	at MIA(1478) L 24-33: -24→1602
3	20	vs NO(1572) L 13-28: -35→1486	11	3	at ATL(1422) W 25-0: +18→1615	W	9	at BUF(1646) L 17-47: -30→1572
4	18	vs TB(1659) L 17-19: +8→1494	12	3	vs TEN(1600) W 36-13: +18→1633	D	7
5	16	at HOU(1382) W 25-22: -0→1494	13	2	at BUF(1653) W 14-10: +12→1645	C	8
6	17	vs DAL(1565) L 29-35: -4→1490	14	2	(bye)	S	8
7	13	vs NYJ(1328) W 54-13: +35→1525	15	2	at IND(1618) L 17-27: -8→1637
8	11	at LAC(1520) W 27-24: +14→1539	16	4	vs BUF(1642) L 21-33: -18→1619

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (-62 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1507 \| avg. lost to rating: 1503 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	2	at GB(1608) W 38-3: +36→1632	9	8	vs ATL(1426) L 25-27: -25→1580	17	14	vs CAR(1412) W 18-10: -1→1517
2	7	at CAR(1445) L 7-26: -60→1572	10	7	at TEN(1637) L 21-23: +4→1584	18	12	at ATL(1421) W 30-20: +14→1531
3	4	at NE(1521) W 28-13: +36→1608	11	9	at PHI(1495) L 29-40: -20→1564	W	11
4	9	vs NYG(1396) L 21-27: -43→1565	12	11	vs BUF(1628) L 6-31: -25→1539	D	12
5	7	at WAS(1456) W 33-22: +17→1582	13	13	vs DAL(1535) L 17-27: -16→1523	C	12
6	7	(bye)	14	13	at NYJ(1316) W 30-9: +7→1530	S	12
7	8	at SEA(1500) W 13-10: +1→1583	15	11	at TB(1650) W 9-0: +16→1546
8	7	vs TB(1681) W 36-27: +22→1605	16	13	vs MIA(1466) L 3-20: -28→1518

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (+83 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1523 \| avg. lost to rating: 1503 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	28	vs DEN(1426) L 13-27: -24→1409	9	23	vs LV(1496) W 23-16: +18→1455	17	28	at CHI(1440) L 3-29: -21→1395
2	29	at WAS(1451) L 29-30: +1→1410	10	22	(bye)	18	30	vs WAS(1440) L 7-22: -25→1370
3	29	vs ATL(1442) L 14-17: -14→1396	11	24	at TB(1625) L 10-30: -9→1446	W	30
4	26	at NO(1608) W 27-21: +42→1438	12	23	vs PHI(1515) W 13-7: +10→1456	D	30
5	28	at DAL(1535) L 20-44: -29→1409	13	24	at MIA(1462) L 9-20: -9→1447	C	30
6	28	vs LAR(1604) L 11-38: -25→1384	14	24	at LAC(1507) L 21-37: -8→1439	S	30
7	26	vs CAR(1474) W 25-3: +43→1427	15	24	vs DAL(1556) L 6-21: -9→1430
8	23	at KC(1535) L 17-20: +10→1437	16	26	at PHI(1515) L 10-34: -14→1416

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (+183 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1444 \| avg. lost to rating: 1523 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	31	at CAR(1447) L 14-19: +3→1360	9	31	at IND(1587) L 30-45: +5→1327	17	31	vs TB(1648) L 24-28: +13→1329
2	31	vs NE(1483) L 6-25: -39→1321	10	32	vs BUF(1653) L 17-45: -18→1309	18	32	at BUF(1652) L 10-27: +6→1335
3	32	at DEN(1466) L 0-26: -26→1295	11	32	vs MIA(1433) L 17-24: -6→1303	W	32
4	31	vs TEN(1548) W 27-24: +37→1332	12	32	at HOU(1373) W 21-14: +20→1323	D	32
5	31	at ATL(1435) L 20-27: -4→1328	13	32	vs PHI(1505) L 18-33: -7→1316	C	32
6	31	(bye)	14	32	vs NO(1523) L 9-30: -6→1310	S	32
7	32	at NE(1490) L 13-54: -35→1293	15	31	at MIA(1471) L 24-31: +4→1314
8	30	vs CIN(1547) W 34-31: +29→1322	16	31	vs JAX(1308) W 26-21: +2→1316

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1490 (+19 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1456 \| avg. lost to rating: 1529 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	21	at ATL(1501) W 32-6: +39→1469	9	22	vs LAC(1506) L 24-27: -8→1465	17	12	at WAS(1444) W 20-16: +3→1532
2	24	vs SF(1516) L 11-17: -18→1451	10	18	at DEN(1478) W 30-13: +30→1495	18	18	vs DAL(1576) L 26-51: -36→1496
3	27	at DAL(1480) L 21-41: -35→1416	11	15	vs NO(1584) W 40-29: +20→1515	W	18	at TB(1642) L 15-31: +1→1497
4	28	vs KC(1555) L 30-42: -15→1401	12	16	at NYG(1446) L 7-13: -10→1505	D	18
5	26	at CAR(1518) W 21-18: +31→1432	13	15	at NYJ(1323) W 33-18: +6→1511	C	18
6	23	vs TB(1668) L 22-28: +9→1441	14	16	(bye)	S	18
7	25	at LV(1483) L 22-33: -14→1427	15	15	vs WAS(1465) W 27-17: +4→1515
8	21	at DET(1358) W 44-6: +46→1473	16	12	vs NYG(1430) W 34-10: +14→1529

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (+33 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1517 \| avg. lost to rating: 1515 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	11	at BUF(1600) W 23-16: +21→1538	9	17	vs CHI(1428) W 29-27: -5→1487	17	21	vs CLE(1493) W 26-14: +15→1468
2	17	vs LV(1483) L 17-26: -43→1495	10	21	vs DET(1312) T 16-16: -18→1469	18	21	at BAL(1513) W 16-13: +18→1486
3	25	vs CIN(1414) L 10-24: -50→1445	11	20	at LAC(1496) L 37-41: -0→1469	W	21	at KC(1601) L 21-42: -8→1478
4	23	at GB(1597) L 17-27: +2→1447	12	24	at CIN(1500) L 10-41: -25→1444	D	21
5	20	vs DEN(1463) W 27-19: +15→1462	13	23	vs BAL(1544) W 20-19: +7→1451	C	21
6	22	vs SEA(1510) W 23-20: +10→1472	14	23	at MIN(1512) L 28-36: -1→1450	S	21
7	20	(bye)	15	23	vs TEN(1583) W 19-13: +10→1460
8	20	at CLE(1519) W 15-10: +20→1492	16	22	at KC(1607) L 10-36: -7→1453

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (-10 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1466 \| avg. lost to rating: 1563 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	14	at DET(1385) W 41-33: +6→1516	9	18	vs ARI(1626) L 17-31: -16→1480	17	11	vs HOU(1367) W 23-7: -2→1537
2	11	at PHI(1469) W 17-11: +18→1534	10	14	vs LAR(1591) W 31-10: +32→1512	18	10	at LAR(1590) W 27-24: +17→1554
3	12	vs GB(1587) L 28-30: -10→1524	11	14	at JAX(1355) W 30-10: +16→1528	W	5	at DAL(1611) W 23-17: +31→1585
4	16	vs SEA(1506) L 21-28: -27→1497	12	12	vs MIN(1530) W 34-26: +8→1536	D	5	at GB(1584) W 13-10: +23→1608
5	15	at ARI(1587) L 10-17: -2→1495	13	12	at SEA(1484) L 23-30: -9→1527	C	4	at LAR(1625) L 17-20: +4→1612
6	16	(bye)	14	12	at CIN(1498) W 26-23: +5→1532	S	3
7	19	vs IND(1577) L 18-30: -23→1472	15	12	vs ATL(1421) W 31-13: +4→1536
8	18	at CHI(1452) W 33-22: +24→1496	16	11	at TEN(1573) L 17-20: +3→1539

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (-11 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1461 \| avg. lost to rating: 1526 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	8	at IND(1569) W 28-16: +23→1568	9	14	(bye)	17	18	vs DET(1367) W 51-29: +8→1494
2	9	vs TEN(1503) L 30-33: -27→1541	10	16	at GB(1606) L 0-17: -14→1501	18	13	at ARI(1569) W 38-30: +28→1522
3	18	at MIN(1478) L 17-30: -35→1506	11	19	vs ARI(1588) L 13-23: -13→1488	W	12
4	13	at SF(1524) W 28-21: +27→1533	12	18	at WAS(1459) L 15-17: -4→1484	D	13
5	14	vs LAR(1581) L 17-26: -23→1510	13	18	vs SF(1536) W 30-23: +9→1493	C	13
6	15	at PIT(1462) L 20-23: -10→1500	14	17	at HOU(1338) W 33-13: +10→1503	S	13
7	17	vs NO(1582) L 10-13: -1→1499	15	17	at LAR(1576) L 10-20: -3→1500
8	14	vs JAX(1324) W 31-7: +16→1515	16	20	vs CHI(1426) L 24-25: -14→1486

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1479 (-177 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1463 \| avg. lost to rating: 1531 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	1	vs DAL(1442) W 31-29: -15→1672	9	1	(bye)	17	2	at NYJ(1316) W 28-24: -13→1635
2	1	vs ATL(1462) W 48-25: +20→1692	10	3	at WAS(1407) L 19-29: -35→1625	18	2	vs CAR(1413) W 41-17: +7→1642
3	2	at LAR(1603) L 24-34: -33→1659	11	1	vs NYG(1455) W 30-10: +8→1633	W	2	vs PHI(1496) W 31-15: -0→1642
4	2	at NE(1486) W 19-17: -9→1650	12	2	at IND(1615) W 38-31: +13→1646	D	4	vs LAR(1597) L 27-30: -28→1614
5	2	vs MIA(1445) W 45-17: +18→1668	13	1	at ATL(1411) W 30-17: +5→1651	C	3
6	2	at PHI(1432) W 28-22: -9→1659	14	1	vs BUF(1642) W 33-27: -1→1650	S	2
7	2	vs CHI(1474) W 38-3: +22→1681	15	3	vs NO(1530) L 0-9: -16→1634
8	2	at NO(1583) L 27-36: -21→1660	16	2	at CAR(1427) W 32-6: +14→1648

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1496 (-75 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1520 \| avg. lost to rating: 1439 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	15	vs ARI(1494) L 13-38: -37→1503	9	4	at LAR(1618) W 28-16: +26→1637	17	8	vs MIA(1494) W 34-3: +17→1587
2	12	at SEA(1568) W 33-30: +27→1530	10	2	vs NO(1580) W 23-21: -4→1633	18	7	at HOU(1369) W 28-25: -9→1578
3	9	vs IND(1536) W 25-16: +18→1548	11	7	vs HOU(1340) L 13-22: -33→1600	W	8	(bye)
4	15	at NYJ(1295) L 24-27: -37→1511	12	8	at NE(1615) L 13-36: -18→1582	D	11	vs CIN(1517) L 16-19: -34→1544
5	13	at JAX(1326) W 37-19: +27→1538	13	8	(bye)	C	11
6	11	vs BUF(1718) W 34-31: +25→1563	14	8	vs JAX(1324) W 20-0: +1→1583	S	11
7	6	vs KC(1571) W 27-3: +36→1599	15	8	at PIT(1450) L 13-19: -10→1573
8	6	at IND(1599) W 34-31: +12→1611	16	9	vs SF(1536) W 20-17: -3→1570

↑ Washington Football Team

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1516 (+71 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1476 \| avg. lost to rating: 1544 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	25	vs LAC(1490) L 16-20: -8→1451	9	27	(bye)	17	25	vs PHI(1529) L 16-20: -4→1440
2	25	vs NYG(1409) W 30-29: -2→1449	10	25	vs TB(1660) W 29-19: +35→1442	18	22	at NYG(1395) W 22-7: +25→1465
3	26	at BUF(1648) L 21-43: -15→1434	11	22	at CAR(1481) W 27-21: +17→1459	W	23
4	22	at ATL(1457) W 34-30: +22→1456	12	21	vs SEA(1488) W 17-15: +4→1463	D	23
5	24	vs NO(1565) L 22-33: -17→1439	13	20	at LV(1440) W 17-15: +8→1471	C	23
6	26	vs KC(1543) L 13-31: -27→1412	14	22	vs DAL(1550) L 20-27: -6→1465	S	23
7	27	at GB(1610) L 10-24: +0→1412	15	22	at PHI(1511) L 17-27: -3→1462
8	27	at DEN(1431) L 10-17: -5→1407	16	23	at DAL(1566) L 14-56: -18→1444

↑ 2021 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 5 games (weeks 15-19) Las Vegas Raiders: +50 total Elo rating
2. 4 games (weeks 18-21) San Francisco 49ers: +75 total Elo rating
3. 4 games (weeks 15-18) Houston Texans: +51 total Elo rating
4. 4 games (weeks 15-18) New York Jets: +25 total Elo rating
5. 3 games (weeks 20-22) Cincinnati Bengals: +82 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 6 games (weeks 13-18) New York Giants: -86 total Elo rating
2. 6 games (weeks 13-18) Baltimore Ravens: -48 total Elo rating
3. 2 games (weeks 17-18) Indianapolis Colts: -75 total Elo rating
4. 2 games (weeks 18-20) Green Bay Packers: -55 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 18-19) New England Patriots: -54 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 9, 382-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1690) 20-point favorites at Jacksonville Jaguars (1308): Jaguars win 9-6
2. Week 18, 304-Elo upset: Indianapolis Colts (1603) 15-point favorites at Jacksonville Jaguars (1299): Jaguars win 26-11
3. Week 11, 293-Elo upset: Tennessee Titans (1633) 14-point favorites vs Houston Texans (1340): Texans win 22-13
4. Week 18, 257-Elo upset: Green Bay Packers (1615) 12-point favorites at Detroit Lions (1358): Lions win 37-30
5. Week 8, 254-Elo upset: Cincinnati Bengals (1547) 12-point favorites at New York Jets (1293): Jets win 34-31
6. Week 15, 254-Elo upset: Arizona Cardinals (1592) 14-point favorites at Detroit Lions (1338): Lions win 30-12
7. Week 4, 253-Elo upset: Tennessee Titans (1548) 12-point favorites at New York Jets (1295): Jets win 27-24
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week 10, 39-point differential: Arizona Cardinals (1642) 15-point favorites vs Carolina Panthers (1427): Panthers win 34-10
2. Week 15, 32-point differential: Arizona Cardinals (1592) 14-point favorites vs Detroit Lions (1338): Lions win 30-12
3. Week 11, 34-point differential: Buffalo Bills (1671) 8-point favorites vs Indianapolis Colts (1572): Colts win 41-15
4. Week 7, 33-point differential: Baltimore Ravens (1640) 9-point favorites vs Cincinnati Bengals (1488): Bengals win 41-17
5. Week 18, 30-point differential: Indianapolis Colts (1603) 15-point favorites vs Jacksonville Jaguars (1299): Jaguars win 26-11
6. Week 1, 32-point differential: Atlanta Falcons (1501) 6-point favorites vs Philadelphia Eagles (1430): Eagles win 32-6
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +202: Cincinnati Bengals (1397) before week 1 → (1599) thru week 22
2. +138: Dallas Cowboys (1442) before week 1 → (1580) thru week 19
3. +102: San Francisco 49ers (1510) before week 1 → (1612) thru week 21
4. +81: New England Patriots (1490) before week 1 → (1572) thru week 19
5. +67: Philadelphia Eagles (1430) before week 1 → (1497) thru week 19
more...
1. +63: Buffalo Bills (1600) before week 1 → (1663) thru week 20
2. +34: Minnesota Vikings (1481) before week 1 → (1515) thru week 18
3. +29: Los Angeles Rams (1579) before week 1 → (1608) thru week 22
4. +22: Arizona Cardinals (1494) before week 1 → (1516) thru week 19
5. +19: Denver Broncos (1426) before week 1 → (1445) thru week 18
6. +12: Los Angeles Chargers (1490) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 18
7. +7: Washington Football Team (1459) before week 1 → (1465) thru week 18
8. +5: Tennessee Titans (1540) before week 1 → (1544) thru week 20
9. +4: Detroit Lions (1385) before week 1 → (1390) thru week 18
10. +4: Jacksonville Jaguars (1342) before week 1 → (1345) thru week 18
11. -3: Las Vegas Raiders (1470) before week 1 → (1467) thru week 19
12. -12: Kansas City Chiefs (1599) before week 1 → (1587) thru week 21
13. -12: Indianapolis Colts (1569) before week 1 → (1557) thru week 18
14. -22: New York Jets (1357) before week 1 → (1335) thru week 18
15. -22: Miami Dolphins (1524) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 18
16. -23: Seattle Seahawks (1545) before week 1 → (1522) thru week 18
17. -39: Pittsburgh Steelers (1517) before week 1 → (1478) thru week 19
18. -41: Carolina Panthers (1447) before week 1 → (1407) thru week 18
19. -46: Chicago Bears (1495) before week 1 → (1450) thru week 18
20. -47: Green Bay Packers (1608) before week 1 → (1561) thru week 20
21. -51: Cleveland Browns (1538) before week 1 → (1487) thru week 18
22. -61: Houston Texans (1439) before week 1 → (1378) thru week 18
23. -63: New York Giants (1433) before week 1 → (1370) thru week 18
24. -65: New Orleans Saints (1596) before week 1 → (1531) thru week 18
25. -74: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1687) before week 1 → (1614) thru week 20
26. -94: Atlanta Falcons (1501) before week 1 → (1408) thru week 18
27. -114: Baltimore Ravens (1610) before week 1 → (1496) thru week 18
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -114: Baltimore Ravens (1610) before week 1 → (1496) thru week 18
2. -94: Atlanta Falcons (1501) before week 1 → (1408) thru week 18
3. -74: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1687) before week 1 → (1614) thru week 20
4. -65: New Orleans Saints (1596) before week 1 → (1531) thru week 18
5. -63: New York Giants (1433) before week 1 → (1370) thru week 18
more...
1. -61: Houston Texans (1439) before week 1 → (1378) thru week 18
2. -51: Cleveland Browns (1538) before week 1 → (1487) thru week 18
3. -47: Green Bay Packers (1608) before week 1 → (1561) thru week 20
4. -46: Chicago Bears (1495) before week 1 → (1450) thru week 18
5. -41: Carolina Panthers (1447) before week 1 → (1407) thru week 18
6. -39: Pittsburgh Steelers (1517) before week 1 → (1478) thru week 19
7. -23: Seattle Seahawks (1545) before week 1 → (1522) thru week 18
8. -22: Miami Dolphins (1524) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 18
9. -22: New York Jets (1357) before week 1 → (1335) thru week 18
10. -12: Indianapolis Colts (1569) before week 1 → (1557) thru week 18
11. -12: Kansas City Chiefs (1599) before week 1 → (1587) thru week 21
12. -3: Las Vegas Raiders (1470) before week 1 → (1467) thru week 19
13. +4: Jacksonville Jaguars (1342) before week 1 → (1345) thru week 18
14. +4: Detroit Lions (1385) before week 1 → (1390) thru week 18
15. +5: Tennessee Titans (1540) before week 1 → (1544) thru week 20
16. +7: Washington Football Team (1459) before week 1 → (1465) thru week 18
17. +12: Los Angeles Chargers (1490) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 18
18. +19: Denver Broncos (1426) before week 1 → (1445) thru week 18
19. +22: Arizona Cardinals (1494) before week 1 → (1516) thru week 19
20. +29: Los Angeles Rams (1579) before week 1 → (1608) thru week 22
21. +34: Minnesota Vikings (1481) before week 1 → (1515) thru week 18
22. +63: Buffalo Bills (1600) before week 1 → (1663) thru week 20
23. +67: Philadelphia Eagles (1430) before week 1 → (1497) thru week 19
24. +81: New England Patriots (1490) before week 1 → (1572) thru week 19
25. +102: San Francisco 49ers (1510) before week 1 → (1612) thru week 21
26. +138: Dallas Cowboys (1442) before week 1 → (1580) thru week 19
27. +202: Cincinnati Bengals (1397) before week 1 → (1599) thru week 22
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +155: New England Patriots (1490) before week 7 → (1645) thru week 13
2. +150: Cincinnati Bengals (1397) before week 1 → (1547) thru week 7
3. +149: Arizona Cardinals (1494) before week 1 → (1642) thru week 7
4. +139: Buffalo Bills (1578) before week 2 → (1718) thru week 5
5. +134: Tennessee Titans (1503) before week 2 → (1637) thru week 9
more...
1. +133: Dallas Cowboys (1442) before week 1 → (1575) thru week 8
2. +114: Philadelphia Eagles (1401) before week 5 → (1515) thru week 11
3. +97: Indianapolis Colts (1518) before week 4 → (1615) thru week 11
4. +96: Miami Dolphins (1398) before week 9 → (1494) thru week 16
5. +95: Carolina Panthers (1445) before week 2 → (1539) thru week 3
6. +90: Kansas City Chiefs (1525) before week 9 → (1614) thru week 16
7. +85: San Francisco 49ers (1527) before week 14 → (1612) thru week 21
8. +78: Los Angeles Chargers (1477) before week 3 → (1555) thru week 5
9. +72: New York Giants (1384) before week 7 → (1456) thru week 12
10. +70: Los Angeles Rams (1554) before week 13 → (1625) thru week 20
11. +66: Denver Broncos (1426) before week 1 → (1492) thru week 3
12. +64: Washington Football Team (1407) before week 9 → (1471) thru week 13
13. +60: Detroit Lions (1330) before week 11 → (1390) thru week 18
14. +57: Baltimore Ravens (1583) before week 4 → (1640) thru week 6
15. +56: Jacksonville Jaguars (1299) before week 6 → (1355) thru week 10
16. +55: Las Vegas Raiders (1470) before week 1 → (1525) thru week 2
17. +54: Green Bay Packers (1571) before week 2 → (1625) thru week 8
18. +53: Cleveland Browns (1538) before week 1 → (1590) thru week 4
19. +51: Houston Texans (1328) before week 15 → (1378) thru week 18
20. +48: Chicago Bears (1445) before week 4 → (1493) thru week 5
21. +47: Pittsburgh Steelers (1445) before week 4 → (1492) thru week 8
22. +43: Minnesota Vikings (1478) before week 3 → (1522) thru week 10
23. +39: New Orleans Saints (1565) before week 5 → (1605) thru week 8
24. +38: Seattle Seahawks (1484) before week 13 → (1522) thru week 18
25. +34: New York Jets (1293) before week 8 → (1327) thru week 9
26. +31: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1650) before week 5 → (1681) thru week 7
27. +17: Atlanta Falcons (1404) before week 12 → (1421) thru week 14
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -136: Miami Dolphins (1532) before week 2 → (1396) thru week 7
2. -112: Carolina Panthers (1539) before week 4 → (1427) thru week 9
3. -110: Houston Texans (1451) before week 2 → (1340) thru week 9
4. -105: Baltimore Ravens (1640) before week 7 → (1535) thru week 14
5. -99: Cleveland Browns (1590) before week 5 → (1492) thru week 12
more...
1. -96: Las Vegas Raiders (1518) before week 4 → (1422) thru week 11
2. -93: Pittsburgh Steelers (1538) before week 2 → (1445) thru week 3
3. -89: Arizona Cardinals (1605) before week 14 → (1516) thru week 19
4. -89: Buffalo Bills (1718) before week 6 → (1628) thru week 11
5. -86: New York Giants (1456) before week 13 → (1370) thru week 18
6. -86: New Orleans Saints (1605) before week 9 → (1518) thru week 16
7. -77: Los Angeles Rams (1636) before week 4 → (1559) thru week 10
8. -76: Atlanta Falcons (1501) before week 1 → (1426) thru week 8
9. -75: Indianapolis Colts (1632) before week 17 → (1557) thru week 18
10. -74: Los Angeles Chargers (1555) before week 6 → (1481) thru week 12
11. -74: Kansas City Chiefs (1599) before week 1 → (1525) thru week 8
12. -73: Denver Broncos (1492) before week 4 → (1420) thru week 6
13. -73: New England Patriots (1645) before week 14 → (1572) thru week 19
14. -73: Detroit Lions (1385) before week 1 → (1312) thru week 8
15. -71: Cincinnati Bengals (1547) before week 8 → (1476) thru week 9
16. -69: Seattle Seahawks (1568) before week 2 → (1499) thru week 7
17. -68: Philadelphia Eagles (1469) before week 2 → (1401) thru week 4
18. -67: New York Jets (1360) before week 2 → (1293) thru week 7
19. -67: Tennessee Titans (1637) before week 10 → (1570) thru week 16
20. -67: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1692) before week 3 → (1625) thru week 10
21. -67: Chicago Bears (1495) before week 1 → (1428) thru week 8
22. -62: San Francisco 49ers (1534) before week 3 → (1472) thru week 7
23. -58: Green Bay Packers (1618) before week 16 → (1561) thru week 20
24. -56: Jacksonville Jaguars (1355) before week 11 → (1299) thru week 17
25. -52: Washington Football Team (1459) before week 1 → (1407) thru week 8
26. -41: Dallas Cowboys (1575) before week 9 → (1535) thru week 12
27. -27: Minnesota Vikings (1514) before week 4 → (1487) thru week 5
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Washington Football Team: 1516
2. Houston Texans: 1514
3. Chicago Bears: 1509
4. Detroit Lions: 1509
5. Kansas City Chiefs: 1508
more...
1. New York Giants: 1508
2. Las Vegas Raiders: 1508
3. New England Patriots: 1507
4. Los Angeles Rams: 1507
5. San Francisco 49ers: 1506
6. New Orleans Saints: 1506
7. Minnesota Vikings: 1505
8. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1504
9. New York Jets: 1504
10. Carolina Panthers: 1504
11. Cleveland Browns: 1504
12. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1500
13. Dallas Cowboys: 1500
14. Indianapolis Colts: 1500
15. Seattle Seahawks: 1499
16. Los Angeles Chargers: 1499
17. Arizona Cardinals: 1498
18. Baltimore Ravens: 1497
19. Tennessee Titans: 1496
20. Miami Dolphins: 1493
21. Green Bay Packers: 1493
22. Atlanta Falcons: 1491
23. Philadelphia Eagles: 1490
24. Buffalo Bills: 1487
25. Cincinnati Bengals: 1482
26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1479
27. Denver Broncos: 1470
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Denver Broncos: 1470
2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1479
3. Cincinnati Bengals: 1482
4. Buffalo Bills: 1487
5. Philadelphia Eagles: 1490
more...
1. Atlanta Falcons: 1491
2. Green Bay Packers: 1493
3. Miami Dolphins: 1493
4. Tennessee Titans: 1496
5. Baltimore Ravens: 1497
6. Arizona Cardinals: 1498
7. Los Angeles Chargers: 1499
8. Seattle Seahawks: 1499
9. Indianapolis Colts: 1500
10. Dallas Cowboys: 1500
11. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1500
12. Cleveland Browns: 1504
13. Carolina Panthers: 1504
14. New York Jets: 1504
15. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1504
16. Minnesota Vikings: 1505
17. New Orleans Saints: 1506
18. San Francisco 49ers: 1506
19. Los Angeles Rams: 1507
20. New England Patriots: 1507
21. Las Vegas Raiders: 1508
22. New York Giants: 1508
23. Kansas City Chiefs: 1508
24. Detroit Lions: 1509
25. Chicago Bears: 1509
26. Houston Texans: 1514
27. Washington Football Team: 1516
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Detroit Lions: 1576
2. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1573
3. New York Giants: 1523
4. Tennessee Titans: 1520
5. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1517
more...
1. Las Vegas Raiders: 1515
2. New Orleans Saints: 1507
3. Carolina Panthers: 1504
4. Los Angeles Chargers: 1504
5. Baltimore Ravens: 1496
6. Arizona Cardinals: 1492
7. Green Bay Packers: 1491
8. Los Angeles Rams: 1487
9. Dallas Cowboys: 1485
10. Minnesota Vikings: 1484
11. Cincinnati Bengals: 1484
12. Kansas City Chiefs: 1483
13. Washington Football Team: 1476
14. Indianapolis Colts: 1472
15. Cleveland Browns: 1471
16. San Francisco 49ers: 1466
17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1463
18. Seattle Seahawks: 1461
19. Buffalo Bills: 1459
20. Miami Dolphins: 1458
21. New England Patriots: 1456
22. Philadelphia Eagles: 1456
23. Houston Texans: 1453
24. New York Jets: 1444
25. Chicago Bears: 1423
26. Denver Broncos: 1417
27. Atlanta Falcons: 1413
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Atlanta Falcons: 1413
2. Denver Broncos: 1417
3. Chicago Bears: 1423
4. New York Jets: 1444
5. Houston Texans: 1453
more...
1. Philadelphia Eagles: 1456
2. New England Patriots: 1456
3. Miami Dolphins: 1458
4. Buffalo Bills: 1459
5. Seattle Seahawks: 1461
6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1463
7. San Francisco 49ers: 1466
8. Cleveland Browns: 1471
9. Indianapolis Colts: 1472
10. Washington Football Team: 1476
11. Kansas City Chiefs: 1483
12. Cincinnati Bengals: 1484
13. Minnesota Vikings: 1484
14. Dallas Cowboys: 1485
15. Los Angeles Rams: 1487
16. Green Bay Packers: 1491
17. Arizona Cardinals: 1492
18. Baltimore Ravens: 1496
19. Los Angeles Chargers: 1504
20. Carolina Panthers: 1504
21. New Orleans Saints: 1507
22. Las Vegas Raiders: 1515
23. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1517
24. Tennessee Titans: 1520
25. New York Giants: 1523
26. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1573
27. Detroit Lions: 1576

↑ 2021 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	6-10 (6/16, 37.5%)	6-10 (6/16, 37.5%)
2	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	17-15 (17/32, 53.12%)
3	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	28-20 (28/48, 58.33%)
4	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	38-26 (38/64, 59.38%)
5	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	50-30 (50/80, 62.5%)
6	8-6 (8/14, 57.14%)	58-36 (58/94, 61.7%)
7	11-2 (11/13, 84.62%)	69-38 (69/107, 64.49%)
8	7-8 (7/15, 46.67%)	76-46 (76/122, 62.3%)
9	6-8 (6/14, 42.86%)	82-54 (82/136, 60.29%)
10	7-6 (7/13, 53.85%)	89-60 (89/149, 59.73%)
11	10-5 (10/15, 66.67%)	99-65 (99/164, 60.37%)
12	11-4 (11/15, 73.33%)	110-69 (110/179, 61.45%)
13	8-6 (8/14, 57.14%)	118-75 (118/193, 61.14%)
14	11-3 (11/14, 78.57%)	129-78 (129/207, 62.32%)
15	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	139-84 (139/223, 62.33%)
16	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	151-88 (151/239, 63.18%)
17	13-3 (13/16, 81.25%)	164-91 (164/255, 64.31%)
18	8-8 (8/16, 50.0%)	172-99 (172/271, 63.47%)
W	5-1 (5/6, 83.33%)	177-100 (177/277, 63.9%)
D	0-4 (0/4, 0.0%)	177-104 (177/281, 62.99%)
C	1-1 (1/2, 50.0%)	178-105 (178/283, 62.9%)
S	1-0 (1/1, 100.0%)	179-105 (179/284, 63.03%)

↑ Introduction and Background

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we can consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the FAQ page for more background.

This Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 1994 through 2025. Over that span it correctly picks winners in 65.63% of games, trailing the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.64% (according to covers.com/sportsoddshistory). This model also does well compared to the average picker at NFL Picks Page. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

Have more questions? See the FAQ page.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- division alignment (whether a game is a division matchup),
- whether a game is meaningless with respect to playoff seeding,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team can gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team can lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 1992 season — although only the last ~20 games have any real impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 1992 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 1992 and 1993 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 1994 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 1991 or older seasons in the model search process, nor to publish 2019 or older seasons.
If you see an unequal number of Elo rating points moved from one team to another after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2026 Updates

2026 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- A new "v4.2026.04" model was found, and it's the most accurate model yet. It also fixes the misbehavior of last year's "v3.2025.06" model. See more details in the 2026 preseason blog post.

2025 Updates

2026-01-03 - Reverted to last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See the 2025 blog post for more details. The "v3.2025.06" 2025 rankings are available here.
2025 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- An improved "v3.2025.06" model was found after a much bigger automated model search where 10 million models were evaluated for each of the regular, "never lose Elo for a win," and "blank slate" model types. The new "v3.2025.06" model is a "regular" model, and was more accurate than the new best found "never lose Elo for a win" and "blank slate" models. It picks a net 2.3 more game winners correctly per season from 1994 through 2024 than last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See more details in the 2025 preseason blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2025. There are links to the frozen pages near the top of the above linked blog post.

2024 Updates

2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

The schedule on this page is derived from Pro-Football-Reference.com, with weekly scores data from nflverse and some hand-entered scores.

The data on these pages was at one point derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages. I donate to Wikipedia annually. If you value free access to information on the web, or have recently found Wikipedia useful, I encourage you to do so as well.

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